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Strategic Internet Network Consultant Proposal
Strategic Internet Network Consultant Proposal
Strategic Internet Network Consultant Proposal
At the direction of the Mayor and City Council we are considering a “Community
Network” built, owned and operated by Mapleton City thus we are looking for a
Consultant to provide us with a Comprehensive Final Plan and
Recommendations.
Work Process and Timeline: The Attached work plan documents the work
process and deliverables for each project phase. The work shown in the
Attachment must be performed over the course of ten (10) weeks. All work
products will be owned by Mapleton City. The submitted RFP must describe three
closely related areas:
1. Approximately how many hours per week will the Consultant need to complete
the Attached Work Plan;
2. What will be the hourly rate and estimated total billing for the Proposal; and
Mapleton City
Attn: Camille Brown, City Recorder
125 West 400 North
Mapleton, UT 84664
Page 1 of 2
Work Plan for Strategic Internet Network Consultant
Page 2 of 2
Broadband Feasibility Study
for
Mapleton City
June 2020
SCOPE:
1. Market Analysis
Quantitative market research
Demand estimation
2. Technology Strategy, Design, and Capital Budget
Reference architecture
Sample designs
3. Product Strategy
Data and Voice services
Current and near-term multi-Gig offerings
4. Potential Business Models & Funding Sources
5. Pro Forma Financial Analysis
Revenue, Opex, and Capex detail
Pro forma outcomes
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 2
Residential Quantitative Survey
The quantitative research process utilized both subject matter and functional expertise across
multiple contractors by specialty:
Uptown Services: Subject expertise and study data needs
SDR Consulting (Rick Hunter): Research expert overseeing design and execution (23 years experience
with 200k completed research projects)
American Directions Research Group: Survey fielding and data collection (7 US-based call centers with
capacity to complete 85k person-hours of call interviews per month)
Prairie Research Group (James Wolken): Online survey programming, crosstab analysis and production
of output banners (25 years experience)
Household Income
Census Sample Head of Household Age
32% (Unweighted Sample)
30%
27% Census Raw Sample Weighted
26%
15%
12% 13%
11% 10% 10%
7%
5%
1%
Up to $25k $25k - $50k - $100k - $150k - > $200k Refused < 25 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 - 74 75+
$50k $100k $150k $200k
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 6
FTTP Residential Quantitative Survey
Current Broadband Services Usage
Incidence of Internet Households
97% of Mapleton households subscribe to 0% 2%
1%
Internet service at home, with 78% via a 3%
wired connection 16%
Comcast has 70% market share
About 1 in 2 households use their home 78%
Internet service to perform job tasks 5 or
more days per week
Internet Market Share Other Wired Connection Fixed Wireless
(Households) 1% Satellite Cellular Data Plan
Satellite Free WiFi Do Not Use
3% CentraCom
0%
Fixed Using Internet at Home for Work Tasks
Wireless
17% 1%
CenturyLink
9% 7% 16%
53%
Comcast 11% 12%
70%
90% 90%
80% 80%
70% 70%
60% 60%
50% 50%
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
Up to $50k $50k - $100k $100k - $150k >$150k 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 - 74 75+
Do Not Use Free WiFi Cellular Data Plan Do Not Use Free WiFi Cellular Data Plan
Satellite Fixed Wireless Wired Connection Satellite Fixed Wireless Wired Connection
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 9
Stated Download Speed
33% of households do not know what (Wired Internet Connection Only)
35% 33%
speed they subscribe to
30%
About 1 in 2 Mapleton households 26%
25%
state they subscribe to 100M or less
20%
Monthly spending averages $62 15%
15% 12%
9%
10%
5%
5%
0%
Up to 15M Up to 25M Up to Up to Up to 1G Don't
100M 500M Know
Monthly Internet Spending
40%
29%
30%
17% 19%
20%
14%
12%
10%
4% 3%
1%
0%
<$25 $25-$50 $50-$75 $75-$100 $100-$150 >$150 Bundled Don't Know
20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 - 74 75+
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 11
Across all of Mapleton households, only 19% have all 3 services from a ‘single’ provider. This is
being driven by wireless substitution and cord cutting (dropping Traditional Pay TV).
