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PERSpECTIVES

E p i d emi o l o g y o f C V D
and notions of CHD prevention were
TIMELINE
beginning to take root. Apart from a few
observations demonstrating that nutritional
70-year legacy of the Framingham (such as beriberi and pellagra) and
infectious (for example, syphilis, haemolytic
Heart Study streptococcal infections and bacteraemia
caused by viridans streptococci) disorders
might have features of cardiovascular
Charlotte Andersson, Andrew D. Johnson, Emelia J. Benjamin   , Daniel Levy diseases (CVDs), little was known about
and Ramachandran S. Vasan    the origins of CHD in the community.
As Dawber, Meadors and Moore stated
Abstract | The Framingham Heart Study (FHS) was established in 1948 to improve in a report3 describing the purpose of the
understanding of the epidemiology of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the USA. In Framingham Study, “Of the epidemiology
1961, seminal work identified major risk factors for CHD (high blood pressure, high of hypertensive or arteriosclerotic
cholesterol levels and evidence on the electrocardiogram of left ventricular cardiovascular disease, almost nothing is
known.” The hypotheses and aims of the
hypertrophy), which later formed the basis for multivariable 10-year and 30-year FHS at the time of its initiation are presented
risk-​prediction algorithms. The FHS cohorts now comprise three generations of in Box 1.
participants (n ≈ 15,000) and two minority cohorts. The FHS cohorts are densely The Original cohort of the FHS was
phenotyped, with recurring follow-​up examinations and surveillance for recruited from among the 28,000 inhabitants
cardiovascular and non-​cardiovascular end points. Assessment of subclinical disease of Framingham, with 5,209 individuals
(about one-​fifth of the population) being
and physiological profiling of these cohorts (with the use of echocardiography ,
enrolled. The mean age of the Original
ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring, exercise stress testing, cardiac CT, cohort at entry into the study was 44 years
heart and brain MRI, serial vascular tonometry and accelerometry) have been (range 28–74 years), and more than
performed repeatedly. Over the past decade, the FHS cohorts have undergone deep half of the participants were women,
‘omics’ profiling (including whole-​genome sequencing, DNA methylation analysis, which was prescient for the time. Study
transcriptomics, high-​throughput proteomics and metabolomics, and microbiome design was based on sampling participants
who were free from overt CVD (termed
studies). The FHS is a rich, longitudinal, transgenerational and deeply phenotyped ‘normals’ by the researchers), and the
cohort study with a sustained focus on state-​of-the-​art epidemiological methods age range of approximately 30–60 years
and technological advances to facilitate scientific discoveries. was chosen because this time of life is
when atherosclerotic, arteriosclerotic and
The Framingham Heart Study (FHS) longitudinal, community-​based study in hypertensive diseases were expected to
celebrated its seventieth anniversary in 2018. 1948 to improve understanding of the occur. On 29 September 1948, the first
The FHS is the longest-​running cardiovascular natural history of CHD and its aetiological participant entered the Framingham Study
epidemiological cohort study in the USA. factors. The location of Framingham, research clinic; the people of Framingham
In this Timeline Perspectives article, we Massachusetts, was chosen on the basis of have been very dedicated to the study ever
discuss the background and rationale for the city’s history of contributions to public since. At the beginning of the study, an
the initiation of the FHS, describe the health community endeavours (especially executive committee comprising 15 town
accrual of data over time, list several seminal the 1917–1923 Framingham Tuberculosis residents argued that families should not
research milestones and offer a perspective Demonstration Study)1 and strong advocacy be split up during recruitment for the
on the future of the FHS. The importance of by scientists (such as Paul Dudley White cohort. The preferential recruitment of
moderate-​sized cohort studies has evolved and David D. Rutstein from Massachusetts individuals from families subsequently
over time with the formation of much larger General Hospital and Harvard Medical emerged to be extraordinarily insightful
collaborative consortia, ‘mega’-cohorts and School, respectively)2. Additional factors that because it facilitated investigations of the
biobanks, but the FHS remains a unique, contributed to the choice of Framingham familial clustering of CVD and promoted
longitudinal, transgenerational and deeply as the location for such a study included its participant retention. The initial plan and
phenotyped epidemiological cohort study. proximity to leading medical institutions expectation were to follow up the recruited
and hospitals in the Boston area and its participants for 20 years — a milestone that
Rationale and origin representation of a typical economically was accomplished in 1968 (ref.3).
Motivated by the marked increase in deaths stable US community in the 1940s, with Funding beyond the initial 20-year
from coronary heart disease (CHD) in the low rates of outmigration. At that time, period faced some challenges. However,
USA in the first half of the 20th century, important concepts of cardiovascular in 1971, the NIH and Boston University
the US Public Health Service set up a epidemiology were in their formative stages, signed an agreement that provided the FHS

