Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Seao Asce 10 25 2006
Seao Asce 10 25 2006
Seao Asce 10 25 2006
Government Hill School, AK 1964 Cyprus Viaduct (Highway 880), Oakland CA 1989
SEISMICITY RECORD:
U.S. Earthquakes, 1973-2002
Source, USGS. 28,332 events. Purple dots are
earthquakes below 50 km, the green dot is below 100.
CASCADIA SEISMICITY:
• Last CSZEQ: January 26, 1700
A A’
A A’
CSZEQ EVIDENCE:
• Coastal Subsidence (Drowned Forests)
• Submarine Landslides (Turbidites)
• Sedimentary Record (Marine Tsunami Sands)
Tsunami Sands Sites
Oct 2002, Peak Acceleration (%g) with 10% Probability of Exceedance in 50 Years:
SB 4: SB 5:
1/5 OF 1% OF SEISMIC REHABILITATION SEISMIC REHABILITATION Article 1/5 OF 1% OF
TRUE CASH VALUE Article XI-M Bonds XI-M Bonds TRUE CASH VALUE
OF STATE ASSETS Public Education Buildings Emergency Services Buildings OF STATE ASSETS
Approx $620M July 2007 – Jan 2032 July 2007 – Jan 2022 Approx $620M
State Treasurer/DAS State Treasurer/DAS
SB2 BUDGET:
SURVEYS), BY 400
REDUCING THE
NUMBER OF 200
BUILDINGS 0
- 1,090 1,520 2,822
Number of Field Surveys
PRIORITIZATION ASSUMPTIONS:
– NEWEST CONSTRUCTION MORE SAFE
– UTILIZE EXISTING SUPERIOR SURVEYS
– UTILIZE EXISTING AGENCY RVS
• 198 School
Districts
• 1,660 Schools
– All with street
addresses
– Includes 329 <20
enrolled
• 560,043 Enrolled in
Public Schools as
of Oct 2005
0.1
JAN 1993:
0.08
32% Increase
0.06
FEMA 154-What it is
SB 2 GENERAL TIMETABLE:
2006 2007
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN
DATABASE CONSTRUCTION
VALIDATE SELECTIONS
COMPILE RESULTS
RANKINGS AUDIT
STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION School Districts, Colleges, Fire Districts, Police, Hospitals OSSPAC, OEM, ODE, DHS, OUS
OUTLINE
• Pre-Rapid Visual Screening (RVS)
Implementation
• RVS Training
• RVS Implementation
• Where do we go from here?
PUBLIC RELATIONS
• Radio
• Newspapers
• General Obligation (GO) Bond
Task Force Members
• Association of Oregon Counties
• Elementary Schools
FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 7:
REGIONAL MEETINGS
–Baker City
–Klamath Falls
–Roseburg
–Eugene
–Portland
FEBRUARY-JUNE:
CONCURRENT ACTIVITIES
Maps, Database, Equipment, Training, Field
Teams
• Addresses correct?
• Are any addresses confidential?
• Years built?
• Seismic Reports or Upgrades completed?
• Obstacles or Permissions needed?
INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC
RELATIONS
PUBLIC RELATIONS
• May 23- Draft Address List Email
Prof. Tom Miller, SE, PhD Juan Hernandez, OSU Jerry Mikkelsen, OSU Nathan Wallace, OSU
Oregon State University
Prof. Carol Hasenberg, SE Andy Tibbetts, PSU Bill Burns, CEG DOGAMI
Portland State University
SB 2 SCREENER TRAINING:
Unreinforced Masonry (URM)
Hasenberg:
36
478
22
21 53 17
87 17
23 74 8 28
12
39
100 56 Theodoropoulos: 289
21
53 21 20
19
14 14 11
63
148 60 12
99 Burns:
Burns 69
66 Miller: 624 10
25
13
30 46 84 38
QUALITY ASSURANCE
CHECKS
• Team leads checked data
• Field checks of all RVS screeners
• Independent field sites in Salem
DOGAMI
ON-GOING FIELD SUPPORT
• Public contact/address concerns
• Interview-Salem Statesman Journal
• Sync Computer Tablets
• Quality Assurance incoming data
• Trouble shooting systems
• Provide assistance finding sites
OCTOBER 2- COMPLETION of
RAPID VISUAL SCREENINGS
• Total of 2542 Buildings
• Statewide Email-Emergency Managers,
Hospitals, Schools & GO Bond Task
Force
JULY 2007
SEISMIC ASSESSMENT
DUE
OREGON LEGISLATURE
Flowchart
1. Planning stage
2. RVS
3. Prioritization
4. Engineering Study
5. Benefit-Cost Study
6. Fix
Questions?
