JULY 2021 STA104

NO ANSWER

1 a) Type of variable Measurement scales

i) Quantitative discrete Ratio
ii) Qualitative Nominal
iii) Quantitative continuous Interval

1 b) i) Population: All 3100 households in City A

Sample: 24 blocks of households

ii) Variable: Spends on vacation

Type of variable: Quantitative continuous
Measurement scale: Ratio

iii) Sampling frame: List of households in City A

iv) Cluster sampling technique

v) Face to face interview / Direct questionnaire / any relevant answer

2 a) 54 + 67
th
 20 + 1
i) Position: =   = 10.5th , Q2 = = 60.5
 2  2

25 + 26 + 40 + + 78 + 79 1146
ii) x= = = 57.3
20 20
1  11462 
s=  71354 −  = 17.303
20 − 1  20 

3 ( 57.3 − 60.5 )
iii) PCS = = −0.55 , The distribution skwed to the left.
17.303

2 b) i)

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 ii) x  170kg .
Half of the weight of harum manis is less tan 170kg, and another half is more
than 170kg.

519.232
iii) CV =  100 = 4.23%
169.10
iv)

3 a)

3 b) x = 394 x 2 = 28,438 xy = 30,535

y = 1,287 y = 203,651
2
n = 11

r = −0.5644

There is a moderate negetive correlation between the frequency and duration of

time.

3 c) Y = 155.91 − 1.086 X

3 d) b = –1.086, when the frequency increases by 1 unit, the duration will decrease by
–1.086 (in minutes)

3 e) r 2 = ( −0.5644 ) = 0.3186
2

31.86% of of the variation in duration of time is explained by the frequency of the

play.

3 f) Y = 155.91 − 1.086 ( 25 ) = 128.76

4 a) Price index, Quantity index

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 4 b) i) Base year = 2010

ii) In 2020, the price of mining was 86% compared to 2010

In 2020, the price of manufacturing was increased by 9.8% compared to
2010.

4 c) P2020
i) I2020 =  100
P2019
16
=  100
13.5
= 118.52%

Q2020P2019
ii) I2020 =  100
Q2019P2019
203.3 ( 2.5 ) + 210.4 ( 4.5 ) + 187.9 ( 6.5 )
=  100
173.6 ( 2.5 ) + 160.6 ( 4.5 ) + 148.3 ( 6.5 )
= 126.21%

P2020Q2020
iii) I2020 =  100
P2019Q2020
3 ( 203.3 ) + 3 ( 210.4 ) + 10 (187.9 )
=  100
2.5 ( 203.3 ) + 4.5 ( 210.4 ) + 6.5 (187.9 )
= 116.58%

5 a) Tren, Seasoal, Cyclical, Irragular

5 b) i)
Day Shift No. of cans Trend SV
Monday M 18
A 19 19.3333 98.2759
E 21 20.6667 101.6129
Tuesday M 22 22.0000 100.0000
A 23 22.6667 101.4706
E 23 18.3333 125.4545
Wednesday M 9 13.6667 65.8537
A 9 9.3333 96.4286
E 10 8.6667 115.3846
Thursday M 7 8.3333 84.0000
A 8 8.3333 96.0000
E 10 11.0000 90.9091
Friday M 15 13.6667 109.7561
A 16 15.6667 102.1277
E 16

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 ii) Seasonal Index
Shift
Month
M A E
Monday 98.2759 101.6129
Tuesday 100.0000 101.4706 125.4545
Wednesday 65.8537 96.4286 115.3846
Thursday 84.0000 96.0000 90.9091
Friday 109.7561 102.1277
Total 359.6098 494.3027 433.3612
Average 89.9024 123.5757 108.3403 321.8184
Adjustment 0.9322 0.9322 0.9322
Seasonal Index 83.8071 115.1973 100.9948

iii) The number of cans of drink sold for morning shift are 16.19% below the
trend.
The number of cans of drink sold for evening shift are 0.99% above the trend.

102.1277 − 98.2759
iv) Avg.Trend Increase / Decrease = = 0.321
13 − 1

Forecast Trend = 102.1277 + 3 ( 0.321) = 103.0907

103.0907  115.1973
Forecast = = 118.7578 119 cans
100

6 a) 10!
= 75,600
4!  2!

6 b) i) P ( A  B ) = P ( A) + P (B ) − P ( A  B )
= 0.3 + 0.5 − .01
= 0.7

ii) P ( A  B ' ) = P ( A ) − P ( A  B )
= 0.3 − 0.1
= 0.2

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 6 c) i)
0.03 B
CC
0.4
0.97 B’

0.6 0.05 B
OC
0.95 B’

ii) P ( B ) = 0.4 ( 0.03 ) + 0.6 ( 0.05 ) = 0.042

P (CC  B ) 0.4 ( 0.03 )

iii) P (CC | B ) = = = 0.2857
P (B ) 0.042

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