Numerical Simulation of A Naturally Fractured Reservoir.: ISSN: 1991-8941

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J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.

2 : 2010

ISSN: 1991-8941

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF A NATURALLY


FRACTURED RESERVOIR.
Ahmed J. Mahmood* Mohammad S. Al-Jawad**
*Al-Anbar Technical Institute.
**College of Engineering, Baghdad University.
Received: 2/1/2010 Accepted: 22/7/2010

Abstract
This research is concerned with the development of a numerical model for stratified
normally fractured reservoirs. Three dimensional three phase flow black oil simulation
model is adopted. The dual porosity-dual permeability model is used. The IMPES
(Implicit Pressure Explicit Saturation) method is used to solve the difference equations.
The Tertiary trap in K oil field (an Iraqi oil field) was simulated by the numerical model.
The trap consists of six layers having different properties. Equally spaced Cartesian grids
were used to divide each layer into 1600 cells in the x-y plane with the thickness as the
dimension of each grid block in z direction. Applying the two IMPES pressure equations
to each grid of the simulated domain resulting in a block seven diagonal coefficient
matrix.
Gauss-Seidel iterative method was used to solve the system of equations. The time steps
are controlled through a maximum saturation difference and a material balance error
limits. The actual production histories of the 15 wells in K oil field are used to get the
past performance of the field for the production period. The calculated and measured
average reservoir pressures, produced gas/oil ratio through the production periods had
acceptable match.

Key words: NUMERICAL SIMULATION , NATURALLY FRACTURED RESERVOIR.

Introduction physical aspect of the fluid flow problem to


The development of a simulator for characterize.
naturally fractured reservoirs (NFR) is a real 4 developed 3D, multiple well numerical
challenge from both the reservoir description and simulator for simulating single or two-phase flow
numerical solution point of view. Fluid flow of water and oil in a fractured reservoir. The
behavior in fractured reservoir through high- simulator equations are a two- phase flow
permeability low effective porosity fracture extension of single – phase flow equation
surrounding low-permeability high porosity derived by 6
matrix block has been described extensively in The simulator account for relative fluid
the oil literature during the last thirty- five years. mobility, gravity forces, imbibition, and variation
The fluid exchange between the fracture network in reservoir properties. It handles uniformly and
and the individual matrix blocks is the most non-uniformly distributed fractures and for no
fractures at all. A semi-implicit finite difference
J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010

