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Section IV - Govt. & The Macroeconomy
Section IV - Govt. & The Macroeconomy
Section IV - Govt. & The Macroeconomy
The public sector in every economy plays a major role, as a producer and
employer. Governments work locally, nationally and internationally. Here
are the roles they play in the economy:
Local Government:
Natural Monopoly:
fall in the tax revenue the govt. collects from goods and services and
incomes, which will, in turn, lead to a cut in govt. spending
fall in the revenues and profits of firms
if it exports too little and imports too much, the economy may run out
of foreign currency to buy further imports
A BoP deficit causes the value of its currency to fall against other
foreign currencies and make imports more expensive to buy, while a
BoP surplus causes its currency to rise against other foreign
currencies and make its exports more expensive in the international
market.
In the long run, when economic growth is continuous, firms may start
investing in more capital (machinery/equipment). More capital-intensive
production will make a lot of people unemployed.
MIND MAPS:
Chapter 26 : Fiscal Policy
Budget: a financial statement showing the forecasted government
revenue and expenditure in the coming fiscal year. It lays out the amount
the government expects to receive as revenue in taxes and other
incomes and how and where it will use this revenue to finance its various
spending endeavours. Governments aim for its budgets to be balanced.
Government spending
Governments spend on all kinds of public goods and services, not just
out of political and social responsibility, but also out of economic
responsibility. Government spending is a part of the aggregate demand
in the economy and influences its well-being. The main areas of
government spending includes defence and arms, road and transport,
electricity, water, education, health, food stocks, government salaries,
pensions, subsidies, grants etc.
To supply goods and services that the private sector would fail to do,
such as public goods, including defence, roads and streetlights; merit
goods, such as hospitals and schools; and welfare payments and
benefits, including unemployment and child benefits.
To achieve supply-side improvements in the economy, such as
spending on education and training to improve labour productivity.
To spend on policies to reduce negative externalities, such as pollution
controls.
To subsidise industries which may need financial support, and which is
not available from the private sector, usually agriculture and related
industries.
To help redistribute income and improve income inequality.
To inject spending into the economy to aid economic growth.
Advantages:
High revenue: as all people above a certain income level have to pay
income taxes, the revenue from this tax is very high.
Can reduce inequalities in income and wealth: as they are progressive in
nature – heavier taxes on the rich than the poor- they help in reducing
income inequality.
Disadvantages:
Advantages:
Disadvantages:
Inflationary: The prices of products will increase when indirect taxes are
added to it, causing inflation.
Regressive: since all people pay the same amount of money,
irrespective of their income levels, the tax will fall heavily on the poor
than the rich as it takes more proportion of their income.
Tax evasion: high tariffs on imported goods or excise duty on demerit
goods can encourage illegal smuggling of the good.
Progressive Taxes are those taxes which burdens the rich more than the
poor, in that the rate of taxation increases as incomes increase. An
income tax is the perfect example of progressive taxation. The more
income you earn, the more proportion of the income you have to pay in
taxes, as defined by income tax brackets.
For example, a person earning above $100,000 a month will have to pay
a tax rate of 20%, while a person earning above $200,000 a month will
have to pay a tax rate of 25%.
Regressive Taxes are those taxes which burden the poor more than the
rich, in that the rate of taxation falls as incomes increase. An indirect
tax like GST is an example of a regressive tax because everyone has to
pay the same tax when they are paying for the product, rich or poor.
For example, suppose the GST on a kilo of rice is $1; for a person who
earns $500 dollars a month, this tax will amount to 0.2% of his income,
while for a richer person who earns $50,000 a month, this tax will
amount of just 0.002% of his income. The burden on the poor is higher
than on the rich, making its regressive.
Proportional Taxes are those taxes which burden the poor and rich
equally, in that the rate of taxation remains equal as incomes rise or fall.
An example is corporate tax. All companies have to pay the same
proportion of their profits in tax.
For example, if the corporate tax is 30%, then whatever the profits of two
companies, they both will have to pay 30% of their profits in corporate
tax.
Impacts of taxation
Taxes can have various direct impacts on consumers, producers,
government and thus, the entire economy.
The main purpose of tax is to raise income for the government which
can lead to higher spending on health care and education. The impact
depends on what the government spends the money on. For example,
whether it is used to fund infrastructure projects or to fund the
government’s debt repayment.
Consumers will have less disposable income to spend after income tax
has been deducted. This is likely to lead to lower levels of spending and
saving. However, if the government spends the tax revenue in effective
ways to boost demand, it shouldn’t affect the economy.
Higher income tax reduces disposable income and can reduce the
incentive to work. Workers may be less willing to work overtime or might
leave the labour market altogether. However, there are two conflicting
effects of higher tax:
Substitution effect: higher tax leads to lower disposable income, and
work becomes relatively less attractive than leisure – workers will
prefer to work less.
