NAME _______________________ STUDENT ID # _____________________

AMS310.01 Sample Final Exam

1. Suppose that there are 5 fish in the market and 2 of them are rotten.
(a) If you select three fish at random, what is the probability that two of them are rotten?

(b) If you select three fish at random, what is the expected number of rotten fish you get?

2. Let X be a random variable taking values in {0, 3, 6} with probability distribution

𝑐 𝑐 𝑐
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = , 𝑃(𝑋 = 3) = , 𝑃(𝑋 = 6) = , where c is a constant.
2 3 6
(a) Find c and the variance of X.

(b) Calculate the probability 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2)

AMS310.01
Yan Yu, yan.yu@stonybrook.edu
 NAME _______________________ STUDENT ID # _____________________

3. Let X and Y be two random variables with the following joint probability mass function
2 2)
𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) = {𝑘(2𝑥 + 3𝑦 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑥 = −1, 1, 𝑦 = −1,1
0 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
(a) Find the value of k.

(b) Find the mean 𝜇𝑋 and variance 𝜎𝑋2 of X.

(c) Are X and Y independent? Justify your answer.

AMS310.01
Yan Yu, yan.yu@stonybrook.edu
 NAME _______________________ STUDENT ID # _____________________

4. The weights of salmon grown at a fish farm are normally distributed with a standard
deviation of 1.2 pounds. Suppose a random sample of 16 fish yielded an average weight
of 7.2 pounds. Construct a 95% confidence interval for estimating the true mean weight.

5. Forty percent of the adult males recovered from flu within five days last winter. If 100
adult males were known to have caught flu last winter, what is the approximate
probability that more than half of them recovered within five days?

AMS310.01
Yan Yu, yan.yu@stonybrook.edu
 NAME _______________________ STUDENT ID # _____________________

6. A consumer protection agent wants to test a paint manufacture’s claim that the average
drying time of his new fast-drying paint is 20 minutes with standard deviation 𝜎 = 2.4
minutes. 36 cans of such paint were tested with the intention of rejecting the claim if the
mean of the drying time 𝑋̅ exceeds 20.5 minutes. Otherwise, it will accept the claim.
(a) Calculate the probability of the type I error.

(b) Calculate the probability of the type II error when 𝜇 = 21 minutes.

7. A political party conducted an election poll for its presidential candidate. In a sample of
500 voters, 272 of them supported this candidate.
(a) Determine the null and alternative hypotheses.

AMS310.01
Yan Yu, yan.yu@stonybrook.edu
 NAME _______________________ STUDENT ID # _____________________

(b) What does the test conclude? Use 𝛼 = 0.05.

(c) Find the p-value of the test.

8. Jack and Jill went up a hill to fetch a pail of water. There was a 50% chance for Jack to
fall down on the return trip. If Jack fell down there was a 50% chance that Jill would fall
down after him. Otherwise, Jill would not fall down. Given that Jill didn’t fall down,
what is the probability that Jack didn’t fall down?

AMS310.01
Yan Yu, yan.yu@stonybrook.edu