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Presentation Dorothee Saar
Presentation Dorothee Saar
• Decreasing CO2 values both in real world and based on NEDC due to 2020 target of
CO2 regulation
• However: Real world emissions significantly higher and way above the 2020 target
(155 instead of 95 g / CO2)
• Measurement by DUH emission controll institute (EKI) on the road, supported by NEFZ
measurements (TÜV Nord)
• 4 Plug-In-Hybrids: Mercedes A250 e, Porsche Cayenne E-Hybrid, Volvo XC40 T5, Volvo
XC90 T8
Up to 600 % more CO2 emissions on the road than officially declared CO2 values
Dorothee Saar
saar@duh.de
“Get Real - Demand fuel figures you can trust” (LIFE15 GIC/DE/029 CLOSE THE GAP) is
funded under the LIFE programme of the EU Commission. Please visit the campaign
website: www.get-real.org
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T & E D U H W e b i n a r, 4 N o v e m b e r 2 0 2 0
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 10
The data base covers usage of more than 100’000 PHEVs
globally from primary and secondary sources.
Data base
Primary sources: online fuel consumption tools (e.g. Spritmonitor.de)
Secondary sources: published reports and scientific studies
Comparison to simulation of PHEV from trip data of conventional vehicles
Robustness of results: consistent findings across sources
Meta-analysis of new and existing data User group Country Sample
Private China 6‘870
Available Information and sample Private Germany 1‘385
Fuel consumption, annual vehicle kilometers traveled, UF Private Norway 1‘514
Several countries; private and company cars Private US 84‘068
66 PHEV models and 202 PHEV model variants covered Company car Germany 72
Company car Netherlands 10‘800
Sufficient & broad sample for all countries & user groups
TOTAL 104‘709
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 11
P H E V f u e l c o n s u m p t i o n a n d t a i l - p i p e C O 2 e m i s s i o n s a re
t w o t o f o u r t i m e s h i g h e r t h a n t y p e - a p p ro v a l v a l u e s .
real = NEDC
spans much larger ranges than for
mainly
conventional vehicles 2019 data
Mean relation of real-world fuel
mainly
consumption to type-approval values: mainly 2018 data
2020 data
2 – 3 times higher for private cars
3 – 4 times higher for company
cars
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 12
R e a l - w o r l d s h a re o f e l e c t r i c d r i v i n g o f P H E V s i s a b o u t
h a l f t h e s h a re c o n s i d e re d i n t y p e - a p p ro v a l .
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 13
P H E V s a re n o t c h a r g e d e v e r y d r i v i n g d a y.
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 14
Summary: Analysis of 100,000 PHEVs confirms high
d e v i a t i o n f ro m o ff i c i a l f u e l e ff i c i e n c y a n d C O 2 v a l u e s .
Findings
PHEV fuel consumption & tail-pipe CO2 emissions are two to four times higher than type-approval.
Real-world share of electric driving of PHEVs is about half the share in type-approval values.
PHEVs are not charged every day.
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 15
Thank you.
© Fraunhofer ISI
Seite 16
On-Board How
Fuel Consumption does it work
Monitoring (OBFCM) in practice
type approval CO2 must be reported and compared to real world CO2 emissions
3.1. For all vehicles referred to in Article 4a, with the exception of OVC-HEVs:
Request
Response
Almost ½ emissions
savings achieved on paper
have only been managed
in the lab.
Despite improvements,
the WLTP test
underestimates real world
CO2 emissions by 23%
(and is forecast to grow to
over 30% by 2025).
OBFCM and EU legislation: what’s at
stake and what do we need? 31
What is at stake?
OBFCM and EU legislation: what’s at
stake and what do we need? 32
What is at stake?
EV sales projected to
stagnate throughout 2020s
due to inadequate CO2
targets
- Provide data per vehicle - Data should include: the - Introduce a correction
model to enable direct fuel and electric energy mechanism to adjust OEM
comparison consumed; distance CO2 targets
- Publish data from new travelled; and CO2 - PHEV data should be used to
vehicles on quarterly basis emissions distributed over establish real world utility
for the 1st year all possible driving modes factors
OBFCM and EU legislation: what’s at
stake and what do we need? 34