Income effect: if higher tax leads to lower disposable income, then a
worker may feel the need to work longer hours to maintain his desired
level of income – workers feel the need to work longer to earn more.
The impact of tax then depends on which effect is greater. If the
substitution effect is greater, then people will work less, but if income
effect is greater, people will work more
Producers will have less incentive to produce if the corporate taxes are
too high. Private firm aim on making profits, and if a major chunk of their
profits are eaten away by taxes, they might not bother producing more
and might decide to close shop.
Fiscal Policy
Fiscal policy is a government policy which adjusts government
spending and taxation to influence the economy. It is the budgetary
policy, because it manages the government expenditure and revenue.
Government aims for a balance budget and tries to achieve it using
fiscal policy.
A budget is in surplus, when government revenue exceed government
spending. While this is good it also means that the economy hasn’t
reached its full potential. The government is keeping more than it is
spending, and if this surplus is very large, it can trigger a slowdown of
the economy.
When setting fiscal policy, the government can take an active role in
changing its spending or the level of taxation. These actions lead to an
increase or decrease in aggregate demand, which is reflected in the shift
of the aggregate demand (AD) curve to the right or left respectively.
Fiscal policy helps the government achieve its aim of economic growth,
by being able to influence the demand and spending in the economy. It
also indirectly helps maintain price stability, via the effects of tax and
spending.
MIND MAPS:
Chapter 27 : Monetary Policy
The money supply is the total value of money available in an economy
at a point of time. The government can control money supply through a
variety of tools including open market operations (buying and selling of
government bonds) and changing reserve requirements of banks. (The
syllabus doesn’t require you to study these in depth)
Monetary Policy
MIND MAPS:
Chapter 28 : Supply Side Policies
Supply side policies are microeconomic policies aimed at increasing
supply and productivity in the economy, to enable long-term economic
growth. Some of these policies include
Income tax cuts: reducing income tax will increase people’s willingness
to work more and earn more, helping increase the supply in the economy.
Subsidies are financial grants made to industries that need it. More
subsidies mean more money for producers to produce more, thereby
increasing supply.
GDP (Gross Domestic Product): the total market value of all final goods
and services provided within an economy by its factors of production in
a given period of time.
a) Nominal GDP: the value of output produced in an economy in a
period of time, measured at their current market values or prices
is the nominal GDP.
GDP per head/capita: this measures the average output/ income per
person in an economy. Since this takes into account the population, it
provides a good measure of the living standards of an economy.
GDP per capita = GDP / Population
If the economy produces over its productive capacity and if the growth in
demand outstrips the growth in output, economic growth may cause
inflation
Recession
Recession is the phase where there is negative economic growth, that is
real GDP is falling. This usually happens after there is rapid economic
growth. High inflation during the boom period will cause consumer
spending to fall and cause this downturn. Workers will demand more
wages as the cost of living increase, and the price of raw materials will
also rise, leading to firms cutting down production and laying off
workers. Unemployment starts to rise and incomes fall.
Causes of recession:
Financial crises: if banks have a shortage of liquidity, they reduce
lending and this reduces investment.
Black swan events: black swan events are unexpected events that are
very hard to predict. For example, COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 which
disrupted travel, supply chains and normal business activity, as well
consumer demand, has caused recessions in many countries.
Consequences of recession:
Demand-side policies that increase the rate of growth above the long-run
trend rate will cause inflation and quickly lead to a recession if not
controlled.
MIND MAPS:
Chapter 30 : Employment &
Unemployment
Dependent population – people not in the labour force and thus depend
on the labour force to supply them with goods and services to fulfill their
needs and wants. This includes students in education, retired people,
stay at home parents, prisoners or similar institutions as well as those
choosing not to work.
Measuring unemployment
People will lose their working skills if they remain unemployed for a long
time and may find it even harder to find suitable jobs. As people remain
unemployed, their incomes will be low, and living standards will fall.
Unemployment will also lead to poverty, homelessness and ill health and
encourage people to steal and commit other crimes to make
money– crime rates will rise.
Firms will have to pay redundancy payments to workers they lay off.
Workers will be demotivated as they fear they could lose their jobs,
especially in a recession.
As firms lay off workers, they will be left with spare capacity- unutilised
machinery, tools and factory spaces, leading to higher average costs.
MIND MAP:
Chapter 31 : Inflation & Deflation
Inflation
Inflation is the general and sustained rise in the level of prices of goods
and services in an economy over a period of time.
For example, the inflation rate in UK in 2010 was 4.7%. This means that
the average price of goods and services sold in the UK rose by 4.7%
during that year.
The average price of the basket in the first year or ‘base year’ is given a
value of 100.
The average change in price of these goods and services over the year
is calculated.