Ramifications to FTTP strategy include:
Limited and decreasing need to offer video service as households abandon cable TV
57% of Mapleton households have ‘cut the cord’ and do not use Traditional Pay TV
Higher bandwidth demand to accommodate video streaming over the broadband connection (next
slide)
Satellite TV
17%
Online Only
26% Have All 3 From Single Provider
Have All 3 Services From Multiple Providers
Do Not Have All 3 Services
Monthly Household Data Usage Before and After Cord Cutting Event
(OpenVault, August 2019))
500
Cord Cutting Event
450
400 70% More Data Usage
Monthly Data Usage (GBs)
350
14% More Data Usage
300
250
200 Cord Cutters
100
50
0
Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19
0 devices: 1% 60%
1-4 devices: 20%
40%
5-9 devices: 46%
10+ devices: 33% 20%
0%
20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 - 74 75+
The number of connected devices
increases with household income
Connected Devices by Income
0 1-4 5-9 10+
Middle-aged households (35-54)
have more connected devices, 100%
likely due to the presence of 80%
children
60%
40%
20%
0%
Up to $50k $50k - $100k $100k - $150k >$150k
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 15
FTTP Residential Quantitative Survey
Satisfaction & Attribute Importance
Satisfaction Rating by Service/Service Provider
(Mean Rating on a 1-10 Scale)
10 8.5
7.7
8 6.6 6.9
6.2
6
0
Internet Telephone Video Electric Water
Satisfaction Rating by Service/Service Provider
(Percent Rating a ‘9’ or ’10’)
57%
60%
45%
50%
40% 30% 31%
30% 22%
20%
10%
0%
Internet Telephone Video Electric Water
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 17
The chart below compares the results of this study with over 30 other markets where Uptown has
completed similar quantitative research:
Ohio (3) Washington North Carolina Oregon (2)
Iowa Wisconsin Kansas (2) Alabama
Georgia Oklahoma (2) New York Arkansas
Tennessee (4) Michigan Kentucky Colorado (7)
Utah
5
Video Internet Telephone Utility
9/23/2020 18
While reliability and price are always important, Internet speed is perceived as very important
in Mapleton. Bundling and Brand are secondary in importance to other attributes…
4.8
5 4.5 4.5
4.2
3 2.6
1.9
2
0
Brand Service Bundle Customer Price Internet Speed Reliability
Service
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 19
Satisfaction Rating by Internet Attribute
(Mean Rating on a 1-10 Scale)
8
6.8 6.7
6.3 6.1
5.9
6 5.2 5.3
4.6
2
Price Service Reliability Speed
Q29: “What would you like to see most improved from your current broadband
services?”
47%
Lower Prices 37%
26%
Increased Internet Speed 37%
13%
Improved Reliability 13%
3%
Customer Service 3% Total Sample
3% Definitely Subscribe
Service Availability 5%
6%
Nothing 4%
Q27: “Among the following list of potential providers, who would you prefer to
receive high-speed Internet service from?”
47.1%
31.7%
13.9%
7%
5%
0% 3% 5%
Internet Phone
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 24
Uptown uses a ‘Likert Scale’ with Overstatement Adjustment
Conservative research techniques from the Packaged Goods sector
Clearly specify purchase intent vs. “interest” and removes overstatement bias
Example: “How likely would you be to subscribe?”
