Professional Documents
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Barrons 2606
Barrons 2606
Barrons 2606
TOP
CEOS
OF
2023
Our list of 25 leaders ready
for the future.
Why some thrive ‘forever.’
PAGES 18, 28
>
63142
C O NT EN TS 06.26.23 VOL.CIII NO.26
P. 18 P. 32 P. 36
TOP
JUNE 26, 2023 $5.00
the company’s police gear could given the massive amounts of economy, start-ups with plenty of
boost the stock by 40% once government cash pouring into cash have no reason to pursue an on Fox Business
short-term headwinds subside. Illustration by Justin Metz infrastructure and manufacturing. initial public offering now. Watch our TV show each week:
By NICHOLAS JASINSKI By ANDY SERWER By ERIC J. SAVITZ Fridays at 7:30 p.m. and Saturdays
and Sundays at 9:30 a.m. and
combine the diversification of a mutual fund and the tracking of an index with transparency and liquidity.
Raytheon Technologies
Honeywell Intl
Symbol
RTX
HON
Weight
4.69%
4.44%
United Parcel Service B UPS 4.23%
Union Pacific UNP 4.09%
Boeing BA 4.02%
General Electric GE 3.84%
Caterpillar CAT 3.72%
Lockheed Martin LMT 3.50%
*Components and weightings as
of 5/31/23. Please see website for Deere DE 3.25%
daily updates. Holdings subject
Automatic Data Processing ADP 3.01%
to change.
Aninvestorshouldconsiderinvestmentobjectives,risks,chargesandexpensescarefullybeforeinvesting.Toobtainaprospectus,whichcontainsthisandotherinformation,call1-866-SECTOR-ETFor
visit www.sectorspdrs.com. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.
The S&P 500, SPDRs®, and Select Sector SPDRs® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC. and have been licensed for use. The stocks included in each Select Sector Index were selected by the compilation agent.
Their composition and weighting can be expected to differ to that in any similar indexes that are published by S&P. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 common stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S.
stock market. The index is heavily weighted toward stocks with large market capitalizations and represents approximately two-thirds of the total market value of all domestic common stocks. Investors cannot invest directly in an index.
The S&P 500 Index figures do not reflect any fees, expenses or taxes. Ordinary brokerage commissions apply. ETFs are considered transparent because their portfolio holdings are disclosed daily. Liquidity is characterized by a high level
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4 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
I N D EX
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DICE Therapeutics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Carleton English, Sabrina Escobar, Callum Keown, Evie Liu, Shaina Mishkin, Josh Nathan-Kazis, U Uber Technologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Drax Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Angela Palumbo, Teresa Rivas, Connor Smith, Jacob Sonenshine, Brian Swint, Karishma Vanjani, Andrew Welsch UBS Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Union Pacific . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
STORY EDITORS Ed Lin, Erin McCarthy, Liz Moyer, Patrick O’Donnell, Stacy Ozol,
UniQure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
E Eaton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Ross Snel, Neal Templin, J.J. Thompson United Parcel Service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Embraer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 COPY DESK Michael J. Burlingham, Robert Teitelman United Rentals . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
Expro Group Holdings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
IDEAS EDITOR Matt Peterson
V Valaris . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
F First Citizens Bancshares . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 DEPUTY DIGITAL MANAGING EDITOR Zoe Szathmary Virgin Galactic Holdings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
Ford Motor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 SENIOR AUDIO MANAGER Mette Lützhøft DIGITAL PRODUCERS Robert Cushing, Nick Devor, Clare McKeen
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There Won’t Be a
as inflation eased,” according to the around meeting with metropolitan
latest update. planning organizations, the amount
Older people are spending briskly of projects is really, really stunning.”
after getting the biggest boost in Social (For manufacturing investment ideas,
Y
which is a positive. (As for rich folks that “the U.S. is in the early stages
ears or maybe just economy. But a run-of-the-mill slide loading up at dollar stores, how do of a manufacturing supercycle.”
months from now, into contraction over the next 130 or you think they got that way?) Quinlan points to endeavors in re-
dismal scientists and so business days? I don’t think so. But the most positive fact, certainly newable energy, electrical vehicles
their ilk will probably Borrowing from Dr. Martin Luther over the longer term, is the under- and batteries/charging stations, and
be coming up with “un- King Jr., it may be the case that the eco- recognized $2 trillion of spending semiconductors, as well as ports,
reasons” to explain the nomic arc of the universe is long, but it from Washington in three bills: the highways, grids, and airports. He
great “un-recession” bends toward growth. Still, there have Infrastructure Investment and Jobs sees the nation’s annual manufactur-
of 2023. BY ANDY to be proximate causes keeping the Act, the Creating Helpful Incentives to ing construction outlay soaring to
Indulge my descent into ungram- SERWER economy afloat, and by gum, it turns Produce Semiconductors and Science nearly $200 billion this year, up four
matical double-negativism. What I’m out there are. Plenty of them, in fact. Act, and the Inflation Reduction Act. times from a decade ago .
doing, of course, is ridiculing the most The Blue Chip consensus forecast Although Kevin Pollari, lead of Foreign companies have taken note.
widely predicted economic event in of economists in the second quarter— Deloitte’s Infrastructure & Capital Quinlan points out that there has been
modern history—which seems pretty negative in early April—is now climb- Projects program for state and local a major spike of foreign direct invest-
certain not to happen. ing to 1%, while the Atlanta Fed’s GDP- governments, cautions that some of ment into the U.S., from $150 billion
In fact, I’m just going to say it: Now number is hovering around 2%. that money is incremental, he never- in 2020 to over $350 billion and
There won’t be a recession this year. Nothing to write home about, but theless is most sanguine about the climbing this year, double the FDI
Not with all the help-wanted signs moving in the right direction. spend. “The money is huge in its im- flowing into China.
plastered on storefronts, and friends “For foreign companies, if you want
telling me they can’t find people to a piece of the action, you have to be
hire for their businesses. Not with here,” says Quinlan. “This reminds
some 2.5 million airline passengers a me of the 1970s, when Japan was eat-
day filing through TSA checkpoints. ing our lunch and the U.S. slapped
Not with hotel room rates up over 10% export restraints on Japanese cars. So,
from prepandemic levels for most ma- the Japanese just hopped the barrier
jor U.S. cities. Not with the market up and started making cars in Marysville,
14% year to date. Ohio [where Honda opened a plant in
Look out, Ma! Here comes a white 1982], and other parts of the U.S. This
swan! White, of course, being the kind of has that same flavor to it.”
color of most swans, which speaks to So, we’re seeing the likes of a Bel-
the fact that the economy most often gian and French joint venture plan-
grows, that stocks most often go up, ning a synthetic natural-gas facility
and that ol’ Warren Buffett is still in Texas. The British are coming, too,
right: Never bet against America. Op- including conglomerate Johnson Mat-
timism, it seems, is in such short sup- they (ticker: JMAT) and renewable-
ply these days that market commenta- energy company Drax (DRXGY), with
tor Zachary Karabell has produced a the CEO of the last telling the Times of
podcast about it called What Could Go London, “If and when we become a
Right? Sounds like an ideal summer primarily or a majority U.S. company,
Bing Guan/Bloomberg
tonic for the nattering nabob crowd. that’s something that might be worth
With only a week before the year thinking about.”
is half over, is it too early to declare all An incipient exodus of capital and
clear for 2023? Perhaps. Some sort of companies to the U.S. has become a
exogenous bird strike could crash the Renewable-energy projects, like this geothermal plant in California, are key to a growing manufacturing supercycle. concern to United Kingdom and Euro-
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 7
pean Union lawmakers, and a real boon to half that. Last year, total deal value (includ-
the U.S., producing a multiplier effect that ing SPACs) totaled a mere $10 billion.
was Washington’s intent all along. Fewer IPOs is a big reason that the pool
All of this confounded growth has con- of stocks has been shrinking over the years.
founded economists. Quinlan’s colleague The latest tally of U.S. public companies
Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at
Bank of America, recently pushed back his
call for a recession in the second half of
2023 (a downturn he thought would be
only half as severe as a typical contraction)
now stands at 5,938, according to the World
Federation of Exchanges, down 27% from a
peak of 8,156 in 1997. Actually, the number
of public companies has climbed from a low
of 4,772 in 2013, but here again, SPACs have
Put
to an even milder slowdown coming in the goosed the total. As the SPAC fad fades,
first half of 2024. In fact, he even called
it—oxymoron alert!—a “growth recession.”
Perhaps we should anticipate a “shrink-
ing expansion” in 2025.
expect the number of stocks to fall.
Several factors are contributing to more
companies staying private, including fear of
regulation and more ways for private com-
pany employees to sell their stock. But the
Automation
W
ith apologies to Waylon and primary reason is the vast sums of money
Willie, Wall Street’s latest
song might well be “Mam-
mas Don’t Let Your Babies
Grow Up to Be IPO Bankers.”
Yep, the initial-public-offering business
that have flowed into venture capital.
That affords VCs, like the bald-domed
duo of Marc Andreessen and Ben Horo-
witz, to coo in the ears of start-up CEOs
something along the lines of, “Don’t go
to Work
is weak this year—in terms of star names, public. Stay private. We have all the capital
number of deals, and dollar volume. You you need.” Of course, the venture boys
know you’re hurting when your headliners hope to keep the hypergrowth period of
are CAVA Group (CAVA) and Kenvue start-ups all to themselves.
(KVUE)—which, to be fair, are up 78% and The moribund IPO market helps explain
21%, respectively, since their debuts—and why Adena bought Adenza. Translation:
Robotics & Artificial
most of the rest are no-name beauties like Adena Freidman, CEO of Nasdaq (NDAQ),
NFT Gaming (NFTG)—which, also to be buying Adenza, a company whose software Intelligence ETF
fair, is down 83%—or special purpose ac- platforms are used by investment firms to
quisition companies, or SPACs. Those are
the highlights of the IPOs of 2023, which
so far has tallied 69 companies, down 41%
from the same point last year.
Aha, you say! That must mean 2022
was a bountiful year for IPOs, right? Not
manage risk and by banks for regulatory
reporting. Nasdaq hopes that Adenza, Nas-
daq’s biggest deal ever, will mitigate the loss
of fees that accompanies the IPO decline.
The other factor contributing to the
shrinking number of public companies
BOTZ
so fast. Yes, 173 companies went public last comes from private-equity firms, which
year, according to Dealogic, but 86 of them have bought 371 public companies worth
were SPACs. In the wild and wacky Covid $857 billion over the past decade, according
days of 2020 and 2021, SPACs were even to Dealogic. What do the VC bros and PE
1 (888) 493-8631
more prevalent, with 248 of 457 and 613 masters of the universe deals have in com-
of 1,010 IPOs, respectively, being SPACs. mon? Simple: You, Joe Q. Public, can’t invest GLOBALXETFS.COM
This year, not only are IPOs way off, but in them. They’re only available to “accred-
SPACs are, too; only 16 of 69 are SPACs. ited investors,” aka rich people. The VCs
(I’ve got nothing against SPACs per se, and PE firms counter that they invest
but let’s face it, they’re generally—how do money from pension funds, thereby provid- ®
I say—lower-quality operations.) ing access to ordinary investors, indirectly. Beyond Ordinary ETFs
“There aren’t a whole lot of IPOs hap- Gee, thanks for the indirect bone.
pening these days, the regular way or And by the way, the big winners in Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. The Fund
SPAC,” says my go-to SPAC source, Kristi these businesses are general partners, not invests in companies engaged in Information Technology, which can be
Marvin of SPACInsider. The only part of limited partners, who don’t begin each affected by rapid product obsolescence and intense industry competition.
the business where there’s a swirl of activ- year—as is the case for PE—with a two- BOTZ is non-diversified.
ity, she says, is SPAC bankers changing and-20-fee-structure head start.
jobs. “The SPAC team at Credit Suisse all You might have seen a story this past Carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risk factors, charges
moved over to [Banco] Santander,” she says. week about a hot new private company, and expenses before investing. This and additional information can be
“CS was a leader in SPACs, so the expecta- KoBold Metals, a mining outfit that uses found in the Fund’s full or summary prospectus, which are available at
tion is they will try and re-create the same artificial intelligence to search for copper,
globalxetfs.com. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.
at Santander.” Good luck to the Spaniards. lithium, and cobalt used in green-energy
The dollar amount of IPOs has turned projects and EVs. Investors reportedly Shares of ETFs are bought and sold at market price (not NAV)
sickly, as well. Excluding the quantitative- include Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, Jack Ma, and are not individually redeemed from the Fund. Brokerage
easing mania of 2020-21, the pinnacle year Mary Meeker, and, of course, Andreessen commissions will reduce returns. Distributed by SEI Investments
for IPOs was 1999, when $107 billion worth Horowitz. Distribution Co.
of companies went public. Since then, an- I also noticed one name that isn’t on the
nual dollar volume has averaged less than investor list: Yours. B
8 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
Investing in Education
Celebrates Pride 2023
The future of a more diverse generation of the financial industry
includes members of the LGBTQ+ community and its allies. It is
important to our program that everyone has a seat at the table
and that all students and faculty feel comfortable and safe being
themselves at school and work.
© 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 4EIIE6101
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 9
ST R E E T W I S E
The standard portfolio mix of 60% stocks and 40%
bonds is in jeopardy. Exchange-traded funds offer
an alternate way to balance growth and yield.
T
Now, stocks. Thirty years ago the stocks for high, stable yields through,
here are just two problems Last year, U.S. stocks lost 18%, S&P 500 index was a good way to for example, the Global X U.S. Pre-
with 60/40 investing: the which is bad, but only in a that’s-how- diversify. Its stocks averaged just 10% ferred ETF (ticker: PFFD); municipal
60 and the 40. Stocks are it-goes way. Long Treasurys lost 31%, to 12% correlation with each other. bonds for relative value, as in iShares
precariously priced, and which is bad in more of a someone- That’s now 50%, and at times as high National Muni Bond (MUB); con-
bonds might not offer the call-an-exorcist way. as 80%. Concentration is high, with vertible bonds for growth and yield,
protection they’re sup- At year’s end, research desks de- seven stocks contributing all of this like in SPDR Bloomberg Convert-
posed to. bated whether 60/40 was dead, but year’s gains. That evokes past periods ible Securities (CWB); and a smid-
That’s according to a recent report BY JACK the timing of that question seemed off. of market leadership that ended with gen in something short and safe, such
from Jared Woodard, head of the Re- HOUGH Surely if it died, it did so at the start of big downturns, like the run for the as Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S.
search Investment Committee at BofA last year, when long bonds yielded Nifty Fifty blue chips of the 1960s and Treasury (SCHR).
Securities. Investors in the most popu- just 2%, and then recovered a pulse by early 1970s, and that of the dot-com For the stock side, BofA Securities
lar index funds, he argues, are likely the end, when they paid 4%. highfliers of the late 1990s. estimates that equal-weight index
to be disappointed from here. This year, stocks have surged and BofA data show that there have funds such as the Invesco S&P 500
I reached out to learn more, in- long bonds have done OK. But Woo- been six lost decades for 60/40 inves- Equal Weight ETF (RSP) are now
cluding whether I should just whine dard says that the evidence that 60/40 tors since 1900, averaging losses of priced for double the return of tradi-
and wait it out, or get off my duff and is broken is now stronger than ever. 0.5% a year after inflation. Woodard tional funds that weight companies
do something. Take bonds. Their reputation as a thinks we could be poised for another by market value.
“Diversifying away from these good hedge for stock portfolios is one now. Other funds that track the firm’s
broad benchmarks today is actually owed to a few recent decades of falling The S&P 500 could be headed for a favored strategies and sectors include
your only path to getting the kinds of interest rates and inflation. For most “real painful repricing,” he says. “Why the Vanguard Small-Cap Value
returns that maybe you’re used to,” rolling 24-month periods since 1945, wait for the rebalancing to happen, ETF (VBR), Pacer U.S. Cash Cows
says Woodard. “That kind of has that stocks and bonds have moved to- whether by time, or uncomfortably by 100 (COWZ), Energy Select Sector
feeling of like the guy in the adventure gether, BofA finds. price, when you can make some SPDR (XLE), SPDR S&P Metals &
movie who says, you know, ‘Come Since 1920, a 60/40 investor has changes to rebalance now?” Mining (XME), and Global X Ura-
with us if you wanna live.’ ” made 8.8% a year, while an all-stock nium (URA).
O
That’s a Terminator 2 reference, I’m one has made 10.3%. The lower re- K, that got a little gloomy. Let’s The idea, I gather, is to sprinkle
pretty sure, and on the Arnold turns are worth it for the peaceful pause for a deep breath, a ETFs like these atop existing, plain-va-
Schwarzenegger scale of investor ac- sleep, the thinking goes, but Woodard peaceful thought, and maybe nilla index funds. It’s worth consider-
tion tolerance, I’m more of a Kinder- calls Treasuries “expensive, under- some chin scratches—your ing, although it’s difficult to judge how
garten Cop guy. But it had my atten- much to put in each. Also, fees on spe-
tion. cialized funds are generally higher than
The basic premise of 60/40 invest- on plain ones. That COWZ one, for
ing is that stocks, the 60%, are lucra- BARRONS.COM/PODCASTS example, has expenses of almost a half
tive but manic, while bonds, the 40%, point a year, whereas Vanguard S&P
are boring but dependable. Put the two
together, and each will make up for the
faults of the other, leaving an investor
Barron’s Streetwise 500 (VOO) costs next to nothing. And
some niche funds demand a bit of on-
going attention to changing conditions,
with respectable long-term returns In a weekly podcast by Barron’s, columnist Jack Hough looks not a set-it-and-forget-it approach.
and bearable short-term swings. at the companies, people, and trends you should be watching. My current allocation is 60% cheap
The percentages are just a starting This is Wall Street like you’ve never heard before. Subscribe and 40% lazy, so I’ll have to give it
point; investors who are many years to Barron’s Streetwise on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, more thought. B
away from needing the money might or your favorite listening app.
want to put more in stocks. email jack.hough@barrons.com
10 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
R E VIEW 33,727.43
Dow Industrials: - 571.69
507.05
Dow Global Index: - 11.83
3.74%
10-Year Treasury Note: - 0.03
Talking China
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken
A RARE DOWN YEAR IN PHILANTHROPY met with top Chinese officials, includ-
ing President Xi Jinping, in an effort to
114%
ress had been made, though a refer-
Fell in 2022
ence by President Biden to Xi as a “dic-
tator” drew an angry response from
China. India Prime Minister Narendra
Inflation in Argentina, the fourth- Modi visited the White House and
highest in the world. The value spoke before Congress. Tensions have
Last year was a relative rarity in charitable giving: a of the peso fell 25% in April. been rising between China and India.
34.3
down year. According to an annual report from the Giv-
ing USA Foundation and Indiana University’s Lilly Fam- Russia’s Wagner Problem tinue to run the company’s cloud-comput-
ily School of Philanthropy, 2022 saw nearly $500 billion Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigo- ing business. Replacing him as chairman
of charitable giving, a decline of 3.4% in current dollars zhin said the Russian military at- is Brooklyn Nets owner Joe Tsai, and as
and 10.5% adjusted for inflation, from 2021, when the Weekly hours worked by private tacked his paramilitary force, and the CEO, Eddie Wu. Alibaba is splitting into
total surpassed half a trillion dollars for the first time. employees in May, below the Kremlin accused him of “armed mu- six companies…EDX Markets, a new
When measured in current dollars, total charitable 2019 average and down from a tiny.” Ukraine took more villages in crypto exchange backed by Citadel Securi-
giving has fallen only three other times in the past four peak of 35 hours in January 2021. the south but advances slowed. ties, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab, began
$120 B
decades—1987, 2008, and 2009—each a year of economic operations...3M came to a $10.3 billion
or market difficulties. In 2022 there was growth in three Search and Discovery settlement over so-called forever chemi-
of the four sources of giving (foundations, bequests, and After a five-day search, the Coast cals in water. 3M will pay localities for 13
corporations) in current dollars, but all four (including Guard said a submersible carrying years to test and clean up the chemicals.
the fourth category, individuals) declined after adjusting Short-selling losses year to five imploded near the Titanic site in
for inflation. Giving by foundations and corporations, date on a trillion dollars of short the North Atlantic. Annals of Deal Making
however, posted positive two-year growth, even after ad- interest. The problem: the rally. SVB Financial Group said it has sold
The Corporate Front
$17 B
justing for inflation. Individual giving has been falling as Silicon Valley Bank’s investment bank to
a share of the total for several years, dropping to 64% in The Federal Trade Commission sued a group of its own bankers led by Jeffrey
2022; in 2018 it ran at 70%. Amazon of deceiving customers over Leerink, who sold his healthcare bou-
Mirroring 2021, large gifts by some of the wealthiest its popular Prime subscription pro- tique to SVB for $280 million in 2019,
Americans represented nearly 5% of individual giving Venture funding going to some gram...UBS is facing more than $400 and backed by Baupost Group. The price:
last year. Six individuals and couples accounted for a 200 U.S. defense and aero- million in penalties over Credit Suisse’s $55 million in cash and $26 million in
P R EV IEW Wednesday Micron Technology reports third-quarter fiscal Sign up for the Review &
2023 results. The company is expected to lose Preview daily newsletter at
$1.58 per share on sales of $3.7 billion, com-
pared with a profit of $2.59 a share on $8.6 billion of revenue a year earlier. barrons.com/reviewpreview
Yet, Micron stock is up 31% this year on hopes that demand has bottomed.
The Census Bureau releases the The BEA reports personal income
durable goods report for May. and expenditures for May. The con-
Economists forecast that new sensus call is for income to rise 0.4%
PLAYING CATCH-UP orders for manufactured durable goods month over month, matching the
declined 1% from April to $280 billion. April data. Spending is seen increas-
Even the regulatory threat may be fading, he notes. After Thursday 6/29 Unless otherwise indicated, times are Eastern. a-Advanced;
f-Final; p-Preliminary; r-Revised Source: FactSet
Norfolk’s derailment, the industry braced for expensive new 0 For more information about coming economic reports
- and what they mean - go to Barron’s free Economic
safety legislation. But despite bipartisan support, legislation 2012 '15 '20 McCormick, Nike, and Paychex host Calendar at www.barrons.com
never got to the Senate floor. — Bill Alpert Source: Statista conference calls to discuss earnings.
12 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
Offshore Drillers
what we view as a minimum of a five- oil prices drop to $50 a barrel.
year…investment growth cycle,” says There are two main types of rigs:
David Anderson, a Barclays analyst, jackups, which operate in shallow
who views the offshore drillers as the water of 500 feet or less, and deep-
most attractive area of the energy water rigs, either ships or floating
service sector. platforms that can operate in 10,000
The offshore industry is a concen- feet of water, with reservoirs often
The industry looks set for a major rebound as the oil age thunders on. trated niche led by Noble, Trans- several miles below the seafloor. The
Some stocks could jump 50% or more. ocean (RIG), Valaris, Seadrill, and latter command the highest rates, and
Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO), they are the ones owned and operated
and their rigs are increasingly in de- by the public offshore drillers.
mand. Global oil production is now There are now 100 to 150 deep-
running at about 100 million barrels water rigs operating in such places as
a day, and isn’t likely to change much the Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea, and
over the coming decade. Guyana. Day rates on these rigs bot-
Offshore fields are critical to main- tomed at about $125,000 a day at the
taining the pace. While an onshore well height of the Covid crisis in May 2020
that uses hydraulic fracturing, or frack- and now are approaching $500,000
ing, can produce 1,000 barrels of oil a a day. With the rigs’ operating costs
day, offshore fields like one off the coast generally below $150,000 a day, cur-
of Guyana in South America can hold rent contracts are highly profitable.
billions of barrels of crude, and indi- Not all of that is flowing through
vidual wells can produce 20,000 bar- to the drillers just yet. Current earn-
rels of oil a day, according to Evercore ings are depressed because of older
ISI analyst James West. The annual contracts carrying lower leasing
rate of production declines for offshore rates, but profits are expected to
wells are typically in the single digits, ramp up sharply in 2024 through
versus 50% or more for the first year 2026 as a result of higher rates on
for fracked wells in the U.S. more recent contracts.
Despite being hounded by climate The bankruptcies, consolidation,
activists, European majors like Shell and tight supply also have produced
and BP have pivoted back to oil more pricing discipline. And there is
and pleased their investors after de- virtually no new construction of rigs,
emphasizing investments in renew- which can cost nearly $1 billion each.
BY ANDREW BARY had bought shares as a value play. Valaris is poised able energy. That should keep the most desirable
O
to thrive as major
What a difference 12 months energy companies “There’s a realization that the oil rigs in short supply, and limit over-
ffshore oil drillers makes. The drilling companies, in- ramp up their off- age will last longer than many prognos- spending by the offshore drillers.
shore spending.
were about the cluding Noble (ticker: NE), Valaris Above, the Valaris
ticators have suggested,” says West. Earnings at Noble, for instance, are
worst place to be (VAL), and Seadrill (SDRL), emerged DS-17 drillship in “The major energy companies recog- expected to more than double, to nearly
in 2020 as oil from bankruptcy in strong financial Brazil. nize they need baseload oil production, $6 a share in 2024 from $2.45 this year,
prices were fall- shape and are poised to thrive as ma- and they need offshore for that.” and head even higher in 2025.
ing and demand jor energy companies ramp up their Noble is a favorite of Barclays’ An-
J
for crude seemed offshore spending. ust follow the money. Oil-service derson, who says it has an “enormous
to be seeping away. Now, the stocks The stocks are down from early- industry leader SLB (SLB), for- recontracting opportunity” in the next
may be the ones to own as investors year highs as oil prices have fallen to merly known as Schlumberger, two years, a clean balance sheet, and a
realize that oil will be needed to make under $70 a barrel from the low $80s. highlighted the offshore opportu- buyback program under way. In May,
the world go around for decades. The drop in crude, however, isn’t ex- nity this past week, projecting Noble inked a 2.5-year contract with
Make no mistake, it was a historic pected to dampen the industry’s ambi- that major oil companies would Petrobras, the Brazilian oil company,
downturn for providers of offshore tious offshore investment plans. Off-
rigs over the past few years. Oil prices shore drillers are benefiting as they
tumbled during the pandemic lock- get higher leasing rates for their rigs,
Deep Value
Offshore drillers might be best positioned to take advantage of long-term demand for oil.
downs as driving nearly ceased, while which portend better earnings in
the pivot toward renewable energy the coming years. Recent YTD Mkt Val 2023E 2023E 2024E Net Debt
caused big oil companies to reduce Most of the operators have little or Company / Ticker Price Change (bil) EPS P/E P/E (mil)
their spending on drilling in hard-to- no net debt after restructuring their
Dado Galdieri/Bloomberg
Diamond Offshore Drilling / DO $12.61 21.3% $1.3 $0.15 84.1 8.7 $327
reach locales. Rigs were taken out of balance sheets in bankruptcy. And Noble / NE 38.15 1.2 5.3 2.45 15.5 6.9 335
commission as they became too costly while none of the companies pays a
Seadrill / SDRL 38.89 19.2 3.1 3.27 11.9 8.6 68
to operate profitably, but it wasn’t dividend, some companies are initiat-
enough. Many of the offshore drillers ing or expanding buyback programs, Transocean / RIG 6.17 35.3 4.7 -$0.63 N/A 14.7 6,878
eventually filed for bankruptcy in 2021 and payouts could be reinstated as Valaris / VAL 57.88 -14.4 4.4 1.50 38.6 8.4 -280*
and 2022, wiping out investors who free cash flow grows sharply in the E=estimate; N/A=not applicable; *Valaris has net cash of $280 million Sources: Bloomberg; company reports
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 13
POCKET
Transocean is the offshore industry leader. Above, its John Shaw platform in the U.K.
MONEY
GET ALL THE
for a floating rig at $490,000 a day, a seventh-generation drillships. With
new high for the current cycle. Ander-
son has a $56 price target on Noble, up
low-price legacy contracts expiring,
Seadrill’s earnings could ramp up in
TOOLS, INSIGHTS
more than 50% from Friday’s close of
$35.62. At 9.1 times 12-month forward
the years ahead. At $38, it trades for
eight times projected 2024 earnings. AND EXCLUSIVE
earnings, it’s slightly more expensive Transocean is the riskiest of the
than other drillers, but also slightly
higher quality.
drillers—but may also have the most
reward. It is the industry leader, with
CONTENT WITH THE
Valaris stock has lagged behind
peers in 2023 because it agreed to
the most operational deepwater rigs,
while owning the most that have been MARKETWATCH APP.
lease a group of rigs in the past year mothballed and could be returned to
or so at what are now below-market market.
rates, which means its re-contracting The company has considerable debt
opportunity will take longer to play of $7 billion against a market value of
out. Valaris has an attractive rig joint $4 billion. It is the only major rig op-
venture with Saudi Aramco, the state- erator to have avoided bankruptcy.
controlled Saudi oil giant, that could The debt means higher risk for Trans-
be taken public in the coming years. ocean stock, which trades around $6,
“Valaris is well positioned with a high or 15 times projected 2024 earnings.
quality deepwater fleet with a handful But paying it down could push equity
of rigs being reactivated,” says West. prices higher as ownership passes
He also likes the Saudi joint venture from bondholders to stockholders.
N
SCE A
and has an Outperform rating and The company could be “one of the
$86 price target on Valaris stock, greatest deleveraging stories” in en-
E
which closed on Friday at $56.56. ergy in the coming years, with poten-
CO D
TH
GHEEATPP
tial annual free cash flow of $1 billion
D
iamond Offshore has the in 2024 through 2026, Anderson says.
smallest market value of the Ultimately, its equity amounts to a
main offshore drillers, and turbocharged play on an industry re-
fewer high-quality assets, but vival, and investors can also buy its
they include four “seventh-generation debt, like the 6.8% bonds due in 2038, T
drillships,” the latest models. Dia- now yielding about 11%.
mond, which trades at nine times pro- The risks to these companies are
jected 2024 earnings, is another An- real. They include the finite life of the
derson pick, in part because its small rigs, which should run another 20 to
size could make it a consolidation 25 years or so, but could be cut short
target. He has a $20 price target, up by the energy transition, and the com-
Matthew Lloyd/Bloomberg
more than 60% from a recent $12.37. panies’ linkage with oil prices, which
Seadrill, meanwhile, has been a are likely to be volatile. But it’s dawn-
consolidator, and could benefit from a ing on the world that oil will be a key
$1 billion merger earlier this year with energy source for decades. The con-
the privately held Aquadrill that re- solidated, financially disciplined rig @2022 DOW JONES & COMPANY,INC.
