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Galileo's Lament, and The Collapse of The Social Sciences
Galileo's Lament, and The Collapse of The Social Sciences
Galileo’s Lament
And the COLLAPSE of
the Social Sciences
A. j. Marr
2
Introduction
Chapter 1 Hierarchies
-Stocks and Swans
-Paradigm Shifts
-Galileo’s Lament
Postscript
-When worlds collide: when behaviorism and humanism
become one
5
https://www.scribd.com/doc/284056765/The-Book-of-Rest-The-Odd-
Psychology-of-Doing-Nothing
https://www.scribd.com/document/495438436/A-Mouse-s-Tale-a-practical-
explanation-and-handbook-of-motivation-from-the-perspective-of-a-humble-
creature
Galileo’s Lament, and The Collapse of the Social Sciences (NEW!) A critique of
the Social Sciences from the deconstructing rules of science, and from the
informing perspective of the neurobiology of motivation and its implications for
the prospect of individual humans and humanity itself.
https://www.scribd.com/document/659384787/Galileo-s-Lament-and-the-
Collapse-of-the-Social-Sciences
One Track Minds: The Psychology of the Internet The psychology of the
internet, and its effects on people, society, and what it holds for our future.
https://www.scribd.com/document/69880622/One-Track-Minds-The-
Surprising-Psychology-of-the-Internet
B2: The Old Art and New Science of the Business Network Social and business
networks explained from the perspective of classical and behavioral economics,
and how to design and use them for personal and societal betterment.
https://www.scribd.com/document/119487008/B2-The-Old-Art-and-New-
Science-of-the-Business-Network
6
https://www.scribd.com/document/389107357/IT-bytes-Giving-IT-the-
Disrespect-it-Deserves?secret_password=lE0jFD0CqXtH3owoVyIv
Psychological Acts Essays on the psychology of the stranger places in the lives
of people throughout history living on a solitary blue marble in space
https://www.scribd.com/document/579781102/Psychological-Acts
Satires
Dr Mezmer’s Dictionary of Bad Psychology Bad psychology dictionary for a
muddled and often dumb science with definitions for all the psychology terms
you've known and not loved.
https://www.scribd.com/document/389679836/Dr-Mezmer-s-Dictionary-of-
Bad-Psychology
https://www.scribd.com/doc/16345689/Dr-Mezmer-s-Psychopedia-of-Bad-
Psychology
Mechanica Bollix and Lucilius are brilliant engineers who just happen to be
robots. Called "mech-anics" (because they can construct practically anything at
will), they are motivated to be prophets and to turn a profit, and are capable of
almost God-like exploits. They bound about the cosmos meeting challenges,
solving problems, and being by turns robotic hero-sages and all-round
nuisances and fools. These are their dumb adventures.
https://www.scribd.com/document/318278089/Mechanica-Fables-for-the-
Information-Age
7
Platonia Star Trek meets Gulliver’s Travels, along with parallel universes,
alcoholic AI, evil Russians, galactic empires, death stars, shoe mobiles, lusty
Amazon space babes, virtual realities, planet hopping, space cadets in mini-
skirts, Florida State spaceships, Wal Mart shoppers, God, and everyone dies at
the end.
https://www.scribd.com/document/246124307/P-L-A-T-O-N-I-A
Who Dat? An unlikely super-hero from Chalmatia, the land that time forgot,
and on purpose. Follow Who Dat as he saves his beloved Saynts from sudden
death, confronts the Dark Lord Nutria and the Mudball of Doom, MS Skynet and
the Microbesoft Nuclear Cloud, the dreaded Chi-Borgs, the all powerful middle
aged suburban housewives, and Coach Sayban and the five super bowl rings of
power, and all before lunch!
https://www.scribd.com/document/396600499/Who-Dat-Chronicles-of-a-
Clueless-Super-Hero-from-the-land-of-Chalmatia
And!!
Introduction
” Social scientists by and large spurn the idea of the hierarchical ordering of
knowledge that unites and drives the natural sciences. Split into independent
cadres, they stress precision in their words within their specialty but seldom
speak the same technical language from one specialty to the next.” E.O. Wilson.i
"…..science has been increasingly the task of specialists. Today there are few
scholars who can call themselves mathematicians or physicists or biologists
without restriction. A man may be a topologist or an acoustician or a
coleopterist. He will be full of the jargon of his field, and will know all its
literature and all its ramifications, but, more frequently than not, he will regard
the next subject as something belonging to his colleague three doors down the
corridor, and will consider any interest in it on his own part as an
unwarrantable breach of privacy." Norbert Weiner ii
what incents people to learn, speak, feel, remember, and act in the first
place, or the psychology of motivation. Everyone, regardless of
education, intellect, or wit, has their own opinion as to how motivation
works, and extends it to their personal behavior, family, politics, religion,
and invariably the social sciences. A common and sustaining thread in
the social sciences perceived through academic and non-academics alike
are presumptions as to how motivation occurs as a mental process, and
these usually are derived not from the metaphors of contemporary
neuroscience, but rather from the metaphors of the physics of everyday
life, as behavior is pulled (reflexes), pushed (drives), and glued (reward)
into place, all embellished with a panoply of inferred motivational
causes from need states to self-actualization that are limited only by the
bounds of language. As in the case of medicine a century earlier, reliable
inferences from behavior can do when there are no good explanations to
be had, as is the case of our personal, family, and occupational lives. So
the simple fact that incentives motivate and demotivate are enough to
sustain civilizations and economies, but not perfectly. Thus, as medicine
before Pasteur had to reconcile its certainties with inevitable plagues and
endemic diseases, so too does modern social science have to reconcile its
own diverse certainties with poverty, injustice, and war, all the while in
wont of a better explanation.
Pasteur’s discoveries were possible due to the better resolving
instruments that were available to him, namely the microscope and
modern laboratory instruments. These allowed him to perform the
experiments that laid the foundation of modern microbiology and the
metaphors of disease and wellbeing that sustain us to this day. Similarly,
it was only until the 20th and early 21st centuries that equally powerful
instrumentalities could be employed to determine how motivation
occurs. The subjects again were common laboratory animals, from
Pavlov’s dogs to Skinner’s pigeons to Berridge’s mice. And once again,
the social sciences should be at the cusp of a transformation to a new set
of basic metaphors describing how motivation works.
Or maybe not.
11
Part 1
Chapter 1
Hierarchies
Stocks and Swans
In 1737, the Scottish philosopher David Hume pondered the color of
swans. All swans in the Scottish countryside were white, and by
historical legacy, were always white. However to posit that all swans
everywhere must be white is arguing from correlation, not causation, as
the genetic origins of swan coloration were unknown, the world was not
surveyed to view swans in every habitat (black swans live in Australia,
for instance), and how whiteness evolved was not on the intellectual
table. Causation, or a proper explanation of whiteness, derived from
observation, hypothesis, and test, was feasible if one had the
observational tools, patience, and time, but was not practicable.
Correlation was easier and at least reliable, so one could go about one’s
life in confidence that every swan viewed in a pond or in the sky would
be white.
Explanation is hard, and we literally are ‘wired’ to perceive and use
correlations both consciously and unconsciously (e.g., habit), as the
multitude of correlations in life demand speed in action rather than the
patience of understanding and deliberation. Hume concurred, as he
noted that the problem of inductioniv was not that correlations were
useless, but rather that they could not suffice as explanations. So what is
an explanation?
An explanation is a multi-metaphorical perspective on a phenomenon. It
can be emergent (red, green, sweet, sour), analytic (wavelength of light,
taste receptors), macro (universe, humans), micro (atoms, DNA), and all
equally describable with metaphorical representations of differing
accuracy and predictive power that fits the intelligence and purposes of
the audience, from a child to a university researcher. Explanations are
15
Paradigm Shifts
“The proponents of competing paradigms are always at least slightly at cross-
purposes. Neither side will grant the non-empirical assumptions (i.e. data
not verified by the senses or by experiment) that the other needs in order to make
its case….They are bound partly to talk through each other. Though each may
hope to convert the other to seeing his way of seeing his science and its problems,
neither may hope to prove his case. The competition between paradigms is not
the sort of battle that can be resolved by proofs…”v Thomas Kuhn
universe, namely that the earth was at its center and the whole cosmos
revolved around it.
In his widely influential book ‘The Structure of Scientific Revolutions’
the philosopher of science Thomas Kuhn observed that scientists work
within the confines of limited data sets and a set of mutually agreed
inferred processes. This he called ‘normal science’, where problems or
puzzles arising from the paradigm are worked out without challenging
core inferred processes. Only with a succession of difficulties that could
not be handled by a paradigm would there be a paradigm ‘shift’, and like
the sudden movement of tectonic plates, would disrupt science as
equally, only to settle down within a new paradigm and a process of
normal science to scientific revolution that would build in time the same
tensions. How fast this would happen would be a matter of significant
philosophical debate. The philosopher Carl Popper for example believed
that just a few predictions from a theory that are falsified would call into
question the validity of a theory, whereas Kuhn had doubts about
whether this was at all possible.vi Probably the best solution to this issue
comes from perhaps the grandest paradigm in history, and the
surprising cause of its resolution that we will argue serves well for all
scientific revolutions yet to come.
