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Fixed Income Securities
Fixed Income Securities
Fixed Income Securities
SECURITIES
Definition
• Fixed Income securities are securities where the periodic returns (time
when the returns fall due) and the maturity amount of the security are
specified at the time of issue. Such securities generally form part of
the debt capital of the issuing firm. Examples are government or
corporate bonds, treasury bills, certificate of deposits etc.
Retail Investors can invest in Corporate or G-Sec
bonds in any of the following ways:-
• For G-Securities - From RBI through BSE Direct or NSE GoBid app
or RBI’s retaildirect.org.in (minimum investment Rs 10,000 through
non – competitive bid.
• Long dated Government bonds can be traded on stock exchange just like
equities.
• Almost negligible volume is traded in Govt. securities
• Corporate bonds on the other hand can be brought and sold through
exchange.
Simple Interest Rate
• Simple interest is money you can earn by initially investing some
money (the principal). A percentage (the interest) of the principal is
added to the principal, making your initial investment grow.
Answer 2 = Rs 50,990.586
Q3. What is the amount an investor will get on a 8 year fixed deposit of Rs
38,000 that pays 6.5% interest compounded quarterly?
Answer 3 = Rs 63,650.45
Cont..
Q4. What is the amount an investor will get on a 6.5 year fixed deposit of
Rs 40,000 that pays 12% interest compounded monthly?
Answer 4 = Rs 86,921.49
Q5. What is the amount an investor will get on a 4.5 year fixed deposit of
Rs 1,00,000 that pays 10.55% interest compounded monthly?
Answer 5 = Rs 1,60,428.056
Continuous Compounding
• Continuous compounding is the mathematical limit that compound interest can
reach if it's calculated and reinvested into an account's balance over a
theoretically infinite number of periods. It is an extreme case of compounding, as
most interest is compounded on a monthly, quarterly, or semiannual basis.
Continuous compounding introduces the concept of the natural logarithm. This is
the constant rate of growth for all naturally growing processes. It's a figure that
developed out of physics.
• The natural log is typically represented by the letter e.
• Formula = Amount = Principal * e rT
• 1.05
• Interest rate is 15% prevailing in the economy. Inflation rate is 6%.
Amount to be invested is Rs 50,000 for a period of 1 year.. How much
will be Nominal Interest rate, nominal cash flow, real interest rate and
real cash flow?
• 772GOI2055 • Government of
India 7.72% 2055 • 110.9800
• 872ANDHRA26 • Government of
8.72% 2026 • 111.2457
Andhra Pradesh
Issuer name Coupon LTP / CMP YTM at LTP Expected Yield Bond Price
8% Rs 102.38
Government of 8.72% 111.2457 6%
Andhra Pradesh
Bond Pricing Fundamentals
• The price of the bond should represent the sum total of the discounted value of
each of these cash flows and such a total is called the present value of the bond.
The discount rate or the expected yield used for valuing the bond is generally
higher than the risk free rate to cover additional risks such as default risk, liquidity
risk etc.
= Rs 950.26
Calculate the bond price if the discount rate is 6%
• 80 + 80 + 80 + 1000
• 1+ 0.06 (1+0.06)2 (1+0.06)3 (1+ 0.06)3
= Rs 1053.46
When the discount rate is higher than the coupon rate, the bond is traded at a
discount. If the discount rate is less than the coupon rate, the bond trades at a
premium.
Calculate the value of a 5 year bond with face value of Rs 1000
and coupon rate 8% to be paid annually and discount rate 12%
• Calculate the value of a 4 year bond with face value of Rs 1000 and coupon rate 10%
to be paid annually and expected yield rate is 12%.
• Answer 2 = Rs 939.25
• Calculate the value of a 5 year bond with face value of Rs 1000 and coupon rate 11%
to be paid semi-annually and discount rate 14%
• Answer 3 = Rs 894.65
Cont..
• Calculate the value of a 7 year bond with face value of Rs 1000 and
coupon rate 16% to be paid quarterly and discount rate 20%
• Answer 4 = Rs 851.02
• Calculate the value of a 8 year bond with face value of Rs 1000 and
coupon rate 12% to be paid monthly and discount rate 18%
• Answer 5 = Rs 746.49
Pricing styles of Bonds (Clean Price and Dirty Price)
• Bonds are not traded only on coupon dates but are traded throughout
the year.
• The price of the bond including the accrued interest since issue or the
most recent coupon payment date is called the Dirty Price.
• Whereas price of the bond excluding the accrued interest is called the
Clean Price.
• Dirty Price = Clean Price + Accrued Interest
• On the issue date or coupon payment date Dirty Price = Clean Price
Example of Pricing Style of Bonds
• An Investor has purchased a bond of Face Value Rs 1000 with a coupon
interest of 10% p.a on 27th August 2019 for Rs 1050. Interest is paid
semi-annually on 30th june and 30th December ever year till maturity.
How the bond will be quoted on Clean Price and Dirty Price basis.
Solution:-
• Spot Rate:- Yield to Maturity for a zero coupon bond is called spot rate.
• Relationship:- short rate will help in finding the spot rate of zero
coupon bond and vice versa.
If the short rate for a 1 year investment at year 1 is 7% and year 2 is 8%, what is the
present value of a 2 year zero coupon bond with face value of Rs 1000 and also find
spot rate.