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 4E6054
sulted in what the company called industry could be one of the best ways
a “best in class” fleet, with seven to play that longevity. B
14 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
S I Z I N G U P S M A LL- CA P S
Boston Beer
and gross margins improving, we be-
lieve focus will return to the aspects of
the portfolio that are growing
(Twisted Tea),” writes Roth MKM’s
Comes of Age
overhead, saving on raw materials,
and investing in greater automation in
its brewing and packing processes,
which should help improve profit
margins. New machinery in its Penn-
sylvania and Ohio breweries to box
First launched in 2001, the malt- multiflavor variety packs will save
based hard tea is finally seeing its “multiple dollars” per case versus do-
sales take off—just in time to make ing it by hand, Burwick says. The
company just hired a chief supply
up for losses in hard seltzer chain officer from Carlsberg
(CABGY), where he oversaw a much
larger brewing operation. Manage-
ment has a target of a 50% gross mar-
BY NICHOLAS JASINSKI gin in three to five years, versus 2022’s
T
41%.
he hard-seltzer boom has Wall Street is optimistic. Analysts
fizzled, but don’t count out expect Boston Beer’s earnings to grow
Boston Beer just yet. The by 35% in 2023, to $7.32 a share, de-
beaten-up stock looks spite a decline in revenue, which is
ready to get off the mat this expected to drop 3% to about $2 bil-
summer. Boston Beer was left with unsold per- years ago, instead of allowed to grow lion. A few years out, in 2026, ana-
Boston Beer (ticker: ishable inventory. The company esti- for two decades before becoming a lysts see earnings reaching $15.11 per
SAM) was founded in 1984 by Jim mates that hard-seltzer volumes will mainstream hit, Burwick says. By share, close to the 2020 record.
Koch, who remains its chairman and be down by midteens percent this growing at a 30% clip, Twisted Tea is To be sure, Boston Beer is now a
controlling shareholder. Despite its year. offsetting Truly’s declining volumes. show-me story after a tough couple of
name, the company today is more of a But Boston Beer can still be the big Should hard-seltzer sales stabilize, years. Barron’s thought the worst was
bet on the growth of the “beyond fish in the smaller beyond-beer pond. investors may come to better appreci- over when we recommended buying
beer” category of alcoholic beverages, AB InBev and Molson Coors Bever- ate Boston Beer’s latest hit beverage the stock in February 2022, but inves-
which includes hard seltzers, canned age (TAP) control more than 75% of and reward its stock. There is oppor- tors who bought in then caught a fall-
cocktails, hard cider, and flavored U.S. beer sales, where Boston Beer has tunity in Bud Light’s recent troubles, ing knife: The stock dropped another
malt beverages. a market share of around 5%. In be- should light-beer drinkers gravitate 25% during the next four months,
Over the years, Boston Beer has yond beer—which is about one-fifth of more to hard seltzers this summer. before rebounding to beat the market
developed a record of being an early beer volume—Boston Beer’s share is “With the prospect of Truly stabi- by about three percentage points in
entrant to emerging alcoholic beverage around 25%. More than 84% of the lizing (thanks to Bud Light share loss) the year after our pick. There’s now
categories. Its flagship Samuel Adams company’s volume in 2022 came from plenty of negativity in the consensus—
Boston Lager helped ignite the craft that category, with Truly making up meaning the snapback could be pow-
beer revolution, Angry Orchard the largest share. Boston Beer erful. At a recent $312, shares trade for
quickly became the U.S.’s top-selling This may be the year of Twisted Craft Brewery around 36 times forward earnings,
hard-cider brand, and Truly came to Tea, which exemplifies Boston Beer’s Headquarters: (SAM / NYSE) close to their average over the past five
market well ahead of hard-seltzer of- culture of innovation and taking the Boston years.
ferings from brewers such as An- long view, says CEO Dave Burwick. $1,500 There’s also underappreciated de-
Recent Price: $312.70
heuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and First launched in 2001, the malt- 52-Wk Change: -5.2% 1,250
fensive potential in Boston Beer stock,
Constellation Brands (STZ). based hard tea has grown sales every which likely has a floor under it as an
Market Value (bil): $3.8 1,000
Truly, though, has gone from being year before taking off over the past attractive acquisition target for the
the life of the party to a heck of a year. That’s a function of new flavors, 2024E Sales (bil): $2.1 industry’s heavyweights. The com-
750
FOLLOW-UP
For all the talk about “defunding” the police, de-
partments nationwide are adding officers. That
means more demand for the gear that Cadre sells.
C
adre Holdings is a leading recent weakness is a secondary offer- from that offering, and there’s no dilu- to be up as much as 8% this year, while
supplier of the gear used by ing that increased the supply of shares tion to shareholders. “This sale...was analysts expect net income to increase
police officers and public safety actively trading—a short-term head- made for personal financial diversifica- fourfold. Net debt is down to $98 mil-
professionals, including bullet- wind that doesn’t reflect on the busi- tion reasons,” said Kanders, who now lion, from $160 million a year ago, giv-
proof vests, radios, handcuffs, and ness’ fundamentals. owns 37% of shares. “I have absolute ing Cadre more ammo to pursue acqui-
holsters. Business is good, but Cadre Cadre (ticker: CDRE) went public at confidence in Cadre’s prospects and do sitions after sitting out the past year.
shares have been on a losing streak. $13 a share in late 2021. Shares rallied not plan on any future sales.” Analysts’ average price target is $30,
That could change. as high as $28 last June after two acqui- Meanwhile, there are structural up 43% from current levels. The stock
For the second time in a year, tech- sitions and three solid quarters. The trends in Cadre’s favor: For all the talk carries a dividend yield of 1.5%. B
*Offer valid on select Touring and Grand Touring Lucid Airs that are currently available; maximum term of 72 able. Expires 6-30-23. Security deposit waived. $11,063 due at signing. Lease terms include $7,500 capital cost
months. Your actual APR may differ based on your credit history, loan term and other factors. Payment example: reduction and exclude tax, title, license, and other fees. Low mileage lease: 10,000 miles/year. Other terms and
Monthly payment is $28.20 for every $1,000 you finance for 36 months at 0.99% APR. Rates not available to restrictions apply. This is not a commitment to lease. Offer available to well-qualified lessees only.
refinance any existing loans. Cannot finance 101% or more of the vehicle price. Must apply by June 30, 2023. ‡Assumes a vehicle price of $155,650. Offer valid only on select Grand Touring configurations that are currently
Subject to credit approval; this is not an offer to lend. Rates subject to change without notice. Other conditions available. Expires 6-30-23. Security deposit waived. $12,804 due at signing. Lease terms include $7,500 capital
and restrictions apply. cost reduction and exclude tax, title, license, and other fees. Low mileage lease: 10,000 miles/year. Other terms
†Assumes a vehicle price of $127,550. Offer valid only on select Touring configurations that are currently avail- and restrictions apply. This is not a commitment to lease. Offer available to well-qualified lessees only.
16 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
Rebel Is Crushing It
Rock. Tether, operating offshore, long that of Bitcoin.
had a reputation for being less trans- Tether built its $83 billion asset base
parent, while USDC wove itself into the in a few key ways. It was the first ma-
U.S. banking and financial system. The jor stablecoin on the market, in 2014,
bet by USDC’s backers: It would be the and it has long been associated with
trusted and more successful stablecoin. Bitcoin, riding that token’s rise. “They
Yet the crypto crash only acceler- basically invented stablecoins, and
Tether’s “stablecoin” could rake in $6 billion of profits this year. ated Tether’s rise. Major “algorithmic” they’re the default option for liquidity,”
Following standard corporate rules isn’t part of its plan. stablecoins like Terra went bust last says Ouellette, whose firm offers
year. And Tether put more distance Tether derivatives to institutional in-
between itself and USDC, which has vestors. The coin trades against every
dropped to $28 billion in coin issu- major token on exchanges, and it’s used
ance from $44 billion in March. for lending in “smart contracts” or buy-
USDC now looks less competitive. ing Bitcoin on margin, with Tether as
Circle sought to portray itself as a the collateral.
model crypto citizen, with more ties to Tether has broken its peg on
U.S. financial firms—even keeping $25 exchanges during periods of extreme
billion of reserves in a money-market volatility. But it has survived as Bitcoin
fund run by BlackRock. Circle also and other tokens crashed and huge
tried to go public and filed audited fi- crypto players like FTX collapsed.
nancial statements, though the Securi- One of its strengths, ironic in decen-
ties and Exchange Commission didn’t tralized crypto networks, is that Tether
approve the application. relies on trading firms, including mar-
Yet USDC’s reputation for stability ket makers, to help maintain the to-
suffered in March when banks that ken’s peg. These firms can redeem
held some of its reserves, including coins directly with the company and
Silicon Valley Bank, failed. USDC quickly arbitrage away price discrep-
slipped to 88 cents, and Coinbase ancies when the token slips below a
paused redemptions briefly, before the dollar on exchanges. “We have done
government stepped in with bank bail- minting and redeeming when we’ve
outs. Circle said that its coin remained needed to,” says Michael Safai, co-
fully collateralized and that it pro- founder of Dexterity Capital, a firm
cessed minting and redemption re- that swings into action a few times
quests on the Monday morning after a year in a Tether arbitrage trade.
the weekend panic over SVB. Its token With corporate entities in Hong
has since held its peg at $1. Kong and the British Virgin Islands,
The episode highlighted the draw- Tether looks nothing like a regulated
BY JACK DENTON net profit. Tether says that most of its backs for crypto companies of being U.S. bank or publicly traded company.
H
reserves are in U.S. Treasury bills, tied to the U.S.—the world’s largest Its ownership structure remains a
ow do you make $6 billion whose yields have surged to about 5%. capital market but one where crypto is tangle of opaque offshore subsidiaries.
a year in crypto? Trading The company doesn’t break out the in the crosshairs of regulators, includ- There is overlap in Tether’s ownership
Bitcoin could work, but source of its profits, and its asset prices ing recent SEC actions against Binance
it’s dicey. A better way: could fall, blowing a hole in earnings. and Coinbase. “In this climate, where
Take people’s cash, stash At its latest rate, however, Tether could the U.S. is now very antagonistic to Crypto Cash King
it in reserves such as pull in nearly $6 billion this year. crypto, being a U.S.-based entity isn’t Tether extended its lead in stablecoins
Treasuries, and sit back The profits make it a financial giant, seen as something that will be safe,” as USD Coin waned.
while the money earns a cool 5%. and not just in crypto. The firm could says Stephane Ouellette, CEO of FRNT
The company adopting that play- earn more than BlackRock (ticker: Financial, a crypto platform based in Market Value
book is Tether Holdings, issuer of the BLK) this year, forecast to report $5.5 Toronto. Tether USD Coin
largest “stablecoin” on the market. billion of net income. And Tether Hold-
Stablecoins are like crypto cash; they ings should be far more profitable than How Tether Vaulted Ahead $100 billion
typically hold a $1 price, backed 1-to-1 Coinbase Global (COIN), the crypto Like banks that issued their own cur-
by reserves. Tether is now the king, exchange that has racked up billions rencies in the 1800s, crypto companies 75
Bitcoin and crypto broadly, they have Yet Tether’s success seems possible Stablecoins form the bedrock of crypto
25
turned Tether into perhaps the world’s only in the opaque, alternative universe activity, helping traders get dollar li-
most profitable digital asset. Its corpo- of digital assets. And it illustrates a quidity on and off exchanges and 0
rate parent says its excess reserves hit crypto Catch-22: The more companies put up collateral for loans. Jan Feb March April May June
an all-time high of $2.44 billion in the try to play by traditional finance rules, Tether is now inextricably woven Note: June data through the 20th
first quarter, including a $1.48 billion the more they may lose out. into the crypto ecosystem. Through Source: CoinMarketCap
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 17
Puzzled.
tors. The group settled charges in 2021 willing to play by the rules, and bene-
with the New York state attorney gen- fited the stablecoin that has chosen to
eral over an undisclosed loan to Bit- ignore them,” says Prasad.
finex, and paid a fine to the Commodity Crypto participants say they remain
Futures Trading Commission over confident in Tether. Safai says Tether’s
allegations that it broke U.S. laws lack of transparency would “be a non-
Look.
over reserves and disclosure prac- starter” in traditional finance, but in
tices. Tether didn’t admit wrongdoing crypto, “that weakness has been what
in the New York case and said the has made them strong.”
CFTC found no evidence that its coins In the absence of real competition,
weren’t fully backed at all times. the greatest risk to Tether remains reg-
The episodes pushed Tether to be ulation. The European Union this year
more transparent. In its settlement passed legislation for stablecoin issu-
with New York state, Tether agreed
to disclose more information about its
ers, aiming to limit the use of non-euro
backed coins, among other measures.
Your morning ritual
reserves. The firm now releases quar- The Biden administration has made
terly “assurance” reports from ac- clear that it wants stablecoin issuers to just got better.
counting firm BDO Italia. Tether be regulated similarly to banks. A draft
declined an interview request. The bill in the House of Representatives Introducing Barron's
company said in a statement to Barron’s would be a step in that direction, with
that it “is committed to continue being rules for reserves, redemptions, and covers jigsaws, sudoku
a transparency leader in crypto.” registration of issuers—including those
Still, Tether doesn’t come close to outside the U.S. and crossword puzzles.
the many disclosures of public compa- Tether’s legal troubles aren’t over.
nies. “It’s astounding how sketchy they
are in terms of details,” says Eswar
The group is locked in a lawsuit in the
United Kingdom with the issuer of
barrons.com/puzzles
Prasad, a Cornell University economist Poundtoken, which alleges that Tether
and expert on digital money. “They infringed on its intellectual property by
wouldn’t pass formal auditing and ac- trying to launch a token with the same
counting standards, but the remark- name—GBPT. Tether is countersuing.
able thing is that the market seems to Both parties declined to comment.
take them mostly at face value.” For now, Tether is such a money-
One nagging concern: whether maker that it’s expanding beyond sta-
Tether has enough high-quality, liquid blecoins. The firm said in May that it
assets to handle a run on its coins. The would begin allocating up to 15% of net
company has sold its commercial paper operating profit toward purchasing
and added more Treasuries to its re- Bitcoin, of which it already holds some
serves. But it still keeps about 15% of $1.5 billion. That puts one of crypto’s
its assets in noncash holdings, includ- most important players on track to be
ing Bitcoin, precious metals, secured one of its biggest investors. Tether is
loans, and “other investments,” accord- also moving into Bitcoin mining, or
ing to its latest report. “The truth is processing transactions for fees,
that Tether maintains a robust, cau- investing in facilities in Uruguay.
tious, and liquid portfolio, prioritizing Tether still has detractors who think
the safeguarding of its reserves,” says it’s a matter of time before the token
Tether’s spokesperson. breaks down. Traders often attack it,
Circle has tried to distance itself trying to force the coin to break the
from Tether by working within the U.S. buck—to capitalize on short positions
banking and regulatory system. Based or a broader downturn in crypto that
in Boston, Circle is regulated by states Tether’s demise could trigger. In one
as a licensed money transmitter. An such attack last week, Tether fell just
independent auditor, Deloitte, vouches below $0.999, but rebounded within
for its reserves. Circle even worked its a few hours. Paolo Ardoino, Tether’s
way into the World Economic Forum chief technology officer, said on Twitter
at Davos as a “partner” company. The that it was “easy for attackers” to capi-
attitude at Circle is that it isn’t in com- talize on an edgy market. He also
© 2022 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 4E6061
petition with Tether and that inflows issued a challenge: “Let them come.
to Tether represent “crypto serving We’re ready to redeem any amount.” B
18 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
CEOS
TOP
OF
2023
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 19
W
ith the Covid pandemic in the rearview GREG CEO since 2008
Before Greg Brown could build up Motorola
Solutions, he had to tear down its predeces-
mirror, this past year couldn’t quite BROWN Sector Information sor. Brown, now 62, became CEO of Motorola
compete with the few before it for the Technology in 2008, when it was a flagging conglomerate
crisis-management skills demanded of Motorola Solutions that included the iconic cellphone business, a
top company leaders. But it sure tried. The 2023 Barron’s cable-television equipment business, a
wireless-network infrastructure business,
Top CEOs list includes 25 leaders who found ways to
and a business that produced mobile comput-
thrive through the mayhem. ers, tablets, and bar-code scanners. Brown
Interest rates rose at the fastest pace in four decades, sold all of it, retaining only the private-
and bonds had their worst year since before the American networks equipment and services business
Revolution, which left banks with paper portfolio losses for police, fire, and the military.
“I hate the phrase, but yes, the walkie-
and sparked a run on deposits that took down three of
talkies,” says Brown, “And the encryption
them. Strong industry players big and small were in a and the sites, the repeaters and the amplifiers.
position to scoop up assets, including Jamie Dimon at There are 13,000 private networks. We sell
JPMorgan Chase (ticker: JPM) and Frank B. Holding Jr. to them and provision end-to-end secure
at First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA). encrypted emergency networks.”
Meanwhile, James Gorman at Morgan Stanley (MS) After shrinking the company, renamed
Motorola Solutions, Brown focused on growth,
is stepping down after an asset-management growth spree making 30 acquisitions for approximately $6
that left rivals who depend on more-volatile trading reve- billion. Private-equity giant Silver Lake made
nue with fee envy. two $1 billion investments in the company,
Goldilocks gave up trying to tell whether the U.S. with its co-CEOs taking two board seats.
economy is running too hot or cooling too quickly, with “The market cap of the old conglomerate
had dipped to about $8 billion,” says Brown.
the yearly inflation rate down by half but still high, and “Today, we’re about $50 billion and much more
asset prices plump. The best retailers are carefully manag- focused.”
ing inventories, pricing, and shopper convenience to grow Since Brown took over 15 years ago, Motorola
market share without sacrificing profits or adding risk. Solutions stock has returned 668% while the
They include W. Craig Jelinek at Costco Wholesale S&P 500 index is up 338%. Is there any room to
grow from here? “The addressable market is $60
(COST) and Marvin Ellison at Lowe’s (LOW). billion; we will do just under $10 billion,” says
Ramon Laguarta at PepsiCo (PEP) is spicing up the Brown. “So, yes, there is plenty of upside.”
staples business by, among other things, pushing the bound- —Andy Serwer
aries of Cheetos variation. When Brian Niccol at Chipotle
Mexican Grill (CMG) isn’t evangelizing about his new
chicken al pastor, he’s perfecting his approach to filling digi-
tal burrito orders without slowing down counter service.
Computers are doing more thinking for themselves, and
investors, maybe a little less, judging by the prices that
some are paying for artificial-intelligence exposure. The
tech leaders on our list aren’t just riding this wave but also WARREN CEO since 1965
At 92, Warren Buffett remains as sharp and
engaged as ever, and continues to look for op-
selling into it, after years of preparing their product lines. BUFFETT Sector Financials portunities to put finishing touches on what he
They include Jensen Huang at Nvidia (NVDA), Satya Na- has called his Mona Lisa—Berkshire Hathaway.
della at Microsoft (MSFT), Sundar Pichai at Alphabet Berkshire Hathaway Buffett has been active in the stock market in
(GOOGL), Shantanu Narayen at Adobe (ADBE), and Safra the past year, as highlighted by the purchase of
25% of Occidental Petroleum (OXY). He has also
Catz at Oracle (ORCL)—yes, that Oracle.
Illustrations by André Gottschalk; Motorola (Brown); Asahi Shimbun/Getty Images (Buffet)
Illustration by Michael Phillip Dunbabin; Department of Homeland Security (Catz); Nic Coury/Bloomberg (Cook); General Electric (Culp); Cyril Marcilhacy/Bloomberg (Dimon); Lowe’s (Ellison); Hollie Adams/Bloomberg (Gorman)
TIM
COOK
Apple
Sector Information
Technology
CEO since 2018 CEO since 2006 CEO since 2018 CEO since 2010
Shrinking is nothing new for Gen- Jamie Dimon is a CEO with celebrity Higher interest rates, a lack of af- The Morgan Stanley of today
eral Electric—its revenue peaked 15 status that few global peers can fordability, and low supply are send- bears little resemblance to the Mor-
years ago. Stock outperformance, match. He’s in a class with the likes ing a chill through some U.S. housing gan Stanley that was badly bruised
however, is something that investors of Warren Buffett, Elon Musk, and markets. But none of that has slowed during the financial crisis of 2008-09.
hadn’t seen for ages. Suddenly, Bernard Arnault. His advice is eagerly Lowe’s hot streak. The company’s That is largely due to the vision of
they’ve made 142% over three years, sought by world leaders when he successful transformation under CEO James Gorman, chairman and CEO.
triple the S&P 500 index’s return. travels abroad. Marvin Ellison means that Lowe’s is While the bank was once known
Credit CEO Larry Culp, who before Closer to home, Dimon has guided many consumers’ go-to destination for trading and investment banking,
joining GE in 2018 had multiplied Dan- JPMorgan Chase in solidifying its po- for home-improvement projects. it now derives roughly half of its reve-
aher’s (DHR) market value from $10 sition as the country’s top bank, put- Shares of Lowe’s are up this year, nue from asset and wealth manage-
billion to $50 billion in 14 years. ting more daylight between itself and unlike those of Home Depot (HD). In ment, businesses that offer a much
Culp saw three GE businesses Bank of America (BAC), the second- addition, Lowe’s fiscal first-quarter more durable source of revenue.
that, on their own, could appeal to largest by market value. results showed that the retailer won That proved especially important
specific investors but that didn’t be- JPMorgan is coming off a strong more business with professionals during the disruptive pandemic years
long together. “We weren’t necessar- 2022, when it had the highest return and delivered better same-store and amid the banking turmoil of this
ily at the top of every portfolio man- on tangible equity among its large- sales than its main rival—key evidence past spring, when Morgan Stanley
ager’s list,” he says. GE HealthCare bank peers. Wary of investing in bonds that Ellison’s strategy is bearing fruit. flourished.
Technologies (GEHC), spun off in Jan- at historically low rates in 2020 and The changes that Lowe’s made Gorman, 64, was never one to rest
uary, has been well received by the 2021, Dimon avoided the losses expe- under Ellison’s direction during the on his laurels. Although Morgan Stan-
market. Next up will be a split be- rienced by Bank of America. JPMorgan Covid-19 boom turbocharged its turn- ley’s transformation was well under
tween GE Aerospace, including jumbo stock has returned 30% in the past around, and the momentum contin- way by 2020, he was still looking for
jet engines and defense systems, and year, tops among rivals. ues. “We understand that if we take new opportunities to grow. That year
something called GE Vernova, for Dimon took a lead role during the care of our associates, serve our he announced plans to snap up dis-
wind and natural-gas turbines and banking turmoil earlier this year in ad- customers, and improve our commu- count brokerage E*Trade and fund
other power infrastructure. vising top regulators such as Federal nities, we will create shareholder manager Eaton Vance. Both are help-
Culp, who sits on the board of the Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and value,” Ellison told Barron’s. “These ing Morgan Stanley advance toward
healthcare company and will hold Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. And core priorities and our culture of its goal of reaching $10 trillion in as-
shares in all three, plans to run aero- he pounced and oversaw his bank’s continuous improvement shaped our sets in the next decade.
space. Fresh from the Paris Air Show purchase of failed First Republic Bank response to the pandemic and con- Gorman probably won’t be at
this past week, he says that conver- on favorable terms. tinue to influence our decisions today Morgan Stanley when the bank gets
sations focused on ramping up pro- JPMorgan’s board is eager to keep on our ongoing journey to become there, as he announced plans to step
duction of GE’s LEAP engine to meet Dimon on the job. He is expected to a world-class, customer-centric, down as CEO within the next 11
demand, and on the company’s RISE remain CEO into 2026, when a lucra- omnichannel retailer.” months, and then to assume the role
program, which promises cleaner tive stock-compensation grant will Ellison isn’t done innovating yet. of executive chairman. Even so, the
engines running on alternative fuels vest. Dimon will turn 70 in 2026 and Take Lowe’s Total Home strategy, achievement of that milestone will be
by the mid-2030s. Asked how it will may stay on longer as chairman, re- which emphasizes convenience both largely his doing.
feel to soon run a smaller company, flecting what the bank’s proxy has on- and offline. “We’re confident that “I think we’ve created a machine
he recalls earlier in his career having called investor feedback. this strategy will allow us to continue that is very hard to stop growing,”
responsibility for a single profit-and- This might not be great for succes- to drive sustainable market-share Gorman told Barron’s in April.
loss statement: “That holds a lot of sion planning, but investors will be gains while improving our operating —Carleton English
appeal,” he says. pleased to see Dimon stay on for as margin and return on invested capi-
—Jack Hough long as possible. tal,” he says.
—A.B. —Teresa Rivas
22 * BARRON’S June 26, 2023
Progressive (Griffith); Gartner (Hall); First Citizens Bank (Holding); Michael Ostuni/Patrick McMullan/Getty Images (Hollub); Illustrations by André Gottschalk; Nvidia (Huang); US Department of Labor (Jelinek); Uber (Khosrowshahi)
TRICIA GENE FRANK B. VICKI
GRIFFITH HALL HOLDING JR. HOLLUB
Progressive Gartner First Citizens BancShares Occidental Petroleum
CEO since 2016 CEO since 2004 CEO since 2008 CEO since 2016
Car insurance prices are rising at You probably don’t know the name First Citizens BancShares bought Vicki Hollub’s first years as CEO of
the fastest pace in decades. Blame Gene Hall, and you might be only barely the assets of the failed Silicon Valley Occidental Petroleum were marked
smartphones, distracted drivers, and familiar with Gartner, the business Bank this spring in a deal brokered by by a controversial megadeal. In 2019,
a yearslong surge in accidents, plus research firm. But if you’re an investor, the government—a transformative she closed on the purchase of Ana-
recent, soaring car inflation. Higher it would behoove you to learn about purchase straight out of CEO Frank darko and its choice West Texas shale
rates mean more shopping around— both. That’s because Hall, CEO of Gart- Holding Jr.’s playbook. deposits, beating out Chevron (CVX).
a boon for insurers with disciplined ner since 2004, has been delivering First Citizens, based in North Caro- But critics said she overpaid, including
pricing and effective advertising. stellar returns. Gartner’s shares are lina, picked up $110 billion of assets and Carl Icahn, who launched an activist
Against this backdrop, Tricia Griffith have returned 2,857% during his tenure $56 billion of deposits, making it the No. campaign. Then, Covid briefly crashed
has been minting money for Progres- versus 477% for the S&P 500 index. 16 U.S. bank in total assets, with $215 the oil market.
sive shareholders. “It’s a great business,” says BMO billion at the end of the first quarter. The Now, oil has recovered, Icahn has
Griffith started with Progressive analyst Jeffrey Silber. “There are lots bank had a mere $17 billion when Hold- cashed out, and Warren Buffett,
35 years ago as a claims rep and of companies out there that provide ing became CEO in 2008. He has since whose Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A,
seven years ago became CEO—only research, but Gartner is just seen as overseen about two dozen acquisi- BRK.B) helped finance the Anadarko
the company’s fourth in its 86 years. the pinnacle within this industry.” tions, many of them also failed banks deal with 8% preferred shares, has
The stock has since tripled, trouncing Gartner thrives by writing up com- receiving assistance from the Federal been raising his common-share stake.
the broad market. Griffith doubled pany analysis and industry trends and Deposit Insurance Corp. “It is a compe- Hollub’s laser focus on maximizing
down on data analytics to bolster forecasts—particularly regarding tech- tency here,” he says. “We are a very cash flow from Oxy’s new assets has
Progressive’s underwriting edge ver- nology. It also offers in-person advi- experienced player working with the allowed the company to begin paying
sus its peers, and invested the result- sory services and industry confer- FDIC to bring stability to the system.” off its preferred shares, and the com-
ing profits in the company’s ad cam- ences. Revenue grew by more than The SPDR S&P Regional Banking mon has nearly tripled in value in three
paigns featuring upbeat Flo and her 15% last year to nearly $5.5 billion, and exchange-traded fund (KRE) is down years.
white-smocked colleagues. The result most of that growth has been organic. 33% since March 1. First Citizens’ stock Hollub’s next big plan involves turn-
has been near-universal brand recog- Hall, a former top executive at ADP has soared 69%, giving the bank a mar- ing oil production green. Step one:
nition, and plenty of direct sales. and McKinsey consultant, declined ket cap of about $18 billion. Analysts build the world’s largest facility for
If Flo mentions bundling a lot, it’s to speak with us. In one of the few in- expect earnings to double in 2023. capturing carbon dioxide from the air,
because customers who pair car and terviews he has given, with Forbes in Holding, 61, is the third generation of and sell credits to polluters. Two:
home insurance tend to stick with 2005, he described himself as being his family to lead the bank, founded in pump the CO2 into old shale wells,
both policies for longer, making them “high energy, analytical, intuitive, fun, 1898. The Holding family owns a com- store it, and squeeze out more oil.
especially profitable. Griffith’s in- organized,” and spoke about his early bined 21% of the A shares and a ma- “You’re not leaving as much oil in the
house code for these sought-after ambitions: “In the fifth grade, growing jority of the supervoting B shares. ground, which means you could get
customers is Robinsons. Car policy- up in Dallas, I decided I wanted to go to “The biggest benefit we get from family away with not developing some of the
holders with outside home insurance Massachusetts Institute of Technology, control is a consistency in culture and oil that’s in real pristine areas,” Hollub
are Wrights, those with renters’ poli- get a degree in engineering, and then go a long-term perspective,” he says. tells Barron’s.
cies are Dianes, and cost-sensitive to Harvard Business School.” First Citizens has distinct “ecosys- Other oil CEOs, she predicts, will
car-policy hoppers are Sams. So, And guess what? He did. tems,” says Holding. SVB will add one soon come around to doing the same.
while much of the industry has “Gene Hall is one of those really focused on serving the so-called inno- —J.H.
chased Sams on price, Griffith and Flo great leaders who are not audacious vation economy. Last year’s merger
have steadily converted Dianes and or bigger than life,” says Silicon Valley with New York-based CIT Bank dou-
Wrights into Robinsons—and returns. executive Maynard Webb, who was on bled the bank’s assets and brought an
—J.H. the Gartner board that hired Hall. “He’s ecosystem focused on railcar leasing,
one of those quiet folks who just gets accounts-receivable financing, and
the job done.” —A.S. other niches. —Nicholas Jasinski
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 23
Illustration by Michael Phillip Dunbabin; KOKO/AFP/Getty Images (Laguarta); Albemarle (Masters); John Deere (May); Microsoft (Nadella); Adobe (Narayen); Courtesy of Chipotle (Niccol)
KENT
MASTERS
Albemarle
Sector Materials
CEO since 2019 CEO since 2014 CEO since 2007 CEO since 2018
John C. May has done the unthink- On the day that Microsoft an- As 2022 rolled into 2023, Adobe Chipotle Mexican Grill will ap-
able: He has detached the perfor- nounced the appointment of Satya CEO Shantanu Narayen had a problem: proach $10 billion in revenue this year,
mance of Deere’s stock from the Nadella as CEO in 2014, the knee-jerk ChatGPT’s debut last November and versus less than $5 billion in 2018, the
weather. reaction by investors was to push the the launch of other generative-AI tools year that Brian Niccol took over as
Consider that corn prices peaked stock lower. Hope that wasn’t you. had investors worried that the trend CEO. “We can easily double this busi-
above $8 a bushel in the spring of Almost immediately, Nadella over- would hurt Adobe’s core Creative ness again both in restaurant count
2022, some three years after May hauled Microsoft to focus on creating Cloud business. and revenue,” Niccol tells Barron’s.
took the helm of this highly respected, cloud-based versions of its software But the worry proved short-lived. In Three keys to growth will be loy-
well-run American icon. Corn has applications, while boosting invest- March, Adobe rolled out Firefly, a new alty, throughput, and menu innova-
since fallen about 20%, to $6.43 a ment in Microsoft Azure, a business website to demo a growing suite of tions. The pandemic produced rapid
bushel. While prices have slid, Deere he had been running before becoming generative-AI tools. It was clear right growth in Chipotle’s digital orders,
stock has risen about 13%. chief. away that Firefly was no experiment: profit margins, and points-based
That’s not supposed to happen, The company succeeded on both Adobe viewed AI as a business ex- rewards system. The challenge, now
or at least it didn’t happen historically. fronts, triggering a rebound in finan- pander. For instance, all of the images that customers have returned to din-
The weather helps set the price of cial performance that has made Na- in a text-to-image tool were based on ing in, is handling digital order surges
agricultural commodities. Prices de- della one of Wall Street’s favorite a model that includes only images in while keeping counter service zippy.
termine farm income, which typically CEOs. The company now has a mar- Adobe’s own stock photography li- The solution, Niccol found, is using
determined how much farmers would ket cap of nearly $2.5 trillion, trailing brary or in the public domain. Adobe separate digital prep lines, along with
spend on Deere tractors and other only Apple. was building commercial tools, and pickup time slots that keep order flow
equipment. May changed the calculus In 2023, Nadella is at it again. This intended to make them useful for pay- manageable.
by investing in autonomous farm time, the focus is on generative AI. ing customers. For menu inspiration, Niccol, a
equipment, advanced data analytics, Among other things, the company has In fact, Adobe recently said that it Taco Bell alum, has recently turned
and precision planting techniques, invested a reported $10 billion or plans to offer a commercial version of to diverse sources. His test kitchen
all of which saved farmers money, more in OpenAI, the creator of Chat- Firefly—and it will place some limits on found a hit with a new chicken al pas-
enabling the purchase of more GPT and a leading provider of large other users to help keep costs under tor option. And when two TikTok influ-
equipment. language models. control. It intends to include AI func- encers sparked a flood of requests to
What’s more, all of that technology Microsoft earlier this year an- tionality in all of its software tools. add fajita veggies and a side of honey
has become a source of recurring nounced a revamp of its Bing search “We are living in this world where vinaigrette to quesadilla orders, Nic-
revenue for Deere, further severing engine, built on models from OpenAI. every customer expects everything to col had his programmers quickly in-
its fortunes from the vagaries of the That move spurred some investors to be personalized,” Narayen said in a clude those options on the app.
weather. Deere collects revenue on sell shares of Alphabet (GOOGL), par- recent interview, “and that suggests Chipotle is closing in on its longtime
precision farming and self-driving ent of Google, by far the dominant that the amount of content that is goal of $3 million in yearly sales per
technology and is aiming to make player in search. Microsoft has since going to be created is going to go up restaurant. Says Niccol: “We’re now
recurring, software-like sales 10% provided demos of revamped ver- and to the right—no ifs, ands, or buts.” starting to set our sights on $3.5 mil-
of the corporate total by 2030. sions of Office and various other —E.J.S. lion, $4 million.”
