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DRMAPS WFU2 - Nuclear Pata Team - Technical Report
DRMAPS WFU2 - Nuclear Pata Team - Technical Report
Report Outline
A case study and risk assessment of the 2018 landslide in Barangay Tinaan, Naga
City, Cebu
Objectives
Target Audience
The target audience of the study is the Local Government Unit of Naga, Cebu
and the Barangay Council of Brgy. Tina-an, Naga, Cebu where the 2018 Cebu took
place. Specifically, this case study aims to work close with the barangay council, the
local DRRM unit, the mayor, and the Mines abd Geosciences Bureau 7. Additionally,
this case study enjoins the local community members of Barangay Tina-an who were
primarily affected by the landslide and are still recovering from its effects. These target
audiences are the primary actors in the disaster risk and mitigation in the event of
another landslide.
Situationer
History or backstory: Specific nature of the hazard and its accompanying hazard risks
Naga City, Cebu is a city along the coastline of Cebu with a total number of 28
barangays. Among the barangays in the city is Tinaan which represents 5.60% of the
total population of Naga (PhilAtlas, n.d.). Cebu, as a whole, is part of the Central
Philippines Region that lies within the Philippine Mobile Belt (PMB). This region is
recognized to be a deforming and seismically active zone (Lagmay et al., 2008).
Moreover, a potentially active fault system near the area was discovered to be a
northeast-trending fault system which consists of two major structures: The Central
and South Cebu Faults (Miasco, 2017).
Based on the assessment of the landslide, there were already early warning
signs of developing fractures particularly at the headscarp a month before the disaster
happened. Despite this, no action was taken by the villagers of Sitio Sindulan,
Barangay Tinaan (Lagmay et al., 2020). According to the anatomy assessment of
Lagmay et al. (2020), the Naga landslide was a debris avalanche which displayed
characteristics of rapid mass movement. Particularly, the Naga landslide was classified
to be a rockslide-debris avalanche since it was relatively dry and did not form debris
flow at the proximal part of the deposits. The material of the Naga landslide consisted
of Carcar and Barili formations that were largely uncemented, soft to semi-hard, and
could easily crumble.
The review of the 2018-2022 Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management
(DRRM) Plan of the City Government of Naga was able to identify areas near the
headscarp were highly susceptible to landslides (CDRRMO of Naga City, Cebu, 2018).
This report may have served as the basis as to why highland areas near the
headscarp were evacuated. Meanwhile, the hard hit lowland areas were mapped out
to have low susceptibility to landslide hazards. From this event, emphasis on the need
for accurate landslide susceptibility maps that were curated on a good understanding
of landslide kinematics should be considered as part of disaster prevention efforts.
Aside from landslide incidents, the locality of Barangay Tinaan has had a history
of flooding since 1949. In 2007, a rockfall incident occurred in the area. An analysis by
Veracrus et al. (2019) indicated that accompanied by the rockfall incident was the
presence of intermittent ground cracks within the area.
After a geohazard mapping conducted in August 28, 2008, Barangay Tinaan,
Naga City was classified as an area with Moderate Susceptibility to landslide and High
Susceptibility to flooding. After informing the barangay councilor of the data obtained
from the field, the MGB team involved recommended the relocation of residents in Sitio
Sindulan and Sitio Taylor Ville (Mines and Geosciences Bureau, 2022).
In May 28, 2011, a rockfall incident was reported in the area following intermittent
heavy to moderate rains. Three days after, a landslide occurred in the adjacent
Barangay Naalad, causing another incident of rockfall, which was said to be influenced
by the lithology of the area, the slope of the mountain where the incident occurred, and
the heavy rainfall that occurred days before. It was reported that a hanging slab was
left by the rockfall, which was labeled a hazard to the nearby residents near the foot of
the mountain (Mines and Geosciences Bureau, 2022).
A geological assessment was conducted on August 29, 2018 after fissures and
cracks were found in some limestones within the mining tenement of Apo Land and
Quarry Corporation (ALQC) in Sitio Tagaytay, Barangay Tinaan. According to the
report, the cracks or fissures were considered a natural phenomenon and cannot be
attributed to the mining operation. Constant monitoring of said cracks/fissures were
recommended (Mines and Geosciences Bureau, 2022).
