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Precipitation
Precipitation
Precipitation
Chapter 2
Occurrence of Precipitation/Rainfall
For precipitation to form:
(i) The atmosphere must have moisture,
(ii) There must be sufficient nuclei present
to aid condensation,
(iii) Weather conditions must be good for
condensation of water vapor to take place,
and
(iv) The products of condensation must
reach the earth.
Reference: Ms. Arifa Sultana
Forms of Precipitation
Rain Snow
-Raindrop size: 0.5 mm to 6 mm. -Ice crystals
-On the basis of its intensity -0.06 to 0.15 g/cm3
1. Light rain Trace to 2.5 mm/h -Average density of 0.1
2. Moderate rain 2.5 mm/h to 7.5 mm/h g/cm3
3. Heavy rain > 7.5 mm/h
Sleet Hail
-Form of precipitation that -Irregular pellets or
exists in the form of frozen lumps of solid ice of
droplets of rain. size
-The freezing of the droplets Drizzle: Glaze:
-Raindrop size: more
mostly occurs when the droplets -Water droplets When rain or drizzle comes in
than 8 mm
pass through the air at freezing of size less than contact with cold ground at
temperatures. 0.5 mm and around 0ºC, the water drops
intensity freeze to form an ice coating
less than 1 mm/h called glaze or freezing rain.
Measurement of Precipitation
• Measurement unit unit: depth (cm/mm)
• 1 cm rainfall fit over a 1 𝑘𝑚2 = 10000 𝑚3 volume of water
• Instrument: RAINGAUGE, pluviometer, ombrometer and Hyetometer
➢ Discontinuity or missing of any data may occur due to malfunction of any rain gauge station.
➢ Inconsistency may occur due to changes in the exposure condition of any rain gauge.
If the condition of a recording of a station changes over a period, then inconsistency may occur in data
recording.
Common causes of inconsistency:
1. Relocation of rain gauge
2. Neighborhood of the station undergone a marked change
3. Change in the ecosystem due to natural calamities such as forest fire, land slides.
4. Observational error from a certain date.
Estimation of Missing data
▪ Estimation of the missing data of a particular station is determined from the data of neighboring station.
▪ Hence, comparison of these station is made in terms of Normal Rainfall.
▪ Normal Rainfall: Average rainfall at any date, month or year over a specified 30 years period.
Thus,
Normal annual rainfall of a station is the average annual rainfall over a 30 years period.
Problem: Say, the annual precipitation of 1, 2, 3….M stations are 𝑃1 , 𝑃2 , 𝑃3 … 𝑃𝑚 are known. However, annual precipitation 𝑃𝑋
is missing at station X which is not included in M station. Furthermore, the normal annual precipitation 𝑁1, 𝑁2 , 𝑁3 … of all
above stations (m+1) are known.
Procedure:
1. If normal annual precipitation of various station are within 10% of the normal annual precipitation at station X, then
simple arithmetic mean procedure is applied to estimate 𝑃𝑋
1
𝑃𝑋 = 𝑀 𝑃1 + 𝑃2 + ⋯ + 𝑃𝑚
2. If normal precipitation vary largely more than 10% than the normal precipitation at station X, then the following
normal ratio method is applied
𝑁 𝑃 𝑃 𝑃
𝑃𝑋 = 𝑀𝑋 𝑁1 + 𝑁2 + ⋯ + 𝑁𝑚
1 2 𝑚
Estimation of Missing data
Example 2.2: The normal annual rainfall at station A, B, C and D in a basin are 80.97, 67.59, 76.28 and 92.01 cm, respectively.
In the year 1985, the station D was inoperative, and the stations A, B and C recorded annual precipitation of 91.11, 72.23 and
79.89 cm respectively. Estimate the rainfall at station D in that year.