Deere’s stock has become some- apps. Customers are excited, and so —J.H.
thing of a Wall Street darling on May’s are investors. And so is Nadella.
watch, and for good reason. It has —E.J.S.
outperformed the S&P 500 index by
about 18 percentage points annually
during his tenure. That’s a fine harvest
for investors. —A.R.
26 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
Illustrations by André Gottschalk; Sajjad Hussain/AFP/Getty Images (Pichai); Deckers (Powers); Eli Lilly (Ricks); UPS (Tome)
been shockingly effective. “People
came into the study at 232 pounds
and exited at 179 pounds,” says Ricks
DAVE CEO since 2016
Within a year or two, Hoka is likely to pass
Ugg. Both are Deckers Outdoor footwear
of one trial’s typical results.
Next, convince insurers, policy
POWERS Sector Consumer brands, and the coming milestone is a remark- makers, and even doctors that the
Discretionary able achievement for CEO Dave Powers. obese deserve help, and that giving
Deckers Outdoor When Powers was named chief in 2016, it to them can be a long-term money
Deckers was more than a maker of fleece-lined saver if it heads off related diseases.
boots—but not much more. The outdoorsy Aus- “They’re not lazy,” says Ricks of pro-
tralian brand Ugg was doing over $1.5 billion a spective patients. “Their bodies are
year in sales. Hoka, a fledgling line of sneakers wired differently.”
with jumbo foam soles, wasn’t yet doing $100 A pill is in the works to replace in-
million, making it a niche brand like the com- jections, and in 10 years, Ricks pre-
pany’s Teva sandals. dicts, doctors will view obesity the
Powers worked to establish Hoka’s creden- same way they do high blood pres-
tials with runners while using Ugg’s heft to get sure today. “We don’t accept non-
the brand more shelf space. Next came uptake treatment,” he says. “It’s malpractice
from celebrities—Britney Spears tweeted a pic not to treat it, actually.”
of her Hokas in 2017—followed by fashionistas, Beyond Lilly’s looming obesity
and finally the sore-footed masses seeking windfall, Ricks views his role as hiring
comfort and cool. Last year, Hoka, now avail- key talent, keeping decision-making
able as runners, loungers, and trail shoes, fast to spur inventiveness, and in-
smashed through $1 billion in sales. Within two vesting wisely. Lilly’s Genetic Medi-
years, the brand is expected to do $2 billion. cines Institute, under construction in
Deckers shares are up more than 800% Boston, will speed up drug discovery.
under Powers. The company has nearly dou- Lilly’s lengthy pursuit of an effective
bled its operating margins and shifted to more Alzheimer’s treatment yielded a study
direct sales, from 34% of revenue to 40%. breakthrough last month, and data
Powers says that direct sales remain a priority will be presented next month. “If what
and that he can get them to 50%. we’re trying to do is prolong life and
—J.H. preserve memories and preserve
independence,” says Ricks, “I think
we’re there.”
—J.H.
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 27
One-Year
HOW OUR CEOs SHAPED UP Return
Most of the leaders on this year’s list have delivered for shareholders, along with customers. < 0%
J 1-50%
Years Return during S&P 500 Return 51-100%
as CEO Tenure during Tenure Returns through June 15 > 101%
GREG BROWN
15 10.1% 14.2% 40.8%
Motorola Solutions / MSI
WARREN BUFFETT
58 9.9%* 19.8%* *through the end of 2022 23.4%
Berkshire Hathaway / BRK.A
SAFRA CATZ
9 11.8% 16.6% 84.8%
Oracle / ORCL
TIM COOK
12 13.7% 26.4% 38.2%
Apple / AAPL
JAMIE DIMON
17 9.6% 10.5% 28.1%
JPMorgan Chase / JPM
TRICIA GRIFFITH
7 12.9% 25.4% 14.4%
Progressive / PGR
CEO since 2020
M
otorola CEO Greg to be CEO.” activist investors and private-equity transparent about the progress of the
Brown calls it his Today, Brown looks like a four-star deal makers, inexorably pressuring business, and is prepared to make
“battlefield general. Since he took over 15 years for better quarterly results. There’s bold investments, often which don’t
promotion.” ago, stock in his company—now radical transparency on social media, start to pay off until years seven, eight,
“This was 2007, Motorola Solutions (ticker: MSI), not just Twitter and Reddit but also or nine.”
and Motorola was under significant which sells communications products employee opinion-driven sites such as Nasdaq (NDAQ) CEO Adena
stress,” says Brown, who was then and services for customers such as Blind, critiquing every move, maybe Friedman and American Express
chief operating officer. “Carl Icahn police and emergency medical via leaked proprietary information— (AXP) CEO Steve Squeri are two
had a big position and was pressing services—has returned 668%, while that last point being but one facet of who may be hitting their stride. Since
and pressuring. The cellphone busi- the S&P 500 index is up 338%. a seismic digital transformation that Squeri became CEO in February 2018,
uary 2017, the company’s stock has son and the first Black woman ever Tale of Two Tenures 2005-20, stepping down, and then
returned 145% versus a 116% gain for selected to run it. Welcome to Faye While median tenure has plunged, the returning in November after the
the S&P 500. Wattleton’s world in 1978. “It was long tenures of "forever CEOs" have ouster of his successor, Bob Chapek.
They are the exceptions, though. very, very difficult,” she recalls. “We helped keep the average relatively flat. “I don’t like to point fingers, espe-
“The job is much different than were coming under attack. The year cially because we were in Covid,” says
people expect nowadays, even if before, the Minnesota affiliate had S&P 500 CEOs, Years in Job veteran Bank of America (BAC) ana-
they’ve had big roles before,” Dewar been burned to the ground. There Median Average lyst Jessica Reif Erlich. “Taking over a
says. “Satya Nadella [Microsoft were those who had no confidence company that big at that time seems a
(MSFT) CEO since 2014] told us that that I could handle the job. One board 8 years little unfair. And the industry is in a
it’s an information-asymmetry prob- member said, ‘No woman can handle very significant transition. Not a great
7
lem. No one underneath or above you a job this big.’ ” This, even though time to get your sea legs.”
sees all the things you see. You’re this Wattleton’s two male predecessors— What about the cultural issues that
6
single note of integration, and most the organization had been led by men Disney ran into in Florida? “We’re
people aren’t prepared for that. Bal- after founder Margaret Sanger—lasted not really supposed to make any state-
5
ancing stakeholders, which is increas- less than two years each. ments,” she says, “but what’s going
ingly difficult, is actually the work. Despite the long odds, Wattleton, on in Florida is unbelievable. It has
4
Most people think they know what who led the organization for 14 years become a political football.”
the job is, but they really are imagin- and served on numerous company 2013 '15 '20 Is Iger really the only person in the
ing a COO job, which is running the boards, including Estée Lauder and Source: Equilar world who can be CEO of Disney?
day-to-day business. And at least half Empire Blue Cross & Blue Shield, “For the moment, that’s true,” says
your time is everything else. Just met those challenges and thrived. Erlich. “He’s experienced, incredibly
because you’re good at running a day- “I had to step up to the public be hoping that Huang is good for an- skilled, and has been through many
to-day business doesn’t make you a scrutiny, which I think all CEOs to- other 30. It’s also worth noting that a cycles. The next time he picks his
good CEO.” day have to do in ways that have per- number of nonfounder tech forever successor, he knows it’s his legacy,
Brown of Motorola had to figure haps been heretofore unnecessary,” CEOs have also done well by share- and he needs to pick the right one.”
all that out fast. “The first six to nine she says. “A CEO used to be able to holders, such as Apple’s (AAPL) Tim The succession test also looms for a
months were undoubtedly the most be a colorless character. Now, with Cook, CEO since 2011, and Shantanu trio of high-profile bank CEOs—Jamie
grueling,” he says. “It was very, very, the power that has been accrued by Narayen of Adobe (ADBE), CEO Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase
very sobering….We announced our shareholders and stakeholders, the since 2007. (JPM) since 2006; Brian Moynihan,
intention to spin off the cellphone public aspect of leadership is very A couple of might-as-well-be Bank of America CEO since 2010; and
business—the very business that the significant.” founders, Howard Schultz and War- Morgan Stanley’s (MS) James Gor-
brand is known for. Four months The tech sector has produced some ren Buffett, who took minuscule enti- man, who also got the job in 2010.
later, we reached a settlement with familiar forever names, including ties and turned them into juggernauts, Gorman has announced that he will
Carl Icahn and let him have board founders such as Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, offer intriguing story lines. The 92- step down by next May, with no suc-
representation. I’d rather have him and Larry Ellison, all of whom stayed year-old Buffett, who became CEO cessor yet named. Speculation about
inside the tent pissing out than out- in the CEO seat for decades before of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, who will succeed Dimon has been rife
side the tent pissing in.” stepping back to become chairman. BRK.B) in 1965, some 58 years ago— for years, with numerous candidates
“There was no congratulatory One big-time tech founder CEO still which has to be some sort of record— departing. (Try Googling “Jamie Di-
Walt Disney’s Bob
victory lap,” Brown says. “None ex- unquestionably in charge is Jensen Iger is one of a tiny
is the greatest-of-all-time forever CEO. mon successors.”) And it’s worth not-
pected. As much as I’m proud of yes- Huang, 60, who has been CEO of troop of “forever (By comparison, Armand Hammer, ing that all three are short-termers
terday, I’m all about today and tomor- Nvidia (NVDA) for 30 years. Share- CEOs” who are long known for running Occidental compared with Blackstone (BX) co-
serving ever longer
row. I don’t look back a lot.” holders—who have been incredibly tenures in the cor- Petroleum (OXY), was CEO for a founder and CEO Steve Schwarzman,
Forever CEOs come in all shapes well rewarded over the years—may ner office. mere 33 years.) who has been in the corner office for
and sizes. Gartner’s (IT) Gene Hall, Schultz, meanwhile, represents the 38 years.
CEO since 2004, who rarely speaks to strengths of forever CEOs—since its I asked Dave Cote, rock star CEO
the media (and declined our request), 1992 initial public offering, Starbucks of Honeywell International (HON)
has been quietly killing it. “He’s not stock has returned 37,830% versus in 2002-17—during which time the
flashy at all,” says Silicon Valley 1,897% for the S&P 500—but also a company’s stock returned 372% ver-
power broker Maynard Webb, who potential weakness: the inability, or sus 190% for the S&P 500—how he
was on the Gartner board when it perhaps unwillingness, to find the knew when to step aside.
tapped Hall. “He’s like a Level 5 right person to take the baton. “I wanted to leave when the com-
leader.” Webb is referring to a concept Schultz famously left and returned pany was doing well because I didn’t
from Good to Great, by Jim Collins, twice as CEO of Starbucks (serving want my successor to be burdened
which describes a leader who displays in 1988-2000, 2008-16, and again with problems,” Cote says. “And I
a “powerful mixture of personal hu- from April 2022 to March 2023). wanted to make sure that I didn’t lose
mility and indomitable will.” What He recently relinquished the role— potential successors just because I
will a Level 5 leader get you? How perhaps for good, this time—to Lax- wanted to hang around. You can’t wait
about Gartner’s stock returning man Narasimhan, who, by accepting, too long, or the recruiters are going to
Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images
2,857% during Hall’s tenure, versus boosted the tally of short-termers, as pick off your good guys.”
477% for the S&P 500. he decamped from his previous CEO Is that what’s going on with Di-
Successful leaders can emerge from job at British consumer-goods com- mon? “I’ll let you sort that one out,”
any organization. Take Planned Par- pany Reckitt Benckiser (RKT.UK) Cote says, laughing. Actually, Dave,
enthood, which is a challenge to lead after three years. that’s for the JPMorgan board. Be-
in the best of circumstances. Imagine, Bob Iger is another back-and- cause no CEO, not even Dimon, is
though, that you are the youngest per- forther, having run Disney in forever. B
30 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
T E C H T R ADER
A big rally in tech stocks, along with a promising
pipeline of AI companies, should be breathing life
into the IPO market. Why it isn’t so simple.
To Be a While.
others will have to show something CAVA Group (CAVA), which doubled
very tangible before the institutional on the first day of trading, is encourag-
investors dive in.” ing. And, as Kennedy notes, there are a
Undaunted, I tried out my idea on handful of enterprise software compa-
David Hornik, founder of venture nies that give off AI vibes, which could
firm Lobby Capital and an early inves- be a lot closer to an IPO than the pure
A
tor in Bill.com, Fastly, GitLab, and gen-AI plays. He points to Databricks,
few weeks ago, I dozen venture-backed generative AI Splunk, among others. Turns out, a cloud-based data warehouse com-
came up with an in- unicorns—private companies with David is blunter than Lise. “No, I pany that competes with Snowflake
genious hypothesis valuations north of $1 billion. That don’t think that the AI companies will (SNOW); Dataiku, a nearly 10-year-old
about the initial pub- includes large-language model devel- jump in line,” Hornik told me. “The AI and machine learning company;
lic offering market. opers such as OpenAI, Anthropic, and Street has learned that lesson. Reve- Locus Robotics, which makes ware-
Hear me out, and Cohere, and the open-source model nue talks and bulls—t walks. So, yeah, house robots; and Automation Any-
then I’ll explain why provider Hugging Face. OpenAI might have the revenue to where, which sells software to auto-
everyone told me I was crazy—and My hypothesis: When you combine support an IPO. And they should run mate business processes.
why the tech IPO window might open, BY ERIC J. demand (for AI stocks) and supply (of to Nasdaq. But no one else will have There’s growing anticipation on the
but only a crack, before the end of the SAVITZ AI start-ups), you have a perfect recipe anything but a story.” He says any Street about the pending IPO—possi-
year. for reopening the IPO window, driven rush to take AI firms public “is so bly this fall—for the chip-design firm
This has been a fantastic year to by investor thirst for new plays on AI, 1997...at least I hope.” Arm Holdings, which is being spun
invest in technology stocks. The Nas- which some people think is the most Matt Kennedy, senior IPO market off by parent SoftBank Group
daq Composite is up 30% as we near important development since the inter- strategist at Renaissance Capital, which (SFTBY). But Arm is going to be
the midyear mark. After the Nasdaq net, cloud computing, or the iPhone. runs the Renaissance IPO exchange- tricky to value—it doesn’t make or sell
tumbled 33% last year, investors Or the horseless carriage. Or the wheel. traded fund, says institutional inves- components; it generates licensing
flocked back to tech stocks, for multi- A no-brainer, right? Well, no. tors focused on IPOs want to see an and royalty revenue from other chip
ple reasons. I ran my thinking past Lise Buyer, established business model, a path to companies. There are no effective
Throughout 2022, the Federal Re- founder and managing partner of profitability, and at last $100 million in comparisons in the public market.
serve steadily ratcheted up interest Class V Group, a consultancy focused revenue. OpenAI is the only company I talked to a senior tech banker at
rates, effectively reducing the value of on guiding companies through the IPO in the AI group that might meet those one of the biggest players in the IPO
future earnings, damaging tech high- process. She simply isn’t buying it. criteria, but it also has a deep-pocketed market, who told me there might be
fliers, both public and private. But the “Most AI software companies don’t investor in Microsoft that has basically buyer appetite for IPOs, but potential
Fed appears nearly done. have enough there yet to go public,” bet the company on the future of gener- issuers are feeling gun-shy. “We could
Meanwhile, the introduction last take a lot of companies public right
year of ChatGPT by OpenAI—just now,” he says.
over 200 days ago—has triggered a IPO Dreams For now, though, start-up leaders
frenzy of investor interest in generative The largest venture-backed companies ranked by private-market value. are balking, he says, because they’re
artificial-intelligence plays, driving Market troubled by a potentially slowing
huge gains across the market’s largest Company Value (bil) Comment economy and the need to likely take
technology stocks. Apple (ticker: ByteDance $225 TikTok parent; no IPO likely soon haircuts on recent private-market
AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet SpaceX 137 Elon’s rocket biz; could spinoff Starlink unit
valuations. Some of the highest-valua-
(GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN), tion unicorns (see table) raised money
Shein 66 Red-hot retailer founded in China
Nvidia (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), Meta in 2021, when valuations were a lot
Platforms (FB), Taiwan Semicon- Stripe 50 Payments firm cut valuation 47%; IPO seen as far off higher. Companies with no great need
ductor (TSM), Broadcom (AVGO), Canva 40 Graphics software; value tied to Adobe’s Figma bid for cash can simply wait to go public.
and Oracle (ORCL)—the 10 largest Revolut 33 VCs slashed valuation for the London fintech firm Meanwhile, companies that do need
U.S.-listed tech companies by market Epic Games 32 Makes Fortnite and other games the cash are the ones least likely to be
value—have an average gain of 76%. attractive to IPO investors.
Databricks 31 Cloud data platform; competes with Snowflake
Sounds like a raging tech bull market, The banker’s conclusion: We might
Fanatics 31 Licensed sports merchandise
don’t you think? get Arm and a couple of others in the
And here’s the other key ingredi- OpenAI 29 ChatGPT parent; Microsoft has a huge stake back half of the year. But most tech
ent. There are already more than a Sources: CB insights; company reports IPOs will have to wait for 2024. B
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 31
F UN DS
As of May 31, there were 580 mainly tiny stocks
trading below a price/book ratio of one, up from
an average of 296 in recent years, Barbee says.
A Deep-Value Stock
nies trading at discounts to book value upside.” Currently, it trades for $6.
has climbed. In energy, where Barbee has been
investing heavily in since the 2020
B
arbee’s current portfolio con- Covid-crisis oil collapse, he continues
Skimp on Quality
seem curious as Greece’s financial and-waiting-to-be-extracted oil re-
sector in the past was worse than the serves, in an environment where much
U.S.’ before Silicon Valley Bank’s col- of the shale-oil reserves in the U.S. are
lapse. The stock is up 145% in 2023. being depleted.
“It has had great returns in a difficult “The shale revolution that had
time for banking,” Barbee notes. added so much to the energy supply is
O
But the bulk of his portfolio is cur- reaching an endpoint,” he says. It re-
ld school—that’s the BY LEWIS Also, large U.S. stocks are expensive rently in mining, energy, and timber quires an “immense amount of rein-
best way to describe BRAHAM on a number of metrics, including stocks—companies with plenty of hard vestment and [capital expenditures]
Scott Barbee. As the price-to-book value, and have been for assets. Barbee likes miners with “hid- just to keep the oil supply constant.”
portfolio manager some time. den assets,” such as Centerra Gold The fact that MEG Energy already has
of the Aegis Value Consequently, Barbee’s stocks are (CGAU), as they can have what he calls “30 to 40 years of reserves, while In-
fund, he employs a often the smallest, most overlooked asymmetric returns relative to the ternational Petroleum has 15 [years’
valuation discipline few of his peers ones that big institutional investors price of gold bullion—more upside and worth]” is valuable.
practice anymore—looking for dis- ignore. His monthly screen for compa- hopefully less down as the market In timber/lumber, Barbee likes
counts to companies’ book values, or nies with price/book ratios below 1 is eventually recognizes the hidden value. Interfor (IFP.Canada), which has
net worth. a useful measure, albeit with some In Centerra’s case, the company been hit hard by the decline in new
Differing from the pack has worked provisos, of the opportunity set for owns mines worldwide, but its Turk- housing being built because of rising
well for the fund. Aegis Value (ticker: deep-value investors today. ish one shut down last year after a interest rates. While it generally costs
AVALX) has beaten 93% of its peers in As of May 31, for instance, there toxic mercury discovery in its process- $800 to produce 1,000 board feet of
Morningstar’s Small Value fund cate- were 580 mainly tiny, obscure stocks ing facilities. The stock plummeted, lumber, the market is currently valu-
gory over the past 15 years, with a trading below a price/book ratio of 1. but Barbee’s research indicated that ing Interfor’s lumber assets at about
9.8% annualized return. “Historically since 2002, we have av- the mine would reopen, so he pur- $330 per thousand feet, Barbee says.
A focus on classic deep value also eraged 296 stocks [trading below book chased Centerra as it hit lows of $4 a Moreover, the Canadian government
helped in 2022’s market bloodbath, value], so the number is quite elevated share in the third quarter. In May, owes the company some significant
when rising interest rates punished at the moment,” Barbee says. Though Turkish regulators issued a permit for export duty tax rebates it has yet to
highly valued stocks. While the S&P the S&P 500 is surging this year, Bar- the miner to resume operations. That, pay—a hidden asset.
500 index was down 18.1% in 2022 bee believes “the climb in stocks on plus the fact that Centerra has other Given the strong stock market run
and the popular small-cap value ex- our watch list is indicative of the un- mining operations for copper and mo- in 2023, Barbee hasn’t been buying
change-traded fund iShares Russell usual market bifurcation as it is highly lybdenum, leads Barbee to conclude much. One new addition to his portfo-
2000 Value (IWN) fell 14.7%, Aegis atypical for the list to grow as the that the stock still “offers tremendous lio is clothing retailer Delta Apparel
Value rose 10.5%. broad market blue chips are climbing (DLA), which has a price/book ratio of
Investing in the stocks of companies this strongly.” 0.45. “We’ve followed this company
that trade below their book value—the Yet the high watch-list number to-
Aegis Value’s Top and been investors in and out of it for
accounting value of assets such as fac- day isn’t an indicator to buy all things Ten Holdings nearly 20 years,” he says.
tories, inventory, and real estate, minus deep value. Barbee points out that a The stock has fallen almost 60% in
Company / Ticker Weighting
liabilities—is a strategy first popular- number of companies are low quality. the past year because rising cotton and
Amerigo Resources / ARG.Canada 6.6%
ized by Ben Graham in the 1930s. It Particularly in the financial sector labor costs have cut into the company’s
was subsequently studied and verified after the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, Hallador Energy / HNRG 6.0 profit margins. But Barbee says Delta
as a factor in stocks that outperform banks’ balance sheets may not reflect MEG Energy / MEG.Canada 5.3 is selling off its high-price inventory
the market by Nobel Prize–winning the true current value of their bond Kenmare Resources / KMR.UK 5.1 and its management team “has proven
academic Eugene Fama in 1992. portfolios, as there is a time lag for International Petroleum / IPCO.Canada 4.5
themselves very capable of managing
But few companies of any signifi- such balance-sheet markdowns: these kinds of situations in the past.”
Interfor / IFP.Canada 4.1
cant size trade below book value to- “Many banks have hit the [watch] list He sees the selloff as temporary.
day. Many of the largest, most valu- in recent months as book value hasn’t Peabody Energy / BTU 3.8 For a deep-value manager like Bar-
able ones, such as Microsoft (MSFT), been immediately impacted by in- Orezone Gold / ORE.Canada 3.8 bee, such temporary setbacks spell
have few physical assets on their bal- curred held-to-maturity losses on in- Equinox Gold / EQX.Canada 3.8 opportunity. B
ance sheets; rather, they own software vestment securities.” With the stocks Minera Alamos / MAI.Canada 3.4
programs and other intellectual prop- of regional banks down in anticipation Note: Holdings as of March 31 For more bargains in small stocks,
erty that book value doesn’t capture. of such losses, the number of compa- Sources: Morningstar Direct; Aegis Funds see page 32.
32 BARRON’S June 26
International
Small-Caps Are
Cheap. 5 Picks
BY LAUREN FOSTER about the outlook for international
M
small-cap stocks and some of his top
ark Costa discovered picks, including aerospace firm Rolls-
value investing as a col- Royce Holdings (RYCEY), which
lege student, when the makes and maintains high-powered
style was decidedly out engines, and Irish cider maker C&C
of favor. It was 1998— Group (CCR.UK). An edited version
two years before the of the conversation follows.
dot-com bubble burst
and small value began to outshine Barron’s: What is the case for inter-
megacap growth. national small-caps?
“I started reading books on value Mark Costa: There’s this mispercep-
and it made sense that you can actu- tion of the quality of the businesses
ally price businesses. These aren’t just within small-cap, particularly outside
stocks you’re speculating on based on the U.S. Most U.S. investors think
what other people think they’re small-caps are risky and non-U.S. even
worth,” says Costa, director of the riskier. There are many small-cap com-
investments group at Brandes Invest- panies that are risky, but when you
ment Partners in San Diego and port- have 10,000 companies to pick from,
folio co-manager of the $300 million you can discover businesses that are
Brandes International Small Cap the leading players in their industries.
Equity fund (ticker: BISAX). Overall, This is particularly true outside of
the team manages $725 million in its the U.S. Why? Because a lot of the
international small-cap strategy. countries we look at outside the U.S.
Costa began his value-investing are small in population. You can buy
career as an intern at Brandes, which the largest wireless telecom operator
has been investing in value stocks in a country outside of the U.S. and it’s
since 1974, and joined the firm in June a small-cap just because it is serving
2000. He now wears many hats, in- three or four million people.
cluding co-managing four funds, and
has been on the team that manages the How do you pick stocks?
international small-cap portfolio since We don’t think about investing in
2009. This year, the fund is up 19.18%, pieces of paper that we’re looking to
placing it in the first percentile of its trade in a few months. We think about
Morningstar category peers, ahead of buying a share in an underlying busi-
99% of the category. For one and three ness that we’re willing to own for
years, the fund sits in the top quartile, years. That’s the mind-set we bring to
ranking in the first and ninth percen-
tiles, respectively. Photograph by
Barron’s spoke with Costa on June 7 JOHN FRANCIS PETERS
6, 2023 BARRON’S 33
“We really like businesses with good balance sheets, cash-flow characteristics, and
growth outlooks.” Mark Costa
our portfolio-construction process: ing the consequence of that in the U.S. What changed? pects. Backlogs are already back above
What is this business worth? What are today. There’s no such thing as a 30- Covid happened—and with the travel pre-Covid levels, and free cash flow is
the competitive advantages? What are year mortgage in Ireland—they are lockdowns, Rolls got hit pretty hard. already positive.
the competitive weaknesses? How does mostly variable, so you aren’t taking We had taken a big exposure to aero-
the company fit within its industry? the interest-rate risk on duration. space in the months following the What else do you like?
