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Abortion Fangqi Presentation Stamped
Abortion Fangqi Presentation Stamped
Winter 2023
Stéphane Mechoulan
Dalhousie University
Faculty of Management
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Introduction
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Introduction
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Introduction
Methods
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Introduction
Results
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Data
Freshmen Survey
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Data
Summary Statistics
N Mean
Full Sample: 4,267,836
Female 4,267,836 0.481
High Parental Income 3,582,564 0.087
First Generation College Student 4,209,680 0.390
Two College Exposed Parents 4,141,225 0.186
Catholic 3,827,841 0.307
Home 100 Miles or Less from College 3,209,964 0.567
Female: 2,053,995
High Parental Income 1,671,573 0.087
First Generation College Student 2,026,819 0.377
Two College Exposed Parents 1,991,294 0.193
Catholic 1,861,752 0.305
Home 100 Miles or Less from College 1,567,672 0.577
Male: 2,213,841
High Parental Income 1,910,991 0.088
First Generation College Student 2,182,861 0.403
Two College Exposed Parents 2,149,931 0.179
Catholic 1,966,089 0.309
Home 100 Miles or Less from College 1,642,292 0.557
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Data
Limitations
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Data
Local
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Data
Limitations
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Data
Limitations
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Data
Socio-economic Variables
Parental income: an ordinal variable encoded by income bracket
categories - inflation adjustment will result in undesirable jumps.
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Data
Socio-demographic Variables
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Data
Coding of Legal Regimes
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Data
Assigning Legal Regimes to Observations
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Data
Alternative Specifications
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Data
First Generation
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Data
High Education
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Data
High Income
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Data
Catholic
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Data
October CPS
Use October CPS to complement HERI when checking for the
proportion of females among freshman students.
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Data
October CPS
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Methods
Two Way Fixed Effects
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Methods
Event Study
▶ Event study: TWFE with leads and lags to conduct causal
inference about treatment effect dynamics.
▶ It breaks down when groups treated at different times have
treatment effects characterized by different shapes.
▶ With variation in treatment timing, the coefficient on a given
lead or lag can be contaminated by effects from other periods,
and apparent pretrends can arise solely from treatment effects
heterogeneity.
▶ Use eventdd command with the caveat that event study
models have been shown to be underidentified or identified
only up to a linear trend when all (remaining) units adopt
treatment at the same time.
▶ Use accumulate option to accumulate leads (the placebos)
and lags (the dynamic treatment effects) beyond certain
maximum lead and lag periods.
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Methods
Coping with Heterogeneity
The main results are derived using the two DiD estimators
computed by did multiplegt command (De Chaisemartin and
d’Haultfoeuille, 2020; De Chaisemartin and D’Haultfœuille, 2021).
▶ DIDM - instantaneous:
weighted average, across all pairs of consecutive time periods
t, of DiDs that compares the outcome evolution among the
switches to the same evolution among control groups.
tru - dynamic:
▶ δ̂+
weighted average, across time periods t, of DIDs comparing
the t − l − 1 to t outcome evolution, between groups whose
treatment changed for the first time in t − l, the first-time
switchers, and the groups of the not-yet switchers up to t.
