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Strategy
Professor Neil Kay
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Competitive Strategy
Neil Kay, BA, PhD, FRSA
Professor Neil Kay is a Professorial Fellow at Edinburgh Business School and Professor (Emeritus)
Economics Dept., at the University of Strathclyde. He is the author of six books and numerous articles on
industrial economics and the economics of corporate strategies.
At Edinburgh Business School he has written the Competitive Strategy elective, which he teaches in the
distance-learning and on-campus modes. He is also a Senior Mentor for the DBA.
He is an Academic Associate for the Centre of International Business and Management (CIBAM) at the
University of Cambridge. In a long and distinguished academic career, he has taught at the University of
California Irvine, the European University in Florence, Heriot-Watt University and the University of
Strathclyde.
Professor Neil Kay has acted as adviser and consultant to private and public organisations, including a
series of missions in the Balkans on behalf of the United Nations Management Development Programme
to help reform post-communist management education and training at university level and on executive
short courses.
First Published in Great Britain in 2001.
© Neil Kay 2001, 2014
The right of Professor Neil Kay to be identified as Author of this Work has been asserted in accordance
with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved; students may print and download these materials for their own private study only and
not for commercial use. Except for this permitted use, no materials may be used, copied, shared, lent,
hired or resold in any way, without the prior consent of Edinburgh Business School.
Contents
Index I/1
The module will help set the context for much of the analysis and discussion in later
modules. It introduces the basic features of the strategic arena in which the firm
operates. We shall first look at the relevance and significance of life-cycle effects
over time. Then we shall see how the Five Forces Framework can provide a basis
for systematically analysing the environment in which the firm operates at any given
stage in the life cycle. We also look at how game theory can help provide useful
insights to aid strategic thinking, while at the same time warning against uncritical
use of this technique in strategic planning.
Learning Objectives
After completing this module, you should be able to:
explain how critical points in the industry life cycle can transform the competi-
tive environment of the firm;
understand the implications of different stages in the life cycle for competitive
strategy;
describe the Five Forces Framework and explain its implications for strategy
formulation;
use the Five Forces to analyse the context in which individual competitive
strategies are framed;
explain the contribution and limitations of game theory in strategy formulation;
describe how strategic moves can help a firm gain an advantage in the competi-
tive battlefield.
1.1 Introduction
In this module we shall set the context for much of our subsequent discussion of
competitive strategies. You might say that in this module we are beginning to look
at the early pages of the rule book for a game of strategy – what are the important
features of the strategic battlefield, what strategies are possible, what constrains
strategies, and so on. However, the rule book for competitive strategy as set out in
strategic management textbooks is not as straightforward and clear-cut as for other
games of strategy such as chess and checkers. This is a rule book where some rules
are quite clear, but others operate some of the time only. It is a rule book where the
interpretation of some rules is hotly contested, and a rule book where whole
sections may be difficult to read or are missing altogether.
Just to make things more difficult, there are competing rule books written by
different observers, many of which are constantly revised, and some of which are
more unhelpful than helpful. It has been remarked, perhaps with some truth, that
the worst thing that can happen to a firm is to be cited as an example of the rules
that should be followed for competitive success. This often merely precedes the
rapid fall from grace of these same firms in the marketplace.
The history of IBM over the eighties and nineties is a good example of the dan-
gers of trying to produce clear and precise rules for competitive success. In the early
eighties IBM frequently appeared on lists of the most excellently managed corpora-
tions. Ten years later, its obituary was being written many times, often with stern
observations about how the company had become a lumbering dinosaur that was
doomed to failure, decline and probable elimination. Ten years later, at the turn of
the millennium, IBM was being generally written up as a nimble and thriving
company back where it belonged at the forefront of the information revolution.
IBM illustrates the point that firms are often both more vulnerable and more
resilient than they appear at first sight. They can be more vulnerable than they
appear because the apparently rock-solid foundations of their current strategy may
be quickly blown away by external forces such as technological change. They can be
more resilient than they appear because the essence of a company is not bricks and
mortar but people and socially constructed systems. While these systems may often
display features that may be more rigid and difficult to change than bricks and
mortar, they can also show a flexibility and adaptability that is not captured by the
notion that some companies have discovered a recipe for success carefully passed
down by successive managerial generations. Recipes for success change, and the
firm that fails to come to terms with that point is perhaps the only type of firm that
is necessarily doomed to failure in the long run.
However, that does not mean to say that it is not possible to develop useful
analyses for competitive strategy, merely that we have to be careful about coming up
with the kind of ‘ten surefire recipes for success’ that clutter up book stands in
airport lounges. What can be possible is to establish which conditions are likely to
favour which kinds of strategies. It is a bit like earthquake prediction. We might
learn from studying the effects of earthquakes what house-building strategies could
be adopted in earthquake regions (e.g. build low, build with strong materials, or
avoid building anything). However, you have to look at each case in turn to decide
which strategy or mix of strategies should be adopted in each case. Also the rule
book can change; e.g. the prohibition ‘do not build high buildings in earthquake
regions’ has been at least partially modified in recent years through innovations in
building materials.
ties and patterns that planners can draw on to improve their decision making in the
respective contexts.
An important tool in the strategist’s armoury is the notion of an industry life cycle.
Industries may have a life cycle just like biological organisms, though we should be
careful not to stretch the analogy too far. The eventual decline and death of
biological organisms is inevitable, and indeed statistically predictable using actuarial
tables. However, the same cannot be said for social organisations such as firms, or
industries (which are simply groupings of firms or parts of firms). Nevertheless, for
those industries that do decline it is often possible to identify some features that
characterise this stage, just as it is often possible to identify features that characterise
other stages in industries’ growth and development.
The growth rate of an industry should not be thought of as necessarily a passive
element that firms have to adjust to. A firm may be in a position to influence the
industry growth rates and the course of the life cycle. Two main techniques for this
are the following:
Pricing strategies in the introductory phase. An innovator may decide to go
for (low) penetration price and high initial growth, or for (high) skimming price
and slower initial growth. A penetration price is more likely if an innovator has a
deep pocket and is able to sustain initial losses, and if capturing a high market
share is seen as providing a major source of competitive advantage, for example
due to economies of scale. Amazon.com has pursued a penetration price strategy
in some of its Internet markets. A skimming price strategy is more likely if firms
wish to recoup expensive R&D expenditure and set-up costs, and if it is ex-
pected that competitors will soon enter this market anyway. Skimming prices are
often observed in consumer electronics markets.
Life-cycle stretching and renewal. Firms individually or collectively may
extend the life of an industry through innovation and marketing improvements.
The invention of the bagless vacuum cleaner by Dyson revitalised a market
which had generally been regarded as rather settled and dull for many years.
However, apart from these special cases, firms may have limited opportunities in
practice to affect the course of the life cycle and instead may have to learn to adjust
to it. The life cycle will typically follow the major stages shown in Figure 1.1, but
some cycles may be more erratic and unstable than is suggested by the orderly
pattern in this figure. For example, some leisure industries such as professional
wrestling and cinema have waxed, waned and waxed again in terms of popularity
down the years, with trends often differing according to the national context.
0
Growth Maturity Decline
They still invest because they worry about the implications of losing market
share to rivals.
Critical point A may be uncertain and difficult to identify in advance (is the
decline in growth this year a temporary blip or the start of a new trend?).
The intensified competition represented by price wars and battles for market
share may still hit them badly, even if they have not overinvested.
Consequently, even though critical point A is still in the growth period of the
industry it may represent the start of a shake-out phase which may put wise and
myopic firms alike under severe pressure and push out weaker or unlucky firms.
At the same time some factors may counteract any tendency towards overin-
vestment and shake-out during slowdown in the growth phase. These include
the following:
Risk-aversion in the face of high uncertainty leading to cautious investment
plans.
It can take time before investment plans are put in place (e.g. possibly years
for new plant), so investment may still be lagging behind demand growth by
the time the turning point A is reached.
2. Critical point B. Point B represents a more obvious turning point in this
industry. The positive growth rates experienced by the industry so far have end-
ed and there is now zero growth (though ‘Maturity’ and the turning point may
not be represented by absolutely static sales, but may more generally be associat-
ed with a state in which the market grows no faster than the economy overall).
Up until now, firms could grow without necessarily taking market share from
each other. The importance of critical point B is that now the only ways that a
firm can increase market share are by reducing the number of its rivals (through
merger, acquisition or exit of rivals) or through taking market share from its
rivals. This is a zero sum game in which the gain to one player represent loss to
others, a consideration which can affect the nature and extent of rivalry in this
industry.
3. Critical point C. Critical point C can mark the start of a dog-eat-dog phase. In
Figure 1.1, if the firm wishes simply to maintain its current level of sales in the
decline phase, it can only do this by actually taking market share from other firms
in this industry. The same logic holds for its rivals in the industry. The fierceness
of the resulting struggle will depend on how easy it is for firms to exit the industry.
If there is little or nothing else it can do with the assets it has tied up in this sector
(i.e. there is little opportunity cost or sacrificed value from continuing the struggle
in this sector) then the battle may be long and bloody.
The real significance of each of these critical points is that history no longer serves as
a guide to future trends. At critical point A growth begins to slow down, at critical
point B growth ceases and at critical point C growth becomes negative. Does that
mean that strategists are wrong to base their plans on historical trends? No, because
what has happened in the recent past may often be a reasonably reliable source of
information about what is going to happen in the near future, and indeed it may be
the best information available. Strategists could make worse decisions by ignoring
these trends. Also, almost by definition, turning points are extreme and unusual events
that may be difficult or impossible to predict before they are encountered. The best
that might be hoped for is that the strategists are aware that the turning points will
eventually be encountered and that it is necessary to have appropriate strategies in
place beforehand. The worst time to think about building a lifeboat is when the ship is
sinking.
Growth stage
Relatively low price elasticity of demand for each brand. If there is one or a
few differentiated brands then price elasticity of demand for each brand may be
low because of (a) limited substitutability, (b) user unfamiliarity with respect to
what is the ‘right’ price and ignorance of alternatives, and/or (c) early pioneering
users more attracted by novelty and less concerned about price. These issues will
tend to reduce user sensitivity to price and give the firm a degree of discretion
over pricing policy in the early stages. These influences may be eroded or weak-
ened as the growth stage unfolds.
Relatively high price. Since the user is relatively insensitive to price, the
obvious temptation when the demand curve is not very price elastic is to price
high to maximise short-run profits. However, as noted above, the firm may price
low in order to maximise long-run profits. The problem with a high price in the
early stages is that it may (a) send a profit signal that makes the industry look
attractive to other firms and encourages entry, and/or (b) slow up growth, delay
exploitation of economies of scale and experience-curve advantages, and make it
easier for other firms to catch up.
High level of advertising to create demand for new product. Advertising has
been characterised as informative (letting the potential customer know the product
exists, and its characteristics) and persuasive (encouraging the customer to switch
brands). Once the product is established, the firm may be able to concentrate
largely on persuasive advertising, but to begin with the firm may have to make
considerable investment in informative advertising. Since this can mean having to
inform the customer about the new product or service as well as specific brands,
many of the gains from this advertising may accrue as external benefits to subse-
quent entrants who can take advantage of the product awareness created by early
advertising. The online services provider AOL heavily advertised the advantages of
electronic mail and other Internet services in the early days, and many smaller
firms and later entrants were able to build on the product awareness created by
AOL.
Profits low or negative to begin with, then increasing. Scale of the market
can be an important influence on profitability. In the early days, low demand
means low revenues and is liable to coincide with high investment demands (in
physical and human capital, and in advertising). Low scale of output also means
high operating costs since economies of scale and the experience-curve effects
cannot be fully exploited. How long the firm is willing or able to sustain a loss-
making position depends on a number of factors. One important factor can be
the expected time to achieve profitability (which in turn depends on expected
market growth and importance of scale effects on costs). The ability of the firm
to sustain a loss-making position is also important and can depend on the will-
ingness of the external capital market to see the firm through the initial loss-
making stages. This may depend on the industry as well as the perceived pro-
spects of the firm. Alternatively, a highly diversified firm such as General
Electric or 3M may be able to utilise its internal capital market to cross-subsidise
loss making in emerging areas that show promise.
Variety of product designs. Fluidity of consumer preferences can create
opportunities for variety in design and these tendencies can be reinforced if there
is a need to get round patent protection of rivals. In some cases, new opportunities
may be perceived and exploited by employees of existing companies leaving to
form their own spin-off company (as the history of Silicon Valley and the electron-
ics industry shows). Rapid growth can open up new market niches and these
benign conditions can mean that a variety of formats may persist, especially if the
strongest rivals find it difficult to meet existing demand.
Radical product and process innovation. R&D can be a major tool of
strategy here as firms search for ways to create sustainable sources of competi-
tive advantage. There may be parallel R&D activity in complementary
technologies, e.g. the emerging PC industry stimulated much R&D in peripheral
equipment such as printers and scanners.
Major demands for new investment. Emerging industries may be able to take
little advantage of the current capital investment. Equipment will probably have
to be created from scratch, possibly plant also, and if the industry demands quite
new skills and techniques, then there may have to be corresponding investment
in human capital in the form of training and on-the-job experience. The call
centre industry is an example of an industry that has had to make significant
upfront investments.
Product can be characterised by frequent bugs and defects. The novelty of
the tasks involved combined with strong pressure to meet rapidly expanding
demand can lead to a high rate of product failure. This is especially likely to be
the case with complex products as in the software industry.
Capacity shortages, at least in the early phase. As we discussed above in the
case of critical point A, the supply side may be less flexible than the demand side
and this may lead to capacity shortages when the industry is rapidly growing
(though there may be a countervailing danger of capacity overshooting after
critical point A). If all stages in the industry (such as components, intermediate
products and final goods) face similar problems, this has implications for com-
petitive positions since it is a seller’s market at each stage; buyers may face real
difficulties in getting supplies of materials, components and raw materials, while
sellers find it relatively easy to find a buyer for their relatively scarce product. This
can have implications for strategy; for example, buyers may vertically integrate
backwards to secure supplies. We shall explore this further in Module 4.
Ease of entry into this market. Fluid and rapidly growing markets, and the
relative lack of standardisation and brand advantage, can create opportunities for
entry.
Few firms. At least in the early stages there may be only one or a few firms,
though ease of entry can change this position rapidly.
Patchy or limited distribution. Distribution may be erratic or constrained; for
example, in the early days of cable television it was generally much easier to put
together the programmes than it was to deliver them to a geographically frag-
mented and heterogeneous market.
During the growth stage, the firm will have to make major choices that can affect its
future ability to compete in this market. Some actions, such as R&D strategy and
brand image, will influence the kind of market segment in which it may be able to
achieve competitive advantage. Other aspects of strategy, such as investment and
pricing decisions, may be oriented towards getting the firm into a strong position later
in the life cycle.
Maturity stage
Increasing price elasticity of demand. Better-informed consumers, increased
competition and moves towards standardisation can all increase the price elastici-
ty of demand, put pressure on margins and increase sensitivity to costs.
Falling price. Costs may fall for a variety of reasons, such as economies of
scale, experience curve effects, process improvements and competitive pressures
squeezing inefficiencies out of the system. When this is combined with increas-
ing competitive pressure on margins, prices may fall. The PC industry is a good
example.
Brand advertising important. Many of the positions and players are well
established, consumers are now well informed about the industry and the play-
ers, so advertising is oriented to defending and improving on established market
bases. If firms are still influenced by the high growth rates that were possible
during the growth phase, brand advertising can be expensive and fierce.
Profitability begins to decline. The later stages of the growth phase may have
seen firms moving into profitability, but now market entry and increasing stand-
ardisation both put pressure on margins.
Increased standardisation. Erosion of patent protection, increasing infor-
mation about what constitutes the ‘best’ design, and tightening competition
pushing out inferior designs can all contribute to a convergence on an industry
standard. This tendency will be reinforced if there are network effects in which
there are advantages in having a single technical specification (such as in key-
boards, in which the QWERTY format won out).
shot, or if firms are investing to attempt to capture market share and cancelling
out each other’s efforts.
Entry becomes more difficult and less attractive. It can now be difficult for
potential entrants to match incumbents’ advantages of low-cost operation and
brand loyalty which the latter may have been able to build up over several years
of experience and marketing efforts. Increased focus on brand advertising can
also help erect and reinforce barriers to entry.
Many firms. The market can now be quite crowded with a number of opera-
tors, unless economies of scale or other factors limit the number of firms that
can operate in this industry. The tightening competitive pressure may be reflect-
ed in the exit of some firms.
Well-established distribution channels. The maturity of the market is
reflected in the establishment of routine and orderly channels for distribution of
the product or service.
In short, at this stage many of the major actors are in place and well established, as
are the sources of competitive advantage for many of the products in this industry.
Maturity can be characterised by incremental changes, though the tightening
competitive environment can still lead to some exits. There is increasing cost
sensitivity.
Decline stage
In many respects the decline stage reflects an intensification of pressures and
influences which were beginning to make themselves felt in the growth stage.
Decline is usually triggered by an external event outside the firms’ direct control
such as technological substitution (e.g. fibre optics for copper) or changing demand
patterns and government regulation (e.g. tobacco). This lack of direct control over
the causes of decline can create difficulties for the firm that wishes to manage and
anticipate events during this period. However, it can be a mistake to think that
decline here is necessarily marked by the progressive weakening and eventual death
that tends to be the fate of biological life cycles. For example, if the source of
decline is an innovation, it may be only a partial substitute (e.g. plastics for steel in
building products, DVDs instead of going to the cinema, disposable and electric
razors for traditional safety razors in shaving). In each case the new technology
effectively replaces the old in parts of areas served by the established technology,
leaving niches or segments in which the old technology still dominates.
With these qualifications, the main features of the decline stage tend to be the
following:
High price elasticity of demand.
Price continues to fall.
Lack of both differentiation and growth creates little role or room for
advertising.
Low or negative profits.
Further standardisation. Some firms, though, may differentiate in an attempt
to stem the decline.
Little innovation.
Little investment. Instead there may be disinvestment and asset sales.
Well-established design, few bugs.
Overcapacity. The capacity overhang inherited from the growth phase may be
difficult to shift. The firms collectively may perceive it as in their interests to
remove excess capacity, but individually may be reluctant to do so, since the
gains from one firm unilaterally cutting capacity would mostly accrue as external
benefits to its rivals. At the same time, the capacity cutter itself could suffer a
loss of market share. Governments may intervene to try to clear this log jam, as
in the case of the European Commission, which has actively encouraged ration-
alisation and merger activity in the European chemicals industry.
Entry unattractive.
Fewer firms. However, exit may be slowed because there are high levels of
fixed and sunk costs that will not be recouped. Managerial specialisation and
inertia may contribute to this stickiness; for example, managers who have spent
their working lives in the steel industry may have emotional ties to the industry
and also highly specialised skills which may not be easily transferable to other
industries. Such managers would be likely to resist considering exit strategies as
far as possible.
Distribution and access to distribution increasingly important for firms.
Overcapacity can make this a buyers’ market at all stages, with sellers discounting
and possibly vertically integrating forward to secure access to markets, and buy-
ers being able to play sellers off one against the other.
The decline phase can be marked by relative inertia in terms of technology, advertis-
ing strategy and customer base. If firms do not take action to get rid of overcapacity,
the industry will become still more unattractive, even for existing firms. Decline is
typically marked by low and declining returns. Many commodity markets such as
primary metals have entered the decline stage as substitution by new materials robs
them of many of their traditional markets and cuts off access to new markets.
Exhibit 1.2: Breathing new life into old sectors
It may seem self-evident that entrepreneurial opportunities are concentrated in high-
growth emerging markets. But it is also possible to enjoy spectacular success in mature
or even declining sectors with the right strategy.
Starbucks and Swatch are good examples of this latter possibility. Buying coffee was
perceived as a commodity-type activity until Starbucks turned it into a lifestyle purchase
with a quality and varied product set in the context of a coffee bar ambience. Starbucks
was able to enjoy high price premiums and profit margins compared to its industry
average.
Similarly, Swatch transformed the image of the budget watch as a functional device
into a fashion accessory. Before Swatch, industry efforts at this end of the market had
focused on performance improvements, e.g. in accuracy. Many people owned only one
watch, reflecting its status as a simple time-keeping device. Swatch emphasised fashion
and encouraged repeat purchases by consumers.
Both cases indicate how changing the perceived attributes of the product may trans-
form an industry and provide major opportunities for firms.
Compare the pricing decision for organic food (Exhibit 1.1) with that for a
Swatch.
Porter (1980, pp. 267–73) suggested that there may be a variety of strategies that
a firm in the decline stage can pursue.
(a) Dominance and leadership. One way the firm may try to make the best of decline is
to try to achieve a dominant position in the marketplace. In particular, a high
market share can give a cost advantage and may allow the firm to exercise some
control over price. Its ability to achieve dominance may be aided to the extent its
rivals are weakened by the process of decline and/or no longer have a strong
commitment to the industry and may be encouraged to exit. On the other hand,
if other firms are also trying to achieve dominance it can lead to costly and de-
structive competition; for example, it can trigger price wars. Dominance may be
facilitated if the firm can make a credible commitment to staying in this industry, e.g.
by upgrading plant, aggressive pricing strategies. The advantage of credible
commitments is that they may change the expectations and plans of rivals and
reduce the perceived attractiveness to them of staying in this industry. We shall
look further at credible commitments later in this module and in other modules.
Dominance can also be facilitated if the firm can assist in easy exit for its rivals,
for example, through acquiring others in the industry at terms that are reasonably
attractive to its rivals, offering to take over their brands and markets.
(b) Niche exploitation. This strategy identifies a niche that allows continuing high
returns and long-term opportunities for the firm. For example, the advent of
colour meant a declining position developed for black and white photography
generally, but a number of firms defended or created positions in film, books
and cameras dedicated to black and white photography for high-value artistic
and scientific work. Similarly, the Swiss watch industry maintained a strong pres-
ence in the luxury mechanical watch market after most other segments in the
watch market were saturated by electronic watches produced in the US and Asia.
A niche position can also facilitate necessary rationalisation because much or
most of the benefits of getting rid of excess capacity will accrue to the firm itself
rather than competitors.
(c) Harvest. A harvest strategy maximises short-term cash flow through devices such
as limiting variety of models or brands, concentrating on larger customers and
cutting investment, maintenance and service costs. It is not a strategy that is
indefinitely sustainable and eventually harvest turns into divestment or closure. It
is not a strategy that is suitable for all industries and it depends on the firm living
off the fat created in the past, such as goodwill, brand loyalty and customer iner-
tia.
(d) Exit. It may simply cut its losses and exit. The best time to do this is before
decline sets in; if it can anticipate turning point C (for example, by being sensi-
tive to early threats from an emerging technological substitute), then the firm
may still realise a good price for its assets. Once decline sets in, the decision to
sell should depend not on whether it is still making profits, but on whether or
not the gains from staying in the industry exceed the opportunity cost (sacrificed
value) were it to switch its attention and resources elsewhere.
(e) Internalise the threat. The firm may also have the option of internalising the source of
industry decline, i.e. bringing it in-house and treating it as an opportunity and not
merely a threat. This is not a strategy identified by Porter in the context of man-
aging decline, but it is an option that may be open to firms in some industries. It
was noted above that industries typically do not spontaneously implode; instead
decline is usually triggered by some external threat such as a technological inno-
vation (e.g. TV replacing cinema, plastics replacing steel).
If firms in the threatened industry are able to diversify into the new industry,
they may be able to make a transition from the old to the new cycle. Such diver-
sification internalises (and at least partly neutralises) the external threat to the
firm’s interests. This is what the Swiss watch industry did with the Swatch, a
fashion-oriented electronic watch aimed at the young people’s market and built
around the same technology that had wiped out many of the Swiss watch indus-
try’s traditional markets. Whether or not this is a feasible strategy depends on
whether firms in the threatened industry have residual strengths and competenc-
es that contribute to competitive advantage in the new regime, e.g. brand
recognition, reputation, distribution channels, technology. Since the external
threat itself often displays features that are radically different from those associ-
ated with the skills and competences in the old industry, firms may often
internalise the threat by acquiring new firms based in the emerging sector.
Which strategy the firm in a declining industry adopts in practice will be influ-
enced by the pattern of decline, the nature of its rivals, and its assessment of its
rivals’ likely reactions to its actions. We shall be looking at the issues and influences
that can encourage a firm to adopt a particular strategy in different contexts in the
next module.
The story of the life cycle is of firms’ discretion and freedom to manoeuvre being
subjected to a progressive squeeze over its course. When the product is about to be
introduced, the firm may be faced with almost a blank sheet of paper for many of
the strategic choices it faces. There may be considerable scope to decide the pricing
policy, design, image and market of the product. However, with time, rivals enter,
pressure is put on prices, variety is squeezed as one or a few designs win out, brand
image is established and difficult to change, and possible market niches become
filled up. These developments can all influence strategy and the ability of the firm to
exercise control over the environment around it.
complex and skilled area, with high barriers to entry, few other firms having the
requisite skills and interest. Although Disco has had several rivals, rivalry and buyer
power have been muted due to Disco’s dominance and the lack of interest on the part
of bigger firms in moving into this area.
The case of Disco demonstrates how technological change may influence and change
the Five Forces in a sector by creating sustainable and defensible niche markets.
1 The framework was generally known as the structure–conduct–performance approach. Its theoretical
foundations were rooted in the traditional models of perfect competition, monopoly and oligopoly
market structures, with structure influencing conduct (such as pricing policy and advertising and R&D
activity) and with consequences for performance (such as profitability).
example, if average cost per unit is 30 per cent higher at an output level that is half
of MES, there is a steep cost gradient. On the other hand, if average cost per unit is
only 1 per cent higher at an output level that is half of MES, there is a relatively flat
cost gradient. Figure 1.2 shows average cost curves with different levels of MES and
cost gradients.
$
$
AC1 AC2
0 MES 0 MES
Output Output
$ $
AC3 AC4
0 MES 0 MES
Output Output
Figure 1.2 Minimum Efficient Scale (MES) and the cost gradient in econo-
mies of scale
If an industry is characterised by a high MES and a steep cost gradient, economies
of scale may represent a strong barrier to entry. Interestingly, there appears to be little
obvious relationship between them: industries that report high MES may or may not
report steep cost gradients, while industries with steep cost gradients may or may not
have a high MES. Either feature of itself may not be sufficient to constitute an
effective barrier to entry; for example, brick manufacturing has a very steep cost
gradient but a very low MES, which allows room for a large number of firms in this
industry. Similarly, a high MES may still leave room for a number of firms in an
industry if a flat cost gradient means that smaller-scale firms do not face a serious cost
disadvantage (especially if the cost disadvantage can be more than compensated for by
smaller firms exploiting differentiation or niche opportunities).
In Figure 1.2, the low MES for AC1 and AC2 means that there is room for a
number of firms in this industry all exploiting MES. Whether or not a steep cost
gradient exists as in AC2 would only really matter for these smaller firms trying to
exist on the fringes of the market (perhaps geographically separated from the rest)
or those exploiting a market niche.
Cases where MES is only reached where a firm has a high or dominant market
share (AC3 and AC4 in Figure 1.2) may be associated with strong barriers to entry,
especially if the product is relatively standardised and costs and prices are important
elements of competition, as may be the case in the later stages of the life cycle. To
the extent the product is differentiated and market niches can be exploited, there
may be room for a number of firms, with one or a few firms vying for cost leader-
ship. The flatter the cost gradient (as in AC3 in Figure 1.2) the easier it may be for
smaller firms to develop competitive strategies that may compensate for their cost
disadvantage relative to larger firms in their industry.
The case of AC4 in Figure 1.2 is the one that is most likely to lead to dominance
by one or a few firms in this industry. Indeed, this structure is the one commonly
described as a natural monopoly by economists. One firm may be able to get a first-
mover advantage on its rivals (and potential rivals) by expanding output rapidly and
moving down the steep cost gradient of AC4. In doing so it may be able to exploit a
virtuous circle of cutting costs, enabling prices to be cut further, stimulating demand
and increasing output, which in turn leads to further cuts in costs. This process may
continue right down the AC curve with the firm establishing a dominant low-
cost/low-price position which its lower-output/higher-cost competitors cannot
emulate.
In practice, it is not difficult to find examples of natural monopolies, and as their
names suggest, they often invite intervention by governments to ensure that one
dominant firm does not fully monopolise the industry. They are industries that were
often nationalised by governments (e.g. railways and telecommunications). Airbus
Industrie was a consortium created by European governments because of concerns
that Boeing could finish up as effectively the monopoly operator in the world
market for civil aircraft. The global airline industry would almost certainly be
dominated by one or a few firms if national governments did not impose re-
strictions on competition, mergers and acquisitions in this sector.
At the same time, in recent years it has been increasingly recognised that it may
be possible for an industry to be a natural monopoly and have a number of opera-
tors in it. This may be achieved if the ownership of the physical infrastructure can
be separated out from the ownership of the operating companies that use this
infrastructure, much as the ownership of roads is generally separated from the
ownership of the truckers and other companies that use this structure. This is a
device that the UK and some other governments have used in cases as diverse as
electricity supply, telecommunications and the railways in recent years. However,
this may still involve the need for government intervention and may incur signifi-
cant administrative costs of regulation.
goods. For example, the disposable pen manufacturer BIC is involved in distinctive
markets for pens, razors and lighters. However, it is able to share skills and other
resources in R&D, production, marketing and distribution throughout its varied
product lines because of similarities in making and selling low-priced disposable
products. Sharing skills and resources across product lines means that BIC’s overall
investment and operating costs are less than would have been the case if its three
main product lines were developed, manufactured and sold independently of each
other.
How might BIC’s diversification into razors help reduce the threat of firms
entering its pen market?
The important thing to note about economies of scope is that their sources and
effects are the same as economies of scale. There are two main sources for both
economies of scale and scope. First, increased output can lead to fuller exploitation
of indivisible resources, such as a single plant, a piece of machinery, or a patent. The
more that this resource can be spread over higher levels of output, the lower the
cost per unit associated with this resource. Second, increased output can also
provide opportunities for increasing specialisation and division of labour. For
example, in a small firm with low levels of output, the same manager may have to be
in charge of marketing and market research, tasks that may require quite different
skills. As the output level increases, adding a second manager to the marketing
department may boost productivity because the two managers can be selected and
allocated roles according to their natural abilities, and do not have to incur switch-
over and co-ordination costs that a broad range of responsibilities may entail.
The difference between economies of scale and scope is essentially that the gain
from sharing resources over increased output levels in economies of scale is reflected
in a move along a declining long-run average cost curve, while the gain from sharing
resources over increased output levels in economies of scope is reflected in a shift
down in the average cost curve for each of the products that is involved in resource
sharing. This is shown in Figure 1.3.
Economies of scale
reflected in fall in the
long-run AC curve
Economies of scope
$ reflected in shift down
in long-run AC curve
AC4
AC5
0
Output
cuts in the organisation of production, and workers may improve their skills and
speed of work completion with practice and repetition.
Exhibit 1.5: The more you sell, the more you lose
One of the basic principles of economic theory is that profitability tends to be directly
related to volume and market share in many markets. Volume may lead to reduced
costs, while market share can give firms more control over prices.
These principles can seem rather shaky at times in the world of Internet retailing. In
its early days as an Internet retailer, Amazon was focused on selling books and, in some
years, its losses increased faster than its revenues. It seemed the more it sold the more
it lost.
Internet retailing can help economise on some traditional retailing costs (such as
investment and operational costs of retail outlets) and it can get sales, technical and
related information to a larger number of potential customers. But, in common with
many other Internet retailers, Amazon found that a fundamental problem is that
Internet retailing may substitute traditional costs with other costs, especially in ware-
housing, marketing (such as Superbowl advertising) and distribution (doorstep delivery).
If the product is a traditional one, such as a book or a toy, it may be questioned as to
whether the price that consumers will be prepared to pay will be sufficient to generate
profits as well as revenues for Internet sales.
Cost
per unit
0
Accumulated output
(4) Differentiation
If a firm can successfully differentiate its products from those of competitors (for
example through brand image), then this may constitute a real barrier to entry. This
can hold most strongly in areas where consumer health, safety and welfare may be
considerations. The important element here is the extent to which potential entrants
perceive that the incumbent is able to defend a differentiated position successfully.
The inroads made by own-brand supermarket labels into many consumer goods
markets in recent years have shown that differentiation may be a more shaky barrier
to entry in some contexts than was previously thought to be the case.
bent’s advantage, and the possibility of entrants competing on the basis of differen-
tiation rather than cost (whether across the board or in particular niches).
from an oil rig can be extremely low or even negligible. This has important implica-
tions for the threat of rivalrous behaviour because it means that the price may sink
to very low levels before firms shut down operations or exit the industry. Remem-
ber from basic economics that as long as the additional revenues per unit sold
exceed the additional costs (marginal costs) of producing that unit, the firm would
maximise profits (or minimise losses) by continuing production. Intensity of rivalry
can be heightened if the low marginal cost encourages firms to try to operate at (or
near) full capacity.
The oil industry has illustrated some of these features. Production levels tend to
be relatively sticky when the price falls (the short-run supply curve was relatively
inelastic). The high level of fixed costs associated with investment in some areas
such as the North Sea meant that the price can fall quite drastically before many
operators reach the shutdown point where price fails to cover the additional
(variable) costs of extracting oil.
effect of even minor price fluctuations of expensive goods on the buyer’s welfare,
but also because the buyer is more likely to be well informed about the prices of
expensive goods. Shopping around and making product comparisons absorbs
resources, especially time. It will usually only be worthwhile incurring these search
costs for expensive products. Consequently, the buyer may be more demanding and
informed for goods that constitute a large part of their overall purchases.
The exhibit discusses how online exchanges may reduce supplier power of high-
cost local suppliers in cases where they widen the pool of potential suppliers.
From the information given, can we say anything about how the other Five
Forces may change in such circumstances?
there may be few if any close substitutes for the industry in question; in others there
may be a number of competing substitutes (e.g. the various fuel industries). In some
cases the substitute industry may involve quite different activities, technologies and
marketing channels from the traditional industry (e.g. videoconferencing as a partial
substitute for executive travel, Internet retailing for high-street retailing).
JOE
Confess Don’t confess
PAT
Fifteen years
Confess Ten years each for Joe, Pat
freed
Fifteen years
Don’t confess for Pat, Joe One year
freed each
What should our two reprobates do? We can analyse what each can do, given the
other’s possible choices. Suppose Pat works out what he should do if Joe confesses. If
Pat was also to confess in such circumstances, he would get ten years, like Joe. But if
he didn’t confess he would get fifteen years. Clearly in such circumstances Pat
would be better off confessing. Now suppose Joe did not confess, what should Pat
do? If he did not confess in such circumstances he would get one year in jail. But if
he did confess he would go free. So if Joe refused to confess, Pat would be better
off confessing.
In short, Pat would be better off confessing, whatever Joe decides to do. In game
theory terms, confessing is a dominant strategy for Pat: no matter what Joe does, Pat
will be better of confessing. What about Joe? Exactly the same logic holds because
he faces exactly the same set of choices and pay-offs as Pat; the matrix in Figure 1.5
is symmetrical. Confessing would be a dominant strategy for Joe as well. That being
the case, confess/confess (the top left box of outcomes in Figure 1.5) would be the
rational outcome.
The trouble is that, while rational, this is not the best outcome for the two if they
could somehow collude and make a binding agreement not to confess. In that case,
they would only get one year in jail each instead of the ten years they have now got
for themselves by confessing. But if there is no reason to trust the other person, and
no means of communicating, the logic of the Prisoners’ Dilemma is that considering
both the options in turn suggests that the rational thing for both prisoners to do
would still be to confess. This holds even with them knowing they would be better
off if they both kept their mouths shut.
What are the implications for competitive strategy? These are almost endless if
we are to believe some of the literature in this area. We can demonstrate how the
model may be translated into the strategy field with a simple advertising decision in
Figure 1.6.
JoeCo
Advertise Don’t advertise
PatCo
advertise, they both expect to incur a loss of $1m this year. If they both decide to
advertise, they simply neutralise each other’s marketing efforts and keep the same
market share and sales. Problem is, advertising costs money, so if they both adver-
tise their losses shoot up to $10m a year each. If one advertises but the other does
not, the firm advertising will increase its market share at the expense of the non-
advertising firm. In this case, the advertising firm’s increase in sales is sufficient to
cover more than its advertising costs and return it to breakeven. But in this case the
firm that has not advertised suffers a major loss in market share and now makes a
loss of $15m.
What should the two firms do? The answer is straightforward. If you look at the
pay-offs in each case, the structure and pay-offs for PatCo and JoeCo are exactly the
same as for Pat and Joe in Figure 1.5, except that for every year of jail in Figure 1.5,
we have $1m loss in Figure 1.6. The results parallel the results for our original
Prisoners’ Dilemma; both PatCo and JoeCo have a dominant strategy, which is to
advertise. If JoeCo advertises, PatCo would be better off advertising than not
advertising ($10m loss compared to $15m loss). If JoeCo does not advertise, PatCo
would still be better off advertising (breaks even rather than incurring a $1m loss).
The same logic holds for JoeCo given PatCo’s options. And just as in the original
Prisoners’ Dilemma example, both PatCo and JoeCo finish taking heavy losses
($10m each) when they would both have been much better off had they made an
agreement to avoid expensive and wasteful advertising ($1m loss each in that case).
The basic structure of the Prisoners’ Dilemma has been associated with a wide
variety of strategic situations, including advertising, pricing, innovation and invest-
ment decisions. It has an impeccable logic, it is based on rational decision making,
and it is a now a classic model of decision making, replicated even in introductory
textbooks. It shows how rational decision making can result in counterintuitive
behaviour and surprising results. So where is the problem with this most fundamen-
tal of game theoretic models?
The problem can be summarised in one phrase – life tends not to be like that.
More specifically, even situations that – superficially – appear to have a Prisoners’
Dilemma structure often betray this when they are examined more closely. And
even when every effort is made to make sure that the stringent assumptions of the
Prisoners’ Dilemma apply (as in laboratory experiments of the model), people more
often than not tend not to behave as the model predicts.
In the Prisoners’ Dilemma, the following specific conditions must be met.
Simultaneous decision making by both players
Accurate knowledge of the pay-offs attached for each set of choices
No communication between the players
No social ties and obligations
No history to the game, no past until this situation, and no future beyond
outcomes identified in the game.
In reality, strategic decisions do not take place in a social vacuum. Suppose Pat
and Joe had taken a vow of silence such as the code of ‘omerta’ practised by the
Mafia. Same structure, different outcome – both would refuse to confess and would
get off with one year in jail (and in turn avoid being concreted in the latest freeway
project run by their associates). Or suppose both PatCo and JoeCo build up strong
brand loyalty through their respective advertising campaigns. Then what may appear
to be a foolish strategy leading to short-term losses could be in fact a sensible long-
term strategy that builds up barriers to entry to this market. Or PatCo and JoeCo
could both decide to wait and see what the other does before taking any action
themselves, in which case the crucial advertising war might never come about.