expansion had been used to solve the original 9 presented an empirical formulation for the
dual porosity equations. Different methods of transfer function representing the matrix-fracture
solving the system of equations were proposed interaction in the dual-porosity model.
depending on the number of nodes. The results Depending on the assumption that when water
showed the significance of imbibtion on recovery imbibtion is the dominant force for displacing oil
of oil from the rock in reservoirs with inter- from the matrix. The aim of the study is to
connected fracture network. develop a numerical simulation model for a
3 modeled the flow in the fracture system naturally fractured stratified Iraqi reservoir (the
by representing fluid transfer from the matrix ministry of oil does not give permission to state
into the fracture by a “source” term and fluid the name
transfer from the fracture to the matrix by a or publish the map of the reservoir) and
“sink”(or negative source) term. check the match between the actual reservoir
8 presented a stable, flexible, fully implicit, history with that predicted using the simulator.
finite difference simulator in heterogeneous, Field Description
dual-porosity reservoir. They used the flow K oil field is an Iraqi oil field located in
equation proposed by 7. the north of Iraq. The field is a simple
Cartesian and radial coordinates are asymmetrical doubly plunging anticline. Its main
included axes strike NW-SE. The slope of the NE flank is
in the model. The conventional five point between 9o to 13o while the slope of SW flank
finite difference in the x-y plane was extended to reaches 20o in some locations (geological study
a special nine-point formulation to account for 1992). The structure is about 17 Km long and 6
the directional flow other than the x-y directions. Km wide. This work is concentrated on the
Each node in the model has two properties one Tertiary trap which consists of six carbonate
for the matrix and the other for the fracture. units having different thickness and different
Good agreement was noticed between the petrophysical properties. The structural map of
analytical and numerical solution for pressure the trap is shown in Fig.1. Core sample studies
build up prediction. showed that the fractures are homogeneously
Thomas, 5 used the dual porosity model to distributed in the field and can be divided into
develop 3D, three phase simulator for NFRs. The open, closed, completely filled and partially
same flow equations of 7 were used. The filled fractures. The degree of fracturing in the
formulation was implicit in pressure, water units ranges from rare in the top and bottom units
saturation and gas saturation for both matrix- to open fractures and vugs in the middle units.
fracture flow and fracture flow. The gravity and The reservoir has a large gas dome,
capillary effect were incorporated. After medium oil column and water at the flanks.
expanding the matrix-fracture flow equation in Fifteen producing wells were drilled in the trap
totally implicit form the matrix unknown were during the 1980ths having different production
eliminated in terms of fracture unknowns to history (field measurements 2007).
reduce the total number of unknowns. The time Grid Construction
steps were controlled automatically using a Each layer in the reservoir was subdivided
maximum saturation change of 0.1. using a grid system having equal spacing in the x
3 described a 3D three phase compositional and y directions (200 meter) spacing. Layer
simulator. A dual permeability and/or a dual thickness was considered as the spacing in the z
porosity system were used to describe complex direction.
porous media including highly fractured, micro Block centered grid and row ordering
fractured or non-fractured regions. In addition to methods were used. The grid network with the
the viscous and capillary pressure forces, the location of the producing wells is shown in Fig.2.
matrix-fracture exchange term can handle gravity Transmissibility Evaluation
effects. The conservation equations were Single point upstream weighing is used to
expressed in compositional form and equilibrium evaluate transmissibility at the block boundaries.
K-values were used. The fully implicit equations The fluid potential is used to recognize the
are linearized by Newton-Raphson iteration upstream cell from which fluids are flow to the
scheme. Because of the multi-purpose nature of adjacent one. Each grid block, not in the
the model, several different choices of boundary of the simulated area, is communicated
discretized time-solution techniques are with six blocks. So for each flowing phase the
available. transmissibility at the six
J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010

blocks boundaries are calculated after n 1 n 1 n 1


Gm1k 1 / 2 P m  Gm2 j 1 / 2 P m  Gm3i 1 / 2 P m 
assigning the upstream one in each direction. k 1 j 1 i 1
Flow Equations n 1 n 1 n 1
Gm4ijk P m  Gm5i 1 / 2 P m  Gm6 j 1 / 2 P 
The dual porosity dual permeability model ijk i 1 m j 1
is used in which the flow in the reservoir occurs
in both fracture and matrix system in addition to n 1 n 1
fluid exchange between those systems. The Gm7 k 1 / 2 P m  Gm8ijk P f  RHS
equations describing three phase three k 1 ijk m
(7)
dimensions flow in the fracture system written in Equations 6 and 7 are applied to the grids in
finite difference form are:- the simulated domain, therefore 2N equations
 
  T  p   D      Q 

w w w
 f
w m f w f
resulted from N grid blocks.The 2N equations
vb
  b S f are overlapped together to get a final equation
 t
t w w

having a matrix form of:


(1)
  AP  D (8)
  T o  p o   o  D     o m f  Q o f 
  f where A is the coefficient matrix, P is the
vb
  boS f pressure vector and D is the right hand side
 t
t o
vector.
(2) Matrix A is a seven diagonal matrix
   