Definitely Would 21.5% x 70% = 15.0%
Probably Would 35.6% x 30% = 10.7%
Might/Might Not 20.0% x 10% = 2.0%
Probably Would Not 10.4% 27.7% = Penetration Estimate
Definitely Would Not 4.4%
Don't Know 8.1%
5%
21%
1G @ $70
2G @ $100
4G @ $150
74%
0%
Market A
9/23/2020
Market B
Market C
Market D
Market E
Market F
Market G
2005
Market H
Market I
Market J
Market K
Market L
Market M
Market N
Video
Market O
Market P
Market Q
Market R
Internet
Market S
Actual vs
Research
Market T
Market U
(Across all Tested Price Points)
Market V
Phone
Longmont
Market X
Market Y
Market Z
Ft Collins
10% Less
2015
Tested @
Market AB
Market AC
Market AD
Market AE
Market AF
Market AG
$70
Market AH
Tested @
2020
Salem
27
Mapleton
Six out of ten Mapleton households support the issuance of a revenue bond to help fund the
new fiber network…
Q30: “Without raising taxes, would you support the City of Mapleton issuing a Revenue
Bond to fund the construction of the fiber network, if the service subscription revenues were
used to pay off the bond?”
I am neutral 16%
Don't Know 9%
9/23/2020 28
Overall, 97% of households use Internet at home with Comcast as the dominant provider
Improved Internet speed and lower prices are the predominant need for improvement with
Forecasted residential take rates of 40% (Internet) and 10% (voice) with Gig Internet at $70
Strong interest in multi-Gig tiers at higher price points resulting in ARPU of $80
The City is the preferred provider versus over the current incumbent providers
Nearly 2 out of 3 households support the issuance of a revenue bond to fund construction
September 20 29
Technology Analysis and Capital Budgeting
Evaluation of Current Network Capabilities
City of Mapleton lacks applicable outside plant infrastructure
Outside plant = aerial and underground pathway systems
City does not operate a municipal electric system
Rocky Mountain Power owns all utility poles in the City
No existing fiber infrastructure
City does not own or operate a fiber network currently
There are limited fiber-based carrier options in the area
Proximity to Spanish Fork is greatest asset
City can easily connect via fiber to Spanish Fork
Interconnecting facilities would be part of any last mile FTTP build
Equipment T
Node
Neighborhood
Node B
Aggregation
Switch
* Preliminary design calls for (16) Nodes within the City limits of Mapleton
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC
Technology Analysis
Sample Designs
100% Active Ethernet standards based
Based on SFCN network architecture
Delivers 40Gig capacity to every neighborhood node
Delivers up to 10Gig capacity from each neighborhood node to any
premises
Distribution fiber network allocation (from each node)
One fiber per home and business from each node for FTTP
At least 10% spare fibers in each distribution cable
Feeder fiber network allocation (to each node)
At least 12 fibers per node to feed FTTP equipment
At least 10% spare fibers in each feeder cable
Design assumes the use of standard cable technology
Single jacket, light armor cable for aerial (com zone)
Single jacket all dielectric for underground
60M $55.00
CenturyLink 5M DSL
100M $65.00
Prices reflect subscription to Internet service at non-promotional rates. CenturyLink pricing per centurylink.com as of March 2020.
Comcast pricing from xfinity.com as of March 2020.
Prices reflect subscription to Internet service at non-promotional rates. UBB pricing from utahbroadband.com as of March 2020. Rise
Broadband pricing from risebroadband.com as of March 2020. CentraCom pricing from centracom.com as of March 2020.
2G / 2G $100
$345 for Media Converter
4G / 4G $150
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
$1.20
1000 $1.00
$0.92
$0.65
$0.55
500 $0.35 $0.27
$0.15 $0.10 $0.15 $0.07 $0.05 $0.04
0 $0.00
Comcast Comcast Comcast Comcast Comcast Comcast Comcast CL 60M CL 100M FTTP FTTP 1G FTTP 2G FTTP 4G
25M 100M 200M 300M 600M 1G 2G 50M
Throughput $/Meg
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 49
Media Converter
Internet Tier Download / Upload Monthly Price Model(s) / Cost
2G / 2G $130
$345 for Media Converter
4G / 4G $250
• City funds capex for fiber build (FTTP), working capital, and all operating
Ownership Role of
expenses
the City
• City is 100% owner of the FTTP system.
Operating Role of the • City is the service provider and performs some administrative functions (e.g.
City billing), general management, and on-site account support.