Galileo’s Lament
“Count what is countable, measure what is measurable, and what is not
measurable, make measurable.” Galileo Galilei
In 1610, the earth and the starry firmament was long established as a
settled place. Seeing was believing, and even though the stars, planets,
and the sun let themselves be known by merely how they traced their
way across the sky, mankind knew its place at the center of creation, and
knew as well the celestial script of God. The cosmos was a divine
clockwork built upon revolving and transparent spheres of crystal, from
where was affixed the planets, sun, and the stars.
19
Like the white rabbit’s wayward timepiece from Alice’s Wonderland, the
planets would move backwards and forwards, lurch ahead, and stall in
their courses. Hard to keep time in the cosmos, unless God had a wicked
sense of humor. To resolve this confusion the Greek astronomer
Claudius Ptolemy in AD 142 came up with a not so elegant solution. It
could all work, he reckoned, if the planets and sun did loop the loops in
their courses. These ‘epicycles’, like the looping rotors in an engine,
could be described mathematically, predicted the motions of the
planetary bodies and sun, and most importantly, save the appearances,
and confirmed what was revealed to the naked eye, and more
importantly, that mankind was the apple’s eye of God.
Except of course, for the fact that Ptolemy’s clockwork didn’t quite work
either. It was generally inaccurate, and his calculations were made to fit
that data, which were also, most likely, fraudulent. The problem was that
Ptolemy’s model was inaccurate, hyper-complex, and unusable. But it
did save the appearances, and that was all that mattered in an epoch of
ignorance, or so it seemed.
The appearances, or man’s privileged place in the universe, was
vouchsafed as a matter of celestial geography. That observations didn’t
quite fit the model troubled the Polish astronomer Nicolai Copernicus,
whose heliocentric model of the cosmos also saved the appearances, if
one didn’t mind the earth being moved to the cosmic suburbs. He
postulated that the computational cobwebs of the Ptolemaic model could
be cleared up if the sun was in the center of the solar system, with the
planets rotating it in perfect circles, with individual epicycles for the
planets put in to round out the equations, and the stars remaining fixed,
knowing their place as it were, and to suit the clerics retaining the crystal
spheres was just fine.
To clear up the difficulties with both of these models, relying on
centuries old observations would not do. New observations were
required, and this time there would be no doubt as to their precision and
20
validity. The Danish astronomer Tycho Brahe was up to the task, and
granted title to a barren and windswept island off Denmark, Tycho set
up his observatory, where he became master, lord and tyrant of his
empire rooted in the stars. Tycho’s observatory was set to collect
precisely accurate data of the changing positions of the planets and stars.
There were no telescopes at the time, so Brahe used a sextant device
pointed out of a small aperture in the observatory, a way of securing
adequate measure to the fallible human eye. Brahe’s data did not fit the
Ptolemaic or Copernican models, so he came up with own, at once
simple, elegant, precise, and wrong.
Ptolemaic Model
Copernican Model
22
Tycho’s Model
As no one believed him and had every incentive not to, with explanation
to be damned, both figuratively and literally. Because a usable or
generalizable model of the solar system was not required, and besides,
no one had the wits to use it even if it existed, as Ptolemy’s contraption
was forbidding enough to even the most learned astronomers. Only the
semblance of reality was a necessity, like free will or the ghost in the
machine, a reality that was insured because it would always be
comfortably obscure. God leapfrogged the universe in importance, and
was the real power behind the veil, unknowable and perhaps with a
tendency to be reproachful to mankind if he peered into heavens vault a
bit too closely, as the apocryphal Tower of Babel demonstrated.
And to Galileo’s despair, they closed their eyes for a very long time, only
opening them to snatch him from the public eye in 1642 to a solitary
confinement at his home where he awaited not retribution and
vindication, but loneliness and death.9
Galileo’s telescope was a game or should we say paradigm changer, as it
provided the extended vision that with a glance demonstrated the sleight
of hand God used to move worlds. But what would the future hold if it
did not exist? Given the unerring precision of the orbital syntax of the
planets, and a choice of models that all claim to have an excellent
semantics and precisely map to and predict the future course of the stars,
which model would win?
Well, none exactly. Take the Ptolemaic model for example. Any
deviations of planetary motions from the model would be remedied by
just changing or adding a component to the model. Thus by adding or
adjusting an epicycle here and there, the model still works, the
appearances are saved, and mankind is still at the center of the universe.
And even if no added modules were suggested, deviant results in
predictions could be ignored, derided, or simply labeled as false. Now,
Kepler’s model may be found to work unerringly, simply, and require
no alteration. Nonetheless, a beautiful model would not save the beauty
of appearances, and expunge mankind from his privileged position.
Finally, even if Keplerian laws achieved a modicum of generality, and
fitted square within Newtonian laws that would apply in turn to all
earthly and cosmological objects, Kepler’s model would be but a
harmonious voice in a discordant chorus of models that even though off
key, nonetheless sang the praises of God. In other words, the Ptolemaic
24
model, and the Copernican, Tychan, and Kepler models are not
falsifiable, and no manner or number of inconsistencies, complexities, or
mal predictions can sway a true believer. Thus Kuhn’s prediction would
unfortunately ring true, as non-empirical assumptions can only be
supplanted by empirical facts, not logical proofs.
Thankfully, Galileo’s perspective was quickly validated by the resolving
perspective granted by better devices that could actually see the solar
system in motion. However, achieving better perspectives or
explanations may not be the primary mission of the sciences anymore, to
the detriment in particular of the understanding of that most difficult of
universes, that which is contained in the human mind. And to illustrate
this point, we will tell two tales of the pragmatic and sensible Dutch.
Oh yes, and below is what Kepler came up with from his volumes of
observations, all conforming to what Galileo with his telescope saw. And
truth be told, it was less well accepted than Copernicus’s vision, even to
this day. After all, Copernicus’s model still runs circles around it’s
alternatives, literally that is.10
Kepler’s Model
26
Chapter 2
Science Unexplained
Collectible Genius
In the 17th century, the Netherlands passed into uncharted economic
territory as its population, led by a mercantile class and robust industry
and trade, became middle class. It had time on its hands, money to
spend, a dollop of leisure, and a need to express its collective vanity in
new ways that given their limited budgets did not involve erecting
palaces and grand cathedrals. Portraiture was the answer, and
bureaucrats to housewives wanted their own piece of immortality in
selfies sketched in charcoal, oils, and watercolors. And with this demand
came the artists who could fulfill it, and for some, possessing of genius
which vaulted the facsimiles of their simple subjects into great art. Hals,
Rembrandt, Vermeer and others made their mark and continue to do so
by their peculiar and publicly selected genius. The arbiter for genius was
ever refining public taste and judgment, or in other words, the utility of
art. During a time when public and private patronage was discerning,
practical, and ruthless in its preferences, only the best survived, though
millions of paintings were privately entertained, and this by the ever
renewing and winnowing popular acclamation that has served times
test. Shakespeare’s plays, Mozart’s operas, and Michelangelo’s art were
all selected and continue to be rewarded because of their utility for
pleasure and practicality, and the many failed alternatives, like the 50
other playwrights who competed for a place on a stage in Shakespearean
times,11 or the innumerable mediocratic failures in art and science in the
day, are forgotten.
To be forgotten and deemed mediocre is a bit rude and is too harsh a
verdict in these egalitarian times, where all thoughts merit respect and
everyone must have prizes, or at least a certificate of participation, or
27
Warehouses of Opinion
In the centuries before our modern age, the arts and sciences were
cottage industries, and were encouraged by small groups of people from
high wealth and status to low. It was individuals, not research or creative
teams, that drove the progression of culture, and this included of course
the advance of science, but the latter was never easy. Respectability for a
scientific idea was as hard won as any great work of art, literature, or
music. Before the twentieth century, if you had a great idea, you would
write a book about it, and it would be published by your colleagues and
friends. Your audience was small, but its encouragement was all that
mattered, as indeed it is the case for nearly all works of genius and those
aspiring to genius. But authorship was rare, and it was teaching that paid
the bills. Before the world wars, teaching skills came first, and academic
authorship was not a measure for tenure, and indeed would impede it.
Indeed, science practitioners were few, and even at the turn of a new
century, thinking about the cosmos was a cottage industry.
In these rarefied circumstances, in 1908 the distinguished German
physicist Max Planck received an unsolicited paper from an obscure
patent office clerk in Switzerland for inclusion in the physics journal
Annalen der Physik. Although the mathematics was consistent, he felt
its conclusions were plainly wrong, but he published it as a matter of
principle, due in no small matter to his belief that challenges to
established truth made the truth more secure, unless…
In the early decades of the twentieth century, the nascent rise of
journalistic publication in all the sciences served as a platform for debate,
not conformity, and publication served to increase knowledge, not to
secure position. If you wrote a paper to further knowledge on any topic,
it was a labor of love, a desire to bring to attention a new perspective on
the world. As such, your competition in this intellectual space were equal
minded sorts who wrote papers for an audience that was equally
discerning of beauty, whether it was a beautiful sonata or a beautiful
idea.
29
Then came the world wars. Along with economies and men, science was
also mobilized for research, production, and war, and it was soon
discovered by the scholarly elites that the research prowess and
reputation of a scientist was a new currency for grants, prestige, and it
followed a predictor of the acumen and personal success of individual
researchers who duly took note. Scientific journals thus flowered and
multiplied by more than a thousand-fold, and presently there are over
33000 peer review English language journals distributing over three
million articles per year.13 Naturally, with this avalanche of wisdom, to
make sense of it one would have to first sort it out. Each topic of study
would have its own paradigms to protect, like walled gardens, and
would only accept papers that accepted the non-empirical foundations
of its subject matter, as well as using the same data language,
experimental procedure, and level of analysis. No feelings would be
ruffled by those who would challenge the core inferred truths, and
progress would be made within each little theoretical pond. A fine state
of affairs, unless you happen to be a patent office clerk who loved to
throw rocks into ponds.