Solution: Maximum difference in normal rainfall values from the normal value at station D=92.01-67.59=24.42 cm
24.42
Percentage maximum difference with respect to normal at station D=92.01 𝑋100 = 26.54%
As the normal rainfall values vary more than 10% then station D, normal ratio method is adopted.
𝑁𝐷 𝑃𝐴 𝑃𝐵 𝑃𝐶
∴ 𝑃𝐷 = + + ⋯ +
𝑀 𝑁𝐴 𝑁𝐵 𝐶
92.01 91.11 72.23 79.89
= + 67.59 + ⋯ + 76.28
3 80.97
= 99.49 cm
Test For Consistency of record
❑ Procedures to test inconsistency in a station:
1. A group of 5 to 10 station along with the problem station X is selected
2. Annual precipitation of station X, 𝑃𝑋 and average annual precipitation, 𝑃𝑎𝑣 of
the group station of are arranged in reverse chronology manner (latest
record as a first entry in the list and oldest record as the last entry in the
list).
3. Accumulated annual precipitation of station X, σ 𝑃𝑋 and the accumulated
average annual precipitation of group station, σ 𝑃𝑎𝑣 are calculated.
4. σ 𝑃𝑋 Vs σ 𝑃𝑎𝑣 is plotted in a graph.
5. A decided break in the slope of the plot indicates a change in precipitation
regime in station X.
6. Precipitation at station X beyond the period of change of regime is
corrected by a relation
𝑀 𝑐
𝑃𝑐𝑥 = 𝑃𝑥 𝑐 = 𝑃𝑥
𝑀𝑎 𝑎
𝑃𝑐𝑥 =Corrected precipitation at any time period t at station X
𝑃𝑥 =original recorded precipitation at time period t at station X
𝑀𝑐 =corrected slope of the double mass curve
𝑀𝑎 =original slope of the double mass curve
Test For Consistency of record
Example 2.3: Annual rainfall data for station M as well as the average rainfall values for a group of ten neighboring
stations located in a meteorologically homogeneous region are given below.
Average Average Test the consistency of the annual rainfall data of station M and correct the
Annual Annual Annual Annual
Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall record if there is any discrepancy. Estimate the mean annual precipitation at
Year Year
of Station of the of Station of the station M.
M (mm) group M (mm) group
(mm) (mm)
1950 676 780 1965 1244 1400
1951 578 660 1966 999 1140
1952 95 110 1967 573 650
1953 462 520 1968 596 646
1954 472 540 1969 375 350
1955 699 800 1970 635 590
1956 479 540 1971 497 490
1957 431 490 1972 386 400
1958 493 560 1973 438 390
1959 503 575 1974 568 570
1960 415 480 1975 256 377
1961 531 600 1976 685 653
1962 504 580 1977 825 787
1963 828 950 1978 426 410
1964 679 770 1979 612 588
3.Average
record 1979
1978
1977
612
426
825
588
410
787
612
1038
1863
588
998
1785
1976 685 653 2548 2438
Cumulative average precipitation (mm) 1975 256 377 2804 2815
1974 568 570 3372 3385
20000
1973 438 390 3810 3775
1972 386 400 4196 4175
Cumulative precipitation at sttaion X, ∑(𝑃x)
18000
16000
1971 497 490 4693 4665
1970 635 590 5328 5255
14000 1969 375 350 5703 5605
12000 1968 596 646 6299 6251 699.108 699
1967 573 650 6872 6901 672.129 672
10000
1966 999 1140 7871 8041 1171.827 1172
8000 1965 1244 1400 9115 9441 1459.212 1459
6000 1964 679 770 9794 10211 796.467 796
1963 828 950 10622 11161 971.244 971
4000
1962 504 580 11126 11741 591.192 591
2000 1961 531 600 11657 12341 622.863 623
1960 415 480 12072 12821 486.795 487
0
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 1959 503 575 12575 13396 590.019 590
Accumulated average precipitation of group station, ∑(𝑃av) 1958 493 560 13068 13956 578.289 578
1957 431 490 13499 14446 505.563 506
1956 479 540 13978 14986 561.867 562
𝑀 1.0259 1955 699 800 14677 15786 819.927 820
Correction ratio=𝑀𝑐 = 0.8779=1.173 1954 472 540 15149 16326 553.656 554
𝑎
1953 462 520 15611 16846 541.926 542
1952 95 110 15706 16956 111.435 111
1951 578 660 16284 17616 677.994 678
1950 676 780 16960 18396 792.948 793
Presentation of Rainfall Data
Mass Curve of Rainfall:
• Plot of the accumulated rainfall against time.