We want businesses with a strong bal- emergence of Covid to capitalize on C&C Group has been around since the
ance sheet that can survive the uncer- How has the business—and the the short-term market fears, but Rolls early 1900s and owns a 60%-plus
tainty of the future and that are trading stock—performed? was just too risky for us. Then inter- market share in Irish cider and 50%
at a margin of safety. We look to buy at When we bought it, the price had national air travel recovered and the of the Scottish beer market. It also has
a discount to our fundamental value fallen to 3 billion euros [$3.3 billion] in company raised more than 3 billion a strong distribution business. C&C’s
estimate. We also want companies that market capitalization. The company pounds sterling [$3.8 billion] through pub exposure was hit hard during
manage their business with a margin had €13 billion of capital. And that an equity offering and disposal of Covid, so the recovery of that profit-
of safety. We really like businesses didn’t include a €2 billion to €3 billion noncore assets, which allowed it to able business line, as consumers move
with good balance sheets, cash-flow tax asset unrecognized on the balance pay off a lot of debt. Also, Rolls ex- back to consuming beverages in pubs
characteristics, and growth outlooks. sheet. We were buying a leading player tended its debt maturities. rather than at home, is the key driver
with scale and excess capital in a coun- So, we looked again at the big risks. of our long-term thesis. While bever-
What are some of your top picks? try that had a healthy credit environ- Air travel recovery: That box is ages are generally a stable/defensive
One company we own is AIB Group ment. That was a no-brainer. checked. Balance sheet: That’s fixed. business, Covid turned them into a
[AIBG.Ireland], the Irish bank. It has done well—the stock is up Then, in 2022, we started to see signs cyclical story. The end-market recov-
roughly 300% in the past three years. of cash flow recovering. We already ery should drive strong earnings and
The former large-cap stock? It continues to have good upside be- had an investment thesis, and then the cash-flow growth. Over time, there
Yes. After Covid, a lot of large-caps fell cause interest rates are now higher. United Kingdom had a mini budget may be additional upside should the
into small-cap territory. Brandes is a AIB is raising the dividend and there crisis that September, and most of the market multiple expand to more ap-
very flat organization, with 25 re- is potential for excess capital distribu- stocks on the London Stock Exchange propriately reflect the company’s more
search analysts who are industry spe- tion as the government loosens some fell dramatically. That’s when we are stable business characteristic.
cialists and cover their industry glob- of the tight regulations from the finan- able to buy this business at an attractive Millicom International Cellular
ally, across the market-cap spectrum. cial crisis. While the stock has per- price. Rolls is a former large-cap, and [TIGO] is another holding. It is a Lux-
Our analysts had already done the formed well from the Covid lows, AIB its market cap fell to around £5 billion embourg-headquartered wireless and
research on the AIB and we were able remains a top holding in our portfolio to £6 billion. Today it is trading around hard-line telecom firm that services
to act on it pretty quickly. due to its durable competitive position, £13 billion. We continue to like the nearly 50 million customers in Latin
strengthening business fundamentals, business and see considerable upside. America. We have followed the com-
What appealed to them? and attractive valuation, with the pany for more than 15 years, but only
We bought AIB in 2020, around the added benefit of potentially higher Any other aerospace holdings? bought the stock this year. We think
time that central banks unleashed an capital returns to shareholders. AIB We owned only one aerospace name Millicom is among the most attrac-
unprecedented policy response [to the trades at an attractive seven times con- prior to Covid, as the sector was ex- tively valued Latin American telecoms
Covid pandemic closures], sending sensus 2023 earnings per share and pensive and sitting at the peak of its providers. Its operations are concen-
interest rates to zero in Europe. His- 0.9 times price to tangible book value. cycle. Following Covid, the sector was trated in countries that have relatively
torically, we’ve had a structural bias crushed, so we now own several aero- low competition, lenient regulation,
away from banks—we were under- Rolls-Royce is another holding. space names. In aggregate, the posi- and manageable foreign-exchange
weight banks because small-cap banks How is the company doing? tion is now our single largest sector risk, while offering a favorable macro-
lack scale compared with larger com- Rolls-Royce is a company we followed allocation, at 11.5% of the portfolio. economic outlook.
petitors and this is a global, competi- for years. Its main business is design- We have owned Embraer [ERJ] on We believe Millicom is mispriced
tive industry in which scale matters. ing and manufacturing commercial and off since 2001. We know it well, because of its complexity, thin Wall
AIB is the second-largest bank in engines for wide-body planes—planes but it is misunderstood by the market Street coverage, and depressed free
Ireland in a highly consolidated mar- with a double aisle. The engines last and doesn’t have a lot of analyst cover- cash flow. Typically, investors like
ket, with 30% market share across 30 years and the company typically age. Embraer is based in Brazil but is telcos for their cash-generative busi-
different lending categories. It has an sells them at a loss but makes the a global business: It’s the dominant ness models. In this case, the com-
overcapitalized balance sheet. Post-fi- profits back on the service agree- player in commercial regional aircraft pany is making large investments in
nancial crisis, Ireland had a property ments, which are highly profitable. and also provides military aircraft to wireline that are consuming cash
bubble that collapsed and the govern- Rolls went through a period when the Brazilian government. Embraer is flow, so it doesn’t screen as attractive.
ment nationalized AIB Group and took it wasn’t striking those long-term also a leading provider of business As these investments complete, cash
it public with a clean balance sheet. agreements at attractive rates. Back in jets, with 15%-20% market share. flow should recover. Because the
The regulatory landscape was tight 2015-17, we felt uncomfortable with its The hidden gem is the services stock isn’t well covered, these attri-
in terms of underlying credit require- accounting and free-cash-flow conver- business, which is growing at double- butes aren’t appropriately reflected in
ments, so we felt good about the credit sion, and it had some warranty issues. digit rates and is highly profitable. the stock price. That makes us ex-
book and balance sheet. We also liked We passed on the company, even Embraer is well capitalized and en- cited about owning the position here.
that the bank had low exposure to though it was trading at a low price- tered Covid with $2.8 billion in cash.
long-term fixed-rate debt. You’re see- to-earnings multiple. It has good long-term growth pros- Thanks Mark. B
34 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
THE EC ONOMY
German unemployment is near historically low
levels. In April, Germany’s jobless rate ran just
below 3%, lower than the U.S. level of 3.4%.
Low Unemployment.
to admit it, but one of the main ways outlook for [German]
higher interest rates quell inflation is
by prodding companies to cut costs. growth. But the worst
As companies downsize and let staff
is behind us...”
Why Is It in Recession?
go, it’s harder for workers to bid up
pay. Muted wage growth, in turn, Andrzej Szczepaniak
makes it harder for companies to raise
prices, slowing inflation.
On the flip side, if unemployment
doesn’t rise, workers have more lever- probably continue raising interest
G
age to seek higher pay, particularly if rates even though economic growth
ermany is a long she raised interest rates again and inflation has been strong. That rein- has ground to a halt. Core inflation,
way from the promised more hikes to come. She forces inflationary tendencies. which excludes volatile components
U.S., with a differ- noted that labor and wage growth are Unemployment is also a lagging such as food and energy, has also re-
ent geopolitics “major drivers” of inflation, implying indicator. Joblessness usually rises mained surprisingly strong.
and economy. But that rates may have to stay higher for after economic growth cools, and in- Again, the similarity with the U.S.
Germany’s recent longer to control cost pressures. creases the longer recessions go on. situation is stark. The Fed, which be-
economic plight Like Germany, the U.S. labor mar- What’s behind this low unemploy- gan its tightening campaign last year,
might offer some clues to what may lie BY BRIAN ket has remained strong despite the ment? “The labor market is still in good has raised rates further and faster
ahead for the U.S. SWINT Federal Reserve’s interest-rate in- shape. It’s not a typical recession,” says than the ECB. The Fed is undoubtedly
Germany, Europe’s economic pow- creases. The U.S. economy cooled in Stefan Schneider, Deutsche Bank’s hoping it can thread the needle by
erhouse, went into recession after its June, according to the S&P Global chief Germany economist in Frankfurt. cutting the number of jobs available—
gross domestic product fell over the purchasing managers index released It’s possible that companies are “wor- listed as vacancies in unemployment
past two quarters. Much of the blame on Friday, with both services and ried that if they let people go, they statistics—to keep a lid on wages with-
for the recession has been laid on manufacturing falling. Still, services won’t be able to hire them again later.” out actually driving up the jobless rate
weakness in Germany’s key manufac- continue to expand while manufactur- Schneider believes the lack of lay- enough to trigger a recession.
turing sector, which has been crippled ing is shrinking, the report showed. offs has a lot to do with skills short- So far, the U.S. labor market re-
by energy costs from the Ukraine war Even if the U.S. follows Germany ages and demographics of an aging mains resilient. The latest U.S. Job
and the withdrawal of government into recession, unemployment might workforce. Companies are reluctant to Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
spending after the Covid pandemic. remain relatively low, making the cut staff, especially when vacancy showed 1.8 job openings for every
Germany’s downturn has dragged downturn shallower than it might rates remain high. With baby boomers unemployed person. Traditionally,
down the entire 20-nation euro area, otherwise have been—but also requir- hitting retirement age, workers that economists reckon that ratio needs to
pulling it into recession as well. companies let go may choose to retire be lower, say 1 to 1.2, to be consistent
It’s an atypical recession. The rea- rather than remain in the workforce. with a labor market that isn’t adding
son: German unemployment has re- Resilient Labor It’s another indication of how aging to inflation pressures.
mained near historically low levels. In Both Germany and the U.S. have seen unemployment steadily populations are becoming an infla- “It’s very possible for the Fed to slow
April, Germany’s jobless rate was run- fall since the pandemic, despite aggressive interest-rate hikes tionary force, adding to powerful the economy and bring down the va-
ning just below 3%, even lower than by their respective central banks. pressures pushing up consumer cancy rate materially without necessar-
the U.S. level of 3.4%. prices that have surprised policy mak- ily inducing a hard landing,” says No-
U.S. unemployment rate Germany unemployment rate
The anomaly of a recession with ers over the past few years. Forecasts mura economist Andrzej Szczepaniak.
low unemployment has implications 17.5% from both the Fed and the European “The unemployment rate could stay
for everyone from investors to work- Central Bank have underestimated much more subdued and not rise as
15.0
ers to central bankers. On the one inflation, even before the surge in en- you would expect under normal tight-
hand, it may mean that interest rates 12.5 ergy costs following Russia’s invasion ening cycles.”
have to go higher than previously of Ukraine in February 2022. Meanwhile, Germany’s outlook still
10.0
thought to bring down inflation. On Deepening the problem is that Ger- doesn’t look great. Deutsche Bank pre-
the other hand, the downturn caused 7.5 many is still seeing its services sector dicts modest expansion in the second,
by higher rates could turn out to be bounce back after Covid shut things third, and fourth quarters. But if the
5.0
less painful than past experience down. That’s a problem, since services contraction is as bad as it gets, Ger-
would imply—that is, the rebound can 2.5 create jobs in parts of the economy many, and by extension the euro area,
start off on a strong foot. 0 that haven’t been hit as badly as man- can count itself lucky. “We’re looking at
European Central Bank President ufacturing in the economic downturn. quite a bleak, muted outlook for
2008 '10 '15 '20
Christine Lagarde described the labor Note: Recessions are shaded; seasonally adjusted.
Indeed, inflation in services is one growth,” says Szczepaniak. “But the
market as an “enigma” on June 15, as Source: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development via St. Louis Fed of the main reasons the ECB will worst is behind us in some sense.” B
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 35
1 “Euribor Products” means any and all interest rate swaps, forward rate agreements, futures, options, structured products, and any other instrument or transaction related in any way to Euribor, including but not limited to, New York Stock
Exchange (“NYSE”) London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange (“LIFFE”) Euribor futures contracts and options, Chicago Mercantile Exchange (“CME”) Euro currency futures contracts and options, Euro currency forward
agreements, Euribor-based swaps, Euribor-based forward rate agreements, and/or any other financial instruments that reference Euribor.
2 The “Settlement Agreement” means the agreement between Plaintiffs and Société Générale entered into on March 31, 2023, and filed with the Court in this action.
36 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
MARKET WEEK
June 19 through June 23, 2023
Dow Jones Industrials S&P 500 Nasdaq Composite Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF
33,727.43
52-wk: +7.07% YTD: +1.75% Wkly: -1.67%
4348.33
52-wk: +11.16% YTD: +13.25% Wkly: -1.39%
13,492.52
52-wk: +16.24% YTD: +28.91% Wkly: -1.44%
$103.28
52-wk: +16.28% YTD: +5.16% Wkly: -2.06%
1.0%
“A Long Way To Go.” The R-Word
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave Data on the U.S. manufacturing economy
0.5
Congressional testimony on Wednesday. out Friday morning further stoked
Powell doubled down on the message that fears of a potential recession. Stock
more hikes may be needed to fight inflation. indexes fell to close out a losing week. 0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
T
he stock market It’s no secret what’s driving the Fundstrat. The “magnificent seven,”
Against
The S&P 500 index fell 1.4% this numbers on May 24, boosted by beginning of a six- to 12-month surge
past week, snapping a five-week rising demand for artificial-intelli- in [estimate] revisions like we saw
Tech
winning streak, while the Dow Jones gence computing power. during the [dot-com] bubble?”
Industrial Average dropped 572 And even in a down week, three That potential isn’t reflected in
points, or 1.7%, and the Nasdaq Com- of the seven finished the week higher, stocks yet. Microsoft, for instance, is
posite declined 1.4%, ending an eight- and all but Microsoft and Tesla out- back to trading only where it was in
week winning streak. Yet even after performed the S&P 500. late 2021, and that’s probably a reflec-
the drops, the S&P 500 remains up It isn’t all AI, says Brian Rauscher, tion of current fundamentals, not
13% in 2023. head of global portfolio strategy for AI optimism, says Francisco Bido,
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 37
Vital Signs
Friday’s Week’s Week’s Friday’s Week’s Week’s
Close Change % Chg. Close Change % Chg.
DJ Industrials 33727.43 -571.69 -1.67 Barron’s Future Focus 914.61 -19.40 -2.08
DJ Transportation 14687.87 -104.99 -0.71 Barron’s Next 50 2562.23 -50.94 -1.95
DJ Utilities 902.46 -22.46 -2.43 Barron’s 400 943.95 -21.62 -2.24
DJ 65 Stocks 11243.88 -171.95 -1.51 Last Week Week Earlier
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38 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
Industry Action
Performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Industrials, ranked by weekly percent change.*
OF THE S&P 500 IN ONE ETF Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices
United Rentals (URI), Deere (DE), With Tesla, it’s often easy, or easier, to
Visit www.sectorspdrs.com or call 1-866-SECTOR-ETF Eaton (ETN), Schneider Electric (SB- see why the stock is moving up or down. It
GSY), Quanta Services (PWR), and isn’t always simple, though, to understand
Johnson Controls International (JCI) why it moves so much for the given reason.
An investor should consider investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses carefully before investing. To obtain a
prospectus, which contains this and other information, call 1-866-SECTOR-ETF or visit www.sectorspdrs.com. Read the are among the stocks that fit the bill. Consider the recent run. Coming into
prospectus carefully before investing. United Rentals and Deere provide equip- Thursday’s trading, Tesla shares were up
All ETFs are subject to risk, including possible loss of principal. Sector ETF products are also subject to sector risks and non-diversification risks, which generally ment for construction. Quanta builds com- about 42% since May 25. Two things
results in greater price fluctuations than the overall stock market. Ordinary brokerage commissions apply. plex electrical infrastructure. Eaton and happened that day. First, Nvidia stock
The S&P 500 is an index of 500 common stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. You cannot invest directly in an index. Schneider make equipment for electrical soared 24% after reporting that its AI-
ALPS Portfolio Solutions Distributor, Inc., a registered broker-dealer, is distributor for the Select Sector SPDR Trust. infrastructure. Johnson Controls sells heat related business was doing much better
pumps that electrify home heating than anyone expected. Then, Tesla and
and cooling. Ford Motor (F) announced a deal allow-
These are popular stocks with analysts. ing Ford drivers to use Tesla’s Super-
Almost 70% of those covering the compa- chargers.
nies rate the shares a Buy, well above the Both events, like the new @Tesla_AI
average Buy-rating ratio of 55% for stocks Twitter account, crystallized the idea that
in the S&P 500. All six are expected to Tesla is more than just a car company,
grow earnings in the coming years, and something key for Tesla valuation. Tesla,
2024 earnings estimates have been going after all, is worth about three Toyota Mo-
up in recent months. tors (TM), despite selling a fraction of the
The sextet trades for about 17 times 2024 vehicles. In addition to EVs, Elon Musk’s
estimated earnings, on average, a little be- car company owns its own dealership, has
low the S&P 500 multiple of 18 times. But a chain of charging stations, offers AI-
the range is wide. United Rentals trades for developed software to help cars drive
about nine times earnings, while Quanta themselves, and sells solar roofs, utility-
trades for about 23 times. scale battery-storage products, and even
They’re as good a place to start as any car insurance.
when a buying opportunity finally presents Given Nvidia’s 40% rise since its blow-
itself. out quarterly report, excitement over AI
is probably responsible for much of Tesla’s
Tesla and the Downside of AI Hype gains. That makes sense, but there are
Tesla started tweeting on Wednesday from limits. Tesla shares now trade for about
an official Twitter account devoted to artifi- 77 times 2023 estimated earnings, up from
cial intelligence, one designed to highlight 25 times when Barron’s wrote positively
how the EV maker’s AI efforts can help the about the stock early this year. Simply put,
company in the future. It’s also a reason to the AI frenzy has made the shares a little
sell the stock. pricey for our tastes.
Tesla’s shares (TSLA) have soared this Wall Street is starting to see things our
year, but they’re also exceptionally volatile. way. Tesla’s recent run has driven two
The stock has ranged from about $102 to downgrades from analysts over the past
$315 over the past year. The $213 gap is few days. Both Morgan Stanley and Bar-
more than 100% of the average closing clays took their ratings to Equal Weight
price over that span. The same calculation from Overweight. Both brokers cited the
for Apple (AAPL) yields about 40% of the AI-related hype that had inflated the
average price. stock’s valuation. B
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 39
INTERNATIONAL TRADER I N C O M E I N V E ST I N G
Modi Looks to Expand Put This on a Post-It:
India’s Tech Ambitions 3M’s Payout Looks Dicey
BY CRAIG MELLOW prize from his summit: a $2.7 billion plant BY AL ROOT Dray can’t recommend the shares. He
from U.S. memory-chip power Micron rates 3M stock underperform, which is
A O
state dinner at the White House, Technology (MU) to test and package ne of the “dividend aristocrats” is the equivalent of Sell. His price target is
address to a joint session of Con- semiconductors postproduction. Delhi in trouble—and a payout cut is $95 a share, down about 6% from recent
gress, and one-on-one with Elon will reportedly subsidize half the cost. likely coming. Investors should levels of about $102 a share.
Musk might satisfy most foreign “The Micron investment would be a first avoid 3M stock, at least until the Overall, 3M might have to take on as
leaders visiting Washington. Indian Prime baby step,” says Gaurav Gupta, a re- payout is reduced. much as $30 million in debt to cover all
Minister Narendra Modi brings bigger searcher at tech consultant Gartner. “Sing- 3M (ticker: MMM) has paid a dividend settlements, according to Wolfe Research
ambitions with him this week: hitching apore, Malaysia, and Vietnam already for more than 100 years and raised its analyst Nigel Coe. That would take debt
India’s wagon to the decoupling/derisking/ have testing and packaging ecosystems.” annual payout for over 60 years, putting it levels to about five times earnings before
friend-shoring star that is gradually shift- TCS, Infosys, and rivals are linked to in rarefied air. The company is one of the interest, taxes, deprecation, and amorti-
ing advanced manufacturing out of China. the old new economy, particularly the 66 dividend aristocrats in the ProShares zation, or Ebitda, based on 2023 esti-
The Biden administration is happy to U.S. banks that dominate their client S&P 500 500 Dividend Aristocrats mates—well above the typical ratio below
help, rolling out grand-sounding bilateral lists, says Rahul Malhotra, a Singapore- exchange-traded fund (NOBL), a portfolio two times for S&P 500 nonfinancial com-
programs such as the Initiative for based tech analyst at AB Bernstein. That of firms that have raised payouts for at panies. What’s more, that debt could add
Emerging and Critical Technology and has kept their stocks subdued while the least 25 consecutive years. more than $1 billion in annual interest
Semiconductor Supply Chain and Inno- artificial intelligence frenzy lifts other The list might be 65 soon. 3M currently expense, which would eat up roughly
vation Partnership. It still won’t be easy. tech names. “The IT services guys will pays a $1.50 quarterly dividend, giving the 20% of projected free cash flow and push
From a standing start in the 1990s, benefit from AI maybe two or three years stock a yield of almost 6%. That’s too high annual dividend payouts to more than
India has built a globally competitive from now, when their bank customers for an aristocrat—the average company 80% of projected free cash flow.
brain-power complex, Bengaluru and start integrating it,” he predicts. yields less than 2%—and shows that in- “The 3M board faces some hard
Hyderabad taking their place alongside What India has that Singapore, Malay- vestors are worried about something. choices,” writes Coe, who also rates
San Jose and Shenzhen as knowledge sia, and Vietnam don’t is scale. The na- That something is 3M’s legal issues— shares the equivalent of Sell and has a
nexuses. Firms like Tata Consultancy tion of 1.4 billion churns out 2.5 million two of them, to be exact. First, the com- $92 price target on the stock.“It isn’t a
Services (ticker: 532540.India) and Info- college graduates in STEM specialties pany is defending itself against accusa- question of whether, but how much, the
sys (500209.India) have pioneered the each year. Its economy, No. 5 in the world, tions that it sold faulty earplugs to the dividend resets.”
new economic category of IT outsourc- is growing by more than 6% annually. military. It also has to worry about so- 3M directed Barron’s to recent com-
ing. The U.S. semiconductor elite em- The digital economy is growing much called forever chemicals—they’re techni- ments by CEO Mike Roman, who said
ploys tens of thousands of Indian re- faster. Amazon.com (AMZN) last month cally known as per- and polyfluoroalkyl the dividend has been “a high priority.”
searchers for chip design. earmarked $13 billion to build out cloud substances, or PFAS—that the Environ- A dividend cut could come when 3M
What India doesn’t do well is make services in India. mental Protection Agency designated as completes the spinoff of its healthcare
complicated stuff. The country produces Modi’s manufacturing drive has plenty hazardous substances in April due to their business, slated for the end of 2023. The
less than 5% of the world’s electronics; of low-hanging fruit to pick in less-than- potential to cause cancer and other health new healthcare company is expected to
China, more than a third. Modi is throw- cutting-edge tech, Tufts’ Chaturvedi as- issues. Last Thursday, 3M announced a have more debt than the parent company,
ing subsidy money and political capital at serts. “You could see a big domestic mar- $12.5 billion settlement for PFAS remedia- which will help 3M’s balance sheet. But
changing that. “They want the back office ket in simple chips for cars and washing tion for public water suppliers, and more the spin will also remove healthcare’s
of the world to also become the workshop machines that are feeding India’s own settlements are likely to come. earnings, some $2.4 billion in 2022
of the world,” says Ravi Shankar growing affluence,” he says. Settling or fighting both issues will Ebitda, or 36% of profits, before corpo-
Chaturvedi, co-founder of Tufts Univer- As the pomp laid on in Washington drain liquidity and might make cash rate and other expenses. 3M will hold
sity’s Digital Planet program. attests, there’s good reason to believe that preservation a higher priority for the about 20% of the healthcare IPO, which
The top trophy of high-tech manufac- India’s hour has come, or at least might be 121-year-old company, famous for its could be worth $5 billion, but that isn’t
turing, a “fab” to produce semiconductors, coming. “What happened in China over Scotch tape and Post-it Notes. enough to shore up the balance sheet,
looks beyond India’s reach for the mo- the past 10 to 15 years will happen in India With 3M stock trading at just 11 times given all the legal woes.
ment, not least because the companies over the next 10-15,” says Hemant Taneja, estimated 2024 earnings, below its five- Yes, there might be one or two more
involved have commitments elsewhere. In CEO of San Francisco–based venture-cap- year average of 16 times, it’s possible that $1.50 payouts ahead of the healthcare
just the past week, U.S. champion Intel ital firm General Catalyst, which invested those issues are reflected in the price. spin. But investors looking for yield
(INTC) greenlighted $40 billion worth of in nine Indian companies last year. But that was before the legal liabilities should pass on 3M—at least until some of
new fabs in Israel, Germany, and Poland. Modi offers no shortcut to decoupling started to weigh on the stock. And with the legal dust settles and the reset is
Modi could walk away with a smaller from China, though. B all the unknowns, RBC analyst Deane done. B
40 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
T H E ST RIKING PRIC E
How to harness the upside in stocks with less risk
using call spreads on the Technology Select Sec-
tor SPDR exchange-traded fund.
200
28 175
I
150
consider call spreads. The strategy be-
f all of your friends decided to came a favorite of the fast-money set after 20 125
jump off a bridge, you probably the global financial crisis because it often
100
wouldn’t jump too. Such is one of positions investors to make 100% returns
the great lessons of childhood. on rising stocks without taking on tons of 12 75
But if you thought that all of risk. J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J
your friends were making money Consider the Technology Select Sec- Daily Values Source: CBOE Source: McMillan Analysis Corp.
trading stocks and options, you tor SPDR ETF (ticker: XLK). The fund is
would likely feel yourself consumed with up about 40% this year, fueled in part by
the fear of missing out, or FOMO, for mak- even better-performing stocks such as SPX Skew NDX Skew
ing money. Such is one of the great lessons Nvidia (NVDA). Implied volatility % Implied volatility %
of adulthood. With XLK at $168.65, an investor would 13% 11%
Investors need something like the Di- buy the August $175 call and sell the Au- 12
agnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental gust $185 call. The spread costs about $2.25 10
11
Disorders to check their behavioral bi- and is worth a maximum profit of $10 if 9
ases. But self-awareness for most inves- the ETF is at $185 or higher at expiration. 10
tors usually comes after the bust, which is If the ETF declines, and is below $175 at 9 8
probably why there are so few truly great expiration, the trade fails, although with a 8
7
investors. silver lining. Options cost less than buying
7
Everyone likes to quote Warren Buffett, the underlying stock, so you lose less using 6
6
who famously said investors should be options instead of stocks. During the past
greedy when others are fearful and fearful 52 weeks, XLK has ranged from $112.97 to 5 5
when others are greedy. But few people $176.30. J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J
ever feel comfortable doing the opposite of The call spread has something else that Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy Source: Credit Suisse Equity Derivatives Strategy
the market mob. makes the strategy even more economical Skew indicates whether the options market expects a stock-market advance or decline. It measures the difference between the implied
volatility of puts and calls that are 10% out of the money and expire in three months. Higher readings are bearish.
So, consider this column as a dose of going forward than buying a stand-alone
FOMO-overdose antidote to keep greedy call. Plus, call spreads let investors mone-
investors alive if the market mob OD’s on tize greed. Week’s Most Active
stocks. Oh, the medicine will still hurt— One of the great qualities of call spreads Company Symbol Tot Vol Calls Puts Avg Tot Vol IV %ile Ratio
but at least you won’t be dead. is that the strategy lets investors monetize DICE Therapeutics DICE 35784 14655 21129 320 66 111.8
Grindr GRND 7896 7518 378 204 77 38.7
Forget for a moment that just last week the greed of other people. La-Z Boy LZB 7142 3556 3586 264 80 27.1
we noted that options-trading flows were This happens by selling the upside call FingerMotion FNGR 16781 16594 187 872 49 19.2
telegraphing cautiousness, reinforcing the to the dealer, or whoever winds up buying Abcam ABCM 2847 2659 188 160 100 17.8
Root ROOT 10781 5997 4784 692 89 15.6
existence of a disconnect between major it. Put another way, the spread helps inves- Steelcase SCS 3293 2330 963 236 16 14.0
institutional investors and the market tors to express their greed without being Embraer ERJ 26444 24023 2421 2728 6 9.7
mob. We’ve seen this disconnect emerge a consumed by their greed. This is impor- Lordstown Motors RIDE 36636 24467 12169 4608 96 8.0
Virgin Galactic SPCE 855906 586586 269320 108556 98 7.9
few times since 2000, and each time the tant and appropriate for these times.
Algoma Steel ASTL 22724 22055 669 3068 36 7.4
ending was violent and messy. Many bullish calls on many stocks are Hive Blockchain Technologoes HIVE 14846 13571 1275 2044 1 7.3
Yet, the rubble of each market crash trading with greed premiums because so China A-Shares ETF ASHR 329854 326030 3824 51376 33 6.4
has created an evangelical belief all across many people are buying calls to chase and nCino NCNO 7255 5788 1467 1356 32 5.4
CureVac CVAC 14560 14105 455 2780 69 5.2
the world that stocks always regain their trade the stock market rally. CarMax KMX 85215 37025 48190 16516 97 5.2
upward momentum, no matter what led What’s the catch to all of this? The LivePerson LPSN 12358 8522 3836 2404 91 5.1
them to tumble. This is probably the drawback is that spreads limit profits. You Applied Optoelectronics AAOI 15406 11710 3696 3080 91 5.0
Hut 8 Mining HUT 134308 112953 21355 28608 11 4.7
greatest risk facing the markets. But hey, can only make the difference between the Fedex FDX 430761 195432 235329 93876 5 4.6
it’s more fun to think about making two strike prices. Of course, anyone who
money than not, so here’s a strategy quibbles with the prospect of limited risk This table of the most active options this week, as compared to average weekly activity – not just raw volume. The idea is that the unusually heavy trading in these options might be a predictor of
corporate activity – takeovers, earnings surprises, earnings pre-announcements, biotech FDA hearings or drug trial result announcements, and so forth. Dividend arbitrage has been eliminated. In
worth contemplating. strategies that could produce a 100% re- short, this list attempts to identify where heavy speculation is taking place. These options are likely to be expensive in comparison to their usual pricing levels. Furthermore, many of these
situations may be rumor-driven. Most rumors do not prove to be true, so one should be aware of these increased risks if trading in these names
If you want to try to harness the upside turn needs to see a shrink. B Ratio is the Tot Vol divided by Avg Tot Vol. IV %ile is how expensive the options are on a scale from 0 to 100. Source: McMillan Analysis
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 41
I N S I DE SC OOP
per-share prices ranging from $2.72 POWER PLAY
to $3.63. Following the fresh invest-
NRG Activist
ment, Juniper Investment holds
10.7% of Bioventus’ tradable stock.
Bartholdson was appointed to Bio-
Likely Won’t
ventus’ board this January. Bioven-
tus has gained 15% year to date,
Caesars Entertainment
though it trades well below an all-
time high of $19.94 reached in late
June 2021.
Back Down
CEO Tom Reeg Buys Stock Decreases in BY CARLETON ENGLISH
N
Holdings RG Energy announced
a raft of changes at its
BY ED LIN days of June, shares traded sideways. GMS (GMS) investor day Thursday,
C
On June 14, Reeg paid $370,725 for Coliseum Capital trimmed its but activist investor
aesars Entertainment 7,500 Caesars shares, at an average interest in the building-materials Elliott Management
stock sports a year-to-date price of $49.43 each. He purchased the company to 4,772,485 shares. From probably won’t be pla-
gain, but it flatlined in stock through a trust that now owns Gaming and lodg- June 12 through 16, Coliseum Capi- cated.
June—and CEO Tom Reeg 17,500 shares, according to a form ing company Cae- tal sold 1,564,088 GMS shares at The Houston-based utility in-
bought a large block of Reeg filed with the Securities and Ex- sars Entertain- prices ranging from $66.01 to creased its buyback program to $2.7
shares of the gaming and change Commission. He also owns ment has seen its $68.80 each. Following those sales, billion from $1 billion, with a plan
lodging company. another 318,270 shares in a personal shares lose some Coliseum holds 11.6% of GMS’ out- to return 80% of excess cash to
Caesars stock (ticker: CZR) has account. steam. CEO Tom standing stock. GMS reported a investors. NRG (ticker: NRG) also
gained about 8% so far in 2023. The Caesars didn’t respond to a request Reeg then bought strong fourth quarter on June 22. identified $150 million in cost re-
fourth-quarter report in February and to make Reeg available for comment. a block of stock on RBC Capital Markets analyst Mike ductions, and said it was working
the first-quarter report on May 2 were His last open-market purchase of the open market. Dahl lifted his price target on GMS with a search firm to bolster the
both upbeat. stock was in March 2022, when he stock to $68 from $55, and kept a board of directors.
J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff paid $713,755 for 10,000 Caesars Sector Perform rating. Dahl wrote Those moves sent NRG stock up
wrote after the first-quarter report shares, at an average price of $71.38 in a research report, “[W]e still see 3% in Thursday’s trading. BofA
that “properties in its Las Vegas and each. That transaction was also made a balanced risk/reward following Securities analysts said the com-
regional gaming markets, broadly, through the trust. the recent rally in the stock.” pany’s updates to shareholders
remain relatively healthy and steady, J.P. Morgan’s Greff added, “We con- were “exceeding the goal post,” and
despite an uncertain slowing macro.” tinue to see value in the shares of Cae- Expro Group Holdings reiterated a Buy rating on shares.