On September 13, 2018, typhoon Ompong was expected to make landfall in the
Philippines days after, prompting the MGB to send a Threat Advisory to the Office of
the Naga City Mayor. Five days later, a follow-up investigation on the previously
assessed fissures and cracks in limestones within the ALQC tenement was conducted.
A joint investigation was conducted by the Bureau together with Tinaan barangay
officials, LGU representatives, and ALQC representatives. The cracks and fissures
found were reported to be longer and wider compared to the previous report (Mines
and Geosciences Bureau, 2022).
Another historic landslide incident often compared to the 2018 Naga City
landslide is the 1628 Iriga debris avalanche. In 1628, a debris avalanche caused the
collapse of the southeast side of Mount Iriga in Iriga City, Camarines Sur. The collapse
triggered a small phreatic eruption right after. The collapsed material was found to
have a volume of 1.5 km3 and covered 70 km2. No evidence was found regarding what
caused the collapse. Similar to the 2018 Naga City landslide, heavy rainfall was also
pointed out as a possible factor that contributed to the avalanche, in addition to
seismic activity and intrusion of a basaltic or andesitic dike (Aguila et al., 1986).
It was concluded in a study by Lagmay, et al. (2020) that the 2018 Naga City
landslide, 2006 Guinsaugon avalanche, and the 1628 Iriga avalanche were all
classified under debris avalanches.
Less than a month prior to the massive landslide that occurred in Barangay
Tinaan, Naga, Cebu, the Mines and Geosciences Bureau Regional Office 7 (MGB7)
wrote a letter to the Naga Mayor about existing cracks and fissures in Sitio Sindulan
and Sitio Tagaytay (Tizon, 2018). Although the letter stated that the cracks and fissures
did not pose a threat to the communities, the city mayor had already ordered a cease
and desist for mining and quarrying operations for Apo Land and Quarry Corporation
following an earlier incident report about the area. Mining operations were allowed to
resume provided they fulfilled increased monitoring, safety, and reporting conditions.
However, by September 11, the small cracks had enlarged to 35 mm (Tizon, 2018),
prompting the local government and ALQC to evacuate the community the day before
the landslide occurred. However, residents that lived downslope were not part of those
made to evacuate. After the occurrence of the landslide, MGB7 stresses that they
have been giving previous warnings of the dangers of quarrying activities due to
limestone and the need to evacuate nearby communities.
Many residents have been opposed to the mining operations of Apo Land and
Quarry Corporation at Naga, Cebu. These complaints revolved around land ownership
disputes, where several claimed that the mining group is operating on land that they
privately own (Popioco, 2018). Others complain about the disruption the company has
brought to daily living, especially the noise of the operations. Residents have stated
that no public dialogue or hearing took place to discuss their qualms about the
quarrying operations.
In the wake of the disaster, residents described the beginning stages like it was
an earthquake coupled with loud banging sounds (Ropero, 2018). The disaster
happened so quickly, others immediately anticipated land to begin rushing into their
homes, and many immediately sought evacuation and refuge trying to gather their
children and loved ones. Many were unfortunate and could not make it out on time
leaving them trapped under the debris. There were reports of text messages being
sent by survivors from under the rubble asking to be rescued (BBC News, 2018).
Relocation for the families affected by the landslide was a slow and long
process. The local government, the Department of Welfare, and former President
Duterte himself promised the families that they would cover expenses for burials and
relocation. The government offered families the option of financial assistance or
relocation, many chose the latter. But almost a year later, there were reports that the
construction of new housing had not even begun (Ecarma, 2019). Two years later,
some families have returned and rebuilt their homes in Barangay Tinaan where ground
zero of the landslide is located. Images of the area show that residents are rebuilding
their lives and trying to return to life before the disaster (Erram, 2020).