  T g  p g   g  D     T o R s  p o   o  D    gmf
consisting of six individual matrices (blocks),
   
f f
each individual matrix represents one of the six
 t  b g S g   b o S o 
vb
 R S om f  Q g  R sQ o f  layers forming the field.Each non-zero entry in
t f

matrix A is a 2x2 matrix.The components of


(3)
matrix A and D are initially calculated using the
The matrix equations are same as eqs.(1, 2
pressure and saturation values for water, oil and
and 3) but using the parameters of the matrix
gas resulted from the initialization process.
system.The transfer function, τ, governing fluids
To solve this equation Gauss-Seidel
transfer between the fracture and matrix system
iteration method is used in the following manner:
is defined as:
1-Take a certain time step and use the
 
   V   p  p  pressure distribution values results from
 m f b   f m  initialization process as initial pressure values.
(4) 2-Calculate the new pressure values in the
Where σ is the shape factor, λ is the 1st layer for the fracture and the matrix using the
mobility of phase α (water, oil or gas).The shape Gauss-Seidel iterative method.
factor σ in eq. (4) is calculated from the relation 3-Check the maximum difference between
(Kazemi 1976) but a factor of 2 is used instead of the initial and the calculated values, if the
4 in the original equation. difference <= .01 psi then proceed to step 4 other
 1 1 1  wise use the newly calculated pressure values in
  2  2
 2
 2

 Lx Ly Lz  step 2 as an initial values and repeat calculations
(5) starting from step 2.
The difference equations 1, 2 and 3 are 4-Repeat steps 2 and 3 for the layers 2 to 6.
solved using the IMPES method resulting in two 5-Use the final pressure distribution
main resulted from the above calculations as initial
pressure equations in terms of fracture and pressure values and repeat calculations from step
matrix pressure (Ahmed 2007). 2 to step 5 checking for maximum pressure
n 1 n 1 n 1 difference of .01 psi between all initial and
Gf 1 k 1 / 2 P f  Gf 2 j 1 / 2 P f  Gf 3 i 1 / 2 P f calculated values to stop the calculations.
k 1 j 1 i 1
After calculating the pressure distribution
n 1 n 1 n 1
 Gf 4 ijk P f  Gf 5 i 1 / 2 P f  Gf 6 j 1 / 2 Pf  in the field at the new time level, calculation of
ijk i 1 j 1 oil and water saturations at the new time level in
the fracture are calculated from eq. (1) and (2)
also these saturations in the matrix are calculated
n 1 n 1 using the same equations but using the matrix
Gf 7 k 1/ 2 P f  Gf 8ijk P m  RHS properties.
k 1 f
ijk (6) Check is made for maximum saturation
difference in all the cells, if the difference is
J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010