Greff edged up the price target on Cae- sars with an underappreciation of its (XPRO) Similarly, John Buethe, a portfolio
sars stock to $70 from $69, and reaf- free-cash-flow generation, with the Oak Hill Advisors reduced its manager for Maven Investment
firmed an Overweight rating. shares implying attractive free-cash- holding in the well services firm to Partners, called NRG “one of the
But after surging in the first few flow yields.” B 17,774,045 shares, excluding shares most exciting growth areas in clean-
underlying restricted stock. Oak tech,” in light of its updates and
Hill Advisors executed a block acquisition of Vivint Smart Home in
trade sale of 2,320,000 Expro March. It’s strategy, he added, is
Group shares at a price of $17.37 “potentially transformative.”
Sarepta Therapeutics uniQure Marathon Digital Holdings Smith & Wesson Brands
SRPT (NASD) • $114.09 • -16.35 QURE (NASD) • $11.45 • -8.00 MARA (NASD) • $12.71 • 2.73 SWBI (NASD) • $13.51 • 1.58
The company’s gene therapy for muscular dystro- A clinical trial of the company’s gene therapy for the Bitcoin miners like Marathon rose with the crypto- The gun maker hiked its dividend 20%, after re-
phy got FDA approval—but for a narrow population fatal neurological illness Huntington’s Disease yielded currency, as a crypto exchange was unveiled by porting better-than-expected April quarter earnings
and conditional on results of an ongoing study. mixed results—leaving its effectiveness unsure. Schwab, Citadel Securities and other Wall Streeters. of 32 cents a share. It foresees strong sales.
The charts record the net change in share price, the high, low and closing trades, and share volume for companies with noteworthy stock activity last week. In addition, the graphs depict last week’s daily price activity in detail. The dotted line on some graphs denotes the stock’s 200-day moving average; lack of a moving average means the shares have traded for less than
that time period. If the close from the current week is lower than a year ago the graph will be presented in red. If the close from the current week is higher than a year ago then the graph will be presented in green.
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 43
W I N N E R S & LO S E R S
Saturday Inbox: Sign up for the
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NYSE Biggest % Movers NYSE Most Active NYSE American Most Active Nasdaq Most Active
Winners Volume Percentage Leaders Volume Percentage Leaders Volume Percentage Leaders
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. Name (Sym) Volume %Chg. Close Change Name (Sym) Volume %Chg. Close Change Name (Sym) Volume %Chg. Close Change
EmpresaDisCom(EDN) 470 14.65 +2.67 +22.3 LiveWire(LVWR) 1375 1826.9 11.27 +1.27 ContangoOre(CTGO) 521 1126.7 24.50 –6.96 Root(ROOT) 14849 2532.5 10.98 +4.63
GreenTree(GHG) 101 5.34 +0.90 +20.3 GlobalBlue(GB) 1531 1737.8 4.65 –0.42 EvansBancorp(EVBN) 754 885.8 24.89 –0.36 DiceTherap(DICE) 49662 1973.7 46.70 +12.85
BrightHealth(BHG) 751 13.62 +2.18 +19.1 SeacorMarine(SMHI) 3765 1439.8 11.21 +0.79 InfuSystems(INFU) 2529 861.2 9.88 –0.05 FidelityD&D(FDBC) 630 1678.9 49.31 –0.05
FivePoint(FPH) 242 2.67 +0.39 +17.1 HimalayaShipping(HSHP) 3788 1428.5 6.34 +0.40 GencorInds(GENC) 1452 809.8 14.54 +0.15 CodorusValleyBncp(CVLY) 1238 1517.8 19.70 –0.41
QuotientTech(QUOT) 32579 3.88 +0.53 +15.8 EveHolding(EVEX) 2525 1193.6 10.73 +0.89 dMYSquaredTechA(DMYY) 370 750.2 10.27 –0.05 NorthernTechsIntl(NTIC) 410 1497.6 10.75 –0.49
Offerpad(OPAD) 1336 9.99 +1.23 +14.0 GlblBusTravel(GBTG) 5127 1013.6 7.87 +0.85 EVI Industries(EVI) 588 554.3 22.30 +0.41 PennsWoodsBncp(PWOD) 867 1448.3 25.99 –0.86
BigLots(BIG) 12382 8.59 +1.01 +13.3 MauiLand(MLP) 911 909.6 14.49 +0.65 BluerockHomes(BHM) 727 532.8 15.68 –1.25 VigilNeurosci(VIGL) 2308 1371.7 9.60 –0.76
XFinancial(XYF) 196 4.71 +0.55 +13.2 MagnumOpusA(OPA) 1539 858.6 10.44 +0.06 CaledoniaMining(CMCL) 2307 476.3 12.65 –0.90 FiestaRestaurant(FRGI) 2290 1174.2 8.15 –0.50
Grindr(GRND) 6857 852.3 5.62 –0.25 ActiniumPharm(ATNM) 4462 346.6 7.51 –0.24 ESSA Bancorp(ESSA) 1068 1109.0 15.85 +0.14
Losers CrownPropA(CPTK) 436 807.7 10.24 +0.04 EvolutionPetrol(EPM) 5608 278.0 7.91 –0.53 PrincetonBncp(BPRN) 669 1078.0 27.20 –1.43
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg.
GraniteRidge(GRNT) 4778 806.5 6.79 +0.21 BattalionOil(BATL) 304 278.0 5.65 –0.51 SecurityNatFin(SNFCA) 1409 1071.2 8.66 +0.10
WheelsUp(UP) 13815 1.13 –1.99 –63.8 TaroPharm(TARO) 1354 805.1 38.77 –1.87 CoreMoldingTech(CMT) 1167 257.1 20.19 +0.95 Escalade(ESCA) 1193 1029.0 13.80 +0.42
LocalBounti(LOCL) 721 3.17 –1.36 –30.0 TownsquareMedia(TSQ) 1696 753.5 11.30 +0.15 Envela(ELA) 831 192.8 6.98 –0.58 ViscogliosiBros(VBOC) 662 1011.0 10.48 –0.01
OneConnectFin(OCFT) 262 4.10 –1.70 –29.3 GenAsia I A(GAQ) 276 753.4 10.50 +0.05 BlueRiverA(BLUA) 66 149.9 10.49 –0.04 Nathan's(NATH) 343 971.2 76.29 –3.35
AlticeUSA(ATUS) 43351 2.13 –0.85 –28.5 AssocCapital(AC) 385 697.7 35.01 –0.67 EmpirePetrol(EP) 266 130.2 9.00 –1.08 EntradaTherap(TRDA) 2927 953.9 14.74 –0.11
C3.ai(AI) 123263 33.39 –11.10 –24.9 SeaDrill(SDRL) 11586 678.8 38.00 –0.62 Southland(SLND) 432 127.2 8.25 –0.98 AlloVir(ALVR) 13046 952.0 3.28 –2.02
Trinseo(TSE) 2532 12.26 –3.00 –19.7 OcwenFinancial(OCN) 1024 655.7 28.72 –0.72 CompX Intl(CIX) 83 95.6 22.05 –0.75 NorwoodFin(NWFL) 1049 933.0 30.73 –0.95
GaotuTechedu(GOTU) 8704 2.91 –0.71 –19.6 ATI PhysTherapy(ATIP) 615 626.6 11.13 +0.60 Chase(CCF) 265 80.8 121.95 –5.47 SouthernStBcsh(SSBK) 914 922.7 21.38 –0.62
LumenTech(LUMN) 200427 1.82 –0.43 –19.1 P10(PX) 6742 570.4 10.90 –0.59 AultDisruptive(ADRT) 699 72.3 10.98 –0.04 C&F Fin(CFFI) 413 877.2 53.65 –2.13
ErmenegildoZegna(ZGN) 12700 570.2 12.44 +0.93 inTEST(INTT) 2177 68.6 24.50 +0.31 Cricut(CRCT) 7054 804.5 15.75 0.00
NYSE American Biggest % Movers By Share Volume By Share Volume By Share Volume
Winners Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg.
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg. PalantirTech(PLTR) 357233 14.03 –2.27 –13.9 Senseonics(SENS) 103851 0.82 +0.02 +2.1 Tesla(TSLA) 720314 256.60 –3.94 –1.5
AmbiparEmergency(AMBI) 291 8.20 +2.15 +35.5 VirginGalactic(SPCE) 274283 4.34 –0.39 –8.2 NavideaBiopharm(NAVB) 73138 0.09 +0.01 +7.3 Nikola(NKLA) 299602 1.29 +0.10 +8.4
AultAlliance(AULT) 294 8.00 +1.29 +19.2 NuHoldings(NU) 249330 7.56 +0.02 +0.3 AirspanNetworks(MIMO) 52930 0.17 +0.02 +11.7 AegleaBioTherap(AGLE) 296943 0.40 +0.26 +186.3
Oragenics(OGEN) 22 3.39 +0.46 +15.5 FordMotor(F) 201646 14.02 –0.40 –2.8 Tellurian(TELL) 50163 1.32 –0.06 –4.3 AdvMicroDevices(AMD) 285940 110.01 –10.07 –8.4
Espey(ESP) 11 19.00 +1.35 +7.6 LumenTech(LUMN) 200427 1.82 –0.43 –19.1 UraniumEner(UEC) 41971 3.41 +0.12 +3.6 Amazon.com(AMZN) 271175 129.33 +3.84 +3.1
AvalonHoldings(AWX) 25 2.40 +0.15 +6.7 NIO(NIO) 189684 8.43 –0.97 –10.3 B2Gold(BTG) 35307 3.57 –0.09 –2.5 Intel(INTC) 228633 33.00 –3.37 –9.3
FlexSolInt(FSI) 56 2.77 +0.17 +6.5 BankofAmerica(BAC) 184267 27.75 –1.44 –4.9 Ur-Energy(URG) 33170 1.01 –0.10 –9.0 Apple(AAPL) 203567 186.68 +1.76 +1.0
BK Tech(BKTI) 25 16.61 +0.81 +5.1 AT&T(T) 143652 15.45 –0.61 –3.8 i-80Gold(IAUX) 30933 2.16 –0.05 –2.3 Lucid(LCID) 192058 5.47 –1.01 –15.6
CoreMoldingTech(CMT) 1167 20.19 +0.95 +4.9 Carnival(CCL) 137782 15.80 0.00 0.0 Globalstar(GSAT) 21276 0.97 –0.13 –11.7 SoFiTech(SOFI) 179023 8.28 –0.32 –3.7
GinkgoBioworks(DNA) 124820 1.70 –0.20 –10.5 enCoreEnergy(EU) 20042 2.39 –0.11 –4.4 NVIDIA(NVDA) 177608 422.09 –4.83 –1.1
Losers C3.ai(AI) 123263 33.39 –11.10 –24.9 LineageCell(LCTX) 19804 1.36 –0.05 –3.5 EveloBiosci(EVLO) 176061 0.17 +0.05 +41.7
Name (Sym) Volume Close Change %Chg.
PetroleoBrasil(PBR) 111341 14.09 +0.19 +1.4 FOXOTechnologies(FOXO) 19266 0.33 +0.00 +0.2 OpendoorTech(OPEN) 174117 2.93 –0.08 –2.7
InnSuitesHosp(IHT) 295 2.31 –0.79 –25.5 Coupang(CPNG) 101028 16.60 –0.68 –3.9 Zomedica(ZOM) 18725 0.20 –0.01 –6.0 Canoo(GOEV) 171371 0.50 –0.16 –24.2
ContangoOre(CTGO) 521 24.50 –6.96 –22.1 Vale(VALE) 97088 13.70 –0.74 –5.1 NewGold(NGD) 11817 1.06 –0.05 –4.5 Rivian(RIVN) 138502 13.53 –1.35 –9.1
GoldenMinerals(AUMN) 195 1.86 –0.39 –17.3 SouthwesternEner(SWN) 96499 5.50 –0.05 –0.9 Castellum(CTM) 11094 0.49 –0.03 –5.8 WarnerBrosA(WBD) 134230 11.79 –1.01 –7.9
Cohen(COHN) 213 4.05 –0.69 –14.6 CNH Indl(CNHI) 95961 13.73 –0.80 –5.5 DenisonMines(DNN) 10602 1.18 –0.07 –5.6 Alphabet A(GOOGL) 118225 122.34 –1.19 –1.0
Azitra(AZTR) 556 4.28 –0.66 –13.4 Carvana(CVNA) 92687 21.41 –3.91 –15.4 RingEnergy(REI) 10586 1.72 –0.09 –5.0 Surgalign(SRGA) 117438 0.28 –0.94 –77.1
GranTierraEner(GTE) 1650 4.83 –0.65 –11.9 BaytexEnergy(BTE) 91927 2.95 –0.30 –9.2 ProtalixBio(PLX) 10455 2.24 +0.09 +4.2 CloverHealth(CLOV) 110264 0.89 –0.02 –1.7
MAG Silver(MAG) 4156 10.86 –1.46 –11.9 Snap(SNAP) 91244 10.82 +0.14 +1.3 Cybin(CYBN) 9318 0.28 +0.01 +2.5 MetaPlatforms(META) 109785 288.73 +7.73 +2.8
Cel-Sci(CVM) 568 2.31 –0.28 –10.8 Pfizer(PFE) 86381 38.30 –1.76 –4.4 DunxinFinl(DXF) 8818 0.14 –0.03 –15.3 PayPal(PYPL) 99615 66.94 +0.51 +0.8
Includes Common shares only. All figures reflect activity for the most-recent five-day trading week. Share volume figures are expressed in thousands. Volume percentage leaders exclude stocks with average daily volume of fewer than 5,000 shares or priced under $5.
Average volume is based on 65 trading days. Volume figures do not reflect extended trading hours. a-Stock has not been in existence or not been traded for 65 consecutive sessions. S-Stock split or stock dividend amounting to 10% or more. X-Ex-dividend
44 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
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June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 45
Barron's 50-Stock Average 59 Dow Jones Per Share Values 58 Mutual Funds 55 Week In Stocks 58
DATA
Cash Track 55 Exchange Traded Portfolios 54 N.Y. Stock Exchange 45 Weekly Bond Statistics 60
Charting the Market 42 Federal Reserve Data Bank 60 Nasdaq National Market 49 Winners & Losers Stocks 43
Coming Earnings 59 Foreign Exchange 59 New Corporate Listings 58
Conference Call Calendar 59 Gold & Silver Prices 60 New Highs & Lows 61
Delta Tactical Sentiment 59 Gold Mining Index 60 NYSE Half-Hourly Volume 58
Distributions & Offerings 61 Indexes P/Es & Yields 58 Other Market Indexes 57
Dividend Boosts - Reductions 60 Initial Public Offerings 58 Pulse of the Economy 59
Dividend Ex-Payment Dates 60 Investor Sentiment Readings 58 Stock Splits - Special Dividends 60
DJ Averages 57 Key Foreign Market Indexes 53 Stock Volume 58
DJ U.S. Total Market Industry Groups 59 Market Lab 57 Trading Diary 57
Contact Us
Dow Jones Averages 57 Money Rates, U.S. & Foreign 59 Vital Signs 37 For queries, email us at
Statistics from June 20-23, 2023 memberservices@dowjones.com
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE COMPOSITE LIST - NEW HIGHS - NEW LOWS
–52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div –52-Week– Tick Div
High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt. High Low Name Sym Yld P/E Last Chg. Amt.
70.63 34.70 Alteryx AYX ... dd 42.85 –2.61 ... 149.42 88.09 AppliedIndlTechs AIT 1.0 16 137.02 +0.61 .35 158.30 94.92 AutoNation AN ... 6 154.61 +5.45 ... 25.84 5.54 Biohaven BHVN ... dd 23.20 –0.45 ...
A
13.17 2.01 AlticeUSA ATUS ... 41 2.13 –0.85 ... 122.50 90.23 Aptargroup ATR 1.3 32 112.83 –4.32 .38 2750.00 2050.21 AutoZone AZO ... 19 2423.73 –70.10 ... 572.70 344.63 Bio-RadLab A BIO ... dd 365.80 –10.76 ...
57.48 33.75 AAR AIR ... 22 55.12 –0.33 ... 48.11 40.35 Altria MO 8.7 14 43.42 –0.65 .94 124.88 77.96 Aptiv APTV ... 44 97.40 –4.04 ... 220.42 153.07 Avalonbay AVB 3.6 25 181.37 –11.08 1.65 20.00 1.89 BirdGlobal BRDS ... dd 2.14 –0.02 ...
50.20 37.68 ABMIndustries ABM 2.2 14 40.53 –1.82 .22 14.72 4.08 AltusPower AMPS ... dd 5.16 –0.12 ... 45.72 29.62 Aramark ARMK 1.1 42 39.29 –1.24 .11 51.71 36.81 Avangrid AGR 4.7 21 37.19 –1.47 .44 79.78 58.81 BlackHills BKH 4.2 15 59.48 –3.09 .625
7.28 4.27 ACCO Brands ACCO 6.0 dd 4.98 –0.27 .075 17.75 10.84 AmbacFin AMBC ... 1 13.64 –0.60 ... 16.77 10.10 ArborRealty ABR 11.8 8 13.65 –0.22 .42 31.99 19.32 AvanosMedical AVNS ... 28 25.88 +0.28 ... 68.78 53.15 BlackKnight BKI ... 39 57.00 –0.38 ...
10.72 7.23 AcresCmclRlty ACR ... dd 8.25 –0.04 ... 3.24 2.40 Ambev ABEV 3.4 18 3.20 +0.11.1457 32.49 19.25 ArcelorMittal MT ... 4 26.75 –1.37 ... 32.77 17.91 Avantor AVTR ... 22 19.67 –0.28 ... 11.05 9.93 BlackMountainA BMAC ... 82 10.57 +0.02 ...
10.88 1.85 ADC Therap ADCT ... dd 2.05 –0.24 ... 13.37 9.53 Amcor AMCR 5.0 15 9.87 –0.48.1225 173.90 102.42 ArchResources ARCH .9 2 111.48 –1.40 2.20 204.37 156.91 AveryDennison AVY 1.9 20 167.85 –3.24 .81 7.20 3.17 BlackBerry BB ... dd 4.79 –0.31 ...
10.10 4.89 ADT ADT 2.4 cc 5.86 –0.56 .035 97.53 73.28 Ameren AEE 3.1 19 80.83 –3.25 .63 4.98 1.62 ArcherAviation ACHR ... dd 3.38 –0.61 ... 49.73 27.65 Avient AVNT 2.6 40 38.64 –1.51.2475 785.65 503.12 BlackRock BLK 2.9 21 680.45 –22.335.00
92.16 61.96 AECOM ACM .8 32 84.99 –1.68 .18 76.54 39.62 Ameresco AMRC ... 32 47.13 +0.58 ... 98.28 69.92 ADM ADM 2.5 9 72.90 –2.58 .45 45.29 35.72 Avista AVA 4.8 21 38.42 –1.96 .46 2.98 1.12 BlackSkyTech BKSY ... dd 1.93 +0.18 ...
29.89 18.90 AES AES 3.2 dd 20.43 –0.91.1659 23.07 16.09 AmericaMovil AMX 1.6 17 21.49 –0.53.1967 11.49 6.28 Archrock AROC 6.0 27 9.94 –0.12 .15 32.88 20.66 AxaltaCoating AXTA ... 33 31.29 –1.17 ... 110.90 71.72 Blackstone BX 4.4 cc 87.84 –3.29 .82
74.02 53.04 Aflac AFL 2.5 10 67.14 –2.29 .42 30.90 16.04 AmericanAssets AAT 7.3 23 18.08 –1.62 .33 30.68 16.33 Arconic ARNC ... dd 29.28 +0.08 ... 51.46 33.15 AxosFinancial AX ... 8 36.64 –3.73 ... 31.46 16.61 BlackstoneMtg BXMT12.8 13 19.40 –0.66 .62
145.53 88.55 AGCO AGCO .9 10 129.77 –2.105.00 11.96 6.61 AmericanAxle AXL ... 16 7.73 –0.36 ... 10.00 6.23 ArcosDorados ARCO 1.9 14 9.95 +0.86 .04 13.75 3.82 Azul AZUL ... dd 13.28 +0.51 ... 3.82 0.53 BlendLabs BLND ... dd .86 –0.13 ...
8.39 3.52 AG Mortgage MITT12.3 dd 6.10 –0.18 .18 17.09 9.46 AmerEagle AEO 3.5 21 11.47 –0.27 .10 76.29 43.52 Arcosa ACA .3 12 71.59 +0.07 .05 14.08 1.50 AzurePowerGlbl AZRE ... ... 1.61 ... ... 48.76 28.83 BlockHR HRB 3.6 11 32.60 –0.28 .29
3.23 0.30 a.k.a.Brands AKA ... dd .41 –0.06 ... 48.37 28.05 AmerEquity AEL .9 8 40.67 –0.77 .36 36.13 15.70 ArcusBiosci RCUS ... dd 19.24 –0.30 ... 93.19 51.34 Block SQ ... dd 62.86 –3.65 ...
B
16.89 3.77 AMC Ent AMC ... dd 4.01 –0.69 ... 182.15 130.65 AmerExpress AXP 1.4 18 168.07 –4.14 .60 6.98 3.31 ArdaghMetalPkg AMBP12.0 11 3.34 –0.40 .10 31.47 12.33 BloomEnergy BE ... dd 15.44 –1.72 ...
129.04 81.15 AMN Healthcare AMN ... 12 103.90 –4.20 ... 150.98 111.55 AmericanFin AFG 2.2 12 116.03 –0.36 .63 19.41 6.32 ArdmoreShipping ASC 12.7 3 12.58 –0.08 .35 2.74 1.00 Bark BARK ... dd 1.42 +0.02 ... 98.64 4.91 BlueApron APRN ... dd 6.38 +0.38 ...
2555.30 6.49 AMTD Digital HKD ... ... 6.51 –0.03 ... 38.94 28.79 AmHomes4Rent AMH 2.6 38 33.72 –1.68 .22 10.53 9.81 AresAcqnA AAC ... dd 10.52 +0.02 ... 26.13 10.91 B&G Foods BGS 5.4 dd 14.10 +0.21 .19 14.04 8.06 BlueOwlCapital OWL 5.1 cc 11.02 –0.53 .14
25.80 1.44 AMTD IDEA AMTD ... 2 1.54 –0.13 ... 64.88 45.66 AIG AIG 2.6 7 55.22 –2.08 .36 10.15 10.10 AresAcqnII A AACT ... ... 10.14 +0.03 ... 51.11 39.88 BCE BCE 6.5 21 44.58 –1.12.7243 35.20 16.24 BluegreenVac BVH 2.4 10 33.15 –1.01 .20
10.80 10.02 AP Acqn A APCA ... cc 10.76 +0.04 ... 31.59 13.35 AmRltyInv ARL ... 1 22.00 +1.30 ... 14.01 7.52 AresCommRealEst ACRE13.3 69 9.96 –0.16 .02 6.30 2.00 BEST BEST ... dd 2.01 –0.19 ... 95.29 57.50 BlueLinx BXC ... 5 89.65 –1.79 ...
3.87 2.11 ARC Document ARC 6.9 11 2.91 –0.10 .05 100.51 77.52 AmerStWater AWR 1.9 32 84.64 –3.03.3975 95.42 55.45 AresMgmt ARES 3.4 84 90.41 –4.02 .77 16.02 8.85 BGSF BGSF 6.1 11 9.80 +0.07 .15 10.51 9.71 BluescapeOppsAcqn BOAC ... 84 9.97 ... ...
9.03 4.45 ASE Tech ASX 5.0 11 8.66 –0.19.5714 46.00 7.00 AmerStratInvt NYC ... dd 7.00 –0.39 ... 45.27 31.26 Argan AGX 2.6 19 38.66 –1.11 .25 71.52 46.92 BHP Group BHP 8.9 8 59.31 –3.86 1.80 223.91 120.99 Boeing BA ... dd 205.41 –14.58 ...
106.88 63.27 ASGN ASGN ... 14 70.32 –2.07 ... 282.47 178.17 AmerTowerREIT AMT 3.3 62 186.03 –6.86 1.57 40.15 19.00 ArgoGroup ARGO 4.2 dd 29.51 –0.01 .31 179.85 68.30 BILL BILL ... dd 108.19 –3.07 ... 81.99 55.14 BoiseCascade BCC .7 5 80.07 +2.333.00
21.53 14.46 AT&T T 7.2 dd 15.45 –0.61.2775 24.38 15.01 AmerVanguard AVD .7 26 17.22 +0.15 .03 23.58 6.69 ArisWater ARIS 3.9 38 9.20 –0.39 .09 8.60 1.40 BitMining BTCM ... dd 2.62 +0.11 ... 88.80 50.20 BootBarn BOOT ... 14 79.04 +2.02 ...
43.32 20.52 ATI ATI ... 35 39.25 –0.04 ... 162.59 122.77 AmerWaterWorks AWK 1.9 32 145.76 –3.22.7075 178.36 91.31 AristaNetworks ANET ... 31 148.82 –8.97 ... 80.41 60.33 BJ'sWholesale BJ ... 17 62.89 +1.82 ... 112.55 85.54 BoozAllen BAH 1.7 53 107.44 –1.17 .47
97.50 7.55 ATI PhysTherapy ATIP ... dd 11.13 +0.60 ... 5.43 1.95 AmericanWell AMWL ... dd 2.12 –0.22 ... 4.46 2.53 ArlingtonAsset AAIC ... 39 4.29 +0.08 ... 41.38 25.37 BP BP 4.3 4 34.81 –0.54.3966 3.90 0.69 BoqiiHolding BQ ... dd 1.93 +0.08 ...
48.44 25.66 ATS ATS ... 44 45.70 +0.01 ... 32.99 21.49 AmericoldRealty COLD 2.8 dd 30.89 –1.16 .22 10.12 2.93 ArloTech ARLO ... dd 9.17 –0.21 ... 24.99 4.74 BP Prudhoe BPT 67.7 1 5.16 –0.74.2974 51.14 31.14 BorgWarner BWA 1.5 11 45.23 –3.37 .17
19.79 12.61 A10Networks ATEN 1.7 25 14.52 –0.83 .06 357.46 219.99 Ameriprise AMP 1.7 16 317.02 –7.98 1.35 14.62 10.04 ArmadaHoffler AHH 6.8 17 11.47 –0.78 .195 11.07 4.79 BRC BRCC ... dd 5.38 –0.05 ... 8.13 2.45 BorrDrilling BORR ... dd 6.36 –0.53 ...
63.99 48.32 AXIS Capital AXS 3.3 21 53.66 –1.28 .44 188.75 135.14 AmerisourceBrgn ABC 1.0 24 187.67 +4.66 .485 7.98 4.38 ArmourResREIT ARR 18.9 dd 5.09 –0.11 .08 3.42 1.06 BRF BRFS ... dd 2.00 +0.06 ... 422.75 298.36 BostonBeer SAM ... 64 312.70 –20.14 ...
30.26 15.12 AZEK AZEK ... cc 27.67 +1.39 ... 158.61 106.98 Ametek AME .6 30 156.06 +0.15 .25 94.94 62.03 ArmstrongWorld AWI 1.4 16 70.49 +0.17 .254 25.67 16.43 BRT Apartments BRT 5.2 10 19.10 –0.79 .25 29.40 18.43 BostonOmaha BOC ... dd 18.50 –0.98 ...
47.57 30.21 AZZ AZZ 1.7 dd 40.23 +1.01 .17 3.71 1.24 AmnealPharm AMRX ... dd 2.88 +0.17 ... 140.32 89.38 ArrowElec ARW ... 6 135.08 –3.37 ... 69.92 49.14 BWX Tech BWXT 1.4 26 67.60 –2.13 .23 94.79 46.18 BostonProps BXP 7.6 10 51.50 –3.54 .98
16.61 7.65 Aaron's AAN 4.0 dd 12.61 –0.71 .125 4.80 2.15 Ampco-Pitt AP ... 39 2.92 –0.07 ... 40.68 25.67 ArtisanPtrsAsset APAM 6.1 13 36.25 –2.68 .50 8.66 3.89 Babcock&Wilcox BW ... dd 6.34 –0.13 ... 54.75 36.15 BostonSci BSX ... 92 53.97 –0.35 ...
115.69 93.25 AbbottLabs ABT 1.9 33 108.05 +1.85 .51 82.86 61.78 Amphenol APH 1.0 26 80.19 –1.96 .21 23.43 9.64 Artivion AORT ... dd 15.83 –0.18 ... 29.00 0.46 Babylon BBLN ... dd .77 +0.19 ... 17.45 9.90 Bowlero BOWL ... dd 11.62 –0.42 ...
168.11 131.10 AbbVie ABBV 4.4 32 135.92 –2.72 1.48 10.38 5.49 AmplifyEnergy AMPY ... 1 6.46 –0.25 ... 29.51 11.32 Asana ASAN ... dd 22.53 –2.48 ... 156.15 76.88 BadgerMeter BMI .6 59 143.66 –5.84 .225 34.98 24.00 Box BOX ... cc 28.73 –1.11 ...
37.96 14.02 Abercrombie&Fitch ANF ... 53 36.93 +0.85 ... 26.01 4.15 AmpriusTech AMPX ... dd 8.11 –0.83 ... 253.67 138.88 AsburyAutomotive ABG ... 5 228.36 +6.57 ... 3.79 1.08 Bakkt BKKT ... dd 1.27 –0.15 ... 71.69 46.10 BoydGaming BYD 1.0 10 65.79 –2.21 .16
18.11 12.28 AcadiaRealty AKR 5.3 dd 13.47 –1.01 .18 17.65 10.26 Amrep AXR ... 3 17.53 +0.32 ... 12.09 2.61 AshfordHosp AHT ... dd 3.53 –0.53 ... 74.35 46.00 Ball BALL 1.4 39 55.81 –2.62 .20 56.35 40.52 Brady BRC 1.9 14 48.10 –0.77 .23
12.18 7.26 AccelEnt ACEL ... 14 10.28 +0.50 ... 10.71 9.95 AndrettiAcqnA WNNR ... cc 10.64 ... ... 114.36 81.82 Ashland ASH 1.9 dd 81.95 –4.44 .385 26.78 13.09 Bally's BALY ... dd 14.52 –0.52 ... 5.85 3.41 BraemarHtls BHR 5.1 dd 3.90 –0.02 .05
327.93 242.80 Accenture ACN 1.5 27 298.43 –21.11 1.12 15.77 4.43 AngelOakMtgREIT AOMR16.5 dd 7.74 +0.01 .32 15.71 5.41 AspenAerogels ASPN ... dd 7.03 –0.95 ... 18.54 9.72 BancCalifornia BANC 3.4 8 11.67 –0.70 .10 10.16 3.42 BrandywineRealty BDN 18.5 17 4.10 –0.43 .19
10.31 9.66 AcropolisInfrA ACRO ... 94 10.30 +0.07 ... 30.27 11.94 AngloGoldAsh AU 2.0 32 22.54 –1.62 .177 33.00 16.88 AssetMarkFin AMK ... 21 27.93 –0.65 ... 6.39 2.03 BancoBBVA BBAR .0 4 6.10 +0.21.0162 6.48 4.11 BrasilAgro LND 18.3 47 5.32 +0.30.6018
202.90 148.46 AcuityBrands AYI .3 14 160.28 –6.10 .13 67.09 44.51 AB InBev BUD 1.1 19 57.12 –1.09.8245 25.50 14.47 AssociatedBanc ASB 5.4 6 15.64 –1.42 .21 7.93 3.93 BancoBilbaoViz BBVA 5.1 7 7.21 –0.24.3333 15.46 6.26 Braskem BAK ... dd 12.11 –0.35 ...
