Toronto Survey for the National Ethnic

Press and Media Council of Canada

Field Dates: June 22-23

Release Date: June 24, 2023

Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,086
Torontonians through Interactive Voice
Recording (IVR) from June 22 to June 23, 2023

Respondents were screened for voter eligibility.

Responses were weighted using demographic

and geographic information to targets based on
the 2021 Census.

The margin of error for survey results is ± 2.97

percentage points, 19 times out of 20 for the
total.

Results may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

30

27%

27%
26%
26%
25 22%

21%
20

18%
15%

15

14%

14%
14%
14%

13%
12%

12%
11%

11%

11%
10%

10%

10%

10%
10
9%

9%

9%

9%

9%

9%
8%

8%
7%
7%

7%

7%
7%

7%
7%

7%

7%
6%

6%

6%
5%

5%

5%

5%

5%
5
4%

4%

4%
3%

2%

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0
Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else Undecided

May 26-27 June 3-4 June 10-11 June 12-13 June 17-18 June 22-23
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

All Female Male Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Downtown Etobicoke North York Scarborough
Bailao 15% 15% 16% 24% 16% 15% 14% 16% 15% 13% 18% 14%
Bradford 4% 4% 4% 0% 2% 4% 5% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3%
Chow 28% 26% 31% 17% 24% 30% 28% 31% 28% 30% 29% 26%
Furey 10% 11% 8% 12% 12% 9% 10% 8% 10% 13% 9% 11%
Hunter 5% 7% 3% 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 4% 2% 2% 16%
Matlow 9% 10% 9% 6% 9% 12% 6% 9% 10% 6% 11% 7%
Perruzza 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Saunders 14% 14% 15% 19% 12% 13% 19% 15% 13% 17% 14% 15%
Someone Else 5% 5% 4% 1% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 5% 5%
Undecided 9% 9% 9% 14% 13% 8% 7% 7% 10% 13% 11% 4%
Sample (Unweighted) 1086 569 485 32 167 299 288 332 336 201 327 222
Weighted 1086 543 501 42 368 267 238 213 379 151 321 235
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

40

35 35%
34%
31%
30 30% 30% 30% 30%
29%
27%
26%
25
23% 23%
21%
20 20% 20%
19%
17%
16% 16% 16% 16%
15 15% 15% 15%
14% 14%
13%
12% 12% 12%
11% 11% 11% 11%
10 10% 10% 10% 10%
9% 9% 9% 9%
8% 8% 8% 8%
7% 7% 7%
6% 6% 6% 6%
5 5% 5% 5% 5%
4% 4%
3% 3% 3%
2% 2% 2%
1% 1% 1% 1%
0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

-5
April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18 May 26-27 June 3-4 June 10-11 June 12-13 June 17-18 June 22-23

Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else
 Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

April April April May May May May June June June June June Change From
13-15 21-22 28-29 5-6 12-13 17-18 26-27 3-4 10-11 12-13 17-18 22-23 Last Poll
Bailao 6% 9% 7% 9% 7% 8% 10% 9% 10% 11% 12% 17% +5
Bradford 6% 10% 10% 12% 12% 10% 10% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% No Change
Chow 22% 23% 26% 27% 30% 29% 30% 35% 34% 30% 30% 31% +1
Furey 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 6% 9% 8% 10% 11% +1
Hunter 11% 9% 10% 10% 12% 15% 14% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% -2
Matlow 23% 21% 19% 16% 15% 11% 11% 11% 12% 16% 13% 10% -3
Perruzza 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% No Change
Saunders 20% 19% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% No Change
Someone
8% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 10% 7% 5% 5% 8% 5% -3
Else
+1 416-483-2335

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