Seao Asce 10 25 2006

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Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

OREGON SEISMIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT

Benson High School, Portland SEAO & ASCE Briefing


October 25, 2006

SEISMIC EVENT OUTCOMES:

Government Hill School, AK 1964 Cyprus Viaduct (Highway 880), Oakland CA 1989

Kobe, Japan 1995 6-story Four Seasons Apartments, Anchorage, AK 1964

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 1
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

OCT 25 SEAO/ASCE BRIEF


STATEWIDE SEISMIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT

• Background & Project Components (DL)


• ‘06 Screening & Communications (NR)
• Current Rehabilitation Projects (YW)
• Where SB2 is Headed (DL)
• Q&A

SEISMICITY RECORD:
U.S. Earthquakes, 1973-2002
Source, USGS. 28,332 events. Purple dots are
earthquakes below 50 km, the green dot is below 100.

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 2
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SEISMIC HAZARD PERCEPTION:


Mid-1980’s: Oregon thought to have low hazard

High Moderate Low Negligible

SEISMIC HAZARD PERCEPTION:


1992: Oregon still said to have low seismic risk

USGS Fact Sheet 2005-3052; after GAO report GGD-92-62

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 3
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

DATA CHANGES PERCEPTIONS:


• 1993: Oregon seismic hazard increased

CASCADIA SEISMICITY:
• Last CSZEQ: January 26, 1700

A A’

A A’

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 4
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

CSZEQ EVIDENCE:
• Coastal Subsidence (Drowned Forests)
• Submarine Landslides (Turbidites)
• Sedimentary Record (Marine Tsunami Sands)
Tsunami Sands Sites

USGS PROBABILISTIC MAPS:

Oct 2002, Peak Acceleration (%g) with 10% Probability of Exceedance in 50 Years:

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 5
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

FEMA 154 SEISMICITY REGIONS:


• Oregon Counties are Moderate to High

OREGON SEISMIC NEEDS BACKGROUND:


Ballot Measures
• Nov 5, 2002: Amend
Constitution To Finance Seismic
Retrofit of Public Buildings
– Measure 15 (Public Education)
Senate President
Peter Courtney
D-Salem
District 11
– Yes: 55.6%
– Measure 16 (Emergency Services)
– Yes: 55.8%

Feb 4, 2003: SEAO testified in support of $1.4


million for first phase FEMA 154 data collection

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 6
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

OREGON SEISMIC NEEDS STATUS:


2005 Senate Bills

• August 2005: At Close of Session,


Legislature Passes Seismic Bills:
– Senate Bill 2 (Seismic Needs
Assessment)
– Senate Bill 3 (Seismic G.O. Bonds
Grants Awards Committee)
– Senate Bill 4 (G.O. Bonds For Public
Education Facilities)
– Senate Bill 5 (G.O. Bonds For Public
Services Facilities)

SB 2: STATEWIDE SEISMIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT


July 2005-June 2007
Department of Geology Administers

Develop a Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment Of:


•Buildings With Capacity of 250 Or More And Routinely Used For Student Activities
By K-12, Community Colleges and ESDs
•Hospital Buildings That Contain An Acute Care Facility
•Fire Stations
•Police Stations, Sheriffs’ Offices and Similar Facilities Used By State, County, District
and Municipal Law Enforcement Agencies
The Assessment Shall Consist of Screenings, Ranking Of Screening Results &
Development of GIS Databases Of Survey Data

SB 3: SEISMIC REHABILITATION GRANT PROGRAMS


July 2007-
Office of Emergency Management Administers
Director Appoints Grant Committee That:
•Determines Form and Method of Applying For Grants
•Determines Eligibility Requirements For Grant Applicants
•Determines Funding Scoring System Directly Related To Seismic Needs Assessment
Additionally, The Grant Process May:
•Require Applicant Matching Funds
•Provide Authority To Waive Requirements Based on Special Circumstances
•Provide Separate Rules For Funding Structural and Non-Structural Building Elements
OEM Then Requests Financing Of All Or A Portion Of State Share Of Costs