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Box 1 | Foundation of the Framingham Heart Study3 publication that identified connections
between the measurements made at
Hypothesis given in the background paper for the Framingham Heart Study in 1952 baseline and the development of CHD was
• “It is assumed that these diagnoses [hypertensive and arteriosclerotic disease] do not each have published6. The 4-year follow-​up data from
a single cause (as is the case of most infectious diseases), but that they are the result of multiple the Original cohort showed that elevated
causes which work slowly within the individual.” blood pressure, high cholesterol levels and
• “Clearly, what is required is the epidemiological study of these diseases [hypertensive and being overweight were associated with
arteriosclerotic disease] based on populations of normal composition, including both the sick CHD6. In 1961, probably one of the most
and the well as they are found in the community.” high-​impact reports that has ever been
original aims of the Framingham Heart Study as presented in 1952 generated by the FHS was published —
• “Based on as complete a clinical examination as feasible, there are selected out of this initial the identification of “factors of risk”
group those persons who are free of definite signs of these diseases. These persons will be for the development of CHD7. Kannel and
termed the normals, and they will be observed over a period of years until a sizable number are colleagues noted that male sex, older age,
found to have acquired the diseases. At that time a search is made for the factors which elevated blood pressure and cholesterol
influenced the development of disease in the one group and not in the other.” levels and left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy
• “As one by-​product of this investigation it will also be possible to study the efficiency of various (as assessed on the electrocardiogram) were
diagnostic procedures in finding heart disease or as indicators of the subsequent development of important predictors of the risk of CHD7.
heart disease. (These findings, of course, have important bearing on the question of including Reports on the strong association between
tests for heart disease in mass screening programs.)” smoking and CHD followed in 1962 and
• “A second by-​product will be data on prevalence and incidence of cardiovascular diseases.” 1964 (refs8,9).
However, in the early 1960s, the potential
implications of these findings were uncertain
with continued federal support, and the Data collection and milestones because whether lowering these risk factors
FHS was expanded with the enrolment of a The FHS has evolved over time with would lead to a reduction in the risk of
second-​generation cohort, the Framingham regard to its collection of biosamples and CHD had not been determined. Not long
Offspring Study (n = 5,124), consisting of data for research. To date, the Original before the investigation was published,
the children of the Original cohort and the cohort has been examined for 32 cycles elevated blood pressure was considered to
spouses of those children. The aims of at approximately 2-year intervals; during be a normal concomitant of ageing and an
the Framingham Offspring Study were to the thirty-​second examination cycle important compensatory phenomenon to
investigate secular trends in CHD risk factor (2012–2014), only 40 individuals remained maintain cerebral perfusion (in response
levels across the two generations and over alive and were examined either in nursing to ageing itself) that should not be lowered
time and to examine the familial and genetic homes or at their residence if unavailable in asymptomatic individuals10. Several
determinants of risk factors for CHD4. to attend the FHS research centre. At the additional FHS publications on the adverse
The age of the Offspring cohort at their last examination, the mean age of the effects of hypertension followed, which
initial visit was approximately the same age cohort was 96 years (range 93–106 years). underscored the strong associations between
as the Original cohort had been at their first The Offspring cohort has been examined elevated blood pressure and the risk of
examination. for nine cycles, every 4–7 years; the latest developing both stroke and congestive
A minority cohort (Omni 1; n = 506) cycle was completed in 2014 (mean age heart failure11,12. Indeed, a seminal report
from Framingham was subsequently 71 years, range 46–98 years). For the Third-​ on heart failure from 1971 (with 16 years
enrolled in 1995 to reflect the changing Generation cohort, two examination cycles of follow-​up) concluded that hypertension
demographic characteristics of the town. have been completed, with a third cycle to was the dominant cause of heart failure
In 2002, the FHS was further expanded with be completed in 2019. The Omni 1 cohort (considered to be an aetiological factor
the recruitment of a sample of the children has been examined for four cycles; the latest in 75% of the patients)13. That report also
of the Offspring cohort (grandchildren of cycle was completed in 2014 (mean age introduced the widely used Framingham
the Original cohort) — that is, the Third-​ 66 years, range 44–88 years). The Omni criteria for defining definite heart failure in
Generation FHS cohort (n = 4,095) — along 2 cohort has completed two examination an epidemiological setting (on the basis of
with a second contemporary minority cycles, with a third cycle to be completed in the presence of two major or one major and
cohort (Omni 2; n = 410) with a similar 2019. two minor criteria; Box 2).
age distribution. The aim of the Third-​ Figures 1 and 2 and Tables 1 and 2 show Shortly thereafter, other principal risk
Generation cohort was to recruit individuals the temporal trends in data collection, factors for stroke and heart failure (that
belonging to the largest pedigrees from the some of the work derived from the data and is, atrial fibrillation and diabetes mellitus,
first-​generation and second-​generation the wealth of data collected in the FHS, as respectively) were also identified14,15. From
cohorts to investigate further the genetic discussed in detail below. the outset, FHS publications highlighted the
architecture of CVD and its risk factors and critical importance of systolic blood pressure
to continue studies of temporal trends in the 1948–1977 in the pathogenesis of CHD and stroke,
incidence of CVD and its risk factors5. As of During the first set of FHS examinations whereas national guidelines focused almost
today, nested within the three FHS cohorts on the Original cohort, blood samples (for exclusively on diastolic blood pressure levels
are 6,477 parent–offspring pairs and assaying blood glucose and cholesterol until an advisory statement on systolic blood
1,267 grandparent–grandchildren pairs, concentrations), electrocardiograms, chest pressure was issued in 2000 (ref.16). The
plus 5,530 sibships and a number of other radiograms, information on smoking, importance of diabetes as a risk factor for
pedigree relationships of great value for a family history and anthropometric various forms of CVD (that is, intermittent
heritability and genetic studies. measures were obtained. In 1957, the initial claudication, congestive heart failure,