Returning to Max Planck and the troublesome paper submitted by an
non-academic amateur, a modern day editor would have rejected the
paper outright as denying the paradigmatic truth of absolute space and
time agreed to by the community and its journalistic standards.1 That
1
This is not as farfetched an idea as one would believe. Indeed, modern physics
is presented with the same untouchable and unfalsifiable models of the
universe as were embraced by the scholastic astronomers in Galileo’s time. In
his 2009 book ‘The Trouble with Physics’, the distinguished physicist Lee Smolin
labeled a large faction of the physics scholarly community with the similar
charge of obscurantism and censorship. This time it wasn’t an unfalsifiable
model of the solar system but an unfalsifiable model of how the universe came
to be. ‘String theory’ posits that the universe and all we see around us is the
emergent property of infinitesimal one-dimensional particles or strings. The
theory is unfalsifiable, and indeed has millions of mathematical solutions, a
super abundance that would put the permutations of Ptolemy’s theory to
shame. Fine enough, except that Smolin noted that the one unchallengeable
and non-empirical aspect of string theory, namely that strings existed, held a
predominate sway in physics journals and academic physics departments, so
30
Max Planck didn’t reject Albert Einstein’s paper is a tribute to not only
the standards of an individual, but an age.14 But what of this abundance
of research and opinion, could it not have a virtue in itself? Could
progress be made in spite of an institutional resistance to challenge?
It depends of course on what you view as progress. Certainly progress
in one’s career must have some weight, for even philosophers have to
eat. And credentials are a good place to start. Go to the faculty or
personal web page of any academic, and there you will find his or her
‘vitae’, or academic resume. This document will list the academic
credentials and job history along with a chronological list of all of the
journal, book, and other articles written by them or in concert with other
authors. The list will usually be large, sometimes numbering in the
hundreds of articles. The titles will be weighty, significant to their field,
and express their authors intelligence and knowledge of his or her field.
They will also be off limits to the lay audience, hidden behind the
paywall of journal policy and copyright, and often written in a style and
with a focus in content that would be of interest to no one. But the point
is that they were never meant to be read, and it is of little issue that they
in general are not read by other than a journal editor and a few curious
friends. This is because they are used not to advance current knowledge,
but as an intellectual currency that demonstrates from its sheer scholastic
tonnage that their authors are serious and accomplished in their field,
regardless of the near certain zero impact of their work in the world at
large.
The pretense is that a pile of findings accumulated over the years will
through its sheer intellectual weight combust into new knowledge, like
the fusion reaction in an imploding star. Sadly, the opposite has been the
case, with article after article descending into black hole of core journals,
that competing views rejected the reality of cosmic strings were denied a voice
in academic circles, and were ignored or rejected outright. Of course, this was
a milder sort of inquisition, with Smolin and his likeminded colleagues spared
the pillory or the pyre, and were able to publish independently without
churchly proscription.
31
and no light emitting from the darkness. It’s just, as it seems with
everything these days, a matter of statistics. And with statistics, you can
prove anything, with all you need is a willing ear and a bias to confirm.
Confirmation Bias
In order to prove the hypothesis that kicking stones hurts, you must kick
a lot of stones, and if you get away with such collisions with one less
stubbed toe, there’s somethings afoot, and you must reconsider your
hypothesis.2 Still, a theory worth its salt must be easily subject to test and
have compelling reasons for its continual test, whether it is pragmatic, as
in the usage of Newtonian mechanics to power trains and rocket ships,
or conceptual, as in the frequent and often outlandish tests that Einstein’s
relativity theory has successfully survived. But if you have a hypothesis
that is underwhelming, getting it tested can be as much an exercise in
futility as getting your paper read in the first place, and if so, for your
hypothesis to hold up, you may just as well flip a coin. Indeed in an
article in the Lancet, a peer reviewed medical journal, Richard Horton,
its editor, wrote in a 2015 study: “Much of the scientific literature, perhaps
half, may simply be untrue,” Afflicted by studies with small sample sizes, tiny
effects, invalid exploratory analyses, and flagrant conflicts of interest, together
with an obsession for pursuing fashionable trends of dubious importance, science
has taken a turn towards darkness.”
“And this crisis is getting worse. A 2020 DARPA survey of 2,500 social-science
papers determined that starting in 2009, 53.4 percent of them had failed to
replicate — that is, their results could not be verified independently by
subsequent research and thus may be wrong. By 2018, that number had risen to
22And kicking stones can confirm other realities than that it hurts, as the 18th
century English critic Samuel Johnson whacked a stone with his foot to refute
Archbishop Berkeley’s philosophy of “immaterialism”, or the view that all that
exists are ideas, there is no material substance. Crying ‘I refute it thusly!’ as he
swung his foot, it is unknown if Johnson felt the effort worthwhile afterwards.
32
55.8 percent. This means that flipping a coin on any question might be more
reliable than “trusting the science.”
“In a survey of 2,000 research psychologists, more than half openly admitted to
having selectively reported experiments to yield results favorable to their views.
Another 34 percent of scientists admit that they’ve engaged in “questionable
research practices” such as “dropping data points on a gut feeling” and
“changing the design, methodology, and results of a study in response to
pressures from a funding source.
Worryingly, this kind of manipulated research is cited by other scientists at the
same rate as more robust research, and the vast majority of such citations are
positive. This is especially true in fields dominated by the rising wave of
progressive identity politics.
Lowered standards have resulted in the proliferation of entire fields of study that
are so susceptible to confirmation bias that their journals repeatedly publish flat-
out falsehoods and then refuse to issue retractions if the research results are
getting flattering media attention.
To “trust the science,” we need to first fix science and rid important scientific
fields of ideological contamination. Otherwise, the incentive structure that
favors politics over truth will continue to distort our understanding of reality.”15
Unless of course, the science wasn’t written for you anyways, and you
can safely ignore it, as we have an ear to distinguish politics from reality.
For all the reputed sound and fury of learned opinion, academic papers
in the social sciences make little sound, and hardly an echo, as they were
written to not make a sound at all, but rather a small footnote in a
resume. This is not a matter of opinion, but a simple matter of fact, as
data do not lie. Indeed, of all papers written in the social sciences, only
20 percent have actually been read, and of those no more than ten people
on average read them, with the vast majority going uncited or cited only
once or twice.16 In addition, their readability has significantly declined
through an overuse of technical language and jargon. 17 Hence, the
impacts of most peer-reviewed publications are miniscule even within
the scientific community. Moreover, non-academic practitioners very
rarely read articles published in peer-reviewed journals, nor can they with
paywalls embedded in nearly all of them. So if you do not have access to
the articles behind the pay wall, any argument no matter how well
founded and phrased is meaningless if you are standing on the other side
of the warehouse fence.
Of course, someone can summarize and explain it all, in a monograph,
textbook, or work in popular science that synthesizes findings and
theory. It would if such books were common in the academic curricula
at least. But they are not, as the social sciences have no explanatory
hierarchy and do not derive from first or essential theoretical principles.
Indeed, as the pundit A. Menard put bluntly, “The majority of journal
articles in the social sciences are almost completely atheoretical. Even if all the
statistical, p-hacking, publication bias, etc. issues were fixed, we'd still be left
with a ton of ad-hoc hypotheses based, at best, on folk intuitions. But how can
science advance if there's no theoretical grounding, nothing that can be refuted
or refined? A pile of "facts" does not a progressive scientific field make…. Rather
than building up principles that flow from overarching theoretical frameworks,
psychology textbooks are largely a potpourri of disconnected empirical
findings.”18
So the trend lines are clear, with journal article publications increasing
by over 65% in the 2010’s, and with textbooks disjointed along with a
decline of 54% in scholarly monographs and books that could synthesize
34
available knowledge. The result: lots of facts, little synthesis, and even
less understanding.19 The problem with journalese quite naturally
extends to the physical and biological sciences as well, but still in these
domains we can mark progress, and there is no shortage of popular
books that can synthesize it all, from the nature of the universe to the
advisability of eating saturated fats. The regression of the social sciences
is due not to an abundance of facts, but to the unavailability of the rules,
born from explanations, that allow us to derive and limit the facts that
can exist and the ones that cannot. In other words, explanations do not
just reaffirm facts, they generate them, and they limit the inferred facts
that we could hypothesize and their implications, or paradigms.
Paradigm Shiftiness
In the last hundred years, the social sciences have witnessed an explosion
of paradigms for motivation, which in addition to their empiric
observations have new non empiric assumptions that go unchallenged.
In addition to the familiar religious, political, and folk psychological
views, there are now a multitude of theories of motivation from the
Freudian to the behavioristic. Thus, the social sciences are plagued not
just by surfeit of ‘facts’, but by an overpopulation of paradigms that bring
a surplus of facts that are inferred, or ‘non-facts’. In other words, the
obscurity or indeterminacy of the root causes of motivation allow for an
abundance of non-empirical assumptions as to how motivation works
that are at odds with each other, and cause psychology opinions to talk
past rather than to each other, as there are no commonly agreed
assumptions as to the basic facts of behavior.