SB 4: SB 5:
1/5 OF 1% OF SEISMIC REHABILITATION SEISMIC REHABILITATION Article 1/5 OF 1% OF
TRUE CASH VALUE Article XI-M Bonds XI-M Bonds TRUE CASH VALUE
OF STATE ASSETS Public Education Buildings Emergency Services Buildings OF STATE ASSETS
Approx $620M July 2007 – Jan 2032 July 2007 – Jan 2022 Approx $620M
State Treasurer/DAS State Treasurer/DAS

NOTE: SB4 INCLUDES UNIVERSITY SYSTEM BUILDINGS

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 7
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SENATE BILL 2 DIRECTIVES:

• The State Department of Geology and


Mineral Industries shall develop a
statewide seismic needs assessment that
includes seismic safety surveys,
• In consultation with:
o Seismic Safety Policy Advisory Commission (OSSPAC)
o Office of Emergency Management (OEM)
o Department of Human Services (DHS)
o State Board of Education
o State Board of Higher Education
o Any grant committee established pursuant to
statewide grant program for seismic safety
+ Structural Engineers Association of Oregon
+ American Society of Civil Engineers

SENATE BILL 2 DEFINITIONS:

• Seismic Safety Surveys of:


oBuildings that have a capacity of 250 or
more persons and are routinely used for
student activities by kindergarten through
grade 12 public schools, community colleges
and education service districts;
oHospital buildings that contain an acute care
inpatient care facility;
oFire stations; and
oPolice stations, sheriffs’ offices and similar
facilities used by state, county, district and
municipal law enforcement agencies.

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 8
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SENATE BILL 2 INSTRUCTIONS:


• Surveys consist of:
• Rapid visual screenings of the buildings specified, in
accordance with FEMA-154, or an equivalent standard;
• The ranking of the rapid visual screening results in risk
categories based on:
o Need
o Importance of the building to the community
o Risk to the building posed by its location
o Risk posed to the community by the collapse of the
building during a seismic event
o Projected cost of the necessary rehabilitation
o Other categories determined necessary by DOGAMI
• The development of geographic information system
(GIS) databases of survey data and the sharing of that
data with interested parties.

SB2 BUDGET:

• Nov 2004 OSSPAC/Agency: $1,300,000 to


Assess Estimated 3,415 Buildings
• SB 2 (2005) Appropriated $500,000 For
Agency to Commence Work
• Agency Instructed to Develop
Prioritization Scheme Concerning
$800,000 Shortfall
• Agency Reported to JAN ’06 E-Board
With Estimate of Additional Funding
Necessary
– Requested & Received Additional $98,000

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 9
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SOLUTION TO SB2 $ SHORTFALL:


SB 2 Scenarios: Cost versus Survey Number

• MINIMIZE MAJOR 1000


Field Costs

COST ITEM (NEW Base Costs

Needs Assessment Cost ($ 000)


800

RVS FIELD 600

SURVEYS), BY 400
REDUCING THE
NUMBER OF 200

BUILDINGS 0
- 1,090 1,520 2,822
Number of Field Surveys

PRIORITIZATION ASSUMPTIONS:
– NEWEST CONSTRUCTION MORE SAFE
– UTILIZE EXISTING SUPERIOR SURVEYS
– UTILIZE EXISTING AGENCY RVS

SEISMIC ASSESSMENT: WHERE


K-12 Schools

• 198 School
Districts
• 1,660 Schools
– All with street
addresses
– Includes 329 <20
enrolled
• 560,043 Enrolled in
Public Schools as
of Oct 2005

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 10
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

NEW K-12 SCHOOLS:


• Recent $2.8 Billion in G.O. Bonds
– 135 New Schools Built ‘94-’06
– Ex: Oregon City HS
• 324,433 square feet
– 220,000 sq ft addition (2003)
– $41.4 Million