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1948–2014: Original cohort (Gen 1): physical examinations, blood samples


and lifestyle-related data, collected approximately every other year

1971–present: Offspring cohort (Gen 2): physical examinations, blood samples


and lifestyle-related data, collected approximately every 4–7 years

2002–present: Third-Generation cohort (Gen 3): physical examinations, blood


samples and lifestyle-related data, collected approximately every 4–7 years

1948 1971 1979 1982 1998 1999 2000 2002 2006 2009 2014 2015 2019

Echocardiography Familial Cardiac CT Vascular Cardiac DNA methylation


clustering tonometry MRI and gene
Exercise testing studies Linkage expression studies
studies Brain MRI
Genome-wide Cardiopulmonary
Chest and abdominal CT association studies exercise testing

Risk factor identification and Circulating biomarkers, tonometry, echocardiography, Familial risk, DNA and
multivariable risk assessment coronary and whole-body CT and cardiac MRI multi-omics measures

Fig. 1 | Timeline of the Framingham Heart Study. The timeline shows the temporal enrolment of the three generations of participants (Gen 1, Gen 2 and
Gen 3) and when various measures and heritability studies were introduced to the Framingham Heart Study.

CHD, stroke and cardiovascular death) was progression of risk factors over time. risk-​prediction algorithm was developed for
reported in 1979 (ref.17). Importantly, the For instance, FHS investigators reported in the 30-year risk of CVD33. Risk functions
1979 report concluded that the lower risk of 1996 that blood pressure levels increased have also been formulated for individual
CVD in women versus men was attenuated with age over a 20-year time period, and forms of CVD (congestive heart failure34,
when diabetes was present17. On the basis so-​called borderline systolic hypertension atrial fibrillation35, stroke36 and recurrent
of the initial data collection in the FHS, the progressed to overt hypertension in >80% CVD37) and for CVD risk factors themselves
long-​term, independent risk factors for atrial of the participants25. The lifetime risk of (the hypertension risk score38).
fibrillation (age, congestive heart failure, hypertension in the FHS has later been
valvular disease, diabetes, hypertension estimated to be 90%26. Corresponding 1978–2008
and male sex) and congestive heart failure lifetime risks at the age of 40 years have Echocardiography was introduced at
(hypertension, CHD, diabetes and LV been estimated to be 20% for congestive the FHS in 1979. In 1988, FHS research
hypertrophy) were also delineated18,19, heart failure27 and at least 33% in men and established that increasing age, high
and smoking was firmly established as 14% in women for CHD (up to 67% in men blood pressure and obesity were strong
an important risk factor for intermittent and 33% in women, depending on blood risk factors for LV hypertrophy defined
claudication20 and stroke21. cholesterol levels)28. The lifetime risks of by echocardiography39. The FHS
In 1965, the FHS laboratory began to atrial fibrillation at the age of 40 years ranged echocardiography laboratory has also
separate out fractions of plasma lipoprotein from 20% to 33% depending on the risk contributed substantially to establishing
cholesterol. Soon, the prognostic importance factor burden and might be increasing27,29,30. normative echocardiographic reference
of LDL-​cholesterol and HDL-​cholesterol On the basis of data collected during the values for LV mass40, wall thickness, left
concentrations and the LDL:HDL first three decades, one of the best-​known atrial dimension41 and aortic root size42.
cholesterol ratio were investigated for the reports on the long-​term combined effect Later, high blood pressure, obesity, smoking
first time in a community-​based setting22. of risk factors on the incidence of CHD and diabetes were shown to be strong
In 1967, physical activity was identified was published in 1998, in which Wilson determinants of LV mass in mid-​life over
as being inversely associated with risk of and colleagues introduced mathematical a 16-year period43, and a high LV mass
CHD23. On the basis of data collected during functions to estimate the 10-year risk was associated with an increased risk of
the first three decades (that is, >35 years ago), of CHD31. This algorithm formed the cardiovascular events44. Similarly, the FHS
excess weight and obesity were also basis of lipid-​lowering treatment for the echocardiography laboratory has provided
established as being independent risk primary prevention of CHD as part of insight into the importance of asymptomatic
factors for the long-​term risk of CVD23,24. the National Cholesterol for Education LV dilatation and LV systolic dysfunction,
Program (NCEP) Adult Treatment Panel III which were both observed to be associated
Long-​term results from the initial data recommendations32. A general CVD risk with a high risk of heart failure in 1997 and
collection. The longitudinal tracking of score was formulated in 2008, which 2003, respectively45,46.
participants since the early decades predicted the occurrence of a composite Longitudinal FHS data also described
of the FHS has not only enabled the outcome of CVD that included CHD, stroke cardiac remodelling over the life course,
identification of risk factors for hard and heart failure. This risk score has since with longitudinal tracking of aortic root
cardiovascular outcomes longitudinally been modified by the current ACC/AHA and left atrial dimensions as well as LV
but also has shed light on the natural CVD risk calculator32. In 2009, a similar internal dimensions, wall thickness and