The point about these examples is that it can take just a single deviation from the
basic assumptions for behaviour to change dramatically. Worse, it can be difficult or
impossible to verify in advance whether the assumptions do hold where they relate
to subjective intentions, attitudes and values held by the parties (How would you
verify Pat and Joe have a code of silence? How could you be sure before the game
has been played that both PatCo and JoeCo will not adopt a wait-and-see policy?).
Even more seriously, the Prisoners’ Dilemma tends not to provide a good expla-
nation of behaviour even when every effort is made to make sure the assumptions
hold, as in laboratory experiments when its highly restrictive assumptions (simulta-
neous decision, no communication etc.) can be replicated. If it does not provide a
good explanation in this context, then there would seem to be even less hope for it
in real world contexts where its basic assumptions are more likely to be breached.
Unfortunately many basic textbooks still serve up the Prisoners’ Dilemma as self-
evidently a description of actual behaviour without giving it the reality-check it so
richly deserves.
And even within the Prisoners’ Dilemma frame of reference there are recognised
to be problems in predicting what will happen. The models we looked at in Figure
1.5 and Figure 1.6 were one-shot models; the players had to make one decision and
that was it. This may seem realistic in the case of Pat and Joe (unless they are serial
offenders), but it is less likely to be so in the case of firms facing each other in a
competitive battlefield. Firms rarely have one-off decisions to make about strategic
variables; instead they may play repeated games. For example, in the case of PatCo and
JoeCo, both firms may make decisions about whether or not to advertise every
month. Since one month’s decision cannot be treated in isolation (one firm advertis-
ing this month may invite retaliation next month), future possible outcomes may
influence present decisions. Unfortunately for predictions about behaviour, different
kinds of outcomes can be rational and possible depending on the nature of the
repetition.2
In short, the Prisoners’ Dilemma does not deserve to be regarded as more than a
very special case that may have limited implications for competitive strategy, even
though it makes a nice story. But it is also one of the simplest game theoretic
2 Those familiar with game theoretic modelling will know that at this point we might expect to move
into a discussion of finite versus infinite games, and the logic of backward induction in obtaining
solutions to finite games. However, at this point, it is felt that the discussion would run into diminish-
ing returns. They may also wonder why I have not already introduced the notion of Nash Equilibrium.
The reason is that competitive strategy is more about disequilibrating forces, less about equilibrium
situations. Nash Equilibrium is not something that is particularly useful for the analysis of competitive
strategy.
models, and many of the criticisms that have been levelled at it here can generally be
found to hold at least as strongly for more complex game theoretic reasoning. The
most interesting point about the Prisoners’ Dilemma is the one that is most often
overlooked; even when a situation looks superficially like a Prisoners’ Dilemma,
actual behaviour often is quite different from that predicted by the model. Repeti-
tion, familiarity, negotiation, trust, loyalty, kinship, social pressure and personality
are all real-life features that can lead to co-operative and mutually beneficial out-
comes in practice, contrary to the outcome suggested by the model.
Beyond that there is a further problem with game theory modelling in that it can
be used to explain just about any kind of behaviour. The economist Richard Rumelt
once argued that a game theory model could probably be produced to explain a
bank manager burning his trousers in the street as a rational strategy, and a game
theorist promptly obliged with just such a model. The problem with such explana-
tion is that, if it can explain just about any behaviour after the event, then how do
we know what game theory model to use to predict or advise on behaviour before
the event?
So a health warning should be attached to game theory models being applied to
analysis of competitive strategy. However, there are valuable lessons that can be
learned from game theoretic reasoning, though it tends to have the status of insights
and principles rather than being associated with any one model or set of models.
with the fait accompli of you having entered. If it would not then be in his or her
interests to carry out the threat, it is an empty threat and should be disregarded.
There is the parallel problem of empty promises, such as the manager who prom-
ises a singer preferential treatment and star billing if he will only sign on with her.
The questions to ask are the same as those for empty threats. Would this person be
expected to say this, even if it is not true? What is to make them keep to their word
in the future?
Empty threats and promises may actually damage the credibility of those making
them, rather like the case of the boy who cried ‘wolf’. They are more likely to lead to
threats and promises made in the future being disbelieved if those making them
have been guilty of empty threats in the past.
So the intangible asset of credibility can be an important element in strategic
battles. If a firm can make its threats or promises credible, it may be more likely to
exercise control over a market and its rivals. How can credibility be won – and
maintained?
There are many ways that this may be achieved; the following are just some ex-
amples.3
Reputation
This is perhaps the most obvious way that credibility can be built up for a firm. One
of the most celebrated corporate libel cases involved McDonald’s, the fast food
chain, in what became known as the McLibel case. Two anti-McDonald’s activists
were taken to court in the UK by McDonald’s for allegedly libelling its reputation.
The case took six years to settle and the court verdict was mixed, though mostly in
favour of McDonald’s. Reputation had an obvious part to play in the McLibel trial
since McDonald’s was clearly defending its reputation as a responsible commercial
organisation. But one other thing that McDonald’s was doing in this context was
communicating a determination to protect its reputation at all costs – a reputation
for defending its reputation, if you like. Had McDonald’s ignored the attack on its
reputation by the ‘McLibel Two’, then other groups and individuals might have felt
encouraged to attack McDonald’s. By communicating a determination to incur
major legal costs and possible bad publicity, McDonald’s was attempting to send a
credible threat to any other groups who might consider attacking its image.
Yet this was a case in which it could be argued that the strategic move backfired.
McDonald’s was not prepared for the two penniless defendants to be prepared to
resist the legal threats from such a wealthy and powerful corporation. The trial itself
damaged the reputation of McDonald’s, with much adverse publicity concerning the
firm’s slaughter of its animals, treatment of its workers, and influence on children’s
minds. Rather than deterring future corporate campaigners, it could actually have
given heart to others who want to see increased corporate accountability in the
future.
3 Some of the following examples are based on Dixit and Nalebuff (1991).
Contracts
One obvious way that credibility can be created is by signing a contract committing
a party to a certain specified course of action. This may be effective, especially if the
contract involves the trading of an easily specified commodity – such as paper or
grain. The problem is that it can be difficult, expensive or impossible to specify fully
a contract in many commercial contexts. The agreement may be about a product
that is unique or highly differentiated from others in its class (such as an interior
decoration contract for a building), or one that is highly complex, innovative and/or
uncertain (e.g. to develop a new weapons system for a government). In such
circumstances there may still be room for misrepresentation, cheating and oppor-
tunistic behaviour. This leads to transaction costs and principal–agent problems which we
shall explore in later modules.
Specialisation
Polaroid is a company that pursued a strategy of specialisation in instant photog-
raphy for many years, even though many elements of its technology (chemicals,
electronics, optics) provided routes which could have allowed it to diversify if it so
wished. As Dixit and Nalebuff (1991, pp. 154–55) point out, specialisation provided
a credible statement of the company’s commitment to this market; potential rivals
knew that Polaroid would be likely to respond fiercely to any market entry, since an
attack on the instant photography market could signal an attack on Polaroid’s very
existence.
Specialisation is one variant of a range of strategies which communicate a credi-
ble commitment to a specified course of action by deliberately restricting the
options open to the company. In the Polaroid case, the company had no option but
to stay and fight off entrants, at least in the short term, because it had nowhere else
to go (later it would diversify – though ultimately unsuccessfully – as other innova-
tions nibbled away at its instant photography market).
This strategy is similar to that of burning your bridges in war; if your rival knows
that you have deliberately cut off your escape routes then this communicates a
determination to stay and fight, the ‘flee’ option having been consciously sacrificed.
Investment
Major investment by a firm in a particular business area can be a credible signal that
a firm is committed to that market. Rivals are less likely to think that a firm can be
easily chased out of a market if they have seen the firm just commit major resources
to it. However, the form the investment takes can be important. Suppose, for
example, a bus company invests in a fleet of new buses to service a regional market.
Since the buses are mobile assets that can be easily redeployed overnight, such
investment may not in itself be regarded as necessarily signalling a credible com-
mitment to that particular market. Easy exit does not make for credible
commitment.
What can signal a credible commitment is if the investment entailed a significant
element of sunk costs. Suppose a company invests $10m in new machinery to
produce a particular drug. The machinery cannot be used for anything else and
would only have a scrap value of $100 000 if the firm was to pull out of this market.
The firm’s investment in this market therefore represents a considerable level of
non-recoverable sunk costs. If the firm’s rivals know this, it will communicate the
firm’s commitment to this market; a sensible firm would not have tied up such
major resources if it did not expect to maintain a significant presence in the market.
And of course, once the costs are sunk, the firm will be more likely to be seen as
having little to lose from fighting its ground in this market, whatever its rivals throw
at it. All this can serve as a warning or deterrent to other firms that the firm is going
to be a persistent and serious competitor in this market.
Incrementalism
One way to build up credibility and trust is to build up a relationship over time.
Suppose two firms are thinking about forming a global alliance to develop a
particular market. It might be regarded as highly risky to commit to this whole
venture to begin with, especially if one partner could easily withdraw and leave the
other stranded. One solution can be to build up commitment slowly, say by co-
operating in developing one region of a national market, then slowly expanding.
Neither partner may have to commit themselves heavily to begin with, but as they
deepen and broaden their commitment, both may have more and more to lose from
the collapse of the partnership, and more and more to gain from its maintenance. In
this way, both firms can build up confidence that their partner is committed to the
venture.
Hostages
The companies Daimler-Benz and Mitsubishi developed a whole series of co-
operative agreements over many years involving a number of their subsidiaries and
businesses. Such arrangements or alliances are quite common now in industry; but
why did Daimler-Benz and Mitsubishi not simply seek out the best partner on a
business-by-business basis? Just because you have co-operated with a firm in the
past or the present does not necessarily mean that it is going to be the most suitable
partner in other areas in which you have interests. Why this clustering of co-
operative agreements around one preferred partner?
One answer is that clustering agreements with a preferred partner can provide the
credible reassurance that the partner is more likely to adhere to the letter and the spirit
of individual agreements if it knows the other has co-operative agreements that can be
used as ‘hostages’ in the event of any breach of faith. That is one reason why towns,
cities and universities twin with a restricted number of preferred partners. An institu-
tion, whether a university or a firm, may be less likely to act opportunistically
regarding one specific agreement if it could have damaging implications for other
agreements signed with the other party.
Social context
Diamond dealers in New York tend to make trades with each other based on verbal
assurances. If a diamond dealer were to break his word, he could find his reputation
and ability to function commercially irretrievably damaged. Hollywood producers
have also been known to make verbal assurances and promises, but a breach of faith
by them is less likely to damage their career permanently; indeed, it may even be
accepted as par for the course.
The important point is that credibility (for example, that a person’s statement can
be treated as honest and reliable) may be influenced by the social context in which
actions take place. The significance of social or environmental ties in creating and
communicating credibility may vary from market to market.
Learning Summary
In this module we have analysed some of the major features and elements of
potential relevance to strategy formulation in the various types of industrial envi-
ronments that the firm might encounter. The life cycle and Five Forces models help
provide organisational frameworks that can assist in the development and evaluation
of the strategic options open to the firm. The life-cycle model provides insights that
can chart the changing features of the industrial and technological landscape over
time. The Five Forces Framework helps establish the context in which the strategic
game may be played by firms and rivals at particular points in the cycle. Finally,
while game theory may be overhyped in terms of its ability to provide useful models
to analyse competitive situations, it has provided insights which may help identify
useful strategic concepts and principles. In the modules that follow we shall build on
the foundation that these approaches help to provide.
Review Questions
1.1 Recognised strategies that may help provide long-term solutions for dealing with the
decline stage of the industry life cycle include:
I. niche exploitation.
II. harvest.
III. internalising the threat.
IV. dominance and leadership.
Which of the following is correct?
A. I, III and IV.
B. All of the above.
C. I only.
D. I, II and IV.
1.3 Which of the following is not likely to intensify firm rivalry in an industry?
A. Increase in the number of sellers.
B. Elimination of excess capacity.
C. Deregulation of the industry.
D. All of the above.
References
Dixit, A.K. and Nalebuff, B.J. (1991) Thinking Strategically: The Competitive Edge in Business,
Politics, and Everyday Life, New York, Norton.
Porter, M. (1980) Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors, New
York, Free Press.
This module introduces the various options which the firm can choose from in
formulating its competitive strategy. The role of the value chain as a tool for
strategic analysis is examined. Generic strategies of cost leadership, differentiation,
focus are identified. We examine the circumstances in which it is appropriate to
pursue a particular generic strategy. The need for clarity and consistency in strategy
is established. The dangers of being ‘stuck in the middle’ through trying to pursue
more than one generic strategy simultaneously are discussed.
Learning Objectives
After completing this module, you should be able to:
analyse competitive strategy in terms of generic strategies;
explain the contribution of value chain analysis;
explain how distinctive competences may help develop and sustain competitive
advantage;
describe the main drivers of each generic strategy;
explain the dangers of hybrid strategies.
2.1 Introduction
In the first module we saw the context in which competitive strategies must be set;
in this module we explore the scope that exists for designing and developing
competitive strategy in practice. We shall look at the notion of the value chain in
Section 2.3 before looking at each major generic strategy in turn, starting with cost
leadership in Section 2.4, moving on to differentiation in Section 2.5 and finishing
with focus in Section 2.6. The dangers of hybrid strategies, or being ‘stuck in the
middle’, are discussed in Section 2.7.
First, however, we shall examine the basic types of strategies generally available
to the firm, or what Porter (1985) calls generic strategies. Just as important in setting
out what the firm can do is the identification of what the firm cannot normally do. In
choosing its strategy, the firm both creates and limits possible lines of action for
itself in the future. The topic of these lines of action, or generic strategies, is our
concern in the next section.
here, cost focus in which the firm tries to achieve a cost advantage over its compet-
itors, and differentiation focus in which the firm seeks a differentiation advantage in
this segment.
D1
$ AC1
AC2
0
Output
leader. The message can become confused in the eyes of the consumer – is the
firm trying to sell a high-quality or a low-cost product? We shall look at these
issues further in Section 2.7.
3. One cost leader. Imagine you want to start a coffee shop and wish to create a
differentiation advantage for your business. There may be a multitude of ways
this could be done by creating a unique ambience, style, and combination of
products and services for your business. The same holds for others who wish to
open a coffee shop in the area. Now suppose you want to become the cost lead-
er in the coffee shop business in your area. By definition there can be only one
cost leader (or at best a few joint leaders). If nothing else, this suggests that cost
leadership may be more difficult to achieve than differentiation, and it may be a
strategy that can be sustained by a more restricted set of firms. We shall look at
the implications of this further in Section 2.4 below.
4. Sustainability. It is not enough for a firm to discover a strategy that gives the
firm an advantage against rivals, the advantage must be one that can be sustained
in the face of competitive reaction and opportunities for imitation. A firm may
take advantage of a consultant’s advice on how to reorganise and reduce costs,
but this is unlikely to lead to sustained competitive advantage if rivals have equal
opportunity to employ the same consultant and get similar quality of advice.
Sustainability can in fact be tricky to pull off, and indeed it may be difficult in
practice to identify any source of competitive advantage that may be sustained
indefinitely. Firms may have to be prepared to adapt continually and innovate if
they do not wish to be overtaken by hungry competitors counteracting and ne-
gating their current sources of competitive advantage. The best that may be
hoped for is that current sources of competitive advantage help the firm add
value now, while allowing it a cushion to search for ways to maintain or enhance
competitive advantage in the future. Sustainability may be created by barriers to
entry.
e
sales forc
Distribution trucks
marketing department
market research D
Marketing
advertising M
plant P
Production equipment
R&D
labour force
R&D research
develop
ment
industries like petroleum (where terms describing the oil majors as the ‘Seven
Sisters’ emphasise family resemblance rather than individual differences). It may
be more difficult to identify unique non-replicable distinctive competences in the
case of the large oil firms, but that has not stopped them from growing and
prospering down the years.
If a firm does have a genuine distinctive competence, it may provide few direct
lessons for other firms since distinctive competences are by definition difficult or
impossible to imitate. The important thing may be for them to develop their
own sources of distinctive competence, if that is possible.
Figure 2.3 shows the main kinds of interaction that can take place between
activities involved in the value chain. The interaction and linkages may take place
in a vertical direction (e.g. production/marketing) or a horizontal direction (e.g.
production/production). We shall be particularly concerned with vertical linkag-
es in Module 4 and horizontal links in Module 5. Vertical links are generally
concerned with the movement or shifting of some intermediate product through
the business unit, while horizontal links are generally concerned with the sharing
of some resources involved in similar activities in different value chains. Figure
2.3 shows an extreme case in which the two different value chains have strong
horizontal links in each of the major and minor categories of linkage discussed
above in Figure 2.2. In practice, value chains may only have partial links between
them. In extreme cases with strong sets of horizontal links between similar
products, the pairs of value chains may more reasonably be treated as a single
value chain.
sales force
Distribution trucks Distribution
marketing department
market research
Marketing Marketing
advertising
plant
Production equipment Production
labour force
research
R&D R&D
development
D D
M M
P P
R&D R&D
stand-alone entities with few actual or potential linkages with each other, then we
may have a conglomerate strategy in which the firm operates in unrelated product
markets. The only linkages which the firm has to worry about co-ordinating in such
a case are vertical linkages within the value chain for each business. This is usually
achieved by creating a divisional structure.
Figure 2.4 shows the case of a three-business firm that does not have major
linkages between its businesses. The major co-ordination problem facing the firm is
how to manage the three independent value chains in the respective cases. This is
normally achieved by creating a divisional structure in which each of the value
chains is managed and co-ordinated by a divisional managerial team. Each division
in the above example would have its own R&D, production, marketing and distribu-
tion sections for the business in question.
H.Q.
H.Q.
divisions. It also may make it difficult to treat each division as a profit centre in its
own right to the extent they now share a function (and set of overheads).
H.Q.
MARKETING
er reflected the novelty and unfamiliarity of many of the managerial and work-
force tasks involved. As time went on, management found short cuts and
improved methods of organisation, workforce skills and productivity improved
through practice and repetition, and opportunities for improved teamwork and
co-ordination were realised. The real cost per unit for Boeing 747s tended to fall
over time as these learning and experience curve effects were realised, helping to
generate considerable cost advantages for Boeing versus actual or potential com-
petitors. Such learning curve gains are often important considerations in cases of
complex high-technology products with a reasonably high degree of standardisa-
tion, and produced in batches or limited numbers.
Capacity utilisation. Capacity utilisation can be an important driver of costs,
especially in capital-intensive industries characterised by a high level of fixed costs
and unpredictable or variable demand. The airline industry is a good example of an
industry where capacity utilisation is an important driver of costs (per passenger)
with each flight being characterised by high fixed costs (cost of plane, crew, fuel
etc.) and the marginal cost to the airline of each extra passenger being close to zero
(as long as there is a seat available). This sector is characterised by a high degree of
price discrimination, much of which is designed to bump up capacity utilisation (or
the ‘load factor’). This sector has been characterised by the entry of a number of
no-frills competitors in recent years, seeking to push cost per passenger down by
offering a no-frills service as well as trying to maximise the load factor.
Vertical links within the value chain, and links with suppliers’ and buyers’
value chains. Cost drivers can impact on parts of the value chain but the overall
configuration of the chain and links between different elements of the chain can
also be important in helping to generate cost advantage in the case of vertical
integration. For example, many firms have adopted an open plan office system
to make sure that communication between different functional specialists in the
chain is as effective and as easy as possible. The right arrangement and links with
suppliers’ and buyers’ value chains can also be an important source of cost ad-
vantage, as evidenced by much of the concern with outsourcing in recent years.
We shall look at these issues further in Module 4.
Horizontal links with other value chains – economies of scope. Links with
other value chains can be important in helping generate cost reduction through
economies of scope. For example, BIC’s disposable pens, razors and lighters can
share much of its competences in making and selling light, cheap, disposable
consumer products across these different product lines. We shall look at the
potential gains from sharing resources between value chains further in Module 5.
Timing. Being first-in to the market can give the entrant or innovator certain
cost advantages. For example, there may be network effects that lead to de-
creased cost per user as the system grows and it may be difficult or impractical
for an entrant to duplicate or replicate (e.g. railways). At the same time, there
may be second-in benefits from waiting and learning from others’ costly mis-
takes. We shall look at these issues further in the context of innovation in
Module 3.
Location. Different locations may have different resource costs. Land, labour
and capital costs may differ from region to region and country to country. There
may be advantages in locating all or part of the value chain in areas where a ma-
jor resource is relatively cheap (e.g. labour-intensive processes to low-wage
countries). The danger is that this may geographically fragment the value chain
and make it difficult to co-ordinate its various pieces.
Institutional factors such as government regulation, taxation and subsi-
dies. Background institutional factors may also affect the cost base of the firm;
for example, many governments provide attractive fiscal packages to attract in-
ward investment. Conversely, other policies may have an adverse effect on the
cost base of the firm; for example, the UK government’s decision to tax fuel
heavily for environmental reasons in the late-nineties had an adverse effect on
many UK firms’ distribution costs.
Discretionary policies. This is really a catch-all category reflecting the firm’s
choice of strategy and how it may impact on its costs. For example, some PC
manufacturers such as Dell sell computers direct rather than go through retailers
and so cut out the middle man (see Exhibit 2.2). Limiting the variety of products
produced is another device to reduce costs through standardisation (e.g. Apple
iPhone).
External economies. A possible source of cost advantage not explicitly
separated out by Porter is that the firm may be able to take advantage of external
factors to reduce its costs, such as the existence of a well-qualified labour pool
due to the presence of other firms in a local area. External economies are an
essential ingredient in the creation of clusters, an issue we shall be looking at in
Module 6.
Each of these potential sources of cost advantage may impact on pieces of the value
chain. The successful cost leaders will squeeze as much cost advantage from the
overall value chain as possible without sacrificing elements that are valued by
consumers, though some trade-off may have to be made between standardisation
and differentiation.
Cost leadership is most likely to be successful where there are some factors that
cannot be easily replicated. For example, overseas location in a low-wage country
may succeed in keeping costs down, but in itself it will not be sufficient for overall
cost leadership if there is nothing to stop competitors setting up facilities in these
locations as well. Cost leadership is more likely to be sustainable where a standard-
ised product combines with economies of scale, learning and experience curve
effects, and the firm can achieve a high market share. Crucially it depends on firms
being able to extract a cost advantage over competitors and then being able to
attract and retain buyers on the basis of price. These conditions are likely to hold:
1. in the early stages of the product life cycle if the firm can steal an advantage over
competitors. This may be, for example, through getting down the cost curve or
the learning curve more quickly, either by exploiting first-mover advantages or
second-in advantages of learning from competitors’ mistakes.
2. in the later stages of the product life cycle if the product is a standardised com-
modity-type product with a high price elasticity of demand and buyers do not
face significant switching costs from one seller to another.
Which of the cost drivers identified in Section 2.4 are being exploited by
Walmart?
The dangers are of course that the firm’s strategy is based on a single trick: a low-
cost operation which other firms may learn to imitate or beat, either through
improved organisation or technological innovation. Since the strategy is essentially a
supply-side strategy (based on cost) it is inward-looking compared to a differentia-
tion strategy (which is based on the firm’s perception of the demand side and
consumer needs). Consequently this may encourage insensitivity on the part of the
firm in relation to significant trends such as shifts in distribution and consumption
patterns. And of course if there is room for only one cost leader then it is a strategy
that only one firm can achieve. The worst scenario for firms in a sector is that they
try to chase each other down the demand curve in a price war with each trying to
achieve supremacy as the cost leader.
Bearing in mind the reservations we expressed concerning the game theory ideas in
Section 1.4, they can nevertheless be useful to show how a firm may increase its
chances of a sustainable cost-leadership strategy. This may work if it can make a
credible threat that it will maintain this strategy irrespective of the actions of its rivals.
In Table 2.1, the cost leader’s pay-offs are the first entry and its rival’s pay-off is the
second entry in each case. The best result for the other firm would be if it priced
low and received a pay-off of 100 and the cost leader was pushed into setting a
higher price (bottom left in Table 2.1). However, if the cost leader priced low, the
other firm would be best leaving this segment of the market to the cost leader and
pricing high (50 pay-off for the other firm versus 30 if it tried to match the cost
leader’s low price).
However, look at the pay-offs for the cost leader. If the other firm priced low,
the cost leader would be better off matching this strategy (pay-off 120 versus 80 if it
raised price). But if the other firm priced high, the cost leader would still be better
off setting a low price (pay-off 140 versus 100). The crucial thing here is that the
cost leader’s best strategy is to keep price low whatever the other firm does. As we saw in
Module 1, this can be termed a dominant strategy for the cost leader, that is it repre-
sents the best choice for the firm no matter what the competing firm does.
The important consideration for the other firm is that no matter what it does, its
rival (the cost leader) will keep prices low. So that means that the bottom row of
pay-offs (associated with the high price option for the cost leader) is irrelevant in its
calculation. This leaves the top row in which the other firm can choose to match the
cost leader’s low price (pay-off of 30), or go upmarket (and achieve a pay-off of 50).
Clearly the other firm would be better off going upmarket and pricing accordingly,
leaving the cost leader with the larger share of the pay-offs.
However, it is critical here that not only does the cost leader know that its domi-
nant strategy is to price low, the other firm must be fully aware that this is the cost
leader’s dominant strategy. If the other firm (mistakenly) suspected that it could
somehow squeeze the cost leader out of this strategy and undercut it, then a costly
price war could ensue with both firms finishing worse off than would have been the
case had the other firm read the situation correctly. Ways that the cost leader may be
able to persuade the other firm that it would be a tactical mistake for it to try to
achieve cost leadership would be through credible commitments that show it is irrevocably
committed to this low-price strategy, irrespective of what the other firm does. For
example, it could close down its R&D team except for those researchers working on
process improvements, it could standardise its production around one or two basic
lines, it could move all its production to a cheap low-cost location, and so on.
As we saw in Module 1, the ironic thing is that strategies that demonstrably tie the
firm’s hands and lock it into its preferred strategy may help to reduce the chances of
retaliation from competitors. These rivals will perceive they have little or no chance of
shifting the firm from its strategy, and so they will have to plan around it. Just as an
army may credibly threaten its enemy that it intends to stand and fight by burning its
bridges (and destroying its escape route) behind it, so a firm may credibly demonstrate
its commitment to a cost strategy by eliminating the alternatives to it. The important
thing, of course, is not only to burn the bridges but to make sure that the enemy can
see them burning as well. Similarly, if you have no choice but to fight your low-cost
corner, it is important that your rivals know this as well in case they indulge in a futile
price war.
Porter (1985, p. 118) summarises the major steps to be taken in undertaking a
strategic cost analysis of the value chain as follows:
1. Identify the value chain, and separate out and assign costs and assets attributable
to it.
2. Identify the relevant cost drivers and how they interact with each other.
3. Identify competitor value chains, costs, and sources of cost advantage. (This
should help test whether cost leadership is a viable strategy, or at least whether
there are further cost gains that the firm could seek out.)
4. Develop a strategy to reduce costs through cost drivers or by reconfiguring value
chain.
5. Guard against eroding differentiation.
6. Test for sustainability. (Can competitors replicate what you have done?)
A difficulty in carrying out the third step of the process is that rivals are unlikely
to open their books to you to help you work out their cost structure. Further, even
if you can observe that your competitors appear to be pushing down their costs and
prices, it may be difficult to identify the sources of these cost gains. Many cost
drivers, some of which are illustrated in Figure 2.7, tend to be achieved over time
and may be mutually reinforcing (X-efficiency in the diagram below refers to the
elimination of inefficient high-cost practices in the firm). If cost per unit for a
competitor falls, is it because of internal or external economies, innovative im-
provements, learning curve gains or simply the elimination of waste?
In practice, the firm may be able to find indirect methods of assessing its com-
petitors’ cost levels, e.g. market share, the size of its sales team, information on the
costs of publicly available inputs, and so on. At best, the firm may only be able to
get rough guides as to its competitors’ cost positions and how various cost drivers
contribute to the relative positioning of it and its rivals.
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* Economies economies
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translate this cost (and price) advantage into a higher market share, which in turn should
have reinforced its cost advantage? The answer is that consumers were willing to pay a
premium for products they could see and try out in retail outlets first. Dell’s strategy
eventually hit natural limits on the demand side.
A second question is, how was Dell able to sustain such an effective cost-leadership
strategy in its chosen niche when other manufacturers could have tried to replicate its
cost-leadership strategy? In fact, Dell was not the only direct PC seller. A problem was
also that it was difficult for any company to be active in selling both directly and through
retailers. If a manufacturer that used high-street retailers also became involved in direct
selling, such a strategy could compete with its own sales through shops. This could pose
problems for its established marketing strategy as well as its relations with retailers.
Why do you think Dell concentrated on direct retailing and avoided also selling
through high-street retailers? (Hint: what do you think the attitude of high-
street retailers would be to Dell trying to sell through them?)
2.5 Differentiation
Differentiation is a strategy that may be feasible if a firm can be unique at something
valued by buyers. This immediately raises the first issue we shall be concerned with
here, the sources of differentiation advantage.
Do you think that differentiation in the toothpaste market is achieved with the
help of use criteria or signalling criteria? (see Section 2.5.1)
maintain control; for example, Nike outsources production but still retains con-
trol of new product development in-house.
Scale. The geographical coverage and market share of Interflora, the long-
distance delivery system, give it a major advantage over potential entrants who
would find it difficult to parallel the scope and reach of its services.
These are some of the ways that differentiation may provide enhanced perfor-
mance to the consumer and so enable the product to be sold at premium prices.
However, premium prices may be achieved by differentiation not only through
enhanced performance to the buyer, but also if it leads to reduced costs for the buyer.
Examples of this latter form of differentiation include the following.
Long-life bulbs and batteries (infrequent need for replacement)
Corner shop (convenience for minor purchases)
Car leasing (reduces costs of major breakdowns)
Chopped wood (saves effort)
Interior design (reduces search costs)
Thus, the distinguishing feature of this form of differentiation is the reduction in
the real or perceived costs to the buyer as far as the product or service is concerned.
This is not the end of the story, however. Firms may have a product that does offer
a superior and distinctive product or service to buyers. But how is this communicat-
ed to those buyers? Porter distinguishes two kinds of purchase criteria that buyers
can use to make their decisions. Firstly, use criteria which reflect the actual impact of
the product or service on buyer performance or cost. The differentiation drivers
discussed above indicate some of the use criteria that firms may target to pursue
differentiation advantage. Secondly, signalling criteria which reflect signals of value
that may encourage the buyer to infer or judge the quality of the service. Advertising
is one such signal. Advertising campaigns are often designed to persuade the buyer
that the product is a quality service. Also, advertising spend may be taken at least as
a crude indicator of quality; if the firm is seen to commit a great deal of resources to
an expensive promotional campaign, this may be interpreted by some buyers as a
signal of a credible commitment on the part of the seller to the quality of the product.
Buyers may reason that if the product is a dud then the market will eventually
uncover this fact anyway, so it would not be sensible to commit millions of dollars
in launching a product if the only benefit was to be a short-term boost for a grossly
overhyped product.
Use criteria may appear to involve more ‘real’ indicators of value than signalling
criteria, though in fact use criteria can involve intangibles such as style and prestige
value. However, signalling criteria can be as influential in buyers’ decisions as use
criteria, and in some cases they can be the critical factor that decides whether or not
the firm can successfully pursue a differentiation advantage. We shall consider this
point further in the next section in looking at a particular type of market where the
presence or absence of effective signalling criteria can be the major issue that firms
have to deal with.
reduces perceived
pushes out higher-
average quality
quality products
increases proportion
of lemons in the market
facing the consumer if there is still an information problem of finding the rele-
vant review or reviews. Also, such reviews may reflect the personal preferences
of the reviewer, and may themselves be subject to reliability problems.
Intermediaries. In some cases, intermediaries can use their professional
expertise to scrutinise, monitor and recommend services and facilities offered by
firms in their sectors (e.g. travel agents, financial advisers). This may reduce the
lemons problem, but as with guarantees it may simply push the lemons problem
one step further back in the process, at least in the worst-case scenarios. In some
cases the potential buyer may have reason to be concerned that the intermediary
is itself a lemon, for example if its advice could be compromised by fees or
commissions from the products and services it recommends.
that anti-trust would only be relevant after the event once certain abuses of market
power have taken place, but it may also serve as a deterrent to firms tempted to
misrepresent their products to consumers.
In short, there can be a variety of devices that firms and government agencies
may be able to utilise to deal with the lemons problem. Which devices (if any) can
be used depends on the particular market in question, and its characteristics. Some
markets can even draw on all or most of the devices above (e.g. the market for
personal pension plans in many countries). The crucial points to bear in mind about
such devices is that in some cases they may be only partially effective in signalling
the true quality or characteristics of a product or service, and that they may be
expensive and time-consuming both to create and maintain.
2.6 Focus
Focus strategies depend on differences between segments of the same market and can
reflect search for cost advantage in a particular segment or limited set of segments
(cost focus) or search for differentiation advantage gains in a segment or limited set of
segments (differentiation focus). Unlike broad-based differentiation and cost leader-
ship strategies on the part of the firm where we start with the strategy then adapt it to
the needs of a particular segment, focus strategies start with the needs of the segment
and tailor the strategy accordingly. The logic is that there is a niche in the overall
industry which the firm can tailor its value chain towards uniquely satisfying, even if it
does not have a competitive advantage in the industry overall. The value chain is
optimised for that particular segment or set of segments only. In the European car
market, Rolls-Royce exemplified differentiation focus and targeted up-market buyers,
while Lada pursued cost focus based around a cheap, no-frills product.
‘Focus’ has been one of the most widely used words in modern competitive
strategy, so it is important to note that it can impact on corporate strategy in two
main ways. In some cases it may refer to the entire firm, as in the case of Apple,
while in other cases the particular focus may refer to just part of the firm.
The advantage of a firm-wide focused strategy such as is represented by the Apple case
is that it allows the whole of the firm’s value chain to be dedicated to satisfying the
purchase criteria for the buyers in the selected market segment. In essence, it
provides no more and no less than the straightforward gains from specialisation,
with the firm being able to identify and respond to the particular needs of its target
market.
However, there are a number of possible disadvantages of a firm-wide focused strategy.
These can include:
Limited opportunities for economies of scope. Diversification could open up
possibilities for economies of scope to be exploited within a broader-based cost
leadership or differentiation strategy. The narrower base implied by a firm-wide
focus strategy may limit these opportunities.
How do you think elasticity of demand for the products sold by eBay differs
from those sold by Amazon.com? What implications does this have for profit
opportunities in the respective cases?
Limited growth opportunities. By definition, since the firm is tying itself to a
particular market segment or set of segments, its growth opportunities are
bounded by the growth potential of this niche. This may not be a problem in a
fast-growing segment, but it can be if and when this market reaches the mature
stage of the product life cycle.
Vulnerability to external threats. A focused firm has no hiding place. If
imitators swarm in, or if technological change or change in buyers’ purchase
criteria threaten its technological or market base, then its very survival may be
threatened. This is what happened to Filofax, the firm that became synonymous
with the loose-leafed personal organisers that were ubiquitous during the eight-
ies. The firm had pursued a focused strategy since its founding in 1921 and only
really achieved spectacular growth late in life. However, external threats such as
and capabilities. If there is no such gain then the strategy is not adding value, and
could even be destroying value.
This last point might seem to be puzzling. It could be obvious that a focused
strategy in part of the firm might not add much (or any) value through linkages with
the rest of the firm. But how could such a strategy actually destroy or reduce value? If
the focused strategy results in no real linkages with value chains in the rest of the
firm, then surely all this means is that combining the focused segment with the rest
of the firm has a neutral effect on value. So what is the objection to having it inside
the firm if it is doing no real harm?
This question goes to the heart of the logic of corporate strategy, not only in the
context of focus strategies but for other strategies such as diversification (Module 5)
and international strategies (Module 6). The answer to it comes in two parts.
1. Fallacy of free focus. First of all, it is a fallacy to argue that there is no harm in
having a focused strategy if it simply results in no connections with value chains
in other parts of the firm. This is the same flawed logic that would argue that
there is no harm in keeping your savings under the bed in the form of cash. In
both cases there may be an opportunity cost in the form of sacrificed value. The
cash that is sitting under the bed could be made to work harder, at least by earn-
ing interest in a savings account in a bank. Similarly, investing in developing and
maintaining a focused strategy in the firm may have the opportunity cost of the
value that could instead be extracted by diverting these managerial and financial
resources to pursue areas that could add the value of shared linkages with the
rest of the firm.
That is why focused strategies still generally reflect some residual shared element
or set of elements with the rest of the firm in terms of value chain linkages. If
there is no such set of linkages, then the firm is likely to be better off ‘sticking to
the knitting’ and concentrating on what it knows and does best. The general
existence of across-the-board shared linkages is confirmed by the tendency for
even large diversified firms to fall into recognisable industry categories, e.g. Ford
(automotive), Du Pont (chemicals) and GE (electronics and electrical engineer-
ing).
2. Linkages cost. So focus does not mean sacrificing linkages with the rest of the
firm; linkages still have to be exploited to some extent if it is to make sense for
the firm to be involved in this focused segment. We saw examples of linkages
earlier in Figure 2.3. However, these linkages do not add value spontaneously;
they have to be organised. Porter identifies three major costs of organising
shared linkages between different industry segments served by the firm.
Cost of co-ordination. Linkages require commitment of managerial time and
resources and this may be difficult to achieve across business units. Figure 2.6
helps illustrate some of the problems; once cross-unit co-ordination is re-
quired, resources and activities not only have to contribute to value within a
business unit but also to shared activity across units. This can be a difficult
trick to pull off and can lead to quite complicated organisational arrangement
such as the mixed structure we looked at earlier in Figure 2.6. As we dis-
cussed in relation to Figure 2.6 this can lead to confusion and communication
problems.
Cost of compromise. If linkages are to be exploited between the focused strategy
and the rest of the firm, it may entail some compromise. For example, a food
retailer may base its strategy around cost leadership in the fast food sector,
but also have an up-market seafood chain with a differentiated focus strategy
for this segment. The firm may see the opportunity for linkages across seg-
ments by exploiting economies through bulk buying. These linkages may
entail no compromise in some segments (e.g. bulk buying of sugar and salt)
but may entail significant compromise in other areas (e.g. bulk buying of
knives and forks). If the firm bulk buys the kind of cutlery that reflects users’
purchasing criteria in fast food, this may send the wrong quality signals to its
up-market seafood customers. If it bulk buys the kind of cutlery that its up-
market seafood customers would expect, this may be inappropriate and too
costly for its fast food business. Compromising by bulk buying cutlery of
moderate quality may satisfy the value chain needs of neither segment.