WHY CHOOSE POST 1993:


• 1988-1993: Oregon Seismic Risk Recognized, Hazard
Increased, And Building Codes Enhanced
Oregon
Year UBC Oregon Structural Ex: Corvalis
UBC Seismic Specialty Code (OSSC) Specific
Published Zone Year Seismic Zone Design
1970 1 and 2 No state code nil 2
1973 1 and 2 1974 2 2
1985 1 and 2 1986 2 2
1988 2B 1990 2B 2B
1991 2B 1993 2B and 3 3
1994 2B and 3 1996 2B and 3 3
1997 2B and 3 1998 2B,3 and 4 3

• Considering 1973 for pre-code & 1994 for post-


benchmark

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 11
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

DESIGN FORCES INCREASE:


WOOD FRAME CONSTRUCTION
Seismic Loading Design Base Shear Coefficient
0.12
Design Base Shear Coefficient

0.1
JAN 1993:
0.08
32% Increase

0.06

Seism ic Loading Design Base Shear C oefficient


0.04
1967 UBC 1973 UBC 1976 UBC 1988 UBC 1991 UBC 1997 UBC
(Zone 2) (Zone 2) (Zone 2) (Zone 2B) (Zone 3) (Zone 3,
Service
Level)
Design Code

SUPERIOR STUDIES: K-12 SCHOOLS:

• SCHOOL DISTRICTS’ SUPERIOR SURVEYS


– FEMA 178, ASCE 31 or similar
– Includes Several Large School Districts:
• Portland,
• Beaverton,
• Hillsboro,
• Eugene,
• Salem/Keizer,
• Corvallis,
• Albany
• Gresham
– About 320 Schools Have Seismic Reports

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 12
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

PORTLAND SD SEISMIC RETROFIT:


• K-12 SCHOOLS
– Largely built during 1920’s and 1950’s
– $195 Million in Capital Bonds for Seismic
Upgrades Passed in ’95
– FEMA 178 Surveys Completed by Architectural &
Structural Consultants
– Structural Engineering Firm Normalized
Evaluations & Assigned Relative Hazard Ratings
– Findings used to Prioritize Seismic Upgrades,
Designed to Enhance Ability of Occupants to
Exit Building
– By ’03 Hazard Reduction Upgrades Complete at
54 Facilities (>Half of Schools, Including Those
With Highest Seismic Hazard Rating)

SB2 QUALIFYING K-12 SCHOOLS:


• PUBLIC K-12
– 1,660 Schools
• SELECT SCHOOLS WITH > 200 STUDENTS ENROLLED
– 960 Schools
– 18 Counties With >10% Students Omitted
• ENSURE >90% STUDENTS PER COUNTY
– Adds 118 Schools
• 100% OF HIGH-HAZARD COASTAL SCHOOLS
– Adds 22 Schools
• RESULT:
– All 1,031With >153 Enrolled
– Plus 69 With 24-153 Enrolled

• NET = 1,100 K-12 SCHOOLS


– [>95% OF OREGON PUBLIC SCHOOL STUDENTS
ENROLLED AS OF OCT ‘05]

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 13
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SB2 QUALIFYING SITES:

SB2 QUALIFYING SITES:


SB2 Site Status (October 15 2006)
Actual New DOGAMI Superior Residual
Type Qual Sites '94-'06 RVS '02-'05 Surveys '06 RVS
K12 1,091 135 31 322 603
Comm College 185 43 104 - 38
Fire 621 54 48 44 475
Police 263 23 10 5 225
Hospital 64 6 4 2 52
SUM 2,224 261 197 373 1,393
Education 1,276 178 135 322 641
Emergency 948 83 62 51 752

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 14
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