higher than the allowable saturation difference depth of 1990 meter below sea level. This depth
limit of .01, then the time step is reduced and was chosen since it is almost at the middle of the
calculations are restarted from step 1, otherwise, oil column. The measured reservoir pressures are
the new calculated pressure and saturation values mean averaged if there is more than one
are used to calculate the components of matrix A measurement at different wells at the same time,
and D. A new time step is taken and calculations if not, single well measurements are considered.
restarted from step 1. The average reservoir pressure at any time step is
Model Evaluation Process calculated at the same prementioned datum.
Starting from July 1990 to December 1993 Reservoir pressure at any time is calculated as a
the reservoir undergoes alternating periods of weighted average depending on the block size.
production and complete closing. Oil production The pre-mentioned calculations are
started from ten wells for two months (July and conducted
Aug. 1990) then the production stopped. After a in the matrix and the fracture system then a
closing interval of five months, individual wells mean average is taken. The calculated and the
were put into production for small periods and measured average reservoir pressure with the
also closed. The production rates during these monthly production of the reservoir are plotted
producing periods are small compared with rates against time in Fig. (4).
after 1993. In January 1994 continuous The difference between some measured and
production from eight wells started with rates calculated values resulting from considering
ranging from 500 to 1100 STB/day lasting to readings of one well as an average reservoir
June 1999 with small closing periods in some pressure due to the lack of measurements in
wells. certain time while the simulator calculates the
In July 1999 the fifteen wells were put into average reservoir pressure from all the grid
production at rates ranging from 600 to 2500 blocks located at the datum.
STB/day with some closing intervals part of The initial reservoir pressure is above the
them. The field was completely shut down from oil bubble point pressure and all the wells are
December 2004 to May 2005, and then completed at the oil zone, so the produced gas is
production started from seven wells at rates in solution only. At the end of 1998 the pressure
ranging from 400 to 1500 STB/day. in some producing wells dropped to the oil
The production history of the wells are bubble point pressure so a reduction in the
used by the simulator to get the past reservoir produced gas oil ratio was seen. After that time
performance. the average reservoir pressure dropped below the
Due to the fact that the IMPES solution is bubble point pressure resulting in an increase in
sensitive to the time step size and the monthly the produced gas oil ratio. The produced gas oil
changes in wells production rates thirty days ratio and the monthly oil produced were plotted
time step is used as an upper limit. If the with time in Fig. (5). In addition some measured
saturations changes and the material balance values of the produced gas oil ratio were plotted.
errors are within the allowable limits the The drop of the gas oil ratio (GOR) values
calculations proceeds , if not, half the time step is in some periods resulted from closing some wells
used and so on. which have high produced GOR. One of the
During the field history many down-hole causes of the difference between the measured
pressure measurements for the closed wells and and calculated GOR can be attributed to the
pressure build up tests for the producing wells difference between the used and the actual
were performed (field measurement 2007). The relation between the solution gas and pressure
measured pressure values in those wells are and still there is a good match between the
compared with the pressure values which are calculated and the measured values.
calculated by the simulator at the same The simulator constructed in this study has
depths and plotted in Fig. (3) (Jan.1990 good accuracy when the calculated values are
considered as zero time for this field) the plots compared with the field measured values.
are for four wells only because there is enough The program can provide a numerical
reading to make a comparison. The plots show simulator for naturally fractured reservoirs using
good agreement between the measured and the the dual porosity dual permeability model.
calculated pressure values. The accuracy of the IMPES solution can be
Average measured reservoir pressure is ensured by controlling the time step size through
calculated from the different well measurements. both the saturation change and the material
The measured pressures are corrected to a datum balance error at each time step.
J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010

Nomenclature f : Fracture system.