Almost five years after the massive landslide incident in Barangay Tana-an,
Naga City, Cebu, the locality may seem to look like it has reclaimed the days before
the catastrophe took place. In 2020, stories from the locals have made their way to the
news revealing that they have started their lives again by building new homes at the
lots in the Sitios that were provided by Apo Land and Quarry Corp. (ALQC) - the
cement manufacturing company that used to operate in the landslide site and blamed
by the residents as the culprit of the event. Most residents in the barangay have
returned to the community given that the local government has permitted them to go
back to their houses. This prompt, however, was based on the constant revalidation of
the site’s Hazard Zonation Map which resulted in the narrowing of the initial permanent
danger zone. The local government unit, in coordination with the Mines and
Geosciences Bureau and the Department of Environment and Natural Resources, has
taken action in constantly monitoring, revalidating, and reassessing the hazard maps,
mitigation and risk reduction plans as well as regularly reminding the residents living in
the area of the possible risks. ALQC was also tasked by the said agencies to execute
the hazard reduction plan in the landslide site by moving loose debris to build
infrastructure to keep the community from possibilities of further erosion in the future
(Erram & Abatayo, 2020).
At present, there is no recent substantial data that could show relevant updates
regarding the long-term aftermath of the landslide incident. Furthermore, there is also
no recent substantial data that could provide future trends and projections related to
hazardous events in the specific location, except for the review of the 2018-2022 Local
Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) Plan of the City Government of
Naga that identifies areas near the headscarp as having high susceptibility to
landslides (CDRRMO of Naga City, Cebu, 2018).
Now, in relation to tracking future hazardous events that may possibly take place
in this specific location, there are available hazard maps from the website of
PHIVOLCS that may give an overview of the potential hazards and risks present within
the area (PHIVOLCS, n.d.). As suggested in the hazard maps below, Barangay Tinaan
[1] is not located within an active fault, [2] has areas that have low to moderate
susceptibility to earthquake-induced landslides, [3] has a PEIS - Intensity VIII or
higher: very destructive to devastating ground shaking susceptibility, and [4] has a high
liquefaction susceptibility. Even so, the mentioned risks and hazards are roughly based
on the hazard maps generated by PHIVOLCS. Site specific evaluation is needed to
further obtain substantial data that could provide accurate trends and projections of
hazardous events in the future.
Sampling
The following are the main considerations to why the group decided to use
convenience sampling:
Accessibility and Time Efficiency
Cost-effectiveness
Data Collection
For the data collection of the study, there will be a quantitative and qualitative
risk assessment of the specific area in mind. The quantitative phase of the study will
be making use of an objective risk assessment tool specifically curated to assess
landslide risk. In this regard, the Philippine Council for Industry, Energy and Emerging
Technology Research and Development (PCIEERD) landslide tool will be used by the
researchers as the primary tool in the monitoring and assessment of landslide risk.
The qualitative phase of the study will involve having direct interactions with the
residents of the local community at Barangay Tinaan, Naga City, Cebu. Interviews with
the local community will be done to gain understanding of the current perceived risks
among the individuals in said area. Moreover, the qualitative phase of the study will
also be identifying the acceptable risks for the community to gauge and determine their
behavior during hazardous situations.
Data Analysis
𝑆𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔
𝐹𝑠 = α𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔
The proposed risk assessment would also incorporate other factors in its data
analysis. The vegetation cover of the slope would be referred to as the vFactor, the
history of cracks and slope failure as fFactor, and current land use as lFactor. Two
factors representing reduction of shear strength due to saturation are also considered:
sRed is indicated by the presence of spring or elevation of groundwater brought by
permeation of rainfall into soil, while dRed is indicated by the poor drainage system.
Values of all factors mentioned are presented in the Landslide Susceptibility Tool used
in the proposed risk assessment. Shown below is the comprehensive formula for the
Factor of Stability used in the proposed risk assessment.
𝑣𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟*𝑓𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟*(𝑆𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔−𝑆𝑅𝑒𝑑−𝑑𝑅𝑒𝑑)
𝐹𝑠 = α𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔*𝑙𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟
Computing for the overall Factor of Stability would determine the corresponding
landslide susceptibility rating of the slope. The numerical values of Fs and their
corresponding descriptive value is summarised in the table in the following page.