Cost of inflexibility. Linkages can reduce flexibility. If the firm wishes to change
its strategy relating to one business, then it may have knock-on implications
for other businesses with which it shares linkages. This can reduce flexibility;
for example, it may make it difficult for the firm to divest or close down an
unprofitable business. One of the reasons that the post-war UK automotive
industry was slow to change and divest unprofitable businesses was that link-
ages such as shared dealer networks and common components were sought
in a wide variety of businesses, from cars to Land Rovers. Divesting one
business was seen as potentially pushing up costs in the remaining businesses
as economies of scope were sacrificed. While this may have been true, it also
tended to reduce focus, dampen innovativeness and inhibit adaptability at
segment level.
It should be noted that these considerations can apply within strategies and not
just between a focused strategy and the rest of the firm; for example, a cost leader-
ship strategy based on sharing a technology across business units can also encounter
costs of co-ordination, compromise and inflexibility in organising linkages. Howev-
er, these problems come into sharpest relief in the case of the relation between a
focused strategy and the rest of the firm.
Consequently, the logic of focus strategies is based on a simple trade-off. From
the point of view of adding value at business unit level, the value chain for that unit
should be customised and tailored as far as possible to satisfy the purchase criteria
for the buyers in that particular segment. From the point of view of adding value
based around interrelationships between business units, the firm should exploit as many
linkages between units as possible. The further focus is pursued, the less interrela-
tionships between units may be identified and utilised. The more interrelationships
between units are emphasised, the more focus may be compromised. How far the
firm should go in terms of trading off the benefits of focus against the gains from
interrelationships depends on the case in point.
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D2
0 0
X
Output Output
D3
0 Z
Output
softer competitive conditions that may prevail during this period. Once the market
approaches saturation, firms that have failed to develop a clear strategy that can
deliver competitive advantage may be particularly vulnerable in any shake-out phase.
However, there may be circumstances in which a firm can pursue both cost lead-
ership and differentiation in a market. We noted above in Section 2.6 that it could
be possible for a firm to pursue a cost leadership strategy in fast food while also
pursuing a differentiation strategy in seafood. These were effectively separate
markets, though the firm could exploit some gains in links between the respective
value chains. The downside was the possible costs of compromise that the linkages
could lead to. It may also be possible for a firm to achieve similar gains within a
market if different business units are given responsibility for pursuing differentiation
and cost advantage.
The difficulties which firms often face in balancing these different generic strate-
gies within the same market is that distinctive competences which have contributed
to competitive advantage in one part of the market may give no advantage in parts
of the market which require a different generic strategy. A firm which has built up a
reputation for quality and service may find that the rules of the game are rather
different in the mass market areas where cost and price are paramount. Similarly, it
may be difficult for a cost-oriented firm to develop the skills and attitudes needed
for differentiation.
The worst outcome in both cases is for the firm to transfer inappropriate skills
and competences into the other area of the market, with the differentiator unneces-
sarily ‘goldplating’ basic services in the price-conscious mass market end, and the
cost leader opting for false economies that send the wrong quality image when it
tries to go for differentiation. If such a mixed strategy is going to have a chance to
work it depends on the firm setting up distinctive units to pursue the different
generic strategies, and separating out the respective value chains to make sure they
do not become muddled or confused.
At the same time Porter identifies possible cases where it may be possible for the
firm to pursue a ‘stuck in the middle’ strategy in which it pursues differentiation and
cost leadership strategy using the same business unit and based on the one value
chain. These cases include the following.
Competitors are also stuck in the middle. If a firm’s competitors are also
stuck in the middle then the firm may be able to get away with being stuck in the
middle as well. However, this may not be a recipe for a stable and sustainable
strategy since it may be attacked once existing rivals or entrants move towards
clearly based generic strategies.
Cost is strongly related to scale. If cost is strongly affected by scale factors such
as economies of scale and scope and experience curve effects, then the firm may
open up a big market share advantage and still be able to offer services that com-
petitors find difficult or impossible to match. Microsoft, Intel and Amazon.com
are examples of firms that have pursued both differentiation and cost advantage in
their respective markets.
Being first to innovate. If you are the only game in town, then by definition
you offer a differentiated service at a price no one else can match. However,
even if this advantage has patent protection it will eventually be open to imita-
tion by competitors, unless there is something that is difficult or impossible for
competitors to imitate. One area where this may be possible is in cases where
advantage depends on an organisational or technological recipe that is difficult to
unravel or imitate precisely, especially if this is backed by an effective branding
effort as in some parts of the fast food sector.
Learning Summary
This module has been concerned with the topic of basic or generic strategies, what
influences their choice, and the implications of that choice. We have examined how
to analyse the major strategic options open to the firm, and when and how cost
leadership, differentiation and focus may be pursued. The firm may be able to draw
on cost or differentiation drivers of competitive advantage to extract competitive
advantage in particular situations. It is essential that a clear, consistent and sustaina-
ble strategy is chosen. Otherwise muddle and confusion about what the firm is
trying to achieve may create competitive openings for rivals.
However, the choice of generic strategy is only one element in the set of choices
that the firm has to make in formulating strategy, and we shall be looking at strategy
in other contexts in subsequent modules. We shall start with innovation strategy in
the next module, vertical strategies in Module 4 and horizontal strategies in Module
5. We shall then look at international strategies in Module 6 before going on to look
at how strategies are pursued in Module 7. When the analysis of these modules is
combined with the analysis of generic strategies in this module, we shall have gone
some way to examining the issues and influences that underlie the direction and
content of strategy in the modern corporation.
Review Questions
2.1 A firm may obtain differentiation advantage if:
A. it offers something that no other firm offers.
B. it can operate at lower cost than any of its rivals.
C. it is perceived to be different by the buyers of its product.
D. it can be unique at something that is valuable to buyers of its product.
References
Akerlof, G. (1970) The market for lemons: qualitative uncertainty and the market mecha-
nism, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84, 488–500.
Porter, M. (1985) Competitive Advantage: Creating and Sustaining Superior Performance, New York,
Free Press.
This is the first module in which we examine thoroughly a single area of strategy, in
this case innovation. Innovation is an area which has several basic characteristics
that strongly influence resource allocation in this area, in turn leading to numerous
hurdles to efficient management of this process, and finally encouraging a variety of
solutions to these hurdles. We show how the basic characteristics, the hurdles and
the solutions relate to each other. One of the important issues discussed here is that
there is no such thing as a free lunch in this context; the various solutions to the
problem of innovation may themselves be costly or generate further problems in
addition to those they are trying to solve. Innovation can be a complex, costly, time-
consuming, uncertain process with most of the benefits accruing to others rather
than those who are incurring the time, trouble and expense of pursuing it. While
firms may explore ways of trying to encourage innovative activity in the face of
these daunting characteristics, they tend to be features of the innovative process that
strategic planners must learn to live with.
Learning Objectives
After completing this module, you should be able to:
describe the major stages and features of the innovative process;
explain why innovation can easily be squeezed off the firm’s agenda;
describe the major hurdles facing innovative activity in the firm;
analyse alternative solutions to the problem of innovation.
3.1 Introduction
In this module we shall be concerned with the management of innovation and in
particular with solutions that firms have developed to help stimulate innovation in
the search for competitive advantage.
It might be helpful to start out with some basic points and then build on them.
Point 1: to be a successful innovator it is best to be first with a good new idea.
Point 2: survival of the fittest means that if your product is inferior to competi-
tors, it will lose out in the marketplace.
Point 3: if you can convince the public that your product is a good idea and
affordable, people will rush to buy it.
Point 2 is also faulty; as regards finding examples of something that has survived
despite being shown to be (allegedly) inferior to more efficient alternatives, you
probably have one at your fingertips – literally. It is the QWERTY keyboard format
which experiments have shown is inferior in terms of typing speed to some alterna-
tive formats. However, the QWERTY standard has not been seriously challenged by
these rivals and there is little prospect of this happening in the foreseeable future.
The QWERTY standard has proved robust and enduring even if it could be
demonstrated to be inferior to some alternatives. We shall explore the reasons for
this paradox in Section 3.2.
There are also difficulties with Point 3. Microsoft Windows was a good example
of translating public belief that a product was a good thing into commercial sales,
but often this is not enough. Who bought the first telephone? Or to put it more
precisely, why would anyone want to buy a telephone when it does not connect to
anyone else? It does not seem a very sensible thing to do, but if there is no incentive
for anyone to be first, why did any rational consumer ever buy a telephone? Exhibit
3.1 looks at a case where a fundamental reason which led to a good idea becoming
successful lay in the idiosyncrasies of the Japanese language, isolated peculiarities
which helped trigger the eventual success of the innovation globally – at least until
other forms of electronic communication largely replaced it.
In the next section we shall take an overview of the innovative process before
looking at some basic characteristics of it in Section 3.3. Section 3.4 covers what is
summarised as the innovation problem; the modern corporation may fail to give
adequate support to potentially value-enhancing innovative activity. Section 3.5
looks at some of the many and varied solutions to the innovation problem that
corporations have devised.
would like to talk to who also have a telephone. If very few are connected then
there may be little incentive for you to consider investing in such a product. The
more people are connected, the more people will find it useful to be connected; this
helps create a virtuous circle in which more users attract further users, and so on.
Indeed some networks may evolve to the extent that non-users may begin to lose
access to communication circles that begin to focus on the new format, as some
hold-outs to email have found out. There may also be network effects on the supply
side as product improvements and extensions become clustered around the design
with the greatest market share. The PC and the Apple Mac are alternative design
formats, but the dominance of the PC compared to the Apple Mac increased the
expected pay-off from designing new hardware and software for the PC compared
to the Apple Mac for firms like Intel and Microsoft. Figure 3.1 shows how some of
these virtuous and vicious circles may operate to perpetuate dominance of stand-
ards.
SUCCESS FAILURE OF
OF DESIGN DESIGN
In the next section we shall begin to look more closely at the characteristics of
the innovative process itself.
Rational model
A B C
Erratic model
what you will find and how you will get there by actually doing the project. There
may be some clues to point you in certain directions, but it is only after the search
has been concluded that you can precisely audit what it is you have found, and what
it took to achieve this find.
The erratic model is the best description we have of how R&D proceeds. R&D
will typically wander from one stage to another, generally making progress through
the stages towards final introduction, though with some backtracking, stalling and
losses of direction. The unexpected slings and arrows that outrageous fortune
throws in the way of the project lead to many being terminated before completion.
The erratic model can also have implications for some of the characteristics of
projects at different stages in the R&D spectrum as we shall see below.
Figure 3.2 shows five different characteristics of typical projects at different
stages in the R&D process. Each of them can have implications for innovation
strategy within the firm, and we shall discuss each in turn.
1. Specificity refers to the possible range of eventual commercial outcomes
(products or processes) associated with a successful project at this stage. For
example, if the current R&D might lead to only one or two commercial products
or processes it has a high degree of specificity associated with it. A project that
could lead to numerous commercial applications has a low degree of specificity.
R&D frequently has fairly low degrees of specificity associated with it; for exam-
ple, the R&D that produced the ubiquitous Velcro fastening material has now
been embodied in many different types of products including clothes, shoes,
briefcases and toys. Such low degrees of specificity have two important implica-
tions for the firm. First, R&D may provide high degrees of synergy between
products. By contrast with investment in a machine which will only generate the
product it was designed to produce, investment in R&D may lead to a variety of
outcomes. The R&D that produced Velcro is now shared by a large number of
actual products.
Second, there are the related issues of externalities and appropriability that low de-
grees of specificity may be associated with. An externality is a benefit or cost that
impacts on somebody other than the individual or organisation responsible for
the economic activity. In the case of innovation, externalities frequently take the
form of benefits to other firms; for example, Xerox was unsuccessful in entering
the office equipment business, but its key innovations such as the mouse and
icons finished up being incorporated in the Apple Macintosh, and then personal
computers generally. Such externalities often exist because of appropriability
problems, that is it may be difficult for the innovator to retain control over the
exploitation of its idea. Xerox is an obvious case in point here, but Apple itself
suffered in turn after successfully pioneering a new PC market based on a user-
friendly graphical interface involving icons and the use of a mouse. Microsoft
developed Windows and successfully mimicked many selling points of the Apple
Mac with disastrous consequences for the fortunes of Apple – at least for a
while.
Specificity is also likely to increase towards the development end of the R&D
spectrum. For example, the working principle of the laser was first demonstrated
by American physicists in the 1950s, since when it has been incorporated in a
problems for the management of innovation in the firm. We can start by noting that
the costliness of R&D means that it is mostly carried out in large firms, and most large
firms have an M-form structure. In Figure 3.3 we show a hypothetical example of just
such a firm, Engine Corporation, that makes car, aircraft and truck engines. This firm
has adopted an M-form structure divisionalised around each product group with all
the functions such as R&D, marketing and production associated with each product
group assigned to their respective divisions. Engine Corp’s mission statement in their
Annual Report reads: ‘We shall be a world leader in developing innovative engine
technologies in the transportation field. Our mission is to continually develop our
existing products and introduce novel ones that have major commercial potential in
order to ensure a substantial return for our shareholders.’
Engine Corporation
Headquarters
solutions can deal with certain hurdles at the expense of making others worse. The
managerial problem here can often be likened to trying to squash one end of a
sausage-shaped balloon only to find it simply popping up at the other end. These
points should become clearer when we look at actual solutions in the next section.
The first three hurdles are attributable to the low specificity of Skunkworks R&D
discussed above. This characteristic can cause a variety of problems for a promising
technological development in aircraft engine technology. The most obvious are the
following:
Hurdle 1: Appropriability problems. The company may find difficulties in appropri-
ating the gains from Skunkworks activities. To the extent the Skunkworks output
benefits some other firm, and Engine Corp is not compensated for this benefit, it
would be treated as an externality and could normally be ignored by the firm.
However, if the benefits actually accrue to a rival they could even represent a net
cost to Engine Corp in that its competitive advantage could be threatened or
eroded. In such circumstances there may be reduced incentives for Engine Corp to
allow the Skunkworks to undertake such a promising project even if the overall
benefits of the new technology (including externalities) exceed the cost to Engine
Corp.
Hurdle 2: Neglect of potential internal spin-offs. It may seem surprising at first sight,
but similar considerations to Hurdle 1 may hold in cases where the R&D project
generates technological spillovers within the company. If the project could lead to
technological spin-offs or synergies with the two other divisions, this would enhance
the profitability of the company. However, such spin-offs would be seen as exter-
nalities from the perspective of the Aircraft divisional manager since they would not
impact directly on the profitability of his or her division. A rational manager would
ignore such external benefits if he is being assessed on the performance of his own
division only. In fact, if there is intense rivalry between divisions for funds from
headquarters, such externalities could even be regarded as threatening each divi-
sion’s place in the internal capital market pecking order; in such circumstances a
rational divisional manager might be reluctant to share know-how with colleagues in
other divisions if it helps the other division to obtain a larger share of the corporate
cake at his expense.
Hurdle 3: Duplicated research efforts. Not only can Hurdle 2 lead to valuable know-
how not being disseminated widely throughout the firm, it can also lead to the
duplication of R&D effort and consequent waste of R&D resources by divisions in
cases where they are involved in overlapping technologies. This was a problem
faced by Pilkington (see Exhibit 3.6). The M-form structure with its ‘natural decision
units’ naturally encourages compartmentalisation of decision making within divi-
sions anyway, and divisional loyalties are only likely to reinforce such insularity.
Hurdle 4: Uncertainty. This can pose significant barriers to the pursuit of innova-
tive activity in the firm. First, imagine you are producing a project plan for research
into a new product and the best you can say about possible outcomes is that it could
lead to a very successful outcome (but you are not sure what that outcome will be),
although it could also prove to be a complete dead-end. Such a proposal is unlikely
to survive close scrutiny by the balance sheet bean counters in the firm, and indeed
a project plan based on such airy speculation could look very unprofessional to
senior management. Unfortunately, airy speculation is what creative R&D is often
about in the early days. Second, there may be a problem of incentives to support
R&D as far as Skunkworks’ divisional manager is concerned. If the manager’s
reward for good divisional performance (say, a bonus) is perceived to be of less
significance than the penalties for poor divisional performance (say, termination of
employment), then it would be quite rational for the manager to avoid highly
uncertain activities that could lead to a dip in divisional performance in any particu-
lar year. This is usually termed risk avoidance, which is fine as long as we recognise
that what is usually called risk in this situation is what should more properly be
called immeasurable or non-insurable uncertainty. Not only might the divisional
manager wish to avoid uncertain outcomes as such, for this manager the ‘downside
risk’ (possibility of failure) weighs more heavily than the ‘upside risk’ (possibility of
success). In such circumstances he or she might be more likely to emphasise less
uncertain activities such as market expansion, sales promotions, cost cutting etc.
It has been suggested that one way to deal with the problem of uncertainty in an
R&D project is to judge it on the basis of the average value of an R&D project in this
area as revealed by past experience. However, as we have noted, it is difficult to
classify R&D projects into categories since the defining quality of innovation is that
it is different from what has gone before. It may be just possible in some circum-
stances to talk of the average value of R&D projects clustered in a particular area;
say for research into a related group of chemical compounds. However, when
scientists started exploring the possibilities of the laser, they could not draw on
measures that indicated the average value of research activity in their respective
category to date; the research effectively created a category where none existed
before.
There is also a second problem here in that it is important to clarify what could
be meant by average value of an R&D project in a class or category. The most
commonly used measures of average are the mean and the median. If we can talk
about the mean value of R&D in a category, say, for a class of chemical compounds,
then the average here would be given by some measure of total value divided by
number of projects. However, the median value refers to that project or projects
found halfway along a frequency distribution of projects arranged by value, such
that the projects to one side are higher value and the projects to the other side are
lower value. If you arrange 21 R&D projects in order of increasing value, the
median is the 11th project. However, for some activities the mean can be much
higher than the median and can be positive even when the median is negative; a few
high pay-off success stories in the category drag up the mean and contrast with the
(median) modest earner or loss-maker that is more typical of the category. For every
Rolling Stones, there are scores of struggling pop groups. For every new firm that
becomes a Microsoft there are thousands of start-ups that fail to make the grade.
R&D is an activity that frequently displays such characteristics. For every project
that produces a penicillin or a Prozac, there are thousands that never see the light of
day. Some may fail because they do not produce anything of technical significance,
others because the outcome does not have commercial appeal, and still others
because of regulatory concerns about their safety. Indeed, it has been suggested that
1 Such problems can occur where agents (acting on behalf of principals) have differing objectives and
incentives, and principals have limited ability to monitor agents’ true performance.
encouraging specialisation and division of labour but can be bad at integrating the
works of the resulting specialised functions.
The list of problems we have produced may appear daunting and, indeed, you
may begin to wonder how the modern firm manages to get innovation out of teams
like the Skunkworks and into the marketplace. While we have concentrated on the
problems faced by the large M-form corporation, the problems are if anything
worse for the typical small U-form corporation; the more specialised it is, the more
likely that spin-offs will benefit others outside the firm and not the firm itself, while
the smaller it is, the less likely that it will be able to afford the upfront development
costs or be able to survive the high degrees of uncertainty (and failure rates) that
innovation may involve.
If we were to summarise the problems that Engine Corp and Skunkworks could
face in trying to innovate, it would seem we have identified nine main types of
hurdle. That does not mean to say that this exhausts all the difficulties but these
certainly would seem to be enough to be going on with. It is also worth noting that
when firms talk about the difficulty of stimulating innovative activity within the
firm, they are usually referring to one or more of these hurdles.
Summary of innovation hurdles:
1. Appropriability problems of leakage of competitive advantage to other rivals
2. Neglect of potential spin-offs to other divisions inside the firm
3. Duplicated research effort from each division concentrating on its own prob-
lems
4. Coping with uncertainty and the likelihood of failure
5. Potentially high cost of the full process of innovation
6. The long time horizons involved
7. Asymmetric information – those doing work for the project can know more
about its true potential than those funding it
8. Machiavelli’s problem – innovation attacks vested interests with those who
might gain not being in place to argue its case
9. Compartmentalisation of R&D and need to integrate complementary assets
Each of these hurdles contributes to what might be summarised as the innovation
problem – the modern corporation may fail to support adequately potentially value-
enhancing innovative activity. One expression of this is that the firm has to find a
balance between creativity and control: too much control and innovative possibili-
ties might be screened off the corporate agenda too early; too loose a rein and
organisations may generate new ideas with little commercial potential, or fail to
realise the potential of ideas that they do generate. Exhibit 3.4, Exhibit 3.5 and
Exhibit 3.6 show how major R&D performers encountered these problems and
faced up to them. From the perspective of Engine Corp, the innovation problem
might be observed as a discrepancy between Engine Corp’s mission statement
(which emphasises the generation of exciting and commercially promising innova-
tion) and the more prosaic and disappointing reality. The sad fact is that, left to their
own devices, organisations will tend to avoid innovating because of the various
hurdles discussed above. Unless Engine Corp anticipates the potentially crippling
effects that the nine hurdles can wreak on innovative activity in the firm and takes
steps to deal with them, it is likely to find itself eventually fighting for its very
survival. As firms over the years have found out to their cost, it is simply not
sufficient just to recognise that innovation is a good thing; the hurdles have to be
identified and dealt with.
3.5 Solutions
This section can be regarded as providing a menu of solutions that might be of
relevance to Exercise 3.1. One of the problems in innovation is that any one of a
number of hurdles can be fatal as far as attempts to stimulate innovative effort in
the firm are concerned. There is no point in dealing with problems of appropriabil-
ity, cost and long time horizon if uncertainty still freezes innovative decision
making, and there is no point in forming a dynamic, innovative organisation if most
of the good ideas finish up being grabbed by a competitor. Organisations have to
take an overview of how they deal with innovation considered as a systemic process.
Also, solutions that deal with one problem may simply make another one worse.
For example, taking care to reduce uncertainty (e.g. by thorough evaluation of
technical and market opportunities) may help reduce uncertainty as to the technical
and market viability of a project, but it is likely to add to delays and time problems
in general.
Therefore, there are unlikely to be clear-cut solutions to the innovation problem
for a particular firm; the solutions that organisations have devised to deal with the
problem of stimulating the generation of commercially oriented innovative ideas
often involve trade-offs, with one aspect being dealt with at the expense of making
another worse. Solutions rarely come free but usually involve some version of the
economic principle of TINSTAAFL (There Is No Such Thing As A Free Lunch).
The most obvious price that has to be paid in many cases is the increased expendi-
ture of managerial time and resources to try to help overcome the hurdle or hurdles
that are proving particularly troublesome in the context under review.
In this section we shall look at a variety of solutions that firms have adopted in
practice in response to our nine hurdles. They vary quite widely in terms of their
resource implications. Some may be adopted at the level of individual projects or
R&D employee, while others may involve a complete restructuring of the firm.
What they all share is a concern for our innovation problem. In each case we shall
identify which hurdles are particularly targeted by the solution as well as provide
some discussion as to the likely costs or trade-offs associated with each solution in
practice. We shall use Engine Corp as our reference case for illustrative purposes.
The number of solutions and the variety of hurdles they deal with can look quite
daunting below. Do not be put off; in most cases the hurdles that the solutions are
focused on are fairly evident. As long as you understood the problems represented
by the various hurdles above, you should be able to work out the likely impact (if
any) of the solution on the respective hurdles from first principles. Indeed, it can be
useful to see the nine hurdles as constituting a useful checklist for testing the likely
impact of any proposed solution. The question ‘what does this solution do for this
hurdle?’ is one that has been applied right down the line in looking at the potential
contribution of each of the solutions below.
Appropriability problems (Hurdle 1) again are at the heart of this issue. If the
firm were to discuss the R&D project with potentially interested parties in the capital
market, there could be a danger that the idea would leak out to potential competi-
tors in the product market; firms which are rivals or potential rivals might catch wind
of this new idea and the firm could find its good idea being appropriated by others.
Complete secrecy is the obvious solution, and the easiest way to achieve this is not
just to do the R&D yourself (Solution 1 above) but to finance it yourself.
Hurdle 7 (asymmetric information) could also put off outside investors even if
the firm did decide to go to the outside capital market. Outside investors would
typically have less knowledge regarding the prospects for the project than the firm
itself, which could make outside investors wary of believing the firm’s promises.
Also, the outside capital market might heavily discount R&D projects that are highly
uncertain (Hurdle 4) and have long time horizons (Hurdle 6). For all these reasons,
the firm may prefer to fund R&D from its internal capital market. The downside of
this solution is of course that it may lead to promising projects never seeing the light
of day due to internal budget limitations.
(3) Corporate-level R&D
One solution that can be presented as dealing with a number of hurdles is to
amalgamate Engine Corp’s three R&D teams into one corporate R&D lab and make
it report directly to headquarters as in Figure 3.4. It is also the solution adopted by
T&N in Exhibit 3.2.
Engine Corporation
Headquarters
R&D
M P M P M P
1. One trade-off is that this spoils the neat creation of natural decision units
associated with the M-form corporation. Divisions now only have individual
responsibility for production and marketing issues and share R&D, so it is now
more difficult to evaluate the divisions as self-contained units within an internal
capital market.
2. R&D is also more distanced from the divisions they relate to, which may make
R&D less sensitive to market opportunities being identified within divisions;
there is a danger of an ivory-tower insularity being created for corporate R&D.
This would increase Hurdle 9.
3. In turn, managers in divisions may be less aware of technological developments
that could be turned into commercial opportunities than they would have been
when teams like the Skunkworks were working beside them at divisional level.
4. Also, while Engine Corp is only modestly diversified into three businesses
drawing on the same core technology, many firms are diversified into a large
variety of businesses and technologies. Creating a corporate R&D lab in this
latter set of circumstances could create an unfocused entity with disparate and
unrelated expertise and skills. In short, this solution may solve some problems,
but at a price. In some cases firms may judge the price too heavy and prefer to
stick with R&D conducted at divisional level.
Since product groups funded most of T&N’s R&D products, why not also give
them the responsibility and resources to undertake the R&D in the first place?
expected internal rate of return using discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques. If a
project has a positive present value, or if the yield beats the firm’s cost of capital, then
the project should be accepted. If this approach were to be adopted for R&D projects
it would lead naturally to a bottom-up approach to the determination of the R&D
budget in which the budget is the aggregation of all projects that pass the DCF test
(positive present value or internal rate of return that beats the cost of capital).
However, Hurdles 4 (unmeasurable uncertainty), 6 (long time horizons) and 7
(principal–agent problems) are particular problems here. It is difficult to make
accurate and objective estimates of innovative projects, and those who are best placed
to make estimates of project potential may have incentives to put a positive gloss on
future potential. Even if these problems could be avoided, the long time horizons
involved would also make the estimation of project value highly sensitive to assump-
tions regarding future interest rates and costs of capital; a small variation of 1–2 per
cent in the estimated cost of capital could make a considerable difference to project
value when long time horizons are involved.
One way that firms respond to these problems is to use a top-down approach to
R&D budgeting; the R&D Director or Manager is given an annual budget which
may be calculated on the basis of past experience and/or rules of thumb such as
percentage of sales. This Head of R&D for Engine Corp then allocates funds to
individual projects on the basis of what are seen as the most promising projects,
often using rank ordering methods; Hurdles 4 and 6 are likely to be a problem,
which means that more qualitative and intuitive yardsticks than DCF methods may
be used to judge projects, as in the case of Pilkington (Exhibit 3.6). Top-down
budgeting allows a stable allocation of funding for R&D to be created and it pushes
responsibility for R&D decisions further down the hierarchy and closer to where the
actual expertise in assessing projects’ technical potential lies. It can help reduce the
severity of Hurdle 7 in that the Head of R&D will have to deliver an acceptable level
of innovative performance over the long haul, but such top-down allocation has the
disadvantage that it may respond less flexibly to lean and productive spells as far as
innovative possibilities are concerned. There is also the danger that Hurdle 7 may
still be a problem if it allows R&D to become divorced from the rest of the firm and
less sensitive to market needs. Some companies have also modified top-down
budgeting by permitting internal markets in R&D between central R&D divisions
and operating divisions (see Exhibit 3.3 and Exhibit 3.4). It is also possible to
maintain fairly tight control at project level without going as far as introducing DCF
techniques (see Exhibit 3.2).
However, divisions frequently resented paying what was regarded as a tax. Conse-
quently, Siemens reduced the contribution of headquarters to central R&D to one-third
with the divisions free to commission research from central R&D if they wanted to, or
even to contract for R&D outside Siemens. As a consequence central R&D had to begin
actively treating divisions as potential customers for its services. The new system in
Siemens encouraged the creation of an internal market in R&D between central R&D
and the divisions. Central laboratories staged annual fairs for each of the operating
divisions. They advertised their R&D project ideas to potential buyers from the divisions
with lectures and demonstrations. The potential divisional customers could pick
programmes and negotiate terms of the deal, including price. To prevent overselling of
R&D ideas, Siemens paid bonuses to laboratory managers who ran efficient laboratories,
which included cutting back staffing levels where required.
If Siemens’ internal market in R&D projects is such a good idea, why not open
up the market to external customers?
A more sophisticated variant of the third solution is to split R&D into ‘R’ and ‘D’
components with ‘R’ forming a corporate research department and all the ‘D’s going
to their natural divisional homes (see Exhibit 3.3). In Figure 3.5 this would mean that
the corporate research department would work on engine research projects, while
each of the three divisional development teams would work on projects that simply
adapt existing technology or convert the output of corporate research into innova-
tions. Since research tends to involve more inter-divisional spin-offs, be more
uncertain and have longer time horizons than development, this might seem one
way of splitting up R&D into more compatible homes than would be the case if it
was assigned either to divisional or headquarters level. Typically, the main objection
to such splitting up is a variant of Hurdle 9 – it can become more difficult to co-
ordinate and integrate R&D activity when it is broken up into four different
locations as in Figure 3.5.
Engine Corporation
Headquarters
M P D M P D M P D
problem) is to give divisional managers two separate budgets, one for operational
activities and one for innovative activities. This has the advantage of reducing the
chances of divisional managers treating the resources for R&D as trading off against
resources for operational activities (and preferring the latter). It can institutionalise
and help maintain the allocation of resources to innovative activity at divisional
level. However, it does not necessarily solve the problem that divisional managers
would still be naturally inclined to spend more of their own time on short-run,
divisional-specific operational concerns. It also muddies performance assessment
criteria in the M-form. It is easy to compare divisional performance if you have a
single measurable criterion such as return on investment. It is more difficult when
you have more than one criterion, especially if one is difficult to quantify. How do
you compare the performance of a manager whose division has produced a high
return on investment and three modestly promising innovations, with a manager
whose division has produced a lower return on investment and one innovation that
just might be a blockbuster?
the urgency of the task means they will have little opportunity to sit down and
communicate dead-ends and completed tasks to each other. Parallel search is
wasteful, haphazard and badly co-ordinated compared to sequential search, but it
does have the advantage that it may produce the needle more quickly.
This is an example of time–cost trade-off in search processes, and as a search
process R&D often faces a similar dilemma. Sequential R&D search can take
advantage of what has been learnt in the previous stage of the project while parallel
R&D search into similar promising areas may result in duplicated effort and limited
transfer of learning between parallel projects. In short, parallel R&D may help attain
a desired outcome more quickly, but at a price. Whether – and to what extent –
organisations are willing to indulge in parallel R&D and incur a possible time–cost
trade-off will be influenced by the urgency with which a rapid solution is sought,
that is whether more emphasis is given to Hurdle 5 or Hurdle 6.
for co-operative strategies, but one reason is that firms with innovative ideas do not
always have the scale and breadth of activity required to bring a project to market
successfully. Entrepreneurial and innovative developments are frequently found in
small-scale operations that can avoid the stifling effect of Hurdle 4 (uncertainty and
fear of failure) and 6 (long time horizons) found in larger organisations, and indeed
some curiosity-driven research is sometimes even on the scale that can be conduct-
ed on a part-time basis and in back rooms or garages. Since such operations typically
have little, if any, vested interests to sacrifice, they also avoid Machiavelli’s problem
(Hurdle 8). Although such research often turns out to be the basis for major new
technologies, it is when the firm or researchers try to move through downstream
R&D stages towards commercialisation that small innovative companies often find
problems.
Larger firms can be better placed than small firms to bear the high cost and pos-
sibilities of failure that may be associated with the downstream stage (Hurdles 5 and
4) while they may also be better placed to withstand the cumulative delays that may
be involved before the project begins to recover its development costs (Hurdle 6).
This opens up the possibility of symbiotic relationships between small innovative
firms specialising in the upstream reaches of the R&D spectrum and larger firms
with deeper pockets helping to move the project through the more costly develop-
ment and marketing stages. Such symbiosis may be expressed in the form of joint
ventures between large and small partners, or the small firm licensing its technology
to the larger.
The main barrier or disadvantage associated with such strategies is that co-
operative agreements are often seen as a second-best option by firms. If a firm can
undertake a venture on its own it will generally prefer to do so, since unified control
can help to maintain a consistent strategy and avoid the managerial and transaction
costs associated with co-operative strategies. Some of these costs will be discussed
further in Module 7. If a firm can manage to replicate the potential partner’s
advantages itself, it will generally attempt to do so. Clearly, it may be difficult for a
small firm to replicate the scale advantages a large partner could offer it, but it may
be more reasonable to expect a large firm to be able to mimic the entrepreneurial
characteristics of a small-scale entrepreneurial partner within its boundaries. This
has been described as intrapreneurship, and firms have adopted a number of ap-
proaches to try to create such an environment. Solution 7 above is an example of
one device designed to encourage intrapreneurship and we shall discuss others
below.
contributed 35 per cent; with the remaining 40 per cent split between government
contracts and Lockheed.
As well as specifying that R&D should pay off quickly, GE also specified how these
funds should be allocated – 15 per cent on product improvements, 35 per cent on
developing successors to current products, 35 per cent on next-generation products,
and 15 per cent on ‘blue sky’ or speculative ideas. The new financing arrangements
helped give priority to divisional needs and this was reinforced by the appointment of
business managers at central R&D to monitor R&D work done for their divisions and
help match technical work to commercial needs. Also, GE abolished the traditional
hierarchy at central R&D in which lab managers reported to branch managers, who in
turn reported to more senior managers. A loosely structured team of four individuals
now had overall responsibility and the new system emphasised informal communication
and flexibility with ideas passed between different teams in the various laboratories. This
particularly assisted GE in areas which might require the integration of ideas from a
variety of disciplines.
However, some analysts charge that the shake-up slowed technological innovation at
GE. Growth was largely driven by acquisitions rather than internal development, and it
lost ground in rankings of new patents issued.
Which of the ‘solutions’ (Section 3.5) to the innovation problem does this
exhibit illustrate?
(16) Quasi-autonomy
A solution to the innovation problem which has been tried in a variety of forms is
to give an individual or team which comes up with a promising idea quasi-autonomy
by spinning it off into a separate unit or company. The parent company may keep a
financial stake in the spin-off and provide some back-up where required, but
otherwise the scientists/managers effectively take control of the spin-off. Owners
and financial stakes may be drawn from the parent company, the scien-
tists/managers themselves (to demonstrate commitment and provide performance
incentives) and the outside capital market (to subject the idea to a market test).
Quasi-autonomy reduces the chances of Machiavelli’s problem (Hurdle 8) impeding
development, which might be the case if the project stayed fully inside the firm. It
should also mitigate Hurdle 7 (asymmetric information) since the scien-
tists/managers now have to put their money where their mouth is. If the project
fails, so does the firm, their financial stake and possibly their job opportunities.
An obvious difficulty for the firm is that this solution reduces its potential share
in the pay-off from a successful project as well as its control over the scien-
tists/managers and their activities. It may be thought worthwhile if it is reckoned to
increase significantly the chances of successful innovative activity, or if it is seen to
be a way of keeping a loose association with creative scientists who might otherwise
have left the firm altogether.
there is somebody committed to arguing the case for a new idea, the natural forces
which reinforce the status quo will tend to squeeze out even good new ideas. A
product champion who is enthusiastic about the idea and committed to its success
can make the essential difference between success and failure in many cases. The
advantage in having a persuasive and credible product champion to counteract
natural tendencies towards organisational inertia have been demonstrated convinc-
ingly in a number of studies. The product champion may also be able to devote the
time to perform the integrative function required to overcome the compartmentali-
sation of specialised functions associated with Hurdle 9. A difficulty here is that the
organisation still has to maintain a balance between encouraging innovation and
maintaining control; if there were considerable rewards for being a successful
product champion and few penalties for being an unsuccessful one, then managers
might spend too much time chasing speculative and impractical schemes at the
expense of taking care of normal business. It is also difficult to institutionalise and
plan for this role; it would be unlikely that anyone would be appointed to a formal
position whose office nameplate reads ‘product champion’. The existence or
absence of product champions can reflect the particular personalities and circum-
stances arising on a situation-by-situation basis. The best that organisations can
hope for is to create an environment conducive to the development of product
champions as an integral and recognised part of the corporate culture.
However, basic research may also be seen as being potentially consistent with
profit-oriented objectives. Serendipity (the making of happy and unexpected
discoveries by accident) is frequently a characteristic of basic research activity. Basic
research may eventually lead to commercial applications in some cases even if these
applications cannot be specified in advance. Consequently, some firms may set aside
a part of their budget for basic research, though such allowance is usually a relatively
minor part of the total R&D budget (see Exhibit 3.5 and Exhibit 3.6).
Which of the five characteristics of R&D projects discussed in Section 3.2 are
illustrated in this exhibit?
Which innovation hurdles (Section 3.4) did Pilkington address with their new
strategy?
At the same time, a new phenomenon has emerged in recent years – some sec-
tors such as biotechnology have seen the growth of R&D performing firms with a
strong basic research element. One factor that has influenced this development is
the widespread perception in the capital market that the traditional long lags and
delays between the conduct of basic research and subsequent commercialisation of
applications are shortening. If basic research might result in a commercial applica-
tion in, say, thirty years’ time, it is unlikely to excite the capital market. These lags
helped reinforce the traditional division of labour between universities and firms,
with universities doing basic research and firms working around the downstream
end of the spectrum. However, if the same research could have commercial
opportunities in, say, five years, then the capital market is much more likely to sit up
and take notice of firms looking for investors willing to take an equity stake to help
them support work in such an area. While it has to be said that results in these areas
have not always been as impressive as hoped for (possibly reflecting Hurdle 7 and
asymmetric information between the firm and its financiers), the important aspects
here involve expectations. If the relevant parties believe that the lags are shortening,
this may be sufficient to trigger a more favourable attitude to basic research con-
ducted by private organisations.
Engine Corp at the end of Section 3.4. Each tends to deal with only some hurdles
that contribute to the innovation problem and there are usually trade-offs or costs
attached to each. Engine Corp could find itself interested in a number of the
solutions, or only a few at most. Nor do these solutions exhaust all the possibilities,
though they do help to demonstrate some of the range of human ingenuity that has
been applied to one of the most important and difficult of organisational problems.
You should review how many of the solutions you thought of in Exercise 3.1.