b : Shrinkage factor, cuft/SCF. g : Gas.
Co : Oil compressibility, psi-1. i : Index of the grid block in the x
Cw : Water compressibility, psi-1. direction.
D : Depth from certain datum, ft. i ± ½ : Outer and inner boundary index
Gf :Coefficient of pressure terms. of a grid block in the x direction.
SCF/day/psi j : Index of the grid block in the y
h : Thickness, ft. direction.
hnet : Net thickness, ft. j ± ½ : Outer and inner boundary index
I: The number of grid blocks in the x of a grid block in the y direction.
direction. k : Index of the grid block in the z
J : The number of grids in the y direction. direction.
K The number of grids in the z direction. k ± ½ : Upper and lower boundary
Kf : Fracture absolute permeability, index of a grid block in the z direction.
md. m : Matrix system.
Km : Matrix absolute permeability, o : Oil.
md. w : Water.
Kro : Oil relative permeability, References
fraction. [1]. Ahmed J.M.:” Numerical simulation of
Krw : Water relative permeability, Naturally Fractured Reservoir/Tertiary Trap/K
fraction. Oil Field” PhD Thesis, Baghdad Univ.
Kx : Permeability in x direction, md. (June.2007) .
Ky : Permeability in y direction, md. [2]. Gilman J.R. and Kazemi H.:”
Kz : Permeability in z direction, md. Improvement in Some Simulation of NFR.”
P : Pressure, psi. SPEJ, (Aug. 1983) pp 695-707.
Pcog : Gas-oil capillary pressure, psi. [3]. Kazemi H., Merill L.S. and Zeman
Pcow : Water-oil capillary pressure, psi. P.R.:” Numerical Simulation of Water-Oil Flow
Pwoc : Pressure at the water oil contact, in Naturally Fractured Reservoirs”, SPEJ, (Dec.
Pgoc : Pressure at the gas oil contact, 1976), pp 317-326.
Q : Flow rate, SCF/D. [4]. Kazemi, H., Gilman, J.R., and
Rs : Solution gas oil ratio, SCF/SCF. Elsharkawy, A.M.:” Analytical and Numerical
r1 : Radius of the boundary, ft. Solution of Oil Recovery From Fractured
rw : Well radius, ft. Reservoirs with Empirical Transfer Function”
S : Phase saturation, fraction. SPERE, (May 1992), pp 219-27.
Sg : Gas saturation, fraction. [5]. Ministry of Oil/ Iraq :" Field
So : Oil saturation, fraction. measurements in the northern oil fields for the
Sw : Water saturation, fraction. years 1980 to 2006" (2007).
Tmf : Transmissibility of the fracture- [6] . Ministry of oil/ Iraq :" Geological
matrix transfer function, scf/day/psi. study for the Tertiary age trap in K oil field".
Tg : Gas transmissibility, scf/day/psi. (Feb. 1992).
To : Oil transmissibility, scf/day/psi. [7]. Rossen, R.H.:” Simulation of Naturally
Tw: Water transmissibility, scf/day/psi. Fractured Reservoirs with Semi-Implicit Source
Vb: Bulk volume of a grid block, ft3. Term” SPEJ, (June 1977), pp 201-10.
Greek [8]. Sonier, F. and Eymard, R.:”A New
λ : Phase mobility, md/cp. Simulator for Naturally Fractured Reservoirs”
α : Phase. SPE paper 16006, presented at the SPE
γ : Specific gravity. symposium on reservoir simulation, San
ρ : Phase density, psi/ft. Antonio, Texas, (Feb.1987).
σ : Shape factor, ft-2. [9]. Thomas, L.K., Dixon, T.N., and
μ : Phase viscosity, cp. Pierson, R.G.:” Fractured Reservoir Simulation”
Ø : Porosity, fraction. SPEJ, (Feb. 1983), pp 42-54.
ω : Weighting factor. [10] Warren, J.E. and Root, P.J.:” The
Δ : Difference. Behavior of Naturally Fractured Reservoirs,”
Δt : Difference with respect to time. SPEJ, (Sep.1963), pp 245-255.
τ : Matrix-fracture transfer function.
Subscript
J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010
J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010

60000 3350

m onthly production
m easured pressure
50000 best fit 3300
calculated pressure

40000 3250

30000 3200

20000 3150

10000 3100

0 3050
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204

Kz-9 m onthly production


50000 m easured pressure 3300
best fit
3280
calculated pressure

40000 3260
Oil produced, STB/month

3240
Pressure, psig

3220
30000
3200

3180
20000
3160

3140
10000 3120

3100

0 3080
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204

Time, month

Fig.3. Comparison between the measured and calculated pressure.


J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010

m onthly production Kz-17


m easured pressure
50000 3400
best fit
calculated pressure
3350
40000
Oil produced, STB/month

3300

Pressure, psig
30000
3250

3200
20000

3150

10000
3100

0 3050
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204
Time, month

m onthly production Kz-18


m easured pressure
3400
calculated pressure
besst fit

80000 3350
Oil Produced, STB/month

3300
60000

3250

40000

3200

20000
3150

0 3100
0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204
Time, month

Fig.3.(continued).
J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010
‫‪J. of university of anbar for pure science : Vol.4:NO.2 : 2010‬‬