We have seen that by placing a bounty on the quantity of research rather
than its quality, the physical and social sciences end up with literary
warehouses full of articles that almost no one will read and no one will
use. Nonetheless, the research literatures in the physical and biological
sciences, for all their opaqueness, prejudice, and frequent error, do make
an impact, and we can count the technological progress safeguarding our
health and wellbeing for that. However, the social sciences have as much
35
Bob’s Ark
In a ‘Far-Side’ cartoon, a unicorn, dragon, centaur, and winged horse
looked askance at the column of animals boarding the nearby Noah’s
Ark, and pitied its poor prospects as they went on board the much better
built Bob’s Ark. Needless to say, like black swans, no one knows for sure
that unicorns don’t exist somewhere, and if they were admitted into the
bestiary of known animals there would be no harm done, or so it seems.
Legendary animals are non-empirical creatures, or beasts whose
existence is merely inferred, in this case from tradition, myth, and an
errant observation now and then. But if we allowed mythical creatures
into the annals of existence, would our lack of prejudice to facts that we
are almost certain do not exist compromise all the other well-established
facts of daily observation, like white swans?
To illustrate, consider this mind experiment. In the year 2050, the
enlightened and progressive minds in higher education across the world
decided to make basic science an elective to those fields metaphorically
‘beneath’ those who practiced their exalted applications. Thus
physicians needed to know nothing about cellular microbiology, rocket
scientists did not need to study Newton’s laws, and computer chip
designers did not need to know anything about quantum mechanics. In
addition, studies of alchemy, witchcraft, and the scientific hypotheses of
36
the ancients are given there due respect and equivalence. The result
would be a new breed of ignorant experts untethered to commonly
shared foundational principles and with a temptation to accept
uncommonly shared quackery, with disease and plagues ravaging the
land, planes falling out of the sky, cars that would not start, and
computers bricked and an internet collapsed. The world would be
welcomed back to the glory days of 1550, when science knew its place,
and with a newly undisciplined and incommensurable language,
scientists would talk past rather than to each other, rendering this
modern scientific Babel complete.
When more non-empirical events are allowed in any discipline, you
would have still great scientists, engineers, and doctors admittedly, but
also many more frauds and popular delusions, and a prospect for the
human race growing a lot dimmer. The remedy for this is not wiser
minds, but more disciplined ones, guided not by prejudice, but by
explanation. The aforementioned example of course would not and
could not happen because the physical and biological sciences are
rigorously hierarchical, and lower levels of analysis and their
accompanying metaphors that are shared up and down the hierarchy
dictate and constrain what you can and cannot do with the practical
applications of your craft. It constrains in other words the non-empirical
claims you can make, and with so the paradigms you can propose. And
this applies also to metaphors in their most specific and general forms.
So if you talk about virus’s and rocket motors as a biologist or engineer,
you can be sure that the man on the street will also have some semblance
of knowledge of what you are talking about.
Presently there is no hierarchy of knowledge in the social sciences, and
more specifically, the governing principles as to how motivation works.
Like the medieval scholastics who detached the cosmos from the physics
of human affairs due to the need to make literally elevated matters the
province of God, so too has the elevated status of the human mind
merited a detachment from elementary principles of learning and
motivation. Evolution or merely God’s favor functionally detached
37
human motivation from that of the animals, and with the help of the
metaphorical embellishment of language, made us a breed apart. But are
we? That is the enduring question that can be only be answered by
explanation unfettered by any inferences unjustified by observation. But
explanation is not what we think, and embodies rules that make
explanation not a static but a progressive and ever evolving concept that
is never quite complete and grows stronger with criticism.
38
Chapter 3
Making Explanations
“Weak science lets slip the dogs of unreason.” J.E.R. Staddon
“The anatomist presents to the eye the most hideous and disagreeable objects,
but his science is useful to the painter in delineating even a Venus or Helen.
While the latter employs the richest colors of his art, and gives his figures the
most graceful and engaging airs, he must still carry his attention to the inward
structure of the human body, the position of the muscles, the fabric of the bones,
and the use and figure of every part or organ. Accuracy is, in every case,
advantageous to beauty, and just reasoning to delicate sentiment. In vain would
we exalt the one by depreciating the other.” David Hume, Concerning Human
Understanding
Elementary Process (action in time like the fall of an apple or the orbit
of a star)
Prime Movers
Take any prime number, which is a whole number greater than 1 that
cannot be exactly divided by any whole number other than itself and 1
(e.g. 2, 3, 5, 7, 11). Next, multiply that number by itself a hundred or so
times. The resulting number can be derived from the prime with ease,
but deriving the prime from a very large number is downright
intractable, as it would require computing resources exponentially
greater than the computing power of all the atoms in the known
universe. The reason is that there is no efficient algorithm or formula to
factor the small from the large, whereas in the opposite direction a simple
calculator will do. In other words, deduction cannot help us to derive
basic facts from general observations. So, if you are going to compute
something very complex, and have the metaphors to understand how
41
this is done and what that complex entity does, you must first reason
from a reductionist perspective that assays all facts and their
subcomponents first, or induction.
The inductive strategy of reductionism, or explaining the large from the
small, does not reduce the number of events one must engage with; they
are as innumerable on the atomic level as there are stars in the infinite
sky. Furthermore, it does not mean that you reason from a blurry
avalanche of events or variables or a highly complex series of equations.
What reductionism does is make events more similar or homogeneous.
So rather than talking about horses and rocks and trees, on lower levels
of analysis you are examining strands of DNA and other molecular
structures, and on still lower levels you are looking at a sea of near
identical particles blinking in and out like quantum ghosts. So although
the number of events may soar on the microscopic level, the types of
events are much more limited, and these limited events allow us to use
a more elementary data language to construct algorithms that can be
upwardly factored into the physical objects we see about us. In other
words, reductionism allows us to make the world numerical, and thus
computable. Thus, understanding DNA patterns can allow us to predict
the external and internal contours of an animal, and understanding the
mechanics of the quantum can allow us to engineer computer chips and
the internet. Reductionism allows us to divine the abstract properties of
existence, and use them to compute the world, or an IT from the bit. But
whereas we can compute the large from the small, the opposite, though
mathematically possible, is near intractable because of the lack of
efficient algorithms for the job. Thus deducing Newton’s laws from the
traffic patterns of a big city, the nature of DNA from a flock of sheep, or
Quantum mechanics from a thrown baseball is not possible.
A reductionist or bottom’s up perspective does not mean that we should
be using Newtonian mechanics to drive to work, but rather that we use
the metaphors of Newtonian principles to govern how we view the
mechanical world, its possibilities and limitations. In other words, a
lower level or reductionist level of analysis merely sets the parameters
42
for the ‘emergent’ metaphorical language that one uses to describe and
manipulate the data observed. Thus, an ignorant peasant transplanted
from the 12th century would infer any number of animistic and fantastical
causes when confronted with planes, trains, and automobiles, but can
understand very quickly the principles behind these objects when
explained using these emergent metaphors, or first principles, and thus
be able to divine what these objects can and can’t do.
These ‘first principles’ are not reductionist principles in the logical but
rather in the metaphorical sense of the term, and start with the level of
analysis that allows you to make generalizable predictions about
progressively more complex systems. First principles are sets of
metaphors that can scale up or down in precision to meet the needs and
capabilities of the audience. Thus a child can talk about what a disease is
and how to mitigate it, a physician can talk about symptoms and
physiology, and a molecular biologist can use a different set of
metaphors for the genetic roots of disease.
First principles are fruitful, or make novel predictions if their logic is
extended to different circumstances. Thus a physicist can use Newtonian
mechanics to predict the movement of pistons and of galaxies, and
following Einsteinian principles can predict black holes, time dilation,
and the ends of the universe. Finally, first principles also constrain what
you can or cannot claim about classes of events, and keep the resulting
procedures within the bounds of reason and effectiveness. Thus,
understanding how diseases occur will constrain one from invoking
spirits, hormonal imbalances, or foggy days as the cause of a fever.
Reductionism does not grant us fine grain predictive power as much as
significantly improves the general ability to predict by eliminating
inferred variables that make no predictions at all like ‘ether’ and
‘phlogiston’, the imaginary entities that were the physical media
allowing for the passage of light and the heat from a fire. Thus, knowing
how disease works means that we can abandon animistic and physical
causes and effects and attend to real causes and effects, not simple
correlations. But how can we know what is real? Do we need
43
On the Level
Perhaps the greatest fictional character who could unerringly divine the
real from the unreal and do so through pure deduction was Sherlock
Holmes. He could reconstruct the scene of the crime, including the crime,
the criminal and his motive, and all would be validated when the
malefactor confessed. However, this ‘proves’ nothing, as unless you have
video cameras observing the scene of the crime as it was committed,
there would always be room for conspiracy theories to dispute
unchallengeable ‘facts’.