Do not be too hard on yourself; many of the solutions may have been taken for
granted by you (such as conducting and financing R&D internally), while others are
responses to particular situations (such as second-in strategies and terms of R&D
contracting). You may also have thought of good solutions that do not appear
above. This does not indicate they are wrong; as we have just pointed out, the
innovation problem is so pervasive and serious that firms have tried many different
solutions with varying degrees of success. What the above list does show is that it is
one of the most important and difficult problems that the firm faces.
Learning Summary
Innovation is a central issue, possibly the central issue in strategic management. We
have seen that it is an area rich in fallacies, hurdles and solutions. Innovation has a
number of characteristics that create problems for those trying to encourage it; it is
low in specificity and high in uncertainty, it can take a long time to come to fruition
and it can be costly to develop. As well as offering the opportunity to protect or
create competitiveness, it can be a major and continuing source of threats for many
firms and sectors.
Strategy for innovation must be firm-specific, and even case-specific. What works
for one firm at a certain point in time may not work for other firms, or even for the
same firm at a different point in time. What works for one case or situation within
the firm may not translate easily into other cases. Many of the solutions to the
innovation ‘problem’ we looked at here are partial solutions, or may even create
additional spin-off problems. Strategy here involves trade-offs, with some solutions
helping deal with one hurdle or difficulty, but at a cost. There are few, if any, free
lunches in this area and the strategic dilemma in this context revolves around
deciding whether the cost and problems associated with a particular solution may be
worth the (highly uncertain) benefits it could deliver.
Review Questions
3.1 What is the best strategy for innovation?
A. First-in.
B. Second-in.
C. Last-in.
D. It depends on the situation.
3.2 Compared to sequential R&D projects, parallel R&D projects can typically:
A. save R&D costs and shorten delays in innovating.
B. shorten delays in innovating but with increased R&D costs.
C. add to delays in innovating but save on R&D costs.
D. increase R&D costs and add to delays in innovating.
Learning Objectives
After completing this module, you should be able to:
describe the diversity and range of vertical relations in the firm;
analyse and explain major trends in vertical relations in recent years;
identify spurious arguments in favour of vertical integration;
explain the hold-up problem and describe possible solutions to it;
compare and contrast the costs and benefits of vertical integration.
4.1 Introduction
This is the first module in which we shall look at the direction that the firm’s
strategy will take, and here we shall concentrate on vertical relationships. It is also
one of the most controversial areas in corporate strategy today. However, until
recently it was not a topic that was seen as being of real interest in strategic circles.
Some firms such as large petroleum companies had always been vertically integrated
right through much of the value chain as long as anyone could remember,1 while
other firms such as the car makers were more likely to deal with external suppliers
and distributors. The topic was generally regarded as a routine sort of problem area
that had standard solutions.
Not any more. In the last few years this topic has become one of the most dy-
namic and interesting areas of strategy. This is reflected in the spread of terms such
as downsizing, outsourcing, core competences, value-adding partnerships, virtual
corporation and hollow corporation to describe emerging issues in this area. And
the old certainties have often been replaced by heated debate. For example, it is as
easy to find critics of downsizing as it is to find supporters. Matters have moved so
quickly that many current texts in strategic management still make only passing
mention of vertical relations.
The good news is that there have also been a large number of studies stimulated
by the changes in this area and we now know a lot more about the important issues
and influences involved. We shall start by defining the major issue in the next
section and then look at trends in Section 4.3. In Section 4.4 we shall see how some
plausible arguments in this area actually turn out to be flawed on closer examination.
Section 4.5 looks at the costs of market organisation of economic activity. Then in
Section 4.6 we look at possible costs of integrating vertically, before considering in
Section 4.7 why firms might wish to choose different strategies. Section 4.8 explores
other types of vertical relations.
1 In fact many of the large oil majors became vertically integrated before the First World War.
Stage 1 Y
Stage 2 W Z
Stage 3 X
Stage 4
Exploration
Backward or
upstream
Extraction
integration
Refining
Forward or
downstream Distribution
integration
Retailing
So why do firms vertically integrate? Some analysts argue that it helps the firm to
exercise direct control over the production process. However, this does not really
take us very far since it amounts to little more than a definition of vertical integra-
tion. It is like saying you want to own a car (rather than lease) because it gives you
direct control over the car. This just describes what ownership does; it does not
compare the advantages and disadvantages of ownership versus market alternatives.
If we are to begin to make sense of this area, we have to be able to explain why
different methods of co-ordinating vertical relations may be appropriate to different
circumstances.
Suppose we assume that each of the 16 white circles in Figure 4.1 is a separate
firm. We can start our analysis by observing one feature of vertical relations that
Figure 4.1 helps to illustrate – vertical relations are compulsory, but horizontal
relations are optional. What we mean is that there is no compulsion on any of the
firms in Figure 4.1 to have contact with any other firms at the same stage. As we
shall see in Module 5, firms may afford to be selective about whether and where to
pursue horizontal links. For example, horizontal links involving firm X and other
firms in Figure 4.1 may be encouraged if there appear to be attractive opportunities
for co-operation with other firms at the same stage of production, or diversification
possibilities. But if the firm decides there are no horizontal links worth considering,
it can simply ignore horizontal links altogether.
However, any unit that wishes to survive as a commercially viable unit must be
able to find a way to get vertical access to both supplies and customers. For exam-
ple, our firm X in Stage 3 in Figure 4.1 must get supplies from Stage 2 and find a
way to win customers in Stage 4. This means that vertical relations can involve firms
in activities that are very different from its core business. The skills involved in
smelting and selling aluminium ingots are very different from the skills involved in
making and selling pots and pans further down the vertical chain. The business of
running a petrol service station bears little resemblance to the tasks involved in
drilling for oil.
Of course, this does not necessarily mean that the firm has a limited choice of
suppliers or customers. It may well have some flexibility over exactly where it finds
supplies and customers in the respective cases. For example, does it go for a cheap
or a high-quality supplier? Does it target home or foreign markets? But what it does
mean is that the firm may have to deal with various stages that require very different
management skills and capabilities. As we shall see in the next module, this is a
problem that is usually associated with unrelated or conglomerate diversification.
However, it may help us approach the problem of vertical relations if we understand
that a firm can encounter similar problems in this context without ever leaving its
home industry.
Before we look at trends and issues in more detail, we need to establish the range
of vertical relations that may be open to the firm. Here are some of the most
important types:
Spot contract: contractual agreement for the immediate supply of a good or
service, usually for a specified price and quantity.
2 Some writers also tend to drop the condition of one firm dominating the other from their definition of
quasi-integration and see it as simply involving close co-ordination between firms, which would make it
little different from a value-adding partnership. This could be a mistake since it misses out a central
feature of many cases, e.g. the example of Nike discussed here.
3 Alfred Chandler (1977) provides a full analysis of the growth of vertical integration in US industry, and
some of the discussion in this section is based on his account.
characterised by product variety and shorter production runs. Not only was giant
size unlikely to provide advantages in such cases, it could be positively harmful if
increased scale and complexity made the enterprise difficult to administer and co-
ordinate.4
So by the end of the First World War, the pattern that was to dominate much of
the twentieth century was clearly established. Vertical integration was now widely
associated with corporate success. Many of the world’s largest and most successful
firms had pursued this strategy; vertical integration, size and profit seemed to go hand
in hand. It was recognised that it was not a strategy that was appropriate for all
industries, but to some strategists that just suggested that this might be a problem of
the industry, rather than a problem of the strategy itself.
If there is one case that exemplifies the changing attitudes to vertical integration
in recent years, it is probably IBM. Like many of its predecessors in the more
traditional industries, IBM developed a vertically integrated strategy. It not only
made its own computers, it had its own internal sources of semiconductors and
software, and had its own sales and service organisation. IBM’s experience shows
the dangers of being locked into a vertically integrated strategy and becoming
insensitive to signals indicating the need to change. But questioning the logic of
vertical integration has not been confined to the computer industry; it is a question
now raised in many sectors. The question is often asked of backward integration
especially, and can usually be phrased along the lines of ‘Why are we doing this
activity? Could someone else do it better/cheaper for us?’ There have always been
areas where firms tended to deal with outside firms; for example, few firms make
the chairs or PCs that they use in their offices. However, once firms began to
scrutinise the costs of doing it themselves versus getting an outside supplier, less
obvious areas began to become candidates for outsourcing. Should the firm
maintain an engineering section to repair its own computers, or would it be bet-
ter/cheaper to contract out this activity to a specialist company on a long-term
contract? Should the company employ its own cleaners/window clean-
ers/typists/flower arrangers, or should it employ other companies to do this on a
contract basis?
Two complementary forces encouraged the drive towards outsourcing in cases
like these. First, if activities are fairly standard (such as cleaning and computer
repair) then competition between potential suppliers should eliminate excess profit
and drive prices down towards competitive levels. Unless there are special features
creating barriers to entry, it may be difficult for the firm to perform the activity
more cheaply than would an outside supplier. Second, firms need a large variety of
inputs and services to operate in the marketplace. The more activities they are
directly involved in, the further the managerial resources of the firm will be
stretched. By concentrating on their core competences, the management of the firm
can stick to what the firm is particularly good at and not dissipate their energies on
peripheral activities that do not add much value to the firm.
4 Chandler gives the example of firms in the American wool and leather industries to illustrate the
problems of large size in such sectors.
These points are well understood and recognised now. However, in some cases
the trend towards downsizing and outsourcing has gone well beyond the limits of
the types of cases we have described above. Some firms now rely on other firms for
inputs that could be regarded as central to their competitive advantage, such as in
the case of computer companies outsourcing the software and hardware they put
into their machines (an example of a firm that has deliberately decided not to pursue
an outsourcing strategy is shown in Exhibit 4.1). The basic question of whether and
where to integrate vertically has become a lot more interesting in recent years, but
that does not necessarily make it easier to answer.
In the next section we shall establish some basic ground rules concerning what
vertical integration is not, before going on to look at the considerations that may
influence vertical relations in practice.
Which of the kinds of asset specificity discussed in Exhibit 4.3 do you think INA
is dealing with here? (HINT on site specificity – what implications do you think that
just-in-time manufacturing could have for site specificity?)
firms at each stage and their market shares would be unaffected. On that basis at
least there would be no obvious reason for saying that vertical integration had
distorted competition in this sector.
The key word above is ‘obvious’, since we shall see below that vertical integration
may have side effects that could attract the interest of agencies responsible for
monopoly control. However, while vertical integration certainly creates a bigger
firm, the important point here is that this does not automatically imply concomi-
tant monopoly power in practice.
3. Vertical integration is not justified solely on technological grounds.
A technological justification for vertical integration would be one in which it is
argued that steel-making processes should be combined within one firm to save
on reheating costs from one stage to another. But what is to stop having one
firm at one end of a line producing molten steel and another firm at the other
end purchasing the steel and processing it before it has a chance to cool? This
might seem a dubious solution because both firms may have to invest in expen-
sive and relatively immobile equipment that would be difficult or expensive to
disengage and redeploy if the relationship turns sour. Either firm might see an
opportunity to hold the other to ransom and refuse to continue with the rela-
tionship unless the other caves into their demands and accepts a poorer deal in
return. In these cases, single-firm ownership through vertical integration could
be simpler and avoid the problems and traps that could be set if there were a
separate buyer and seller for the molten steel.
There is nothing wrong with such an argument, but the important thing to note
is that it does not relate to technological impediments to having a separate buyer
and seller at both stages, but to transactional problems. Vertical integration may
be adopted in such cases, not because it is impossible in principle to have a sepa-
rate buyer and seller for molten steel, but because it may be just too difficult or
expensive to maintain the exchange agreement between them. It is a matter of
transaction cost, not technology, and so it is to matters of transaction cost that
we turn in the next section.
The figure shows short-run supply and demand curves for a commodity-type
market, in this case the stage in which a basic metal is produced. The market is in
equilibrium with supply just equal to demand at an industry output of 50 units per
week and a price of $20. The supply curve is relatively inelastic suggesting that the
producers cannot easily vary the amount available in the market in response to a
change in price. The demand curve is also relatively inelastic, indicating that
consumers tend to need only so much of the commodity in a given period and are
fairly insensitive to a change in price.
These are the types of supply and demand relations which could fit a number of
the world’s major industries such as copper, steel and aluminium, as well as non-
metals such as wheat, rubber and petroleum. The trouble is that these are also
characteristics which can pose severe problems for the planners of companies
operating in such environments. To see why, all you need are a pencil and a ruler.
Got your pencil and ruler? Right, imagine that a major new producer comes into
this market – perhaps they’ve opened up a new mine and the result is that the
normal weekly supply is augmented by an extra five units of volume a week. They
are going to add this to the world market regardless of the price. This means that
the supply curve will shift to the right by five units. Sketch that in for Figure 4.3.
The new producer has added only about 10 per cent to the world’s supply, but if
the market settles at the new equilibrium that your modified diagram should show,
the price of ingots will fall dramatically. This would be bad news for the suppliers at
this stage, who could find their profits collapse along with the price. If producers
tried to stem the tide and defend the price, the new supply would mean that there
would be excess supply at any price greater than the new equilibrium price. This
would mean too many ingots chasing too few buyers, a buyers’ market where they
could pick and choose suppliers and some suppliers may be excluded altogether
from the market because they cannot find a buyer. Either way, it is an unpleasant
scenario for the producers and sellers of ingots.
What could the producers do about this? It is too late once the new supplies have
come on to the market. One answer is to be a forward-thinking producer, forward not
just in terms of anticipating or defending against such problems before they happen,
but forward in terms of direction of integration. If a producer of ingots were to buy
up a producer at the next stage downstream before the disruption in the market
caused by the new producer, it could give them a guaranteed market for ingots
shielded from the ensuing chaos. Forward integration here could be a form of
insurance policy, in a situation in which no insurance company would write an
insurance policy. (In fact, something like an insurance policy could exist in this market
in the form of a long-term contract between a producer and supplier, guaranteeing
prices and outputs even if market conditions change. The problem is that even long-
term contracts cannot defend against structural and enduring changes in the market;
eventually the contract will expire and the producer will have to deal with the harsh
realities of life in the open market.)
Demand
Supply
40
30
$
20
10
0
10 20 30 40 50 60
by the fact that there is heavy emphasis on customising heavy vehicles to the needs of
customers, which tends to increase variety and differentiation in the final product and
puts demands on in-house capabilities.
The way that Scania has dealt with this problem has been to create a modular design
system based on standard parts and components to maximise the volume of production
of each element as far as possible and achieve economies in R&D, production and
distribution at this level.
The number of components involved in building a Scania truck is about 20 000 com-
pared to 25 000 at Volvo and 40 000 at Mercedes. Then flexibility and variety are
generated from the different combinations of components that are possible. By retaining
production in-house Scania is able to rationalise the number of components required
and explicitly design them to be integrated with the rest of the system. It sees its
focused strategy of concentrating on heavy trucks over 16 tonnes as an integral part of
this success story. Were it to venture into other market segments such as lighter
trucks, it would stretch the ability of this modular system to cope with the demands
that could be placed on it.
recognised in economics, which tends to assume that individuals have all the
information they need to make the best possible decision from their point of view,
whether it is utility-maximising consumers or profit-maximising firms. Second, the
concept of opportunism, which means that individuals are prepared to cheat, lie and
generally misrepresent the situation in the pursuit of their own interests.
Third, we have the notion of asset specificity, or assets specialised by use or user. If
an asset has a high degree of asset specificity it means that it is of little use or value
outside its present application, or to someone else. Examples of assets with a high
degree of asset specificity could be a machine designed to make components for the
space shuttle or a taxi driver’s specific knowledge of London streets (asset specificity
can refer to human capital as well as physical capital). It may be difficult to find uses
for these assets outside their present applications. Examples with low degrees of
asset specificity could include an aircraft and an MBA degree. Routes can close
down and firms may go broke, but it should be possible to transfer aircraft to
service other routes, while a good MBA training should represent a marketable and
portable asset to its bearer. The major types of asset specificity are shown in Exhibit
4.3.
motives, intentions or actions (or in some cases, not until it is too late) that makes
opportunism a concept with real mileage in transaction cost economics.
It is when bounded rationality and opportunism join with asset specificity that
real problems begin to appear in economic activity. We can see how this might
happen in the case of our steel example in the previous section. Suppose we have
our single producer of molten steel selling to the single buyer further down the line.
To begin with it turns out that the physical equipment used by both seller and buyer
is characterised by high degrees of asset specificity. If the buyer says it does not
want to take any more molten steel, there is no practical user available for the red-
hot steel pouring out of the producer’s furnaces. And if the producer says that it
does not want to sell to the downstream user any more, there is no effective other
source of molten steel for the user since it is tied into a physically integrated
production system.
Both the buyer and seller of the molten steel may also face problems of bounded
rationality, even though they may both receive assurances concerning the terms of
trade from their respective trading partners. The seller may affirm that it will supply
a given quantity of steel on demand at a specified price, while the buyer may testify
that they will pay for an appropriate amount of steel at a particular price. The
problem is that both are dependent on the other keeping to its part of the bargain
and bounded rationality means that there may be no way of guaranteeing that they
mean what they say. Add in the possibility that either partner may behave opportun-
istically and breach the agreement if it suits him, and now you have a recipe for a
highly problematic transaction. The hold-up problem is the most obvious source of
transaction costs in such a situation. Let us see how this can arise.
getting its workers to work overtime unless of course an improved price is agreed.
Or the market for steel slumps, and the buyer tells the supplier that it is thinking of
pulling out of the market – unless, of course, the seller offers substantial discounts
on the prices already agreed.
Of course, the seller may be misrepresenting the difficulties of getting workers to
work overtime, while the buyer may be lying about the chances of its pulling out of
the market. But that is the problem with bounded rationality. It may be difficult or
impossible to verify whether or not parties are behaving opportunistically in such
circumstances. Even the existence of a written contract may not be sufficient
protection from hold-up. Court settlements can be costly and time-consuming and
there may be little comfort in having the option of taking your partner to court for
breach of contract if the hold-up threat means you could be bankrupt first.
It is also important to note that it is the conjunction of bounded rationality, op-
portunism and asset specificity that creates the problem in such circumstances. If
there was no bounded rationality, traders would know whom to trust and whom not
to. Or if individuals could be relied on not to be opportunistic, then both parties
could accept that unexpected circumstances could be resolved sensibly and amicably
with both agreeing to share out the costs (or gains) from unexpected developments
as they arose. And if there was no asset specificity, then either firm could withdraw
and seek alternative deals as soon as its existing trading partner indicated signs of
opportunistic behaviour. For example, if the product was timber and not molten
steel, then a producer may be able to find alternative outlets on the open market if
the buyer starts to try to renegotiate the deal, while the buyer of timber may similarly
be able to find external supplies if the seller turns out to be a less than reputable
supplier. Take away any one of the three issues of bounded rationality, opportunism
and asset specificity and the transaction cost problems are greatly reduced and may
even become trivial. Put them all together, and the transaction cost problems may
become severe and may even deter the parties from agreeing the transaction in the
first place.
In some cases, the transaction cost dangers may be most severe where only one
party to the transaction suffers from asset specificity. In the case of our molten steel
example, the firms may be reluctant to carry out their hold-up threats if there is a
danger of shooting themselves in the foot at the same time. However, suppose a
firm is the only one capable of producing a particular component demanded by
more than one user. Now the users and their activities are highly dependent on a
particular transaction but the supplier is not; asset specificity from the point of view
of the users, but not the supplier. The supplier might be able to play one firm off
against the other and extract major concessions from each given its advantageous
bargaining position. Alternatively, a firm may encourage more than one supplier to
build specialised equipment to supply the same component to it. The firm now has
multiple sources and so is not dependent on any one supplier for the component,
but each supplier is totally dependent on the user firm. In this case, it is the user
firm which may be able to play one trading partner against the other, improving its
own position and profitability at the expense of its suppliers.
A great deal will depend on the culture and attitudes of the other firms that the
hold-up merchant is likely to deal with. In some cultures a breach of trust may be
shrugged off with the attitude that a sucker should not be given an even break, while
in others betraying even a verbal commitment may be regarded as unforgivable.
Wide differences in attitudes to opportunistic behaviour between sectors can even
be observed between sectors in the same country; in general, misrepresentation is
not something that normally ends the career of the manager of a pop group, but it
can be a bad career move for a diamond dealer in some circles in the US where trust
is of paramount importance. Exhibit 4.4 shows the advantages that firms can obtain
in cases where the possibility of hold-up is seen as a minor or only occasional
problem.
Perhaps the most useful way to see the hold-up problem is in terms of not neces-
sarily representing something as crude and direct as a threat to terminate the
relationship unless the other firm pays up. Instead, the major problem in market
exchange relations characterised by asset specificity lies in the fact that the parties to
the transaction are likely to have different objectives and strategies. The car firm
may be desperate for components to prevent its production line stopping but its
supplier may be preoccupied trying to win a big new contract elsewhere. Or the
component supplier may need to keep its production line running steadily during a
downturn to prevent the need for redundancies, but the car firm may see this as
nothing to do with it. These may lead to transactional problems and production in
both firms may be subject to hold-up as a consequence. However, unlike transaction
cost economics we do not need to argue that either or both firms have to be
opportunistic for hold-up5 to occur. All that it needs is a quite natural difference
between the firms in terms of what they regard as being in their own best interest.
This can lead to a real fear that the interests of the firm may be adversely affected
through the actions of trading partners who do not have the same interests or
objectives.
5 You might think there is a difference between what is meant by ‘hold-up’ here and what is meant by
‘hold-up’ resulting from the previous discussion, and you would be right. The earlier use of ‘hold-up’
was more in the sense of a robbery, as in holding up a stagecoach; the second implied a physical
stoppage as in the production line being ‘held up’. They can be regarded as resulting from the same
source, but the objectives and attitudes of the trading parties are not the same.
and prefers to use a system of dual sourcing from different suppliers. This allows it to
hedge against unexpected problems with one supplier while allowing the firm to play
one supplier against another to improve quality and reduce costs. The potential perils of
relying on just one source of supply for immediate supply of a component have been
demonstrated when fire, earthquake or even tsunami have disrupted its supply chain.
However, none of this has been sufficient to deter Toyota from maintaining both its
kanban system and its keiretsu network since it still believes the long-term benefits
outweigh the costs.
What implications could the existence of economies of scale and asset specifici-
ty in supply of components have for supply chain organisation here?
often be seen as restrictive especially if, as in the case of the singer, he wants more creative
freedom later in his career.
George Michael had built up a teen idol image in the eighties, first with the pop group
Wham! and then as a solo performer. But his Listen Without Prejudice album sold only 7m
copies against 15m for its predecessor. He refused to participate in many promotional
activities for the album and sued his record label Sony in a $3.5m action, claiming that it had
not supported his attempts to nurture a more mature image. His attitude was understand-
able, as was that of Sony, who had invested a great deal in cultivating a certain image for the
star. George Michael lost the court action and then almost disappeared from public view,
with no new albums for some years (record companies typically like a new album at least
every three years).
The impasse was resolved by Virgin Music and DreamWorks buying him out of the Sony
contract for $45m, with a $10m advance for Michael (in turn confirming that George
Michael’s skills were not assets that were restricted to supplying one record label with
material). When his next album, Older, was released it went on to critical acclaim, and
became one of that year’s fastest selling albums, number one in many countries. Even so,
some analysts expected that Virgin and DreamWorks would make only a modest profit on
this venture, despite their sharing in the risks of his switch of image. This was because of
high promotional costs and the attractive royalty deal he had been able to negotiate.
However, Michael was also seen as enhancing the reputation of the label, giving them more
bargaining power further downstream with retailers, and increasing their chances of
attracting other performers to the label.
Would banning long-term contracts help protect the interests of recording artists?
Standardised assets. One solution is to design the system so that off-the-shelf
standard components or materials can be used, instead of one that may involve the
creation of specialised equipment. For example, the car firm may decide to use
standardised plastic material for its dashboards instead of customised wooden facia.
The advantages are obvious in that it means there may be readily available alternatives
to the present supplier in the event of a hold-up problem. However, the disadvantages
are equally obvious in that if the firm relies on standardised components it may lose
at least some of the distinctiveness in design or performance that would provide a
source of competitive advantage.
Hostages. Another solution to the hold-up problem involves the provision or
exchange of what can be described as hostages. These come in many guises and
forms, but the basic logic is the same. The hostage may have to be sacrificed by the
firm if it tries to withdraw from the transaction or behave opportunistically. A
deposit for a house or a holiday is an example of a hostage familiar to many of us.
Common forms of hostage in construction circles are penalty clauses for late
completion. In the case of firms generally, a common form of hostage comes from
involvement in multiple transactions with the same firm, say the same producer
supplying more than one component to the car firm. The advantage of such hostages
is that both firms know that they have more riding on their joint relationship than a
single transaction, and they may avoid hold-up opportunities if they think it could
lead to retaliation against them in the other transactions they hold jointly with the
firm. The disadvantage can be similar to repeated contracting in that the firm may
become locked in and face a more limited choice over who to deal with than might
otherwise be the case.
Multiple sourcing. Multiple sourcing means that more than one supplier is
chosen for a component or material. The advantages are that asset specificity and
vulnerability to hold-up can be reduced or eliminated, if it means that there is an
alternative source of supply that can be turned to if one supplier tries to hold up the
firm. The disadvantages are that multiple suppliers mean multiple contracts and
associated costs of setting up and dealing with these contracts. It may also mean
higher cost of supplies if the scale of output of individual suppliers is now insuffi-
cient to reap economies of scale fully.
Vertical integration. Finally, it may be possible to eliminate the problems of
market exchange and its associated transaction costs by full-scale combination of
the two stages of production in one firm. This may be achieved by internal expan-
sion, merger or acquisition. The advantages of vertical integration are that it may help
to synchronise and align the objectives and actions of those involved in both sides
of the transaction so that they are not acting against each other’s interests.6 Conse-
quently the hold-up problem may be eliminated. And the disadvantages of vertical
integration? That is something we now need to look at in more detail in the next
section. However, before we do, we shall finish this section with a curious hybrid,
the case of tapered integration.
Tapered integration. On the face of it, tapered integration appears a curious
solution in that it involves partial integration backwards or forwards. The firm sells
the same product to its own in-house units and to external purchasers, or it produc-
es some of its own components and purchases some of these same components
from outside suppliers. The apparent strangeness of the solution stems from the
belief that it would be natural to expect that circumstances would encourage one or
other solution, but not both. If market problems lead to the firm replacing market
exchange with its own organisation, why does any market exchange remain? If
market exchange is good enough for some portion of a firm’s products or inputs,
why is it not good enough to handle all of the transactions involving these same
products and inputs? And why should the firm have to cope with the strains of two
distinct methods of organising the receipt or delivery of the same product or input?
Tapered integration appears at first sight to be a strange strategy for the firm to
adopt, but it can have certain benefits in dealing with the possibility of a hold-up
problem. The advantages include limiting the opportunity for external firms to exert
hold-up threats. The firm may now have the in-house capability to compensate for
hold-up with stepped up production of its version of the components or, in the case
of forward links, it may be able to divert downstream supplies in-house. It will also
be able to get a more intimate working knowledge of the stages it has bought
directly into, and this familiarity and experience should also help to limit the ability
of external firms to misrepresent the true situation to them. On the internal side of
6 This argument is based on the optimistic assumption that everybody in an organisation wants to row in
the same direction and at the same speed. This may be overly optimistic and in practice there are still
likely to be differing objectives and intentions on the part of individuals and groups within the
organisation. The point is that vertical integration should make these problems less severe.
things, the knowledge that there is an external alternative should have a beneficial
effect on incentives and help keep the firm’s own in-house units on their toes. The
disadvantages include the possible sacrifice of economies of scale by having at least
two separate sources of supply or methods of distribution for an activity, as well as
the fact already referred to that the firm has to deal with two very different methods
of organising the vertical chain when there is a tapered solution.
Stage 1
Innovative
or low cost
producer
Stage 2
Stage 3
Stage 4
Are there any potential difficulties signalled by Section 4.6 that might have to be
taken into account in Delphi’s and Visteon’s search for external customers?
Large size. Clearly vertical integration creates a bigger firm because it combines
what would have been two separate firms within one bureaucracy. However, this
can be a major understatement of the effect that vertical integration can have on the
size of firms. We can see this by reference to Figure 4.5.
Suppose we have two firms at Stage 1 and three firms at Stage 2 (the ovals in
Figure 4.5). All five firms are working at full capacity and have fully exploited the
economies of scale that exist at the respective stages. Firm B and firm E are only
able to take some of the output of firms A and D respectively; the remainder of the
output of Stage 1 is mopped up by firm C. Now, suppose there are at each stage
severe problems of transaction costs which could be resolved by vertical integration.
A D
B C E
Vertical relations with rivals. Suppose in Figure 4.5 that the only real problem
of transaction has been concentrated in relations in A and C and that these two
firms resolve these problems by merging and becoming vertically integrated. The
problem is that these transaction costs issues may be resolved only by creating
others. Now that A and C have merged, firm B finds that its supplier (A) is also now
a rival (C). Its supplier A might make reassuring noises that it will treat B and C
evenhandedly, but in a world of bounded rationality and opportunism, why should
B believe that A would not give preferential treatment to its own customer? Note
that this is bad news for A as well as B, especially if B begins to take protective
action to pre-empt any opportunistic action by A. It was possible problems such as
these which led the US chemicals company Hercules to make a deliberate decision
not to integrate forward into the final product stage in case it upset and worried
some of its existing industrial customers.
Note that our new firm A+C may have a mirror image problem with firm D in
Figure 4.5. Firm D may be worried that a major customer C is now obtaining
supplies in-house from A. For example, it could be concerned that if C had to
choose between A or D, say in a time of declining demand, it would naturally prefer
its own in-house supplier, especially if pressure was brought to bear by headquarters
management.
These problems of vertical relations with rivals also help to explain why vertical
integration may quickly spread through a sector once the process is triggered by one
or two major firms. It may or may not be a good idea, but if its suppliers and custom-
ers are doing it, a risk-averse firm may decide that a safer strategy may be to follow the
leader and vertically integrate rather than leave itself vulnerable to a trading partner
now becoming a direct rival.
All these issues together suggest that it is not sufficient to look at vertical integra-
tion as something that simply involves two firms merging or one firm simply
extending its operation into another stage. The process can involve many firms and
can even transform the structure and conduct of an entire industry. It is not enough
simply to compare the costs and benefits of vertical integration for a firm to those
of market exchange. What we have to do in practice is analyse the alternative
strategies open to a firm in principle, in the context of the actual environment in
which it operates. If a firm’s major competitors are vertically integrated, then this
may suggest a different array of costs and benefits if it chose to integrate vertically,
than would be the case if there were universal market exchange and no vertical
integration between the various stages of its industry.
solution, and vice versa. However, certain circumstances are more likely to throw up
certain kinds of problems than others, so it will be useful to go through some of the
major influences here. It should be noted that none of these influences guarantees
that a particular set of circumstances will automatically lead to one strategy being
adopted compared to another. They are merely background factors which may have
to be taken into account in framing options for the future.
First, it may be possible to patch up the market alternative, for example by drawing
on one or more of the solutions to the hold-up problem discussed in Section 4.5.2.3
above. Second, even if the transaction remains bedevilled by transaction costs, this
may still be a cheaper or better solution than resorting to vertical integration.
Vertical integration is still a solution which will involve administrative costs. The
question is, will these costs be less than the transaction costs of market exchange
solutions, including market solutions where the firm has taken steps to try to guard
against or reduce transaction costs? With these points in mind, the features encour-
aging vertical integration tend to be the other side of the coin from those
encouraging the market alternative and will include some at least of the following:
1. Unstable, unpredictable demand and supply conditions
2. Differentiated product
3. Few firms, at least at one stage
4. Few firms not vertically integrated
5. Transaction-specific investment required
6. Technological know-how concentrated in pockets in the sector
7. Rapidly changing technology
8. Difficult to check that contractual obligations are being fulfilled
9. Real fear of being cut off from supplies or inputs
10. Similar scale of production necessary at each stage
11. Similar competences required at each stage
12. Difficult to establish or maintain reputation and trust in this sector
13. Low possibility of repeated buyer–seller relationship
These features will tend to push vertical integration higher up the firm’s strategic
agenda. However, it is also important to note that vertical relations can take many
forms and involve many different types of activity. We deal with some of these
issues in the next section.
area firms now often outsource standard transactions such as those dealing with
accounts payable, but hire internal experts in acquisitions and cross-border risks.
This is consistent with the transactions cost perspective which suggests that
standardised transactions involving a low degree of asset specificity are more likely
to be outsourced. However, as our other examples here show, there is no single
strategy that works in all cases. The trick is to analyse the situation and the alterna-
tives carefully and work out as far as possible all the implications of different
solutions.
Learning Summary
One single powerful conclusion here – there may be no one solution to the problem
of the ‘best’ strategy to adopt in the case of vertical relations, but we now know a lot
about the problems that firms may face in coming to terms with the vertical chain
that it is part of. There may be a variety of solutions open to the firm in deciding to
organise and participate in its vertical chain. Some of these solutions may turn out to
be fashionable fads, while others may provide workable solutions for a while before
being overtaken by events. At least one thing has become clear in the last few years
in this area of strategy; the old assumptions that certain kinds of sectors favoured
market exchange and others favoured vertical integration have been subjected to
rigorous testing and probing by firms. Vertical integration has been shown to
conceal various problems that outsourcing and downsizing have been developed to
deal with. This is now a fast-moving and dynamic area of strategy in sharp contrast
to its decades as a rather dull backwater.
Review Questions
4.1 The hold-up problem may lead to:
A. horizontal integration.
B. lateral integration.
C. vertical integration.
D. quasi-vertical integration.
4.3 In transaction cost economics, the four main types of asset specificity are:
A. site specificity, physical asset specificity, human asset specificity and dedicated
assets.
B. informational specificity, physical asset specificity, site specificity and human
asset specificity.
C. informational specificity, technological specificity, site specificity and physical
asset specificity.
D. human asset specificity, technological specificity, site specificity and dedicated
assets.
References
Chandler, A.D. (1977) The Visible Hand, Boston, Harvard University Press.
Williamson, O.E. (1985) The Economic Institutions of Capitalism, New York, Free Press.
Learning Objectives
After completing this module, you should be able to:
analyse the gains from specialisation and diversification using the value chain;
distinguish between the sources of different kinds of costs and benefits associat-
ed with diversification;
explain why firms diversify;
analyse alternatives to diversification;
consider the implications of different forms of diversification;
explain the persistence of the conglomerate strategy for many firms.
5.1 Introduction
In this module we shall look at corporate diversification. If there is one topic which
is associated with variety as to where corporate boundaries are set, it is diversifica-
tion. Firms can only vertically integrate so far, and as we shall see in Module 7,
expanding firms’ boundaries into joint ventures often tends to be regarded as an
option of last resort. Even multinational expansion is something which tends to
rank low in firms’ preferences. As we shall see in Module 6, firms typically prefer to
concentrate their assets at home rather than disperse them globally in the form of
overseas subsidiaries. However, diversification is less subject to such constraints and
limitations, and this has led to a profusion of directions and patterns of competitive
strategy in this area. At one extreme we have the conglomerates such as BTR
(Exhibit 5.7) which managed a diverse array of about 1000 businesses, while at the
other extreme we have specialised companies such as Intel which effectively limit
themselves to developing and manufacturing the engines that drive modern com-
puters. The purpose of this module is to provide a basis to help us understand how
such a rich diversity of strategies may evolve and the principles that can underlie
individual diversification strategies. As we shall see, concepts such as value, efficien-
cy and opportunity cost are central to diversification questions. Principal–agent
problems, transaction cost issues and value chains will be seen to play important
roles here also.
In Section 5.2 we shall begin to look at the logic of alternative strategies by play-
ing a Diversification Game that helps introduce basic elements underlying
diversification. We build on the lessons learnt here to look in Section 5.3 at general
issues surrounding the question of why management would want to diversify, and in
Section 5.4 we look at the different forms that diversification strategy can take.
However, before we start the discussion, there are three questions for you to think
about. The second and third questions clearly relate to one form of diversification
strategy (the conglomerate), but the link between the first question and the topic of
diversification may appear less obvious; we hope it will become clearer by the end of
the module. So, here are the three questions. Read the paragraph that follows them,
think, then scribble down your responses. The answers follow almost immediately.
What proportion of US manufacturing firms with assets of over $20m in 1917
(the largest 236 enterprises at the time) have survived until the present day?
Conglomerates tend to be large firms. What proportion of the world’s largest
firms are conglomerates?
With the new emphasis on ‘focus’, are conglomerates disappearing?
We need to clarify what we mean by ‘survive’ and ‘conglomerate’. Survival here
includes the firm remaining independent, or merging with another firm. This is
consistent with treatment of the firm as a going concern. If a firm has failed and has
no further economic value as a going concern, then it may be closed down and its
assets scattered to their next best uses. This is death in the financial sense to the
firm. However, mergers and acquisitions usually involve the perpetuation of the
firm or firms being taken over, frequently as divisions or groups within the enlarged
combination. In this sense the firm typically survives merger and acquisition. And
the ‘conglomerate’ corporate strategy is characterised by diversification into new and
unrelated businesses.
The answers to the questions may appear surprising. Most people (including
economists) when asked the first question give a survival rate ranging from 20 to 70
per cent, and 40 per cent is a fairly typical guess. (What was your guess?) In fact the
answer is about 97 per cent. For example, the 1955–75 period was quite typical.
Only one of the 500 largest firms in the US went bankrupt in this period, and that
was a firm specialising in Cuban sugar following Castro’s rise to power in 1959. The
answer to the second question depends on where you draw the line of the world’s
largest companies, but the answer is likely to range from 0 to 4 per cent. Most large
firms are not conglomerates and this has always been the case even when it was very
chosen this method to pursue this direction? The notion of opportunity cost will be
extremely helpful here because it serves to remind us that strategy is about choice
and alternatives. For example, why has a firm chosen conglomerate diversification if
it could diversify into closely related technologies and markets? Why has it gone to
the trouble of diversifying into a new market all by itself if a joint venture with
another firm could help provide complementary marketing expertise to ease its
entry? As with vertical integration, diversification can only really be understood by
comparing it to the alternatives in each case.
1 2 3 4 5
6 7 8 9 10
Figure 5.1 The Diversification Game seen from Firm 3’s perspective
Figure 5.1 shows the game seen from the perspective of one of the players, Firm
3. Firm 3 makes leather motorcycle (M/C) jackets and could expand here in one of
five ways. It could stay in the same business by merging with the other M/C jacket
firm, it could diversify its product line into M/C trousers, it could move out of
leather technology into M/C helmets, it could move out of the M/C market into
leather handbags, or it could move into a business unrelated to its present skills –
umbrellas. For simplicity, Figure 5.1 concentrates on showing Firms 6 to 10
inclusive as outlining the range of possible targets for Firm 3, though of course
Firms 1, 2, 4 and 5 could also be targets.