Salary
Position Title Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5
(unloaded)
System GM $125,000 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Comm./MDU Account Manager $65,000 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Network Engineer $75,000 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
CSRs $50,000 - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TSRs $55,000 - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Install Techs $55,000 - - - 1.0 1.0
Maintenance Techs $65,000 - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Service Techs $55,000 - 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Total Headcount: Stand-Alone Model 2.5 7.0 7.0 8.0 8.0
Total Headcount: Operating Partner Model 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
• Monthly fee per connected premises (household or business) of $15 (Years 1-5)
Revenue and then $25 (Years 6-10) as contra-revenue
• Years 11-20: Insource all operations (baseline) or continue at reduced fee
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Year
Residential Voice Residential Internet Commercial Voice Commercial Data
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 60
Subscribers by Service
(End of Period)
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Residential Internet Residential Voice Commercial Data Commercial Voice High Cap Accounts
Varies with
Other Fees IP Addresses: $.50 each/month
subscriber growth
$40.00
Bandwidth Required
80,000
Bandwidth $/Sub $35.00
Bandwidth $/Subscriber
$30.00
Total Bandwidth (Mbps)
60,000
$25.00
$20.00
40,000
$15.00
$10.00
20,000
$5.00
0 $0.00
Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10 Yr 11 Yr 12 Yr 13 Yr 14 Yr 15 Yr 16 Yr 17 Yr 18 Yr 19 Yr 20
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 66
$1.6 100% $0.10 100%
Internet Revenue & COGS Voice Revenue & COGS
(in millions) 90% $0.09 (in millions) 90%
$1.4
$0.0 0% $0.00 0%
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
Year 11
Year 12
Year 13
Year 14
Year 15
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
COGS Gross Margin $ Gross Margin % COGS Gross Margin $ Gross Margin %
Software
Fiber Management & Network Management: $50k
Software
OSS/BSS: $250k
Vehicles
Service Vans Per Install Technician: 1.0
Heavy Service Trucks Per Maintenance Technician: 1.0
Service vans: 1 at $45k each
Heavy Service Trucks (non-insulated): 1 at $90k each
Install Rigs: 1 per Install Technician at $20k each
Vehicles replaced at 6 year intervals
Media Converters
$3,500,000
$3,000,000
Start-Up
$2,500,000 Tasks
$2,000,000
$1,500,000 Electronics
MC Upgrade
Upgrade
$1,000,000
Insource
Network Operations
$500,000 Construction
$0
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15
Outside Plant Construction Backup Power
Other Capital Costs Back Office Systems
FTTP MCs Fiber Drop and Powering
Engineering & Inspection Services Vehicles
9/23/2020 Study conducted by Uptown Services, LLC 75
Pro Forma Outcomes
1. Equity
City provides $1,000,000 contribution in Year 1
As equity, no imputed interest rate
2. Long Term Bond
Single round of financing (Year 1) via 20-year tax exempt bond
Backed by taxing authority of the City (sales tax & energy sales tax)
Interest rate of 2.75% and five years of capitalized interest
Principal payments starting in Year 6
2.0% issuance cost, $0 reserve requirement
3. Working Capital Loan
Provides for cash needs not covered by long term financing
15 year term with interest rate of 2.0% based upon current PTIF* rate
Interest accumulates over first 5 years with Year 6 balloon payment
Level payments begin in Year 6 and complete in Year 15
$0.0
($2.0)
($4.0)
($6.0)
($8.0)
Net Cash is
Negative in Year 20
($10.0)
Line of Credit Operating Income Debt Service Net Cash Revenue
9/23/2020 78
Baseline View: Scenario: Breakeven Scenario: Breakeven Scenario: 1G at $50
Input/Outcome Insource in Year 11 Penetration Cost/Passing (Longmont Strategy)
Years 1-5: $15 Years 1-5: $15 Years 1-5: $15 Years 1-5: $15
SFCN Fee Per Sub/Month
Years 6-10: $25 Years 6-10: $25 Years 6-10: $25 Years 6-10: $25