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mass over time. The longitudinal reports of heart failure with preserved ejection patterns of heart failure (1985–2014) in the
highlighted that fractional shortening fraction (HFpEF))48. Approximately half FHS demonstrated that a higher proportion
(a measure of LV ejection fraction) increased of all FHS participants with heart failure of all heart failure cases now manifest with
with advancing age, whereas the LV end-​ were shown to have a preserved LV ejection preserved LV ejection fraction and that the
diastolic dimension decreased47. Evaluation fraction48. Despite having a slightly better prevalence of asymptomatic LV systolic
of LV systolic function in individuals with prognosis than patients with heart failure dysfunction has declined49. This decline was
heart failure in the FHS contributed to with reduced ejection fraction, mortality demonstrated to be partly associated with
seminal work published in 1999 establishing was still fourfold higher for participants temporal trends for a lower prevalence of
that heart failure in the community can with HFpEF than for age-​matched and CHD and a greater burden of high blood
occur in the presence of a normal ejection sex-​matched controls without heart failure48. pressure49.
fraction (which emphasized the concept Work investigating temporal trends in Exercise testing was introduced at
the FHS in 1979. In one of the initial
publications, Lauer and colleagues reported
Factors of risk in the development of that chronotropic incompetence (identified
coronary heart disease — six year follow- 1961
up experience7 Habitual level of physical activity and by exercise testing) was associated with
1967 risk of coronary heart disease: the increased LV mass and cavity size in both
Framingham Study23
Epidemiologic assessment of the role of sexes and was associated with systolic
blood pressure in stroke: the Framingham 1970 dysfunction in men, in part consistent with
Study11 our current understanding of some of the
Role of blood pressure in the
1972 development of congestive heart failure: pathophysiology of HFpEF50. The FHS
the Framingham Study12 investigators also demonstrated that a poor
Role of diabetes in congestive heart 1974 increase in heart rate in response to exercise
failure: the Framingham Study15
Epidemiologic assessment of chronic was predictive of a greater risk of CHD
1978 atrial fibrillation and risk of stroke: and death51. Subsequently, an exaggerated
Obesity as an independent risk factor the Framingham Study14 blood pressure response to exercise was
for cardiovascular disease: a 26-year 1983 shown to be an important antecedent of the
follow-up of participants in the • Parental history is an independent risk
Framingham Heart Study24 factor for coronary artery disease: the development of resting hypertension, and a
1990 Framingham Study188 slower recovery of heart rate after exercise
• Prognostic implications of echocardio-
Independent risk factors for atrial graphically determined left ventricular was associated with an increased risk of
fibrillation in a population-based cohort: 1994 mass in the Framingham Heart Study44 CHD and cardiovascular events52.
the Framingham Heart Study18 Since 1975, FHS participants have been
The progression from hypertension to
Left ventricular dilation and the risk of 1996 congestive heart failure189 under continuous surveillance for cognitive
congestive heart failure in people without impairment and clinical dementia. Starting
myocardial infarction45 1997 in 1985 and 1991, at every examination
• Impact of atrial fibrillation on the risk of Prediction of coronary heart disease cycle, participants from the Original
death: the Framingham Heart Study94 1998 using risk factor categories31 and Offspring cohorts, respectively, have
• Congestive heart failure in subjects with undergone a mini-​mental state examination
normal versus reduced left ventricular • Assessment of frequency of progression
ejection fraction: prevalence and 1999 to hypertension in non-hypertensive (MMSE) and other neurocognitive tests.
mortality in a population-based cohort48 participants in the Framingham Heart On the basis of any abnormal results in
Study: a cohort study190 these tests, selected participants are invited
2001 • Impact of high-normal blood pressure
• Obesity and the risk of heart failure192
• Plasma homocysteine as a risk factor on the risk of cardiovascular disease191 to undergo further cognitive testing. As a
for dementia and Alzheimer’s disease55 2002 result of this longitudinal, comprehensive
• Plasma natriuretic peptides for Natural history of asymptomatic left cognitive screening and neuropsychological
community screening for left ventricular systolic dysfunction in the
ventricular hypertrophy and systolic 2003 community46 testing, the Framingham Study has
dysfunction: the Framingham Heart contributed substantially to the delineation
Study90 • Obesity and the risk of new-onset atrial of risk factors for vascular and Alzheimer
2004
fibrillation193
• Association of parental heart failure • Parental atrial fibrillation as a risk factor dementia in the community. For instance,
with risk of heart failure in offspring195 2006 for atrial fibrillation in offspring194 cognitive decline, all-​cause dementia and
• Multiple biomarkers for the prediction
of first major cardiovascular events Alzheimer disease have been shown to be
Association between familial atrial
and death84 2010 fibrillation and risk of new-onset atrial directly associated with the composite FHS
fibrillation196 stroke risk profile53,54. Cognitive impairment
Aortic stiffness, blood pressure is also associated with previous stroke53,54,
progression, and incident hypertension99 2012
plasma homocysteine concentrations55,
Incidence of dementia over three decades
2014 in the Framingham Heart Study62 blood pressure levels56, obesity56,57, APOE
Temporal trends in the incidence of and genotype58 and atrial fibrillation59,60 but
mortality associated with heart failure
with preserved and reduced ejection 2018 is inversely associated with blood leptin
fraction197 levels61. In 2016, the incidence of dementia
was reported to have declined over a period
of three decades in the FHS cohorts, in
part owing to better control of vascular
Fig. 2 | Major publications from the Framingham Heart Study. The timeline shows article titles of risk factors, underscoring the importance
selected seminal publications arising from the Framingham Heart Study. of cohort studies (such as the FHS) for