• Useful for extracting data of rainfall duration and magnitude.
Hyetograph:
• Plot of the intensity of rainfall against the time interval. Mass curve of rainfall
• Derived from mass curve and usually represented as a bar
chart.
• Important for developing design storm to predict extreme
flood.
• The area under the hyetograph = the total rainfall received in
the period.
• Small duration time interval for urban drainage problem
• 6h time interval are used for flood flow computations in larger
catchment.
Presentation of Rainfall Data
Point Rainfall/station rainfall:
• Plot of magnitude vs time(daily, weekly, monthly, seasonal or annual).
• A form of bar diagram
• Could not determine the trend. Due to considerable variation in rainfall.
• Trend is discovered by moving average method.
Moving Average:
• Technique for smoothening out the high frequency fluctuation of
time series data and to enable a trend if follows.
• Window of time range m years is selected
• The average of the data for m years is calculated and placed in the
middle years of the range m
• The window is next move to the sequentially one-time unit (year) at
a time and thus mean of the m terms in the window is calculated at
each window location.
• m is taken as usually 3 or more.
• Selecting higher m years lead to the greater smoothing of the data.
• This method of averaging is called Central Simple Moving Average.
Presentation of Rainfall Data
Example 2.4: Annual rainfall values recorded at station M for the period 1950 to 1979 is given in example 2.3.
represent this data as a bar diagram with time in chronological order. (i) Identify those years in which the annual
rainfall is (a) less than 20% of the mean, and (b) more than the mean, (ii) Plot the three-year moving mean of the
annual rainfall time series.
Mean Presentation Over An Area
To convert the point rainfall values at various stations into an average value over a catchment, the
following three methods are in use.
1. Arithmetic mean method
2. Thiessen-polygon method
3. Isohyetal method
Determine the average depth of rainfall on the basin in August 2011 by i) Arithmetic mean
method, and ii) Thiessen mean method
Solution: Arithmetic mean: 𝑃 = 𝑃1 + 𝑃2 + ⋯ + 𝑃𝑖 + ⋯ + 𝑃𝑛
𝑁
121 + 134 + 126
𝑃=
3
=127 mm
Mean Presentation Over An Area
ii) Thiessen mean method: The calculations are performed in tabular form as follows:
1 2 3 4 5
Rain Thiessen Thiessen Station Weighted
gauge polygon area weightage reading (mm) station rainfall
station (km2) factor (mm)=[col.3X
(col2/3600) col.4]
1 720 0.200 121 24.2
2 380 0.106 134 14.1
3 440 0.122 145 17.7 𝑃=
𝑃1 𝐴1 + 𝑃2 𝐴2 + ⋯ + 𝑃6 𝐴6
𝐴1 + 𝐴2 + ⋯ . . +𝐴6
4 1040 0.289 126 36.4
σ𝑀
𝑖=1 𝑃𝑖 𝐴𝑖
5 800 0.222 99 22.0 𝑃= 𝐴
6 220 0.061 115 7.0
Thiessen mean of the station reading
Total 3600 1.00 121.5
for the month of Aug 2011=total of
catchment
col 5=121.5 mm
area
Mean Presentation Over An Area
Example 2.6: In a catchment, whose shape can be approximately by a pentagon, four rain gauge stations are situated
inside the catchment. The coordinates of the corners of the catchment that define its boundaries and the co-ordinates
of the four rain gauge stations are given below. Also given are the annual rainfall recorded by the four stations in the
year 2005. Determine the average annual rainfall over the catchment in that year by the Thiessen mean method.
