Four step process analysis:

Table: VDOT Daily Traffic Volume Data before development: VDOT traffic data 2021

Street Average Daily Traffic Volume (year)

Washington Street - Broad Street to Great 27000
Falls Road
Washington Street - Little Falls 27000
Road to Arlington County Line
Lee Highway- Falls Church 29000
City Line to Fairfax Drive
Lee Highway-Washington 25000
Boulevard to Sycamore Street
Sycamore Street - 17th Street 22000
N. to Lee Highway
Sycamore Street – Lee 18000
Highway to 26th Street N.
Fairfax Drive Little Falls Road 10000
to Lee Highway
Washington Boulevard – Lee 30000
Highway to Sycamore Street
E Broad Street - Lee Highway to 19000
Fairfax Dr
W Broad Street -West Street to Lee 30000
Highway

⅀Daily Traffic Volume= 237000 trips

1. Trip generation:
An important phase in transportation planning is trip generation, which involves calculating the
number of trips that will be created by a certain land use or construction. Typically, the
procedure entails gathering data on land use characteristics, transportation modes, and
demographic considerations before using a trip generation rate or formula to estimate the
number of trips generated by the development. Trip generation rates can be calculated using
actual data or established methodologies defined by the Institute of Transportation Engineers
(ITE). The expected number of trips made can help guide decisions about transportation
infrastructure and services such as motorways, public transportation networks, and parking lots.
Accurate trip generation estimates are critical for transportation planners and engineers to build
and manage transportation systems that satisfy the community's demands efficiently and
effectively.

AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour

Total Enterin Exiting Total Enterin Exiting
g g
Neighborhood Center 250 220 30 235 42 193
Ground floor retail 110 60 50 150 75 75
Public open space 200 130 70 240 110 130
Open spaces adjacent to the W&OD Trail 210 110 100 250 140 110
near Lee Highway
Total 770 520 250 875 367 508

2. Trip distribution:
Trip distribution comes after trip generation in the transportation planning process. The number
of trips that will travel between each origin and destination zone within a research region is
determined in this step. Trip distribution models estimate the amount of trips that are likely to
travel between zones based on data on their population, employment, and land use
characteristics. These models take into account aspects such as transportation infrastructure,
trip time, and zone distance. Trip distribution model outputs can be used to guide decisions on
transportation network planning, land use planning, and transportation demand management
techniques. Trip distribution models that are accurate are critical for predicting traffic patterns
and implementing successful transportation planning and policies.

Trip distribution usually follows this model:

In this case we will distribute 50/50 between Washington Blvd & N Sycamore

AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour

Total Washington N Total Washington N
Blvd Sycamore Blvd Sycamore
Neighborhood Center 250 125 125 235 117 118
Ground floor retail 110 55 55 150 125 125
Public open space 200 100 100 240 120 120
Open spaces adjacent to 210 105 105 250 125 125
the W&OD Trail near Lee
Highway
Total 770 385 385 875 437 438
 3. Mode Split:
After trip distribution, the next step in the transportation planning process is mode split. This
stage entails estimating the number of trips that will be performed using various means of
transportation, such as cars, buses, bicycles, and walking. Mode split models make advantage of
trip parameters such as distance, time of day, and purpose, as well as the availability and quality
of various modes of transportation. The results of mode split models can be used to guide
decisions on transportation infrastructure provision and improvement, as well as policies
targeted at supporting sustainable modes of transportation. Accurate mode split modeling is
essential for establishing transportation plans that promote sustainable and efficient travel
patterns, minimize congestion and emissions, and increase transportation access for all people
of a community.
We will assume the same mode split used in the old traffic effect research because there is
insufficient data. The table below shows the estimated percentage of people who use each
mode.

Metrorail Metro bus Auto Pedestrian/Bicycle Total

54% 1% 25% 16% 100%

4. Trip Assignment:
Following trip generation, trip distribution, and mode split, trip assignment is the final step in
the transportation planning process. This stage entails defining the particular routes or courses
that each trip will follow based on the form of transportation selected. Trip assignment models
make use of data on transportation network parameters such as roadway capacity, speed limits,
and transit timetables, as well as demand for transportation created by trip generation and
mode split models. The outcomes of trip assignment models can be used to guide decisions
about the design and operation of transportation infrastructure, such as road enlargement or
the establishment of new transit routes. Accurate trip assignment modeling is essential for
designing transportation plans that can efficiently and effectively service a community's
transportation demands.
In this case we are interested in the additional trip assignment from Metrorail & Metro bus:

AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour

Total Washington N Total Washington N
Blvd Sycamore Blvd Sycamore
770*0.55 212 212 875*0.55 = 240 241
=424 481
Project future volume:

Project future volume is an important part of transportation planning that entails forecasting
the expected demand for various modes of transportation in a specific location over a given
time period. This demand can be divided into three categories: vehicular, transit, and active
transportation.

1. Vehicular:
Personal automobiles, trucks, and other motorized vehicles used for road and highway transit
are referred to as vehicular transportation. To forecast future traffic volume, planners must
consider factors such as population expansion, economic development, and changes in land use
patterns, all of which may affect travel demand.

2. Transit:
Public transportation systems such as buses, trains, and subways are examples of transit
transportation. Planners must evaluate factors such as population density, transit usage trends,
and the availability and quality of transport services when forecasting future transit volume.

3. Active transportation:
Walking, cycling, and other types of human-powered transportation are examples of active
modes of transportation. Planners must consider elements such as the availability of safe and
convenient pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure, as well as cultural and societal attitudes
toward active transportation in the area, when projecting future active transportation volume.

Transportation planners may make informed decisions about how to allocate resources and
construct transportation infrastructure that best serves the needs of a community by estimating
future volume for vehicle, transit, and active transportation modes.

Total Peak Hour Trip Generated (Weekday)=AM+PM= 875+ 770= 1645 Trips
⅀Daily Traffic Volume= 237000 trips

Trip Distribution According to Traffic volume per Street:

TD= [1645/237000] * Average daily traffic volume = 0.007* Avg Daily traffic vol
Actual Hourly Traffic Volume:
HTV= Average daily traffic volume /24
Future Average Peak Hour:
FAPH= TD +HTV
Street Average Daily Trip Actual Future v/c ratio LOS
Traffic Volume distribution Average average
(year) Hourly peak
traffic hour
volume traffic
per year volume
per year
Washington 27000 189 1125 1314 0.71 C
Street - Broad
Street to Great
Falls Road
Washington 27000 189 1125 1314 0.71 C
Street - Little
Falls
Road to
Arlington County
Line
Lee Highway- 29000 203 1208 1411 0.77 C
Falls Church
City Line to
Fairfax Drive
Lee Highway- 25000 175 1042 1217 0.67 B
Washington
Boulevard to
Sycamore Street
Sycamore Street - 22000 154 917 1071 0.59 A
17th Street
N. to Lee
Highway
Sycamore Street 18000 126 750 876 0.48 A
– Lee
Highway to 26th
Street N.
Fairfax Drive 10000 70 417 487 0.27 A
Little Falls Road
to Lee Highway
Washington 30000 210 1250 1460 0.8 D
Boulevard – Lee
Highway to
Sycamore Street
E Broad Street - 19000 133 792 925 0.51 A
Lee Highway to
Fairfax Dr
W Broad Street - 30000 210 1250 1460 0.8 D
West Street to
Lee Highway