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evaluating temporal trends in a range Table 1 | Examples of measurements in the FHS


of health outcomes62.
Starting in the 1980s, the FHS has Category Measurements associated circulating
biomarkers
measured a plethora of circulating
biomarkers. Several of these biomarkers Anthropomorphic • Height • Insulin-​like growth factor I
• Weight • Insulin-​like growth factor-​binding
have shed important light on the • Waist circumference protein 3
pathophysiology of hypertension63,64, • Hip circumference • C-​reactive protein
vascular stiffness and endothelial • Thigh circumference • β-​Nerve growth factor
function65–68, atrial fibrillation69,70, heart • Neck circumference • Leptin
failure71–74, chronic kidney disease75,76, • CT-​derived measures of visceral and • Leptin receptor
subcutaneous body fat composition • α-​Fetuin
venous thromboembolism77, stroke78–81 • Resistin
and Alzheimer disease82,83. Wang and • Ghrelin
colleagues demonstrated that a panel of • Retinol-​binding protein 4
ten biomarkers was predictive of a first • Fatty acid-​binding protein 4
• Adiponectin
major cardiovascular event and death84. • Sex hormones
Major work focusing on the circulating
levels of natriuretic peptides resulted in the Lifestyle • Food frequency questionnaires • Haemoglobin
• Physical activity and work-​related • Haematocrit
formulation of reference limits in healthy activities by questionnaires • Fasting blood glucose
individuals85; underscored the association • Physical activity (accelerometry) • Haemoglobin A1c
between obesity and lower circulating • Sleep habits • Triglycerides
concentrations than in individuals without • Alcohol intake • Cytokines (IL-6, TNF and TNF
• Smoking habits receptor 2)
obesity (natriuretic handicap of obesity)86,87; • Socioeconomic status • Cortisol
demonstrated their prognostic relevance in • Social network • Insulin
atrial fibrillation88, CVD and mortality89; and • Education • Vitamin D
emphasized the limited utility of circulating • Marital status • Folate
natriuretic peptide levels in screening for LV • Vitamin B12 and B6
• Vitamin E
hypertrophy and asymptomatic LV systolic
FHS, Framingham Heart Study ; TNF, tumour necrosis factor.
dysfunction in the community90.
Holter monitoring was undertaken in
the early 1990s and has contributed to our residual risk associated with hypertension, distribution of subcutaneous versus visceral
understanding of the determinants and even if well controlled, has been shown to fat content in different deposits in relation
prognostic importance of reduced heart rate be the result of high vascular stiffness100. to the risk of subclinical and clinical heart
variability for the risk of CVD and death in High arterial stiffness has also been shown disease115–121. The study on multidetector
the general population and in patients with to be associated with subclinical brain CT-​derived coronary artery calcium (CAC)
heart failure91–93. The routine surveillance damage101–103, mild cognitive impairment levels (data collection starting in 1998) has
by the FHS for atrial fibrillation has also and dementia104, atrial fibrillation105, also contributed important information
contributed to the awareness that, after impaired LV diastolic function106 and heart from a primary prevention perspective —
adjusting for coexisting risk factors, atrial failure107. Sleep apnoea, non-​alcoholic the data have helped to define normative
fibrillation is associated with an increased fatty liver disease and other metabolic values in men and women122, added
risk of heart failure and death94–96. derangements have also been associated information on the clinical correlates of
During the end of the 1990s, a vascular with higher aortic stiffness, whereas CAC123,124, revealed determinants of CAC
function assessment station was established physical activity is associated with lower score progression and contributed to our
at the FHS. Several measures of endothelial aortic stiffness in the FHS108–111. The understanding of the prognostic importance
function (such as brachial artery flow-​ vascular function laboratory also described of CAC in the community125–128.
mediated dilatation and baseline and the clinical correlates, heritability112 and Cardiac MRI studies were performed
hyperaemic mean flow velocities) and aortic relationships between brachial arterial flow-​ on the Offspring cohort between 2002
stiffness (such as carotid–femoral pulse mediated dilatation and the season and local and 2006. These data have contributed to
wave velocity, augmentation index and hyperaemic shear stress113,114. defining reference values of LV and right
forward pulse wave) and peripheral arterial ventricular volumes, mass and systolic
tonometry have been obtained in both the 2009–present function in the community129–131. MRI-​based
Offspring and Third-​Generation cohorts; The FHS has introduced more advanced studies have also established the prognostic
these measures are of prognostic importance imaging modalities, such as cardiac importance of LV structure and wall motion
for predicting the development of major MRI, over the past two decades, thereby abnormalities on the risk of developing
cardiovascular events97. These measures complementing data collection in this cardiovascular events132,133. Brain MRI has
have also improved our understanding of domain by other cohort studies, including also been undertaken on all Offspring
the pathophysiology of vascular disease and the Multi-​Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis cohort participants, starting in 1999–2002,
their synergistic interactions with other (MESA). In 2008–2011, participants from through funding from the US National
vascular risk factors and disorders. For the Offspring and Third-​Generation cohorts Institute on Aging. These data have provided
instance, hypertension is often preceded underwent multidetector CT scans of the important insights, such as the reference
by high arterial stiffness98, which might thorax and abdomen. These data have been values for imaging-​derived brain measures;
contribute in part to the heritability of used, for instance, to investigate the clinical the relationship between subclinical risk
hypertension99. Moreover, some of the correlates and importance of the quality and factor burden, circulating biomarkers

