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Exploration Drilling Optimisation Using Geostatistics
Exploration Drilling Optimisation Using Geostatistics
Exploration Drilling Optimisation Using Geostatistics
present study, an attempt has been made to derive geostatistical models of various proximate
coal constituents of selected seams in respect of nine opencast mine blocks of the coalfield. This
experimental study, employing geostatistical volume–variance relationships, revealed that an
exploration grid density of 16 drill holes per square kilometre with a grid spacing of 3006300 m
within an exploration area of 161 km is adequate for maximisation of information in respect of the
Jharia Coalfield. Until now, the density of exploration drilling in the coalfield has been considered
as per Indian Standard Procedure (ISP) norms solely based on past experience and proposed
mining methods. The present study of exploration drill hole optimisation using the concept of
kriging variance is associated with an objectively defined mathematical basis and therefore may
be applied for exploration optimisation in other coalfields in India and other countries, which occur
in similar geological settings.
Keywords: Optimisation, Geostatics, Jharia coaffield, Drilling
1 Map showing location of Jharia Coalfield with respect to various Gondwana basins of India19
Jharia Coalfield, one of the major coalfields in India, of exploration, holes had been drilled at a relatively wide
is located in the Dhanbad district of the Jharkhand state spacing (at ,1 km intervals). During detailed explora-
in the eastern part of the country (Fig. 1). It has been tion, the drill spacing had been gradually reduced to
selected as a test case owing to it being the only source of 400 m apart.10 The exploration drilling density in the
prime coking coal in India. It represents a Gondwana Jharia Coalfield has been considered as per Indian
age basin in the Koel–Damodar valley,9 situated in the Standard Procedure. The Committee on Assessment of
eastern part of the valley along the north of the river Coal Resources constituted by the Coal Council of India
Damodar. The coalfield lies between latitudes N23u279 in 1956 drew up the procedure for estimation of coal
and N23u529 and longitudes E86u069 and E86u309. resources and submitted its first interim report in 1957.
The procedure was named by the committee as the
Need for geostatistical optimisation ‘Indian Standard Procedure’ (ISP), for coal resource
scheme for exploration drilling in Jharia estimation that treats all resources and reserves based on
certain stipulations.11 Based on the results of regional/
Coalfield promotional exploration, where the drill holes are
The Jharia Coalfield has been explored by various placed 1 to 2 km apart, the resources are classified into
agencies during the last two decades. In the initial stage the ‘indicated’ or ‘inferred’ category. Subsequent
14 Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1
Saikia and Sarkar Exploration drilling optimisation using geostatistics
a 6006600 m drill spacing with density of 4; b 4006400 m drill spacing with density of 9; c 3006300 m drill spacing
with density of 16; d 2006200 m drill spacing with density of 25
2 Drill hole configurations showing various drill hole spacings and drilling densities within exploration area of
100061000 m
detailed exploration in selected blocks, where drill holes multiplier, cðSi ,V Þ is the average semivariance between
are placed less than 400 m apart, upgrades the resources sample and block and cðV ,V Þ is the within block
into the more reliable ‘proved’ category.12 The definition average semivariance.
of these resource categories compares well with respect to From the above mentioned relationship, it is evident
the JORC and SAMREC codes. However, at present, that the magnitude of kriging variance is dependent
India is in the process of recasting and reporting its coal upon the following factors:
resources in the United Nations Framework Classification (i) the characteristics of deposit as represented by
format.13 But to date, there has not been any systematic its semivariogram
study of mathematical derivation of drill hole optimisa- (ii) the size and shape of blocks being estimated
tion in the Jharia Coalfield. However, a number of (iii) the total number of samples used in estimating a
guidelines have been prepared by various governmental block
agencies in respect of the number of drill holes to be drilled (iv) the relative positions of samples with respect to
per square kilometre during the detailed stage of each other as well as with respect to the block
exploration. These guidelines are mainly based on past (v) the technique of estimation employed.
experience and proposed mining methods. Owing to the Thus, the magnitude of kriging variance is not affected by
high value of the coking coal seams a need exists for the actual values of samples used, although sample values do
formulation of exploration drilling optimisation strategy enter in the computation of block estimates.4,14 Hence, it
based on geostatistical volume–variance relationships of
is possible to determine a priori the impact of placing one
various coal constituents in the Jharia Coalfield.