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Results
Parental Education
Table: Effect of Abortion Legalization at Age 18 on the Proportion of
First Generation Freshmen
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
Panel A: Effect on the Proportion of First Generation Freshmen among Female Freshmen
TWFE -0.007 0.007 0.027 -0.024*** 0.031* -0.062** -0.010 -0.029*** -0.087***
(0.012) (0.013) (0.021) (0.006) (0.018) (0.026) (0.012) (0.008) (0.028)
Sum of Negative Weights -.48 -.723 -.492 -.474 -.693 -.446 -.442 -.524 -.604
σ fe .002 .002 .011 .007 .009 .016 .003 .008 .022
σ fe .005 .004 .024 .017 .019 .037 .008 .018 .042
DIDM -.015 -.042 .006 -.024 -.001 -.031 .012 -.037 -.078
(.018) (.03) (.031) (.022) (.019) (.028) (.011) (.064) (.062)
Placebos Significant 0/7 1/2 0/7 1/7 0/5 0/5 0/7 0/7 0/5
p-value Joint Test .002 .095 .06 .001 0 .828 .186 .04 .001
tru
δ̂+ -.040** -.056*** -.008 -.043 -.004 -.056** .007 -.081 -.122**
(.018) (.015) (.026) (.027) (.027) (.027) (.013) (.067) (.053)
Placebos Significant 0/3 0/2 0/3 1/3 0/3 1/3 0/3 1/3 1/3
p-value Joint Test .139 .654 .061 .001 .683 .01 .288 .006 .01
Panel B: Effect on the Proportion of First Generation Freshmen among Male Freshmen
TWFE -0.005 -0.004 -0.006 -0.012 0.043** -0.063** 0.006 -0.020*** -0.095***
(0.008) (0.005) (0.014) (0.008) (0.018) (0.025) (0.015) (0.006) (0.030)
Sum of Negative Weights -.461 -.682 -.441 -.467 -.742 -.37 -.453 -.504 -.527
σ fe .002 .001 .002 .004 .013 .018 .002 .006 .026
σ fe .004 .002 .006 .009 .024 .043 .005 .013 .049
DIDM -.017 -.05 -.005 -.032* -.007 -.03 .005 -.044 -.057
(.016) (.036) (.02) (.017) (.01) (.023) (.015) (.034) (.058)
Placebos Significant 0/7 1/2 1/7 0/7 2/5 0/5 0/7 1/7 0/5
p-value Joint Test .211 .093 .042 .019 0 .811 .357 .036 .008
tru
δ̂+ -.043*** -.059* -.025 -.050* -.012 -.055* .006 -.106** -.150**
(.014) (.032) (.024) (.028) (.027) (.031) (.016) (.054) (.064)
Placebos Significant 0/3 0/2 1/3 1/3 1/3 2/3 0/3 1/3 0/3
p-value Joint Test .046 .531 .042 .001 0 0 .312 .004 .6
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Results
Parental Education
Figure: DIDpl
+,l , DIDM and DID+,l Estimators
Placebo, Immediate, and Dynamic Effects on the Proportion of First
Generation Freshmen
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Results
Parental Education
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Results
Parental Education
Figure: DIDpl
+,l , DIDM and DID+,l Estimators
Placebo, Immediate, and Dynamic Effects on the Proportion of Freshmen
with Two College Exposed Parents
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Results
Parental Education
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Results
Parental Income
Table: Effect of Abortion Legalization at Age 18 on the Proportion of
High Parental Income Freshmen
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
Panel A: Effect on the Proportion of High Parental Income Freshmen among Female Freshmen
TWFE 0.001 -0.001 -0.012 0.006 -0.021** 0.025* -0.002 0.016*** 0.049***
(0.006) (0.007) (0.014) (0.004) (0.009) (0.013) (0.004) (0.006) (0.018)
Sum of Negative Weights -.519 -.713 -.508 -.517 -.697 -.434 -.5 -.56 -.603
σ fe 0 0 .005 .002 .006 .006 .001 .004 .012
σ fe .001 .001 .011 .004 .013 .015 .001 .01 .023
DIDM .010* .012** -.001 .015 -.013 .022** -.001 .017 .050**
(.006) (.006) (.011) (.011) (.022) (.01) (.006) (.022) (.023)