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Table 2 | Phenotypes from different organ systems collected in the Framingham Study
organ diagnoses anatomical tests Functional tests Circulating biomarkers
Eyes • Cataract Eye exam Vision NA
• Glaucoma
• Diabetic retinopathy
• Macular degeneration
Ears • Hearing loss (sensineural, Otoscopy • Hearing tests NA
bone or congenital) • Hearing questionnaires
• Menière disease
Thyroid and • Hypothyroidism or NA NA • Thyroid-​stimulating hormone
parathyroid hyperthyroidism • Triiodothyronine (T3)
glands • Goitre • Thyroxine (T4)
• Hyperparathyroidism • Parathyroid hormone
(primary , secondary or • Ca2+
tertiary) • Phosphate
Brain • Dementia (all-​cause, Brain MRI • Mini-​mental state • Apolipoprotein E
Alzheimer or vascular) examination • β-​Amyloid
• Disseminated sclerosis • Neuropsychological battery • Clusterin
• Stroke (transient ischaemic (verbal memory , visuospatial • Tau
attack, ischaemic or memory and organization, • Brain-​derived neurotrophic
haemorrhagic) visual scanning, motor factor
• Depression speed, new learning, abstract • β-​Nerve growth factor
• Anxiety reasoning and naming)
• Brain tumours
Heart • Heart failure • Cardiac CT • Cardiac auscultation • B-​type natriuretic peptide
• Myocardial infarction • Chest radiography • Electrocardiography • N-​terminal atrial natriuretic
• Coronary insufficiency • Echocardiography • Holter monitoring peptide
• Angina • Cardiac MRI • Echocardiography • Troponin I (high-​sensitivity
• Atrial fibrillation • Cardiac MRI assay)
• Bundle branch block and • Exercise stress testing • Soluble ST2
atrioventricular block
• Valvular disease
Large arteries • Intermittent claudication • Abdominal • Carotid ultrasonography • Matrix metalloproteinases
• Aortic aneurism ultrasonography • Carotid–femoral pulse wave • Homocysteine
• Aortic dissection • Aorta CT velocity • Renin–aldosterone
• Blood pressure • Cholesterol (total, HDL , LDL
• Peripheral artery tonometry and VLDL)
• Lipoprotein(a)
• Apolipoprotein subfractions
(A1, B48, B100, CI, CII, E, H
and J)
• Myeloperoxidase
• Chemokines: monocyte
chemoattractant protein 1
Small arteries • Raynaud phenomenon Brain MRI Flow-​mediated dilatation • Exhaled nitric oxide
• Microvascular bleeds in brain • Vascular endothelial growth
factor A and its receptor
• Asymmetric and symmetric
dimethylarginine
Venous system • Deep-​vein thrombosis Physical examination NA • d-​dimer
and haemostasis • Pulmonary embolism (varicose veins) • Fibrinogen
• Clotting factor VIII
• von Willebrand factor
• Plasminogen activator
inhibitor 1
• Platelet reactivity
• Isoprostanes
• Lipoprotein-​associated
phospholipase A2 mass and
activity
• Osteoprotegerin
• Selectins (P-​selectin and
CD40 ligand)
Lungs • Asthma • Chest radiography Pulmonary function test Immunoglobulin E
• Chronic obstructive • Chest CT (spirometry)
pulmonary disease
• Emphysema
• Allergy
• Pulmonary fibrosis

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Table 2 (cont.) | Phenotypes from different organ systems collected in the Framingham Study
organ diagnoses anatomical tests Functional tests Circulating biomarkers
Musculoskeletal • Osteoporosis • Knee radiography • Gait speed NA
system • Fractures • Bone mineral density • Muscle strength
• Dual-​energy X-​ray
absorptiometry (whole-​
body and regional)
• Bone CT
Liver • Hepatitis • Liver CT NA • Alanine aminotransferase
• Non-​alcoholic fatty liver • Physical examination (liver • Aspartate transaminase
disease enlargement) • Alkaline phosphate
• Cirrhosis • Bilirubin
• Cancers • γ-​Glutamyl transferase and
• Gallstone disease its subfractions
Kidney and • Chronic kidney disease Kidney CT Spot urine (albumin content, • Creatinine
urinary tracts • Kidney stone haematuria) • Cystatin C
• Cancers • Uric acid
NA , not applicable.