or more additional drill holes by the reduction in the
confidence limits of the overall estimate. Kriging variance
Optimisation of exploration drilling can also be utilised to determine not only the additional
using geostatistical kriging variance number of drill holes required to achieve a certain desired
confidence level but also to select specific locations for
Geostatistical kriging variance, by virtue of being indepen-
drilling additional holes required for improvement in the
dent of actual sample values has been extensively utilised in
accuracy of reserve estimates.8 Other consequences of the
developing an optimum drilling strategy for various
above mentioned capability are that one can determine
deposits with a prior knowledge of semivariogram para-
when to stop drilling based on the cost–benefit considera-
meters. Mathematically, kriging variance is expressed as
tion of marginal improvement in information versus
X
n marginal cost of drilling an additional hole.
s2K ~ ai cðSi ,V Þzl{c(V ,V ) While formulating an optimum drilling strategy
i~1
utilising kriging variance, certain implicit assumptions
where ai is the kriged weight, l is the Lagrange are made. One of these assumptions is that the
Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1 15
Saikia and Sarkar Exploration drilling optimisation using geostatistics
Published by Maney Publishing (c) IOM Communications Ltd
semivariogram model used in the computation of 6006600 m in a square grid pattern has been considered
kriging variance represents the true underlying semivar- comprising a total of four drill holes within an
iogram. Consequently, sample values obtainable from exploration area of 100061000 m (Fig. 2). Drill hole
the successive stages of future drilling would not modify spacing has then been experimentally reduced in stages
drastically the semivariogram model and population to 400, then to 300 and finally to 200 m. This led to an
mean of various quality parameters. increase in the number of drill holes per square km area
respectively to 9, then to 16 and finally to 25 (Fig. 2a–d).
For each of the above mentioned drill hole configura-
Methodology adopted tions, kriging variance has been computed using the
The drill hole optimisation strategy developed for the model semivariogram parameters (Table 1) of geostatis-
Jharia Coalfield in the present study is aimed at tically evaluated coal seams, namely, seams I, VIII(A)
providing a means to maximise the information to and XII in respect of variables, namely, seam thickness,
cost ratio based on geostatistically determined volume– ash, volatile matter and moisture contents. The fitted
variance relationships. This relationship states that with model semivariograms to respective experimental ones
increasing volume of samples, i.e. number of drill holes, are shown in Figs. 3–5. Among the various semivario-
the error of estimation (kriging variance) decreases.6,7,15 gram model parameters, nugget effects influence the
Thus, a set of kriging variance estimates are generated degree of heterogeneity of a constituent parameter in a
experimentally by increasing the number of drill holes deposit. The higher the nugget effect of a coal constituent
with a corresponding decrease in drill spacing within in a deposit, the higher is the degree of variability and the
an exploration area of 161 km. Estimates of kriging lower the correlatibility among sample values. However,
variance corresponding to increasing number of drill in respect of sedimentary deposit such as coal, a relatively
holes when plotted graphically results in a curve with an low nugget effect is observed indicating a near homo-
inverse relationship. The inflexion point of the curve genous distribution of variables in the deposit and better
indicates the stabilisation of the error of estimation correlatibility among sample values. One good practice to
irrespective of any further increase in the number of drill determine spatial variability of a deposit is to use the ratio
holes. The number of drill holes corresponding to an of nugget to sill variance. The ratios of nugget to sill
inflexion point in the curve that provides the optimum variance in respect of all the variables of selected seams
number of drill holes that are considered to be have been provided in Table 1 which reveal a low to
adequately sufficient for exploration. Any further moderate ratio of nugget to sill variance excepting for ash
drilling beyond this would increase the cost of explora- content of seam VIII(A). The lower the ratio of nugget to
tion without any further increase in accuracy. In the sill variance, the greater is the degree of homogeneity
present study, a square grid of 100061000 m has been within a deposit.
