Regresion Lineal

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Forecasting Simple linear regression

If this is trend analysis then simply enter the past demands in the demand
column. If this is causal regression then enter the y,x pairs with y first and
enter a new value of x at the bottom in order to forecast y.

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis


Period Demand (y) Period(x) Forecast Error Absolute Squared
Period 1 760 2.7 706.0811367 53.91886326 53.91886326 2907.243815
Period 2 510 3.5 498.3381384 11.66186161 11.66186161 135.9990163
Period 3 980 2 887.8562603 92.1437397 92.1437397 8490.468767
Period 4 320 3.1 602.2096376 -282.209638 282.2096376 79642.27953
Period 5 480 4.05 355.514827 124.485173 124.485173 15496.55829
Total 6.82121E-13 564.4192751 106672.5494
Intercept 1407.21376 Average 1.36424E-13 112.883855 21334.50988
Slope -259.678748 Bias MAD MSE
SE 188.5670079
Forecast 758.016886 2.5
Correlation 1200
-0.7781394
1000
Coefficient of determination 0.605500927
800
600
400
200
0
1.5 2 2.5

Column
Tracking Signal
Abs Pct Err Cum error Cum Abs Err Mad Track Signal (Cum error/MAD)
07.09% 53.91886326 53.91886326 53.91886326 1
02.29% 65.58072488 65.58072488 32.79036244 2
09.40% 157.7244646 157.7244646 52.57482153 3
88.19% -124.485173 439.9341021 109.9835255 -1.13185291
25.93% 6.82121E-13 564.4192751 112.883855 6.04268E-15
132.91%
26.58%
MAPE

Regression
200
000
800
600
400
200
0
1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

Column B Linear (Column B)

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