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State of Crypto
State of Crypto
Setbacks. Noise drowned out signal with negative events dominating headlines. High-profile projects collapsed. Highly visible investors went
bankrupt. Major smart contracts were exploited. Global cryptocurrency market cap fell. DeFi and NFT activity declined.
Market cycles. The “price-innovation” cycle we previously observed continues today. Apparently chaotic cycles in the crypto market are driven
by an underlying logic: Rising prices are a leading indicator for innovation. Numbers generate interest, which spurs ideas and activity, which leads to
innovation. This positive feedback loop has held true since Bitcoin’s creation in 2009.
Regulation. Crypto faces a shifting regulatory environment. Policymakers are proposing bipartisan bills. Courts are deliberating over significant
cases. Agencies are issuing enforcement actions. These are precedent-setting times.
Opportunity. We believe recent setbacks underscore the failure of opaque, centralized systems in contrast to the resilience of decentralized
infrastructure. We believe decentralized computing platforms can also counter the trend of power consolidating into the hands of a few giant tech
corporations. The internet needs web3. Those who understand this will fight for the future of these technologies.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Overview Report
3
Our view
● Web3 is more than a financial movement, it’s an evolution of the internet.
● Crypto isn’t just a new financial system, it’s a new computing platform.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Why Web3 Matters
4
web2 web3
1/ Most popular fee tier 2/ Calculated as total gas fees paid by users divided by total transfer value of ETH and top ERC20 tokens in 2022 (Source: Coin Metrics)
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Why Web3 Matters
8
Price
Startups /
Interest
Projects
New Ideas
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Market Cycles
12
Apparent $3T
Wave 1
Wave 2
Wave 3
Wave 4
75%
chaos has $2T
CAGR*
underlying
$1T
1B
CAGR
The market has
undergone four 500M
Financial cycles fluctuate unpredictably, Product cycles are more predictable, often based on
often based on macroeconomic conditions.
consumer behavior and broader tech trends.
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
New “Layer 1” blockchains are expanding the set of possible Blockchains can be exclusively designed to operate one specific
infrastructure choices for builders, improving on scalability, application. Computation and storage resources are not shared with
programmability, security, and decentralization. App ecosystems can other apps.
be built on multiple blockchains communicating seamlessly.
EigenDA
Proto-
Danksharding
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Trends to Watch: Scaling Blockchains
16
Blockchain- Fees paid by L2 rollups on Ethereum (% of all L1 fees, rolling 30D avg)
extending
rollups are 8%
Polygon zkEVM
scaling Metis Andromeda
6% Aztec
ZK Sync
Starknet
dYdX
4%
Arbitrum One
~7% Optimism
are paid by L2
rollups.*
0%
2021
2022
2023
mechanism*
50
through a series
of activities
25
>99.9% culminating in
The Merge
Reduction
“The Merge” on
September 15, 2022.
0
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Secures
ETH staked*
$33B
ETH on Ethereum
$223B
ERC20 tokens on Ethereum
12.6x
$172B
Recent developments
What is a ZK proof?
A cryptographic method for proving a statement is true
Hardware costs are decreasing rapidly.
without revealing any information about the statement –
other than that it is true.
Educational materials are proliferating, including
online courses, tutorials, and books.
How can blockchains use ZK proofs?
200 15,000
150 12,500
100 10,000
50 2,500
0
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
13x smaller
22x faster
30x faster
Aurora (2019)
~485 sec
~1.5 MB
~108 sec
2,000
Brakedown (2021)
~3.1 sec
~10 MB
<1 sec
have earned
more than
$300M
$1.9 billion
in royalty $200M
revenues
Transfer-based royalties are $100M
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Trends to Watch: Mainstream Adoption
23
Starbucks starts NFT-based Reddit mints 5 million collectible Adidas Originals creates NFT
loyalty program.
avatar NFTs.
collection Into the Metaverse.
Budweiser purchases beer.eth Nickelodeon bases NFT Gucci showcases collectible NFTs
ENS name and debuts multiple collectibles on Rugrats and Hey in art exhibit called The Next 100
NFT collections.
Arnold! characters.
Years of Gucci and partners with
Yuga Labs’ metaverse project.
DraftKings opens marketplace TIME introduces NFT initiative Louis Vuitton lets players collect
focused on mainstream NFT TIMEPieces.