The question Firm 3 has to consider is how to choose between these alternative
moves. We can help it by adding three rules of the game. The first two rules are
inspired by strategic management considerations, while the third is designed to
ensure fair play.
Rule 1: Competitive advantage. Each player must seek competitive advantage
over the other. In our simple game we assume particular moves may enhance
competitive advantage in one of two ways; the move must help shift at least one
demand curve or one cost curve in a way that adds value to the firm’s activities.
As Porter (1987) points out, diversified firms do not compete; only their individ-
ual business units do. If diversification is to have benefits it must be in terms of a
positive impact on the ability of at least one of its businesses to compete in the
marketplace.
Rule 2: Only one move at a time. Diversification is an expensive, time-
consuming business that soaks up valuable managerial resources. There is only
so much managerial time available at any moment to help the firm expand. Once
management have successfully helped absorb and integrate the new business
within the firm, they may be released to explore and achieve further diversifica-
tion opportunities. This feature of firm growth was first explored in detail by the
economist Edith Penrose and her work helped lay the foundations of what has
come to be known as the resource-based approach to corporate strategy. Here
we assume the management only have the time to work on one diversification
opportunity at a time.
Rule 3: Fair play. As we would expect in a properly conducted game, there is a
referee to ensure that fair play takes place. Here fair play is interpreted to mean
that a particular move does not allow a firm to achieve a dominant position that
would allow them to exercise monopoly control over customers or suppliers.
Each move has different implications for competitive advantage. The most obvi-
ous move is perhaps Firm 3 merging with or acquiring Firm 8 – the specialisation
move whose impact on value chains is shown in Figure 5.2. Figure 5.2 breaks the
value chains into four main areas (R&D (including design), production, marketing
and distribution) and gives examples of categories of resource that might be
exploited in each case (such as plant, equipment and labour force in the case of
production).
sales force
Distribution trucks Distribution
marketing department
market research
Marketing Marketing
advertising
plant
Production equipment Production
labour force
research
R&D R&D
development
D D D D
M Partial links between
M M M
the value chains in the
P P case of both helmet P P
R&D R&D and handbag moves R&D R&D
Firm 3 ... plus ... Firm 6 Firm 3 ... plus ... Firm 9
The M/C market Leather technology
D = Distribution
M = Marketing = Marketing and distribution linkages
P = Production
R&D = Research and Development = Technological linkages
into umbrellas, (bottom right, Figure 5.3), then there may be no significant linkages
across the respective value chains in any category.
Exhibit 5.1: Resource effects and allergic reactions: the case of BIC
BIC Corporation is based in New York and is the well-known manufacturer of writing
instruments, lighters and razors. Traditionally about half of the company’s turnover was
accounted for by pens, with the rest being split between lighters and shavers. There was
also a small involvement in sport (principally sailboards), while an unsuccessful move
into perfume was discontinued. Its main rivals in writing instruments are Gillette and
Scripto Tokai; in lighters they are Scripto Tokai, Swedish Match and low-cost Far East
producers; and in shavers they are Gillette and Schick. BIC’s main activities have no
obvious relationships to each other when seen as products. Pens, lighters and razors are
not substitutes for each other, nor are they complements. However, there are poten-
tially strong linkages between the three areas in terms of resource effects. On the
technological side all three businesses depend heavily on skills in manufacturing low-cost
plastic and light metal disposable products.
There are also strong similarities between the businesses on the marketing side; all
three areas sell products with similar selling characteristics based on price, quality and
disposability and fragmented retail outlets. However, these resource effects themselves
were not sufficient to justify diversification in all cases, with BIC’s attempts to draw
upon its expertise in these areas to make and sell perfume proving unsuccessful.
Would it not have made more sense for BIC to have specialised within the same
market (e.g. adding electric razors to its disposable razors business) rather than
diversifying into new markets (e.g. from razors into lighters)?
D D
M M Handbags and umbrellas
P P selling to similar markets
R&D R&D
the most effective way of trying to exercise control over their markets. But such
control is likely to be diluted to the extent that the businesses are only loosely
related. At one extreme the specialisation move in Figure 5.1 may lead to a consid-
erable increase in market power (if it is allowed to go through), while at the other
extreme the move into umbrellas may have no effect at all on the control that the
firm can exercise over customers or suppliers.
Every type of gain from resource effects may also be achieved by co-operating with
other firms without the need to expand boundaries by diversifying. For example, the
technological and sales resource effects for the leather M/C garment move in Figure
5.3 might be realised by Firms 3 and 7 combining into one firm and directly
managing the sharing of resources. Alternatively, each individual resource may be
shared even though the firms remain separate. One sales force could represent the
other’s products on a fee or commission basis, truck space could be rented between
the two firms, marketing advice provided on a consultancy basis, market research
sold, production sub-contracted, and R&D licensed. Even intangibles such as
reputation may be exploited by separate firms sharing resources, as when washing
machine and washing powder manufacturers jointly advertise and effectively
endorse and sponsor each other’s products. The reason why expansions such as this
one are more likely to be pursued by diversification rather than separate firms co-
operating is quite straightforward – it is because of transaction costs. Firms 3 and 7
would have to agree, set up and monitor contracts for exchange services in each
individual resource category. As we saw in Module 4, uncertainty concerning future
conditions and possible opportunism on the part of the partner can make contracts
to exchange even one resource expensive in terms of transaction costs. Multiply
these effects by all the individual resources for which contracts have to be arranged
in this case, and you have a recipe for exhausted managers and happy lawyers. On
the other hand, leather M/C jackets and trousers are likely to be so similar in terms
of their technological and selling characteristics that leather M/C management
should be able to slip into trousers from jackets (and vice versa) without too much
trouble. Therefore diversification is likely to be relatively straightforward in this case
while co-operative alternatives are more likely to be characterised by high levels of
transaction costs.
On the other hand, supposing we were discussing an expansion possibility that
involved only a single link such as the washing powder/washing machine tie-in
discussed above. Washing machines and washing powders are technologically quite
different and are also typically sold in different outlets; one is an expensive durable
bought at infrequent intervals while the other is bought on a regular basis. While
there will be transaction costs in setting up any advertising tie-in between the two
goods, these transaction costs will be limited to the advertising campaign since
otherwise the two companies would continue to be run separately. On the other
hand, if the two firms decided to merge to co-ordinate this linkage, this diversifica-
tion would be more similar to the umbrella option in our Diversification Game in
Figure 5.3 than it would be to any other option in terms of the resource effects.
Given the radically different nature of the powder and machine markets, this move
would run a real risk of allergic reactions. Consequently, the transaction costs of
limiting the move to co-ordinating the single linkage through a tie-in campaign
between the two firms are likely to be modest compared to the likely cost of allergic
reactions resulting from an ill-judged merger between two very different businesses.
Comparing possible allergic reactions and transaction costs in the different cases
we have looked at here suggests some simple conclusions. Co-ordinating resource
sharing to generate enhanced value and in turn competitive advantage can be
handled in different ways, for example through diversification or sets of co-
operative agreements between two firms: the gains may be similar in the two
different cases; what differs is the likely cost of achieving these gains. If diversifica-
tion is chosen and co-ordination of linkages pursued within a single combined firm,
then the chances of allergic reactions tend to increase the less related the two firms
are to each other. On the other hand, if co-operative agreements to co-ordinate
linkages are the means chosen, then transaction costs of co-ordination are likely to
increase the more related the two businesses are to each other. Diversification is
therefore likely to be the more effective means of pursuing expansion when
businesses are closely related (as in the trousers/garments example), while some
form of co-operative agreement between separate firms is more likely to be appro-
priate when the businesses are very different (as in the washing powder/washing
machine example). At least this seems to be the case when we look at simple Games
as in the cases above. However, we shall see in Module 7 that firms may be forced
into more complex Games in which diversification moves are not an option; co-
operative solutions such as joint ventures may be the only option if linkage co-
ordination is to be possible at all.
This also leaves us with a puzzle. We have seen that conglomerate diversification
(such as jackets/umbrellas) is difficult to justify as a direction, because of opportunity
cost reasons; if you must diversify, the message of the Diversification Game seems
to be that you should diversify into related opportunities as far as possible. Howev-
er, in our Game, the diversification option also appears condemned as a means of
expanding into unrelated or loosely related areas. For example, the washing pow-
der/washing machine businesses are so unrelated in technological and selling
characteristics that this combination would effectively be a conglomerate one. As we
have seen, once the possibility of allergic reactions from merger are taken into
account it would usually be simpler and cheaper to exploit the solitary reputational
linkage through co-operative tie-ins and keep the two firms separate. The conglom-
erate therefore seems doubly damned, first as a direction and second as a means of
pursuing that direction. Some of the best minds in strategic management and
industrial economics have wrestled with this problem and we shall return to it in
Conclusions.
Figure 5.5 How diversification can aid control of markets and technolo-
gies
5.3.2 Synergy
If resources can be shared across value chains for different businesses (as in the
jackets/handbags merger of Firms 3 and 9 in Figure 5.3) they may give rise to cost
savings described as synergy in strategic management and economies of scope in
economics. If the businesses are effectively the same (as in the jackets/jackets
merger of Firm 3 and Firm 8 in Figure 5.3), then these resource effects are de-
scribed as economies of scale. There can be two main sources of gains in such cases.
Indivisibilities. Resources tend to come in lumps – a factory, a truck, a ma-
chine, an economist etc. If you were to cut each of these resources in two
physically, they would not be able to do their job any more. The fuller the use
that can be made of these indivisible lumps, the lower will be the cost to the firm
of using these resources. These gains may be achieved by increasing utilisation of
an existing resource; for example, if Firm 3 has invented an improved method
for stitching leather, then merger with either Firm 9 or Firm 8 in Figure 5.3 may
help to share the technology across the respective value chains. Alternatively, the
gains may help the firm to employ a resource that is more efficient at the levels it
is now operating at; for example, if Firm 3 merges with either the leather jacket
or leather handbag firm, then in each case it may be able to replace two small-
scale leather-working factories with a single, larger and more cost-effective facili-
ty.
Specialisation. Expansion of the firm may permit increased specialisation of
resources which in turn can lead to enhanced value for the combined firm. For
example, each of the leather-based firms at the start of our Diversification Game
may find it too expensive to employ a specialist designer; the job of production
management and design is carried out by a single individual in each case. The
merger of Firm 3 with Firm 9 or 8 could allow the creation of a specialist pro-
duction manager and a specialist designer for the enlarged firm. This can have a
number of benefits: (a) individuals can specialise at what they are best at, (b)
there would be reduced transition costs resulting from the individual having to
switch back and forward between quite different activities; they can now concen-
trate on one activity, (c) it can facilitate learning and improvement of skills and
experience if they can concentrate on one set of tasks. Similarly, there may be
gains from specialisation in the case of physical resources. For example, the plant
manager’s office may have doubled as a conference room for each firm at the
start of the Diversification Game. By merging facilities in the case of Firm 3’s
merger with either Firm 9 or 8, it may be possible to create a single plant manag-
er’s office and single conference room for the combined businesses, both
customised to the purposes for which they were exclusively designed. There
should also be a gain for reducing transition times between tasks; for example,
the plant manager would no longer have to clear his office for a conference.
These are similar to the gains from specialisation of individual managers and
workers, with the exception of the learning gains that humans can also achieve.
However, with the development of smart machines, who knows – maybe one
day we shall be talking of learning gains from machine specialisation as well.
While specialisation is generally seen as a potential source of enhanced value in its
own right, like the gains from indivisibilities discussed above it really is an effect that
also comes back to the fact that resources tend to come in lumps. However, there is
one issue here that might seem strange at first sight. The gains from indivisibilities
and specialisation of resources are the type of gains that have been well explored in
numerous studies in economics. Usually these effects are reported in respect of
economies of scale in the production process. The types of resource that are usually
seen as counting in this context are machines and workers. However, in studies of
corporate strategy, the kind of resource that is usually identified as important
appears much vaguer and indeed intangible. In particular, it is common to talk of
synergy from diversification resulting from ‘competences’ or ‘capabilities’ that
management can transfer across activities as the firm diversifies. At first sight these
are very different resources from the machine and worker examples that are usually
encountered in economics. Examples of these are shown in Exhibit 5.1 and Exhibit
5.2 which illustrate BIC’s competences in manufacturing and selling simple disposa-
ble consumer products and Daewoo Electronics’ competences in manufacturing
and selling simple consumer electronics. Exhibit 5.3 also shows how diversification
within an industry can help spread competences over larger volumes of corporate
activities.
The differences in fact stem from the level of the analysis in the respective cases.
Competences and capabilities – say in selling, producing or inventing – are resources
of the firm just like machines and workers. By sharing them across businesses, the
firm may enhance its value in just the same way that the traditional firm could
exploit economies from indivisibilities and specialisation of machines and workers.
The difference really lies in the level of the analysis. Economics has traditionally
focused at the level of individual products – like a jacket or a helmet – and looked at
cost and price considerations in the respective cases. Strategic management focuses
instead at the level of the individual firm and looks at the resource questions that
matter at this level. The bigger and the more diversified the firm, the less likely that
economies from sharing tangible resources such as plant and equipment are going to
be important at the level of corporate strategy, and the more likely that intangible
resources such as managerial capabilities are going to be of relevance.
Could the two firms have exploited the gains expected from merger without
actually having to merge?
firm could now be organised around divisions (created around products, pro-
cesses or territory) in a Multi-divisional or M-form structure. For example, our
firm in Figure 5.4 could split its business into a handbags division and an um-
brellas division. The major advantages that M-form structures have been
identified as having over U-form structures for the large diversified firm include
(a) the creation of profit centres (the divisions) to aid assessment and compari-
son of performance, (b) putting together resources that have most need to co-
ordinate their activities into natural decision units, and (c) the separation of strat-
egy formulation management responsibilities at headquarters level in the firm
from the functional responsibilities at divisional level.
finance such as shareholders might find it difficult to evaluate how well or badly
such an agglomeration of businesses is being run. This can act to help conceal
negligent, incompetent or inefficient management.
Lock-in. One of the great virtues of the market mechanism is its flexibility. If
opportunity cost considerations mean that assets have negative value in their
present use, the market mechanism provides very effective devices for reallocat-
ing assets to their best uses. However, internal markets can be stickier and more
sluggish than external markets. Suppose, for example, in Figure 5.4 the bottom
falls out of Handbags, and this division becomes unprofitable. The best use of
the resources would be to close Handbags and disperse the assets to their next
best applications. However, there may be a principal–agent problem in that
management of the firm may be reluctant to do this because of the synergy that
Handbags currently exploits with Umbrellas. If Handbags disappeared, Umbrel-
las could become less profitable; Handbags’ closure could be followed by
Umbrellas folding, with management losing their firm and their jobs. The result
is that inefficient, unprofitable and obsolescing businesses may be propped up
well beyond their sell-by date in an internal market in ways that would not be
tolerated if the businesses were subjected to the cold, dispassionate scrutiny of
the external capital market.
‘Not invented here’ syndrome. Divisions may place more value on ideas
developed by themselves and less on ideas developed elsewhere, even if these
ideas have been developed by other divisions within the same company. Markets
may not develop spontaneously within the firm; they may have to be actively
created and maintained, sucking in expensive senior management time and re-
sources as in Exhibit 5.4.
These are general effects that might be expected from creating a large and more
diversified firm operating a series of internal markets. However, one of the most
widely considered markets in the context of the diversified firm has been the internal
capital market. By throwing corporate boundaries around the various businesses
operated by the conglomerate, it was argued that this would allow the firm to avoid
the transaction costs associated with the blunter and less sensitive instrument of the
external capital market, had these firms remained independent, smaller and more
specialised. The conglomerate could exploit advantages in terms of information,
control and divisionalisation from treating the firm as a mini-capital market. For
example, if a division had a good idea that needed development funds, senior man-
agement within the firm should be better placed to evaluate its potential than some
outside source of finance less well acquainted with the firm, its management, its
markets and its technologies – and less well placed to observe and penalise opportun-
istic behaviour. These ideas were introduced in the 1970s to explain the growth of the
conglomerate firm in particular.
The problem with this justification for the conglomerate is that if it works well
for conglomerates it works even better for related diversification. Remember our
distinction between directions and methods at the start of this module; the internal
capital market justification for the conglomerate is a justification of the conglomer-
ate as a method. Essentially it says that in certain circumstances internal markets are
more efficient than external markets, so if you have to choose between the con-
glomerate and a series of independent firms, you might be better off with a con-
glomerate.
But this argument focuses on conglomerates as a method of organising resources;
it does not tell us why this direction is chosen. In fact, if the conglomerate can exploit
internal markets this way, so also can related diversifiers, and indeed related diversi-
fiers generally have more opportunities to create internal markets than do
conglomerates. Figure 5.7 helps illustrate this using elements from our Diversifica-
tion Game. Suppose we rewind our Game back to the beginning and start off with
our ten original firms. To extend the possibilities of conglomerate expansion we add
two more firms from the fast-food industry to our Game; individually these two
firms start off as equal players to all the others just as in our original version, and we
again assume they have a 50/50 share of this market. However, there are no
potential selling or technological linkages that anyone can identify between fast food
and the other firms in the Game. In this version of the Game we shall start with
Firm 1 (M/C helmets).
However, this is still not enough to justify the conglomerate as a direction for
expansion. Our M/C helmets firm could have chosen instead to diversify into, say,
leather M/C jackets and then leather M/C handbags as shown in Figure 5.6. This
expansion strategy is based on relatedness, first on the selling side (M/C market)
and then the technological side (leather). Firm 1 could still expand into these
markets and form an M-form structure around the three businesses. It could still
create an internal capital market allocating funds to divisions in terms of their
potential returns, just like the conglomerate. However, it has the potential to create
and maintain more internal markets than did the conglomerate. For example, it
could create an internal market in technology, with R&D in leather ideas being
swapped across the leather-based divisions. It could create an internal market in
transportation, with truck space in servicing M/C retailers being traded between the
two M/C market divisions – and so on. In short, anything the conglomerate can do
in terms of creating internal markets, related diversification can usually match, and
then add further internal markets of its own.
So diversification based on M-form structures can indeed help to build internal
markets that may be more efficient than external markets in some circumstances,
but this is something that the related diversifier is better at than the conglomerate.
The creation of internal markets may help provide a reason for the method of
diversification, but the direction it points towards is very much related diversification,
not the conglomerate.
5.3.5 Growth
One frequently cited argument for diversification runs as follows: because of
separation of ownership and control and asymmetric information (managers know
more about the running of the firm than owners), there is typically a principal–agent
problem with managers having some discretion over pursuing their objectives at the
expense of owners’ objectives. Owners would normally wish the firm to maximise
profits, but managers may wish the firm to maximise growth – growth brings with it
certain managerial rewards. Managers may see prestige, security of tenure and salary
as more directly linked to firm size than firm profitability, and indeed empirical
evidence has tended to reinforce these perceptions in some cases. This possible
conflict of objective suggests that managers might pursue diversification for growth
rather than profitability reasons, and this has been put forward as a reason for the
growth of conglomerates by some analysts.
This is something we shall return to below when we look at possible reasons for
the evolution of the conglomerate, but our simple Diversification Game helps make
one strong point here. If the management is pursuing moves designed to enhance its
growth prospects these are exactly the same moves that should help enhance its
competitive advantage (and profitability) as far as possible. This is because moves
that generate the maximum competitive advantage (such as the creation of a
specialised leather M/C jacket monopoly by Firm 3 acquiring Firm 8) will release
more resources than one which exploits weaker linkages. Whether the firm then
uses these resources to benefit owners rather than pursue more growth depends on
whether there is a principal–agent problem here. If management is growth maximis-
ing, it may well use these resources for expansion rather than shareholder dividends.
However, just as in the case of internal markets, this explanation may help reinforce
the case for related diversification and staying as close to home base as possible. It
does not provide a clear reason why conglomerate diversification should be pursued
when related opportunities are available.
agent problem here, with managers not necessarily acting in the best interests of
the owners of the firm.
S0
Sales Corporate diversification
reduces firm’s vulnerability
to variation in Umbrella sales.
But are there cheaper ways
of dealing with risks?
0
T1 T2
pattern shown in Figure 5.7, then showing sales records to a bank or another
possible source of finance should help demonstrate how troughs and peaks bal-
ance each other out in this case. On this basis, the firm may be counted a good
bet for short-term finance such as overdraft facilities to help it through a sales
trough.
Stockholding. Variation in sales may be problematic because it disrupts
production. Dips in sales may leave machines idle while surges in demand may
not be able to be met because of limited machine capacity. If the peaks and
troughs in sales tend to balance out over time as in Figure 5.7, then one way of
smoothing production and allowing the plant, machines and workers to be fully
utilised is to absorb surplus production during slack periods in the form of
stocks. These stocks can then be run down at the same time that machines are
worked at full output during times of peak demand.
Insurance. Insurance is not something which can be arranged for all sources of
variability in sales because of the opportunism problem; if all dips in sales could be
insured against, the umbrella firm could claim a particular fall was due to unfore-
seen circumstances, when it might be due instead to managerial laziness or
incompetence. Again, this a particular form of principal–agent problem which
may interfere with such agreements or even make them impractical. However, if
the events causing the variation in sales can be independently confirmed (say
theft of goods in transit, or dip in sales because of a dry quarter), then it may be
possible to pass these risks on to an insurance company.
Long-term contracts. Another way the umbrella firm could pass on the risk of
variability is by arranging a long-term contract with the retailer in which the latter
agrees to have the umbrella firm as sole supplier. It might even be possible to per-
suade the retailer to accept a fixed quantity of umbrellas each month. Why should
the retailer tie its hands in this way? Usually because the retailer values the relation-
ship with the supplier highly and does not want to lose it, for example through the
supplier going bankrupt. There may be other benefits to the retailer, for example it
may accept the contract in exchange for a discount on sales. In practice, such long-
term contracts may be difficult to arrange for a manufactured good like umbrellas
where the retailer may make intermittent sales and which is subject to the vagaries
of fashion; they are more commonly found in markets for components or com-
modities; for example, some contracts for the supply of coal from mines to
adjacent power stations have been found to have a 35 to 50-year lifespan.
Vertical integration. As we saw in Module 4, one way to reduce risks and
guarantee sales would be to integrate forward and become your own customer.
While vertical integration carries its own risks and problems, in some cases it
may allow the firm to stay closer to its core skills than does diversification.
None of these solutions is free. Liquid assets have an opportunity cost in that they
might be used for more profitable investment opportunities. There will be a price to
pay for short-term finance, insurance and long-term contracts that may be reflected in
interest charges, insurance premiums, and price discounts respectively. There will be
warehousing and maintenance costs incurred from storing stocks. And vertical
integration may bring with it its own special sets of problems as we saw earlier.
However, each of these solutions has one fundamental advantage over corporate
diversification; it allows the firm to concentrate on its core competences and avoid the
opportunity costs associated with diversifying away from these core competences
simply to reduce risk. For the firm in Figure 5.7, the costs of the various options
available for dealing with risk are typically likely to be less than the opportunity costs
of diversification to reduce risk. Therefore, if managers say that they are diversifying
to reduce risks, this is not necessarily something which should impress shareholders
reading the annual report. Shareholders can usually diversify more cheaply than can
corporations, while many risks can be eliminated or reduced more cheaply by manag-
ers without the need to incur the substantial opportunity cost penalties associated with
diversification.
However, there is one class of risks that we have not looked at yet. The risks that
we have looked at so far have been of a particular type – they add a source of
variability but they do not disturb the underlying prospects for this business. At the
end of period T2 in Figure 5.8, the average sales of umbrellas are the same as they
were at the start of the period. But suppose our source of variability threatened this
cosy and stable set-up. Suppose a competitor (Firm 5) introduces an improved
umbrella in time period T2; it might be made of improved materials, be a better
design, be cheaper, etc. Whatever the difference, it establishes the fact that this firm
now has a clear competitive advantage over our umbrella firm, Firm 10. Sales of
Firm 10’s umbrellas begin to slump alarmingly as shown in Figure 5.8. How do the
alternative options discussed above for dealing with risk compare now?
Technological bomb:
competitor invents
an improved umbrella
D D
M M
P P
R&D R&D
Handbags Umbrellas
Umbrella sales
Figure 5.8 Some options for dealing with variability and uncertainty
Unfortunately, if decline persists indefinitely, liquid assets and external finance
will eventually dry up, mountains of stocks may build up and not deplete, insurance
and long-term contracts will become scarce or unobtainable, while vertical integra-
tion will just dig you further into a deepening hole. Each of the alternatives to
diversification discussed above reflects the assumption that Firm 10’s umbrella
business is going to continue as a viable concern for the foreseeable future. Howev-
er, in Figure 5.8 the innovation by the competitor leads to such continued and
deepening haemorrhaging of Firm 10’s sales and income that this assumption is no
longer tenable. This is a firm that is in deep trouble. The only route that offers some
possibility that its survival could be protected would be diversification. For example,
if Firm 10 had merged with Firm 4 (Handbags) as in Figure 5.4, then Handbags
could help provide a life raft that management could clamber into as Umbrellas
slowly sinks below the waves. This is shown in Figure 5.8 with the strategic bomb in
the case of the Handbags/Umbrellas diversification hitting only the Umbrellas
business.
If different divisions within a firm (such as McKechnie, TI and GE) can benefit
from an internal market trading and sharing R&D ideas, what is to stop different
firms in the outside marketplace trading in R&D ideas and obtaining the same
benefits?
There is a further point that needs to be recognised here. When external threats
hit firms they may not focus just on individual businesses, but on particular linkages.
For example, if Firm 3 has merged with Firm 8 in Figure 5.3 it will be able to extract
gains from marketing/distribution and technological linkages, as we discussed in
Section 5.3. However, the linkages that can help generate enhanced value when the
environment is relatively stable can also pose a source of joint weakness when the
environment begins to throw up nasty threats. For example, if the M/C business
begins to decline (say because of an ageing population), then both jackets and
trousers could be attacked along the M/C market linkage. If a rival develops an
improved synthetic substitute for leather, then both jackets and trousers can be
attacked along the shared technological linkage. Such dangers can be seen in the
case of BIC where BIC faces Gillette and Scripto Tokai as competitors in two out of
three of its main businesses; if BIC can exploit linkages in these areas, so also can its
rivals, and if Gillette or Scripto Tokai were to make a sudden breakthrough in
disposable technology, BIC could be vulnerable to attack in all its main business
areas. Seen in this perspective, large diversified companies such as General Electric
(Exhibit 5.5) begin to reveal hidden strengths in the form of resilience to specific
threats to particular aspects of their business. Its use of stock options may also be
seen as another way of stimulating information trading, the issue discussed above in
Section 5.3.4. For the first time we seemed to have found a conceivable reason for
firms playing the Diversification Game to want to avoid linkages, and in turn this
would seem to raise possible justifications for strategies such as the conglomerate
that help the firm avoid dependence on particular linkages. We shall consider this
possibility further in Section 5.4.
Thus, corporate diversification can help provide a basis for defending the firm
against unpleasant surprises such as technological innovation by its competitors.
However, there are further questions we can ask of this strategy; it is not going to be
let off so easily.
Why not specialise until you are forced to change to another business?
This is not a bad idea, and indeed if firms can get away with it, such serial spe-
cialisation may well be the optimal strategy by allowing firms to focus on their
core competences until they have to switch. The problem is that the worst time
to try to make such a switch is when you are forced into it. Diversification can
take time and considerable managerial and financial resources to achieve, and
even then success for individual diversification may be uncertain. The firm in the
decline stage of Figure 5.8 will find its internal resources dwindling as the busi-
ness fades, while outside financial institutions are likely to have second thoughts
about providing financial props to allow the firm to bridge between the old and
new activities. If this firm wished to diversify to hedge against the possibility of
failure in the umbrella business, it should have done so when it had the time and
resources, certainly before the decline stage had set in. You do not start to build
the life rafts when the ship is beginning to sink.
If some corporate diversification is designed to safeguard managerial
jobs, can this also be in the interest of owners? On the face of it, this would
seem to be a classic principal–agent conflict, with management protecting their
own interests at the expense of owners. If diversification has an opportunity cost
in diverting resources from more specialised attention to core competences, then
it clearly may conflict with the interest of owners. Where such diversification
may also be in the interests of owners is where there are transaction costs associ-
ated with bankruptcy. In particular, the demise of the specialised firm as in
Figure 5.8 may lead to the break-up of the management team. Corporate diversi-
fication may increase the chances of preserving this team, which may be counted
as a valuable – indeed critical – asset in its own right.
If risks such as technological innovation by competitors are often one-off
surprises, how can management know in advance when they should di-
versify? This is another good question and one that is impossible to answer
precisely. In one sense it goes to the heart of the strategic management problem.
A chief executive once described his strategic management problem as coping
with surprises. Harold Macmillan was once asked what his biggest problem as
UK Prime Minister had been and he replied, ‘Events, dear boy, events’, which is
really another way of saying the same thing. In the context of corporate diversifi-
cation, it may be difficult for management to anticipate the timing and form of
future threats to individual businesses, but it may be possible to identify business
environments that are more likely to throw them up. Just as a police force may
not be able to anticipate the timing and nature of particular muggings, they may
still be able to identify neighbourhoods that are more likely to produce them.
Similarly, management may be able to identify environments that are more likely
to throw up threats to their individual businesses, such as those associated with
rapidly changing technologies. In such cases, diversification to avoid dependence
on businesses that face a high risk of technological obsolescence may be given
high priority. The one warning that can be added here is that environments that
have seemed placid and stable for decades have a nasty habit of suddenly turning
turbulent and unstable. This is a lesson which has been learnt by firms in a large
variety of sectors ranging from Swiss watches to British banking. The specialised
firm that is caught flat-footed in such circumstances may face real threats to its
survival.
On the face of it, conglomerate diversification offers the most obvious way of
anticipating threats to the viability of individual businesses. After all, having as many
unrelated markets and technologies as possible would seem the most direct way of
avoiding dependence on a limited set of competences. However, in the next section
we shall see that this is not necessarily the case. Corporations have developed new
tricks that allow them to match the ability of conglomerates to absorb outside
threats without incurring the severe opportunity costs associated with such extreme
diversification.
No. In recent years firms have discovered strategies that have allowed them to
extract many of the benefits of simultaneously exploiting the gains from linkages
between businesses together with the risk-spreading benefits of multiple markets and
multiple technologies that the conglomerate strategy offers. The name of this
strategy is related–linked and it was really first discovered in the mid-seventies by
Richard Rumelt, then a Harvard Business School researcher. To see the logic of this
and alternative strategies, we shall open up a new Diversification Game in Figure
5.9. In this version of the Game, we only keep Firms 3, 6, 9 and 10 from the
previous Game; we have dropped leather M/C trousers entirely and the fair play
umpire has forbidden moves that would monopolise markets, so it is only possible
to consider a single move involving one firm from each of the remaining three
sectors. However, we have also added Firms 11 and 14, leather riding saddles
(possible technological links with leather M/C jackets), Firms 12 and 15, M/C audio
equipment (possible marketing and distribution linkages with leather M/C jackets)
and Firms 13 and 16, fast food (no significant linkages with any other businesses).
This gives us a total of seven firms in this version, which we shall call Game 2 (the
fair play rule means that we can select only one firm in each business, so we drop
Firms 14, 15 and 16 in this case). As before, the new firms are otherwise identical in
terms of their economic characteristics to all the other players in the Game. We can
now instruct Firm 3 to pursue expansion possibilities and in this case the firm will
be allowed to make two moves. Figure 5.9 shows some of the expansion possibili-
ties open to Firm 3 here.
11 12 13
These new players
join the players from
Game 1 in Game 2;
remember firms 2
and 7 (leather M/C
trousers) drop out
14 15 16
BELOW:
some moves that firm 3
can make in Game 2
Figure 5.9 Game 2 with some diversification options for M/C jackets
Apart from the conglomerate strategy (umbrellas, jackets and fast food) there
does not appear to be much to choose between the strategies shown on the bottom
half of Figure 5.9. The non-conglomerate strategies all pursue related diversification
based on a single market or technological link between businesses. The bottom
strategy (helmets, jackets, handbags) differs from the other two single-link diversifi-
ers in that it switches links from marketing/distribution to technology in the course of
its diversification strategy. However, apart from that switch, there seems to be no
clear difference between these three strategies in terms of the extent and degree of
linkage. On this basis at least there is nothing to choose between them. So we shall
add a new feature to our game. We shall let our firms be subjected to attack from
the outside. Worse, from the point of view of our firms, the form of attack will
often be kept a surprise until the last minute. This follows from sound strategic
principles. From the point of view of the attacker, the element of surprise can be an
essential weapon, whether we are talking about military or corporate battles.
These possibilities change the nature of our Game compared to the first version
where our businesses and competences continued indefinitely. If there was any
turbulence it was limited to random elements, such as the weather, that did not
disturb the underlying viability of the businesses. Here we are introducing the idea
that there may be threats to the continued viability of these businesses or compe-
tences due to some radical change in the firm’s environment. What form is such an
attack likely to take, or, to put it in military terms, what kinds of ‘bombs’ can be
dropped on the firm’s activities? In practice they can take many forms, but the most
important in real-life corporate battles tend to be the following.
Innovation in the form of new products or processes. Of the various sources of
strategic bombs, the most important is innovation. As we saw in Module 3, if
you look around, you will find very few products or activities that have been
untouched in the past few years, either by changes in the nature of the goods or
services themselves, or less visible improvements in the processes which make
and distribute these goods or services. Innovative opportunities seen from the
point of view of the firm that develops them can represent bomb threats seen
from the point of view of its rivals.
Change in consumer tastes, e.g. fashion changes, sports fads, health scares.
These may be important sources of bombs also, but on closer examination many
changes in consumer tastes are not spontaneous but turn out to be stimulated by
technological innovation; for example, decline in cinema-going stimulated by the
growth in television.
Changes in government restrictions, e.g. safety controls, deregulation,
privatisation. As far as changes in government restrictions are concerned, the
major sea change in recent years has been in the direction of deregulation, which
tends to generate more openings and incentives for innovation.
Resource depletion, an industry can simply begin to run out of its raw material.
Resource depletion is likely to be a very slow-ticking bomb at worst with firms
usually having plenty time to prepare for the worst. In fact, the worst in terms of
running out of the resource almost never comes; if a resource becomes scarcer it
will rise in price, stimulating the search for economies in resource usage. There is
still plenty of oil in the ground but the price hikes of the past have encouraged
innovations in engine technology that have enhanced fuel efficiency and have
brought higher-cost fields into production. There is also plenty of copper left to
be mined, but both its price and usage have declined in recent years as past scar-
city (and high price) of the metal stimulated the search for cheaper and more
effective substitutes such as fibre optics.
So while bombs do not have to be innovations, innovation is the most important
source of bomb material, and many other threats to the viability of competences
and businesses turn out to involve innovative activity. Suppose we were to lob a
bomb in the form of, say, technological innovation in the direction of our diversifi-
ers in Figure 5.9. How much damage could a single bomb do? Interestingly, the
answer depends on the pattern of linkages, not just the extent of linkages.
Suppose a bomb was fashioned by a rival and designed to attack our technology-
based diversifier (handbags, jackets and saddles) in Figure 5.9. How much damage
could a single well-designed bomb inflict? We could easily envisage a bomb hitting
individual businesses in Figure 5.9 with rivals developing a better style of handbag, a
more fashionable jacket, or an ergonomically improved design of saddle. In such
cases the impact of the ‘bomb’ on our firm’s strategy would be limited to the local
region of the individual business under attack. But suppose a competitor fashions a
bomb that directly attacks the technological competences of our firm. This could be
because it has invented a process that greatly reduces the cost of processing leather,
improves the quality of the leather processed, or it could be because it has invented
a synthetic substitute for leather that replicates all its characteristics but at a much
lower cost. Such an innovation could give its developer the power to compete
successfully against all our firm’s chosen businesses by producing leather (or leather
substitute) based products with lower cost and/or improved quality. Our technolo-
gy-based firm is now being holed right along the length of its strategy by this single
bomb. Its very survival is now threatened, just as in the case of the umbrella
specialist being hit by a technological bomb in Figure 5.8.
Much the same considerations hold for our market-based diversifier. Each indi-
vidual M/C business could be hit by a business-specific bomb, but it is also possible
that its marketing and distribution competences could be disabled or damaged by a
single bomb. Suppose, for example, it was decided that motorcycling was too
dangerous an activity and that for their own protection a government regulation was
introduced restricting motorcyclists to the slow lane of all major roads. Such a
regulation could severely damage the sales of all motorcycle-related businesses,
including the three run by our market-based diversifier. Again the same phenome-
non appears; the link may be a double-edged sword that can not only generate
internal gains but also create shared vulnerability to a single external threat.
The only strategy that appears insulated from such threats is the conglomerate.
Individual businesses may be attacked, but there are no marketing/distribution or
technological competences running across its businesses that may expose the firm to
a single bomb threat. Clearly this is one advantage the conglomerate has over the
market- and technology-related diversifiers. If the firm is operating in environments
characterised by a high level of bomb threats, then this does suggest that a case can
be made for the conglomerate; even though there may be significant opportunity
costs in terms of sacrificed linkages if the conglomerate route is chosen, manage-
ment may regard this as a price worth paying if it reduces the chances of the firm
being sunk by a single bomb. But before we conclude that this is a sufficient
justification for the conglomerate, remember that we have one strategy left to look
at. This is the strategy at the bottom of Figure 5.9 and is a case of related–linked
strategy. It is called this because the various businesses are linked together but not
necessarily directly as in the cases of the other two related diversifiers in Figure 5.9.
Helmets is linked to jackets by markets, and in turn jackets and handbags share
production and R&D linkages, but helmets and handbags? This last pair of busi-
nesses operate in very different markets and draw upon very different sets of
technological expertise. Yet the firm in this case exploits the same degree of linkage
throughout its strategy as do the other diversifiers. The twist it has added is to
switch the linkage it is exploiting. This is the related–linked case in which the
businesses operated by the firm are linked to each other at least indirectly (in this
case jackets indirectly links helmets to handbags).
D D D D D
M M M M M
P P P P P
R&D R&D R&D R&D R&D
D D D D
M M M M
P P P P
R&D R&D R&D R&D
benefits that might be gained from such a revolution. The same may hold for
conglomerate management. Such teams build up skills in managing unrelated
businesses, and shifting the strategy to one which emphasises linkages across
divisions, as in the related–linked case, would involve a major change in top
management skills and substantial transaction costs in buying and selling busi-
nesses until the new strategy is created.
Conglomerate focus. The final reason for the continued survival of the
conglomerate strategy is that management learn and adapt. They may not be able
to change their spots easily, but they can do the next best thing – they can shuf-
fle them around. Figure 5.12 shows how many conglomerates had modified their
strategy by first divesting unprofitable businesses or businesses with an unprom-
ising future, and secondly encouraging the remaining divisions and groups to
pursue related diversification. Both types of actions are designed to enhance the
performance of the firm and please the capital market. However, as Figure 5.12
and Exhibit 5.7 show, these actions are designed to reinforce the conglomerate
strategy, not to alter it. The conglomerate may be an unlikely and indeed an unu-
sual beast, but it is a surprisingly resilient and persistent one.