and total brain volume and white matter A subset of Framingham cohort DNA Since 2014, the FHS has been
hyperintensities; and the association samples were sequenced in the National obtaining whole-​genome sequences
between these measures of subclinical Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) of 4,100 individuals across the three
brain damage and the incidence of clinical Grand Opportunity Exome Sequencing generations as part of the Trans-​Omics for
dementia57,134–139. Project (GO-​ESP)145, yielding de novo Precision Medicine (TOPMed) programme
The importance of social networks for variant information that was critical in the of the NHLBI, which will improve our
developing unhealthy lifestyle habits has also design of exome arrays and utilized in understanding of the genetic contributions
been investigated in the FHS by leveraging Framingham genetic studies146–150. These data
participant-​level data on friends and family. have been used in numerous collaborative
Christakis and colleagues reported in 2007 publications through various consortia, such Box 2 | FHS criteria for HF diagnosis
and 2008 that both obesity and smoking as the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research A diagnosis of heart failure (HF) requires two
habits cluster in social networks within in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE). major, or one major plus two minor criteria:
the FHS and that smoking cessation and As part of the CHARGE consortium,
Major criteria
spread of obesity tend to happen in groups multiple traits and measures have been
• Hepato-​jugular reflux
of interconnected people140,141. Later reports studied in the FHS — several genetic
highlighted that food choices also cluster variants have been associated with a range of • Neck-​vein distension (non-​supine position)
in social networks142, and friends tend to traits, such as blood pressure, BMI and other • Increased venous pressure (>16 cm H2O
resemble each other genetically143. vascular risk factors, CHD, atrial fibrillation, from right atrium)
The FHS has also been at the cutting edge aortic stenosis, chronic kidney disease, • Paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnoea
of genomic research over the past 15 years dementia and longevity151–159. • Rales in the presence of unexplained
(Fig. 3). The FHS was among the first The FHS has additionally measured other dyspnoea
epidemiological cohorts to have genome-​ ‘omics’ data types to fuel additional research • Acute pulmonary oedema in hospital
wide single-​nucleotide polymorphism avenues and integrative data analytics. records
(SNP) data through the 100 K Project These have included genome-​wide DNA • A third heart sound (S3, ventricular gallop)
(Affymetrix 100 K GeneChip), which was methylation measurements in the Offspring • Increased circulation time (>24 s from arm
quickly followed in 2007 by the Framingham and Third-​Generation cohorts. Genome-​wide to tongue)
SNP Health Association Resource (SHARe) gene expression (RNA) levels (in whole-​blood • Cardiomegaly and pulmonary hilar
initiative144. The SHARe initiative was one of samples) by microarrays have been measured congestion at radiography or increasing
the early leading studies contributing data in the Offspring and Third-​Generation heart size
to the formation of the National Center for cohorts, as well as large-​scale quantitative • Autopsy with evidence of pulmonary
Biotechnology Information (NCBI) Database real-​time PCR RNA measurements in oedema or cardiomegaly
of Genotypes and Phenotypes (dbGaP), leukocytes and platelets. These methylation Minor criteria
and the FHS remains one of the largest and RNA data have provided new insights
• Ankle oedema
contributors of data. Subsequently, genome-​ into the genetics and causal mechanisms
• Night cough
wide chips with more densely genotyped for numerous loci160–170. Proteomics and
data (Affymetrix Gene Chip 500 K Array Set metabolomics panel studies have been • Tachycardia (heart rate >120 bpm)
and 50 K Human Gene Focused Panel) were conducted on both the Offspring and Third-​ • Pleural effusions
also introduced at the FHS, as well as the Generation cohorts. These studies have led to • Hepatomegaly
Illumina Omni 1 M Array in the Offspring additional functional studies of various genes • Dyspnoea on exertion
cohort, the Affymetrix Biobank 600 K Array and pathways171–179. In addition to a better • Decreased vital capacity by one-​third from
Set in the Omni 1 and Omni 2 cohorts understanding of the risk factors for disease, maximum records
and the Illumina Exome BeadArray in the these omics data might also contribute to
FHS, Framingham Heart Study.
Offspring and Third-​Generation cohorts. identifying potential drug targets.

Nature Reviews | Cardiology


Perspectives

a Genetic markers Functional markers significantly increased their physical activity


levels compared with the control group)184.
2007 A A preliminary survey indicated that
100K Project Gene expression
100,000 GG T
CC in whole-blood e-​epidemiology might be feasible in the FHS,