‫اﻟﻣﺣﺎﻛﺎة اﻟﻌددﯾﻪ ﻟﻠﻣﻛﺎﻣن اﻟﻧﻔطﯾﺔ اﻟﻣﺗﺷﻘﻘﺔ‬

‫اﺣﻣد ﺟﺑﯾر ﻣﺣﻣود ﻣﺣﻣد ﺻﺎﻟﺢ اﻟﺟواد‬


‫‪E.mail: scianb@yahoo.com‬‬

‫اﻟﺧﻼﺻــﺔ‪ :‬ﻓــﻲ ﻫــذﻩ اﻟد ارﺳــﺔ ﺗــم ﺑﻧــﺎء ﻧﻣــوذج ﻣﺣﺎﻛــﺎة ﻋــددي ﯾﺗﻧــﺎول ﺣــﺎﻻت اﻟﺟرﯾــﺎن اﻟﺛﻼﺛــﻲ اﻷﺑﻌــﺎد واﻟﺛﻼﺛــﻲ اﻟطــور ﻓ ـﻲ اﻷوﺳــﺎط اﻟﻣﺳــﺎﻣﯾﺔ‬
‫اﻟﻣﺗﺷﻘﻘﺔ‪ .‬اﺳﺗُﺧدم ﻧﻣوذج ﺛﻧﺎﺋﻲ اﻟﻣﺳﺎﻣﯾﺔ‪-‬ﺛﻧﺎﺋﻲ اﻟﻧﻔﺎذﯾﻪ ﻟوﺻف اﻟوﺳط اﻟﻣﺳﺎﻣﻲ اﻟﻣﺗﺷﻘق‪،‬واﺳﺗﺧدﻣت طرﯾﻘﺔ ‪ IMPES‬ﻟﺣل ﻣﻌـﺎدﻻت اﻟﻔـروق‬
‫اﻟﺟزﺋﯾﺔ ‪ .‬ﺗم ﺗطﺑﯾق اﻟﻧﻣوذج ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﻣﻛﻣن اﻟﺛﻼﺛﻲ ﻓﻲ ﺣﻘل ‪) K‬اﺣد اﻟﺣﻘول اﻟﻧﻔطﯾﺔ اﻟﻌراﻗﯾﺔ(واﻟذي ﯾﺗـﺄﻟف ﻣـن ﺳـﺗﺔ طﺑﻘـﺎت ﺣﺎوﯾـﻪ ﻋﻠـﻰ اﻟـﻧﻔط‬
‫ﺑﻛﻣﯾﺎت ﻣﺗﺑﺎﯾﻧﺔ إﺿﺎﻓﺔ إﻟـﻰ اﻟﻐـﺎز واﻟﻣـﺎء ‪ .‬ﺗﺧﺗﻠـف ﻫـذﻩ اﻟطﺑﻘـﺎت ﺑﺎﻟﺻـﻔﺎت اﻟﻔزﯾﺎوﯾـﻪ وﺷـدة اﻟﺗﺷـﻘﻘﺎت ﻓﯾﻬـﺎ‪.‬اﻟﻣﻛﻣن ﻟـﻪ ﻗﺑـﺔ ﻏﺎزﯾـﻪ ﻛﺑﯾـرﻩ ﻧﺳـﺑﯾﺎ‬
‫وﻋﻣــود ﻧﻔطــﻲ ﻣﺗوﺳــط إﺿــﺎﻓﺔ إﻟــﻰ اﻟﻣــﺎء ﻓــﻲ ﺟواﻧــب اﻟﺗﻛوﯾن‪.‬ﺑﻠــﻎ ﻋــدد اﻵﺑــﺎر اﻟﻣﺣﻔــورة ﻓــﻲ اﻟﻣﻛﻣــن ﺧﻣﺳــﺔ ﻋﺷــر ﺑﺋـ اًر وﻟﻛــل ﺑﺋــر ﺗــﺎرﯾﺦ إﻧﺗــﺎج‬
‫ﻣﺧﺗﻠف‪ .‬ﺗم إدﺧﺎل اﻟﻣﻌﻠوﻣﺎت اﻟﺧﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﺣﻘل ﻟﻠﻣودﯾل اﻟرﯾﺎﺿﻲ وﻗُ ِﺳﻣت ﻛل طﺑﻘﻪ ﻣن طﺑﻘﺎت اﻟﻣﻛﻣـن اﻟﺳـت إﻟـﻰ ‪ ١٦٠٠‬ﺧﻠﯾـﻪ ﻓـﻲ اﻟﻣﺳـﺗوي‬