D D D D D
M M M M M
P P P P P
R&D R&D R&D R&D R&D
This conglomerate has been hit by ... so it has divested these loss makers and
threats to two of its businesses ... instructed the three remaining groups to
diversify only into related fields
D D
M M
P P
R&D R&D
D D D D
M M M M
P P P P
R&D R&D R&D R&D
Learning Summary
Diversification can be a deceptively attractive strategy. Superficially, it seems to offer
the prospect of helping management pursue a number of different objectives,
including growth, profit and risk spreading and, apparently, with little in the way of
a downside. It is easy to understand why even conglomerate diversification received
such an uncritical reception when it first became prevalent in the sixties.
Diversification has received a worse press in recent years in the light of its fre-
quently disappointing performance, even in the case of diversification moves which
have some relationship to the current activities of the firm. As has been seen in this
module, diversification can be doubly cursed: first, it may fail to deliver its promised
gains, at least at a reasonable cost; second, in many cases the objectives of diversifi-
cation may be as easily or more cheaply attained by alternative means.
At the same time, diversification is still a strategy that is of major importance in
the strategic armoury of the firm. The important thing is to maintain a proper
balance in the assessment of what diversification can reasonably deliver in terms of
enhancing the competitive advantage of the firm. As we have seen in this module,
answering that question requires looking not just at the direction of any diversifica-
tion move, but also at the form and pattern of the diversification strategy at the level
of the firm.
Review Questions
5.1 A firm operates a single product and is worried about the risk of product obsolescence.
It is considering the following methods of dealing with this risk:
Which is likely to be the most effective solution for dealing with this danger?
A. Long-term contracts.
B. Insurance.
C. Diversification.
D. Futures contracts.
5.3 Which of the following is unlikely to be a successful long-term solution for a firm in a
declining industry?
A. Vertical integration.
B. Industry exit.
C. Diversification.
D. Divestment.
5.5 Decline in unit cost with cumulative production is the definition of:
A. economies of scope.
B. economies of scale.
C. the learning curve.
D. technological change.
References
Penrose, E. (1995) The Theory of the Growth of the Firm, 2nd edn. Oxford, Oxford University
Press.
Porter, M. (1985) Competitive Advantage, New York, Free Press.
Porter, M. (1987) From competitive advantage to competitive strategy, Harvard Business
Review 65 (3), 3–59.
Rumelt, R.P. (1986) Strategy, Structure and Economic Performance, Boston, Harvard Business
School.
International Strategy
Contents
6.1 The Diversification Game Goes International ....................................6/3
6.2 The Question of International Competitiveness.................................6/6
6.3 Porter’s Diamond Framework ..............................................................6/9
6.4 Using the Diamond Framework......................................................... 6/19
6.5 Framing Company Strategy ............................................................... 6/24
6.6 Competing in International Markets ................................................. 6/26
6.7 Competing Abroad: The Principles ................................................... 6/31
6.8 Globalisation Versus Localisation ...................................................... 6/33
Learning Summary ......................................................................................... 6/35
Review Questions ........................................................................................... 6/36
Learning Objectives
After completing this module, you should be able to:
analyse multinational expansion as a form of international diversification;
explain the major sources of international competitiveness;
explain Porter’s Diamond Framework;
show how the Diamond Framework could be used to analyse the sources of
competitive advantage for nations and for firms;
explain the principles driving exploitation of competitive advantage in an
international context.
So far we have looked at competitive strategy in terms of vertical and horizontal
moves by the firm, and the kind of options open to it in these contexts. However,
international moves by the firm comprise another dimension of competitive
strategy, and indeed when we identify successful firms it is natural to think of firms
that are successful in an international context. After all, if something works at home,
why should it not work abroad? And if a firm is only successful at home, what is to
protect it once the large international firms with their financial and managerial
resources start to express an interest in its domestic market?
So the international dimension can be extremely important in competitive strate-
gy. However, before we look at strategies, we have to distinguish between
international firms and firms that are multinational. A company is international if it
serves foreign markets. It is multinational if it also locates operating facilities abroad.
Boeing is an international company that dominates the world market for civil
aircraft along with its European rival, Airbus. However, Boeing services its global
markets from its home base in Seattle and heavily concentrates its managerial and
physical resources in that region, and so hardly qualifies as a multinational. On the
other hand, IBM is an international company which is also multinational, that is, it
has facilities in different locations around the world.
However, perhaps one of the most startling features of many of the best-known
and most successful of the world’s largest firms is their stay-at-home character. The
economist John Dunning (1993, p. 47) looked at the vital statistics of a selection of
the world’s largest industrial companies, including the percentage of their assets and
sales that were located abroad. With the exception of the big oil companies, most of
the giants for which figures were available had a majority of their sales in their home
domestic market and located most of their assets, including factories, in their home
country.
Internationalisation and multinationalism have been increasing for many of these
firms in recent years and there has indeed been a trend towards increasing globalisa-
tion of industry, consistent with many of the headlines in the national and
international press. However, the basic principle still holds that firms typically
concentrate a high proportion (often the majority) of sales and assets in their home
country. The first lesson to be taken from this is that it is not necessary to be highly
multinational (or indeed even very international) to be an extremely successful
company. If this holds at the level of the world’s largest companies, it holds even
more strongly for small and medium-sized companies, where the tendency to stay
close to home base is even more prevalent.
Why should this be? To understand the issues involved we need to explore the
circumstances that will help to create multinational enterprise. One way to approach
this is to look again at the Diversification Game from the last module. This time we
shall tweak the rules to let the Diversification Game go international in Section 6.1.
This section, along with Section 6.2 (which deals with the question of international
competitiveness), helps set the context for the introduction of Porter’s Diamond
Framework in Section 6.3. The diamond framework is widely used by corporate
strategists and public policy makers to explore the circumstances which can help
stimulate and maintain international competitiveness. We show how the Diamond
can be applied in Section 6.4 and how it can be useful to help frame company
strategy in Section 6.5. We shall draw on the resource-based approach developed in
earlier modules to help analyse the logic of international strategies throughout this
module, and in Section 6.6 and Section 6.7 we shall see how its principles can be
combined with Porter’s Diamond perspective and the transaction approach (Module
sales force
trucks
Distribution Distribution Distribution
marketing dept
market research
Marketing Marketing Marketing
advertising
plant
Production Production equipment Production
labour force
research
R&D R&D development R&D
Firm 17 ... multinational expansion ... Firm 3 ... and domestic expansion ... Firm 8
expansion. These opportunities will only be worth pursuing if they beat alternative
domestic investment opportunities, taking into account the ability of the firm to
compete against foreign firms on their home ground.
We shall try to unravel some of the mysteries of internationalism and multina-
tionalism below. To begin with we need to set the context by exploring the national
and international context in which firms’ corporate strategies are framed. We shall
start by considering Michael Porter’s approach to the competitiveness of industry in
an international context.
There are two other important observations that Porter makes before we begin
to look at the link which provides the basis for international competitive success.
For a given country, there are typically few industries or segments of industries
which perform strongly in an international context.
For a given industry, or especially segments of industry, there are typically few
countries which perform strongly in an international context.
This may seem rather surprising at first sight. For example, there is a general belief
that the Japanese are so efficient that they can beat firms from most other countries
at any activity they care to turn their hands to. In fact, their international success is
quite concentrated in a selective number of highly visible industries such as automo-
tives and consumer electronics. There are other areas where Japan has not been so
internationally successful, such as the food and the advertising industries. The case
of Kao (Exhibit 4.6) shows how even a successful Japanese company may face
difficulties in transferring its domestic advantage into the international arena.
The second point also becomes more apparent the more deeply we delve down
into specific sectors within industries. There are only a few countries that are
internationally successful in the automotive industry, and the numbers that have a
major international presence dwindle when we look at sectors within each industry.
We saw in Exhibit 4.2 how Sweden became a dominant player in the heavy trucks
segment, building on strong domestic competition between Scania and Volvo.
One thing that should also be noted before we start is that we may have to ques-
tion received wisdom about the sources of competitive success if we are to
understand the sources of international competitiveness. Consider this dilemma.
You are a maker of widgets choosing between producing and selling in Country A
or in Country B. The countries differ in the characteristics indicated in Table 6.1 as
far your business is concerned, but are similar in all other relevant characteristics,
such as size of domestic market and access to capital. Now, where should you locate
your business?
On the face of it, there would seem to be little room for debate. If you were to
sketch demand and cost curves for the opportunity, you would find that examples
of market structures described in the textbooks appear. Country A represents a
monopoly opportunity while Country B is characterised by highly competitive
conditions. In Country A you would be a monopolist by definition since you would
be the sole firm. You would also be able to exercise more control over this market
due to the placid nature of consumers in this market (suggesting the demand curve
may not be very elastic). An acquiescent government would let you get away with
your monopoly profits while cheap resources would push your cost curve down
compared to cases such as Country B.
In the case of Country B, the highly rivalrous nature of the industry would put
pressure on profitability while well-informed consumers could play one firm against
another in terms of price (suggesting a highly elastic demand curve market) or
performance. The tight regulatory regime could be expected to push up costs and
make it difficult to keep excess profits even if you could find them in this hostile
environment. And if all this did not finish you off, you still have to cope with the
high cost of factors of production in Country B compared to Country A.
So there would appear to be no contest between Country A and Country B;
simple textbook economics suggests that it has to be Country A. That’s fine, and it
is what we would expect. The problem is that when we look at firms that are
internationally successful in practice, they frequently come from countries with
some or all of the characteristics of Country B. In fact, Michael Porter goes further
and claims that they may be more likely to come from countries like B than coun-
tries like A.
Take, for example, the role of rivalry. Which part of the world has one of the
most fiercely competitive and rivalrous film industries in the world? Hollywood.
And what is the most successful film-making country in the world? The United
States. Now the role of demand: what do you think of when asked to name coun-
tries with successful fashion industries? Probably France and Italy. And whose
country’s consumers are amongst the most fashion-conscious in the world? France
and Italy. As far as government regulations are concerned, Porter points out that
Sweden’s early lead in setting high product safety and environmental standards
benefited its firms in a variety of industries in foreign markets when other countries
began to introduce their own regulations. Finally, factor conditions: name one
developed country with no significant reserves of the metals that go into making
motor cars, or the petroleum it uses as fuel. I would nominate Japan. And what
country has revolutionised the global car industry in the post-war period? Japan.
Of course it would be dangerous to believe that a single element is behind com-
petitive success in these industries. Indeed, as we shall see, it will tend to be a
combination of elements that contributes to international competitiveness or failure
at industry level. But before we consider this further, does this mean that we can
throw out our old economics textbooks? Why does it seem that the conclusions and
predictions of standard economics no longer apply in this area?
In fact there are two issues at work here, and we can summarise them as space
and time. First, consider space. Standard economics tends to look at firms and
sectors in isolation (‘partial equilibrium analysis’). That helps to sort out issues and
prevents the complications of trying to see how everything depends on everything
else. But sometimes issues in other spaces or territory can be very important.
Suppose, for example, Country A and Country B were territories that had been
economically separated from each other because of a feud. Over that period, the
markets for widgets behave just like the textbook pictures of monopoly and
competition that they appear to be at first sight. Now the two countries make peace
and open up trade in widgets between themselves. If you are the sole widget maker
in Country A, you probably would not know what hit you as a flood of imports
from tough streetwise widget makers come streaming over the border from Country
B (as we shall see later in Exhibit 6.3).
The second issue is time. Standard economic analysis that appears in the text-
books tends to be concerned with given technology and, when it talks about the
long run, it only means a period over which fixed costs such as plant and machinery
become variable, not usually a period long enough to allow for technological change
to be incorporated in plans. Major technological and organisational upheavals and
transformations tend to lie too far in the distance to be dealt with by standard
economic tools. The problem is that it is these longer time dimensions that can be
associated with the forces which may create and sustain competitive advantage and
which we need to look at in this context. Today’s comfortable monopolist may be
tomorrow’s bankrupt firm.
So there is nothing wrong with standard economics tools as long as we recognise
their limitations and do not expect them to give sound answers to questions in time
and space that they were not designed for. In the next section we shall look at the
forces that may come into play when we search for the sources of sustainable
competitive advantage in an international context.
We shall look at each of the four attributes in turn in terms of how space and
time considerations may influence international competitiveness.
Suppose you have a short building season in northern climes. As Porter notes (see
Table 6.2) the Swedes have shown how this can be turned to advantage if it stimu-
lates you to become a leader in prefabricated building technology. On an even larger
and broader scale, the great distances between US centres of population impeded
communication and transport between centres of population in the nineteenth
century. This stimulated waves of technological innovations in telephone, railway,
car and aircraft technologies that in turn provided a basis for global competitive
advantage in these sectors that the US was able to sustain for decades to follow. As
Exhibit 6.1 shows, another factor disadvantage has been at work in helping generate
streams of other kinds of technological innovations by the US.
Japan is poorly endowed with natural resources including fuel. In what way
could its absence of oil reserves be regarded as a selective factor disadvantage?
Compare with the US.
In each of these cases there was a factor disadvantage which created immediate
costs or barriers to industrial activity and triggered a search for innovative solutions
which not only alleviated or neutralised the original source of disadvantage, but
turned out to be a source of international competitive advantage. A shorter-term
audit of industrial potential would simply have noted issues that added to communi-
cation costs in Japan, travel costs in the US and building costs in Sweden. All this
was true, but these same issues contributed to the eventual success of sectors that
encountered these problems to begin with.
As might be expected, the opposite can hold in some cases where a nation pos-
sesses a factor in abundance. One of the most obvious examples of this was the
US’s technological base in gas-guzzling fuel technology which caught it out in the
seventies when fuel-efficient Japanese cars made major inroads into world markets
on the back of the energy crisis. Since petroleum had been traditionally cheap and
plentiful in the US, it was not well placed to compete in a world in which oil was an
increasingly scarce commodity, though the fall in the real price of oil over a period
of years following the sharp increases of the seventies muted these disadvantages to
some extent.
So factor disadvantages, including scarcity, can turn out to stimulate eventual
competitive advantage, while factor advantages, including abundance, can eventually
lead to declining competitive advantage. The problem is that not all sources of
factor disadvantage turn out to have this eventual benign effect, any more than
factor abundance need turn out to be an eventual source of declining advantage.
Despite active searches for industrial substitutes by other countries, the world’s
producers of platinum and diamonds still trade successfully on the global markets in
these areas. And if factor disadvantage was a guarantor of eventual success, the
Arctic should be one of the most dynamic economies on Earth.
The trick is to find an area (such as fax technology) which both reflects a factor
disadvantage and which may stimulate innovation which will give an eventual
advantage in the world’s markets. Such things are extremely difficult to forecast in
practice. The important point is to recognise that short-term costs (and benefits)
associated with particular kinds of resources may reverse themselves once the future
unfolds. Failure to recognise this may mean companies do not position themselves
to exploit opportunities or that they fail to anticipate threats.
or most of its sales are to domestic consumers. We should not then be surprised if
we find that the qualities of the domestic market have a significant effect on the
framing of firms’ competitive strategies for good or ill.
So the home market may dominate in terms of the quantity of information feeding
back into the framing of competitive strategy. But it may also be important in terms
of the quality of the information that feeds back into the planning process. If those
involved in the formulation of strategy are based in the same country as the firm’s
headquarters and home market, they are likely to be heavily influenced by the
characteristics of that domestic market. The senior R&D and marketing personnel
responsible for developing, say, a new domestic heating system will have a vision of
the types of house that the system is designed for. Such a vision is likely to be
coloured (consciously or unconsciously) by their own direct experience and observa-
tions of housing design, consumer characteristics, planning regulations and climatic
conditions in the home market.
Porter argues that there are three main features of demand conditions that can be
important in a dynamic context in terms of helping develop and reinforce competi-
tive advantage.
1. Composition of home demand. As we have just noted, the composition of
home demand can provide pressures and opportunities since the signals coming
from home demand can be clearer than the weaker signals coming from foreign
markets. Porter notes that the main issues here include:
(a) Segment structure of demand: the distribution and variety of patterns of demand
within a sector.
(b) The existence of sophisticated and demanding buyers: sharpening up and honing the
competitive skills of firms that could prove useful in competing against firms
that have had an easier life. L’Oréal (Exhibit 6.2) illustrates this point.
(c) Anticipatory buyer needs: providing an early warning system and experience of
trends that may emerge in the future in foreign markets.
2. Demand size and pattern of growth. There are a number of features here that
can reinforce the effects of home demand composition on competitive ad-
vantage.
(a) Size of home market can help generate economies of scale and learning curve
effects.
(b) Number of independent buyers, including at wholesale or retail levels can generate varie-
ty of information and market feedback, and reduce the chance of inertia for
firms that attend to this source of information.
(c) Rate of growth of market demand: advantages of a growing market include possi-
ble entry room for innovative new firms – otherwise incumbents may have
an inbuilt advantage if the customer base does not change and expand.
(d) Domestic market saturates early: this may stimulate fierce rivalry amongst domes-
tic firms that can enhance cost competitiveness and innovativeness and in
turn enhance their fitness to compete on a world stage.
3. Internationalisation of home demand. These aspects can help pull a nation’s
products abroad.
(a) Mobile or multinational buyers: the internationally mobile customer may seek to
buy or be receptive to buying the products that they consumed at home.
(b) Influences on foreign needs: historical or cultural factors may influence the pattern
of demand in foreign markets.
Exhibit 6.2: L’Oréal
L’Oréal is a French company which shows how technical advantage can encourage
multinational expansion in an industry usually associated more with marketing competenc-
es – cosmetics. Although this industry is usually thought of as associated with luxury
products where consumers are not usually seen as being particularly price-sensitive, there
is a mass market segment where prices and costs are important. The French, with their
cluster of industries around fashion, design and cosmetics, have a strong marketing image
and established reputation in the luxury end of the market. The US, with its expertise and
emphasis in volume production and consumer marketing, has the skills that have helped its
firms create a strong presence at the mass market.
L’Oréal is a company that has adapted technology designed for its luxury brands such
as Lancôme to producing its mass market brands at low cost. This cost cutting has allowed
it to introduce new brands at progressively lower prices without severely hurting margins.
Like Scania (see Exhibit 4.2) it has sought to reduce the number of basic components that
the various product lines draw on (in this case, caps, bottles, boxes, etc.) while maintaining
the variety in the final product range. It is also exploring ways of simplifying ingredients,
though this is more difficult because of its implications for the make-up of the final
product.
It bought Maybelline, an American cosmetics firm selling to the US mass market. This is
part of L’Oréal’s strategy of expanding overseas to exploit its expertise in mass volume
cosmetics production as well as finding outlets for its existing brands. This also brings it
head to head with US-based mass marketers of cosmetics, such as Procter & Gamble.
While many companies make their brands culturally neutral to make them internation-
ally acceptable, L’Oréal’s strategy is to embody their country of origin as a brand
characteristic, and it continued that strategy with Maybelline.
L’Oréal also decided to set up a second creative base in New York, with R&D, market-
ing and advertising functions. The idea was to take advantage of the different cultural
perspectives in the US context. Paris and New York both use the same basic R&D but
compete in marketing. L’Oréal also developed a strategy to introduce hair care products
by Redken (one of its US brands) into the French market, even though this would bring it
in to direct competition with the L’Oréal Preference brand. L’Oréal believed the benefits
from the brand competition would outweigh any disadvantages from Redken cannibalising
L’Oréal.
Analyse L’Oréal’s strategy in the context of its national Diamond. Do you think
this is a sustainable strategy?
The various elements of demand may interact and have a cumulative effect in
particular cases. Table 6.3 gives examples, some taken from Porter’s analysis of how
these different elements have helped stimulate competitive advantage in particular
contexts.
2. Goals and objectives. Goals and objectives can be important at the level of the
individual, the company or the nation, and can be heavily influenced by the cultur-
al context. For example, Porter notes that Germany has a tradition of long-term
holding of shares by institutions and a more cautious approach to risk taking. This
tends to lead to an emphasis on mature industries in Germany (such as commodity
chemicals). On the other hand, the US has an extremely active share trading sys-
tem and a culture that tends to encourage the taking of risks; failure such as
bankruptcy is not given the social stigma attached to it in some countries. This
tends to encourage an emphasis on start-ups in general, and in particular sectors
that are characterised by start-ups, such as biotechnology.
3. Domestic rivalry. This is one of the most important aspects in the Diamond
Framework. When the industrial structure of internationally competitive indus-
tries is dissected, it often turns out to be based on strong domestic rivalry
between firms. The firms themselves may even be located close to each other
within a small region or district of a country, as in the case of Silicon Valley in
northern California and Hollywood in southern California. In some cases they
may involve a few large firms, as in the case of the Swiss pharmaceutical firms
and Scania/Volvo (Exhibit 4.2). Rivalry both exerts competitive pressure on
firms to upgrade their performance and provides direct and visible examples of
best practice that are easier to observe at a local and neighbourhood level than
from a distance. In this respect it has some of the qualities that we discussed
above which help in the formation and maintenance of clusters of related and
linked industries. The case of Ficosa (Exhibit 6.3) illustrates the importance of
rivalry in a domestic context helping to stimulate and improve the competitive-
ness of local firms.
Exhibit 6.3: Ficosa
Spain is a country that has not been associated with multinational activity until relatively
recently. However, a number of Spanish firms have begun to expand overseas in recent
years. Barcelona’s Ficosa International is a case in point: it grew as a $305m auto-parts
supplier making components such as windscreen washers and mirrors. It had factories
throughout Europe and Latin America. It ranked among the top three in Europe for
components, with sales to GM, Volkswagen and Ford accounting for about 60 per cent
of revenues. However, it had no multinational presence, and indeed about 96 per cent
of its sales were to the Spanish market.
A catalyst for many companies such as Ficosa was the accession of Spain to the Euro-
pean Union. Until that point, many Spanish firms such as Ficosa had been protected
from foreign competition by various trade barriers. Once Spain’s internal markets had
been opened up through joining the European Union, Spanish firms found themselves
suddenly facing fierce competitors invading their domestic markets from other parts of
the EU. Staying still was not an option since the fitter market entrants would eventually
have wiped out domestic competitors like Ficosa.
Ficosa responded by learning from the competitive pressure of their new rivals and
observing their strategies. In turn it became a multinational itself, producing and selling
in other European Union countries such as the UK and France. This was also a demand-
ing and useful learning experience as it faced further fierce rivalry from established
players in the markets. The firm then expanded further with factories in Central and
South America and Asia, with impressive results in terms of performance. One of its
most interesting strategic decisions has been to locate an engineering facility in the heart
of the North American automotive Diamond – Detroit.
What was the critical element in its Diamond that led to international competi-
tiveness for the Italian ski boot industry?
Porter’s Diamond Framework helps analyse the potential weakness of the Korean
industrial strategy. But what practical steps would be open to Korean policy
makers to remedy this situation?
as nature and degree of inter-firm rivalry) may be judged on the basis of a combina-
tion of subjective and objective elements. Further, there may be a large number of
elements that may be of potential relevance to a Diamond and it may not be
obvious what weighting should be given to different elements or indeed to elements
which may be thought potentially important but in which the sector is weak or
deficient.
This reflects one of the features of the Framework which is both a strength and a
weakness, that is the comprehensive nature of the Framework compared to tradi-
tional economic analysis. It means that constructing and interpreting a Diamond
may be a matter of art as much as science. While sound logic and economic reason-
ing may be available to guide interpretation of the effect of individual elements
considered in isolation, judgement and skill have to be used both in identifying and
selecting relevant elements for inclusion in a Diamond, and in interpreting the
combined effects of the elements once they are included. This reflects the role of
the Diamond as an organising framework, but at its worst it can mean that two
different individuals could construct different Diamonds for the same industry, and
even interpret the significance of similar Diamonds quite differently. This may be
unavoidable and simply means that, like a stethoscope, the Diamond is a diagnostic
tool whose effectiveness depends on the skills of those who are using it.
1 The interpretation here is aided by the author’s experience of university teaching in the UK, France
and Italy. He also spent two years as visiting associate professor in the University of California teaching
economics and MBA classes and has had five books published in the US as well as elsewhere.
packages as backup. The US has a strong presence in these sectors. The actual printing
side tends to involve fewer strategic elements and more standardised elements. As we
noted in Module 4, this can mean that this stage is more able to be outsourced on a
simple contract basis and may be less likely to be considered a potential source of
competitive advantage.
Firm strategy, structure and rivalry: There are also a number of mutually supporting
aspects here which may help reinforce US competitive success. Launching a new
textbook involves a high degree of uncertainty. Even if you think all the important
pieces have been put into place, it is essentially a new product and therefore subject
to the problems that innovation may face and which we discussed in Module 3. It is
therefore an activity that is well suited to a risk-taking, entrepreneurial and market-
ing-oriented culture like the US. It is regarded as a glamorous industry in the US, so
it can choose from a pool of high-quality and able graduates. There are numerous
fiercely competitive publishing houses seeking to establish a presence or increase
their market share in various parts of the textbook market.
Finally clusters. Much of US publishing is clustered in major centres such as New
York, a phenomenon that has been even more apparent in the related industry of
advertising. The name ‘Madison Avenue’ not only labelled a street but conjured up
an image of an entire highly geographically concentrated industry.
As we noted above, subjectivity and multiplicity of factors mean that there is no
guarantee that this approximates the ‘correct’ representation of the Diamond for
this sector, even if it were possible to identify the correct Diamond in practice.
However, it does seem to capture some of the important elements at work in this
sector. The implications for strategy differ depending on whether you are a firm
inside the US-based cluster, or a firm outside it and looking in. That is the type of
question we shall turn to in the next section.
high levels of local or national knowledge, e.g. business law, applied economics,
or economics of national economies).
2. Choice of strategy influenced by home Diamond. A firm should frame its
strategy with its home Diamond in mind, both in terms of how it might facilitate
certain kinds of strategies and discourage others.
3. Continuous innovation. As we noted above, the Diamond needs continuous
upgrading and improvement if its sources of competitive advantage are not to be
eroded and the same holds for firms operating within a particular Diamond.
Porter suggests that firms seeking to maintain their competitive advantage
should maintain the pressure for innovation in ways which include the following:
Seeking sophisticated buyers
Seeking buyers with most demanding needs
Overshooting most stringent regulations or standards
Sourcing from leading home-based suppliers
Seeing leading rivals as benchmarks.
Such solutions do not guarantee competitiveness; for example, the US military is
one of the most demanding of customers in terms of performance and reliability,
but many US aerospace manufacturers have found it difficult to translate any
competitive advantage they may have in this market into competitiveness in non-
military markets. In mass production consumer markets, price and marketing
skills can matter more than performance. (There may be little demand for a
$10 000 washing machine on automatic pilot, and it is less traumatic if a washing
machine breaks down in its spin cycle than if a fighter plane does.) Nevertheless,
Porter’s Diamond does suggest ways in which companies can actively exploit a
healthy home Diamond to help them maintain competitiveness.
4. Perceiving and anticipating industry change. The Diamond can help a firm
position its strategy with future opportunities and threats in mind. Porter sug-
gests a variety of ways in which this may be pursued:
Seeking buyers with anticipatory needs
Exploring emerging buyer groups
Seeking locations with early regulations
Identifying trends in factor costs
Linking with research centres
Studying new competitors
Having outsiders in the management team.
Again, each of these follows from the general argument above that it is essential
to upgrade firms’ performance continually if they are not to fall prey to compla-
cency and inertia. At the same time, an uncritical emphasis on emerging signals
and apparent trends can also be dangerous. For example, many who bet on the
fortunes of dot.com companies in the nineties had their fingers burnt by the turn
of the millennium. Trend lines can turn down, and indeed the real prizes for
entrepreneurship often go to those who can anticipate or perceive real turning
points in technologies or markets. However, these are, of course, often difficult
to identify except with the wisdom of hindsight.
advantage that allowed them to incur the costs of market entry where incum-
bents had strong reputations and were well down the learning curve, there was
no point in considering going international.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
issue in some sectors, while access to lower-wage European labour also helped
encourage some US firms to locate in Europe.
However, as we noted above, transport costs have become less significant in
some areas of traded goods and services in recent years, while the differential
between some European and US wage levels is not so marked as it was in the
early post-war period. Government policy is one area that has become of
importance in recent years and has helped both to encourage and sustain direct
investment by multinationals in Europe. There are numerous tariff and non-tariff
barriers that exist between trading blocs, including the US and Europe, that are
designed to encourage foreign firms to make direct investments and so export
capital, technology and jobs to the host nation rather than simply the good or
service itself.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
international firm is often the possible leakage of its technical know-how (its source
of ownership advantage) to a third party. In an opportunistic world, this may wipe
out the firm’s competitive advantage over others if it gives access to the intellectual
property that has been a foundation of its strategy.
We shall look at co-operative arrangements further in the next module, but it is
sufficient for the moment to note that transaction costs may be major sources of
internalisation advantage. These may encourage the firm to keep its technology
private and expand as a multinational into the overseas market rather than seek a co-
operative venture with a local partner. Exhibit 6.9 shows problems firms may face in
dealing with a local partner if they do not or cannot open a wholly owned subsidi-
ary.
between foreign firms and local partners, but no multinational expansion. We have
seen how our earlier analysis of resource linkages, transaction costs and the Diamond
may be useful in looking at the contribution each of these three elements makes.
Ownership, location and internalisation advantages are all necessary for multinational
enterprise to exist in particular cases. Take away any one element and another strategy
becomes more effective. Indeed, the fact that we do observe some domestic firms
competing successfully in their home markets suggests that foreign firms may not
have an ownership advantage in some cases. The fact that some firms service overseas
markets by exporting from their home bases suggests that there may be no location
advantage in these cases. And the fact that international co-operative ventures exist
between firms suggests that the associated transaction costs of these ventures are not
sufficient to give an internalisation advantage from the multinational alternative in
such cases.
So the Eclectic Paradigm is useful in combination with our earlier analysis. It may
help sort out the issues that may give international firms a competitive advantage
over domestic firms. It may help suggest why firms may make direct investment in
foreign locations rather than export. It may help explain why this foreign direct
investment may take the form of multinational expansion rather than co-operative
ventures with local firms.
However, it should still be noted that the Eclectic Paradigm is not the whole
story, since it assumes that firms’ most attractive investment opportunities may be
found in overseas markets. As we noted above, international expansion will tend to
become a major option only after the firm has exhausted specialisation and diversi-
fication opportunities in its home base to the point that the weaker resource
linkages, associated with overseas expansion, begin to look relatively attractive.
Firms’ first preferences are to stay at home for very rational and sensible resource-
based reasons.
and how it sells these products. The ideal solution from the point of view of
market-oriented logic may be to customise all or some of these issues and be
sensitive to the conditions and needs of the different global markets that the firm is
servicing. But, of course, the more the firm differentiates its activities to reflect local
market conditions, the more it runs the risk of sacrificing economies from shared
resources and competences across different world markets, and the more it may risk
leaving at home the competences and sources of ownership advantage that encour-
aged it to consider going multinational in the first place.
Indeed, a world in which each national market is strongly differentiated from
each other is a world in which local market conditions dominate and incumbent
domestic firms are likely to find it easy to fight off challenges from multinational
entrants. Multinational ownership and competitive advantage depend strongly on
finding competences and capabilities that are transferable across national bounda-
ries. This explains why General Motors has pursued a strategy of ‘global’ cars and
also how this strategy has not always been easy to reconcile with its other aim of
producing cars suitable for European market conditions.
Can the tension between resource-based and market-oriented logic be resolved
and, if so, how? The answers depend on the nature of particular sectors and
markets. The personal computer is one product that is able to exploit resource-
based advantages that can accrue from being able to sell a standardised product the
same way in different markets, though of course there may be some loss of stand-
ardisation of components such as keyboards, technical manuals and basic software
to suit national characteristics. On the other hand, educational materials for schools
have to be market-oriented and tailored to the curriculum and specifications of
national systems.
Some industries even have some sectors that are characterised by global brands
and others dominated by local characteristics and preferences.
There are also sectors which have some segments characterised by global brands
and others which reflect national characteristics. Hotels, clothing (such as Hilton,
Nike) all have global brands but still other products in each of these sectors reflect
the national characteristics, resources and preferences of different host countries.
It would seem that the existence of local characteristics and local brands repre-
sents barriers to multinational expansion preventing the incursion of foreign firms
into domestic markets. Up to a point that is correct, and differentiated world
markets can certainly make it difficult for firms to transfer competitive advantage
into overseas markets. However, there are at least three issues which may still
encourage the evolution of international firms even in markets traditionally domi-
nated by local tastes and brands:
Surface differentiation. It is important to dig deeper into cases where brand
names differ across countries. In some cases this may represent a product with
quite different specifications from that which exists elsewhere, while in others
the brand name may be all that distinguishes the national product from that
produced and sold in other countries. In the latter case, the international firm
may still be able to draw heavily on its established base of technical and market-
ing know-how in different national contexts.
Learning Summary
There is one theme which was started in Module 3, carried through Module 4, and is
still coming through strongly in Module 6. The theme could be summarised as ‘what
everybody knows, is not always so’. Just as common knowledge and wisdom about
innovation and vertical integration often turns out to be misplaced or misleading, so
going international by creating a multinational business can turn out to be less
natural and more problematic than appears at first sight. International business in
general, and multinational enterprise in particular, can stretch the firm’s resources
and draw it into areas where it may have little experience.
A parallel theme emerging here and echoed in the earlier modules is that the
objectives being pursued by particular strategies may often be pursued by alterna-
tives. For example, growth may be better pursued in some cases through domestic
diversification rather than going international. And multinational enterprise is not
the only way to exploit profit opportunities from going abroad; exporting, licensing
and joint venture are all examples of strategies that may achieve the same objectives
as multinational enterprise, in some cases better or more cheaply.
Multinational enterprise is of course a major feature of the global economy and it
is growing in significance and scope with every year that passes. In many cases it is
the best or only option open to the firms that wish to achieve, maintain, or enhance
competitive advantage. However, this module has shown that it is usually not the
only game in town. Strategic planning must make a balanced assessment of ad-
vantages, disadvantages and alternatives in the case of multinational enterprise
whenever it is being considered as an option.
Review Questions
6.1 Which of the following assets is usually easiest to share between a parent company and
its overseas subsidiary?
A. Marketing know-how.
B. Market research.
C. Technical know-how.
D. Legal know-how.
6.2 Which of the following is not one of the basic four components of Porter’s Diamond?
A. Firm strategy, structure and rivalry.
B. Related and supporting industries.
C. Government intervention.
D. Factor conditions.
6.3 Dunning’s Eclectic Paradigm suggests that multinational enterprise is a consequence of:
I. ownership advantage.
II. internalisation advantage.
III. location advantage.
Which of the following is correct?
A. I, II and III.
B. I and II only.
C. I and III only.
D. II and III only.
References
Dunning, J.H. (1993) Multinational Enterprise and the Global Economy, Harlow, Essex, Addison-
Wesley.
Fukuyama, F. (1995) Trust: the Social Virtues and the Creation of Prosperity, London, Penguin.
Porter, M. (1990) The Competitive Advantage of Nations, New York, Free Press.
In the final module we look at alternative methods for pursuing the various strate-
gies analysed in previous modules, such as merger, acquisition, and various forms of
co-operation. We show how the various sources of added value and competitive
advantage in such cases can be reduced to two main categories; demand-side effects
from enhanced market power and supply-side effects in the form of economies of
scale and scope from shared resources. We examine why the claimed benefits from
merger, acquisition and co-operation frequently fail to materialise. We also look at
the logic underlying the phenomenal development of alliances and networks in
many high-technology sectors.
Learning Objectives
After completing this module, you should be able to:
demonstrate how gains from combining resources can be achieved through a
variety of strategies;
describe the major sources of added value from combination;
explain why mergers often perform so badly;
compare and contrast costs and benefits of merger and co-operative alternatives;
account for the proliferation of alliances and network arrangements in recent
years and explain why they may represent attractive alternatives for many firms.
So far we have concentrated on the role of strategies and the direction they may
take. In this module we turn to the question of the various methods that firms may
adopt to pursue their various strategies.
The various issues that we looked at in Module 4 (vertical moves), Module 5
(horizontal moves) and Module 6 (international moves) can all be summarised under
one umbrella issue – there may be gains to be had by combining different bundles of
resources and co-ordinating their activities. If the act of combination is done
internally within the firm, it can result in vertical integration (Module 4), diversifica-
tion (Module 5) or the multinational enterprise (Module 6). However, there are
various ways that these strategies can be achieved (such as internal growth, merger
and takeover) and there may also be alternative means (such as licensing, franchising
and joint venture) of pursuing the gains from combining and co-ordinating re-
sources that do not require the resources to be internalised within a single firm.
This module is concerned with these alternative means of pursuing the gains
from combination. One of the fundamental themes in this elective has been that
you must always bear the alternatives in mind in selecting a course of action. For
example, it is not enough to argue that a conglomerate move would improve your
profitability. Would you make even more profit if you stayed closer to home and
took over a firm related to your current business? Why would you be better at
running this firm than someone else? Or suppose you argue that international
expansion offers attractive opportunities for growth. What is wrong with your
domestic market that you want to move into overseas? If your domestic market is
saturated, would domestic diversification make better use of your resource base than
adventuring into foreign lands?
The notion at the heart of all these modules has been that of opportunity cost –
the cost of the net gains sacrificed from the best alternative forgone by undertaking
this action. If you use your resources to undertake strategy A, they may not be
available to pursue strategy B. So the loss of the possible benefits that Strategy B
could have brought to your firm should be included as a true cost of Strategy A.
Strategies should only be seriously considered if it looks likely that they will deliver
net gains, even after taking opportunity costs into account.
A similar set of arguments operates in the context of methods or modes of pur-
suing strategies. There are not only alternatives in terms of the strategic direction
that firms can pursue; there are also alternative means for pursuing these directions.
When one means is chosen over another, it sacrifices the benefits that could have
accrued from the best alternative for pursuing such a direction (assuming that real
alternatives exist). It is not enough to argue that a method of co-ordinating re-
sources is sufficient or good enough to pursue a particular move. It must also
provide net gains after the opportunity costs of alternative means of pursuing that
move have been taken into account.
In this module we shall link back first to Module 5 with an example of how one
method of combination (merger) may add value in Section 7.1. Then in Section 7.2
we shall consider the evidence on how major methods of combining resources
actually perform. As we shall see, the news may be surprising and is certainly often
at variance with what is hoped for or claimed in advance. In Section 7.3 we shall
explore how combination could add value, and in Section 7.4 we consider why
merger and acquisition often fails to do so. This is something we also explore in
Section 7.5, where we look at various kinds of co-operative alternatives such as joint
ventures. There is a twist to this issue in this section, because we use discussion of
why joint venture is such a costly method of combining resources (and so often
fails) to show why it has, paradoxically, become such an important part of many
firms’ strategic armoury in recent years.