Placebos Significant 0/6 1/2 1/6 0/6 0/5 0/5 0/6 1/6 1/5
p-value Joint Test .859 .075 0 .568 .024 .293 .086 .001 .042
tru
δ̂+ .012* .009** -.007 .015 -.042** .032*** -.001 .027 .066***
(.007) (.004) (.013) (.011) (.021) (.01) (.007) (.023) (.023)
Placebos Significant 1/3 0/2 0/3 1/3 1/3 0/3 0/3 1/3 1/3
p-value Joint Test .198 .649 .888 .077 .088 .09 .126 0 .011
Panel B: Effect on the Proportion of High Parental Income Freshmen among Male Freshmen
TWFE 0.004 0.002 -0.001 0.008*** -0.016 0.027** 0.002 0.013*** 0.045***
(0.004) (0.006) (0.005) (0.003) (0.010) (0.012) (0.004) (0.004) (0.014)
Sum of Negative Weights -.502 -.674 -.471 -.509 -.743 -.36 -.509 -.538 -.522
σ fe .001 .001 .001 .002 .005 .008 .001 .004 .012
σ fe .003 .001 .001 .005 .009 .019 .002 .008 .023
DIDM .012* .011 .005 .018 .001 .015 0 .028** .035*
(.007) (.009) (.004) (.011) (.01) (.012) (.008) (.012) (.021)
Placebos Significant 0/6 1/2 0/6 0/6 1/5 0/5 0/6 0/6 1/5
p-value Joint Test .206 0 .734 .103 0 .811 .963 0 0
tru
δ̂+ .012** .007 .002 .016* -.019 .027* -.005 .043** .069***
(.006) (.013) (.005) (.009) (.016) (.014) (.008) (.017) (.021)
Placebos Significant 1/3 0/2 0/3 0/3 1/3 0/3 0/3 0/3 0/3
p-value Joint Test .221 .176 .702 .241 0 .2 .263 .009 .144
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Results
Parental Income
Figure: DIDpl
+,l , DIDM and DID+,l Estimators
Placebo, Immediate, and Dynamic Effects on the Proportion of High
Parental Income Freshmen
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Results
Parental Income
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Results
Gender Mix
TWFE -0.006 -0.010 0.001 -0.009 -0.019 0.006 -0.004 -0.022 -0.024
(0.009) (0.011) (0.007) (0.011) (0.019) (0.011) (0.014) (0.017) (0.022)
Sum of Negative Weights -.476 -.708 -.471 -.474 -.722 -.413 -.453 -.516 -.569
σ fe .002 .003 0 .003 .005 .002 .001 .006 .006
σ .005 .005 .001 .007 .011 .004 .003 .014 .012
fe
DIDM .02 -.013 .001 .028 .008 .049** .014 .032 .066
(.014) (.053) (.02) (.02) (.032) (.019) (.019) (.02) (.044)
Placebos Significant 1/7 0/2 0/7 0/7 1/5 1/5 0/7 0/7 0/5
p-value Joint Test .019 .241 .324 .012 .001 .104 .179 0 .031
tru
δ̂+ 0 -.026 -.021 .002 -.002 .034** -.003 .008 .038
(.014) (.05) (.019) (.015) (.025) (.017) (.022) (.017) (.036)
Placebos Significant 0/3 0/2 0/3 1/3 1/3 1/3 0/3 0/3 0/3
p-value Joint Test .184 .141 .6 .133 .004 .006 .097 .224 .234
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Results
Gender Mix
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Results
Religious Mix
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References I
Akerloff, G. et al. (1996). An analysis of out-of-wedlock
childbearing in the united states. The Quarterly Journal of
Economics 111 (2), 277–317.
Ananat, E. O., J. Gruber, and P. Levine (2007). Abortion
legalization and life-cycle fertility. Journal of Human
Resources 42 (2), 375–397.
Ananat, E. O., J. Gruber, P. B. Levine, and D. Staiger (2009).
Abortion and selection. The Review of Economics and
Statistics 91 (1), 124–136.
De Chaisemartin, C. and X. d’Haultfoeuille (2020). Two-way fixed
effects estimators with heterogeneous treatment effects.
American Economic Review 110 (9), 2964–96.
De Chaisemartin, C. and X. D’Haultfœuille (2021).
Difference-in-differences estimators of intertemporal treatment
effects. Working paper.
References II