Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT

DILG-NAPOLCOM Center, EDSA cor. Quezon Avenue, West Triangle, Quezon City
www.dilg.gov.ph

ADVISORY NO. 02
TO : ALL DILG REGIONAL DIRECTORS AND THE BARMM
MINISTER OF THE INTERIOR AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT

SUBJECT : SHEAR LINE AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION “PAENG”

DATE : October 26, 2022

=============================================================================

According to DOST-PAGASA Tropical Cyclone Bulletin No. 02 issued at 05:00 PM,

26 October 2022, at 04:00 PM today the center of Tropical Depression “PAENG”
was estimated based on all available data at 945 km East of Eastern Visayas
(12.4°N, 133.3°E), with maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center,
gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of 1004 hPa, while moving
westward at 10 km/h, with strong winds extending outwards up to 300 km from
the center. No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal is currently hoisted.

TD “PAENG” is forecast to track generally westward until tomorrow afternoon before

turning west-northwestward for the remainder of tomorrow through Saturday
afternoon while moving towards Northern Luzon. This tropical cyclone is forecast
to maintain this heading until it makes landfall on the eastern coast of Isabela
or Cagayan. TD “PAENG” is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm
tomorrow. Further intensification is likely while moving over the Philippine Sea
and may reach the typhoon category prior to its landfall.

Based on the latest forecast scenario, a Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal may be
hoisted over some areas in Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region tomorrow
morning, at the earliest. The most likely highest wind signal that will be
hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4. The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will bring strong
to gale-force winds over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the northern portions of
mainland Cagayan, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte in the next 24 hours.

Under the influence of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon, a marine gale warning
is in effect over the seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of
Central and Southern Luzon. For more information, refer to DOST-PAGASA Gale
Warning #7 issued at 5:00 PM today. In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of
the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and the approaching tropical cyclone may
also bring moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.5 m) over the eastern seaboards of
Visayas and Mindanao. These conditions may be risky for those using small

“Matino, Mahusay at Maaasahan”

Trunkline: (02) 8876-3454 loc. 6102
seacrafts. Mariners are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing
out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions.

In the next 24 hours, however, the Shear Line will bring cloudy skies with
scattered rain showers and thunderstorms in the areas of MIMAROPA, Bicol
Region, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Quezon,
Basilan, Sulu, and Tawi-Tawi. Meanwhile, on the rainfall forecast for TD
“PAENG, from Friday early morning through Saturday early morning, TD
“PAENG” may bring heavy to intense rains over Bicol Region and moderate to
heavy with at times intense rains over Eastern Visayas, Mindoro Provinces,
Marinduque, Romblon, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela, and Cagayan while light to
moderate with at times heavy rains are possible over Rizal, Laguna, Nueva Ecija,
Bulacan, Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of Visayas and Cagayan
Valley. From Saturday early morning through Sunday afternoon, heavy to
intense with at times torrential rains possible over the Bicol Region, Cagayan
Valley, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, the northern portion of Zambales, Kalinga,
Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Ilocos Sur, La Union, and Pangasinan and
moderate to heavy with at times intense rains possible over Ilocos Norte, Metro
Manila, Batangas, Cavite, Occidental Mindoro, and the rest of CAR and Central
Luzon, while light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Western Visayas
and the rest of Luzon are expected. Under these conditions, scattered to
widespread flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are
expected, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these
hazards, as identified in hazard maps, and in localities with significant
antecedent rainfall.

In addition, the DENR-Mines and Geosciences Bureau (MGB) has identified more
than 5,000 barangays that have moderate to very high susceptibility to floods
and rain-induced landslides from 26 to 29 October 2022, (ANNEX A: MGB Brgy
List as of 26 October 2022, 8AM) based on the DOST-PAGASA Rainfall Data GSM
80mm and WRF 130mm threshold model, as of 10262022, 8AM. An additional list of
areas susceptible to flood and landslide will be sent immediately by DENR-MGB as
soon as the DOST-PAGASA sends their updated forecast rainfall data.

Based on these recent developments, you are directed to coordinate with your
respective RDRRMCs continuously and to remind all LGUs, especially those in
areas that have recently been affected by the Tropical Cyclones Maymay,
Neneng, Obet and the 6.4 Magnitude earthquake in Abra, and experienced
extended or prolonged rain events and/or landslides/floods within your
respective areas of responsibility, to ensure that the critical preparedness
actions indicated in the DILG Advisory re the ITCZ and the LPA issued last 24
October 2022 are already being undertaken, with further emphasis on the
following:

1. Convene their respective Local DRRMCs and conduct Pre-Disaster Risk

Assessment (PDRA) meetings for floods, flash floods, rain-induced
landslides, debris flow, strong winds, and other hydrometeorological hazards
to ascertain the appropriate preparedness and response actions are
undertaken;

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 2. Ensure that necessary preparations and contingency plans are in place,
particularly in areas with seaports due to the expected influx of
passengers in the upcoming holidays;
3. Establish and strictly implement the critical preparedness actions based on
Operation L!STO Protocols and DILG MC 2020-125 - L!STO SA
TAG-ULAN AT COVID-19: Preparedness Measures of LGUs for the Rainy
Season CY 2020, and prioritize the prepositioning of supplies and equipment
for response;
4. Vigilantly monitor areas showing signs of landslides, such as tension
cracks, seepages, terracettes, tilting of trees, etc. monitor moderate slopes
with thick soil overburden and areas underlain by old landslide deposits;
5. CONDUCT PRE-EMPTIVE EVACUATION, if deemed necessary, and avoid
areas affected by repeated flooding and landslides, meandering rivers
with hillsides/riverbank erosion, floodplains with shifting and braiding streams,
coastal areas affected by storm surge, flash flood areas, river deltas with
many distributary channels, etc.;
6. Cause the fastest and widest dissemination of this Advisory.

All DILG Regional Directors and the BARMM Minister of the Interior and Local
Government are enjoined to cause the widest dissemination of this Advisory within
their respective areas of responsibility.

For information and compliance.

MARLO L. IRINGAN, CESO III

Undersecretary for Local Government

OUSLG/MLI/CODIX/EABT/hrz
cc: Office of the Secretary

encl: ANNEX A: MGB Brgy List 26 October 2022, 8AM

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