Example: 2.7: the isohyets due to a storm in a catchment were drawn in figure and the area of the
catchment bounded by the isohyets were tabulated as below
Isohyets, Pi (cm) Area, (km2)
Station-12.0 30
12.0-10.0 140
10.0-8.0 80
8.0-6.0 180
6.0-4.0 20
𝑃1 + 𝑃2 𝑃 +𝑃 𝑃 +𝑃
𝑎1 + 𝑎2 2 2 3 + ⋯ + 𝑎𝑛−1 𝑛−12 𝑛
𝑃ത = 2
𝐴
Mean Presentation Over An Area
Solution:
𝑛
𝑃ത = 𝑃0 𝑒𝑥𝑝−𝑘𝐴
Here,
ത Average depth of rainfall in cm
𝑃=
A= Area in km2
𝑃0 =Maximum depth of rainfall in cm at storm center
𝑘 & 𝑛 are constant for a given region
Depth-Area Duration Curve (DAD)
Example 2.8: the data from an isohyetal map of 24-hour storm is given below. Assuming that the storm
centre had an area of 55 𝑘𝑚2 and the rainfall depth is 57 cm in the storm center, obtain the depth-area
curve of this storm. Using the depth-area curve, estimate the average depth of rainfall over an area of 3200
sq. km. It can be assumed that the storm center is located at the center of the area
Area
enclosed
Isohyetal (mm) (𝑘𝑚2 )
1 2
50 310
45 1300
40 2060
35 2700
30 2955
25 3600
20 4030
15 4800
10 6000
Depth-Area Duration Curve (DAD)
Solution:
Computation of data for depth-area curve
Total Total Average
Net Average incremental volume depth of 60
Area increment isohyetal volume (𝑘𝑚2 of rainfall rainfall
57 55 55 57 3135 3135 57
30
50 310 255 53.5 13643 16778 54
P = 56.846e-1E-04A
45 1300 990 47.5 47025 63803 49 20
40 2060 760 42.5 32300 96103 47
10
35 2700 640 37.5 24000 120103 44
30 2955 255 32.5 8288 128390 43 0
25 3600 645 27.5 17738 146128 41 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
1
𝑖𝛼𝑇 while D constant and the third 𝑖𝛼 𝐷 while T constant and the third
parameter parameter
Intensity-Duration-Frequency
(IDF) Curve
Example 2.11: The mass curve of rainfall in a storm of total duration 270 minutes is given below. (a)
Draw the hyetograph of the storm at 30 mins time step. (b) Plot the maximum intensity duration curve
of this storm. C) Plot the maximum depth-duration curve for the storm.
Time since
start in
minutes 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270
Cumulative
Rainfall
(mm) 0 6 18 21 36 43 49 52 53 54
Intensity-Duration-Frequency
(IDF) Curve
Solution:
a) Hyetograph of the storm at 30 minutes interval:
35
Time since
start in
Intensity 0
(mm/h) 0 12 24 6 30 14 12 6 2 2 0- 30 30-60 60-90 90-120 120-150 150-180 180-210 210-240 240-270
Duration in
min 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270
Maximum
Depth (mm) 15 22 30 37 43 49 52 53 54
Maximum
Intensity
(mm/h) 30 22 20 18.5 17.2 16.3 14.9 13.3 12
Intensity-Duration-Frequency
(IDF) Curve
Solution:
B & C) Maximum-intensity and maximum depth-duration curve for the storm
60
54
Max depth (mm) and Max intensity (mm/h) 52 53
49
50
43
40 37
30 30
30
22
20 18.5
20 17.2 16.3
15 14.9
13.3 12
10
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Duration in min