Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Sy Poisson
Sy Poisson
Poissiintist
BINOMIAL
-
NoRmAL_
✗ ~ Bcn , p ) ✗ -
N ( µ , 04
µ → mean
n
→
# of trials
r → sd
p → # of success
g- → vav
50 elec comp Z
I-II
-
-
=
✗ → 2 → peob
ncrqn rpr
-
P(X=r ) =
7 Rules
F- (X )
=np
✗
prob → z →
Vary =
npq 2 rules
Normal
approx to Bin .
Poisson Dist .
Time
✓ A Tel
operator revs
⑥ calls uioneh0u↳
✓ A ☒ stretch
of road has ☒ potholes
volume
✓ A liom@cofaqueoussoln.h as ⑤ bacteria init
Area
SPACE
TIME + Mean #
of occurrences
✗ Tinie
→ mean F-
of occurrences in a
specified
or
Space interval
✗ ~ Po (d)
→ one hour → ✗ ~ Po (6)
SINGLY
RANO
INO F- P
CONST RATE
✗ ~ Po (d)
P( ✗ = x ) =
É?y where ✗ =
0,1 , 2,3 - - i
✗ - Po (6)
°
•
P( ✗ =o
) = e- (6) = a
¥ , one
P( ✗ =L ) =
é⇐one= b
P( ✗ =D
=é÷65 = c
e-Y.ly#=dPCx--
P( ✗ =3) =
• 4
4) = e- (6) = e
e-%f5-i-e-Y.co#+e-Ib-.-oao
Pisa ) =
[ IT -1¥ -1¥ ]
•
i : : ; I
,
I = e-
✓ ✓ ✓
P( ✗ 73 ) = I -
P( ✗ £2)
P( ✗ < 4) = PCX =3
)
#•
: : : : :
✓ - r ✓
P( ✗ > 5) =
P(×
= I -
P( ✗ £5)
•→
: : : : : : :
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
SINGLE RANGE
LESS THAN
PCx=× )
--é?.
OR
EQUAL To
whee ✗ =
0,1 , 2,3 . . . so P( ✗ I ☐ )
=é^[¥+¥+¥+¥+ :]
✓ ✓
-
5min → ④ → A
i,
4 5 4 (1) = 5 ✗
I
✗ =
415 OR 0-8
✗
✗ - Po ( 0.8 )
( o 85
- o -
8
P( )
-
e→
✗ =2 = =
y
300
Y ~ Polo 2)
-
P(Y=o)
=é
×
P(Y=o ) = e-
Pcatleastone ) = I -
P( zero )
2-30
PC ✗ 31 ) = I -
p(✗ =o ) t →
^
= 1 -
e- 4T = b- (2-30)
✗
1 - e- = 0.9 t = 2.875min .
✗
+ e- =
✗ 0.1
×
line In
-
= 0.1
-
A line = -
2.30
✗ = 2 '
30
t
people
Time (
mins # of particles
}
150 → 0.7
✗ = 2- 8
600 → ✗
✗ ~ Po (2-8)
P( ✗ £2 )
£8
[
+2¥
e- 2.8° '
-12¥ ]
=
F.
=
- -
Time ( mins
) # of particles ✗ ~Po( d)
✗
150 → 0.7 P( ✗ =o
) = e-
✗
t → 0.01005 e- 30.99
lne-dzluo.gg
t (0-7) =
0.01005 ( 150 )
t = 2.15 mins .
☒ life ⑤ 0-01005
①
✗ ⑤ 0.01005
Ledo - Poisson Dist
a
Normal approx to Binomial
I .
) ( 0¥ ) .
and > 5
nq
F- (x ) Varix )=npq
=
np
✗ ~ B (100,0-2)
u
←
✓
n = 100
hp =2
10=0.2 nq = go
✓ ✓ oh
0.8 = 100 Co -
2) (0.8 )=☒
q =
npq
✗ ~
N ( 20,16 )
Poisson Approx . to BINOMIAL
( Disc )
( Disc )
.
~ B ( nip ) ✗ ~ Po ( X )
✗
ECX) =
np EH )=④
~
✓
If
and
np
✗ ~ Po(n#)
= ① ✓
t
np< 5
i. ✗ - Po (1)
( Defective ) 45000
P
¥0 n =
=
✗ ~ B ( 450001
¥)
n = 45000 ( n 350 ✓ )
np = 45000
( ¥) =
4^-5 ( np < 5)
i. ✗ ~ Po ( 4. 5)
""
P( ✗ = 2) =
e- [4^5-2]
2
!
""
P( ✗ =3 ) = e- [
4j5÷ ]
44.5¥
" is
P( ✗ =
4) = e- [ ]
sum → = e-
45
[ I +
" +
I;? ]
=
P =
¥ ( Laser Treatment )
n = 2700 ✓
np = 2700
( ¥0 ) ✗ ~ B( 2700
,
¥)
and
=
95 OR I -8
if since n > 50 np < 5
i. ✗ ~ Po (1-8)
8-
Pcx > 2)
;
1
; L L,
- - - i
,
✓ ✓ ✓
P( ✗ 33 )
I -
P(×<
"•
, -
e- [ 1
?÷ +1¥ +
÷? ]
'
=
✗
BINOMIAL DIST
, , ,, ,
, POISSON APPROX To Bin
y , , , ,
,
¥g ,
.
P( ✗ =r ) ncrqn rpr
-
=
np =
¥-00
^
P( ✗ =o
) _-
nco (149-9)^1 ,¥°
1500
P( ✗ =o
) =
e-
71500
e-
=(¥÷5
=
"
71500
e-
1T¥ ) < o.o , < 0.01
(¥
"'" °
en < be co -
01 ) lu e- < In o.o ,
~
-
(-00-0006668) < 0-(4-605)
① (1) ⑥ 0-4.605
¥0
n ⑦ + 6906 . . . .
n > 6907 -5
↳ c #←
i. n = 6907 ✓ n = 6908 .
Led 03 Poisson Dist [ NORMAL APPROX To Poisson ]
(cont) .
sc )
cc ✓
✗ ~ Po (d) F- (X
) = A = Vary )
If X > 15 : . ✗ ~ N ( X ,
X )
NORMAL DIST .
7 Rules → peobo
✗ ~ N( µ F) ,
Z
The first 4 Rules → single value fz
X
=
<
PCZ _< a)
= I -
0 (a)
PCZ 3 1.96 ) = I -
¢ (1-96)
= 1 - O -
975
= 0.025 OR 2- 5%
resign
P ( Zz a)
P ( z s a)
Rule I Rule I
The Next 3 Rules -
Range of rakes of 2
(E) P ( as 2 < b) =
0 (b) -
0 (a)
PC I < Z <
2) =
(2) -
04)
=
0.9772 - o -
8413
Rule
/
=
PC -2 - 5 < z < -
I -
2) = P ( I -2 < z < 2-
5)
=
0/(2-5) -
0/(1-2)
PC -
l < 2 <
2) =
(1) + 04 ) -
I
= 0.8413 to -9772 -
I
=
I, ✗ ~Po( 6) His Time limit →
20min
P(x=5)=é;¥5 (2)
Y - Po
PCYZI ) = I -
PC -1=0 )
2
= I - e-
=
i. W ~ N( 24,24 )
pcz
l9d4÷)
<
i210^5
19.5
Pf z < -
0.919 )
PC Z > + 0.919 )
8186
Le_c#°3
÷ , of co 919 )
-
-
,
-
[ -3 =