FEMA 154-What it is

• Rapid Visual Screening


– Developed for a broad audience
• Purpose is to identify:
– Older buildings
– Buildings on soft or poor soils
– Buildings having performance
characteristics that negatively influence
their seismic response

FEMA 154-What it is not

• RVS are known as Sidewalk Surveys


– “Akin to judging relative health based upon
general factors like age or blood pressure”
• Are Not Engineering Studies (as are
FEMA 178 or ASCE 31)
– “Blood work reviewed by qualified professional”
• Do Not Involve Invasive Tests (as does
FEMA 356)
– “Exploratory surgery performed by experienced
surgeon”

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 15
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SB 2 GENERAL TIMETABLE:
2006 2007
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN
DATABASE CONSTRUCTION

VALIDATE SELECTIONS

RVS FIELD PREP

RVS FIELD SURVEYS

RVS QA/QC REVIEW

BUILD RVS CONSENSUS

WELL LOGS SOILS DATA

OTHER GEOLOGIC FACTORS

CENSUS NEEDS ANALYSIS

COMPILE RESULTS

RANKINGS AUDIT

STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION School Districts, Colleges, Fire Districts, Police, Hospitals OSSPAC, OEM, ODE, DHS, OUS

WEB-BASED GIS INTERFACE

HARD COPY REPORT

OUTLINE
• Pre-Rapid Visual Screening (RVS)
Implementation
• RVS Training
• RVS Implementation
• Where do we go from here?

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 16
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SENATE BILL 2 TEAM

PUBLIC RELATIONS
• Radio
• Newspapers
• General Obligation (GO) Bond
Task Force Members
• Association of Oregon Counties
• Elementary Schools

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 17
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

PRE- RVS IMPLEMENTATION


ADDRESS CONFIRMATION
FEBRUARY- JUNE
• February 9, 2006-Statewide Email to
Emergency Managers, Hospitals, Schools
–Who I was?
–What is Senate Bill 2 (SB2)?
–Find and confirm addresses @
http://www.oregongeology.com
–Regional Meetings

FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 7:
REGIONAL MEETINGS
–Baker City
–Klamath Falls
–Roseburg
–Eugene
–Portland

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 18
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

FEBRUARY-JUNE:
CONCURRENT ACTIVITIES
Maps, Database, Equipment, Training, Field
Teams

APRIL 12-PUBLIC FEEDBACK

• Addresses correct?
• Are any addresses confidential?
• Years built?
• Seismic Reports or Upgrades completed?
• Obstacles or Permissions needed?

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 19
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC
RELATIONS

• April 17-21, Oregon's Statewide


Seismic Risk Management
Strategy at the 100-year
Anniversary of the San Francisco
Earthquake

MAY 5- PROTOTYPE TESTING:


CENTENNIAL HIGH

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 20
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

MAY 5- PROTOTYPE TESTING:


CENTENNIAL HIGH

MAY 5- PROTOTYPE TESTING:


CENTENNIAL HIGH

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 21
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

PUBLIC RELATIONS
• May 23- Draft Address List Email

• June 19- Final Address List Email

RAPID VISUAL SCREENING FIELD


TEAMS (SUMMER 2006)

US Army Corps of Engineers, Portland State


University,
Oregon State University, University of
Oregon, DOGAMI

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 22
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SENATE BILL 2 SCREENERS:

Prof. Tom Miller, SE, PhD Juan Hernandez, OSU Jerry Mikkelsen, OSU Nathan Wallace, OSU
Oregon State University

Prof. Carol Hasenberg, SE Andy Tibbetts, PSU Bill Burns, CEG DOGAMI
Portland State University

Prof Christine Theodoropoulos,PE Sam Jensen Augustine, Henry Pierce,


University of Oregon U of O U of O

Goals of Rapid Visual Screening Training

• DOGAMI, SB2, FEMA 154


• Field Conduct, Safety and Equipment
• Computer Tablet Operations
• Salem Sites
– Unreinforced Masonry- Church, School
– Reinforced Masonry- Fire Station
– Wood- School
– Steel- Fire Station
– Concrete Structures- Police and Hospital
• Synchronize Tablets to Database in Portland

