Table 1.1.1.

A : Projected changes in seasonal temperature in the mid-21st c

(2036-2065) for Municipality of Baao, Province of Camarines Sur. based on
Scenario (RCP 8.5)
Projected Change
Observed
Season Range*
baseline Change in ℃
Lower Bound 1.2
December-January-
February (DJF) 25.6 Median 1.6
Upper Bound 1.9
Lower Bound 1.3
March-April-May (MAM) 27.5 Median 1.6
Upper Bound 2.2
Lower Bound 1.4
June-July-August (JJA)
28.1 Median 1.5
Upper Bound 2.2
September-October- Lower Bound 1.4
November (SON) 27.1 Median 1.5
Upper Bound 2.2

Note:
PAGASA used three climate scenarios (high, medium and low range scenarios). The medium-range emission sc
the CDRA. It indicates “a future world of very rapid economic growth, with the global population peaking in mid-c
thereafter and there is rapid introduction of new and more ef_cient technologies with energy generation balanced
(PAGASA: 2011).

The seasonal variations are as follows: (a) the DJF (December, January, February or northeast monsoon locally
season; (b) the MAM (March, April, May or summer) season; (c) JJA (June, July, August or southwest monsoon
“Habagat”) season; and (d) SON (September, October, November or transition from southwest to northeast mon

PAGASA (2018) already provides actual figures that can be copied and pasted to your document. PAGASA also
Moderate Emission Scenario (RCP 4.5) and for Late-21st Century (2070-2099) which can also be considered in
seasonal temperature.
 nal temperature in the mid-21st century 2050
ovince of Camarines Sur. based on High Emission

Projected Change
Projected Seasonal Mean Findings
Temperature (℃)
26.8
27.2
27.5
28.8
29.1
29.7
29.5
29.6
30.3
28.5
28.6
29.3

range scenarios). The medium-range emission scenario will be used for

growth, with the global population peaking in mid-century and declining
ient technologies with energy generation balanced across all sources”

r, January, February or northeast monsoon locally known as “Amihan”)

c) JJA (June, July, August or southwest monsoon locally known as
mber or transition from southwest to northeast monsoon) season.

opied and pasted to your document. PAGASA also provides data for
tury (2070-2099) which can also be considered in the projection of
Table 1. Climate Change Projection
OBSERVED BASELINE
Climate Variables (1971-2000)
CHANGE IN 2020

Temperature (°C) DJF MAM JJA SON DJF MAM JJA SON
LB M UB LB M UB LB M UB LB M UB
PAGASA Data 25.6 27.5 28.1 27.1 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.3 1.6 2.2 1.4 1.5 2.2 1.4 1.5 2.2
Projected 26.8 27.2 27.5 28.8 29.1 29.7 29.5 29.6 30.3 28.5 28.6 29.3
Seasonal
Rainfall (mm)
PAGASA Data
Projected
Calculated based on PAGASA Projection data
 CHANGE IN 2050

DJF MAM JJA SON

LB M UB LB M UB LB M UB LB M UB
Template 1.1.1.B: General Changes Expected in Climate Variables and
Information about patterns of change for Municipality of Baao, Province of
Camarines Sur. based on High Emission Scenario (RCP 8.5)
Projected Change
Observed
Season Range* Projected Rainfall
baseline Percent (%)
Value (mm)
Lower Bound -3.0 647.0
December-January-
February (DJF) 666.8 Median 17.1 780.9
Upper Bound 27.8 852.0
Lower Bound -3.1 336.5
March-April-May
(MAM) 347.4 Median 6.8 371.1
Upper Bound 15.8 402.5
Lower Bound -25.1 479.3
June-July-August (JJA) 639.6 Median -8.5 585.1
Upper Bound 11.3 712.2
Lower Bound -8.3 944.3
September-October-
November (SON) 1,029.40 Median -0.2 1,027.3
Upper Bound 6.2 1,092.9

Note:
PAGASA used three climate scenarios (high, medium and low range scenarios). The medium-range emission
scenario will be used for the CDRA. It indicates “a future world of very rapid economic growth, with the global
population peaking in mid-century and declining thereafter and there is rapid introduction of new and more ef_cie
technologies with energy generation balanced across all sources” (PAGASA: 2011).

The seasonal variations are as follows: (a) the DJF (December, January, February or northeast monsoon locally
known as “Amihan”) season; (b) the MAM (March, April, May or summer) season; (c) JJA (June, July, August or
southwest monsoon locally known as “Habagat”) season; and (d) SON (September, October, November or trans
from southwest to northeast monsoon) season.

PAGASA (2018) already provides actual figures that can be copied and pasted to your document. PAGASA also
provides data for Moderate Emission Scenario (RCP 4.5) and for Late-21st Century (2070-2099) which can also
considered in the projection of seasonal temperature.
mate Variables and
lity of Baao, Province of
RCP 8.5)

Findings

os). The medium-range emission

conomic growth, with the global
introduction of new and more ef_cient
2011).

ruary or northeast monsoon locally

ason; (c) JJA (June, July, August or
ember, October, November or transition

ed to your document. PAGASA also

entury (2070-2099) which can also be