Instrument
The objective and quantitative risk assessment for the study will be conducted
using the Philippine Council for Industry, Energy and Emerging Technology Research
and Development (PCIEERD) landslide tool. This tool was developed by the PCIEERD
from the Department of Science and Technology (DOST). It was specifically designed
for site-specific evaluation for assessing rain-induced landslide susceptibility. The
PCIEERD landslide tool consists of seven assessment steps which involves evaluating
the slope angle, lithology, artesian flow, effect of drainage, effect of slope movement
and failure, effect of vegetation, and effect of land use. After evaluating these specific
factors, the overall factor of safety in the area will be calculated and provided.
Consent Form
Greetings!
We, Patricia Ann Durante, Gerilene Miranda, Alyssa Rae Navarro, Jansen Jeff Ramirez, and
Sofia Louise Sundiang are students from the University of the Philippines Diliman. We are
currently conducting a case study entitled, "A case study and risk assessment of the 2018
landslide in Barangay Tinaan, Naga City, Cebu” as our requirement for our Case Study
Proposal in our DRMAPS class.
This document acts as the study's informed consent form. After being signed, this will act as
a contract between the "participant" (you) and the "researchers" (Durante, Miranda, Navarro,
Ramirez and Sundiang). Remember that you have the right to withdraw from the study at
any time and that the informed consent form may be completely disregarded at your
discretion.
It is crucial that the participant (you) fully comprehend the purpose of the study as well as
what will be involved before deciding to participate. Please carefully read the details
presented below. Moreover, please feel free to contact the researchers using the details
shown below if you have any queries or concerns.
Subject Participation
By agreeing to participate in this study, you are confirming that you meet the criteria for
participation which are as follows: (1) a local of Barangay Tinaan, Naga City, Cebu; (2) a
member of the said barangay’s LGU; and (2) had experienced the 2018 Naga City landslide.
Study Procedure
Participants will register in Google Forms through this link: [insert link]
The interview will be conducted online through your preferred platform (Facebook
Messenger, Google Meet, or Zoom Meetings) with the researchers. The participant's
experiences and tales about their experience and narratives before, during, and after the
2018 Naga landslide incident will be the subject of the researcher's inquiries during the
interview. The participants will go through a brief debriefing session led by the researchers
following the interview. The researchers will go over the study's aims and objectives as well
as address any queries during this time.
Participation in this study will take approximately one hour but may be extended if needed.
The schedule will depend on the availability of the participants and the researchers.
Another known risk for participating in this study is the risk of having eye fatigue or Zoom
fatigue, which may come from long periods of facing electronic devices or using Zoom. To
combat this, you may request a short break if said fatigue prevents you from answering
questions in the interview. Apart from that, there are no other known risks, and the procedure
will be kept harm-free with your well-being in mind.
Also, the FGD session will be recorded for the sole purpose of accurate transcription of the
participants’ answers. Do note that all Zoom recording data to be gathered will only be used
for the purpose of this study. After the study has been completed, all information will be
permanently deleted from our database.
The Data Privacy Act of 2012, or Republic Act 10173, and its related rules and regulations
will be strictly complied with during this research. The information that will be acquired will
only be utilized for academic purposes, and it will not be disclosed to anyone who is not
involved in the study's primary goal. Moreover, the researchers reserve the right to review,
select, or remove information as part of the process of developing the research. Review
more of your rights under this law by clicking this link:
https://www.officialgazette.gov.ph/2012/08/15/republic-act-no-10173/
Sincerely,
Noted by:
Having read and understood the content of the informed consent form, please fill out the
form below:
( ✔ ) I have carefully read and understood all the information stated above. I agree to
become a participant and I consent to the use of my data for the study.
( ) I have carefully read and understood all the information stated above. I do not agree to
become a participant and I do not consent to the use of my data for the study.
__________________________________
LAST NAME, First Name, Middle Initial (This will serve as your e-signature)
_______________
Date
University of the Philippines Diliman
Quezon City, Philippines, 1101
Instructions: For each step, enter appropriate values in the cell shaded gray based on the
description contained in the corresponding table. The worksheet will compute the score
corresponding to the factor shown in the adjacent cell shaded blue. The overall factor of
safety against rainfall induced slope failure will be outputted in the cell shaded green at the
bottom of the worksheet.