The point is that pure deduction can never reveal facts, but can only
arrive at the lawful relationship of observations that can be
parsimoniously codified in metaphors of language, whether rendered in
the grammar of mathematics or common language. The seeming
exception being the emergent attributes of relationships, or the subjective
‘qualia’ of experience such as water emerging from the relationship
between atoms of hydrogen and oxygen. But this is simply the
experiential side of a coin, and does not represent a new fact but rather
an aspect of a relationship of facts. Indeed, one simply cannot do science
without a level of vision that provides an ensemble of observations to
work with, a matter indeed of simple induction. Locking Isaac Newton
in a garret without a view of nature, let alone an apple tree, would
prevent him from deducing the laws of motion, gravity and force
codified in a single falling apple. His level of observation would simply
not be adequate for any scientific conjecture or deduction. Indeed,
science requires using combined and interlocking levels of observation
that remove or limit the postulation of non-empirical events that impede
44
Getting Real
A harsh verdict on the state of medical science in the year 1820 would be
that it was not level adequate, as deductions or non-empirical inferences
on how disease worked on a molecular scale sufficed to replace the actual
observations or inductions that were then precluded due to the lack of
observational tools such as microscopes that could reveal the essence of
disease up close. Likewise, a harsh verdict on the state of social science
in the year 2020 is that is also not level adequate, as deductions as to how
45
Cannonball Run
Galileo’s and Kepler’s observations confirmed a new reality for the life
of cosmos, but the lawfulness of orbiting planets and outward stars were
specific to these creatures of the astronomical bestiary. It was from their
regularities that the 17th century mathematician and physicist Isaac
Newton derived his laws of mechanics, and the mathematical language,
the calculus, that could map and predict the motions of the world. So, if
you wish to shoot a cannonball and have it land in a certain place, and
want to be scientific about it, you would use Newtonian mechanics, and
from first principles, namely equations for mass, force, velocity, and
distance, you will be able to predict where the cannon ball will go.
Varying the numbers for any of the factors in the equation will get you a
prediction that matches your particular goals, whether it is shooting the
cannonball over a fence or shooting it into high orbit above the earth.
When Isaac Newton derived his laws of motion, gravity, and mechanics,
he not only followed the principles of science, but understood that if his
syntax and semantics were a bit off, then his theory would not get
anywhere, let alone the cannonball. The accurate prediction of the
cannon ball proved his theory, but one instance when it did not would
‘disprove’ it or at least force a reconfiguration of Newton’s laws. For the
workaday applications of Newtonian principles, from the dynamics of
an engine to the orbit of a shooting star, Newtonian principles work just
47
Part 2
Ab-Normal Science
52
Chapter 4
Paradigms Lost
Science, as expected
The social sciences are sciences, or so they call themselves, and for better
or worse must be treated that way. As such, they are human institutions
built to serve humans, and are accountable to all humans. Common folks
have a say in how science works, is understood, and is funded. We know
this from the studies funded to show the origins of obesity and of stars,
and from its practical applications from the Manhattan project to the
Moon program. Good science is also a requirement of the popular
applications of science, from the internet to vaccines. So if your theory
doesn’t work in the physical and biological sciences, funding and
popular acclaim is not in the cards, and your moonshot collapses like a
house of cards. This is why nonsense in these realms has a shelf life of a
care bear in the Cretaceous. If it doesn’t make any practical sense, the
environment would swallow it whole, unless it is merely marked for an
academic audience, which in a different sense may also swallow it whole.
So what does the popular or common man or woman expect from
science? Let us restate our four criteria for good science.
3. Generality
A scientific theory applies not only to the facts at hand, but also to related
facts in different domains. Thus Newtonian laws may be generalized to
not just cannonballs in flight, but orbiting moons and piston engines.
4. Depth
By deconstructing molar events to their molecular components, we can
more easily explain reality, and exclude non-realistic phenomena that do
not add anything to our hypothesis. Thus, by understanding the
molecular components of disease, we make a higher understanding of
disease more intelligible, parsimonious, and generalizable.
A reason why the social sciences have little imprint in human affairs is
that they require none of the above, or at the very least, merely the
semblance of meeting these criteria. That is because its literature is geared
to an audience as narrow as the scholastics that entertained and rejected
Galileo. That social scientists routinely break, bend or ignore these rules is
the reason why they are damned with faint praise, or not even that. So
how can we demonstrate this?
physical laws, however the motivation that gets you to throw that ball in
the first place is well-nigh intractable. There are just too many variables
to account for to predict what any individual would do if simply given a
ball. So if you cannot predict specifically, you predict generally. And here
is why statistics come in to measure up by measuring in between.
Consider a standard experiment to illustrate this. Take two groups of 100
people, and for each group dispense a sugar pill or pain reliever pill
while making sure that the experimenters or the subjects do not know
which is which. This ‘double-blind’ experiment insures that subject
reactions are not swayed by a placebo effect, and that the experimenters
also cannot tilt the results by how they communicate to the subjects. If
the subjects who receive the pill generally respond better than the sugar
pill, this result is gauged statistically, and a high ‘confidence level’
insures that the results are most likely not the result of chance. Although
an experimenter can demonstrate through this and similar experiments
the generality of a result, the specificity of the result for an individual
subject cannot be predicted. Thus one person may respond better or less
well than her peers, and may also report side effects to the medication
which may or may not be due to the medication itself.
This underscores the fact that between group designs can only measure
correlations, and do not provide explanations. This guarantees that your
paradigm will only harbor general truths, and not explain how in this
case a medication actually works. Statistics has its place, but it cannot
take the place of explanations that constrain where your inferences will
take you and allow you to in turn make testable inferences. To
understand this, let us return to our cannonball, and put it in orbit about
the sun. If the sun and the cannonball were all there was in the cosmos,
the trajectory and precision of its orbit would be easy to calculate.
However, adding in asteroids, planets, moons, and other stars soon
make an accurate calculation near intractable, as their gravitational pull
would throw the calculations off. Now let us say that you were an
observer from afar who knew nothing about Newtonian mechanics.
Trying to deduce the trajectory of the cannon ball in a cosmos busy with
60
Minimal Explanation
Folk Psychology
The lawful regularities of life are not so much learned as outsourced, and
that includes the application of the biological and physical laws which
keep our planes flying, our computers running, our hearts beating, and
our trains running on time. These laws succeed because they are
dependent upon deep explanations of our physical and biological
worlds. However, explanation is absent for the psychological regularities
of life that for all their diversity and seeming import, are the province of
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Self-Evident Truths
“We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they
are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these
are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.”-Preamble to the American
Declaration of Independence. Thomas Jefferson
Minimal Depth
The devil made me do it
There are some facts of life that we just have to take on faith. Not that
faith is a bad thing, as it is a useful placeholder until we ultimately face
reality, whether it is in this life or the afterlife. In past eras, animistic
beliefs were foundational not only for psychology, but for the physical
and biological sciences as well, and God spun the cosmos about with
mankind in the center, and outsourced to nefarious satanic agents a
multitude of temptations to sway us from our right behavior. The belief
in literally disembodied entities that slanted our behavior from its
rational course has been replaced by figuratively disembodied entities
residing in our own minds that have similar agency that follow not
heavenly rules but mentalistic ones. Thus willpower, ego, and various
disembodied drives, need states, and other inferred mental processes are
proposed to fill in the gap between reason and behavior or stimulus and
response. Mentalisms are inferred properties in the human mind whose
properties are as changeable and amorphous as the epicycles that a
Ptolemaic astronomer could adjust at will to explain the erratic
movements of any celestial body. Mentalisms don’t explain anything
because they cannot predict anything, and are ‘a-postoriori’ entities
whose existence is justified after the fact, and like Ptolemaic epicycles,
constitute no ‘facts’ at all.
65
additional 30 percent were in the “murky middle,” and fully half of the
treatments under review didn’t have the evidence their boosters thought they
did. For Williams, contemporary therapy is resting on more of a “don’t-know
bird verdict.”
So here we have eclecticism write large, with explanations fitted to the
styles of psychotherapeutic conversation and support, and with all
therapies working as they should, and all therapists winning prizes. But
as we will see later in this chapter, the more mundane facts of
psychological life, neglected by and large by psychotherapists, are a
better alternative to mentalism, but at a cost.
Surplus Logic
Word Salad
“If you wish to converse with me, define your terms.” Voltaire
All the facts in the world don’t count if you can’t make sense of them,
and we can easily make sense of the world by mapping them to logical
rules. Thus we can more easily understand events through simplifying
them, paring redundancies, eliminating meaningless syntax, or in other
words, just getting to the point. These become the rules of thumb that get
us by, and allow us to make quick and reliable decisions. That’s practical
wisdom for the individual, but often impractical to an individual who
wants to communicate something else to you far less easily and get paid
for it.
Words can be powerful and imposing, even if you don’t know what they
mean, as it’s the context that counts. And from the context of a
document’s source can be perceived the value, competence, and
importance of the individual or entity communicating to you. However,
simplicity can be the enemy of perceived competence, particularly if you
are incompetent, or wish to raise your stature as well as your fees. That’s
the practice of law for you, where the incentive to be unnecessarily
complex can be very pecuniary indeed. This extends to many other
67
identifying and creating relational links between stimuli, and made possible by
our arbitrarily applicable relational responding ability.”25 Simple enough,
until you get to the details. Thus…
“According to RFT, the core of human language and cognition is the learned
and contextually controlled ability to arbitrarily relate events mutually and in
combination, and to change the functions of specific events based on their
relations to others. For example, very young children will know that a nickel is
larger than a dime by physical size, but not until later will the child understand
that a nickel is smaller than a dime by social attribution. In addition to being
arbitrarily applicable (a nickel is “smaller” than a dime merely by social
convention), this more psychologically complex relation is mutual (e.g., if a
nickel is smaller than a dime, a dime is bigger than a nickel), combinatorial (e.g.,
if a penny is smaller than a nickel and a nickel is smaller than a dime then a
penny is smaller than a dime), and alters the function of related events (if a nickel
has been used to buy candy a dime will now be preferred even if it has never
actually been used before). 26
And from this not so clear explanation devolved Acceptance and
Commitment Therapy, which is equally unclear. “The core conception of
Acceptance and Commitment Therapy’ or ‘ACT’ or (as it is usually called
outside of a therapy context, Acceptance and Commitment Training ... also
"ACT") is that psychological suffering and a failure to prosper psychologically
is usually caused by the interface between the evolutionarily more recent
processes of human language and cognition, and more ancient sources of control
of human behavior, particular those based on learning by direct experience.
