t SUSCEPTIBLES INFECTED RECOVERED DEAD INFECTIONS RECOVERIES

0 99,999 1 0 0
1 99,999 1 0 0 0 0
2 99,998 2 0 0 0 0
3 99,998 2 0 0 1 0
4 99,997 3 0 0 1 0
5 99,996 3 1 0 1 0
6 99,995 4 1 0 1 0
7 99,993 5 1 0 1 0
8 99,992 7 2 0 2 0
9 99,989 8 2 0 2 1
10 99,986 11 3 0 3 1
11 99,983 13 4 0 4 1
12 99,978 17 5 0 5 1
13 99,972 22 6 0 6 1
14 99,964 27 8 0 8 2
15 99,955 35 10 1 10 2
16 99,943 44 13 1 12 3
17 99,927 56 16 1 15 3
18 99,908 70 21 1 19 4
19 99,883 89 26 1 25 6
20 99,852 113 33 2 31 7
21 99,813 143 42 2 39 9
22 99,763 181 53 3 50 11
23 99,700 229 68 4 63 14
24 99,620 290 86 5 80 18
25 99,519 367 109 6 101 23
26 99,391 464 138 7 128 29
27 99,229 587 175 9 161 37
28 99,026 742 221 12 204 46
29 98,769 937 280 15 257 59
30 98,445 1,183 354 19 324 74
31 98,037 1,492 448 24 408 94
32 97,525 1,880 566 30 512 118
33 96,883 2,365 715 38 642 149
34 96,081 2,970 902 47 802 187
35 95,082 3,721 1,137 60 999 235
36 93,843 4,650 1,431 75 1,239 295
37 92,314 5,792 1,800 95 1,529 368
38 90,441 7,182 2,258 119 1,873 458
39 88,165 8,859 2,827 149 2,276 569
40 85,427 10,859 3,528 186 2,738 701
41 82,174 13,207 4,388 231 3,253 860
42 78,367 15,914 5,433 286 3,807 1,046
43 73,990 18,965 6,693 352 4,377 1,260
44 69,061 22,313 8,195 431 4,929 1,501
45 63,644 25,871 9,961 524 5,417 1,766
46 57,851 29,508 12,009 632 5,793 2,048
47 51,838 33,062 14,345 755 6,013 2,336
48 45,794 36,351 16,962 893 6,044 2,617
49 39,915 39,200 19,840 1,044 5,879 2,878
50 34,381 41,468 22,944 1,208 5,534 3,103
51 29,330 43,063 26,226 1,380 5,051 3,283
52 24,848 43,957 29,636 1,560 4,483 3,409
53 20,964 44,177 33,115 1,743 3,883 3,480
54 17,665 43,795 36,613 1,927 3,299 3,497
55 14,904 42,906 40,080 2,109 2,761 3,467
56 12,618 41,617 43,477 2,288 2,286 3,397
57 10,737 40,030 46,771 2,462 1,881 3,295
58 9,195 38,236 49,940 2,628 1,542 3,169
59 7,931 36,314 52,967 2,788 1,264 3,027
60 6,894 34,325 55,842 2,939 1,037 2,875
61 6,041 32,317 58,560 3,082 853 2,717
62 5,336 30,329 61,118 3,217 705 2,558
63 4,751 28,387 63,519 3,343 585 2,401
64 4,262 26,510 65,767 3,461 488 2,247
65 3,853 24,710 67,865 3,572 410 2,099
66 3,507 22,997 69,821 3,675 346 1,956
67 3,214 21,373 71,642 3,771 293 1,821
68 2,964 19,842 73,334 3,860 250 1,692
69 2,750 18,403 74,905 3,942 214 1,571
70 2,566 17,054 76,362 4,019 184 1,457
71 2,406 15,792 77,712 4,090 160 1,350
72 2,267 14,615 78,962 4,156 139 1,250
73 2,146 13,518 80,119 4,217 121 1,157
74 2,040 12,497 81,189 4,273 106 1,070
75 1,947 11,549 82,179 4,325 93 989
76 1,865 10,669 83,093 4,373 82 914
77 1,792 9,853 83,938 4,418 73 845
78 1,727 9,096 84,718 4,459 65 780
79 1,670 8,396 85,438 4,497 58 720
80 1,618 7,748 86,102 4,532 51 665
81 1,572 7,148 86,716 4,564 46 613
82 1,531 6,593 87,282 4,594 41 566
83 1,494 6,081 87,804 4,621 37 522
84 1,461 5,608 88,285 4,647 33 481
85 1,431 5,170 88,729 4,670 30 444
86 1,404 4,767 89,138 4,691 27 409
87 1,379 4,394 89,516 4,711 25 377
88 1,357 4,050 89,863 4,730 22 348
89 1,337 3,733 90,184 4,747 20 321
90 1,318 3,440 90,480 4,762 18 296
91 1,302 3,170 90,752 4,776 17 272
92 1,286 2,921 91,003 4,790 15 251
93 1,273 2,691 91,234 4,802 14 231
94 1,260 2,480 91,447 4,813 13 213
95 1,249 2,285 91,643 4,823 11 196
96 1,238 2,105 91,824 4,833 10 181
97 1,229 1,939 91,991 4,842 10 167
98 1,220 1,786 92,144 4,850 9 153
 99 1,212 1,645 92,286 4,857 8 141
100 1,204 1,515 92,416 4,864 7 130
101 1,198 1,396 92,536 4,870 7 120
102 1,192 1,286 92,647 4,876 6 111
103 1,186 1,184 92,748 4,881 6 102
104 1,181 1,091 92,842 4,886 5 94
105 1,176 1,005 92,928 4,891 5 86
106 1,172 925 93,008 4,895 4 80
107 1,168 852 93,081 4,899 4 73
108 1,164 785 93,149 4,903 4 67
109 1,161 723 93,211 4,906 3 62
110 1,158 666 93,268 4,909 3 57
111 1,155 613 93,321 4,912 3 53
112 1,152 564 93,369 4,914 3 49
113 1,150 520 93,414 4,917 2 45
114 1,148 479 93,455 4,919 2 41
115 1,145 441 93,493 4,921 2 38
116 1,144 406 93,528 4,923 2 35
117 1,142 374 93,560 4,924 2 32