Helmets Helmets
D D
M M
P P
R&D R&D Helmets Helmets
D D
M M
Helmets Jackets P P
D D R&D R&D
M M
P P
R&D R&D Helmets Jackets
D D
M M
P P
R&D R&D
Analyse the likely changes in the Five Forces facing component manufacturers as
a consequence of mergers and acquisitions here.
The potential gains from a helmets/jackets combination are perhaps not so obvi-
ous but the new firm may also expect to add value from resource- and demand-side
effects. On the resource side there may be economies of scope or synergies from
the sharing of marketing resources and distribution channels that had previously
been duplicated by having two separate firms. On the demand side, the bigger firm
may now have more bargaining power with retailers; for example, it might insist that
if a motorcycle retailer wants to stock its helmets, then it has to take its jackets as
well. Again, demand side and resource side of the move both give reasons for us to
expect that combining the resources and market position of Firms 3 and 6 would
lead to an enhanced competitive position.
We can simply summarise the gains from merger in this case. As we would ex-
pect from the discussion in Module 2, gains from merger here fall into two
categories, those that lead to sharing of resources and a fall in costs and those that
may increase the market power of the firm, which here means shifting the demand
curve(s) to the right and possibly reducing demand elasticity. We can adapt Figure
2.1 from Module 2 to help analyse the effects of combination in Figure 7.2.
D1
$ AC1
AC2
0
Output
the evidence suggesting that gains from combination are heavily skewed in favour of
the shareholders or owners of the firm taken over. This is a strange world where it is
usually much better, financially speaking, to be a target or ‘victim’ than it is to be a
successful takeover raider or ‘winner’ in a takeover battle. The case study literature is
full of disappointing experiences, such as that reported by Sony and Matsushita in
Exhibit 7.2.
Empirical evidence on joint ventures is, if anything, even more disappointing.
Some studies have shown about 70 per cent of joint ventures falling short of
expectations or being disbanded, while others have found the average joint venture
failing to last beyond half its planned lifespan.
If we were to provide pieces of advice on combinations on the basis of the em-
pirical evidence on performance, they could be simply summarised. If they are
thinking about merger, they should think very carefully before going for it. If they
were planning an acquisition, the expectation is that they would not make a net gain
from this and very possibly lose out. If they decided to turn to joint venture instead,
we could modify our advice to read ‘don’t do it’. After all, they may think they are
the ones to beat the average failure rate, but presumably every set of managers
thought the same before they embarked on their venture opportunity, so why
should they beat the odds?
However, there are some pitfalls on the way in terms of judging whether or not a
particular combination has or has not added value.
Measurement difficulties. How do you know if a merger, acquisition or joint
venture has been a success? Most obviously you look at its effect on perfor-
mance. Here the test should be whether this combination added value compared
to what would have been the case had it not taken place. Clearly this can mean
taking a variety of firm- and sector-specific issues and trends into account. How-
ever, the immediate effects are usually easier to observe and this can make it
difficult to separate out and measure the benefits from combination if they do
not fully emerge until some years down the line – especially if these effects are
lost in the wash of other merger and joint venture activity by the firm during that
period.
Other motives. The intention of the combination may not be to increase
profitability; other motives may be operating here. For example, management
may pursue merger because they desire the status and rewards that go along with
a larger firm and may be less sensitive to the possible effects on performance. In
that case ‘success’ of the venture to management may be measured in doubling
turnover not profit. Even if management are consistently acting in the interests
of shareholders, this may not be represented on the bottom line of the balance
sheet. For example, if management acquire a supplier to prevent a rival cutting
them off from essential supplies, this may not directly increase profits but could
instead reduce the chances of a future reduction.
Wrong criteria. Even if a combination actually adds value it may appear to be a
failure according to some criteria. Many joint ventures are deemed to be failures
because they do not fully achieve their stated objectives and allotted lifespan. It
is also true, as we shall see, that many such combinations break up in bickering
and disappointment after a relatively short time. However, it may be that the
gains to either or both partners are not fully reflected in the performance of the
joint venture. For example, if a co-operative agreement between an innovative
firm and a firm that is strong in marketing and distribution breaks up well before
its planned end date, the innovator may still have acquired valuable know-how
about selling techniques, while its partner may also have learnt something about
why its former partner is such a good R&D performer. Both may be able to
apply the know-how gained to their advantage in other activities.
Opportunity costs. It is usually only possible to make limited judgements on
whether or not a particular combination has added value. The notion of success
or failure is (understandably) usually restricted to trying to estimate whether it
has been worthwhile undertaking this combination compared to the alternative
of doing nothing. However, as we have noted, the true measure of the value of a
particular combination in strategic terms should allow for the opportunity cost
of alternatives forgone. Even if a merger makes a profit, could internal growth
have achieved the same ends and even better results eventually? Even if an ac-
quisition helps you enter a foreign market, would it have been simpler and
cheaper to license a local firm in that market? Clearly it is difficult to measure
these opportunity costs in practice, but what this does mean is that where viable
alternatives to merger, acquisition and joint venture have not been taken up, the
true cost and real failure rate of the chosen options may be even higher than is
observed and reported.
Why do you think the merger experience of Sony and Matsushita has been so
disappointing?
There are two important messages we should take from the empirical evidence
on combination activity. First, they frequently tend to disappoint in terms of adding
value, especially from the point of view of making an acquisition and most especially
from the point of view of joint venturing. Second, the strategic motives and
implications of combination may be more complex than simple short-term profit-
maximising motives, and this may be reflected in the apparently poor performance
of combinations when they are judged in those terms. But before we get to these
issues, we need to explore the basics of how combination could actually add value in
the first place. We turn to this in the next section.
compared to its alternatives. The reason why the answer ‘to share technology’ may
not appear as stupid or sarcastic as ‘to do my washing’ is that the purpose of a
merger may not be as obvious as the purpose of a washing machine. However, this
does not make it any more appropriate an answer.
So checklists of what, say, merger or joint venture can achieve tell us as much
about why merger or joint venture is chosen as a laundry list does about why
someone has bought a washing machine. In practice, we need to compare possible
methods of adding value, whether we are doing laundry or competing in the
marketplace.
We can make a start to this process by noting that we can conveniently reduce
the ‘laundry list’ that any strategic move should be designed to achieve in terms of
adding value to just two items. As we noted above, competitive advantage is
achieved by reducing costs or increasing market power. The first thing we need to
do in looking at the potential gains from combining resources of different business
units (whether through internal expansion, merger, acquisition, joint venture, or
other means) is to produce the corporate version of the laundry list. What is that
combination intended to achieve? Only after that should we go on to consider the
merits or demerits of alternative methods for pursuing these potential gains.
It should also be remembered that resource-based gains from combination are
obtained at the level of individual resources. If we want to consider the potential
impact of combination on competitive advantage then we have to look at the level
of the individual resources and activities that make up the respective value chains.
The potential gains from combination then depend on the resources at the corre-
sponding stage in the respective value chains having some similarity (or potential
similarity) in terms of their contribution to activities in the chain. At this level the
resources may be ‘allergic’ to each other (display negative synergy), just as they may
generate synergy.
Take, for example, the case of combining sales forces in the merger case dis-
cussed in Figure 7.1, and shown at value chain level in Figure 7.3. Suppose this is
the helmets/helmets merger example. Resource gains in this case should be reflect-
ed in cost savings/productivity gains for the combination. Whether or not those
occur will depend on the current disposition and characteristics of the respective
sales forces and how actual changes are managed. In particular it depends on the
nature of the similarities and the differences between the two parts of the combina-
tion, their resources and their product lines. How may these gains be achieved?
There are a number of ways and they may include some or all of the characteristics
below.
sales force
Distribution trucks Distribution
marketing department
market research
Marketing Marketing
advertising
plant
Production equipment Production
labour force
research
R&D R&D
development
no (or only limited) economies from combining the production of these two dif-
ferent types of helmets. On the other hand, the productivity of the combined
sales force may be significantly enhanced if they can now sell the two different sets
of helmets with one visit to a retailer.
The point is that where the economies may be obtained through combination
depends very much on the case in hand. If even a simple example such as hel-
mets/helmets may display a variety of possible ways of adding value in practice,
then this point holds even more strongly when we look at less straightforward
cases of diversification involving partial and erratic linkages between product
markets.
2. Alternative methods of combining activities. Merger and acquisition is not
the only ways such enhanced value may be pursued. An obvious alternative is
internal expansion. Where the benefits are built on increased scale of output,
organic growth may allow the firm to achieve the necessary size eventually with-
out the problems of integrating different systems that may be incompatible.
Where the benefits reflect reduced duplication of activity, the firm may be able
to achieve the same ends by concentrating on competing against its rival and
encouraging or forcing its withdrawal from this market. Indeed, merger and
acquisition strategies designed to give the firm scale and power in a particular
market might achieve this in the short term at the expense of eventual entry by
more able rivals (with consequent sacrifice of the gains that merger or acquisition
was designed to achieve). This could be the case if merger or acquisition is infe-
rior to internal expansion in terms of adding value in particular cases, weakening
the firm’s competitive potential and making it vulnerable to attack.
Alternatively, co-operative arrangements may also be able to achieve the same
gains without the need for combination within one firm. The firms could form a
co-owned and co-managed joint venture in distribution to rationalise that activity
and reduce the extent to which their efforts are duplicated, to increase their bar-
gaining power with retailers, to distribute each other’s helmets, and/or to spread
the benefits of best practice more widely. Even intangible elements such as the
benefits of brand image could be achieved without the need for merger if one
firm sells its product under the banner of the other through a joint venture. Of
course the competition authorities (or whoever is responsible for the control of
monopoly behaviour and restrictive practices in the country) might take a close
interest in any anti-competitive implications such co-operation may raise. How-
ever, the same might hold for any anti-competitive implications arising from
increased size or power due to a merger or acquisition alternative. In principle,
the intended outcomes of merger or acquisition may also be achievable through
internal growth or co-operative arrangements.
Which leads us to a natural question. Why is it that merger and acquisition per-
forms so badly, even ignoring the opportunity costs of better means that may have
been available to pursue particular gains from combination? We consider this issue
in the next section.
Compatibility problems
One of the most frequently reported problems in merger and acquisition activity is
compatibility. The parts of the combination are simply not suited to each other.
This is something that may be a fairly obvious problem in the case of conglomerate
acquisitions where the skills built up in running one part of the business are not
readily transferable to other parts. It may also be observed in some vertical mergers
(such as Exhibit 7.2) where different stages may involve different skills and compe-
tences. These issues can also result in principal–agent problems in which the agents
(divisional managers) may be able to conceal the true reasons for poor performance
from corporate-level management (the principals in this case).
However, such cases may at least have the saving grace that management may
limit the extent to which they try to apply capabilities and resources to areas of the
firm for which they are not appropriate, or where there may be difficulties meshing
and integrating them with the existing set-up. Even firms that offer similar or
identical products have their own unique identity and character, whether they are
fast food chains or oil companies. This holds for human capital as well as physical
capital, and for procedures and practices as well as technical manuals. Some of these
differences may be explicit, such as specifications of equipment and materials; other
aspects may be intangible and reflect custom and practice, the way things are done.
In some respects the differences that are physical can be the easy ones to deal
with. The firm can assess the technical capabilities and differences of the various
parts of the merged firm and work out an appropriate schedule for investing in
plant and equipment that will allow them to exploit economies of scale on the
production side, if this is an objective of merger. Reconciling and integrating more
intangible differences can prove more of a problem. Firms develop their own
standards, jargon, operating procedures and even philosophy for getting things
done. However, the particular standards, jargon, procedures and attitudes that
compose a firm may reflect its own history and the particular combination of
managers, choices and events that make up its past. Changing the equipment used
by a firm can be a lot easier than changing the complex set of social and knowledge-
based characteristics that make up that firm. The trouble is that these latter sets of
characteristics may be less visible than physical characteristics, and managers may
find difficulty in changing them, even in cases where they are aware of the differ-
ences in the first place.
This has potentially at least two adverse consequences. First, the component
parts may continue to go their own way and do things the way they did before the
merger. This would limit co-ordination of resources across the combined firm and
mean that the new firm could fail to achieve its perceived potential in terms of
adding value by harmonising and standardising activities across the firm. Second,
attempts to co-ordinate and harmonise activities across the board may prove costly,
especially if the skills and competences to be transferred are not appropriate to the
other parts of the firm. The outcome may be the effective failure of the merger or
acquisition to add value.
Optimistic bias
Remember in Module 3 how it was the unexpected bugs, hitches and problems that
could contribute to delays and escalating costs for R&D projects? Something similar
holds for merger and acquisition activity. It is often easy to identify where meshing
of market and resources from combination could lead to enhanced value if all goes
smoothly. The pitfalls and problems that lie in wait on the way to extracting that
value are often less easy to identify in advance.
The choice for our firm is that if it does not match its rival’s Strategy X, then it may
lose competitive advantage to its rival if Strategy X turns out to be wise, but gain it if
Strategy X turns out to be foolish. On the other hand, if our firm matches rival’s
Strategy X, they are both in the same boat and our firm can expect to get no net
advantage over its rival, whether or not Strategy X turns out to be wisely founded.
What should the firm do? If it is a risk avoider, it will choose the option with the least
worst possible outcome, which would be to match its rival’s strategy, otherwise
known as the maximin solution. It knows that it will not be able to better its rival
through mimicking this strategy, but at least it knows it will not lose ground to it by
doing this. Since survival may depend on not allowing your rival to nose in front in
the competitive race, matching your rival’s Strategy X can be a rational thing to do,
even if you have no idea whether or not Strategy X itself is wise or foolish until after
the event.
It is important to note that strategy matching (whether to prevent foreclosure as
in our first example, or to maintain competitive positioning as in our second) may
be seen as providing our firm with potential benefits which are not necessarily
reflected in added value (increased revenues or reduced costs) from combination. As
such it may not fit neatly into the basic two-item checklist represented by Figure 7.2.
But it can represent an exception to the usual competitive advantage rule in cases
where security and uncertainty considerations encourage the firm to build defences
against worst-case threats to its survival or well-being.
Table 7.2 The Prisoners’ Dilemma and possible effects of merger &
acquisition
RIVAL FIRM
Acquires Does not acquire
downstream downstream
OUR FIRM
Acquires downstream −10/−10 25/−15
Does not acquire −15/25 20/20
downstream
Table 7.2 shows that the two firms would make a profit of $20m a year each if
they keep things as they are and do not move downstream. If either firm moves into
the uncharted waters downstream, they will make losses on the resource side from
having to manage an unfamiliar set of activities. However, this is more than com-
pensated if the other firm does not follow and it is able eventually to cut its rival out
of much of the downstream market. The firm that moves makes a profit of $25m
and the firm that stays put now makes a loss of $15m, as Table 7.2 shows. The fact
that the combined profits of the pair have fallen from $40m ($20m + $20m) to
$10m ($25 − $15m) reflects the poor fit of the upstream and downstream stages and
the fact that overall efficiency has been reduced by this move.
However, if both firms decide to move downstream, their moves cancel each
other out in competitive terms and they are left with poorly fitting activities in
which there is little carryover in competences from one stage to another. Efficiency
on the part of both firms is impaired by the moves and they now make losses of
$10m each as Table 7.2 shows. Clearly they would have been better off individually
and collectively (profits of $20m each) if they had agreed to stick to the stage that
their competences were based in rather than move downstream (losses of $10m
each).
The problem is that they may not trust each other to stick to such an agreement,
and indeed the Prisoners’ Dilemma structure of this problem suggests it would be
rational for neither to abide by such an agreement, even if it was made. If our firm’s
rival moves downstream, then it would be rational for our firm to follow and make
a loss of only $10m compared to the $15m loss it would make if it stayed put. If the
rival decides not to move downstream, our firm can make a profit of only $20m by
doing the same, but could beat that with a profit of $25m by integrating and
building a base downstream that may help to cut its rival out of some of that
market. Whatever its rival does, our firm’s most profitable strategy is to move
downstream. Exactly the same logic holds for the rival firm, with the result that
both firms move downstream and start to make losses in a sector where they had
previously been making profits.
A Prisoners’ Dilemma structure to a situation can result in merger and acquisition
destroying value, even in cases where the management are aware of these dangers in
advance.
To summarise, there are enough reasons for merger and acquisition to fail to add
value in practice for us not be surprised when such an outcome occurs. Indeed,
perhaps it could be expressed the other way – that there may be grounds for
surprise and delight when a merger or acquisition beats the odds and actually turns
out to have led to enhanced value!
On the face of it, this looks like a mutually advantageous deal for both parties, just
like the example of the slightly cracked vase. Except that I have an option which I did
not have in the case of the vase; I could hold on to my share in the hope that enough
other shareholders sell out to allow the raider to gain control of the firm and
increase its value to $150. I could then free-ride and get a full share of the expected
$150 value of the firm. But if all other shareholders think the same way, no-one sells
out at least until the raider has been forced to push the price so high that enough of
Lazy’s shareholders think it is more sensible to sell out than to hold on. The result is
either to deter sound bids (because the potential bidder believes the price they will
have to pay to gain control of Lazy Inc. will be pushed unacceptably high), or to
redistribute significantly (perhaps completely) any gains from merger from the
acquirer’s shareholders to the shareholders of the target, Lazy Inc.
A point worth noting is that the Grossman–Hart problem would not operate if I
were the single owner of Lazy Inc. In such a case the ownership issue is similar to the
case of my owning the vase and we would expect the takeover to take place if a
mutually agreeable price could be settled on (unless there are other factors such as
my having an emotional attachment to the firm).
There are ways of trying to deal with the Grossman–Hart problem, or at least
alleviate its worst effects. These depend in part on the rules and conventions used to
deal with takeover bids in different regimes. From the point of view of corporate
strategy, the important thing is the effect of dispersal of share ownership. It might
be thought that dispersing share ownership would help to reduce the price of the
target firm because it would weaken the bargaining power of its owners compared
to cases of concentrated ownership. In fact, the Grossman–Hart problem means
that dispersed ownership may actually increase the price to be paid for the acquisition
and result in a worse deal for the acquirer.
Even when there is no bidding war, the Winner’s Curse may still hold. For a
particular firm there may be a number of potential bidders who look at it and decide
that it is simply not worth acquiring (they have overly-pessimistic or realistic
estimates of the underlying value of the firm). Now, if another firm comes along
that for one reason or another places an overly-optimistic valuation on this potential
acquisition, they are clearly more likely to bid for it, and (equally clearly) eventually
rue their decision if they succeed in their takeover bid.
So the Winner’s Curse can distribute gains from acquisition from the owners of
the acquiring firm who ‘win’ the bid to the owners of the acquisition who find they
have been paid more than their asset is realistically worth. This can hold whether or
not the combined firm is worth more than the sum of the value of the two separate
parts pre-acquisition.
How serious a problem is the Winner’s Curse? It certainly seems to play a part in
some auction systems, whether it is a firm buying another firm that turns out on
closer inspection to be a disaster area, or your Uncle John buying that old vase that
turns out on closer inspection to be slightly cracked. There is also a range of
outcomes for the bidding firms, with the firms showing the greatest possible gains
being prepared to bid highest. If their estimate is correct, the Winner’s Curse will
not apply.
There may also be safeguards against the Winner’s Curse in practice. Consider,
for example, other cases where there are uncertainty and differing valuations in a
bidding system. This could be for second-hand cars sold at auction, or competing
insurance companies offering differing premiums to insure your possessions. If the
Winner’s Curse always operated, then purchasers of second-hand cars would always
offer more than the car was really worth, while insurance companies would always
offer lower premiums than the risk really warrants.1 Car auctions would dwindle
away because the word would get round that you always have to pay more than the
car is really worth, while insurance companies would go broke because they always
underprice their premiums relative to the true underlying risks in a particular
category.
The fact that car auctions and insurance companies still operate suggests that the
Winner’s Curse is not generally a serious enough problem to cause trading to break
down in these sectors. Probably the best defence against the Winner’s Curse is
natural caution and risk aversion in the face of uncertainty. The group of potential
bidders for an asset may possibly throw up an individual (or group of individuals)
who may be vulnerable to the Curse in this context. At the same time, the potential
cost of the Curse may be defrayed by bidders adding risk premiums to their esti-
mates of the asset’s worth. Whether the winning buy eventually turns out to have
been a good or bad decision will depend in part on whether such devices dampen
bids sufficiently to avoid the trap of the Curse. And as we saw in Section 2.5.2, there
may be countervailing downward tendencies on the price because of the ‘market for
lemons’ problem.
1 Remember in this case that the winning bid is the one that offers the lowest price (or premium) to the
person seeking insurance.
competitive edge that merger and acquisition may lead to if it eliminates a competi-
tor and reduces rivalry (as we noted in the discussion of Porter’s Diamond in the
previous module). So while merger and acquisition may have unfortunate side
effects in the short term, these may be compounded by the erosion of competitive
advantage over even longer periods.
It might be thought that merger and acquisition may have sufficient problems to
put them bottom of the list of value-enhancing strategic alternatives in many cases.
However, there is another method of combining activities that can often score
worse than either of these options on those grounds. Its name is joint venture and
we shall look at it in the next section along with other co-operative approaches to
the combination problem. In particular we shall explore why joint venture, despite
its difficulties and costs, has become one of the most important weapons in
competitive strategy in recent years.
boundaries of firms
market link
technical link
MERGER JOINT VENTURE
business unit
contract
hierarchical relationship
tives, priorities and perceptions of the partners as to the outcomes of the joint
venture should be the same. Like merger, joint venture may also face the incom-
patibility problem in that procedures and cultures may be very different in the
two parents, leading to further co-ordination problems, miscommunication and
misunderstanding. However, joint venture partners have no direct control over
each other’s practices, unlike merger where at least the firm may be able to im-
pose some harmonisation of standards and procedures directly.
3. Appropriability problems. There is a further danger lurking in the thicket of
joint ventures: fear of losing competitive advantage because it leads to intellectu-
al property leaking out. A great advantage of merger is that it is more able to
keep important secrets and techniques private by internalising all the critical
assets. However, the joint venture may provide direct or indirect access to a
partner’s techniques and processes. In the joint venture example above, the firm
providing technical expertise may learn how its partner organises its selling and
markets its products, while in turn the latter may pick up R&D and how to or-
ganise production from its partner. Either firm may permanently acquire
competences that it lacked or was weak in.
On the face of it, appropriability problems might not seem too severe for joint
ventures. After all, one partner’s loss is the other’s gain. Indeed it may lead to a
net gain if the partner is able to turn the know-how acquired to areas that its
partner would not have reached. Also, many firms explicitly go into joint ven-
tures to acquire know-how and competences that they are lacking. However,
while firms may actively seek to raid their partners’ store of know-how, they are
also likely to want to guard against the partner doing the same to them. Conse-
quently the venture may be characterised by the parents’ reluctance to reveal or
commit sensitive resources to it. Also, firms may naturally fear revealing the
basic competences that drive their competitive advantage, especially if there is a
danger that their present partner could become a future rival in these areas, as
Exhibit 7.4 illustrates.
producer and not successful enough in adding value by finding an upmarket niche.
Honda’s collaboration with Rover had given the Japanese firm access to the European
market, but the takeover by BMW meant that its partner was now owned by a major
global competitor who was already well placed in the markets that Honda wanted
access to, and now had access to technology that Honda had supplied to what was now
BMW’s UK subsidiary.
Even if they had wished to, the complex set of interrelationships involved in the
alliance made it difficult for Honda to withdraw from all elements of the collaborative
relationship immediately, though they promptly signalled their intention to phase out
their alliance with Rover. Honda stated that its alternative strategy now was to build a
more independent operation in Europe, drawing on its own resources.
Why did Honda fall into what seems an obvious trap of becoming so closely
linked to Rover, with so many interdependences that were difficult to unravel?
Could collaborative activity in exhibits 7.5 and 7.6 lead to changes in the Five
Forces?
1. Why joint venture and not other forms of co-operation? The reason that
joint venture may be preferred to other forms of co-operation, such as licensing
and franchising (which may pose their own forms of appropriability problems),
is that there are often still major strategic decisions to be made involving the
venture. These other forms of co-operation are more appropriate for cases
where the fundamental market and technical characteristics that will help gener-
ate competitive advantage are fully known in advance and can effectively be
specified in a contract.2 Joint venture is frequently adopted in areas where there
is still major uncertainty concerning market and/or technical possibilities, such
as technological innovation, new market entry and searching for natural re-
sources. That is why the child is given a decision-making capacity to deal with
future issues as market and technical information unfolds in the course of devel-
oping the venture.
2. Why joint venture and not merger and acquisition? Joint venture does
essentially the same thing that merger and acquisition does; that is, it provides a
hierarchical structure and decision-making apparatus that allow the business to
respond creatively and exercise influence over future events. As we have seen,
joint venture has a long list of disadvantages relative to merger and acquisition,
but it has one critical advantage. It can be designed to cover only the selected
range of the resources that are of relevance to this venture opportunity, and
these in turn may relate to only a small part of the relevant partner’s activities.
Before we look at the benefits of this trick, we can note that there are two basic
ways that joint venture can perform it.
(a) Selected pieces of the value chain: consider the two value chains in Figure 7.1 and
Figure 7.3 and recall that our firms were pursuing means of adding value by
combining their sales forces. They could do so by merging the two firms. Now
suppose they were to form a joint venture in sales only, and keep the rest of their
activities separate. This would allow them to set up a decision-making facility to
co-ordinate potential gains from sharing sales forces, while localising most of the
costs of co-ordination to that region of the firm. In principle, there is no reason
why other regions of the value chain could not be picked off and joint ventures
set up by the two firms in, say, distribution, production, purchasing or R&D.
This selective approach to targeting bits of the value chain is shown in Exhibit
7.6 and Exhibit 7.7.
(b) Selected businesses of the firm: now consider the case shown in Figure 7.5. This is
adapted from the case of the related–linked strategy in Figure 5.11. Here we
assume that we have two five-business related–linked firms considering pooling
expertise from two of their businesses into a new venture (the dark circle on the
left). As Figure 7.5 indicates, the top firm can offer technical expertise to the
new venture, while the bottom firm can offer marketing skills and competences.
In this case again, merger is one way of marrying the resources and helping cre-
ate decision-making capacity for the new venture. Now suppose, instead, they
2 This characteristic also holds for much traditional sub-contracting, though as we noted above it may be
less true of recent developments where sub-contracting may take on some of the behavioural features
(if not the formal structure) of joint venture.
form a joint venture in the new business, keeping the rest of the firms separate.
This would help them set up a decision-making facility to co-ordinate resource
sharing over the relevant region of the firm, again localising most of the costs of
co-ordination to that region of the firm.
when both the interested parties were themselves already large diversified multina-
tionals with different ranges of interests, objectives and managerial cultures.
Finally, we can consider alliance and network participation. These last two forms
of co-operation differ from the previous cases in that both can involve a variety of
specific acts or forms of co-operation, some of which have been discussed above.
An alliance between two firms involves a formal or informal agreement to co-operate
on a variety of matters, as in the Honda–Rover alliance in Exhibit 7.4. Some
alliances involve swapping equity to help cement the alliance and increase the
involvement and commitment of both parties to their joint success. They are
analogous to the twinning or partnership agreements that are formed between cities
and institutions such as universities.
Does any of the analysis of Section 7.4.1 help explain why oil companies are
suddenly exploring similar strategies (especially merger, but also joint ventures)?
Alliances can have both a resource-based and transaction-cost logic. The ad-
vantage of alliances from a resource-based perspective is that both sets of
managerial teams can build up familiarity and understanding in terms of how the
other firm works. We have noted in the context of mergers and acquisitions how
differences in practices, rules and procedures can cause incompatibility problems.
This holds even more strongly in the context of co-operation if the firm selects a
new partner for every new co-operation agreement. The firm can take advantage of
previous learning and does not have to learn from scratch how a partner goes about
its business for every form of co-operation that falls under the alliance umbrella.
The transaction cost logic for alliances is that they should inhibit opportunism. It
may be easier to behave opportunistically for one-off acts of co-operation where the
partners do not have any other co-operative agreements with each other. In that
case, cheating on the partner may have little or no knock-on effects on the rest of
either firm’s business. However, if there is a series of individual co-operation
agreements that go to make up the alliance (in operation and/or in prospect) then
opportunistic behaviour in one part of the alliance may provoke a hostile response
by the partner that is reflected elsewhere in the alliance, and may even threaten the
stability of the alliance agreement in worst-case instances. We saw in Exhibit 7.4
how Rover deciding to switch its relations to BMW led to Honda deciding to
withdraw from the various component elements of its alliance with Rover, as
quickly and as far as possible. The individual agreements that go to make up the
alliance may effectively act as jointly held hostages, encouraging the parties to the
alliance to behave well in its constituent parts, and to be open in their relations with
their partners.
A major cost of alliance is that the alliance partner may not be the ideal choice of
partner for each constituent agreement considered in isolation. There may be more
advanced or lower cost firms that the firm could have co-operated with had alliance
advantages not encouraged it to stick with this partner. Also, alliances may dull
competitive edge if they limit competition and make it more difficult for able firms to
find niches where they can enter a sector.
If alliances can have the features and attractions of twinning or partnership ar-
rangements, then network participation can display some of the features and attractions
of joining a club. Networks (such as the cases in Exhibit 7.5 and Exhibit 7.6) may
exist where three or more firms are directly or indirectly linked by a series of co-
operative agreements. It may be set up by formal agreement, or it may simply evolve
without any central set of objectives, direction or planning. The essential quality of a
network is that there are access and transaction cost benefits from joining, over and
above the benefits which one-on-one co-operative agreements or alliances can
provide. Like alliances, networks can reduce transaction costs by inhibiting oppor-
tunism. In the alliance case, inhibition reflects multiple transactions linking the two
firms. In the network case, inhibition reflects multiple transactions linking the
network. Just as breaches of a gang’s code may invite retaliation from the rest of the
gang, so networks may punish anti-social and opportunistic behaviour by one of its
members by making it more difficult to do business as part of it.
Networks vary widely in the scope of activities that they exercise influence over,
and in their strength and effectiveness. At one extreme it may involve weak and
occasional interactions and be little more than a mailing list involving large numbers
of participants. At the other extreme it may involve as few as three firms, each with
major co-operative agreements with both of the other members, as in Exhibit 7.5
and Exhibit 7.6 above. If Firm A begins to act opportunistically in its agreement
with B, then the victim may be able to retaliate by using its relations with C as a
weapon. At its bluntest B may say to C, ‘Look, if you want to continue to do
business with me, then help me by using the leverage of your joint interests with A
to persuade him to behave more reasonably.’
Of course, the threat may not be so explicit as that, and indeed the point of the
network can be to stop things reaching that state of near breakdown. Networks can
encourage more open flows of information and reduce transaction costs precisely
because everyone knows that potential sanctions should reduce the chances of other
firms acting opportunistically in the first place.
Networks differ from other forms of co-operation in that in some cases they
need not involve a deliberate decision to join. Indeed many firms may be unaware
that they are part of a network and may find it difficult to identify its boundaries and
members even if they are. If C and A had only just formed a co-operation agree-
ment, and they both already had separate co-operation agreements with B, this
single act could suddenly make B part of a network even though the change did not
directly affect this third party.
But, like alliances, networks can exclude as well as include, and there may be no
guarantee that those excluded from a network are less fit firms than those that are
included. Consequently, networks may soften competitiveness to the immediate
disadvantage of those excluded and the eventual disadvantage of network members
themselves.
Learning Summary
Combining the efforts of two or more separate firms can be done in two main ways:
combining them into one separate entity through merger or acquisition, or through
a co-operative agreement such as joint venture or alliance. The area of combination
can be limited to parts of the firm (e.g. selling one division to another firm; joint
venture between two divisions of separate firms) or may involve the whole of both
firms (e.g. mergers and firm-level alliances).
Whatever the method chosen, there are two main effects that such combinations
can have in terms of the competitive advantage of firms. It can have a stimulating
effect on the demand side, and/or it can help generate economies of scale or scope
on the supply side through sharing resources. Despite the impressive laundry lists
that have been produced to describe what each method of combination can achieve,
most such laundry lists are close substitutes for each other and can be reduced to
these same two basic elements.
There is considerable evidence to suggest that merger, acquisition and joint ven-
ture are frequently very disappointing in terms of their performance. We have seen
how and why stated objectives may be at variance with observed performance in
such cases. We have also seen how such poor performance could be explained and
anticipated in many cases by a fuller analysis of the likely objectives and effects of
combination.
Review Questions
7.1 You are considering a possible acquisition. Which of the following may be legitimate
reasons for going ahead?
I. The proposed acquisition would guarantee supplies of a raw material.
II. The proposed acquisition is highly profitable.
III. There may be gains from sharing technological ideas with the acquisition.
A. I and II only.
B. I and III only.
C. II and III only.
D. All of the above.
7.2 Two firms think there may be benefits from sharing their technology, production
facilities and distribution channels. Of the following modes of organisation, which one
might be appropriate for generating such gains?
I. Strategic alliance
II. Joint venture
III. Licensing
IV. Merger
A. I, II and III.
B. I, II and IV.
C. II, III and IV.
D. All of the above.
7.5 Which of the following does the empirical evidence on corporate mergers suggest?
A. Firms maximise profits.
B. Mergers frequently reduce shareholder value.
C. Firms are revenue maximisers.
D. There are no constraints on the pursuit of managerial objectives.
References
Grossman, S.J. and Hart, O.D. (1980) Take-over bids, the free-rider problem and the theory
of the corporation, Bell Journal of Economics, 11, 42–64.
Practice Examination 1
1 Is Patsy right that the new offer would not cover his costs? What should he do?
2 How could Patsy have tried to reduce his vulnerability to hold-up at the start of the
contract and how might each type of solution affect the costs and revenues associated
with the project?
3 Bugsy is exploring the possibility of Mobsterville building and running all new attractions
by itself. Assess any possible advantages and disadvantages to Bugsy of such a switch in
strategy.
The announcement of the Daimler-Benz/Chrysler merger took the rest of the car
industry and its analysts by surprise. The two companies had secretly negotiated what
would then be the world’s largest industrial merger. The merger would constitute a
major upheaval in the fiercely competitive global car industry and caused some conster-
nation amongst rivals of the two companies. News of the deal was greeted warmly by
the capital market, while employees’ reaction in the two companies generally ranged
from cautious approval to outright enthusiasm.
All in all, reaction in the US was seen as remarkably positive considering that the
merger was regarded by some as effectively a takeover of a landmark US company by a
foreign firm.
The merger had been hailed by Chrysler as a ‘marriage of equals’ by the two compa-
nies but Daimler-Benz would be the dominant partner with its shareholders taking 57
per cent of the combined company against 4 per cent for the American side. The group
was to be incorporated in Germany, which meant that it would retain a German system
of separate management and supervisory boards (with German law requiring employee
representation on the supervisory board). Daimler executives would take 10 of the 18
seats on DaimlerChrysler’s management board.
The current chairmen of Chrysler (Eaton) and Daimler-Benz (Scrempp) would be-
come joint chairmen and chief executives of Chrysler-Benz. Neither joint chairman
would have defined responsibilities but would be involved in the full range of the merged
company’s activities around the world. There would be joint headquarters in the US and
Germany and board meetings would alternate between them. The working language in
the boards would be English.
Eaton was to retire in three years and it was intended that Scrempp would then take
sole charge, and that there would be a single company headquarters in Germany.
Daimler-Benz
Daimler’s main auto products were in luxury cars, and trucks and vans. It also had
interests in aerospace, rail systems, microelectronics and financial services. Daimler had
given up attempts to move outside the transport industry after recent diversification
attempts led to huge losses. Strong growth in the US had been the main influence in its
recent sales growth.
Deutsche Bank had been a major shareholder and had sometimes been actively
involved in major strategic decisions in the past, such as encouraging Daimler to
diversify into other industries where its engineering expertise could be applied.
The current chairman, Scrempp, cut the company back to its automotive core after
one of the biggest losses in German industrial history. Scrempp was said to have a taste
for the American way of running a business after previously managing Daimler’s US
truck business. The company also was recently hit by problems caused by delays, bugs
and necessary re-engineering of some new products.
Chrysler
Chrysler was essentially a volume car producer. Chrysler had been rescued from
threatened bankruptcy by US taxpayers but the present managerial team turned the
company around and it was now viewed highly favourably by the stock market.
Much of the credit for the turnaround was given to the combination of the practical
managerial skills of the chairman, Bob Eaton, and shareholder pressure and direction,
particularly that of a major investor, Kirk Kerkorian. Management had reduced devel-
opment time for new models from four to five years to around two years. It had
become the lowest-cost car producer in the US, specialising in low-priced cars and
sports utility vehicles. Eaton had growth targets of 20 per cent sales growth a year
which was difficult to achieve given market saturation in the US.
The merger
During negotiations the companies agreed that they were talking only about merger and
that alternatives such as joint ventures were not on the table. This was significant
because collaborative arrangements had become a major feature of the auto industry in
recent years. The merger would create a large industrial group to be called Daim-
lerChrysler, covering every aspect of the motor industry.
The existing brands would be retained; there was little competing overlap between
the products of the two companies. It was expected to facilitate the selling of Mercedes-
Benz Chrysler models outside their home markets; for example, Chrysler’s Dodge Ram
pickup truck would be sold in South America through Mercedes-Benz distribution
channels. However, it was not planned to have joint showrooms in established markets.
Global purchasing by both companies would immediately be integrated, leading to a
cost reduction in the first year of about 0.5 per cent (around $300m). There would be
combination of some administrative offices and some rationalisation of R&D projects;
for example, Daimler expected to cancel development of a minivan since Chrysler
already had one of the world’s most popular types of minivan. Later benefits were
expected from sharing technical know-how in manufacturing and engineering.
More generally, it was expected that Daimler would benefit from Chrysler’s exper-
tise in cost-efficient production, while Chrysler would benefit from Daimler’s extensive
engineering resources, including environmentally sensitive fuel cell technology. It was
possible, though not certain, that eventually the basic engineering structure of cars could
be shared. The companies stated that there would be no job losses and said that they
expected to add to capacity in Europe and the US.
Daimler-Benz calculated the premium it is paying for Chrysler over the market price
of shares at 28 per cent, or about $8bn. Some analysts thought this understated the
premium. The two companies calculated the value of synergies from merger at $1.4bn in
year one, rising to $3bn annually within three to five years.
Apart from obvious differences between the two companies in cultural background,
language and traditions, there were also differences in managerial styles and expecta-
tions. The financial rewards enjoyed by Chrysler’s senior management were significantly
higher than that of their German counterparts and reflected US levels of salaries and
stock options. As far as ownership is concerned, it was expected that there would be a
general widening and dilution of shareholdings in the combined company, compared to
the two companies prior to merger.