Psychological inflexibility is argued to emerge from six basic processes. Stated
in their most general fashion these are emotional inflexibility, cognitive
inflexibility, attentional inflexibility, failures in perspective taking, lack of
chosen values, and an inability to broaden and build habits of values-based
action. Buttressed by an extensive basic research program on an linked theory of
language and cognition, Relational Frame Theory (RFT), ACT takes the view
that trying to change difficult thoughts and feelings in a subtractive or
eliminative way as a means of coping can be counterproductive, but new,
powerful alternatives are available to deal with psychological events, including
70
Surplus Facts
The N-body problem
“When I read academic literature, all too often by paragraph three I'm lost in a
morass of quantitative analysis that is far beyond not only my abilities but those
of almost every businessperson I've ever met. In my view, the authors devote far
too much of their time conducting research and writing about it in articles that
only their peers understand and spend too little time actually teaching. As a
result, their students are getting progressively less for their money, a guarantee
of future serious trouble for higher education.” Larry Zicklin, Professor at New
York University’s Stern School of Business.”
Knowing that the world is a complicated place and all the parts that go
into it becomes infinitely harder when its set-in motion, and the universe
can become an intractable clockwork that beggars our understanding.
We solve this issue by our ability to distill or abstract the foundational
elements of a problem, and compute from there. So we pare the variables
that we can track and use our best and most reliable predictions that will
allow us to catch the bus on time. From the timing of a bus we can move
to the timing of a moon, and here the loss of precision is not taken very
well. Certainly Isaac Newton recognized this when he tried out his
equations, and failed.
“Knowing three orbital positions of a planet's orbit, Newton was able to produce
an equation by straightforward analytical geometry, to predict a planet's
motion, i.e., to give its orbital properties: position, orbital diameter, period and
orbital velocity. Having done so, he and others soon discovered over the course
of a few years, those equations of motion did not predict some orbits correctly or
even very well. Newton realized that this was because gravitational interactive
forces amongst all the planets were affecting all their orbits.”29
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Neglected Observations
Psychotherapy
Take any medicine for a cold, and chances are within a week you will
feel better and the cold will be gone because of your naturally occurring
immune response aided or perhaps unaided by the medication itself. In
addition, because you believe the medicine will alleviate your symptoms
or your ailment, the belief alone or placebo effect will have you feeling
better in no time, or simply because of a common-sense suggestion or
insight you receive from the media, like the therapeutic benefits of a bowl
of chicken soup. These mitigating variables are often completely ignored
by the suffering party, and conveniently omitted in the sunny advert on
the front of the box, which after all is there to sell you on the ‘cure’.
For our mental problems, these misattributions are the same. Consider
any troubling issue in your life, and regardless of the psychotherapeutic
effort of a self-help book, your psychotherapist, or your grandmother,
your problem will in short time.be mitigated or gone. So for our mental
health crisis du jour, from a lost loved one to a lost job, the pain just
passes or habituates, you figure out a solution on your own, or your
belief in the therapists advice makes you feel better.
Teasing out how non-clinical advice, great expectations, or simply father
time can heal psychic wounds is an exercise in futility, as our personal
trials are a never-ending fact of life. We are constantly in a
Shakespearean sense always buffeted by the slings and arrows of
outrageous fortune, being outraged, depressed, and otherwise stressed
by the vicissitudes of life. We do recover from it all, as we could not
75
3 Neglected observations are very common for self-help procedures, which use
slight of hand to infer processes where there are none, and procedures that
76
Behavioral Ecology
Ecology represents the complex interplay of environmental variables
that allow organisms to survive and thrive, and behavioral ecology
extends this metaphor to the environmental variables that allow humans
to psychologically survive and thrive. For example, cold viruses exist in
their own ecological niche, and are passed along from one human to
another, lying dormant sometimes, destroyed quickly by antibodies at
others, and for still at other times make for one’s very bad week. For
ourselves, in our own biological niche, we take pains to avoid the
circumstances that can lead to colds by washing our hands, keeping our
distance from other infected, and maintaining our overall health and
hygiene. And when we catch a cold, the palliatives are bed rest, a lower
amount of physical activity, lots of chicken soup, and of course a cold
medication that makes you feel better because of its activity and your
belief. If this was not common knowledge, then the uncommon advice of
a doctor would be welcomed, yet only part of the doctors prescribed
regiment would be clinical, namely a medical prescription. If our ailment
was psychological rather than biological, we may not have as much
confidence in our prescriptions as for the common cold, and a therapists
insight would be most welcome. However, like the doctor, psychological
distress has similar non-clinical causes, with a medicinal treatment, like
an antidepressant, only a small part of the cure. The rest are the common-
work for reasons that derive from common sense rather than magic. Consider
stress. You see a train coming straight at you, how do you reduce the stress?
Well, you can focus on a mantra (meditate), think of nothing (mindfulness
meditation) or simple focus on the breath. Since all of these procedures work,
should we believe in separate neural mechanisms for each, or just the more
common-sense fact that with all of them you are not attending to the oncoming
train? The neglected observation, in this case avoiding thinking about the train
or avoiding the train altogether, is supplanted by similar procedures justified
by psychological magic. Par for the course for psychologists who would make
wisdom arcane (and profitable) rather than simple and free common sense.
77
sense solutions that a therapist is more apt to have derived from clinical
experience than from novel theories of the mind. Like the proverbial
wisdom of the elders, the psychotherapist is wise beyond his or her
years, but unfortunately not experience but credentials pays, as your
wise grandfather would be a bit wiser if he had a shingle to hang on his
wall.
Still, whether a therapist offers a helping hand or just sleight of hand,
good advice is still worth it for reasons other than the peculiar healing
powers of a therapy. The neglected variables in therapy, from the
experience and empathy of the therapist to her knowledge of community
helping resources to the symptoms of true psychiatric disorders are
invaluable to help an individual recognize and change their own
behavioral ecology, with perhaps brand name therapies being more
deserving of a little neglect.
Irrelevant Observations
Neural Pinball
Explanations not only detail how a process works, but make testable
predictions of where the process will take you once it is set in motion.
Adding variables to explanations that do not increase predictive power
or are not necessary for the level of prediction required are eliminated,
leaving parsimonious explanations that can suit one’s level of
understanding and predictive or operational requirements. Newtonian
principles are the best example of this, which when applied to planets in
the solar system reduces the variables (number of gravitational objects)
to make the calculations tractable and a level of prediction, while not
absolutely precise, is precise enough to get your lunar lander pretty
much on the spot required.
Irrelevant observations can complement or supplant necessary
observations. In the former case the explanation can become
unnecessarily complex, and in the latter case it loses its ability to make
predictions at all. The issue is most apparent in situations where
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Flow Experiences
When playing the arcade game of pinball, the pinball lights up lots of
areas on the playing surface, but it is the pinball that counts, not the
lights. Of course, we can see the pinball and the lights, but to meet our
desire to see where and how the pinball is going, we give explanatory
authority to the pinball, the bumpers it bounces into, and the spring fed
plunger that gives it its impetus. The human brain can be like a game of
pinball too, but provides researchers a much-reduced vision that often
tells us only where the lights are, or perhaps the heat. Consider as
another example a car. If one did not have access to see what’s under the
hood when the car is in motion, then one could at least monitor the heat
signatures of the car’s fluid levels and flow, from gasoline to oil, and
develop a fairly good approximation as to how cars work, except for the
radio and accompanying electronics, which require subtle
measurements all their own that require direct access to the processes
involved.
As a rough analogy, the human brain is the same, and its understanding
is dependent upon the capabilities and limitations of the observational
tools at our disposal. Some of these tools are adapted for humans and are
quite widely used, but others require not only different procedures and
experimental apparatus, but also different kinds of brains. The first set
of tools is called functional magnetic resonance imaging or fmri, which
measures brain activity by detecting changes associated with blood
flow.4 This technique relies on the fact that cerebral blood flow and
4
The fmri uses magnetic fields and radio waves to form images of
hemodynamic responses, or changes in blood flow. Whenever a particular
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brain area is active, it consumes oxygen, which requires increased blood flow
to the region. Performing even the most mundane tasks, such as viewing a
picture of a political candidate or solving a simple addition problem, causes
specific areas of the brain to increase their oxygen consumption. fmri maps
these physiological changes and creates images of the areas with elevated
blood flow. These maps are used by researchers to discern which areas of the
brain are involved in completing certain tasks.
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speak and that people can speak of such experiences but cannot observe
them.
So what can we infer from this? Simply that if you want to measure
something, you have to have the right measuring stick. You can’t
measure the electronics in your car with an oil dip stick, and you can’t
measure the biochemical source of affect by measuring heat signatures
in the brain. However, that doesn’t stop neuroscientists from giving it a
go, revealing a lot of heat but little light. Consider the well-known ‘flow’
experience. Equivalent in many ways to the concept of peak experience,
flow occurs when an individual is engaging in touch and go behavior
that demands her full attention while in a state of low autonomic arousal
or relaxation, and is characterized by an affective state or ‘feeling’ of high
arousal and pleasure. But is any of this explained using the standard tool
set of neurologic inquiry? Well, yes and no.