6 f) α ≤ 15° 7.5°
STEP 2: Lithology
1 Yearlong
3 No Flow
1 No drainage system
5 None
STEP 6: Effect of vegetation
1 No vegetation
7 Forest
Overall
Factor of
Safety
Landslide susceptibiltiy Overall FS
High 0.7<FS<1.0
Acknowledgements: This tool was developed through a grant from the Philippine Council
on Industry and Energy Research (PCIERD) of the Department of Science and Technology
(DOST) entitled "Development of a non-expert tool for site specific evaluation of rain-induced
landslide susceptibility".
Questionnaire for Interview
The questions for the interview were adapted from a research study conducted to find
out landslide risk perception (Mendonca & Gullo, 2020). This interview was done in
recognition of the need to also provide focus on the vulnerability of exposed populations to
landslide threats and risks which is often a neglected aspect in disaster risk reduction
planning. In ensuring that this aspect of disaster risk reduction planning is not overlooked,
the researchers see to it that there will be an acquired understanding of the residents and
local community for a more efficient landslide risk management planning and policy. The
researchers also stress how the local government unit (LGU) of the community could further
assess the conditions and threats of the community members as they remain in landslide
risk areas.
The questionnaire prepared by Mendonca and Gullo (2020) were translated by the
researchers to Filipino to communicate with the residents of the local community with ease.
This is also to make sure that they understand the concept and idea of the items in the
questionnaire. Questions by Mendonca and Gullo were categorized as behavioral,
knowledge, perception, and feeling. Behavioral questions pertain to what the respondent
does or has done with regards to the question, knowledge questions pertain to factual
information they know, perception questions pertain to the cognitive and interpretive
processes of the participants including their opinions, judgments, and values, while feeling
questions pertain to emotional responses in relation to their experiences and thoughts.
Tungkol saan
Inyong partisipasyon
Benepisyo
Panganib
Walang angking panganib ang pagsali sa panayam na ito. Gayundin, wala ring parte
sa pag-aaral na isinasagawa na magbibigay kapahamakan sa reputasyon, seguridad, o
kalusugan ng mga indibidwal na nais lumahok sa panayam.
Pagiging kompidensiyal
Mga katanungan
6. Pamilyar ka ba sa katagang,
“landslide risk area”? Alam mo ba Knowledge
ang kahulugan nito?
Bakit?
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Appendices
Group Processes of Collaboration and Decision Making
Given our blended (remote and F2F) learning format, what mode did you use to
communicate with each other? Were there any difficulties with communication?
With the location and availability of the members as factors to be considered with
each assigned task, the outputs of the group were also accomplished through
available online media and platforms. The reports and other supplementary output by
the group were made using Google Docs and Canva. Using platforms that allowed
joint and simultaneous editing allowed and maintained efficient collaboration and
cooperation within the group.
Overall, the group was able to work around emerging challenges while working
together such as differences in priorities and schedules. It was helpful to always be
mindful of each individual member’s circumstances to accomplish each task
accordingly. The group also allowed for open communication with each other by
encouraging comments and revisions from all members before every output
submission. Each task assigned was accomplished through clear and open
communication, efficient collaboration and cooperation, and mindful consideration of
each one’s differences.
On the whole, was it difficult to reach consensus? What were some of the steps that your
group took to facilitate reaching consensus? How did you handle contrary views?
In any given activity, the group members start by volunteering for any section of
the output and providing their individual contributions to the group output with respect
to their agreed individual assignment. In some instances, group members raise a few
concerns about parts in the output that could be further improved, or ideas that may
need to be changed. After a member lays out the reasons for why changes could be
made to improve the output, the group is able to finally reach a final decision regarding
any matter after all members decide whether or not they agree with the changes.
In instances where there are contrary views among members, the group is able
to effectively assess which choice to go with after asking for the opinion of all
members. Overall, the group makes decisions by objectively weighing the choices
presented by different members and reaching a consensus.
Group Consent