Mean and variance of Weibull Distribution for Wind Speed Tf the wind speed data is presented by a Weibull distribution, we can find the mean wind speed as: Variance where I(x) is the gamma functionThe gamma function is an extension of the factorial function, with its argument shifted down by 1, to real and complex numbers. Tf nis a positive integer, 1)! For complex numbers with a positive real part, it is defined via a convergent improper integral: T(z) -[ x le dx 0 Example 1 pd(e) = (k/A)(v/Al eC forv > 0Solution The Weibull model is given by : Substituting k=2 and A=8: Reducing: Solution (Cont.) a pd(v) = 0.03125ve~°125" For the velocity range required the probability density values are generated in the shown Table and plotted below Probability Density k=2, AB \v (m/s) _[probabitity Density s © 0.000 25 oon 3 ‘0.106 75 0.097 “ 10 0.066 125 0.034 “0 15 ona oxo 175 0.005 . mi = = 20 (0.001Solution (Cont.) o=ar(a43) The mean velocity is given by r= fr ale? dr The (1.5) is calculated from: » This can be done numerically and yield —_— TES avalue for F(1.5)-0.837895 uf oan 0934 FETT efor arate] = sl ooascsss se v=7.09 m/s wm 502737 ee ESTE Substituting in the velocity expression: Power Density In order to understand the impact on power generation of statistical distribution of wind speed, consider the impact on power density. Power density is defined as: Power 1 3, WwW PD = —— = = pv’, units are — Area 2°" m2 If the statistical distribution of wind is ignored and it is assumed that there is no variation in wind speed, then the power density is incorrectly computed as: us ji Power Density = 3 poy where Vis the average wind speed.However, if the energy density is computed correctly while taking into eccount probability density of wind speed, then the power density numbers are very different. 4] Correct Power Density = [ 3 p o pd(v)dv 0 where pd(v) is the Weibull probability density function explained earlier Example 2 ~1 Correct Power Density = [ 5° 3 pd(v)do 0 where pd(¥) is the Weibull probability density function in Example 1 Solution The power density in w/m? is given by is 4 Power Density = | 3° vo pd(w)do 0 where pd(v) is the Weibull probability density calculated in Example 1Solution (Cont.) The integration expression for the power density is numerically executed as shown on the side Table : 2 1000 i ad as—[ oor sae pea TM A oa0e Tel 2 [eases] 1c s5e0 75 [0087 Base] 4 [aso] soma Hence; the power 10 one eiza—9 [a0 sass a0 381 pe ons gar 2 — [aeons tea703 density ct 7.09 m/s [~y5 0014 aoesa| 2 | aaazisagl 7.64209 mean velocity is 7s [08 ae] a [isos enoney 406 w/m2 20 [a song —2 | ssasine sensi few 186703 (areaunderthecuve aas.819 wimz | Solution (Cont.) Tf the power density is calculated based on mean wind speed (7.09 m/s) ignoring the statistical distribution we get PD = + pv3=0.5"4.2265°(7.09)° =218.4 wim?