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 23
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SENATE BILL 2 SCREENER TRAINING:


June 21-23
Portland and Salem

SB 2 SCREENER TRAINING:
Unreinforced Masonry (URM)

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 24
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

TABLET PC & CAMERA:


• Systematic Data Entry & Photo Capture

PLAN & VERTICAL IRREGULARITY:


• Standardized/Consistent Approach
• Source-FEMA 154, IBC 2003, Screener
Expertise

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 25
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

JUNE 26- IMPLEMENTATION:


Let the Rapid Visual Screening
begin….

Hasenberg:
36
478
22
21 53 17
87 17
23 74 8 28
12
39
100 56 Theodoropoulos: 289
21
53 21 20
19
14 14 11
63
148 60 12

99 Burns:
Burns 69
66 Miller: 624 10
25

13
30 46 84 38

RAPID VISUAL SCREENING SITES

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 26
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

CRITICAL EMERGENCY &


EDUCATIONAL SITES

QUALITY ASSURANCE
CHECKS
• Team leads checked data
• Field checks of all RVS screeners
• Independent field sites in Salem

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 27
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

DOGAMI
ON-GOING FIELD SUPPORT
• Public contact/address concerns
• Interview-Salem Statesman Journal
• Sync Computer Tablets
• Quality Assurance incoming data
• Trouble shooting systems
• Provide assistance finding sites

OCTOBER 2- COMPLETION of
RAPID VISUAL SCREENINGS
• Total of 2542 Buildings
• Statewide Email-Emergency Managers,
Hospitals, Schools & GO Bond Task
Force

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 28
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

JULY 2007
SEISMIC ASSESSMENT
DUE
OREGON LEGISLATURE

– Database additions and checks


– RVS Score-Adding Soils Types
– Seismic Assessment Results

Oregon University System (OUS)


Seismic Mitigation Flowchart
• Partners since 2002
• Work Led to SB 2-5

Flowchart
1. Planning stage
2. RVS
3. Prioritization
4. Engineering Study
5. Benefit-Cost Study
6. Fix

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 29
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

University Feedback & Needs


- RVS Too Many At-Risk buildings
- Updates & Improvements needed to
2002 RVS Method
- Developing “E-RVS” method
w/ FEMA & ATC input
- Complete Damage Probabilities
that Legislature can understand

E-RVS Pilot Study Results


Western Oregon University

Questions?

• $5-10k per ASCE 31 study for 20 buildings too expensive


• Government needs to justify spending of scarce funds

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 30
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

Five “Demonstration” Projects


Seismic Rehabilitation of University Buildings
• $5 mil FEMA grants to OEM & DOGAMI
• Four campuses: PSU, OIT, WOU & OSU
• Diverse buildings (URM, concrete, steel)
• Increasing awareness for safer communities

#1. 1916 Montgomery Court:


Portland State University
Major Issues
-URM & tall parapets
-no connections
-unsafe egress
-24/7 occupants

WDY Structural Engineers

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 31
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

Connecting URM Wall to New Roof

Bracing Parapet (& Stairwells)


Wood support

Epoxy Coated Anchor

Steel Bracing

New Roof
material
Plywood Sheets

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 32
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

#2. 1966 Ondine Residence Hall


Portland State University
Major Issues
-Soft Story
-Low shear strength
-24/7 occupants

KPFF Structural Engineers

Rebar Coupler Problem Discovered


Rebar Mapping of
Reinforced Concrete
Column

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 33
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

New Concrete Wall & Steel Plate Installation

Cross Bracing
Installation in Progress

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 34
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

#3. Snell Hall:


Oregon Institute of Technology
Major Issues
-on Fault
-Poor soils
-Immediate use

Precision
Structural Engineers

Strengthen existing foundation,


including Deep Soil Anchors
Soils
Anchors
60-ft depth

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 35
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

Diagonal Rod Bracing

#4. Humanities & Social Science (1964)


Western Oregon University
Major Issues
-Soft Story
-Most Classrooms
-Electricity for Campus

KPFF Structural Engineers

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 36
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

Soft Story on E-W Wing

Communication Rack & Transformer

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 37
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

#5. Nash Hall (1968):


Oregon State University

Major Deficiencies & Issues


• Lift slab construction w/poor connections

• Two extra slabs


under roof

• Pancake-style
collapse

• Biohazards (radioactive materials)


• Heat for several buildings
KPFF Structural Engineers

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 38
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

HazMat Chemical Tanks


& Labs

Pancake-Style Collapse (1987)


L’Ambiance Plaza, Bridgeport, CT
• Entire building fell
in 5 seconds!
• Seven-inch thick
post-tensioned,
concrete slabs and
steel columns
• Progressive slipping
of rod and nuts
initiated the collapse.

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 39
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SEISMIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT:


Soil Factors-Liquefaction

• Portland
– Without
Liquefaction
Overlay

SEISMIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT:


Soil Factors-Liquefaction

• Portland
– With
Liquefaction
Overlay

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 40
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SOIL TYPES (UBC):

Limitation: Surficial Data Only

DETERMINING Vs30 SOILS

• OWRD well
logs used to
derive vs30
soil type (A-F)
– 100 ft depth
weighted
average

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 41
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

SOILS EXAMPLE: YONCALLA

Well DOUG 54092

North Douglas Fire & EMS (Doug_fir04)

SOILS EXAMPLE: WELL LOG DATA


Well DOUG 54092

• Example
of a Well
Log Used
To
Estimate
Vs30 Soil
Type

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 42
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

OREGON SEISMIC NEEDS ASSESSMENT


Objective: Position All 2,224 Qualifying Sites

HIGH
HIGHEST NEED
&
HIGHEST RISK
RELATIVE NEED

MEDIUM

LOWEST NEED
&
LOW

LOWEST RISK

LOW MEDIUM HIGH


RELATIVE RISK

A REASON SB3 WILL PRIORITIZE:


SB2 SB4 & 5 For Illustration Purposes:

Qualifying Est Total Calculated


Locations # Buildings Ave $/Bldg*
K12 Schools 1,091 3,200
Comm Coll Bldgs 17 185
OUS 7 150
Education Sum 1,115 3,535 $ 175,389
Fire Stations 621 750
Police Stations 263 300
Hospitals 64 200
Emergency Sum 948 1,250 $ 496,000
* Assumes $620M for SB 4 & 5; Equal funding for every building
Plus:
•Education Buildings Generally Larger, Older and More Complex Structures
Result:
•Education Facilities Will Face Much Greater Competition for Funds

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 43
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

QUALIFYING SCHOOLS 11/05 SB2 K-12 School Sites With Known Built Dates

40

1,049
K-12 of 1,091 1973: UBC Adopted
35 Qualifying K12
Have Dates 1994: Seismic Zone 3
30

25

20

15

10

0
1891
1893
1895
1897
1899
1901
1903
1905
1907
1909
1911
1913
1915
1917
1919
1921
1923
1925
1927
1929
1931
1933
1935
1937
1939
1941
1943
1945
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005

RELATIVE NEED/IMPORTANCE

To Arm The SB3 Committee With


HIGH

Data Prior To Their Prioritizing &


Issuing Award Grants, We Are
RELATIVE NEED

Exploring For Facts:


MEDIUM

•Economic: Household Income


•Quantitative: Number Enrolled/Served
•Demographic: % Age 0-17/65+
•Multi-Task Facilities: Shelters/911
LOW

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 44
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