T
• n = 1,345 SNPs
samples

A
(Gen 1 and 2) with 87% of the 80% responders reporting
• 100K Affymetrix • n = 5,622
(Gen 2 and 3) regular Internet use185. Currently, apps for
SHARe 550,000 • GeneChip Human the iPhone and Android devices have been
SNPs Exon 1.0 ST array developed in which participants can take
• n = 9,300 custom panel
(Gen 1, 2 and 3) some of the planned FHS research clinic
• 500K Affymetrix plus
RNA MicroRNA visit examination questionnaires online after
50K Affymetrix
supplement • n = 5,718 attendance at the research clinic and provide
4.3 million (Gen 2 and 3) values of heart rate, activity and blood
SNPs
• n = 2,500 (Gen 2) pressure measured in ambulatory settings
• Ilumina Human Omni
(e-​FHS).
DNA methylation
GO-ESP
• n = 4,243 (Gen 2) Future directions
• n = 463 exome data DNA • Infinitum Human
• Genome Analyzer IIx, methylation Methylation The FHS has been one of the most
HiSeq 2000 450 BeadChip important studies for cardiovascular health
DNA worldwide. The firm establishment of
CHARGE-S methylation,
• n = 2,100 whole-genome, metabolite hypertension, dyslipidaemia, smoking and
Proteomics
whole-exome and profiling diabetes as risk factors for CVD spurred
targeted sequence data and RNA • n = 4,500
sequencing (Gen 2 and 3) randomized, controlled clinical trials that
• HiSeq 2000, SOLiD4
led to the subsequent development and
TOPMed implementation of effective treatments for
• n = 4,100 (Gen 2 and 3) these conditions. The targeted reduction in
• Whole-genome risk factors has translated into a significantly
sequencing
lowered incidence of various CVDs in
2019
the Western world186. However, despite
both physical inactivity and obesity being
identified as important precursors of CVD
b as early as the 1970s, these two risk factors
SNPs and GWAS remain major challenges that need to be
DNA methylation
addressed in the future. Preliminary reports
on young individuals in the Western world
RNA sequencing
Data mining and further suggest that the risk of CVD might
artificial intelligence again be rising owing to increasingly adverse
Metabolomics
Big data integration and unhealthy lifestyle habits187. Further
and functional omics New statistical methods
Proteomics studies aiming to address how these adverse
Integrative biology trends in obesity, physical inactivity and
Exposome (environment)
diabetes can be reversed remain, therefore,
Microbiome a major research priority.
Although the FHS is still important in these
Wealth of phenotypes
regards, with the changing demographics of
the USA, a changing epidemiology of CVD
Fig. 3 | Temporal developments in molecular epidemiology in the Framingham Heart Study. and the formation of so-​called mega-​cohorts,
a | The timeline shows the collection of genomic data in the Framingham Heart Study with details of the role of the FHS has changed over the past
specific projects and measurements. b | The future of molecular epidemiology involves the integration
70 years. Nonetheless, the FHS remains a
of multiple measurements and data sources to enhance our biological understanding of risk factors
and disease processes. CHARGE, Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology ; lodestar for epidemiological cohort studies,
GO-​ESP, Grand Opportunity Exome Sequencing Project; GWAS, genome-​wide association study ; for understanding the trends in risk factors
SHARe, SNP Health Association Resource; SNP, single-​nucleotide polymorphism; TOPMed, and disease (owing to its long duration and
Trans-​Omics for Precision Medicine. thorough adjudication of end points, unlike
many mega-​cohorts, which often are based
to common diseases. Having extensive In the past 5 years, the concept of on registry data) and for understanding what
genetic data on participants raises the electronic epidemiology has been introduced can be done to lower the risk and burden of
possibility of finding clinically actionable to the FHS through the Behavioural CVD. Furthermore, the FHS has been and will
results and the potential to return this Economics Framingham Incentive Trial continue to be an important institution to train
information to participants and care (BE FIT)184. In this first proof-​of-concept CVD epidemiologists, biostatisticians and
providers. The FHS has been one study, a sample of 200 participants from the bioinformaticians (the FHS has trained
of the cohort studies at the forefront of FHS was randomly assigned (1:1) to placebo >90 fellows over the past three decades).
addressing this issue and has initiated or 12 weeks of personal electronic input to Moreover, by virtue of rich and deep
some limited notification of research increase their physical activity levels, which phenotyping across its generations and the
participants180–183. seemed to work (the intervention group specialization in CVD risk factors and overt

www.nature.com/nrcardio
Perspectives

disease, the FHS is of major importance in 3


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Nature Reviews | Cardiology


Perspectives

187. Andersson, C. & Vasan, R. S. Epidemiology of 195. Lee, D. S. et al. Association of parental heart failure Author contributions
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189. Levy, D., Larson, M. G., Vasan, R. S., Kannel, W. B. of and mortality associated with heart failure with
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190. Vasan, R. S., Larson, M. G., Leip, E. P., Kannel, W. B. Acknowledgements
& Levy, D. Assessment of frequency of progression to The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the Reviewer information
hypertension in non-​hypertensive participants in the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the US Nature Reviews Cardiology thanks B. Psaty, C. Torp-​
Framingham Heart Study: a cohort study. Lancet 358, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI), the NIH Pedersen, and the other anonymous reviewer(s), for their
1682–1686 (2001). or the US Department of Health and Human Services. The contribution to the peer review of this work.
191. Vasan, R. S. et al. Impact of high-​normal blood Framingham Heart Study (FHS) acknowledges the support of
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(2004). R.S.V. is supported in part by the Evans Medical Foundation www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/gap
194. Fox, C. S. et al. Parental atrial fibrillation as a risk and the Jay and Louis Coffman Endowment from the Grand Opportunity exome sequencing Project: https://
factor for atrial fibrillation in offspring. JAMA 291, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of esp.gs.washington.edu/
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