NFTs in a self-branded mobile
accessibility.
game.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Trends to Watch: Mainstream Adoption
24
100K
Source: Dune Analytics, Nansen. Data is as of 3/31/2023.
Source: Business Research, Footprint Analytics, DappRadar.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Trends to Watch: Evolution of DAOs
25
Decentralized Autonomous Delegation and councils are Projects are using legal entities
Organizations (DAOs) funded more becoming more common.
such as LLCs, LCAs, UNAs, and
than $60 million in grants.
Foreign Foundations.
400K
Total
13.0M
votes
300K
Unique
200K
1.9M
voters
100K
Unique
78K
proposals
0
2021
2022
2023
% of crypto developers in the United States Top crypto websites* - % of traffic from the United States
40% 25%
20%
30%
15%
20%
10%
10%
5%
0%
0%
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Source: Electric Capital, SimilarWeb | *Includes Coinbase.com, Binance.com, Coinmarketcap.com, Coingecko.com, Etherscan.io.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Trends to Watch: Regulation and Policy
28
2/ Agency guidance or new legislation that establishes appropriate, clear rules will
protect consumers and help the web3 industry flourish.
3/ Legal businesses and their customers deserve access to financial services and
lawful protections, from banking relationships to data privacy.
Proposed market legislation Courts are set to decide Government and industry are
could provide needed clarity
many impactful cases
actively engaging
Digital assets, blockchain technology and America is at a once-in-a- generation inflection point: we [V]ery interesting
cryptocurrencies have experienced tremendous growth in have the opportunity to be the leader in the digital developments are
the past few years and offer substantial potential benefits currency space and reap the benefits this leadership happening in the digital
if harnessed correctly. It is critical that the United States enshrines, or we can concede our leadership role to asset space. In many
play a leading role in developing policy to regulate new geopolitical adversaries who are eager to take the emerging markets – like
financial products, while also encouraging innovation mantle as the 21st century’s global heavyweight.
India, Brazil and parts of
and protecting consumers.
Africa – we are witnessing
dramatic advances in
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
Coinbase Founder & CEO Brian Armstrong
digital payments, bringing
down costs and advancing
financial inclusion. By
contrast, many developed
The future is here and crypto Crypto is the future. It could enable the [W]e must: support technological markets, including the
has the ability to decentralize poor to make payments & remittances innovation that promotes the responsible U.S., are lagging behind in
control and empower each without long delays and high fees. It development and use of digital innovation, leaving the
and every one of us.
could enable artists & musicians to assets…and reinforce our leadership in cost of payments much
earn a living. It could challenge the the global financial system in order to higher.
concentrated power of Big Tech & Wall maintain U.S. competitiveness.
Street.
BlackRock Chairman
House Majority Whip
Representative
Representative
& CEO Larry Fink
Tom Emmer (R-MN)
Ritchie Torres (D-NY)
French Hill (R-AK)
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Market Metrics
31
Networks attract
more builders
Innovation Builders create
new products
(Supply)
Supply-side KPIs
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Innovation Indicators: Supply Side
35
Active 30K
Developers
Number of unique GitHub
users who have 20K
committed to or forked a
public crypto repository
during the month.
10K
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Interested 60K
Developers
Number of unique GitHub
users who have starred, 40K
committed to or forked a
public crypto repository,
during the month.
20K
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Contract 75K
Deployers
Number of unique
50K
addresses deploying smart
contracts on all tracked
blockchains during the
month (EOAs* only) .
25K
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: Nansen Query. Tracked blockchains include Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, Avalanche, Fantom, Celo, Optimism, and Arbitrum.
*EOAs are “externally owned accounts” - user owned and controlled crypto wallets.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Innovation Indicators: Supply Side
38
Verified 30K
Smart
Contracts
20K
Number of smart
contracts verified*
during the month.
10K
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: Etherscan and other block explorers from Polygon, Fantom, Celo, Arbitrum, and Optimism.
*Contract verification assures that the published contract code is the same code running at the contract address.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Innovation Indicators: Supply Side
39
Developer
Library 6M
Downloads
(web3+ethers)
4M
Number of npm
downloads for web3.js
and ethers.js developer
libraries during the
month.