2 OF THE MANY NEED DIMENSIONS AGI/Return


Oregon Cities: Gross Income vs % 0-17

$105,000
Less Financial Need & Less Financial Need &
Less k-12 Need Lake Oswego More k-12 Need
$95,000
West Linn
Average Gross Income 2004

$85,000
Average Adjusted Gross Income 2004

$75,000

Wilso nville

$65,000 Sherwo o d

Tualatin

Tigard
Hillsbo ro
$55,000
Jackso nville Newberg
P o rtland
B eaverto n
Co rvallis B end Orego n City Canby
A shland OREGON Scappo o se
Eugene A lo ha
Fo rest Gro ve
$45,000
P hilo math
Keizer Tro utdaleSandy
M edfo rd Gresham St Helens
M ilwaukie Salem MAcM innville Eagle P o int
Ro seburg Ho olbany
Gladsto
d River ne Central P oEstacada
Prineville
int Stayto M o lallan
n Silverto
Creswell
Newpo rt Fairview
P endleto n Junctio nDallas
City
No rth B end
A sto ria
M o nmo uth B ro o kings Klamath Lebano
FallsP ass n Redmo nd Co rnelius
Grants
La Grande Hermisto n M adras
Ro gue River The Dalles Co ttage Gro ve
Sweet Ho me Tillamo o k Ontario
$35,000 Seaside Co o s B ay Springfield
Linco ln City M yrtle Creek
B aker City Talent
Sutherlin Wo o dburn
White City
La P ine
M ilto n Freewater

More $25,000
Financial Need & More Financial Need &
Less k-1217.0%Need19.0% 21.0% 23.0% 25.0% 27.0% 29.0% 31.0% 33.0% 35.0% k-1237.0%
More Need
US Census 2000 % Age 0-17

Proportion School-Age Population 2000

RELATIVE FINANCIAL NEED


Woodburn city

1,400

1,200

Oregon Household Income Distribution 1999 1,000

800
Frequency

300,000 Actual
Expected

600

Oregon Households 269,492 400

200
250,000
236,282
-

Woodburn: $33,722
Less than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than
$10000 $10k, less $15k, less $25k, less $35k, less $50k, less $75k, less $100k, less $150k, less $200k
than $15k than $25k than $35k than $50k than $75k than $100k than $150k than $200k
Household Income

Oregon City city

200,000 2,500
185,595
179,053
2,000

150,000
1,500

129,488
Frequency

Actual
Expected

115,129 1,000

100,000
86,695 87,218 500

Oregon City: $45,531


Less than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than
$10000 $10k, less $15k, less $25k, less $35k, less $50k, less $75k, less $100k, less $150k, less $200k
than $15k than $25k than $35k than $50k than $75k than $100k than $150k than $200k
50,000 Household Income

22,650 23,507 West Linn city

1,800

1,600

-
1,400
Less than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than
$10000 $10k, less $15k, less $25k, less $35k, less $50k, less $75k, less $100k, $150k, $200k 1,200

than $15k than $25k than $35k than $50k than $75k than $100k less than less than 1,000
Frequency

Actual
$150k $200k Expected
800

600

State ’99 Median HH Income: $40,916


400

200

West Linn: $72,010


Less than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than
$10000 $10k, less $15k, less $25k, less $35k, less $50k, less $75k, less $100k, less $150k, less $200k
than $15k than $25k than $35k than $50k than $75k than $100k than $150k than $200k
Household Income

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 45
Oregon Department of Geology & Mineral Industries October 25, 2006

CURRENTLY:
• Concluding RVS Data Collection
• Completing Soils Data Collection
• Collating Data/Photos in Database
• Commencing Risk & Need Analysis
• Confident in June ’07 Completion

Following July 1 The Real Work Begins:


•Public Education & Emergency
Facilities Will Require Absolute
Determinations of Hazard, Risk, Need
and Cost

ASCE/SEAO Meeting October 25, 2006


Statewide Seismic Needs Assessment 46

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