54.11 40.17 Acushnet GOLF 1.5 17 50.85 +0.14 .195 27.96 15.11 AnnalyCap NLY 12.9 dd 20.12 –0.47 .65 44.50 31.01 AssocCapital AC .6 dd 35.01 –0.67 .10 3.35 2.12 BancoBradesco BBDO 4.4 9 3.02 +0.02.0036 45.75 23.19 BreadFinancial BFH 2.9 3 29.45 –1.29 .21
10.09 6.95 Adecoagro AGRO 3.3 16 9.75 –0.09.1626 23.91 9.84 AnnovisBio ANVS ... dd 14.46 +0.09 ... 178.76 104.49 Assurant AIZ 2.3 28 123.81 –7.63 .70 22.97 15.64 BancodeChile BCH 8.0 6 20.24 –1.012.1466 18.60 8.43 BridgeInvt BRDG 5.7 24 10.60 –0.35 .15
47.50 27.15 Adient ADNT ... cc 36.13 –3.04 ... 11.61 8.56 AnteroMidstream AM 8.4 16 10.74 –0.31 .225 67.13 45.21 AssuredGuaranty AGO 2.1 23 53.35 –1.22 .28 3.71 2.50 BancoItauChile ITCL 4.8 5 3.52 +0.02.1646 171.60 7.57 BrightHealth BHG ... dd 13.62 +2.18 ...
44.40 33.46 AdtalemGlbEduc ATGE ... 19 34.95 –3.89 ... 45.33 19.91 AnteroResources AR ... 3 21.26 –1.20 ... 11.00 0.77 Atento ATTO ... dd 1.39 +0.02 ... 21.50 12.77 Bladex BLX 4.9 8 20.58 –0.22 .25 95.53 54.19 BrightHorizons BFAM ... 76 90.04 –3.71 ...
212.25 63.56 AdvanceAuto AAP 1.5 10 65.67 –3.55 .25 12.96 4.33 AnywhereRealEst HOUS ... dd 5.81 –0.19 ... 10.39 9.80 AthenaTechII A ATEK ... cc 10.36 +0.01 ... 27.05 9.72 BancoMacro BMA 2.7 6 25.31 +0.84.0729 4.48 1.37 BrightScholar BEDU ... ... 1.37 –0.23 ...
153.36 75.02 AdvDrainageSys WMS .5 18 111.34 +0.82 .14 338.27 262.42 Aon AON .7 27 331.43 +2.05 .615 154.86 70.50 Atkore ATKR ... 7 144.30 +4.43 ... 6.59 4.76 BancSanBrasil BSBR 4.1 ... 6.43 +0.04.0816 26.88 14.73 BrightSphere BSIG .2 10 20.33 –1.88 .01
44.57 30.69 AdvanSix ASIX 1.7 7 33.91 –1.74 .145 46.38 32.51 AptIncmREIT AIRC 5.4 10 33.64 –3.54 .45 41.04 23.32 AtlUnionBkshs AUB 4.6 9 26.29 –2.72 .30 20.04 13.37 BcoSantChile BSAC 5.2 9 18.35 –0.891.2511 9.45 5.21 BrightSpire BRSP12.5 68 6.41 –0.29 .20
5.69 3.76 Aegon AEG 4.2 dd 4.86 +0.07.1288 9.79 6.07 ApartmtInv AIV 20.6 22 7.97 –0.30 .02 18.95 15.06 AtlasEnergySolns AESI 3.7 ... 16.25 –1.66 .15 4.09 2.26 BancoSantander SAN 2.5 6 3.32 –0.17.0631 13.27 5.16 BrightView BV ... dd 6.91 –0.18 ...
5.90 1.76 Aenza AENZ ... dd 2.02 +0.01 ... 25.97 13.09 APi Group APG ... cc 25.44 –0.14 ... 121.92 97.71 AtmosEnergy ATO 2.6 20 114.42 –2.58 .74 34.77 21.55 BanColombia CIB 4.2 7 26.28 –1.18 .852 73.39 48.38 Brink's BCO 1.3 28 68.17 –4.45 .22
66.85 37.87 AerCap AER ... 9 60.60 –0.60 ... 13.10 7.91 ApolloComRlEst ARI 13.0 6 10.73 –0.58 .35 22.50 19.10 AtmusFiltration ATMU ... ... 22.02 +2.50 ... 38.60 26.32 BankofAmerica BAC 3.2 8 27.75 –1.44 .22 42.12 21.47 BrinkerIntl EAT ... 17 34.05 –2.34 ...
56.80 38.48 AerojetRocket AJRD ... 60 54.94 +0.89 ... 77.59 45.62 ApolloGlbMgmt APO 2.4 dd 73.00 –4.08 .43 3.55 1.52 ATRenew RERE ... dd 2.87 –0.06 ... 38.31 22.93 BankofButterfield NTB 6.6 6 26.58 –1.41 .44 81.44 63.07 BristolMyers BMY 3.5 19 65.04 –1.12 .57
4.64 0.89 AevaTech AEVA ... dd 1.18 –0.14 ... 10.40 9.78 ApolloStratII A APGB ... 34 10.28 +0.03 ... 40.89 23.66 Autohome ATHM 1.9 13 28.82 –1.86 .53 85.45 30.83 BankofHawaii BOH 6.8 8 41.15 –5.48 .70 0.17 0.08 BristolMyersRt CELG.RT ... ... .08 –0.03 ...
180.63 108.12 AffiliatedMgrs AMG .0 5 142.93 –5.37 .01 18.22 13.66 AppleHospREIT APLE 6.7 21 14.36 –0.78 .08 98.00 65.74 Autoliv ALV 3.2 17 82.57 –5.56 .66 105.40 81.57 BankofMontreal BMO 3.9 12 87.70 –2.511.0888 30.94 20.08 Bristow VTOL ... 85 26.84 +0.84 ...
10.54 9.78 AfricanGoldA AGAC ... ... 10.54 +0.04 ... 52.26 36.22 BankNY Mellon BK 3.5 14 42.84 –1.81 .37 44.61 31.64 BritishAmTob BTI 8.5 9 33.15 +0.33.7006
10.60 9.66 AfterNextA AFTR ... 98 10.36 +0.02 ... 63.75 45.26 BankNovaScotia BNS 6.5 9 47.99 –2.17.7851 24.49 17.62 BrixmorProp BRX 5.0 16 20.77 –1.03 .26
160.26 113.02 AgilentTechs A .8 26 119.42 –1.71 .225 41.34 15.83 BankUnited BKU 5.1 6 21.24 –1.94 .27 183.33 131.35 BroadridgeFinl BR 1.8 34 158.01 –2.79 .725
Cash Track
open-end funds by assets. These
funds value their portfolios daily barrons.com/cefund. They will no longer appear in print. The
and report net asset values (the
dollar amount of their holdings Herzfeld chart has moved to the Market Lab Newsletter. To sign
divided by the number of shares
outstanding) to the National up for the newsletter, go to barrons.com/newletters. Slow Money: Money-market fund cash flows slowed—reducing their past month’s average weekly inflow to
Association of Securities Dealers.
Total returns reflect both price $5 billion. Cash left equity funds, expanding their weekly outflow to $7.1 billion. Exiting cash reduced the
changes and dividends; these Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. average weekly inflow at taxable-bond funds to $1.7 billion. Modest injections at muni-bond funds trimmed
figures assume that all distribu- NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret.
tions are reinvested in the fund. IntlGrIncA 33.96 -1.30 8.1 23.3 CorePlusBond 8.81 0.00 2.3 -7.4 GlEqInst 28.51 -0.64 8.5 42.7
their average outflow to $350 million.
Because Lipper is constantly up-
dating its database, these returns LtdTEBdA 15.09 0.02 1.1 -1.8 Intl Eq 11.85 -0.36 10.5 22.2 GlRESec 9.39 -0.47 -3.3 7.7
may differ from those previously N PerA 54.28 -1.17 14.7 30.3 LargeCapGrowth 20.15 -0.24 17.9 31.8 InfProtSec 11.08 0.01 2.5 -0.2 Equity Funds Municipal Bond Funds
published or calculated by others. NEcoA 50.12 -0.89 15.2 14.3 LargeCapValue 15.43 -0.28 3.3 53.9 IntGvFxdInc 11.02 0.01 2.3 -13.9
3 year returns are cumulative. The NwWrldA 73.02 -1.85 9.9 13.5 MunicipalBond 9.81 0.02 2.0 -0.2 IntlCoreEq 14.49 -0.50 7.4 30.4 -1300 120
NAV is the last reported closing SmCpA 61.15 -1.61 9.0 12.0 IntlREst 3.51 -0.19 -5.4 -1.7
price for the week. Footnotes: NA: S/MCapGrowth 12.94 -0.25 10.1 17.2
not available. NE: performance STBFA 9.41 -0.01 0.9 -3.3 S/MCapValue 12.53 -0.33 1.3 51.4 IntlSustCore1 11.54 -0.40 8.7 23.3 -3600 -210
excluded by Lipper editor. NN: fund STTxExBdA 9.81 0.01 0.7 -1.5 Brown Advisory Funds: IntlVal 19.10 -0.60 7.7 50.1
not tracked. NS: fund not in TECAA 16.39 0.03 2.4 -1.9 GrwthEquityInst 26.10 -0.37 20.5 13.5 IntlVectorEq 12.61 -0.43 6.7 33.7 -5900 -540
existence for whole period. e: ex TxExA 12.22 0.03 2.8 -1.4 IntSmCo 18.24 -0.66 4.8 26.1
capital gains distributions. f:
previous day’s quote. n: no front- WshA 52.98 -0.94 5.3 44.8 C IntSmVa 19.79 -0.66 5.3 37.6 -8200 -870
or back-end sales charge. p: fund AMG Managers Funds: IntTermMuni 9.92 0.02 1.0 -2.3
assets are used to pay marketing YachtmanFocFd I 18.89 -0.51 4.7 42.7 Calamos Funds: IntVaIII 16.43 -0.52 7.6 50.4 -10500 -1200
and distribution costs (12b-1 fees). MktNeutI 14.43 -0.01 5.3 10.5 ITExQual 9.33 0.03 3.5 -11.7
r: fund levies redemption fee or YacktFocFd N n 18.95 -0.51 4.6 41.9 Apr May Jun Apr May Jun
back-end load. s: stock dividend or YacktmanFd I 21.85 -0.53 3.4 43.8 Calvert Investments: LgCo 29.74 -0.42 14.2 45.3
split of 25% or more. t: fund charges Angel Oak Funds Trst: Eq A 70.61 -0.93 6.7 34.9 LgCpIntl 25.12 -0.83 8.8 27.9
12b-1 fees (for marketing and
AglOkMtiStFdClIn 8.39 NA NA NA Carillon Reams: SclCrEqInst 13.34 -0.48 7.9 27.0 Money Market Funds Taxable Bond Funds
distribution) and a back-end load.
v: capital-gains distribution may be AQR Funds: CorePlBd I 30.06 0.01 3.5 -7.4
STExQual 10.29 0.01 2.1 -2.7 79200 4400
a return of capital. x: ex cash
STGov 9.93 0.00 2.2 -3.5
LgCapDefStyle I 25.72 -0.26 2.9 28.4 UnconstrndBd I 12.04 -0.02 4.1 3.3
dividend. STMuniBd 10.10 0.00 1.1 0.7 60400 3100
MgdFutStrI 8.80 0.13 1.0 34.8 Carillon Scout:
US CoreEq1 32.71 -0.55 10.2 49.3
Net YTD 3-Yr. Artisan Funds: MidCap I 20.07 -0.45 3.6 31.1
NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret.
US CoreEq2 29.51 -0.50 9.1 51.6 41600 1800
GblOppInst 29.94 -0.88 13.4 12.7 CausewayInst : US Micro 23.53 -0.66 3.1 62.7
A Intl Inv n 25.66 -0.57 7.3 8.4 CausewayInst 18.79 -0.39 18.0 50.1 US Small 39.97 -1.03 3.6 56.9
IntlInst 25.81 -0.58 7.4 9.1 CIBC Atlas: US SmCpVal 39.20 -0.97 0.2 85.0
22800 500
AAM: IntlVal Inst 43.50 -0.83 12.7 53.5 DispEq Inst 26.26 -0.27 9.0 32.8 US TgdVal 27.67 -0.72 1.4 84.5
IntlVal Inv n 43.32 -0.83 12.6 52.4 USLCpGr 28.46 -0.36 11.8 43.7
4000 -800
B&GIncGroClI 21.99 -0.46 -0.2 33.2 ClearBridge:
AB Funds: MidCapInst 38.13 -0.75 14.0 3.7
AggressGrowthA106.15 -2.97 10.1 10.3 USLgVa 41.54 -0.92 0.7 49.2 Apr May Jun Apr May Jun
MidCapInv n 31.93 -0.63 13.8 3.0 USLgVaIII 27.20 -0.60 0.7 49.6
CapFdInc.LCapGow 83.76 -0.72 20.0 31.7 AllCapValueA 12.53 -0.29 2.9 47.0
USSoCoreEq2 21.38 -0.40 11.4 48.3 A red chart indicates a lower value than the starting period. Green means it's higher than the starting period.
MuniIncmShares 11.01 0.04 3.8 6.7 B AppreciationA 29.66 -0.28 10.3 43.3
USSustCoreI 33.65 -0.48 11.9 47.5 The charts above show four-week moving averages of net cash flow in millions of dollars. BARRON'S • Lipper FMI
AB Funds - A: DividendStrat1 n 28.16 -0.50 5.8 45.5
Baird Funds: USVectorEq 21.97 -0.51 3.4 56.8
LgCpGrA 74.46 -0.64 19.8 30.4 DividendStratA 28.12 -0.50 5.6 44.3
Dodge & Cox:
RelatValA 5.91 -0.09 0.9 49.4 AggBdInst 9.73 0.02 2.7 -10.3 LargeCapGrowthA n 50.78 -0.42 29.7 28.2 Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr. Net YTD 3-Yr.
AB Funds - ADV: CorBdInst 10.01 0.02 2.8 -8.6 LargeCapGrowthI 59.38 -0.49 29.9 29.3 Balanced n 95.97 -1.20 3.9 34.0
NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret. NAV Chg. % Ret. % Ret.
IntBdInst 10.16 0.01 2.0 -6.4 SmallCapGrowthIS 38.22 -0.79 2.4 11.6 Dodge & Cox n 10.54 -0.02 5.1 3.5
GlbBd 6.75 0.01 2.1 -8.1 GblStock n 13.61 -0.33 7.9 53.0 InflPrBdIndInsPr n 9.23 0.02 2.4 -0.3 StkSelAllCap 62.92 -0.96 13.9 39.6 DivGth n 30.52 -0.54 5.3 43.7 SrsCommStrt 97.64 -2.47 -7.3 63.6
HiIncmAdv 6.59 -0.04 4.6 9.1 ShtTBdInst 9.26 0.01 1.7 -1.1 Cohen & Steers: IntlIdxInstPrem n 45.26 -1.52 9.9 24.8 Fidelity Freedom: DivIntl n 40.55 -1.25 11.2 14.2 SrsEmrgMkt 16.77 -0.66 7.4 2.3
Baron Funds: Income n 12.47 0.01 3.2 -5.2
IntlStraEquPtADV 11.24 -0.38 7.0 13.5 GlbRltyI 47.99 -2.45 -0.8 10.1 IntlIndex n 10.62 -0.37 8.3 19.8 FF2010 n 13.34 -0.08 4.9 6.3 DivIntl K6 13.03 -0.41 11.1 15.5 SrsGlobal 13.33 -0.47 7.9 19.1
Intl Stk n 46.74 -1.19 8.4 36.5
LgCpGrAdv 83.84 -0.72 19.9 31.4 Asset n 91.68 -1.62 5.6 10.5 InstlRlty 42.35 -2.01 0.3 19.6 IntrTresBdIxPrem n 9.69 0.01 2.1 -13.6 FF2015 n 10.88 -0.09 5.8 9.1 DivIntlK 40.48 -1.24 11.3 14.6 SrsIntlGrw 16.06 -0.44 12.6 20.8
Stock n 222.11 -4.33 4.1 57.2
NationalPtf 9.58 0.02 2.8 0.1 Growth n 91.10 -2.02 7.2 32.0 PrefSecIncnI 11.23 -0.05 -2.1 -2.3 LgCpGwId InstPre n 26.24 -0.34 26.0 42.5 FF2020 n 13.60 -0.14 6.7 11.9 DivStkO n 29.74 -0.35 15.5 44.0 SrsGroCoRetail 17.99 -0.20 30.6 48.3
DoubleLine Funds:
SelectUSLgShrt 12.87 -0.08 4.7 24.9 Partners n 154.69 -1.00 38.7 122.2 RltyIncI 15.12 -0.71 0.5 19.3 LgCpVlIdxIstPrem n 15.04 -0.39 1.6 42.6 FF2025 n 12.58 -0.15 7.4 14.5 EmrMkt n 34.53 -1.28 9.9 5.6 SrsIntlSmCp 16.01 -0.58 7.9 19.6
SmMidCpValAdv 20.73 -0.62 2.3 55.0 Baron Instl Shares: RltyShs n 58.18 -2.75 0.2 19.0 CoreFxdIncmI 9.31 0.01 3.2 -7.0 LTTrsBdIdxInstPr n 10.47 0.06 4.7 -30.8 Eq Inc n 64.39 -1.05 1.5 43.7 SrsIntlVal 10.83 -0.38 8.0 41.3
FF2030 n 15.80 -0.22 8.0 18.1
Aberdeen Fds: Colorado BondShares: LowDurBdI 9.46 0.01 2.6 2.9 MidCpInxInstPrem n 27.10 -0.77 4.6 35.6 EqDivIncm n 26.00 -0.52 1.8 44.6 STBF n 8.25 0.00 1.7 -1.7
AssetInst 96.92 -1.71 5.7 11.3 FF2035 n 13.70 -0.24 9.2 24.8
ShillerEnhCAPEI 13.12 -0.18 13.4 36.7 OTCK6Port 18.02 -0.19 28.2 40.1 Fidel n 68.29 -0.56 17.1 35.8 StkSelSmCp n 29.65 -0.57 5.8 46.2
EmMktEqty Inst 13.07 -0.51 4.6 2.5 EmergingMktsInst 13.89 -0.48 6.5 0.4 ColoradoBdShs 8.69 0.03 3.7 8.4 FF2040 n 9.78 -0.20 10.4 29.7
TotRetBdI 8.88 0.03 2.9 -8.2 RealEstIdxInst n 14.19 -0.68 -1.8 15.8 FltRateHi n 9.12 -0.01 5.5 18.2 StkSlcACap n 63.34 -0.97 13.9 39.2
Advisers Inv Trst: GrowthInst 96.03 -2.13 7.3 33.0 Columbia Class A: FF2045 n 11.23 -0.24 10.6 30.1
TotRetBdN n 8.87 0.02 2.7 -8.9 SAIUSLgCpIndxFd 19.19 -0.27 14.2 45.5 FocsdStk n 27.77 -0.28 17.5 32.8 StratDivInc n 15.62 -0.24 2.1 28.7
Balanced n 83.04 -1.52 5.7 30.2 PartnersInst 160.85 -1.04 38.8 123.9 BalancedA 44.93 -0.28 11.7 23.2 FF2050 n 11.37 -0.24 10.6 30.1
Growth n 103.52 -2.06 8.5 48.1 SmallCapInst 29.48 -0.48 11.3 18.9 SeriesBondFd 8.97 0.01 2.5 -11.1 Free2055 n 13.16 -0.28 10.7 30.2 FournOne n 51.75 -1.06 10.0 26.1 TaxFrB n 10.83 0.03 3.4 -0.2
ContCoreA 28.68 -0.29 18.1 46.0 E
Bernstein Fds: SeriesOverseas 12.24 -0.43 12.7 23.6 Free2060InstPrem 15.17 -0.31 10.4 26.4 GNMA n 10.14 0.00 2.3 -9.6 TotalBond n 9.45 0.00 3.3 -6.9
Akre Funds: DisplCoreA 12.38 -0.17 13.2 40.9
Eaton Vance Class A: SerLTTreBdIdx 6.05 0.03 4.7 -30.7 Freedom2015 K 10.87 -0.09 5.8 9.3 GovtInc n 9.22 0.01 2.1 -13.0 TotalBond K6 8.79 0.00 3.1 -6.4
AkreFocusInst 53.45 -0.63 11.2 17.8 DivrMuni n 13.75 0.02 2.1 0.6 DivIncA 28.96 -0.65 1.1 41.8
SmCpIdxInstPrem n 22.55 -0.75 3.9 31.2 Freedom2020 K 13.59 -0.15 6.8 12.1 GroCo n 29.79 -0.34 32.3 44.4 Trend n 139.04 -1.95 29.1 35.4
AkreFocusRtl 51.47 -0.60 11.1 16.9 IntmDur n 11.32 0.01 2.3 -10.4 LgCpGrowA 53.13 -0.57 28.1 35.5 TMG1.1 86.44 NA NA NA
STBdIdx InstPrem n 9.54 0.00 1.5 -4.5 Freedom2020K6 13.53 -0.15 6.8 12.4 GroInc n 51.02 -1.12 7.6 53.9 Value n 12.67 -0.40 1.4 70.7
AmanaGrowth n: NY Mun n 13.30 0.02 2.2 0.9 LgCpVl A 14.70 -0.38 -0.1 43.6 Eaton Vance Class I:
STTreIdx InstPre n 9.92 0.00 1.4 -5.2 Freedom2025 K 12.56 -0.16 7.5 14.7 GrowCoK 29.94 -0.34 32.4 44.8 ValueDisc n 34.57 -0.64 -1.7 44.9
AmanaGrowth n 64.70 -0.97 13.1 50.2 BlackRock Funds: LiGoBalA 10.70 -0.13 9.3 17.0 AtlCpSMID 34.46 -0.67 0.9 39.6 TMktIdxInstPrem n 119.88 -1.95 13.3 42.2 Freedom2025K6 12.52 -0.16 7.5 15.1 GrStrt n 51.34 -0.80 10.0 21.2 Wrldw n 28.86 -0.53 14.8 25.1
Amer Beacon Insti: CoreBd Inst 8.31 NA NA NA SelgComuInfoA 102.44 -2.96 25.3 63.3 FltgRt 8.30 -0.01 5.4 14.1 TotalMarketIndex n 15.14 -0.24 13.4 43.2 Freedom2030 K 15.80 -0.22 8.1 18.5 GwthDiscovery n 49.35 -0.70 20.9 40.2 Fidelity SAI:
HiYBlk 6.76 NA NA NA TaxEA 11.74 0.04 3.6 -2.2 GblMacAbR 8.32 NA NA NA TtlIntIdxInstPr n 12.60 -0.45 7.6 19.6
SmCpInst 22.83 -0.82 1.8 65.6 Freedom2030K6 15.74 -0.22 8.1 18.9 HighInc n 7.36 -0.07 3.7 2.3 FidSAIEmgMktIndx 12.74 -0.51 4.5 3.7
HiYldBd Inst 6.75 NA NA NA Columbia Class Adv: IncBos 4.95 -0.03 4.5 10.4 USBdIdxInstPrem n 10.30 0.01 2.5 -11.1
American Century G: Freedom2035 K 13.69 -0.24 9.2 25.3 IntBd n 9.93 0.00 2.0 -6.1 FidSAIIntlIndxFd 12.92 -0.43 10.0 24.8
InflProtBdInst 9.82 NA NA NA DivIncom 29.54 -0.68 1.2 42.8 NatlMuniInc 9.22 0.02 3.9 -0.9 USSusIdx n 19.18 -0.32 15.1 45.2 Freedom2035K6 13.65 -0.24 9.4 25.8 IntlDisc n 43.18 -1.41 8.9 12.4
GlBond 8.61 0.02 3.1 -6.6 IntlValIdx 9.11 -0.29 9.5 35.6
LowDurI Inst 8.85 NA NA NA Columbia Class C: Edgewood Growth Instituti: Fidelity Adv Focus A: Freedom2040 K 9.79 -0.20 10.4 30.2 IntlEnhIdx n 10.34 -0.35 10.5 25.7
Sustain Equity 43.72 -0.60 12.8 43.4 LowDurationInc 9.98 0.01 2.4 NS
BlackRock Funds A: DivInc 27.97 -0.58 0.7 38.7 EdgewoodGrInst 39.14 -0.72 25.0 12.8 HthCarA 59.19 -0.30 2.4 10.2 Freedom2040K6 9.74 -0.21 10.5 30.7 IntlGrRet n 17.84 -0.49 12.1 17.5
American Century I: Muni Inc 9.77 0.02 3.4 -0.6
AdvLgCapCore 17.25 -0.22 13.3 40.4 Columbia Class I: TechA 88.41 -1.85 42.3 56.3 Freedom2045 K 11.23 -0.24 10.7 30.5 IntlSmCap n 29.05 -0.99 8.7 30.3 SAIEmgMktLoVolIx 10.38 -0.22 6.1 20.8
EqInc 8.76 -0.20 1.2 31.3 F
CapAppr 29.02 -0.23 30.4 19.4 Acorn I 10.10 -0.23 12.6 3.6 Fidelity Advisor: Freedom2045K6 11.18 -0.24 10.8 31.1 IntMu n 9.99 0.01 2.1 -0.2 SAIInflaFocFd 9.01 -0.25 -8.0 63.8
Growth 46.32 -0.45 26.6 34.3
EqtyDivd 18.82 -0.38 3.8 41.0 Balanced I 44.80 -0.29 11.8 24.1 SrsAdvIntlCapApp27.04 -0.72 15.7 17.0 Freedom2050 K 11.37 -0.24 10.7 30.6 InvGB n 7.15 0.00 2.9 -9.6 ShortTermBd 9.51 0.00 1.6 NS
IntTF 10.72 0.02 2.3 0.2 FAM Value:
GlblAlloc 17.41 -0.23 5.8 12.8 ContCore I 29.03 -0.30 18.2 47.1 StragInc n 11.05 -0.03 3.5 3.0 Freedom2050K6 11.35 -0.24 10.9 31.1 InvGrBd 9.98 0.01 3.2 -7.0 TotalBd 8.94 0.00 3.3 -6.0
MdCapVal 15.32 -0.48 0.0 46.8 FAMValue n 85.12 -1.20 3.2 33.4
HlthScOp 66.37 0.01 1.1 21.2 DivIncom I 28.98 -0.67 1.2 42.8 TotBdFdClZ 9.44 0.01 3.3 -6.5 Freedom2055 K 13.16 -0.29 10.7 30.5 LargeCap n 41.30 -0.85 10.6 55.8 TxFreeBd 9.88 0.02 3.2 -0.2
SmCapVal 9.29 -0.40 2.2 66.3 Federated Hermes A:
MdCpGrA 28.92 -0.50 13.3 6.3 LgCpIdx I 49.35 -2.34 14.1 44.8 Fidelity Advisor A: Freedom2055K6 13.14 -0.28 10.8 31.1 LCapCrEIdx n 20.27 -0.24 13.5 49.3 U.S.TreBdIdx 8.76 0.01 2.2 -13.1
American Century Inv:
MultiAstIncome 9.67 NA NA NA SelComunInfo 118.72 -3.42 25.5 64.6 StrValDivA p 5.31 -0.13 -6.7 34.0 Freedom2060 n 12.09 -0.25 10.6 30.1 LCapGrEIdx n 28.39 -0.29 23.9 45.0 Fidelity Selects:
DiscCoreVal n 30.11 -0.60 -1.2 27.2 BalancA 24.70 -0.19 12.2 28.1
NatlMuni 10.09 0.02 3.0 -2.4 SelLCVal 30.84 -0.64 -1.3 54.6 Federated Hermes Int: Idx2020InsPre 15.03 -0.15 6.8 9.2 LevCoSt n 34.92 -0.59 11.9 47.5
EqGro n 24.33 -0.32 11.1 26.4 EqGrA p/r 15.33 -0.21 20.7 39.2 Biotech n 16.83 -0.34 3.4 -10.2
ScTechOppA 44.90 -1.09 31.4 14.4 StratInc I 20.85 0.00 3.8 1.1 InsHiYld 8.42 -0.08 4.3 4.9 Idx2025InsPre 17.06 -0.20 7.4 11.6 LgCpVHIdx n 14.56 -0.27 1.6 49.5
EqInc n 8.75 -0.20 1.1 30.5 GrOppA 112.14 -1.94 26.8 19.0 DfAero n 15.89 -0.26 3.0 38.4
TotRet 10.02 0.01 3.2 -9.3 TotReBd I 30.06 0.01 3.0 -10.0 TtlRtnBdI 9.50 0.00 2.1 -7.0 Idx2030InsPre 18.11 -0.24 8.0 15.1 LmtTrmMuniIncm n 10.19 0.02 1.2 -1.1
Grwth n 44.93 -0.44 26.5 33.5 NwInsghtA 30.32 -0.19 20.6 30.1 Energy n 50.84 -1.74 -9.4 140.0
BlackRock Funds III: Columbia Class I2: Federated Hermes IS: Idx2035InsPre 20.39 -0.34 9.0 21.4 LowP n 46.82 -1.00 1.4 49.5
Heritage n 20.34 -0.45 11.3 19.7 StrInA 10.90 -0.02 3.4 2.1 Gold n 21.90 -0.93 -2.0 -20.5
iShS&P500IdxK511.60 -7.12 14.2 45.4 KaufmnSCI 45.11 -0.90 8.5 0.5 Fidelity Advisor Fun: Idx2040InsPre 20.87 -0.43 10.1 26.2 LowPriStkK 46.77 -1.00 1.4 49.8
MdCapVal n 15.31 -0.47 0.0 46.0 DivIncom 29.50 -0.69 1.2 43.1 Health n 28.35 -0.12 2.6 12.7
iShUSAggBdIdxK 9.00 0.01 2.6 -11.0 StraValDivIS 5.35 -0.13 -6.6 35.0 Idx2045InsPre 21.73 -0.46 10.4 26.4 LowPriStkK6 14.29 -0.29 1.7 50.9
OneChMod n 13.66 -0.20 6.5 16.2 Columbia Class I3: InterDiscZ 42.97 -1.41 8.9 12.8 HlthCareSrvPt r n 125.67 2.17 -4.8 35.7
BlackRock Funds Inst: UltraShortI 9.04 0.00 2.3 3.4 Idx2050InsPre 21.77 -0.45 10.4 26.5 LtdTmBdFd n 10.90 0.01 2.0 -3.3
Select n 95.56 -0.80 26.9 37.1 ContCore I3 29.81 -0.30 18.3 47.6 IntlGrwZ 17.83 -0.49 12.1 18.0 ITSvs n 56.43 -1.13 7.4 -3.8
AdvLgCapCore 18.26 -0.22 13.4 41.5 Federated Hermes R: Idx2055InsPre 17.91 -0.38 10.4 26.5 Magin n 10.99 -0.11 15.0 26.6
Ultra n 71.14 -0.57 29.0 38.4 DivIncom 29.55 -0.69 1.2 43.3 Fidelity Advisor I: MdTchDevis n 64.50 -0.94 4.7 21.5
CAInsMun 11.86 0.03 2.4 2.9 Idx2020 Premier 15.02 -0.15 6.8 NS MAMun n 11.26 0.02 2.2 -2.6
American Century R6: Credit Suisse Common: KaufmnR 4.94 -0.08 5.8 -13.0 BalancI 25.36 -0.19 12.3 29.1 Retail n 17.73 0.10 11.9 19.7
EmgMkts 23.76 -0.84 6.7 4.2 Idx2025 Premier 17.05 -0.20 7.4 NS Manager40 n 12.00 -0.11 5.7 9.7
AmCentUltraFdR6 75.86 -0.60 29.2 39.9 ComdtyRet 22.92 -0.62 -8.0 65.3 Federated Hermes R6: ConsvIncmMuni I 9.99 0.00 1.4 2.2 Semiconductors r n 23.16 -0.88 58.9 126.5
EqtyDivd 18.92 -0.38 4.0 42.1 Idx2030 Premier 18.10 -0.25 7.9 NS Manager60 n 13.94 -0.21 7.5 16.4
MdCapVal 15.32 -0.49 0.1 47.5 FedInstHYBondL 8.42 -0.08 4.3 5.0 EqGrI 17.74 -0.25 20.8 40.2 Idx2035 Premier20.39 -0.34 9.0 NS Softwr n 25.00 -0.61 27.2 29.8
FloRateIncPorIns 9.55 NA NA NA MidCap n 37.56 -0.77 0.6 54.0
SmCpVal 9.29 -0.40 2.3 67.0 D StrValL 5.35 -0.13 -6.6 35.1 FAEmgMktI 27.82 -1.19 4.0 10.0 Idx2040 Premier 20.87 -0.42 10.2 NS Tech n 25.55 -0.52 43.2 48.8
GlblAlloc 17.61 -0.22 5.9 13.6 MidCapEnIdx n 16.09 -0.33 4.1 40.5
American Funds Cl A: TtlRtnBdL 9.49 0.00 2.0 -7.0 FAInvGrdI 7.16 0.01 2.9 -9.7 Idx2045 Premier 21.73 -0.45 10.4 NS UtilGr n 99.67 -2.42 -4.0 36.7
HiEqInc 27.06 -0.59 3.0 45.6 MuniInc n 12.08 0.03 3.2 -0.4