Causes of Inflation
Lower purchasing power: when the price level rises, the lesser number
of goods and services you can buy with the same amount of money.
This is called a fall in the purchasing power. When purchasing power
falls, consumers will have to make choices on spending.
Fixed income groups, lenders, and savers lose: a person who has a
fixed income will lose as he cannot press for higher wages during
inflation (his/her real wages fall as purchasing power of his/her wages
fall). Lenders who lent money before inflation and receive the money
back during inflation will lose the value on their money. The same
amount of money is now worth less (here, the people who borrowed gain
purchasing power). Savers also lose because the interest they’re earning
on savings in banks does not increase as much as the inflation, and
savers will lose the value on their money.
Deflation
Causes of deflation
Consequences of deflation
Borrowers will lose during a deflation because now the value of the debt
they owe is higher than when they borrowed the money.
MIND MAP:
Worksheet
Section 4 –
4.1 The role of government
4.2 The macroeconomic aims of government
4.1.1 The role of government
4.2.1 The macroeconomics aims of government
1. Describe how a government can act as a producer of goods and services in an economy.
[4]
E Research your own economy. What are the main economic objectives of your
government?
E The government has announced a number of initiatives in an attempt to bring down the
level of unemployment in the economy. These include a reduction in both income tax and
sales tax and a lowering of interest rates. The aim of these policy measures is to increase
the level of total demand in the economy, although the government recognises that there will
be a delay in increasing total supply to meet this increased level of demand.
Read this newspaper article and consider if there is likely to be a conflict between the
reduction in unemployment and the achievement of other government objectives.
2. Explain the following statement: "The government is planning for a budget deficit and will
need to increase its borrowing to finance it. [4]
3. Identify and explain four reasons for public sector spending in a mixed economy. [8]
4.3.3 Taxation
4.3.4 Principles of taxation
1. Define the total tax burden in an economy. [2]
E Use the articles to identify why and how taxes are being used by different governments.
The Chinese government has announced a mix of tax cuts and infrastructure spending as it
increases efforts to stimulate demand and counteract a weakening economic growth.
Government prepares to cut the lowest rate of income tax to 'reduce inequality and increase
the reward to work'
2. Using examples, explain the difference between a direct tax and an indirect tax. [4]
5. The table below shows the structure of personal income tax in a country.
Tax-free allowance Up to $9,999
(a) What is the highest marginal rate of tax a person earning $50,000 a year will pay? [1]
(b) What average rate of tax will a person earning $50,000 a year pay? Show your
calculations. [3]
2. Explain the difference between an expansionary fiscal policy and a contractionary fiscal
policy. [4]
3. Analyse how effective fiscal policy instruments may be for managing total demand in
economy. [6]
E Which policy measures highlighted in the following news headlines are expansionary and
which ones are contractionary? What impact are they each likely to have on the budget
balance?
Government cuts rate of corporation tax
Increase in welfare payments to be paid for by increase in indirect taxes
Increase in top rate of income tax designed to reduce inequality
Government announces boost in infrastructure spending to 'modernise economy and
reinvigorate economic growth'
4.4 Monetary policy
4.4.1 Definition of monetary policy
4.4.2 Monetary policy measures
4.4.3 Effects of monetary policy measures on government
macroeconomic aims
1. Define monetary policy. [2]
3. Analyse how effective monetary policy instruments may be for managing total demand in
an economy. [6]
E How are monetary policy instruments being used in each case to help achieve different
government macroeconomic aims?
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has raised key interest rates by a quarter of a
percentage point in an attempt to curb double-digit inflation.
Japanese central bank doubles money supply. The monetary easing is designed to
bring to an end a long spell of deflation which has hindered investment and
economic growth in Japan.
Indonesia's central bank cut its benchmark interest rate as falling inflation gives the
bank more scope to try to boost economic growth.
2. Explain two ways a government could use regulations to influence the behaviour of private
forms. [4]
3. Analyse how supply-side policy may be used to influence total supply in an economy. [6]
What are likely to be the main benefits and drawbacks of the scheme described in this
article?
2. Explain one of the methods used to calculate the GDP of an economy. [4]
Country % change in nominal GDP over 10 years % change in CPI over 10 years
A 31% 31%
B 65% 53%
C 34% 12%
D 11% 32%
E Describe what has happened in the diagram and the possible reasons why.
4.6.4 Causes and consequences of recession
1. Explain what is meant by the trade, business or economic cycle in a macroeconomy. [4]
4. Explain the difference between a 'U-shaped recession and a V-shaped recession'. [4]
E The following chart shows the annual percentage change in real GDP in the USA from 2000
to 2015. In which year was the economy in (a) economic recession and (b) recovery?