= Rs 865.35
• Yield to maturity for zero coupon bond (excel) = 7.50% (also called as 2
years spot rate)
Sums
• If the short rate for a 1 year investment at year 1 is 10% and year 2 is 12%,
what is the present value of a 2 year zero coupon bond with face value of Rs
1000 and also find spot rate.
• ( PV = Rs 811.69, Spot rate = 11%)
• If the short rate for a 1 year investment at year 1 is 7% and year 2 is 9%,
what is the present value of a 2 year zero coupon bond with face value of Rs
1000 and also find spot rate.
• (PV = Rs 857.41, Spot rate = 8%)
• If the short rate for a 1 year investment at year 1 is 11% and year 2 is 14%,
what is the present value of a 2 year zero coupon bond with face value of Rs
1000 and also find spot rate.
• (PV = Rs 790.26, Spot rate = 12.5%)
The Market Expectations hypothesis and the
liquidity preference theory
• These are two important explanations of the term structure of interest in
the economy. The market expectation hypothesis assumes that various
maturities are perfect substitutes of each other and that the forward rate
equals the market expectations of the future short interest rate.
• Liquidity Preference theory (Preferred Habitat Theory) suggests that
investors prefer liquidity and hence a short-term investment is preferred
to a long-term investment. Therefore investors will be induced to hold a
long term investment only by receiving a premium for the same. This
premium or the excess of the forward rate over the expected interest rate
is referred to as the liquidity premium.
Spot Rate
• Q. If the 3 years ZCB spot rate and 4 year ZCB spot rates are 8.997%
and 9.371% respectively, find the 1 year short rate at the end of year 3.
• Ans:-
• Proceeds at the end of year 3 will be (1.08997) 3 = 1.2949
• Proceeds at the end of year 4 will be (1.09371) 4 = 1.4309
• As per Market Expectations Hypothesis, proceeds from year 3 if invested
at some rate should give the same value as proceeds received from year 4.
• Therefore 1.2949 * (1 + r) = 1.4309
• Solving this, we get
• r3 = 0.1050 or 10.5%
Practice Sum:-
• If the 5 years ZCB spot rate and 6 year ZCB spot rates are 9.38% and
10.36 % respectively, find the 1 year short rate at the end of year 5.
• Proceeds at the end of year 5 will be (1.0938)5 = 1.5656
• Proceeds at the end of year 4 will be (1.1036)6 = 1.8066
• 1.5656 * (1+r) = 1.8066
• => r = 1.8066 - 1
• => 1.5656
• => r = 1.1539 – 1
• => r = 0.1539 => 15.39%
Forward Rate
• Future Short rates computed using the market price of the prevailing
zero coupon bonds or prevailing spot rates are called forward interest
rates. Notation used is f1 to represent the 1 year forward interest rate
starting at year 1, f2 denotes the 1 year forward interest rate starting from
year 2.
Forward Rates:-
Calculate the YTM or Spot rates of Zero Coupon Bonds for year 2-5 if the 1st year
short rate is 8% and the future short rates for years 2-5 is 8.5% (f2), 9% (f3), 9.5%(f4)
and 10%(f5) resp.
Year 1
=> 9 / 1 = 9%
Year 2
=> 9 + 9.5 / 2 = 9.25%
Year 3
=> 9 + 9.5 + 9.8 / 3 = 9.43%
Year 4
=> 9 + 9.5 + 9.8 + 10 / 4 = 9.575%
Year 5
=> 9 + 9.5 + 9.8 + 10 + 10.5 / 5 = 9.76%
The term Structure of interest rates (graphical
representation is called as Yield Curve)
• The term structure of interest rate is the set of relationships between
yield rates of bonds of different maturities. It is sometimes also called as
yield curve. The most common approximation to the term structure of
interest rates is the yield to maturity curve, which generally is a smooth
curve and reflects the rate of return on various default-free zero
coupon bonds held to maturity along with their term to maturity. They
are also used as a key tool by central banks in the determination of
monetary policy to be followed in a country.
• The forward interest rate is interpreted as indicating market expectations
on the time path of future interest rates and future inflation rates.
Bond Sensitivity ( in relation to changes in Market Interest rates)
• Interest rate sensitivity is a measure of how much the price of a bond will
fluctuate due to changes in interest rate.
• Securities that are more sensitive have greater price fluctuations than
those with less sensitivity.
• This type of sensitivity must be taken into account when selecting a
bond.
• Fixed income securities and interest rates are inversely correlated.
Therefore as interest rates rise, prices of the bond tend to fall and vice
versa.
Macaulay Duration
• Macaulay duration, named after Frederick Macaulay who developed the
concept, is a measure of how long it takes for the present value of a bond
to be repaid by the cash flows from it. It is the time an investor would
take to get back the present value of the bond by way of periodic interest
as well as principal repayments.
Modified Duration (Sensitivity to Bond)
• It is the modified version of Macaulay model that accounts for changing
interest rates. Modified duration is calculated simply dividing the
Macaulay Duration by the yield. It measures the change in the value of a
fixed income security that will result from a one per cent change in the
interest rate. While Macaulay Duration is the parameter used by debt
fund managers to construct portfolios that are well suited to prevailing
current market conditions, modified duration is the preferable criterion
for an investor to use while choosing his fund.
Q. What is the duration for a 5-year maturity zero coupon bond with
yield to maturity of 12%?
• All cash flows are only on the maturity date and hence the duration for
this bond is the maturity date.