‫اﻷﻓﻘــﻲ ﺑﺎﺳــﺗﺧدام ﺷــﺑﻛﻪ ذات ﺷــﻛل ﻏﯾــر ﻣﻧــﺗظم وﻣﺗﺳــﺎوﯾﺔ اﻷﺑﻌــﺎد ﻓــﻲ اﻻﺗﺟــﺎﻫﯾن اﻟﺳــﯾﻧﻲ واﻟﺻــﺎدي ﻣــﻊ اﻋﺗﻣــﺎد ﺳــﻣك أﻟطﺑﻘــﻪ ﻛﺑﻌــد ﺑﺎﻻﺗﺟــﺎﻩ‬
‫اﻟﻌﻣودي‪.‬‬
‫إن ﺗطﺑﯾق ﻣﻌﺎدﻟﺗﻲ )‪ (IMPES‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﻛل ﺧﻠﯾـﻪ ﻓـﻲ اﻟﺷـﺑﻛﺔ ﻧﺗﺟـت ﻋﻧـﻪ ﻣﺻـﻔوﻓﺔ ﺗـم ﺣﻠﻬـﺎ ﺑﺎﺳـﺗﺧدام طرﯾﻘـﺔ اﻟﺗﻛـرار ‪ . Gauss-Seidel‬ﻛﺎﻧـت‬
‫وﺳﯾﻠﺔ اﻟﺗﺣﻛم ﻓﻲ اﻟﺧطوة اﻟزﻣﻧﯾﺔ اﻟﻣﺳﺗﺧدﻣﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﺣﺳﺎﺑﺎت ﻫﻣﺎ ﻣﻘدار اﻟﺗﻐﯾر ﻓﻲ ﻧﺳب اﻟﺗﺷﺑﻊ وﻣﻘدار اﻟﺧطﺄ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻣﯾزان اﻟﻣﺎدي‪.‬‬
‫ﺗم اﺳﺗﺧدام ﺗﺎرﯾﺦ اﻹﻧﺗﺎج ﻟﺧﻣﺳﺔ ﻋﺷر ﺑﺋ ار اﻟﻣﺣﻔورة ﻓﻲ اﻟﺣﻘل ﻓﻲ اﻟﻣودﯾل اﻟرﯾﺎﺿﻲ ﻟﻠﺣﺻول ﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﺻرف اﻟﻣﻛﻣن ﻟﻔﺗرة اﻹﻧﺗﺎج اﻟﻣﻣﺗدة ﻣـن‬
‫ﻋﺎم ‪ 1990‬إﻟﻰ ﻋﺎم ‪ 2005‬أظﻬرت ﻣﻘﺎرﻧﻪ ﻣﻌدل اﻟﺿـﻐط أﻟﻣﻛﻣﻧـﻲ ﺧـﻼل ﻣـدة اﻹﻧﺗـﺎج اﻟﻣﺣﺳـوب ﺑواﺳـطﺔ اﻟﻣودﯾـل اﻟرﯾﺎﺿـﻲ واﻟﻣﻘـﺎس ﺣﻘﻠﯾـﺎ‬
‫ﻓﻲ ﻋدد ﻣن اﻵﺑﺎر ﺗطﺎﺑﻘﺎ ﺟﯾدا‪ .‬ﻛﻣﺎ إن ﻫﻧﺎك ﺗطﺎﺑﻘﺎ ﺟﯾدا ﺑﯾن ﻧﺳﺑﺔ اﻟﻐﺎر إﻟﻰ اﻟﻧﻔط اﻟﻣﻧﺗﺞ اﻟﻣﺣﺳوب رﯾﺎﺿﯾﺎ واﻟﻣﻘﺎس ﺣﻘﻠﯾﺎ ‪.‬‬

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