In flow, using the fmri, the activating centers in the brain are a fireworks
of activity, with activation of many brain centers increased during flow,
particularly in the anterior insula, inferior frontal gyri, basal ganglia and
midbrain, with relative activation decreases during flow observed in medial
prefrontal and posterior cingulate cortex, and in the medial temporal lobe
including the amygdala.33 Coupled with subjective reports of the
experience, from time dilation to the merging or action and awareness to
intrinsic reward, explaining affective aspects of the experience, or why
the experience feels so different, remains unexplained, and it is the
affective aspects of flow that makes it so greatly valued and it may be
argued truly define the experience.
In contrast to this approach, by extrapolating from ‘in-vivo’ (direct
cellular manipulation) laboratory studies in lower mammals, we may
use a different set of tools to explain flow and provide testable
hypotheses rather than a mere description of the brain areas that ‘light
up’ during flow. Flow experiences are inherently touch and go, which
means that behavior is always on the cusp of failure, but remains still
under a high confidence level of success. This requires naturally a high
degree of attention, but attention only underscores the high degree of
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A Note on Neurobabble
The leg bone's connected to the knee bone,
The knee bone's connected to the thigh bone,
The thigh bone's connected to the hip bone,
Now shake dem skeleton bones!
Classic Children’s Song
False Processes
Hypnosis, Meditation
One of the magical things about product marketing past and present is
that it thrives on magical thinking. Take branding for instance. That you
are more inclined to buy Morton salt, Bayer aspirin, and Dasani bottled
water is that the brand imputes, but does not claim, superiority over its
generic equivalent. If it did, then the makers would have the Food and
Drug Administration hard on their heels. Unfortunately, generic
psychological processes have no such protection, and simple and non-
descript mental events can be granted a name and reputation wholly
unearned, except of course for those practitioners who hawk the stuff,
who can earn quite nicely. This extends to physical processes too, which
fortunately are a bit more resistant to marketing malarky, unless you
count a few odd historical anomalies like an earth resting immobile in
the center of a rotating universe.
For example, consider the cases of fire and light. In the 18 th century, fire
was then, as it was in paleolithic times, a remarkable thing to be reckoned
with, except that no one could reckon how it actually worked. A
combustible question required a combustible answer, and in this case it
was a hidden element called phlogiston, an unseen material that enabled
fire. It was later proven that only the concept of phlogiston was
combustible, metaphorically that is, and phlogiston has been justly
relegated to the mythology of physics. Similarly, it was once thought that
nature abhors a vacuum, and since light like other material substances
required a medium to pass through a invisible substance called the ether,
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Hypnosis
As reasonable people, we can do unreasonable things. For elemental
processes of motivation, sometimes we can do remarkable things that
cannot be easily explained through the common motivations that guide
85
off when novel or unusual behaviors are the result, a relativistic standard
that is in the eye of the beholder. As such, hypnosis is no more useful
and validated than phlogiston, though unlike the latter, it still finds its
place in clinical practice and stage shows.
Meditation
In 1987, the psychologist David Holmes published an article in the the
flagship journal of the American Psychological Association, the
‘American Psychologist’, an overview and critique of the procedure and
process of meditation. Reviewing the extensive literature of meditation,
with due criticism of experiments that lacked the necessary rigor and
lack of bias, Holmes concluded that meditation was no more effective
than simple resting protocols, and was no different from rest across a
score of physiological and neurological indices.38 In other words, resting
and meditation were the same. From a linguistic perspective, this
interpretation is obvious, as instructions to just be aware of the moment
and to ignore distractions are identical to standard resting protocols.39
Needless to say, his article elicited a storm of protest, calling out the
author for “attempting to establish artificial differences between similar
states and citing the literature in an incomplete, inaccurate, and biased
manner.”40 It was also argued that Holmes ignored the fact that
meditation was a successful self-regulation strategy that surpassed mere
relaxation in its effectiveness and clinical import.41 42
Indeed, reduced
somatic arousal could not possibly account for the many clinical benefits
of meditation.43 The inference from these criticisms was that since it was
presumed without evidence that relaxation or rest could not account for
the affective and behavioral attributes of meditation, relaxation needed
a metaphorical igniting fire, a psychological phlogiston is you will, called
a unique meditation process. This process could be studied without
consideration of the input of the inactivity of the covert musculature, or
relaxation. So rather than studying the neuropsychology of relaxation
that could account for these affective and behavioral processes
correlating with meditation protocols, the focus instead was on
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False Observations
Egos deplete; incentives demotivate, losses are for losers, choices lose
your mind, and meditation builds brains
“A lie can travel halfway around the world while the truth is still putting on its
shoes.” Mark Twain (which is a lie too, because no one knows who wrote it!)
“An idealized view of science is that theories are accepted or rejected based solely
on empirical evidence. In fact, science is not simply an objective search for truth,
but also a social process, in which proponents of a theory must convince other
scientists, through logic and argumentation, of how evidence should be
interpreted. However, this process advantages incumbent theories over
challengers for a number of reasons, including confirmation bias, social proof,
ideological complacency, and the vested interests of scientists whose reputations
and even sense of self are tied to existing theories. A consequence is scientific
inertia, where weak or ill-founded theories take on a life of their own, sometimes
even gaining momentum despite evidence that puts their veracity in doubt.
David Gal45
One of the ironclad facts of the laws of nature is that they are laws, and
breaking one at any times pay the penalty. However, if the law of gravity
stopped working just once, we would have a serious problem on our
hands, and would need either to modify the law or come up with a new
law altogether. Indeed, mainstream physical laws such as relativity,
quantum mechanics and even Newtonian principles are continually
tested, and even one negative result can upset the theoretical applecart
and force a rethinking of the foundational premises involved.
The social sciences are much more forgiving in their analyses, and one
bad prediction or one hundred are scarcely enough to move the needle
of judgment, or at least call into question the presumed certainty of an
idea. So if you have one bad prediction, you counter with accounting for
one hundred mainly good ones, and the lawfulness of behavior is
replaced by the law of averages. So bad principles still stay on the books,
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like jaywalking and speeding limits, and are brought up countless times
while ignoring their countless exceptions.
By making so many exceptions to the lawfulness of behavior, behavior
is becoming increasingly lawless, and in addition to our present
mundane concerns come an unlikely number of new ones replete with a
multitude of cures, all equally unlikely as it turns out. As if death and
taxes are enough to worry about, we now have to be concerned about
our egos or will power depleting, our incentives demotivating, our
choices disconcerting, and every loss depressing. Never fear though, as
a relaxing day at the beach can literally build your brain.
Coming up with inferred processes is a lot like postulating an Easter
Bunny, but unfortunately postulating an Easter bunny is a lot easier than
disproving the Easter bunny. It’s interesting, novel, and can explain to
our children at least where all those candy eggs come from on Easter
morning. But no amount of polling will determine whether the Easter
bunny exists, as there will always be children or folks with childlike
minds that would attest to their existence, and who knows, they may be
right. So if you cannot get to the bottom of the problem by disproving
the reality of the Easter Bunny, perhaps you can solve it on the surface.
Thus, if you figure you cannot know the truth in actuality, at least you
can do so statistically. So how do you find that the results of an
experiment are incorrect? You can guard against error in individual
experiments by surveying a lot of them, or a ‘meta’ analysis. If you turn
out with a lot of null hypotheses then odds are your hypothesis is wrong.
That’s safety in numbers, because everyone can be wrong in different
ways, and yet wrong in the mean. A second approach is doing one
experiment right the first time, with attention to controlling all sources
of error, from small sample size to faulty use of statistics to poor
observation. A third way if for the experimenter to admit to the
limitations of the experimental design, or its lack of depth, and can then
opt to explain the phenomenon in question which may take him out of
his depth, and so too with much of his peers.
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Willpower Depletes
Ego depletion is the controversial idea that self-control or willpower draws upon
a limited pool of mental resources that can be used up. When the energy for
mental activity is low, self-control is typically impaired, which would be
considered a state of ego depletion.46
In an experiment by the social psychologist Roy Baumeister and
colleagues in 1998, they showed that people who initially resisted the
temptation of chocolates were subsequently less able to persist on a
difficult and frustrating puzzle task. The fact that effort for one task
impaired the ability to perform another dissimilar task was called ‘ego
depletion’.47 The metaphors that describe ego depletion such as lack of
mental and physical energy refers the concept to those negative affective
states that impair one’s ability or interest in performing subsequent
simple and complex tasks. However, energy can be explained in
different ways. Indeed, the metaphor of energy can mean many things,
from a purely subjective state to a neurological process, to just being
more physically active. Loss of ‘energy’ can be due to biological reasons
such as a poor or inadequate diet or deprivation of necessary nutrients,
or because of neuromuscular tension due to stress, or neurochemical
deficiencies due to depression causes by environmental or biological
factors. What does not deplete energy are affective states themselves, as
the neurons for arousal (dopamine) and pleasure (opioid) do not ‘wear
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out’ after use, but their activity can decrease or increase due to simple
habituation or new salient outcomes,5 or the over familiarity with
sensory (eating the same food too often) compared to the new found
arousal for different foods.48 This is a critical point, because if the major
biochemical factor behind motivation, namely pleasure and arousal
systems (or opioid and dopamine systems) cannot deplete, then the
entire concept of ego depletion is false, as ‘energy’ or affective arousal is
due instead to unremarkable physiological (physical exhaustion, low
blood glucose) or informative causes (habituation, novelty).