4.6.5 Consequences of economic growth
4.6.6 Policies to promote economic growth
1. Explain two benefits of an increase in the real GDP of a country. [4]
3. Explain two policies governments could use to help promote economic growth in their
macroeconomics. [4]
E According to the articles, what are some of the problems associated with economic
growth?
How workers can keep up with automation and the demands of the digital economy:
train, retrain and retrain again.
Outdoor air pollution has grown by 8% globally in the past five years, with billions of
people around the world now exposed to dangerous air, according to new data from
more than 3,000 cities compiled by the World Health Organization (WHO).
Number of poor people in Africa rising despite faster growth in African economies,
finds new report.
By 2050 there will be more waste plastic in our seas than fish, according to a new
report.
3. Discuss the main changes that have occurred in the pattern of employment in many
economies over the last 50 years. [8]
E Research your own economy. Try to find out whether the level of employment is increasing
or decreasing in your country. Also, try to find out what have been the main changes in the
structure of employment in the country, such as people leaving the primary sector to work in
the secondary or the tertiary sector.
3. Discuss if and how a fall in the unemployment rate can benefit a country. [8]
E The government has announced that there has been an increase in the level of
unemployment in the economy over the past three months. Some of this has been due to
weather conditions at this time of the year, especially in relation to employment in the
farming and tourism sectors. Some has been due to investment in machinery and equipment,
making a number of firms more capital-intensive than they were. A part of the increase is
due to a fall in world demand for some of the country's exports. The government has also
made it clear that at any time, there will be some people who have left one job and who have
not yet started another job.
Read this newspaper article. Identify the different types of unemployment referred to in the
article.
4. Describe two ways a consumer prices index may be used in an economy. [4]
E The chart shows the annual rate of price inflation in a country between 2008 and 2016. In
which year was the (a) general price level rising at its fastest rate, (b) general price level
rising at its slowest rate, and (c) general price level at its highest?
4.8.3 Causes of inflation
1. Explain the following statement: Inflation is caused by too much money chasing too few
goods. [4]
E Look at the news headlines and articles below. What cause or type of inflation does each
one describe?
CPI in lowest rise for 17 years
Australia's inflation rate has fallen to its lowest level for 17 years. Intense competition
among supermarkets is one factor. The other factor has been the falling cost of many
imported goods.
Increase in fuel prices pushes up UK inflation rate to 0.6%
Indonesian inflation on the rise
The increase in the monthly inflation rate in July to 0.7 percent from 0.6 percent in June was
caused mainly by an increase in spending by the end of Ramadan (the Islamic fasting month)
and Idul Fitri, according to the Minister for the Economy.
2. Analyse the reasons why maintaining low and stable inflation is an important goal for
many governments and central banks. [6]
3. Analyse the use and effectiveness of different policy measures that may be used by
governments to control inflation in their macroeconomics. [6]
Who is likely to benefit, and who is likely to suffer, as a result of inflation in an economy?
4.8.6 Deflation
1. Explain the difference between deflation and disinflation in an economy. [4]
Year CPI
2013 100
2014 108
2015 102
2016 106
It is also important to distinguish between the rate of growth of nominal GDP and real GDP.
If the rate of increase of nominal GDP is exactly equal to a country's inflation rate, then there
has been no real growth; all of the growth can be explained by the increase in the value of
what has been produced as a result of price increases. There has been no actual economic
growth. The second question is concerned with this distinction between nominal and real
growth.
It is not only through data that economic growth in a country can be demonstrated. It can
also be shown through a shift of a production possibility curve. The third question is
concerned with how economic growth can be shown on a production possibility curve. It
needs to be stressed that a movement from within a production possibility curve to a point
on a production possibility curve does not show economic growth.
Although it is possible to draw the long-term growth rate of an economy as a straight line, it
actually goes through a series of stages or fluctuations. This is known as an economic or
business or trade cycle. These stages can be described as growth, boom, recession, slump
and recovery. The fourth question is concerned with how these different stages of the
economic cycle can be shown in a diagram.
1. Calculate the rate of inflation in a country, using the information provided. [2]
Expenditure category Percentage of expenditure Weighting Increase in price since base year
Food 50 5 20%
Clothing 20 2 10%
Transport 20 2 10%
Total 100 10
2. Calculate the real GDP growth rate of a country, using the information provided. [2]
3. Look at the diagram below. Indicate where the following stages can be shown on the
economic cycle: growth, boom, recession, slump and recovery. [5]
4.
Country Average annual rate of economic growth in the last five years
Brazil 3.1%
Chile 4.0%
Cuba 5.8%
Egypt 3.2%
Ethiopia 10.9%
Libya -0.5%
Malaysia 4.3%
Nigeria 6.7%
Qatar 14.1%
Slovenia 1.4%
(a) Which country experienced the fastest rate of economic growth? [1]
(b) Which country experienced the slowest rate of economic growth? [1]