2020TarRetA 12.62 -0.11 3.7 11.6 Davis Funds A: Fidelity: FltRatel 9.11 -0.01 5.4 18.0 Idx2050 Premier 21.76 -0.46 10.4 NS Fidelity Series:
HlthScOp 70.89 0.02 1.3 22.1 NASDAQ n 170.80 -2.48 29.5 36.6
2025TarRetA 14.10 -0.13 4.8 13.4 NYVen A 25.25 -0.59 13.8 31.3 500IdxInstPrem n 151.43 -2.11 14.2 45.6 GrOppI 124.24 -2.13 27.0 19.9 Idx 2055 Premier 17.90 -0.38 10.4 NS NewInsights Z 31.83 -0.19 20.9 31.6 Canada 13.81 -0.33 5.2 54.5
MdCpGrEq 34.05 -0.59 13.4 7.1 HthCarI 65.76 -0.33 2.5 11.1 IntMuni Z 10.01 0.01 2.1 0.0
2030TarRetA 15.44 -0.17 6.3 16.9 Davis Funds C & Y: BalancedK6 13.24 -0.10 12.5 30.9 Income n 10.26 -0.04 3.9 1.9 NewMill n 44.54 -0.62 12.6 69.0
MultiAstIncome 9.68 NA NA NA IntlGr 17.80 -0.48 12.1 17.5 FidelityAdviAsset:
2035TarRetA 16.64 -0.22 7.6 21.6 NatlMuni 10.09 0.03 3.2 -1.7 NYVenY 26.24 -0.61 14.0 32.3 Contrafund K6 20.52 -0.09 22.0 31.3 Fidelity Invest: NewMkt n 11.61 0.06 3.3 -6.7
2040TarRetA 17.35 -0.26 9.0 24.4 Del Invest Instl: EmgMktIdxInstPre n 9.86 -0.40 4.6 3.9 MuniIncI 10.01 0.02 2.1 -0.3 AggrInt n 24.14 -0.64 15.7 17.2 OTC n 16.34 -0.18 27.4 38.7 ADVAssetMan60 13.94 -0.20 7.5 16.7
ScTechOppInst 49.44 -1.19 31.6 15.3 NwInsghtI 31.68 -0.19 20.8 31.1
2045TarRetA 17.74 -0.29 9.4 24.8 StratIncOpptyIns 9.19 NA NA NA Value 17.62 -0.41 -3.5 34.2 ExtMktIdxInstPre n 68.28 -2.07 8.5 25.2 AilSectEq 10.10 -0.13 16.6 51.8 OTC K 16.72 -0.18 27.5 39.1 First Eagle Funds:
2050TarRetA 17.40 -0.29 9.8 24.6 FidAdAsset 13.05 -0.06 3.6 3.2 REIncmInst 11.21 -0.12 2.1 16.7 AMgr20% n 13.06 -0.06 3.6 3.2 Ovrse n 56.68 -2.02 12.1 19.8
StratMuniOppI 10.48 0.03 2.8 1.7 Deutsche DWS: GlbA 62.30 -1.18 7.5 31.0
AmcpA 35.05 -0.32 16.8 21.4 FidAdEm 34.50 -1.29 9.9 NS StrInI 11.05 -0.03 3.5 2.8 AMgr50% n 18.80 -0.24 6.5 12.9 PuritanK 22.60 -0.17 10.8 26.1
TotRet 10.02 0.01 3.4 -8.5 CoreEq n 28.95 -0.57 11.8 44.3 OverseasA 23.90 -0.56 6.4 16.6
AMutlA 48.68 -0.80 1.4 36.7 FidSAI 8.58 -0.08 3.8 NS Total Bd 9.44 0.01 3.2 -6.9 AMgr70% n 24.40 -0.42 8.4 20.9 Puritn n 22.62 -0.17 10.8 25.8
BNY Mellon Funds: Diamond Hill Funds: FPA Funds:
BondA 11.39 0.00 1.7 -9.7 FidSAIEmerg 11.73 -0.36 8.1 19.3 Fidelity Advisor M: AMgr85% n 22.69 -0.48 9.8 26.6 RealE n 36.77 -1.69 -1.2 15.7
Aprec n 39.45 -0.48 11.5 40.3 LgCapI 29.77 -0.51 2.5 39.0 NwInc n 9.54 0.01 2.3 1.5
BalA 30.10 -0.29 5.4 19.6 FidSer5 7.94 0.03 3.1 NS Balanced 25.09 -0.19 12.1 27.2 AstMgr30R n 11.17 -0.08 4.7 6.2 RealEstInc n 11.26 -0.12 2.1 16.7
Dr500In n 49.70 -0.69 13.9 43.5 LgCapY 29.80 -0.51 2.5 39.5 FPA Funds Trust:
CapIBA 63.47 -1.10 2.2 20.7 FidSer0-5 9.45 0.01 1.8 NS EqGr 14.77 -0.21 20.5 38.1 Balanc n 25.66 -0.19 12.4 29.5 SAIIntlMinVolInd 10.56 -0.20 7.4 10.5
CapWA 16.18 0.02 1.5 -15.0 Dreyf n 15.29 -0.17 17.0 48.6 LongShortI 25.53 -0.34 2.3 26.6 FIDSerEmgMkt 8.25 -0.32 6.6 2.0 GrOppM 110.28 -1.90 26.7 18.1 FPACres Inst n 36.64 -0.54 9.9 39.0
BalancedK 25.66 -0.20 12.4 29.7 SAILTTreBdIdx 7.86 0.04 4.9 -32.4
CapWGrA 56.25 -1.24 10.2 26.1 GlFxIncI 19.35 0.05 3.1 -4.3 Dimensional Fds: FidSerInt 8.59 0.04 3.6 NS NwInsghtM 28.29 -0.18 20.5 29.2 SAISm-MidCap500I 5.59 -0.15 4.9 39.0 Franklin A1:
BluCh n 152.96 -1.48 36.0 38.4
EupacA 53.75 -1.87 9.9 11.5 InstS&PStkIdx I 60.13 -0.84 14.1 44.7 2TGlFxd 9.70 0.00 2.0 -0.9 FidSerToMarket 14.28 -0.23 13.4 42.3 Fidelity Advisor Z: SAIUSMinVolIndFd 17.56 -0.21 6.1 32.6 CA TF A1 6.80 0.01 2.8 -2.7
BluChpGr K6 23.52 -0.23 36.0 40.5
FdInvA 66.21 -0.99 11.6 37.1 IntlStkI 23.43 -0.77 14.2 16.7 5GlbFxdInc 10.04 0.01 2.1 -5.2 FIDSerTresIndxFd 9.94 0.00 2.2 3.7 SAIUSQtyIdx 17.70 -0.20 15.6 41.3 Fed TF A1 10.71 0.03 3.5 -2.7
AssetManager50% 18.75 -0.23 6.6 13.1 BluChpGrK 153.72 -1.48 36.1 38.8
GBalA 34.26 -0.66 6.4 11.7 IntlStkY 23.14 -0.76 14.3 16.9 DFARlEst 35.76 -1.73 -2.1 13.3 FIDZroExtMktIx n 11.01 -0.33 4.7 39.3 SmCapDisc n 23.80 -0.74 5.0 53.2 HiInc A1 1.65 -0.01 5.2 9.2
AsstMngr70 24.37 -0.42 8.4 21.2 CAMun n 12.00 0.03 2.6 -1.8
GovtA 12.19 0.00 0.9 -10.2 SmMidCpGrI 24.42 -0.67 7.3 -7.4 EmgMkt 26.85 -0.97 6.6 17.2 FIDZroLgCpIx n 15.37 -0.22 14.7 43.6 SmlCapO n 12.40 -0.25 6.3 43.5 HY TF A1 8.78 0.04 3.7 -0.6
EmMkt Z 27.76 -1.19 4.1 10.4 CapAp n 36.79 -0.69 15.4 40.9
GwthA 59.44 -0.75 20.1 26.4 StrgVal I 39.47 -0.74 2.0 77.7 EmgMktSoCoEq 13.58 -0.45 7.9 19.0 Flex 500 Index 18.61 -0.26 14.2 45.6 SmlCpGrth n 25.49 -0.40 7.7 22.9 IncomeA1 2.26 -0.03 2.4 29.0
FloatRateHighInc 9.12 0.00 5.6 18.5 CapDevO n 19.14 -0.40 10.8 55.1
HI TrA 9.09 -0.07 3.4 13.2 BNY Mellon Funds Tru: EmgMktVa 28.33 -0.84 7.4 34.6 FlexIntIdx 12.11 -0.42 7.9 19.2 GovtIncome 9.24 0.01 2.1 -12.7 SmlCpGrth K6 13.63 -0.22 7.9 23.8 NY TF A1 9.92 0.03 3.9 -3.9
CnvSc n 31.35 -0.29 5.8 32.4
HiInMuniA 14.71 0.07 3.9 3.0 MCMultiStrM 16.81 -0.35 6.1 31.6 EmMktCorEq 21.65 -0.72 7.6 23.9 FlexUSBdIdx 9.07 0.01 2.5 -11.3 GrOpp 125.92 -2.17 27.1 20.3 Contra n 14.68 -0.05 23.2 31.4 SmlCpGrth Z 25.76 -0.40 7.8 23.3 US Gov A1 5.11 0.00 1.8 -10.4
ICAA 46.36 -0.68 13.2 40.2 NtlIntmMuni 12.86 0.02 2.3 -0.9 EmMktSmCp 21.70 -0.62 7.3 35.8 Freedom2060K 12.09 -0.26 10.6 30.5 InvestGradeBd 7.17 0.01 3.1 -9.3 ContraK 14.74 -0.05 23.3 31.7 SmlCpVal n 18.02 -0.68 1.5 68.5 Utils A1 20.26 -0.68 -5.0 26.0
IncoA 22.47 -0.38 0.8 25.2 Bridge Builder Trust: Fixd 10.16 0.00 2.1 0.7 GlexUSIdxInstPre n 13.55 -0.47 8.0 19.2 NewMktsIncFdZ 11.61 0.06 3.4 -6.5 CpInc n 9.23 -0.08 4.8 20.1 Srs1000ValIndRet 14.06 -0.29 2.2 43.5 Franklin Templeton:
IntBdA 12.39 -0.01 1.1 -6.0 CoreBond 8.92 0.01 2.0 -9.8 GblAll60 40Inst 19.63 -0.26 6.0 22.4 GrowthCompanyK6 20.11 -0.26 30.7 45.4 RE Income 11.21 -0.11 2.3 17.2 DisEq n 54.07 -0.43 18.3 32.1 SrsBlChGroRetail n 13.65 -0.14 36.8 42.4 TgtModA 13.66 -0.13 7.0 13.9
56 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
January February March April May June Low (t) … 911.93 904.66 912.54 900.49 NYSE Amer Comp ... 4083.78 4125.89 4077.84 4038.65
High (a) … 925.21 924.76 927.78 922.15 AmMajorMkt ... 3137.99 3134.19 3129.51 3112.44
dollar against six other currencies, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index edged up 0.6% on the week. This is a list of the Dow Jones trailing 52-week diluted share
earnings, dividends and book values as reported by the company.
10 Bolded numbers indicate new values. Sources Barron's Stats and
FactSet.
Industrial Stocks
s
5
Book Book
Investor Sentiment Readings New Listings
Earns Divs. Value Earns Divs. Value
DXY (102.87) NYSE
Am Exp 9.51 2.16 29.14 Johnson&John 4.78 4.58 28.16 High bullish readings in the Consensus stock index or in the Market
Vane stock index usually are signs of Market tops; low ones, market None
Amgen 14.71 8.14 12.00 JPMorgChase 13.55 4.00 88.07 bottoms.
Apple 5.89 0.93 3.84 McDonalds 9.44 5.94 (6.17) NYSE American
0 Boeing (6.92) Nil (25.47) Merck Co 5.12 2.88 15.11
Last Week 2 Weeks Ago 3 Weeks Ago
Caterpillar 13.53 4.80 30.76 Microsoft 9.23 2.66 22.31 Consensus Index None
Chevron Corp 18.52 5.86 72.06 Nike Inc 3.47 1.325 9.73 Nasdaq
s Cisco Sys 2.78 1.53 9.79 Proc Gam 5.11 3.6806 19.11 Consensus Bullish Sentiment 59% 56% 51%
-5 Coca Cola 2.28 1.80 5.32 3M Co 9.65 5.98 26.31 None
s YEN in $ Disney Walt 1.82 Nil 48.71 Salesforce.com 0.38 0.00 58.78 AAII Index
EURO in $ Dow
Goldman Sachs
4.00 2.80 24.71
28.09 10.00 297.50
Travelers Cos 11.73
UnitedHealthGrp 21.87
3.79 119.76
6.83 76.26 Bullish 42.9% 45.2% 44.5% Trading
Home Depot 16.41 7.98 (1.64) Verizon 5.14 2.5975 19.48
J A S O N D J F M A M J
-10
Honeywell
IBM
7.70 4.07 27.12
7.15 6.61 21.05
Visa
Walgreens (3.65)
7.54 1.725 16.32
1.98 27.06
Bearish
Neutral
27.8
29.4
22.7
32.1
24.3
31.2
Suspended
NYSE
Intel (0.68) 1.22 23.44 Wal-mart 4.16 2.26 30.15
Source: Tullett Prebon Market Vane None
Transportation Stocks NYSE American
Bullish Consensus 47% 47% 44% None
AlaskaAirGroup 0.46 Nil 30.19 Kirby Corp 2.42 Nil 48.02 Nasdaq
TIM Group Market Sentiment
Coming U.S. Auctions 144 Filings AmericanAirlines 2.53
AvisBudgetGrp 55.20
Nil (11.33)
Nil (3.93)
Landstar Sys
Matson Inc
10.58
19.42
1.20 22.87
1.24 40.67 Indicator 37.7% 44.9% 42.6%
HV Bancorp (HVBC)
Oncorus (ONCR)
C.H. Robinson 6.21 2.33 15.65 Norf Southern 13.01 5.18 56.80 Prometheus Biosci (RXDX)
SEC Form 144 must be filed by holders of restricted securities (also called letter stock) who intend to Sources: Consensus Inc.; American Association of Ranger Oil (ROCC)
Yields (%) CSX Corp 2.03 0.42 6.13 Old Dominion 12.16 1.40 32.00
sell shares. Shares Indicated: the number to be sold. Sales Date: the approximate date of the sale.
(Sometimes shares aren't sold, even though their owner has filed a Form144.) Source: Thomson Delta Air Lines 2.95 Nil 6.07 Ryder Sys 16.65 2.48 52.02 Individual Investors; Market Vane; TIM Group
Monday
5.294
Last Auction
5.130
Reuters Expeditors Int'l 7.64
FedEx 15.50
1.36 20.90
4.71 95.98
Southwest Air
Un Pacific
1.00
11.32
Nil 17.59
5.20 22.17
Name
$58.0 bil 6-month 5.410 5.170 Company Sym
Shares
Indicated $ Value
Sale
Date Seller Title
Hunt (JB) 8.80 1.64 29.67 UPS 12.36 6.28 16.38
Changes
$42.0 bil 2-year 4.750 4.300
Vertex VERX 1,997,500 40,289,575 6/20/23 Westphal, Jeffery B
JetBlue Air (0.91) Nil 12.03 United Airlines 5.82 Nil 15.53
Arms Index NYSE
The Arms index, also known as the short term trading index, Enviri (NVRI), formerly Harsco
Tuesday Ziprecruiter ZIP 611,501 10,016,386 6/16/23 Travers, David P Utility Stocks (HSC)
is a number derived by dividing one quotient into another
Repay RPAY 600,000 4,557,261 6/15/23 Alias, Shaler D quotient. The numerator in the index is the number of Moatable (MTBL), formerly
$43.0 bil 5-year 3.993 3.749 AES Corp. (0.29) 0.6478 2.96 Exelon 2.25 1.395 35.13 advancing stocks divided by the number of declining stocks. Renren (RENN)
Dropbox DBX 515,226 12,818,823 6/14/23 Houston, Andrew H As of 3/14/11, the denominator in the index is now the
Am Elec 3.87 3.27 44.49 FirstEnergy 0.57 1.56 15.21 composite volume of advancing stocks divided by the NYSE American
Wednesday Oracle ORCL 354,837 43,783,045 6/20/23 Screven, Edward O composite volume of declining stocks.
AmericanWaterWorks 4.55 2.6725 40.18 NextEra Energy 3.36 1.785 18.95 None
Asana ASAN 300,000 7,485,000 6/15/23 Rosenstein, Justin DO Atmos Energy 5.82 2.90 59.71 Xcel Energy 3.23 2.015 28.70 Daily 6/19 6/20 6/21 6/22 6/23 Nasdaq
$35.0 bil 7-year 3.878 3.827 Toast TOST 257,733 5,830,571 6/15/23 Fredette, Stephen OD Con Ed 7.04 3.20 56.60 Pub Sv Ent 4.64 2.22 28.65
Drilling Tools International
Oracle ORCL 220,740 27,904,984 6/16/23 Screven, Edward O DominionEnergy 1.43 2.67 31.51 Sempra Energy 7.76 4.625 79.17 (DTI), formerly ROC Energy
* As of Friday afternoon. NYSE ... 1.42 1.54 1.23 1.81
Duke Energy 3.25 4.02 61.55 Southn Co. 3.11 2.74 25.36 Acquisition (ROC)
Sei Investments SEIC 213,000 12,556,350 6/20/23 West, Alfred AF NYSE American ... .43 .55 .57 1.54
Edison Int'l 2.20 2.875 36.57 GDEV (GDEV), formerly
Ss&C Technologies SSNC 200,000 12,005,020 6/16/23 Pedonti, Patrick O Nasdaq ... .84 .98 .65 1.25 Nexters
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 59
Dow Jones U.S. Total Market Industry Groups CBOE Put / Call Ratio Foreign Exchange
Foreign
Currency
Foreign
Currency
U.S. $ in
Foreign
U.S. $ in
Foreign
Bullish
3 months 5.48 5.48 2.00
Source: CCBN, www.ccbn.com 6 months 5.60 5.60 2.75
Baltic Dry Index June 23 1,240 1,076 2,331 –46.80 Other Indicators
Citi Research Panic–Euphoria Reading June 23 –0.07 –0.18 –0.02 …. Libor Interbank Rate
Inventories
Current Sentiment
Domestic crude oil, (thous. bbls) Comm. (Excl. Lease Stck) June 16 463,293 467,124 418,328 10.75
Index of coincident indicators h
Index of lagging indicators h
May
May
110.2
118.4
r110.0
118.3
108.4
113.0 4.78
1.66
Barron’s 50-Stock Average 1 month
3 months
5.15
5.54
5.16
5.51
1.63
2.23
65.8%
Gasoline, (thous. bbls) June 16 221,402 220,923 218,963 1.11 This index is a weighted average of 50 leading issues. Useful in secu- 6 months 5.69 5.67 2.87
Index of leading indicators h May 106.7 107.5 118.0 –9.58 rity valuation. Source: Barron's Stats 12 months 5.93 5.88 3.54
Orders
Coincident to lagging ratio h May 0.93 0.93 0.96 –3.12
Jun 22 Jun 15 June Yr-to-Yr Foreign Prime Rates
No Activity for this Week a-1997 equals 100. b-1982-84 equals 100. c-1982 equals 100. f-1996 equals 100. h-
Last Week benchmark revision, 2016 equals 100. r-Revised. 2023 2023 2022 % Chg Canada 6.95 6.95 3.70
Trade
S&P 500 Index 4381.89 4425.84 3914.29 11.95 Germany 4.00 3.75 0.00
60.8%
Balance of payments (including services), (bil $) 1st Qtr –219.3 r–216.2 –283.9 –22.75 Japan 1.475 1.475 1.475
Barron’s 50 Index 11529.27 11646.29 10678 7.97 Switzerland 2.25 2.00 0.25
Projected quarterly earn 164.23 161.96 135.25 21.42 Britain 5.00 4.50 1.25
Annualized projected earn 656.90 647.85 541.01 21.42 Other Money Rates
2 Weeks ago Fannie Mae Home Loan:
Annualized projected P/E 17.55 17.98 19.74 –11.07
30-Year Fixed Conv 6.12 6.04 5.14
American Debt and Deficits Adjustable Mortgage Rates
51.2%
Five-year average earn 486.93 486.93 434.2 12.14 Bank money market-z 0.32 0.32 0.09
Interest Checking-z 0.06 0.06 0.04
Five-year average P/E 23.68 23.92 24.59 –3.72
Latest Preceding Year Ago Yr over Yr 6-Month Certif-z 1.38 1.38 0.25
Report Report Report % Chg Jun 23 Jun 16 Yr. Ago YOY % Chg Year-end earn 619.08 619.08 559.6 10.64 12-Month Certif-z 1.70 1.69 0.37
3 Weeks ago 30 Month Accounts-z 1.25 1.25 0.54
1,330FY'25 1,201FY'24 1,154FY'23 …. 1 Year Treas Bills 5.23 5.16 2.94 77.89 Year-end P/E 18.62 18.81 19.08 –2.41
Federal Budget Deficit (bil. $)-a 5-Year Certificates-z 1.22 1.21 0.59
Budget Surplus/Deficit (bil. $)-b, May –240.35 +176.18 –66.22 262.96 2 Year Treas Notes 4.66 4.53 3.27 42.51
Current Market Exposure: Year-end earns yield, % 5.37 5.32 5.2 2.28
Trade Deficit (bil. $, sa)-c, April –74.60 r-60.59 –86.02 -13.28 3 Year Treas Notes 4.28 4.17 3.44 24.42 U.S. Savings EE Bonds:
100% Equities, 0% Bonds, 0% Treasury Gross Public Debt. (bil. $)-d 32,095.7 31,954.4 30,438.4 5.44 5 Year Treas Notes 3.97 3.88 3.45 15.07 Best grade bond yields, % 4.63 4.54 3.7 24.63
Cash Treasury Statutory Debt Limit (bil. $)-d * 31,381.5 …. …. Long-Term (5yrs+) 2.50 2.50 0.10
Consumer Installment Debt (bil. $)-e, April 4,859.9 r4,836.9 4,565.6 6.45 10 Year Treas Notes 3.78 3.73 3.36 12.50 Bond yields/stock ylds, % 0.86 0.85 0.71 21.99
Source: Delta Investment 20 Year Treas Bds 4.06 4.05 3.64 11.54 c-Annualized yields, adjusted for constant maturity, reported by the Federal
Management Sources: a-Office of Management and Budget, b-Monthly Treasury Statement, c-Monthly Commerce Dept. FHFA PMMS+ May 6.72 6.72 3.84 75.00 Actual year-end divs 245.84 245.84 229.40 7.16 Reserve on a weekly average basis. Sources: Tullett Prebon information, Ltd.
www.deltaim.com, (415) Report, d-Daily Treasury Statement, e-Monthly Federal Reserve Release. *Statutory debt limit temporarily Factset. z-Bankrate.com.
249-6337 suspended through January 1, 2025. Fed annualized yields adjusted for constant maturity. Actual yr-end divs yld, % 2.13 2.11 2.15 –0.93
60 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
4.63 4.54 3.96 Insight Select Incm Fd-INSI (NYSE) 5.1 Q .20 .18 11.1 7-13 7-12 7-27 NYSE
Handy & Harman 6/23 6/16 Year Ago Comerica .71
Investar Holding-ISTR (Nasdaq) 3.3 Q .10 .095 5.3 7-03 6-30 7-31 Monday (June 26) Greif A .50
Gold, troy ounce 1930.70 1959.75 1825.45 Interm-Grade Bonds-y Kroger Co-KR (NYSE) 2.5 Q .29 .26 11.5 8-15 8-14 9-01 Greif Cl B .75
Silver, troy ounce 22.36 24.02 21.22 Bluegreen Vacations .20
Matson-MATX (NYSE) 1.7 Q .32 .31 3.2 8-03 8-02 9-07 Cato Cl A .17 MDU Resources Group .222
(Barron's index of 10 medium-grade corporate bonds.) Ellington Financial .15 Textron .02
Base for pricing gold and silver contents of shipments and for making 5.20 4.98 4.80 MS Emerging Mkts Debt-MSD (NYSE) 11.1 Q .1875 .1575 19.0 6-30 6-29 7-14 UGI .375
refining settlement. Genpact .138
Permian Basin Royalty Tr-PBT (NYSE) 5.1 M .052371 .044388 18.0 6-30 6-29 7-17 Shell ADR .575 Sunday (July 2)
Confidence Index PermRock Royalty Trust-PRT (NYSE) 19.2 M .040784 .030013 35.9 6-30 6-29 7-17 Suncor Energy .385
Coins Price Premium $ Premium % Tapestry .30 NONE
(High-grade index divided by intermediate-grade index; decline in
Presidio Property Trust-SQFT (NCM ) 9.6 Q .023 .022 4.5 6-27 6-26 6-30 Williams Cos .447
Krugerrand 1996.38 76.78 4.00 latter vs. former generally indicates rising confidence, pointing to World Wrestling .12
Maple Leaf
Mexican Peso
2015.58
2322.46
95.98
8.00
5.00
0.35
higher stocks.)
89.1 91.3 82.6 Dividend Payment Reductions Tuesday (June 27) Week’s
Austria Crown 1884.59 3.00 0.16 Knight-Swift Transport .14
Austria Phil
U.S. Eagles
2015.58
2015.58
95.98
95.98
5.00
5.00 Other Confidence Indicators:
Company Name-Ticker Symbol (Exchange)
Adjusted
Yield Period To From
%
Decrease
Record
Date
Ex-Div
Date
Payment
Date
UnitedHealth Group
Wednesday (June 28)
1.88 Dividend
Premium is the amount over the value of the gold content in the coin.
Source Manfra, Tordella & Brookes, Inc. Bullion spot gold price 1919.6 Bloomberg Barclays US Long Treasury* AFC Gamma-AFCG (Nasdaq)
Cross Timbers Royalty Tr-CRT (NYSE)
16.7
10.1
Q
M
.48
.07704
.56
.185059
-14.3 %
-58.4 %
6-30
6-30
6-29
6-29
7-14
7-17
Arcos Dorados Holdings A
Ardagh Metal Packaging
.05
.10
Payment
(This index measures the performance of fixed-rate, nominal US Caleres .07
Treasuries with at least 10 years to maturity. Jan. 1, 1973=100.) Duff & Phelps Utility-DPG (NYSE) 8.7 Q .21 .35 -40.0 % 9-15 9-14 9-29 This list includes payouts on
Halliburton .16 common stocks.
Great Elm 5.875% Nt 2026-GECCO (Nasdaq) 6.2 Q .367187 .371267 -1.1 % 3-15 3-14 3-31
Gold Performance Bloomberg Barclays US Credit
3289.49 3269.04 3456.30
Great Elm 5.875% Nt 2026-GECCO (Nasdaq)
Great Elm 6.5% Nts 2024-GECCN (Nasdaq)
6.2
6.6
Q
Q
.363108
.40625
.367187
.410764
-1.1 %
-1.1 %
6-15
3-15
6-13
3-14
6-30
3-31
International Seaways
International Seaways
Lear Corp
.12
1.50
.77
NASDAQ
Weak Week: With more rate hikes possible, Great Elm 6.75% Nts 2025-GECCM (Nasdaq) 6.8 Q .421875 .426563 -1.1 % 3-15 3-14 3-31 PVH Corp. .038 Monday (June 26)
(This index includes all publicly issued, fixed-rate, non-convertible, Steris .47
gold slid 1.5% last week, to $1,931 an ounce. Great Elm 6.75% Nts 2025-GECCM (Nasdaq) 6.8 Q .417188 .421875 -1.1 % 6-15 6-13 6-30 Voya Financial .20 Amkor Technology .075
investment-grade, dollar-denominated, SEC-registered corporate
debt.) Great Elm 7.25% Nts 2027-GEGGL (Nasdaq) 8.6 Q .45313 .45816 -1.1 % 3-15 3-14 3-31 Winnebago Industries .27 Auburn National Bancorp .27
2903.37 2910.74 2871.30 Great Elm 7.25% Nts 2027-GEGGL (Nasdaq) 8.6 Q .44809 .45313 -1.1 % 6-15 6-13 6-30 Wyndham Hotels .35 Patrick Industries .45
30 Mesa Royalty Trust-MTR (NYSE) 9.1 M .136163 .487527 -72.1 % 6-30 6-29 7-31 Xylem .33 Victory Capital Cl A .32
Ryan Labs Treasury Index Permianville Royalty Tr-PVL (NYSE) 17.7 M .0125 .0135 -7.4 % 6-30 6-29 7-14 Thursday (June 29)
Barron's Gold Mining Index (855.64) San Juan Basin Royalty-SJT (NYSE) 31.3 M .016987 .052724 -67.8 % 6-30 6-29 7-17 Tuesday (June 27)
Aegon ADR .129
(Index of total return from active Treasury notes and bonds. Dec. Two Harbors Investment-TWO (NYSE) 17.5 Q .45 .60 -25.0 % 7-05 7-03 7-28 Alamos Gold .025 CME Group Cl A 1.10
31, 1996=100.) Aris Water Solutions .09
20 268.97 270.05 277.12 Star Bulk Carriers .35
Prev. Year
Dividend Ralph Lauren Cl A
Regal Rexnord
REV Group
.75
.35
.05
Alico
Amdocs
ATN International
.05
.435
.21
Acme United
Saturday (July 1)
.14 Palo Alto Networks PANW 18 428,924 82,166,025 $191.56
Devon Energy
Devon Energy
.20
.52
Hooker Furnishings
Icahn Enterprises
.22
2.00
Member Bank
Reserve Chgs. (Mil. $)
Week
Change
Ago
Change Dates Stantec
Stryker Corp
.146
.75
BancFirst
BRP
.40
.133
NONE U.S. Treasury Bills Dick's Sporting Goods
Domino's Pizza
Douglas Dynamics
1.00
1.21
.295
Information Services
Inter Parfums
.045
.625
Sunday (July 2) Wkly Ask
U.S. Gov't securities: This list includes payouts on Tecnoglass .09 Canterbury Park Holding .07 Maturity Bid Chg. Yld.