considered for examining a variety of drill hole From the kriging variance computed for each drill
configurations. In the first case, a drill spacing of hole configuration, 95% confidence limits for the kriged
16 Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1
Saikia and Sarkar Exploration drilling optimisation using geostatistics
0.04
1600
0.61
1.01
1.36
0.01
Moisture,
0.026
0.066
calculated using the following relationship
95% confidence limits for kriged estimate~
%
1=2
+1:96 s2K
0.50
4.24
1350
4.74
0.11
0.98
0.37
0.08
Volatile Matter,
1=2
1:96 s2K
% accuracy of estimation~+ |100
% kriged mean
where s2K is kriging variance and the value 1.96 refers to
Spherical
5.50
30.60
2300
36.10
0.15
1.01
20.13
20.03
normal percentage point at 95% confidence level.
The computed values of per cent accuracy of esti-
Ash,
0.51
0.85
1800
1.36
0.38
1.02
20.89
20.03
identify the inflexion point of the curve.
Seam XII
1050
0.0622
0.40
1.03
1.12
0.01
0.99
0.13
0.02
Volatile Matter,
16.22
0.77
0.99
0.02
0.01
950
Spherical
Table 1 Semivariogram model parameters in respect of seams I, VIII(A) and XII of Jharia Coalfield
height’.
0.30
1900
0.40
1.05
0.20
0.07
Thickness,
0.459
0.759
Results
m
1.01
22.85
20.03
Moisture,
0.048
0.032
2500
2.80
3.50
0.34
1.05
20.09
20.02
Volatile Matter,
1300
12.00
7.00
19.00
0.63
1.02
20.76
20.11
0.80
5.20
6.00
0.13
1.03
24 17
20.13
Range of influence a
Mean Z2Z*
Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1 17
Saikia and Sarkar Exploration drilling optimisation using geostatistics
Table 2 Per cent accuracy of estimation for different drill hole configurations in respect of seam-I*
Thickness
6006600 m 4 – 1.376 ¡ 2.30 ¡ 45.36 – –
4006400 m 9 5 1.293 ¡ 2.23 ¡ 43.98 3.04 0.61
3006300 m 16 12 1.111 ¡ 2.07 ¡ 40.83 9.99 0.99 0.13
2006200 m 25 21 0.995 ¡ 1.96 5.07 ¡ 38.66 14.77 0.53
Ash
6006600 m 4 – 16.066 ¡ 7.86 ¡ 27.79 – –
4006400 m 9 5 14.496 ¡ 7.46 ¡ 26.38 5.07 1.01
3006300 m 16 12 13.623 ¡ 7.23 ¡ 25.57 7.99 0.42 0.63
2006200 m 25 21 12.651 ¡ 6.97 28.28 ¡ 24.65 11.30 0.37
Volatile Matter
6006600 m 4 – 1.619 ¡ 2.49 ¡ 13.29 – –
4006400 m 9 5 1.474 ¡ 2.38 ¡ 12.71 4.36 0.87
3006300 m 16 12 1.366 ¡ 2.29 ¡ 12.22 8.05 0.53 0.34
2006200 m 25 21 1.213 ¡ 2.16 18.73 ¡ 11.53 13.24 0.58
Moisture
6006600 m 4 – 0.064 ¡ 0.50 ¡ 54.35 – –
Published by Maney Publishing (c) IOM Communications Ltd
Thus, it is suggested that the configuration of 3006 parameters owing to the fact that coal quality classifica-
300 m drill grid pattern with a density of 16 drill tion depends heavily on volatile matter (VM) content,
holes per square km (i.e. 100061000 m) of exploration i.e. 18–20% VM is low volatile weakly coking, 20–23% is
area is optimum for adequate exploration in Jharia low volatile medium coking, 23–32% VM is prime
Coalfield. coking, 32–37% VM is high volatile medium coking and
Among various coal quality parameters, volatile 37–44% VM is semicoking. The reproducibility of test