2M
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: npm.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Innovation Indicators: Supply Side
40
400
Academic
Publications
300
Number of
crypto-related
academic publications
released during the 200
month. Based on a
keyword search for
"Cryptocurrency",
"Blockchain", "Bitcoin", 100
and "Ethereum".
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: dblp. Chart includes data through Jan 2023 due to 2-month lag in reporting source data.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Innovation Indicators: Supply Side
41
0.4
Job Search
Interest
0.3
Aggregate interest over
time score of worldwide
searches for “blockchain
jobs”, "crypto jobs", 0.2
"cryptocurrency jobs",
and "web3 jobs".
0.1
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: Google Trends. Interest Over Time scores are denormalized (and thus unbounded) using a method called Google Trends Anchor Bank.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Adoption Indicators: Demand Side
42
Demand-side KPIs
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Adoption Indicators: Demand Side
44
Active 15M
Addresses
Number of unique
active (sending) 10M
addresses across all
tracked blockchains
during the month.
5M
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: Nansen Query. Tracked blockchains include Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, Avalanche, Fantom, Celo, Optimism, and Arbitrum.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Adoption Indicators: Demand Side
45
Transactions
1.0B
Number of successful
transactions across all
tracked blockchains during
the month.
0.5B
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: Nansen Query. Tracked blockchains include Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, Avalanche, Fantom, Celo, Optimism, and Arbitrum.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Adoption Indicators: Demand Side
46
$2.0B
Transaction
Fees Paid
$1.5B
Total transaction fees
(denominated in USD)
$1.0B
paid by users across all
tracked blockchains
during the month.
$0.5B
$0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: Nansen Query. Tracked blockchains include Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, Avalanche, Fantom, Celo, Optimism, and Arbitrum.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Adoption Indicators: Demand Side
47
Mobile 20M
Wallet
Users
15M
Number of estimated
mobile wallet users across
10M
all tracked mobile wallets
during the month.
5M
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: Apptopia. Tracked mobile wallets include Argent, Coinbase Wallet, Crypto.com DeFi Wallet, Exodus, Glow, Ledger Live, MetaMask, MEW Wallet, Phantom,
Rainbow, Ronin Wallet, Trust Wallet, Valora, and Zerion.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Adoption Indicators: Demand Side
48
DEX $200B
Volume
Total on-chain volume on
$150B
decentralized exchanges
(denominated in USD)
during the month.
$100B
$50B
$0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
NFT
Buyers
1.0M
Number of unique
on-chain addresses that
made at least 1 NFT
purchase during the
month.
0.5M
0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Source: CryptoSlam.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
Adoption Indicators: Demand Side
50
$1T
Stablecoin $750B
Volume
Total on-chain
stablecoin transaction
$500B
volume during the
month.
$250B
$0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Active Developers
Interested Developers
Contract Deployers
Innovation
Verified Smart Contracts
Indicators
Developer Library Downloads
The State of Crypto Index is calculated based
Academic Publications
on the weighted average monthly growth of all
Job Search Interest
included metrics.
Active Addresses
The index is expressed as a percentage change since January 2016
Transactions
under certain assumptions.
Transaction Fees Paid
Adoption
Mobile Wallet Users
Indicators
DEX Volume
NFT Buyers
Stablecoin Volume
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
State of Crypto Index
54
2005
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2009
Internet
users vs.
unique active
addresses
2031
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2032
2033
2034
2035
transactions across popular
EVM chains, including L2s.
Some of the most iconic web3 The internet will continue Concerns about social media Governments will pass bipartisan
products will be built during consolidating into Big Tech, giants will heighten, highlighting crypto regulation.
financial downturns in crypto.
underscoring the importance of the need for decentralized social
web3.
networks.
Smart contract security will “On-chain” games will rise in “Light” clients will accelerate the As blockspace becomes more
improve as people adopt popularity.
adoption of mobile web3 affordable, non-speculative uses
techniques like formal verification frontends.
of tokens will proliferate.
and symbolic testing.
Developer adoption of zero There will be further advancement DAOs will run more experiments Hiring, treasury management,
knowledge tech will accelerate.
in hardware optimized for zero with new forms of community and sustainable funding will
knowledge proofs.
governance.
become a major focus for DAOs.
a16z crypto
State of Crypto
2023
60
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