EnerSys .175 Investors Title .46
Asked
common stocks. TFI International .35 Chicago Atl Real Est Fin .47 NONE Entravision Comms .05 Iridium Communications .13
Bought outright 7,705,009 -15,985 -791,141 July 25 4.97 4.96 0.01 5.06 Eversource Energy .675
Townsquare Media Cl A .188 ChipMOS Technologies 1.501 July 27 5.00 4.99 0.01 5.08 James River Group Hldgs .05
NYSE Tricon Residential .058 Colliers International .15 Monday (July 3) F & G Annuities & Life .20
Federal agency secur: August 01 5.02 5.01 0.02 5.12 Fed Agric Mtg Cl A 1.10 Kforce .36
Tuesday (June 27) U.S. Bancorp .48 Dentsply Sirona .14 NONE August 03 5.05 5.04 0.05 5.14 Fed Agric Mtg Cl C 1.10 Kraft Heinz .40
Bought outright 2,347 .... .... Valmont Industries .60 Ensign Group .058 August 08 5.06 5.05 0.04 5.17
American Vanguard .03 Fidelity Ntl Financial .45 Lancaster Colony .85
August 10 5.07 5.06 0.03 5.16
Reserve bank credit:
Primary Credit 3,248 -69 -316
Banco Bradesco Ord ADR .037
Cdn Imperial Bk Of Comm .638
Vermilion Energy
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
.073
.10
Fifth Third Bancorp
First Bancorp NC
FirstService
.33
.22
.225
Week’s August 15
August 17
5.10
5.07
5.09
5.06
0.04
0.04
5.21
5.17
Frontline
Garmin
GATX
.70
.73
.55
Marriott International
Marten Transport
.52
.06
August 22 5.07 5.06 0.03 5.19
Secondary Credit
Seasonal Credit
....
25
-1
+4
....
+17
Wednesday (June 28)
Friday (June 30)
Agilent Technologies .225
Himax Technologies ADR .48
Keurig Dr Pepper .20
Dividend August 24
August 29
5.06
5.07
5.05
5.06
0.03
0.03
5.16
5.19
Global Indemnity
Global Payments
GrafTech International
.25
.25
.01
Methanex
Nasdaq
.185
.22
Chunghwa Telecom ADR 1.529 Air Products & Chemicals 1.75
Float
Other F.R. Assets
-171
41,370
-6
+3,047
-21
+3,338
Northern Oil & Gas .37 ASE Technology ADR
Cardinal Health
.571
.501
Lincoln Electric
Mondelez Intl Cl A
.64
.385
Monolithic Power Systems1.00
Payment August 31
September 05
September 07
5.09
5.06
5.11
5.08
5.05
5.10
0.04
0.01
0.04
5.21
5.18
5.22
Gray Television
Gray Television Cl A
.08
.08
NorthWestern
NVIDIA
.64
.04
Thursday (June 29) Hanover Insurance Grp .81 PepsiCo 1.265
Total Fed Credit # 8,334,835 -17,922 -565,989 Encompass Health .15 National Research .12 This list includes payouts on September 12 5.07 5.06 0.05 5.20 HCA Healthcare .60
Gold stock 11,041 .... .... AXIS Capital Holdings .44 Grupo Aval Acciones ADR .016 common stocks. September 14 5.12 5.11 0.05 5.25 Power Integrations .19
Opera ADR .80 Hess Corp .438
B & G Foods .19 September 19 5.09 5.08 0.04 5.23 Hillenbrand .22 Principal Financial Group .64
SDR Certif. Accounts 5,200 .... .... Heico Cl A .10 Steel Dynamics .425 NYSE American September 21 5.15 5.14 0.11 5.29
Treas. Curr. Outst. 51,807 +14 +728 BanColombia ADR .852 Heico Corp .10 Towne Bank .25 Hilton .15 Red Rock Resorts Cl A .25
September 26 5.12 5.11 0.07 5.26 Horace Mann Educators .33
Benchmark Electronics .165 Ingredion .71 Trinity Capital .48 Monday (June 26) September 28 5.08 5.07 0.08 5.23 Renasant .22
Total 8,421,346 -17,843 -565,030 Huntsman .237
Cdn Pacific Kansas City .14 Park Aerospace .125 Trinity Capital .05 October 03 5.14 5.13 0.05 5.29 Ross Stores .335
Currency in circ 2,343,012 +1,379 +65,440 Flanigan's Enterp .45 Installed Bldg Products .33
CTS Corp .04 Quanta Services .08 Willis Towers Watson .84 October 05 5.13 5.12 0.04 5.26 Insteel Industries .03 Seacoast Banking of FL .18
Treas. Cash Hldgs 225 -9 +132 Danaher .27 Raymond James .42 Tuesday (June 27) October 10 5.14 5.13 0.03 5.30
Xerox Holdings .25 Intercontinental Exchange .42 SpartanNash .215
Treas. Fed Deposits 276,850 +174,732 -481,433 Deere 1.25 Republic Services .495 October 12 5.16 5.15 0.04 5.32 Leidos Holdings .36
York Water .203 B2Gold .04 October 17 5.19 5.18 0.04 5.35 StepStone Group .25
Foreign Fed Deposits 9,687 +1 +2,252 DigitalBridge Group .01 State Street .63 M & T Bank 1.30
Friday (June 30) October 19 5.19 5.18 0.07 5.35 Martin Marietta .66 StepStone Group .20
Other Fed Deposits 204,423 +810 -50,852 Dillard's .20 Wolverine World Wide .10 Wednesday (June 28) October 24 5.21 5.20 .... 5.38
Consolidated Water .085 Meritage Homes .27 Summit Financial .20
Other FR liab/cap -21,441 -5,327 -70,326 Ellington Financial .15 Saturday (July 1) Espey Mfg & Elec .10 October 26 5.16 5.15 0.05 5.33
Cricut Cl A 1.00 NOV .05 Universal Display .35
Total factors 5,169,788 +55,861 -669,032 ESAB .06 November 02 5.14 5.13 0.02 5.29 Outfront Media .30
FMC .58 NONE Pegasystems .03 Thursday (June 29) November 09 5.13 5.12 .... 5.30 Verisk Analytics .34
Reserves F.R. banks 3,251,558 -73,703 +104,002 Ovintiv .30
Franklin Resources .30 Preformed Line Products .20 November 16 5.12 5.11 0.01 5.30 Pembina Pipeline .497 Weyco Group .25
Fgn hold U.S. debt 3,425,424 +16,346 +22,146 Sunday (July 2) Silvercorp Metals .013 November 24 5.14 5.13 -0.01 5.32
Granite Construction .13 Washington Trust Bancorp .56 Public Svc Enterprise .57
NONE Werner Enterprises .14 November 30 5.16 5.15 0.02 5.34 Quanex Building Products .08 Saturday (July 1)
Greystone Housing Impact .37 Friday (June 30) Dec 07 '23 5.16 5.15 0.03 5.36
Monday (July 3) Range Resources .08 Automatic Data 1.25
Reserve Aggr (Mil. $) Latest Prev. Month % Year Humana .885 Saturday (July 1) Evolution Petroleum .12 Dec 14 '23 5.14 5.13 0.01 5.34 RenaissanceRe Hldgs .38
Month Ended April: Month Month Chg. Ago Illinois Tool Works 1.31 Banco Bradesco Ord ADR .004 Gold Royalty .01 Dec 21 '23 5.19 5.18 .... 5.40 C & F Financial .44
NONE Scorpio Tankers .25
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings .24 Dec 28 '23 5.07 5.06 0.24 5.27 Service Corp Intl .27 Hawthorn Bancshares .17
Bank of Nova Scotia .785 Jan 25 '24 4.87 4.86 0.11 5.05
Total Reserves: 3,269,500 3,258,400 0.34 3,615,400 Ladder Capital Cl A .23 Choice Hotels Intl .287 Sunday (July 2) Saturday (July 1) SFL .24 Northern Trust .75
NonborrowedRes 2,939,800 3,043,100 -3.39 3,591,400 Feb 22 '24 4.88 4.87 0.04 5.07 Spirit Airlines .10
Lennox International 1.10 ESCO Technologies .08 NONE NONE Mar 21 '24 4.98 4.97 0.05 5.21 WesBanco .35
BorrowedReserves 329,662 215,338 53.09 23,960 National Fuel Gas .495 Stellar Bancorp .13
Gap Inc .15 Apr 18 '24 5.02 5.01 0.05 5.25 Stewart Info Svcs .45
Monetary Base 5,592,600 5,571,000 0.39 5,885,100 Nucor .51 Monday (July 3) Sunday (July 2) May 16 '24 5.03 5.02 0.05 5.28 Sunday (July 2)
Helios Technologies .09 Sun Life Financial .554
Nutrien .53 Sempra 1.19 Comcast Cl A .29 NONE Jun 13 '24 4.98 4.97 0.03 5.25 NONE
June 26, 2023 BARRON’S 61
Week’s InspireMD
Intapp
NEW LOWS
22ndCentury
23andMe
EnergyFocus
EnochianBio
PhioPharm
Phunware
Abercrombie&Fitch
AfricanGoldA
Moog B
NVR
MiX Telematics
NationalFuelGas
SummitHotelProp
TelusIntl
Lows iPower
iRadimed
AdaptimmuneTher
AdicetBio
Aditxt
EudaHealth
EVgo
Precipio
PrecisionBio
ArcosDorados
Arcosa
NuHoldings
Oil-Dri
PhoenixNewMedia
PlanetLabs
VinceHolding
WNS
IVERICbio Femasys PriveterraAcqnA AresAcqnA Orix ProsperityBcshs W.P.Carey
NYSE AdvEmissions
KairousAcqn FinchTherap ProMISNeurosci AthenaTechII A OverseasShip SQZ Biotech WheelsUp
AdventTech
153 80
LamfGlbI A FocusUniversal ProSomnus Azul OwensCorning Safehold WideOpenWest
LandseaHomes AegleaBioTherap ForwardIndustries Psychemedics BWX Tech Sibanye-Stillwater ZimIntShipping
PGT Innovations
Latch AerwinsTech FreightTech Pulmatrix BancoBBVA
New Highs New Lows PampaEnergia
AgileTherap
Nasdaq
LCattertonA
LegendBiotech AgileThought
FrequencyTherap
GalmedPharm
RamacoRscsB
RealGoodFood
Bladex
BancoMacro
PenskeAuto
PulteGroup
Distributions & Offerings
LeMaitreVascular Akerna GenerationIncm RedHillBio BancSanBrasil QuantaServices Secondary Distributions of common stocks
216
New Highs
295
New Lows
LeonardoDRS
LifeMD
Limbach
Akumin
AllogeneTherap
AlloVir
Greenlane
GreenwaveTech
GRI Bio
ReShapeLife
ReToEcoSol
RoyaltyPharma
BeazerHomes
BoiseCascade
BostonSci
RoperTech
RoyalCaribbean
ShakeShack
Allovir
BEAM Global
Dragonfly Energy Holdings 10,000,000
20,000,000
2,663,044
$3.75
$9.00
$2.00
$75,000,000
$23,967,396
$20,000,000
AMC Networks Gulfport Energy 1,495,000 $95.00 $142,025,000
Liquidia GSRIIMeteoraA RVL Pharm BuildersFirst ShoulderUpTechA IGM Biosciences 10,597,827 $8.00 $84,782,616
NYSE American
Locafy AmericanPubEdu Gulf Resources Sabre CACI Intl SilverBoxIIIA Madison Square Garden Entertainment 5,250,000 $31.00 $162,750,000
MamaMancini's AmeriServFin HanoverBancorp SaveFoods CBIZ MamaMancini's Holdings 6,281,085 $2.50 $15,702,713
9 27
SimpsonMfg
Mesoblast AppliedUV HarborCustom SBA Comm CCNeubergerIII A Source: Dealogic LLC, New York City; (212) 577-4400.
Snap-On
MetaPlatforms ApreaTherap HarborCustomWt SeaStarMedical CardinalHealth
New Highs New Lows
Spotify
MiMedx AptevoTherap HawthornBcsh SenecaFoods A Celestica Stevanato
Only includes COMMON and REIT stocks MontereyCapA ARBIOT Hempacco SenecaFoods B CentralPuerto SummitMaterials Yearly High/Lows Gold Prices
MorphoSys ArcadiaBiosci HubCyberSecurity SenmiaoTech ChurchillVI A TLGAcqnOneA The yearly Gold price; with a high/low range based on the daily close.
NYSE American BeaconRoof NautilusBiotech Assure iClickInteract SenstarTech CleanHarbors TaroPharm Year High Date Low Date
BelFuse A nLIGHT Aterian IGM Biosci ShiftPixy Coherent Tecnoglass
NEW HIGHS AtlanticAmerican 2023 2048.45 Apr 13 1810.95 Feb. 24
BelFuse B Novanta InMedPharm Shineco EngGr-Cmg TelecomArgentina
Azitra AtlanticaSust 2022 2039.05 Mar. 08 1628.75 Nov. 03
BELLUS Health NVIDIA InovioPharm Sinclair COPEL Toll Bros
BiteAcqn 2021 1943.20 Jan. 04 1683.95 Mar. 30
BioCardia OncolyticsBio AvalonGloboCare Inpixon SmartforLife Crane TopBuild 2020 2067.15 Aug. 06 1474.25 Mar. 19
CatchaInvtA BitDigital PaloAltoNtwks BeautyHealth IntegratedMedia SMXSecurityMatters DeckersOutdoor 2019 1546.10 Sept. 04 1269.50 Apr. 23
TownsquareMedia
CoreMoldingTech BowmanConsult PangaeaLogistics BeliteBio InteractStrength SNDL DellTechC 2018 1354.95 Jan. 25 1178.40 Aug. 17
TransDigm
InterPrivateII A Beneficient 2017 1346.25 Sept. 08 1151.00 Jan. 03
BranchOutFood ParkCity Intevac Sohu.com DoubleVerify TransportadGas 2016 1366.25 July 06 1077.00 Jan . 05
NorthernStrII A BreezeHldgs Patterson BeyondAir Invivyd Soligenix DrReddy'sLab US Foods 2015 1295.75 Jan. 22 1049.40 Dec. 17
PerspectiveTherap Cantaloupe PDF Solutions Biocept iSun SouthsideBcshs DreamFinders 2014 1385.00 Mar. 14 1142.00 Nov. 05
US Xpress
WirelessTel CelsiusHldg PioneerPwrSols BioCryst JaguarHealth SparkNetworks elfBeauty 2013 1693.75 Jan. 02 1192.00 June 28
Uber 2012 1791.75 Oct. 04 1540.00 May 30
CentessaPharm PotlatchDelt BiodexaPharm JamesRiver Staffing360 EMCOR
NEW LOWS UltraparPart 2011 1895.00 Sept. 06 1319.00 Jan. 28
Cerence Pwr&Digital II A BitBrother JazzPharm StarWi EagleMaterials
AgEagleAerial Vertiv 2010 1421.00 Nov. 09 1058.00 Feb. 05
ChinookTherap Quanterix BlinkCharging Joann Strattec EmeraldHldg 2009 1212.50 Dec. 02 810.00 Jan. 15
CamberEnergy Vishay
CloverLeafA RadNet BlueStarFoods JX Luxventure StrongholdDig EmpresaDisCom 2008 1011.25 Mar. 17 712.50 Oct. 24
Castellum VistaEnergy 2007 841.10 Nov. 08 608.40 Jan. 10
Cohu RamacoRscsB BoneBiologics KaryopharmTherap SuperCom EnelChile
cbdMD VulcanMatls 2006 725.00 May 12 524.75 Jan. 05
CompassDigitalAcqn ResearchSolutions Bonso KezarLifeSci Surgalign EnerpacTool 2005
1847Holdings WeaveComms 536.50 Dec. 12 411.10 Feb. 08
ConsldWater RoivantSciences Boxlight Kineta TCBioPharm EnPro 2004 454.20 Dec. 02 375.00 May 10
FreshVineWine XFinancial
ConstructionPtrs RoseHillAcqn BranchOutFood KioraPharm TD Holdings FederalSignal 2003 416.25 Dec. 30 319.90 Apr. 07
GoldResource XPO 2002 349.30 Dec. 27 277.75 Jan. 04
Copart Ryanair BuzzFeed Koss TilrayBrands Ferguson
GoldRoyalty YPF 2001 293.25 Sept. 17 255.95 Apr. 02
CoStar SagaliamAcqnA ByrnaTech LifetimeBrands TonixPharm GMS 2000 312.70 Feb. 07 263.80 Oct. 27
GoldenMinerals C3is NEW LOWS
CreativeRealities Sanfilippo Lucid TOP Ships GOL Linhas 1999 325.50 Oct. 05 252.80 July 20
GranTierraEner C4 Therap AlexandriaRlEst 1998 313.15 Apr. 24 273.40 Aug. 28
Cresud Schrodinger LumiraDx TopKingWin GreenTree
HoustonAmEner Cal-MaineFoods AlticeUSA 1997 366.55 Jan. 02 283.00 Dec. 12
Cricut SecurityNatFin LytusTech ToughBuiltInds Group1Auto 1996 414.80 Feb. 05 367.40 Dec. 03
IndonesiaEnergy Canoo ArdaghMetalPkg
CSW Industrials SilverspacA Marpai TraconPharm GpoSupervielle 1995 395.55 Apr. 19 372.40 Jan. 09
IntegraResources CanopyGrowth TransCodeTherap Ashland 1994 396.25 Sept. 28 369.65 Apr. 22
CTI BioPharma SizzleAcqn MercerIntl GulfportEnergy
MaiaBiotech CaravelleIntl TroikaMedia AzurePowerGlbl
D-MarketElec SkywardSpecIns MersanaTherap HCA Healthcare
MatinasBioPharma
PolymetMining
DiamedicaTherap
DiceTherap
SlamA
SonimTech
CaribouBio
CarverBancorp
micromobility.com
MiratiTherap
Trupanion
UcommuneIntl
HimalayaShipping
DR Horton
Babylon
BaytexEnergy
Yearly High/Lows Silver Prices
PowerREIT CastorMaritime uniQure BostonOmaha The yearly Handy & Harman Silver price; with a high/low range based
DiscMedicine SpokHoldings Missfresh HowmetAerospace
RaMedicalSys on the daily close.
DPCapAcqnIA SPS Commerce ChemomabTherap MobileGlbEsports UnitedGuardian Hubbell BrightScholar
Stereotaxis ChickenSoupA UnvlElectronics CalWtrSvc Year High Date Low Date
Dropbox StarEquity MoleculinBiotech IRSA
TrioPetroleum StealthGas ChijetMotor MonogramOrtho Vacasa InspireMedical Cato
DuosTechs 2023 25.92 May 04 20.07 Mar 08
WilliamsIndlSvcs DXP Ents StratimCloudA ChinaJoJoDrug Monro VBI Vaccines InstalledBldg ChargePoint 2022 26.87 Mar 08 17.80 Sept 01
Nasdaq EdifyAcqnA TactileSystems Cineverse MullenAuto VenusConcept ItauUnibanco ChathamLodging 2021 28.65 Feb 01 21.55 Sept 29
Eltek TakeTwoSoftware ClearPtNeuro MySize Veradigm Jabil ClearwaterPaper 2020 28.99 Aug 10 12.13 Mar 18
NEW HIGHS EnergyRecovery TesscoTech Clene NanoStringTech VerbTech JohnBeanTech ClearwayEnergyA 2019 19.40 Sept 04 14.36 May 28
7GC A Ent4.0TechAcqnA TMCthemetals CleverLeaves Nasdaq Vericity KB Home CrownCastle 2018 17.57 Jan 25 14.07 Nov 14
Abcam CoffeeHolding VertexEnergy DigitalMedia 2017 18.52 Apr 17 15.39 July 07
EosEnergy TMT Acqn NektarTherap KinsaleCapital
AbriSPACI 2016 20.69 Aug 02 13.78 Jan 12
ExactSciences TrailblazerI A CommerceBcshrs NeuroBoPharm ViaRenewables LG Display DineBrands
2015 18.41 Jan 22 13.72 Dec 17
Alkermes Fastenal TransActTechs COMSovereign NewellBrands View LambWeston Doma
2014 22.12 Feb 24 15.42 Nov 06
AllegiantTravel FinStrategiesA UFP Tech Concentrix Novan ViewRay Lennar A DouglasElliman 2013 32.31 Jan 23 18.70 June 26
AlphaStarAcqn Flex UnvlStainless ConsensusCloud Novocure VincoVentures Lennar B F45Training 2012 36.88 Feb 28 26.39 June 28
AlpineImmune FocusImpact Vaxcyte CrownCrafts NutexHealth VistaGenTherap LennoxIntl FathomDigital 2011 48.55 Apr 29 26.77 Jan 25
AlsetCapAcqnA Fortrea VectivBio CueHealth Nutriband Volcon EliLilly FirstMajestic 2010 30.64 Dec 29 14.78 Feb. 05
AmbrxBio Genelux VeraBradley CumberlandPharm Nuwellis voxeljet M/I Homes FlowersFoods 2009 19.45 Dec 02 10.45 Jan. 15
AmericanWoodmark GenesisUnicorn Vericel DonegalGroup B OceanPal WillametteValley MSA Safety HanoverIns 2008 20.70 Mar 05 8.81 Oct 28
AmphastarPharm GoalAcqns VeriskAnalytics DragonflyEnergy OconeeFedFinl Workhorse M3-BrigadeIII A HershaHospitality 2007 15.67 Nov 08 11.18 Aug 16
ANI Pham GpoFinGalicia VerraMobility DrillingToolsIntl OncoSecMed Xos Marsh&McLen HoraceMannEdu 2006 14.93 May 11 8.84 Jan 05
Yellow 2005 9.11 Dec 12 6.38 Jan 04
Apple GRAVITY WelsbachTech EastsideDistilling OpGen MartinMarietta HudsonPacProp
2004 8.24 Apr 07 5.57 May 13
AppliedDigital Gyrodyne Woodward EBET Opthea ZappEV MasTec IndependenceContr
2003 5.97 Dec 30 4.40 Mar 24
AppliedOptoelec Harmonic WorldAcceptance EcoWavePower OriginAgritech ZyVersaTherap MauiLand IntlFlavors 2002 5.15 June 04 4.26 Jan 31
ArtemisStratInvt HealthwellAcqnI XcelBrands EdibleGarden PanbelaTherap Maximus Leggett&Platt 2001
NYSE 4.87 Jan 30 4.06 Nov 26
Astronics HireQuest XerisBiopharma Eightco PassageBio McCormickVtg LocalBounti 2000 5.53 Feb. 07 4.60 Dec 15
AuroraAcqnA ICZOOMA YunhongCTI EledonPharm PaxMedica NEW HIGHS McCormick Mytheresa 1999 6.84 Feb 17 4.91 June 04
AxsomeTherap Immunogen Zillow C EnantaPharma PENN Entmt AAR McKesson Mativ 1998 7.31 Feb 06 4.72 Aug 31
62 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
O T H E R VO I C E S
A globally diversified portfolio of stocks and
bonds is likely to earn 4.5% to 6% a year over
the next decade
T
There’s also cause for celebration his is welcome news for
at the shortest end of the yield curve. long-term investors, whose
While many bank savings accounts savings will do more of the
are still offering less than 1%, yields hard work for them. But
on money-market funds have risen investors must keep in mind that it’s
along with the fed-funds rate. Some likely to be a bumpy ride. The markets
money-market fund yields are now probably will remain volatile even
at 5% or more, the highest they have after interest rates plateau, as rate
A Volatile Market
been since the early part of the 21st changes take a year or more to fully
century. work their way through the economy.
The rapid increase in rates has had Ultimately, the Fed’s ongoing fight
an impact on equities, too. There was against inflation won’t be without
A
fallen to just over 29, a decline of build a broadly diversified portfolio of
nearly 27%, yet still above our current stocks and bonds that aligns to your
generation of inves- BY GREGORY an extended period. fair value range of 20 to 26. risk tolerance and investment goals,
tors has little experi- DAVIS Things have changed—and rapidly. Such repricings are invariably pain- and, perhaps most important, stick
ence with investing Davis is chief The Fed is probably nearing the end ful for investors, but the upside is that with your plan.
in a high-interest- investment officer of a rate-hiking cycle that began in they set the stage for stronger expected Investors who abandon their plan
rate environment. at Vanguard. early 2022, with many economists, equity returns going forward. after a challenging year like 2022 and
In the 21st century, including Vanguard’s, anticipating In our view, equity valuations are move too much of their assets to cash
there has been only that the Fed will bring its target short- closer to fair value today than they can permanently impair their savings
MAILBAG
Send letters to Mail@Barrons.com. To be considered for Numbers by Barron’s, which breaks down the markets,
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address, and phone number. Letters are subject to editing.
Amazon and Walmart sell ing and both job growth and wages tially catastrophic dangers that they
expensive items along with cheap leveling, that quickly went to 0% ex- are exposing society to if they fail in
ones. When it comes to quality, pecting a hike. For me, I don’t think that responsibility.
expense comes with it. I try to buy that we have reached the terminal rate, Arthur M. Shatz
quality. I have L.L. Bean items that are but July is still a question mark now. Astoria, N.Y.
decades old. There’s nothing in that Terrence Milan
Shein catalog that will be here in five On Barrons.com
years, much less decades. Japan’s Stock Market
Ernest Montague
On Barrons.com Memo to AI Providers To the Editor:
Regarding the interview with J.P.
To the Editor: To the Editor: Morgan’s Joyce Chang (“Why This
Shein doesn’t deal with the bottom Your article regarding the potential Research Pro Likes Japan, Defensive
20% of the disposable income custom- impact of artificial intelligence on the Stocks, and Bonds,” June 16), Japan’s
ers, due to the necessity of credit/debit music industry was quite interesting, stock market has been a conundrum
cards. As such, Shein isn’t as suscepti- particularly as it comes at the same to American investor for decades, and
ble to shrink from theft, fraud, and time that Paul McCartney announced will continue to be a case study on
damage that you get from bricks-and- that he is going to use AI to pluck how to be right while being wrong.
mortar operations. Target, Walmart, John Lennon’s voice from an old demo Japanese stocks notoriously rise when
and Macy’s all lose billions to shrink, tape and create the last Beatles song the yen is weak, as Japanese company
and it’s a direct hit to earnings. Fraud- (“AI Crushed Music Label Stocks. profits are driven by exports. Any yen
ulent customer returns is the only Why ‘Fake Drake’ Won’t Kill Them,” recovery will make Japanese exports
weakness I see. June 16). less competitive, eating into elusive
Rory Coriell As wonderful as some of these de- stock gains. Sayonara, Japanese stocks.
Is Shein a On Barrons.com
Threat to U.S.
with malevolent venom are going to
try even worse things with AI. One Political Attack
To the Editor: can imagine the types of lyrical lar-
The Federal government will need to ceny that will be attempted with AI. To the Editor:
Retailers?
borrow $1 trillion shortly to pay its There needs to be very rigid controls Smart investors can make money dur-
bills and restore its cash reserves by the companies offering AI to ing any regime (“The Trump vs. Biden
(“The Fed Needs to Stop Marching in closely monitor what gets published Economy: A Comparison in 11
Lockstep. A Fight Would Be Good,” before it gets published. I know that Charts,” June 9). A free-market econ-
Up & Down Wall Street, June 16). there are controls that currently exist, omy is usually resilient enough to
To the Editor: Perhaps the Fed paused its interest- but they have to be regularly reviewed withstand political shocks and igno-
After reading the cover story about Shein (“This App rate hikes to help the Treasury restart and strengthened. rant policy making. Adept managers
Wants to Rule Retail,” June 16), I became skeptical about our spending spree. The sudden de- Given the widening partisan divide can read the tea leaves and move their
how a company could sell women’s clothing at discounts mand for short-term T-bills may in- in our government, there will be ice- investments accordingly. But what
of more than 70% while, at the same time, expanding crease rates without intervention. bergs in Death Valley before any none of us can do is to operate effi-
into different categories like home and beauty. Once the Treasury gets back on track, meaningful regulations come from ciently if our institutions are under
With $23 billion in sales and earnings of $800 mil- the Fed will feel more able to continue Washington to control how AI is used. constant political attack by one party
lion, and with sales of less than 30% coming from the its rate hikes. The burden therefore will fall on the or another.
U.S., I think that all companies including Amazon.com Mike Staples companies that are providing it, and Jim Kroner
should take this as a threat. On Barrons.com they had better understand the poten- On Barrons.com
I downloaded the Shein app to make sure this wasn’t
a joke, and sure enough, these discounts were true. I
saw women’s tops and pants below $6 a garment with The Terminal Rate
Illustration by María Jesús Contreras
no shipping charge.
Martin Blumberg
Melville N.Y.
To the Editor:
A lot can change in a month (“2 Rea-
“There’s nothing in that Shein
To the Editor:
I checked out the website. Shein sells cheap junk. It isn’t
sons the Fed Paused. Don’t Ignore the
Politics,” The Economy, June 16). For
instance, it seemed like a few weeks
catalog that will be here in five
going to compete with L.L. Bean, Amazon, Eddie Bauer,
Walmart, or anyone else except in the cheap junk, taw-
back, 60% of economists felt that
there would be a June rate hike. When years, much less decades.”
dry clothing, and ugly jewelry categories. data rolled in showing inflation slow- Ernest Montague, on Barrons.com
M W L C 10 11 12 H G R P 4 8 3 F 2 D 6 7 9 0 A I
64 BARRON’S June 26, 2023
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