matter is one of the most important distinguishing results on the confidence limits would allow subdivision
Table 3 Per cent accuracy of estimation for different drill hole configurations in respect of seam VIII(A)*
Thickness
6006600 m 4 – 0.408 ¡ 1.25 ¡ 44.80 – –
4006400 m 9 5 0.372 ¡ 1.20 ¡ 43.01 4.00 0.80
2.79
3006300 m 16 12 0.342 ¡ 1.15 ¡ 41.22 7.83 0.55 0.40
2006200 m 25 21 0.291 ¡ 1.06 ¡ 37.99 15.20 0.82
Ash
6006600 m 4 – 16.639 ¡ 8.01 ¡ 28.85 – –
4006400 m 9 5 14.935 ¡ 7.57 ¡ 27.27 5.48 1.10
27.76
3006300 m 16 12 14.162 ¡ 7.38 ¡ 26.59 7.83 0.34 0.77
2006200 m 25 21 13.390 ¡ 7.17 ¡ 25.83 10.47 0.29
Volatile Matter
6006600 m 4 – 1.883 ¡ 2.69 ¡ 14.17 – –
4006400 m 9 5 1.703 ¡ 2.56 ¡ 13.49 4.80 0.96
18.98
3006300 m 16 12 1.592 ¡ 2.47 ¡ 13.01 8.19 0.48 0.57
2006200 m 25 21 1.456 ¡ 2.37 ¡ 12.49 11.86 0.41
Moisture
6006600 m 4 – 0.035 ¡ 0.37 ¡ 41.57 – –
4006400 m 9 5 0.032 ¡ 0.35 ¡ 39.33 5.39 1.08
0.89
3006300 m 16 12 0.029 ¡ 0.33 ¡ 37.08 10.80 0.77 0.40
2006200 m 25 21 0.019 ¡ 0.27 ¡ 30.34 26.94 1.78
*The calculation procedure is same as given in Table 2.
18 Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1
Saikia and Sarkar Exploration drilling optimisation using geostatistics
of the coal quality classification as prime coking, of 15 to 20 drill holes per square km of area for open
medium coking, semicoking, weekly coking and non- cast mine blocks.18 However, in the present study, the
coking coal resources. exploration drill hole optimisation scheme obtained for
The Central Mine Planning Design Institute Limited Jharia Coalfield employing geostatistical kriging var-
(CMPDIL) and other coal exploration agencies in India, iance i.e. 16 drill holes with 3006300 m drill spacing
based on their experience and the proposed mining pattern in an exploration area of 161 km thus fits in
method had previously implemented a drill hole density agreement with the drilling density presently followed by
Table 4 Per cent accuracy of estimation for different drill hole configurations in respect of seam XII*
Thickness
6006600 m 4 – 0.697 ¡ 1.64 ¡ 46.20 – –
4006400 m 9 5 0.637 ¡ 1.56 ¡ 43.94 4.89 0.98
3.55
3006300 m 16 12 0.583 ¡ 1.50 ¡ 42.25 8.55 0.52 0.38
2006200 m 25 21 0.469 ¡ 1.34 ¡ 37.75 18.29 1.08
Ash
6006600 m 4 – 7.990 ¡ 5.54 ¡ 23.98 – –
4006400 m 9 5 7.535 ¡ 5.38 ¡ 23.29 2.88 0.58
23.10
3006300 m 16 12 6.436 ¡ 4.97 ¡ 21.52 10.26 1.05 0.15
2006200 m 25 21 6.376 ¡ 4.95 ¡ 21.42 10.68 0.05
Volatile Matter
6006600 m 4 – 0.840 ¡ 1.80 ¡ 8.62 – –
4006400 m 9 5 0.821 ¡ 1.78 ¡ 8.53 1.04 0.21
20.87
3006300 m 16 12 0.657 ¡ 1.59 ¡ 7.62 11.60 1.51 0.11
2006200 m 25 21 0.617 ¡ 1.54 ¡ 7.38 14.39 0.31
Moisture
6006600 m 4 – 0.053 ¡ 0.45 ¡ 51.14 – –
4006400 m 9 5 0.048 ¡ 0.43 ¡ 48.86 4.46 0.89
0.88
3006300 m 16 12 0.046 ¡ 0.42 ¡ 47.73 6.67 0.32 0.61
2006200 m 25 21 0.043 ¡ 0.41 ¡ 46.59 8.90 0.25
*The calculation procedure is same as given in Table 2.
Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1 19
Saikia and Sarkar Exploration drilling optimisation using geostatistics
Published by Maney Publishing (c) IOM Communications Ltd
various governmental and private agencies in India. The The optimum number of drill holes required for
proposed optimisation scheme employs geostatistical exploring a deposit adequately needs to be determined
kriging variance with a sound mathematical basis in objectively to make the exploration process a cost
comparison to the notional scheme of 15 to 20 drill holes effective venture. Among various innovative methods
per square kilometre of exploration area on the basis of for drill hole optimisation, geostatistics provides an
convention and experience in respect of geological improved, effective and accurate means using kriging
continuity. variance in formulating an optimal drilling strategy. The
technique is applicable for any deposit exhibiting
regionalised phenomena.
Conclusion In the present study of drill hole optimisation of the
The technique of minimising the exploration cost for Jharia Coalfield, a density of 16 drill holes using a
evaluating a coal deposit has been examined by 3006300 m drill hole spacing within an exploration area of
experimentation to optimise the number of drill holes. 100061000 m have been found to be optimal for
20 Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1
Saikia and Sarkar Exploration drilling optimisation using geostatistics
exploration of open cast mine blocks. The results thus support to carry out the exploration optimisation study.
obtained with the use of geostatistics can be employed for The first author acknowledges the Council of Scientific
future planning of exploration drill holes in respect of and Industrial Research for providing financial support
unexplored part of the Jharia Coalfield. Similarly, the through research grant No. 9/85(97)/2K2/EMR-I during
optimisation scheme outlined here can be extended to other the period 2002–2004 in connection with PhD research
Indian Coalfields occurring in similar geological settings. at Indian School of Mines, Dhanbad. The second author
However, in selection of actual drill hole location at acknowledges the support received in the Department of
the drill site, non-geological factors such as topography, Applied Geology, Indian School of Mines, Dhanbad.
site access, permissions from governments and land The authors express thanks to the referees for their
owners, existing infrastructures, archeological monu- invaluable suggestions in improving the overall quality
ments etc. influence the possible sitting of drill holes. of the paper.
Taking into account these factors, ideal drill hole
locations on the basis of a model may require modifica- References
tion. In particular, choice of drill hole spacing on the
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Authors
10. P. R. Paul, B. S. Prasad and B. C. Sarkar: ‘Basin tectonic studies Dr Kalyan Saikia is a research fellow in the Department
for rationalisation of structural interpolation in coal exploration’, of Applied Geology, Indian School of Mines, Dhanbad.
Mintech., 2003, 24, (4), 54–56.
He holds BSc (Hons) in Geology from Gauhati
11. A. B. Dutt, R. K. Dutt, R. N. Das and S. K. Kar: ‘Indian coal
resource classification system via-à-vis United Nations
University and MSc in Applied Geology from the
International Framework Classification’, Proc. Seminar on Indian School of Mines (ISM), Dhanbad. He did his
‘Implementation of UNFC’, Agra, India, November 2002, PhD research on Geostatistics at ISM, Dhanbad.
Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (FIMI), 21–29. Dr Bhabesh C. Sarkar is Associate Professor in the
12. ,Anon. http:// coal.nic.in/reserve2.htm Department of Applied Geology at Indian School of
13. S. K. Chand: ‘Can domestic coal continue to remain the king’,
TERI Newswire, 2005, 11, (7) (available at: http://www.teriin.org/
Mines, Dhanbad. He holds BSc (Hons) and MSc. from
features/art240.htm). the Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur and PhD
14. Y. C. Kim, F. Martino and I. Chopra: ‘Application of geostatistics and DIC in Mining Geostatistics from Imperial College,
in a coal deposit’, Min. Eng., 1981, 33, (11), 1476–1481. University of London. He had previously served as
15. I. Clark: ‘Practical geostatistics’; 1982, London, Applied Science. geologist in Mineral Exploration Corporation Ltd,
16. B. C. Sarkar, J. O’leary and A. J. B. Mill: ‘An integrated approach
Published by Maney Publishing (c) IOM Communications Ltd
22 Applied Earth Science (Trans. Inst. Min. Metall. B) 2006 VOL 115 NO 1