118 1,140 344 93,590 4,926 2 30
119 1,139 317 93,617 4,927 1 27
120 1,138 292 93,642 4,929 1 25
121 1,136 269 93,665 4,930 1 23
122 1,135 248 93,686 4,931 1 21
123 1,134 228 93,706 4,932 1 20
124 1,133 210 93,724 4,933 1 18
125 1,132 193 93,741 4,934 1 17
126 1,132 178 93,756 4,935 1 15
127 1,131 164 93,770 4,935 1 14
128 1,130 151 93,783 4,936 1 13
129 1,130 139 93,795 4,937 1 12
130 1,129 128 93,806 4,937 1 11
131 1,128 118 93,816 4,938 1 10
132 1,128 109 93,825 4,938 0 9
133 1,127 100 93,834 4,939 0 9
134 1,127 92 93,842 4,939 0 8
135 1,127 85 93,849 4,939 0 7
136 1,126 78 93,856 4,940 0 7
137 1,126 72 93,862 4,940 0 6
138 1,126 66 93,868 4,940 0 6
139 1,125 61 93,873 4,941 0 5
140 1,125 56 93,878 4,941 0 5
141 1,125 52 93,882 4,941 0 4
142 1,125 48 93,886 4,941 0 4
143 1,125 44 93,890 4,942 0 4
144 1,124 40 93,894 4,942 0 3
145 1,124 37 93,897 4,942 0 3
146 1,124 34 93,900 4,942 0 3
147 1,124 31 93,902 4,942 0 3
148 1,124 29 93,905 4,942 0 2
149 1,124 27 93,907 4,942 0 2
150 1,124 25 93,909 4,943 0 2
151 1,123 23 93,911 4,943 0 2
152 1,123 21 93,913 4,943 0 2
153 1,123 19 93,915 4,943 0 2
154 1,123 18 93,916 4,943 0 2
155 1,123 16 93,918 4,943 0 1
156 1,123 15 93,919 4,943 0 1
157 1,123 14 93,920 4,943 0 1
158 1,123 13 93,921 4,943 0 1
159 1,123 12 93,922 4,943 0 1
160 1,123 11 93,923 4,943 0 1
161 1,123 10 93,924 4,943 0 1
162 1,123 9 93,925 4,943 0 1
163 1,123 8 93,925 4,943 0 1
164 1,123 8 93,926 4,943 0 1
165 1,123 7 93,927 4,944 0 1
166 1,123 7 93,927 4,944 0 1
167 1,123 6 93,928 4,944 0 1
168 1,123 6 93,928 4,944 0 0
169 1,122 5 93,929 4,944 0 0
170 1,122 5 93,929 4,944 0 0
171 1,122 4 93,930 4,944 0 0
172 1,122 4 93,930 4,944 0 0
173 1,122 4 93,930 4,944 0 0
174 1,122 3 93,930 4,944 0 0
175 1,122 3 93,931 4,944 0 0
176 1,122 3 93,931 4,944 0 0
177 1,122 3 93,931 4,944 0 0
178 1,122 2 93,931 4,944 0 0
179 1,122 2 93,932 4,944 0 0
180 1,122 2 93,932 4,944 0 0
181 1,122 2 93,932 4,944 0 0
182 1,122 2 93,932 4,944 0 0
183 1,122 2 93,932 4,944 0 0
184 1,122 1 93,932 4,944 0 0
185 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
186 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
187 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
188 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
189 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
190 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
191 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
192 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
193 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
194 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
195 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
196 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
197 1,122 1 93,933 4,944 0 0
198 1,122 0 93,933 4,944 0 0
199 1,122 0 93,933 4,944 0 0
200 1,122 0 93,933 4,944 0 0
DEADTHS
Parameters
0 Average duration of illness: 12
0 Daily interaction rate: 2.5
0 Contagion probability: 14%
0 Recovery Rate: 95%
0 Death Rate: 5%
0
0
0 Totals
0 Total infected population: 98,878
0 Total recovered population: 93,933
0 Total dead population: 4,944
0 Unaffected population: 1,122
0
0 Max simultaneous affected population: 44,177
0
0 Max daily infections: 6,044
0 Max daily recoveries: 3,497
0 Max daily deaths: 184
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
4
5
6
8
10
12
16
19
24
30
37
45
55
66
79
93
108
123
138
151
163
173
179
183
184
182
179
173
167
159
151
143
135
126
118
110
103
96
89
83
77
71
66
61
56
52
48
44
41
38
35
32
30
27
25
23
22
20
18
17
16
14
13
12
11
10
10
9
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
SIR Plot (Susceptibles, Infected, Recovered, Deads)

SIR
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91 101111121131141151161171181191201

SUSCEPTIBLES INFECTED
RECOVERED DEAD

Plots

Evolution
7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0
1 10 19 28 37 46 55 64 73 82 91 100109118127136145154163172181190199

INFECTIONS RECOVERIES DEADTHS