Steel Bracing
New Roof
material
Plywood Sheets
Cross Bracing
Installation in Progress
Precision
Structural Engineers
• Pancake-style
collapse
• Portland
– Without
Liquefaction
Overlay
• Portland
– With
Liquefaction
Overlay
• OWRD well
logs used to
derive vs30
soil type (A-F)
– 100 ft depth
weighted
average
• Example
of a Well
Log Used
To
Estimate
Vs30 Soil
Type
HIGH
HIGHEST NEED
&
HIGHEST RISK
RELATIVE NEED
MEDIUM
LOWEST NEED
&
LOW
LOWEST RISK
QUALIFYING SCHOOLS 11/05 SB2 K-12 School Sites With Known Built Dates
40
1,049
K-12 of 1,091 1973: UBC Adopted
35 Qualifying K12
Have Dates 1994: Seismic Zone 3
30
25
20
15
10
0
1891
1893
1895
1897
1899
1901
1903
1905
1907
1909
1911
1913
1915
1917
1919
1921
1923
1925
1927
1929
1931
1933
1935
1937
1939
1941
1943
1945
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
RELATIVE NEED/IMPORTANCE
$105,000
Less Financial Need & Less Financial Need &
Less k-12 Need Lake Oswego More k-12 Need
$95,000
West Linn
Average Gross Income 2004
$85,000
Average Adjusted Gross Income 2004
$75,000
Wilso nville
$65,000 Sherwo o d
Tualatin
Tigard
Hillsbo ro
$55,000
Jackso nville Newberg
P o rtland
B eaverto n
Co rvallis B end Orego n City Canby
A shland OREGON Scappo o se
Eugene A lo ha
Fo rest Gro ve
$45,000
P hilo math
Keizer Tro utdaleSandy
M edfo rd Gresham St Helens
M ilwaukie Salem MAcM innville Eagle P o int
Ro seburg Ho olbany
Gladsto
d River ne Central P oEstacada
Prineville
int Stayto M o lallan
n Silverto
Creswell
Newpo rt Fairview
P endleto n Junctio nDallas
City
No rth B end
A sto ria
M o nmo uth B ro o kings Klamath Lebano
FallsP ass n Redmo nd Co rnelius
Grants
La Grande Hermisto n M adras
Ro gue River The Dalles Co ttage Gro ve
Sweet Ho me Tillamo o k Ontario
$35,000 Seaside Co o s B ay Springfield
Linco ln City M yrtle Creek
B aker City Talent
Sutherlin Wo o dburn
White City
La P ine
M ilto n Freewater
More $25,000
Financial Need & More Financial Need &
Less k-1217.0%Need19.0% 21.0% 23.0% 25.0% 27.0% 29.0% 31.0% 33.0% 35.0% k-1237.0%
More Need
US Census 2000 % Age 0-17
1,400
1,200
800
Frequency
300,000 Actual
Expected
600
200
250,000
236,282
-
Woodburn: $33,722
Less than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than
$10000 $10k, less $15k, less $25k, less $35k, less $50k, less $75k, less $100k, less $150k, less $200k
than $15k than $25k than $35k than $50k than $75k than $100k than $150k than $200k
Household Income
200,000 2,500
185,595
179,053
2,000
150,000
1,500
129,488
Frequency
Actual
Expected
115,129 1,000
100,000
86,695 87,218 500
1,800
1,600
-
1,400
Less than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than More than
$10000 $10k, less $15k, less $25k, less $35k, less $50k, less $75k, less $100k, $150k, $200k 1,200
than $15k than $25k than $35k than $50k than $75k than $100k less than less than 1,000
Frequency
Actual
$150k $200k Expected
800
600
200
CURRENTLY:
• Concluding RVS Data Collection
• Completing Soils Data Collection
• Collating Data/Photos in Database
• Commencing Risk & Need Analysis
• Confident in June ’07 Completion