It was widely believed amongst industry experts that the merger could be a trigger
that helps stimulate further rationalisation and mergers in the motor industry. The
industry had experienced problems of considerable overcapacity and severe competitive
pressure on prices; new entrants had only helped to add to these problems in recent
years.
2 What are possible advantages and disadvantages of the deal to the management of the
two companies?
3 Could the two companies have exploited similar gains without merging? Why do you
think management chose the merger solution?
Question 3
An Asian firm producing specialised building products is exploring the possibility of
expanding into other Asian countries. US firms currently control 90 per cent of this
segment in these other Asian countries. Our firm has 80 per cent of its domestic
market but no significant presence in international markets at the moment.
1 Show how Porter’s Diamond could be used to help identify the strategic issues the
company should consider in evaluating whether and how to pursue international
expansion.
Practice Examination 2
1 If Jen and Berry accept the market analyst’s calculations, what should they do? Look at
the problem in game theory terms.
2 Jen and Berry both think the ice cream outlets are making exorbitant profits at their
expense and plan to buy them out. Good idea?
3 Jen and Berry would both like to go international to capitalise on reputation but neither
thinks they could go it alone. Berry has suggested forming a joint venture to Jen. What
could determine whether this is a good idea or not?
Background
The ‘Swatch’, an innovative fashion watch, was developed in the context of an alarming
and continuing slump in Switzerland’s share of the world market for watches during the
post-war period. Electronic watches and strong competition from Asian firms meant
that the Swiss share of global sales had slumped in the decades following the Second
World War. The loss in sales was particularly marked in the low-to-medium priced
market segments. The industry’s capabilities in the high-skilled mechanical segment of
the watch market did not make it well placed to compete with or absorb the emergent
high-technology electronic threat. The Swiss reputation for reliable timepieces became
less of a source of competitive advantage when cheap electronic watches could also
perform reliably.
Swatch (the name is an amalgam of ‘S(wiss) watch’) was developed by ETA, a subsidi-
ary of Ebauches S.A. which in turn was a subsidiary of ASUAG. ASUAG was highly
specialised in the watch industry with a strong base in mechanical watches, and in
common with many of the other Swiss watchmakers had been suffering in terms of
profitability, sales and cash flow. It was Swizerland’s biggest watchmaker, and contained
well-known brand names such as Longines. The other major watch corporation was
SSIH which held the Omega and Tissot brands.
What was to become the Swatch was the outcome of a new project initiated in the
context of a wider programme of corporate renewal at ETA initiated by Ernst Thomke,
ETA’s chief executive. Although he had done an apprenticeship in watchmaking at ETA,
Thomke had been recruited by ETA from outside the firm and the industry. He had left
ETA to study science and medicine at Bern, then he joined Beecham, a UK pharmaceuti-
cal firm, where he became managing director of its Swiss subsidiary.
Thomke embarked on a programme of cost cutting, rationalisation (from 12 factories
to just 3 centres) and reduction of model variety and range. However, he also sought to
restore the firm’s innovativeness and raise the confidence of its engineers. Managerial
layers were scrapped, bureaucracy reduced, communication enhanced, experimentation
encouraged and challenging targets and specifications for new products introduced.
What was to become the Swatch emerged out of the setting of an ambitious specifica-
tion for a new type of watch.
Swatch research and development
Swatch emerged out of an identified need for a product in the low-to-medium price
range. The product should be quartz analogue, competitively priced, with a sales target
of 10m units in the first three years. It should be high-quality, shock-resistant and
waterproof, with the battery the only replacement part and the dial and hands the only
model variants.
ETA’s established engineering teams argued that this specification would be impossi-
ble to achieve. However, two young engineers, Mock and Müller, both less than 30,
decided to take a look at the problem. They mounted moving parts directly onto a
moulded case. The idea was developed by teams of engineering, marketing and financial
specialists as well as consultants from outside the industry.
ETA did not have its own marketing department. It now created its own marketing
department and sought advice from marketing specialists in the clothing, shoe and
sports industries.
Swatch technology
There were a number of technological innovations. These included mounting parts
directly onto the plastic case. (In conventional watches the case was simply a cover.)
The number of components was reduced from nearly 100 for a conventional analogue
quartz watch to about 50. Parts were riveted and welded together, not held together
with screws. Because of this, it was possible to fully automate watch production;
previously there had been separate stages for mounting of the movement and the
finishing.
Swatch marketing
Conventional marketing in the industry emphasised performance of the product, here it
was the brand name ‘Swatch’ with its youthful, playful, fashion-conscious connotations.
The price was set high enough for significant margins but low enough for impulse buying.
It was distributed through jewellery stores, boutiques and department stores as a
fashion item, rather than through mass retailers. Marketing emphasised placing Swatch in
high-profile and prestige events such as the Olympics.
Introduction of the Swatch
ASUAG and SSIH merged in the same year as the introduction of Swatch to form SMH.
It changed the way that consumers regarded watches; they were no longer either
expensive items to last a lifetime or cheap functional timekeepers. Instead, consumers
often treated them as an additional purchase and fashion accessory rather than as a
substitute for conventional watches, some consumers buying more than one Swatch. It
rapidly became a major marketing success.
Subsequent Swatch developments
The main Swatch design centre was in Milan with about 20 designers producing over
100 new models every year, all based around the standardised size and shape. Sports
and arts sponsorship were important elements in Swatch development. Swatch had its
own marketing department in each major market, with complementary functions such
as finance, logistics and after-sales service being handled by SMH’s local branches.
The success of Swatch stimulated a number of subsequent product developments
using the Swatch name. While ETA retained production of Swatch, a separate Swatch
subsidiary was set up to design and distribute Swatch watches and a wide range of
accessories including footwear, leather goods, clothes, jewellery, perfume, glasses, pens,
lighters, cigarettes, leather goods and sports goods. But the Swatch accessories line
closed down because of disappointing performance and a perceived negative impact on
the Swatch brand image.
The Swatch brand was extended to include a number of timekeeping developments
over the next few years; watches for skiers and scuba divers, wall clocks, children’s
watches, chronometers, alarm watches, stop watches, and even a mechanical swatch.
The company introduced a Swatch pager, which integrated watch and telecommuni-
cations technology and introduced several technological innovations but still sold at
what was regarded as an attractive price. However, Swatch’s attempts to produce
pagers and mobile phones have subsequently turned out to be failures.
Its most radical project at this time was a joint venture with Volkswagen to launch
the Swatch-mobile, a battery powered car with a range of just over one hundred miles
and a cost of about $6300. Volkswagen withdrew from the joint venture, and Swatch
decided to continue to work on the project while still seeking another partner. It
eventually developed the SMART car with Mercedes-Benz, but continuing technical
problems then led to Swatch to sell their stake in the project to Mercedes.
Swatch has been pursuing its transformation into a leading (wristwatch-based) mobile
phone and Internet company, taking advantage of perceived technological convergence
between wristwatches and telecommunications.
2 Is Swatch still pursuing the right strategy? Consider with respect to generic strategy,
diversification and alliance strategies.
Question 3
Filmic is a movie-mad country with a strong domestic film industry, its films being almost
entirely oriented for domestic consumption. Souve is one of a number of small special-
ised firms making cheap plastic and metal replicas of characters from various Filmic
movies such as Jar Wars (trouble in the bottling industry) and IT (the Intraterrestrial).
Like most of its competitors, Souve gets its basic raw material mostly from local
suppliers and sells in retail outlets like newsagents and toy stores. Souve and some of its
rivals are considering moving into buying supplies and selling products on the Internet.
1 Discuss how you would evaluate the possible implications for Five Forces and
competitive strategy in this industry.
Examination Answers
Practice Examination 1
can achieve low production costs for each new ride through specialisation of labour
and being able to employ specialised machinery and equipment in production.
Routinisation of tasks would allow increases in productivity through learning effects.
Since Bugsy would have to employ craftsmen to produce a variety of different
attractions, he would not be able to take advantage of specialised skills or equipment
to the same extent, and there would be limited opportunities for learning curve
effects. Also, vertical integration can sacrifice efficiency gains from market pressure: if
independent contractors are operating in a competitive environment they will be
pressurised to push costs down and be creative just to survive. By choosing to do it
all himself, Bugsy cuts himself off from access to external sources of high-quality
and/or low-cost services. Lifting the direct influence of market pressures from the
creation and production of each attraction could result in inferior and costly
attractions.
Possible disadvantages
The advantages of marriage (e.g. potential synergies) may be more visible than
possible disadvantages. Empirical evidence suggests managerial expectations of
the returns from merger tend to be overly optimistic.
Absence of greater synergies achievable had the companies’ products been direct
substitutes for each other.
Cultural differences between the two firms including different systems of
managerial incentives and employee representation on the German supervisory
boards.
Although Chrysler’s had been one of the best-managed firms in the auto
industry recently, Daimler is the dominant partner and Eaton will soon retire;
these factors could limit the extent to which the high-performing US side can
influence the German side.
Appears to worsen, rather than reduce, the problems of overcapacity in the
industry (plans to increase capacity as a consequence of merger).
Administratively complex and cumbersome.
Improvement in competitive position may be eroded if it encourages rivals to
retaliate and prompt further consolidation within the industry.
Are the economic opportunities in the US sustainable or a reflection of tempo-
rary economic circumstances?
The dilution of ownership in the company might exacerbate principal–agent
(shareholder–management) problems. The potential influence of investors such
as Kerkorian may be weakened in the combined company, though note that
major shareholding and influence on the part of Deutsche Bank did not prevent
Daimler from making strategic errors.
In the end the disadvantages of merger appear to have overwhelmed the
advantages. Analysts criticised its post-merger performance and apparent failure
to integrate the two very different systems. DaimlerChrysler seemed to run two
independent product lines, eventually Chrysler was sold off to Cerberus Capital
Management, and the former Daimler-Benz part rebadged itself as Daimler AG.
3 Management decided to reject alternatives to merger although, in principle, many of
the gains sought from merger could also be organised through a variety of collabo-
rative arrangements. Major options here include franchising, licensing, joint
ventures, sub-contracting and alliance.
Franchising: There appear to have been limited options from franchising since the
showrooms and dealerships are being kept separate. However, the sharing of
distribution channels in emerging markets might have been achieved through
franchising arrangements.
Licensing: Technology such as fuel cell technology could have been the subject of
licensing between the two companies.
Joint venture: Various activities such as R&D could have been pursued in joint
ventures and this could in turn lead to further gains such as economies of scope
from purchasing jointly-developed and jointly-specified components.
Sub-contracting: The firms could have acted as sub-contractors for each other in
areas in which they have low-cost or high-quality components or sub-systems.
Alliance: Finally, different forms of collaborative arrangements at business level
(such as those discussed above) could be brought under the umbrella of an alli-
ance at corporate level.
Collaborative arrangements can help transfer managerial expertise across companies.
Here, transference could include Chrysler’s competences in production techniques
and Daimler’s competences in high-quality engineering. A number of companies
have acquired competences this way, such as Rover through its association with
Honda prior to being taken over by BMW.
The advantages and disadvantages of collaboration depend on the particular mode
employed, but in general the advantage of collaborative arrangements is that they
allow each company to retain a more focused orientation and consistent direction
without the confusion and administrative problems of trying to merge together and
integrate two very different firms with different types of management and cultures.
Collaborative arrangements can also be precisely targeted just on those areas where
gains are anticipated. The disadvantages of collaborative arrangements reflect the
transaction costs of negotiating, administrating and policing each individual agree-
ment. Appropriability problems will add to transaction costs in cases where transfer
of sensitive technological or marketing information is involved.
It seems that in this case the companies decided that the net gains from merger were
still positive, even after taking into account the opportunity cost of the best possible
combination of collaborative arrangements.
Question 3
1 Porter’s Diamond could be used to establish the possible sources of competitive
advantage for the company in trying to penetrate these other markets. This could
help the firm to decide what type of strategy it should pursue in this context, and
the form of market entry that should be adopted if it decides to go ahead.
Sources of competitive advantage
Porter’s Diamond is relevant in at least two contexts here – analysis of the sources
of competitive advantage for the Asian firm deriving from its home base, and
analysis of the sources of competitive advantages deriving from the home base of its
major potential rivals, which in this case are US firms. Some examples of questions
that should be asked in both Diamonds are:
Firm strategy, structure and rivalry: Do national cultural norms and institutional
arrangements support this industry? Does this industry attract outstanding na-
tional talent? Is there investor support for the industry? Are there capable
domestic rivals?
Demand conditions: Are the home nation’s buyers for these products the most
demanding and sophisticated? Do home-nation consumers’ needs anticipate
those of other nations? Are the home-base distribution channels advanced and
sophisticated compared to other nations?
Factor conditions: Does the nation have particularly advanced or appropriate
factors of production needed in this industry? Does the nation have advanced
and relevant factor creation mechanisms, such as university engineering depart-
ments?
Related and supporting industries: Does the nation have world-class supplier indus-
tries? Are there strong positions in relevant supplier industries?
Comparison of the Asian firm’s Diamond with that of the US firms’ Diamond
should allow the firm to assess whether and where it may have opportunities for
exploiting a sustainable competitive advantage compared to US firms in these Asian
markets. It should also be noted that there is an absence of domestic rivals to the
Asian firm, it lacks experience in international operations, and that the US firms
already dominate these other markets. These are all disadvantages that the firm will
have to overcome if it is to successfully compete in these new markets.
Choice of strategy
The generic strategies available for market entry to this firm are:
Differentiation
Cost leadership
Focused differentiation
Cost focus
Do nothing
The choice of strategy to be pursued should reflect the firm’s possibilities for
exploiting potential competitive advantage in these new markets. A strategy should
be chosen that allows the firm to capitalise on its sources of competitive advantage
while not placing it at a disadvantage compared to its rivals. For example, the US
firms may be pursuing broad-target differentiation strategies based on multidiscipli-
nary R&D that our firm has no hope of replicating or matching. In these
circumstances the firm may decide that it would be foolish to engage in head-to-
head competition using a similar strategy. Depending on the particular sources of
competitive advantage open to it, it might instead opt for cost leadership or cost
focus, or focused differentiation in cases where it may be able to exploit niche
opportunities. Or it could decide that there is no basis on which it could compete
with the US firms, in which case it would choose to do nothing in this context and
avoid market entry.
Practice Examination 2
Berry
Retail Don’t retail
Jen
Retail 2 3 4 2
Don’t retail 1 5 3 4
If Berry decides to move downstream into retailing, these figures suggest that Jen
would double her value by matching that move (VP2m instead of 1m), while if
Berry did not move into retailing, Jen would still be better off moving into retailing
(VP4m instead of VP3m). So whatever Berry does, on these figures moving into
retailing would seem to be a dominant strategy for Jen.
Similarly, Berry appears to be better off moving into retailing whatever Jen does. He
increases his value by VP1m if he retails when she does the same (3m instead of
VP2m), and if she does not move into retailing, he would have a value of VP5m if
he does go into retailing compared to VP4m if he does not. Moving into retailing is
a dominant strategy for Berry also.
However, this suggests a Prisoners’ Dilemma. If both choose to go downstream and
open up their own retail outlets, they would both be worse off than if they decided
to stay where they are. Jen then has a value of VP2m compared to VP3m if both
had not moved into retailing. Berry has a value of 3m compared to the VP4m he
would have had had they both stuck upstream.
So is this mutually unsatisfactory move into retailing inevitable? No, for a number of
reasons. For example:
Jen and Berry may make a binding agreement not to move into retailing. There
may be a number of reasons that the agreement may be trusted by both parties –
it might be a legal contract, they may be brother and sister, they may both have a
reputation for honesty in commercial dealings, they may both have a reputation
for homicidal vengeance if duped, etc.
They still may not trust each other, but both may decide to wait to see what the
other will do and then match it. The Prisoners’ Dilemma requires simultaneous
moves and this may not be necessary or realistic. If they are both prepared to
wait indefinitely, neither will move into retailing.
They may see the situation as a repeated game running beyond the three-year
time horizon of the analyst’s predictions, in which case the non-cooperative
move into retailing may not be the rational move for both to choose.
These are some of the more obvious objections to the Prisoners’ Dilemma outcome
in this context, though there may be many others (e.g. they may be distrustful of the
analyst’s predictions, and prefer to avoid risk by doing nothing).
2 There are two main problems possible with this.
Firstly, if the market for ice cream outlets is efficient, the price that Jen and Berry
will be expected to pay for an outlet will reflect the discounted present value of
further profits. The more profitable an outlet, the higher the price they will be
expected to pay to secure it, all other things being equal. Even if there are imperfec-
tions in the market for ice cream outlets, Jen and Berry should know that much of
the juicy profits that they can expect to get later have to be paid for in the form of a
correspondingly high upfront purchase price.
Secondly, they are manufacturers; what do they know about retailing? Different
capabilities, different skills and the fact that it is being planned through acquisition
give further cause to pause and question whether this is likely to be an ill-advised
move on their part; empirical evidence on acquisitions suggest they often fail.
3 The first thing that should be established is what both parties can get out of the
joint venture. Joint ventures usually focus on complementarities, with both parties
bringing different resources and skills to the table. This helps patch up holes or gaps
in the value chain that might obtain from going it alone. For example, one party may
have the finance and the other an innovation. Or one may have technological
competences and one may have marketing competences.
In the case of going international, joint ventures are commonly formed between one
firm from the home or source country, and one from the host country. This is again
because of complementarities, the firm from the source country providing the
product and the firm from the host country providing market and distribution
resources and country-specific knowledge and experience.
Sometimes firms do bring similar items to the table in an international joint venture;
for example, oil companies may share capital and risk in an early stage of the value
chain – oil field exploration.
The question is what a Jen and Berry joint venture could do. In part this depends on
the nature of the intangible asset of reputation and the relationship of Jen and
Berry’s products to each other. An Isle of Vanilla international venture between the
two could possibly:
share capital, managerial resources and risk;
help avoid destructive head-to-head competition;
extend the range and variety of products compared to go-it-alone alternatives.
This would be more likely to obtain if Jen and Berry had distinctive and comple-
mentary products that helped extend or even complete each other’s product range.
The downside of an Isle of Vanilla international venture between Jen and Berry is
that it could:
be difficult and costly to manage (e.g. contractual issues, complex hierarchy and
appropriability problems discussed in Module 7);
lose advantages of focus if reputation is firm-specific (i.e. if the reputation for
quality is associated with Jen and Berry individually, less so the island itself);
be unnecessary if neither partner can provide missing capabilities the other lacks;
still need to add further capabilities; how to enter foreign markets – form
overseas subsidiaries, license, franchise, or form more joint ventures with local
firms?
At worst, a Jen and Berry joint venture would be unnecessary, costly and still leave
gaping holes in the international value chain that still have to be plugged.
Pricing strategy (pricing low enough to deliver mass market and mass production);
Cost sensitivity (low-cost and mass production using innovative techniques);
Differentiation (making Swatch one of the world’s most recognisable and distinc-
tive brand names).
The combination allowed it to achieve very attractive profit margins on its sales in a
sector that had been regarded as being in the mature phase of the product life cycle.
It could be argued that, at least for a time, Swatch achieved what Porter sees as a
very difficult trick to pull off – differentiation advantage and cost advantage
simultaneously. It differentiated successfully and was also able to achieve cost
advantage over major competitors (producing watches of comparable quality) with
the introduction of full automation, economies of scale and learning curve effects.
In the fashion segment of the watch market, Swatch was able to achieve first-mover
advantages with this strategy. While Swatch did (and does) have high levels of
technical competences, these are not sufficient to explain how it has managed to
sustain competitive advantage in this segment for two decades. A Five Forces
Framework analysis of this sector would suggest that market entry by potential rivals
is very difficult to achieve. Even if competitors could replicate or beat Swatch’s
technological capabilities, they would have an immense job to compete against the
Swatch brand image and marketing muscle, and the cost advantages that its market
dominance has given it.
2 It is interesting to note that, although Swatch was able to draw on the Swiss
reputation for making timepieces, many of the competences that it needs are based
in other countries (the Milan design centre), or in other non-Swiss companies (e.g.
Mercedes). A Porter Diamond analysis might raise questions about what residual
sources of competitive advantage are derived from its Swiss base. As far as its
strategy in the fashion end of the watch market is concerned, the strategy appears
sustainable given its sources of competitive advantage, unless there is unexpected
change in this sector in terms of fashion preferences or technology.
It is possible to raise more questions about its diversification strategy, the most
radical developments often being pursued with the help of co-operative arrange-
ments with other firms. The diversification strategy could be justified by
management in terms of either moving the company away from a highly specialised
market base, or in terms of possible synergy gains and growth motives. But high
degrees of specialisation (focus) may be a high-value strategy, especially if the
specialised base is defensible and sustainable, while diversification can both move
the firm away from its core competences, and require the acquisition of key compe-
tences which it does not possess. Pagers, mobile phones and cars are all markets in
which Swatch has had major disappointments, and the key question here is why
Swatch should expect to succeed in these markets against well-established firms.
The extent to which Swatch could transfer its existing marketing and technical
competences and add value is the critical one here. Its image was very much as a
fashion watch maker and it is not clear that this easily stretched into other areas
such as cars, while many of the technical competences required in its diversification
moves were foreign to it and required the co-operation of other companies.
The strategy of pursuing diversification with the help of alliances may be the only
practical way that Swatch could pursue complex high-technology diversification.
Dangers here include:
Swatch’s partners may decide to go it alone after learning all they need to know
from their association with Swatch.
Strategic directions such as wrist-based Internet technology may turn out to be
marketing or technological dead ends.
Co-operative ventures are very difficult to make work anyway, and many end in
tears.
What has to be done is to compare them with alternatives. If it is not possible or
realistic for Swatch to develop the competences in-house (because they are (a) too
complex, (b) too varied, or (c) someone else has them and is not going to give them
up), then merger or acquisition may be the only alternative to co-operative arrange-
ments if the venture in question is to be pursued. But it is unlikely to expect merger
with (for example) Mercedes just to exploit a venture that may have a limited shelf
life. Merger is (usually) for ever, and this would be a sledgehammer to crack a nut in
the cases discussed here.
We would expect merger or acquisition to be seriously considered if the areas of
common interest covered a major portion of the range of interests of at least one of
the companies in question (Swatch or the other firm), and if the areas of common
interest were expected to be enduring.
3 In Section 3.4, nine major types of innovation hurdle were identified.
1. Appropriability problems of leakage of competitive advantage to other rivals. This was
certainly a problem in terms of the technical solutions (it would be relatively easy
to buy a Swatch and take it apart to find out what made it tick, as it were). How-
ever, Swatch was able to largely appropriate the other type of intangible asset,
brand image.
2. Neglect of potential spin-offs to other divisions inside the firm. There is no evidence that
externalities led to ETA underinvesting here. To the extent the other divisions
retained old technology (e.g. those making prestige mechanical watches), there
would be few technological externalities expected. ETA was in any case subse-
quently able to internalise much of the gains from Swatch technology through
the strong growth in Swatch’s market share.
3. Duplicated research effort from each division concentrating on its own problems. There is no
evidence that anyone else was doing anything like this in the firm, so it does not
appear to have been a problem here.
4. Coping with uncertainty and the likelihood of failure. Since the Swiss watch industry was
on an apparently inexorable downward slide anyway, there could be little to be
lost by taking a risk.
5. Potentially high cost of the full process of innovation. The full cost of development was
significant (not quantified here) but the two young engineers Mock and Müller
were able to suggest feasible solutions at an early stage, encouraging confidence
in the approach.
6. The long time horizons involved. Thomke deliberately compressed the time horizons
for both technical introduction and marketing success as far as possible, setting
what some felt were unreasonable targets in order to quicken the pace of innova-
tion.
7. Asymmetric information – those doing work for the project can know more about its true
potential than those funding it. Thomke was a skilled engineer/scientist, which
helped in the evaluation of outcomes as well as the specifications of targets.
8. Machiavelli’s problem – innovation attacks vested interests, with those who might gain not
being in place to argue its case. Traditional watchmakers may have resisted these in-
novations and some of Machiavelli’s problem may have lain behind some of the
resistance to Thomke’s ideas and targets. However, the ability of vested interests
to resist had been weakened by the dramatic slide in their fortunes over the post-
war period.
9. Compartmentalisation of R&D and need to integrate complementary assets. Much of
Thomke’s reorganisation strategy (de-layering, improved communications) was
designed to facilitate integration of complementary skills and the need for this
was demonstrated in the multidisciplinary teamwork required to develop the
Swatch, which was also largely able to draw on in-house R&D resources, a luxu-
ry which it was not able to enjoy for some of its more recent innovations.
Question 3
1 The industrial environment in which Souve operates appears a rather closed and
insular system. As far as the technological and logistical shifts being contemplated
by Souve are concerned, there are likely to be very different considerations involved
in a move into B-to-B (business to business) Internet transactions with its suppliers,
and B-to-C (business to customer) Internet selling, especially if, as seems likely, the
former involves bulk buying of metal and plastic commodities with standardised
specifications, and if the latter involves cheap, differentiated products sold in
numerous geographically dispersed outlets.
The following suggests some considerations that might be important in the light of
the possible technological switches being contemplated in this industry.
Force 1: Threat of Entry
From Module 1, we know there are a number of possible elements that can influ-
ence threat of entry into a market if they are present, though of course only some
(or none) may be relevant in a particular case. The possible elements include:
Economies of scale
Economies of scope
The experience curve
Differentiation
Risky and costly capital requirement for entry
Switching costs
Access to supplies and outlets
Other cost advantages (e.g. patents)
Government policy
Exit barriers
Expected retaliation.
On the face of it, adopting Internet technology should reduce the chance of entry to
the extent that it raises barriers to entry by making it more difficult for a firm to
enter and compete. For example, the Internet technology could raise perceived entry
costs where it increases economies of scale (e.g. network effects), involves more risky and
costly capital requirements for entry, and requires high levels of sunk costs that help create
exit barriers. (This is not an exhaustive list of the possible effects.)
It is conceivable that the new technology could actually reduce entry barriers if
potential entrants prove more skilled at using it than the incumbents.
Note that it is important to distinguish between entry barriers that already exist (e.g. if
the nature of the end product is not fundamentally altered by the new technology,
then product differentiation may be a structural feature that deters entry both before
and after the introduction of the new technology), and those that are altered by the
new technology (e.g. economies of scale).
Force 2: Rivalry
As with threat of entry, we saw in Module 1 that there are a number of possible
elements that can influence rivalry in a market if they are present. The possible
elements include:
Relatively high fixed costs
Low growth
High exit barriers
Differentiation and switching costs weak
Absence of a dominant firm.
If the new technology increases fixed costs and reduces marginal costs, this could
increase rivalry. If it results in one firm (such as Souve or an entrant) becoming
dominant in the industry it could dull rivalry.
Force 3: Bargaining Power of Buyers
The main elements that may influence the bargaining power of Souve’s buyers, if
they are present, include:
Few buyers
Low profits
Product represents a large proportion of the buyer’s overall purchases
Standardised undifferentiated product with low switching costs for buyers
Buyers can threaten backward integration.
On the face of it, it is not clear how Internet technology might affect these ele-
ments. The effects are likely to depend on the objectives of Souve in this context.
The buyers in this market have been the retailers that Souve and its rivals have sold
to. The impact of using Internet technology for selling purposes depends on the
objectives of the firm here. If it is planning to bypass the existing retail chain and
sell its product directly to the final consumers, Souve would be competing directly
with its existing suppliers, possibly weakening its bargaining powers.
This would not necessarily be a great idea since it could anger and alienate its
existing retail network, possibly disrupting its existing distribution arrangements.
Also the experience of online retailers such as Amazon.com suggests that online
selling is not a guaranteed route to success, especially if the product is a cheap,
highly differentiated product with a strong impulse-buying element.
On the other hand, if Souve was to use Internet technology to upgrade its trading
relationships with its existing retailers (and rivals were slow to follow), then it might
improve the quality and speed of information involved, allowing it to improve the
quality of the service, extract a competitive advantage relative to rivals, making
buyers more dependent on it, and increasing Souve’s bargaining power at the
expense of its buyers.
Force 4: Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Again, there are a number of elements which, if present, may strengthen the
bargaining power of Souve’s suppliers. These include:
Supplying group has few firms
No close substitutes for the supplier’s products
Product is an important input for the buyer
Buyer industry is not an important customer
Suppliers’ products are differentiated or there are switching costs for buyers
Supplier can threaten vertical integration.
The most obvious effect of Internet trading in this context is that it could turn a
local supply situation into a regional, national or even international one. This could
change the number of supplier firms from ‘few’ to ‘many’ and reduce the bargaining
power of suppliers accordingly. This will be reinforced to the extent that the basic
raw materials are standardised commodities that can be easily specified and traded
this way.
However, there could be reciprocal gains for the suppliers if it opens up the number
of outlets for their products and reduces their dependence on one or a few local
suppliers.
To the extent that both these sets of effects obtain, the industry could move from a
situation of local bilateral monopolies, or at least local bilateral oligopoly (few local
buyers and suppliers) to one that approaches the competitive ideal in which neither
suppliers nor buyers (such as Souve) have much room to manoeuvre.
Force 5: Pressure from Substitute Products
There are no obvious direct influences here.
Comment
It should be borne in mind that these are just some possible influences on the Five
Forces in this industry and possible implications for Souve. Its strategic options
would depend on a much more detailed analysis of its capabilities in the context of
the constraints and opportunities represented by the Five Forces.
Module 1
producer control over price – farmers, including organic farmers, typically operate in
a market with numerous rivals, close substitutes, strong price competition and
elastic demand curves, while Swatch has sole control over the supply and prices of
its products. So organic farmers are likely to have little or no control over their price
(competitive market pricing) while Swatch has significant discretion over the price it
charges for its watches (monopoly pricing situation).
Exhibit 1.5: The more you sell, the more you lose
The short answer is no. The key in the exhibit lies in the phrase ‘the price that
consumers will be prepared to pay’. In order to achieve higher volume, a firm with a
differentiated product and facing a downward-sloping demand curve (like Amazon)
will have to reduce price. Then, even if cost per unit (or average cost) falls with
volume, revenue per unit (or average revenue) will also fall as volume increases.
Amazon in fact made its first reported profit in 2001, seven years after it was
founded. Not only had it gone on to achieve significant economies of scale in book
selling, it was also able to exploit large economies of scope through its diversifica-
tion moves into many other areas of merchandising.
Review Questions
1.1 The correct answer is A. Each of these strategies can be used in response to industry
decline, but Harvest is essentially a short-term strategy that may provide only
temporary respite.
1.2 The correct answer is D. Economies of scale is not one of the Five Forces. The Five
Forces are rivalry, entry conditions, supplier power, buyer power and substitute
products.
1.3 The correct answer is B. Increasing the number of sellers and deregulation are both
circumstances likely to sharpen competitive edge in an industry. However, the
elimination of excess capacity can dull rivalry; it is the failure to match sales to
capacity (excess capacity) that often lies behind price wars and other periods of
fierce competition.
1.4 The correct answer is B. A strategic move is intended to change the beliefs or
expectations of others in a direction favourable to you, for example if you make a
credible threat or credible promise with regard to some course of action.
Module 2
it could cannibalise its own sales through shops (and vice versa). Retailers may be
rightly suspicious of how committed a direct retailer would be to shop selling.
Review Questions
2.1 The correct answer is D. It is not sufficient to be different or unique to exploit a
differentiation advantage, the crucial thing is that the difference must be valued by
the potential buyers.
2.2 The correct answer is B. Cost advantage is not obtained by simply offering a lower
cost product if quality suffers. It may be obtained by being able to maintain parity in
terms of differentiation, but being able to do so at a lower cost.
2.3 The correct answer is C. Differentiation should reduce the extent to which the
product is regarded as having close substitutes and so reduce the price elasticity of
demand.
2.4 The correct answer is D. The value chain is applied at strategic business unit (SBU)
level. It is concerned with separating and identifying activities with emphasis on
those that can help generate cost or differentiation competitive advantage for the
firm.
2.5 The correct answer is B. Product availability and product reliability can both
constitute important differentiation drivers. However, impact on product cost is
likely to constitute a cost driver and does not itself provide a basis for differentia-
tion.
Module 3
Review Questions
3.1 The correct answer is D. There may be advantages in some circumstances in being
first-in so that you can run away from your competitors, while in other circumstanc-
es it may be better to take things slowly, learn from your competitors’ mistakes, and
then overtake them.
3.2 The correct answer is B. Parallel R&D may increase the chances of getting to the
R&D goal more quickly by having a number of teams working towards the same
target. However, it can lead to increased duplication of effort, and simultaneous
R&D makes it more difficult for each team to learn from each other’s effort, so
increasing costs.
3.3 The correct answer is B. With dominant designs, opportunities for future change in
a system are constrained by the particular developmental path the system has taken
in the past. Historical processes and chance events can influence outcomes and lead
to the development of solutions which are stable but inferior to others that become
available.
3.4 The correct answer is A. The QWERTY keyboard emerged as a consequence of a
series of historical accidents and circumstances, and the advantages of network
externalities helped to maintain dominance once it had become the standard.
Module 4
Review Questions
4.1 The correct answer is C. The threat of hold-up means that the firm may be left at
the mercy of an individual or firm outside its direct control. The firm may respond
to this threat by bringing the relevant assets under its direct control, that is vertical
integration.
4.2 The correct answer is D. Tapered integration involves the firm producing some
quantity of an input itself and purchasing the remainder from other firms.
4.3 The correct answer is A. In transaction cost economics, the four types of asset
specificity are site specificity, physical asset specificity, human asset specificity and
dedicated assets.
4.4 The correct answer is D. Opportunism, bounded rationality and asset specificity
may all contribute to transactional problems in vertical relations between firms.
Vertical integration may be adopted to try to eliminate or reduce the resultant
transaction costs.
4.5 The correct answer is B. Vertical integration may help to reduce costs and secure
market access, but it does not itself directly affect market concentration. Unless
there is also some horizontal integration, there will still be the same number of firms
at each stage in the industry after vertical integration as there was before.
Module 5
Exhibit 5.1: Resource effects and allergic reactions: the case of BIC
The answer to the question here is, almost certainly no. The question really confuses
market similarity with resource similarity. The skills and competences required to
make and sell disposable lighters are more similar to those required to make and sell
disposable razors than are those associated with making and selling electric razors. Even
though BIC’s razors and lighters are in quite different markets they involve quite
similar resources and should provide major opportunities to exploit linkages across
the respective value chains.
Exhibit 5.5: Big enough to handle surprises – the case of General Electric
The problems here include potential transaction costs and appropriability problems
arising from bounded rationality and opportunistic behaviour (see Section 5.3.4). By
revealing it in the open market, the firm may lose control of its intellectual property
and find it difficult to monitor and police agreements with external users even
where contracts are concluded.
Review Questions
5.1 The correct answer is C. Faced with the prospect of terminal decline, diversification
is the only method here which deals directly with the problem at issue, that is, it
reduces dependence on a business which might disappear at some point in the
future.
5.2 The correct answer is D. An internal capital market simply means that a firm can
move capital from one business area to another within the firm, horizontally or
vertically. This is something any firm with more than one activity is in principle able
to do.
5.3 The correct answer is A. Vertical integration is not a long-term solution to this
problem since it would simply lock the firm into decline. The other solutions may
help it flee the disaster area.
5.4 The correct answer is A. Economies of scope may be obtained if the costs of the
combined production of two or more goods are less than the costs of producing
these goods separately.
5.5 The correct answer is C. The learning curve reflects how unit costs decline with
cumulative production.
Module 6
context. Of course, this does not guarantee that individual strategies such as L’Oréal’s
cost-based multinational strategy will themselves be successful. But note how cleverly
it is deliberately trying to extract value by locating creative teams in the heart of the US
Diamond (New York) in this context, and also note how it is unafraid of the dangers
of possibly cannibalising its own products (contrast with Exhibit 2.2).
Review Questions
6.1 The correct answer is C. Marketing, market research and legal know-how are likely
to be country-specific to a degree at least. While technical know-how may also have
to be tailored to an individual country’s needs in some cases, it is usually more likely
to be transferable with little or no modification.
6.2 The correct answer is C. The four basic components of Porter’s Diamond are: firm
strategy, structure and rivalry; demand conditions; factor conditions; related and
supporting industries.
6.3 The correct answer is A. Dunning’s Eclectic Paradigm suggests that all three
influences are necessary for the evolution of multinational enterprise. If foreign
firms had no ownership advantage, they would find it difficult to play away from
home against local firms and their home advantage. If there were no internalisation
gains, licensing local firms would appear as an obvious alternative to multinational-
ism. If there were no location advantages, firms would find it attractive to service
global markets from one centralised base.
6.4 The correct answer is D. Porter’s analysis of selective factor disadvantages shows
how they may stimulate technological innovation in compensation, with resultant
competitive advantage in global markets. Japan provides a number of good exam-
ples with its generally poor endowment of natural resources stimulating
compensatory technological searches, in turn leading to world-beating innovation in
many cases; for example, in fuel-efficient technologies to economise on scarce fossil
fuels.
Module 7
financial pocket), while the capabilities of the Japanese acquirer were not really
relevant or transferable to the making of films.
There are a number of specific possible reasons why they could have found the
acquisitions so difficult to manage, many of which are discussed in Section 7.4.1.
But compatibility problems (especially likely with this kind of vertical integration),
optimistic bias, and even strategy matching/Prisoners’ Dilemma may be contrib-
uting to the problems here.
Review Questions
7.1 The correct answer is B. Acquisition may be the best (and in some cases, the only)
method of securing access to supplies or transferring technological ideas and so
adding value. However, profitability is not in itself an acceptable reason for acquir-
ing another firm. High profitability would normally be reflected in the present value
of the acquisition and the resulting price that has to be paid for an acquisition,
effectively removing the profit incentive for merger.
7.2 The correct answer is D. Each of the alternatives is a mode of co-ordination and
each may be suitable for combining the various resources outlined here, depending
on circumstances. They are substitute methods for doing the same range of things,
and in practice choice of mode depends on the respective costs in each particular set
of circumstances.
7.3 The correct answer is A. One of the recurrent problems reported in co-operative
agreements is that they may give partners access to technological and managerial
secrets that the firm would otherwise be more able to conceal from outside scrutiny.
This can cause appropriability problems, which in this context can mean that
intellectual property such as inventions and trade secrets can leak out. In turn, this
can lead to the erosion of the firm’s competitive advantage.
7.4 The correct answer is A. The Winner’s Curse occurs because in an auction bidders
can make two mistakes, either undervalue and then possibly bid too low, or over-
value and then possibly bid too high. Optimistic bidders are likely to overvalue, bid
higher than others, and win the auction. Consequently, winners may be those who
have made a valuation error.
7.5 The correct answer is B. The empirical evidence on mergers and acquisitions has
found many cases where they do not add to shareholder value and can even reduce
it. This is one of the clearest findings from the evidence. This does not mean that
there are no constraints on managerial behaviour, only that these constraints may be
loose in many cases. The evidence does not allow us to draw any clear conclusions
about what kind of objectives firms pursue.