Motivational ‘energy’ is an affective state that does not deplete like other
sources of energy (food or drink) that are necessary for maintenance of
homeostasis, or the regulation of basic bodily processes, but upon
informative events that can ‘recharge’ motivation in heartbeat.49 For
example, let us take a common example of ego depletion such our daily
struggle to resist temptation.
You eat a healthy breakfast and lunch, and even resist the sweet snacks
that a co-worker brings into the office during your mid-afternoon
5
Listen to the same track of music over and over again, and your initial interest
or attentive arousal will soon wane, and you will be bored. Attentive arousal in
the anticipation and experience of novel stimuli is embodied in the release of
the neuromodulator dopamine, but its release it modulated by neo-cortical
structures that determine its relative novelty and importance, or incentive
salience. Although drug abuse can harm dopamine receptors, and make arousal
for even normal pleasures more difficult, habituation does not, and as memory
of a habituated stimulus fades, its ability to induce arousal increases again, so
that over familiar stimuli become unfamiliar again, and we can again enjoy the
music, food, sunsets or more that became dull by being so predictable. The
faddish self-help procedure of dopamine detoxification, or going without any
stimulation for a day or days at a time, is due to this misunderstanding of how
habituation works, as if dopamine systems are somehow dulled, depleted, or
impaired through overuse, when it is the more mundane concept of stimulus
novelty, regulated by cortical structures, that is the true cause. The problem is
that by introducing inferred and wholly false neural processes to account for
the generic and well-known process of habituation, the useful procedure of
avoiding distractions gets new theoretical legs, and seems like a new procedure
when it is not, and also occludes a true understanding of how neural processes
actually work.
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Rewards De-Motivate
One of the more counterintuitive ideas in psychology is that rewards or
incentives de-motivate, or interfere with internal or intrinsic motives that
are generated through an individual’s natural curiosity and needs for
autonomy, competency, and acceptance. Extrinsic rewards, such as
money, prizes, or peer regard and fame are presumed to inhibit the
intrinsic enjoyment of a task, and when imposed the activity loses its
value. So what is the basis of this findings? It was group surveys, and
comparison between groups, or between group designs.
If intrinsic and extrinsic reward are distinct mental processes, they
should interact in ways that are observable socially, and one would also
assume, neurologically. Extrinsic rewards such as prizes, money, or
popular regard are distinguished as events that are outside or extrinsic
to an organism, and cohere also to the behavioristic metaphor that
extrinsic reinforcement fixes behavior at the moment it is introduced,
and has little or no cognitive or intrinsic connotations. On the other hand,
intrinsic reinforcement is derived from cognitive aspects of the behavior
itself, whether it be creating art, writing a novel, or just the satisfaction
of mastering a new skill. However this is not true, as both extrinsic and
intrinsic rewards mediate cognitions, namely the positive uncertainty in
the moment (as in the novelty of creating art) or projected into the future
(as in the branching novel possibilities denoted by a cash reward). They
also interact, as a high reward for a behavior that is rewarding in itself
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explanation. Dr. Thaler has dismissed our argument as a “minor point about
terminology,” since the deviant behaviors attributed to loss aversion occur
regardless of the cause. But a different account for why a behavior occurs is not
a minor terminological difference; it is a major explanatory difference. Only if
we understand why a behavior occurs can we create generalizable knowledge,
the goal of science.”55
Finally, not only can loss aversion be explained differently, but it may
not exist at all. In a meta-analytic review of ninety-three studies
comparing disease prevention messages, the analysis found no
statistically significant differences in persuasiveness between gain- and
loss-framed messages concerning other preventive actions such as safer-
sex behaviors, skin cancer prevention behaviors, or diet and nutrition
behaviors.56
As Gal noted, anomalous behaviors point to the inadequacy of
explanatory paradigms to account for them, which are not dependent
upon individual or group observations that cannot explain the
rudiments of motivation, leaving the discerning reader with lots of
paradigms to choose from, and more than a little unhappiness as we shall
see next.
many other products, is also naïve and dumb. When confronted with
these choices, people simply are less likely to buy. After all, the data do
not lie. Or do they?
Enter social psychologists, who with Newtonian thoroughness work for
those odd human consistencies that they liken to immutable law. The
simple experiment and like-minded versions proved the rule, and in our
case, it was a simple jar of jam that did the persuasive trick, lots of them.
Conducted by the psychologist Mark Lepper and Sheila Iyengar 59, the
experiment was simple. In their first study, they set up a tasting table
with exotic jams at the entrance of an upscale grocery store. The table
displayed either a small assortment containing six jams or a large
assortment of 24 jams. Every consumer who approached the table
received a coupon to get $1 off the purchase of any jam of that brand. In
line with the idea that people are attracted by large assortments, the
authors found that more consumers approached the tasting table when
it displayed 24 jams. Yet, when it came to actual purchase, 30% of all
consumers who saw the small assortment of six jams at the tasting
display actually bought one of the jams (with the coupon), whereas in
the large assortment case, only 3% of the people redeemed the coupon
for a jam. The authors interpreted this finding as a consequence of choice
overload such that too many options decreased the motivation to make
a choice. Along the same lines, Iyengar et al.60 found that the number of
401(k) pension plans that companies offered to their employees was
negatively correlated with the degree of participation in any of the
plans61. These experiments resulted in astonishingly strong effects that
were utterly counter to mainstream economic theory.
The choice between Welch’s jam and Smucker’s jam may be irritating
and of no practical consequence to an individual, but you can bet that it
has consequences for the two companies, who would not want to reduce
their profits by offering too many varieties of a good thing. If too much
choice was intrinsically a bad thing, this would imply that lots of retailers
could simultaneously eliminate 75 percent of their inventory and
increase sales by 900 percent. That would be the natural result of Lepper
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Chapter 5
The Ill-Disciplines of Psychology
Reality Testing
To get anywhere in life, like the bus stop, thinking must have a basis in
reality, and for systematic thinking necessary for getting to the moon,
much more so. Human beings and the communities that foster them are
built on a currency of information. When information is accepted among
all parties to facilitate the exchange of goods and services, we have actual
currencies, and to further the reality of our understanding of the world
and its applications, we have the currency of science. Science is built on
standards of inquiry and commonly accepted knowledge. For the
physical and biological sciences these core principles and the data they
describe form the empirical bedrock which informs and constrains what
can be inferred from existence and what can be made of it. Without these
core facts and the theories that bind them, then like the prelates in
Galileo’s time all manner of paradigms about the world may be
postulated and believed, and all defined through a subset of non-
empirical facts, from orbiting suns to planetary epicycles, and all
accepted by their own true believers because its believers either cannot
or refuse to look closer.
For the social sciences, individual facts of behavior are like celestial
planets in the sky that can be charted and analyzed, but go nowhere
unless you show how they get somewhere. But the how in the equation
does not speak to the why, and it is the latter that is the stuff of
explanations. The true issue is whether reality may be determined
through induction, or correlations that are presumed to prove reality
when they by definition cannot point to reality. In other words,
correlating the movements of the planets and stars with the fate of
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‘Pop’ular Psychology
Testing Reality
Pop psychology approaches are often characterized by an emphasis on personal
feelings, the latest trends in popular culture, and self-help techniques. These
approaches may not be scientifically supported or researched but have become
popular with people who want to improve their mental well-being.65
needs of other horses. It just drinks it fill and leaves. And that’s the
contrast between survival for animals versus humans. We can’t just pick
fruit from the tree of life and retire with God’s chosen mate for us under
some blossoming palm and a clear sky. That’s paradise lost, if not in
myth, than certainly so in practice, for as befitting the human condition,
living sparely under a palm tree is not anyone’s prescription for a good
life.
So the good life depends upon the results of chains of behaviors, each
with different demands, likelihoods of success, and their own rewards,
with the ultimate benefit often in the far horizon. Rationally, we can
perform them, and like counting rosary beads invariably lead to a state
of grace, fulfillment, or just our next meal. The problem is that if
motivation falters in just one segment of the chain, then all is for naught,
the chain breaks, the goal is lost, and we fall into a state of lassitude or
depression.
In practice, we can plan our day logically, and map out what we need to
rationally do to maximize our productivity, our health, and our
pleasures, but logic falls away when we become distracted, distressed,
or just uninterested in the tasks before us. ‘Non-popular’ psychology, or
academic psychology, recognizes that this is a complex problem
deserving complex analysis and no sure procedures for amending
behavior, but popular psychology takes a contrasting position, and
claims that motivation is simple, just an affirmation, good habit, positive
thought, or clear-eyed perspective away.
In popular psychology, the salve or salvation for motivation is simple
procedure that requires scant explanation, and is vouched for by the
assurances of the motivational speaker, writer, cleric, or guru who gains
credibility by his or her status, station, or elevation through popular,
social, or academic regard. If it doesn’t work it’s your fault, and
invariably it doesn’t after initial success, until you look for another
fountain of youth. But when it does work, as it often does however
briefly, its success is often assured whether the procedure is complexly
reasoned and based on scientific data or is merely the product of a flight
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of fantasy. Does this mean that all remedies from popular psychology
engage a unique mental process, or that all procedures unknowingly are
successful because of a single cause? Here we will argue for Occam’s
Razor, or the principle that the simplest explanation is invariably the
correct one, which through its practical adherence means all who
knowingly or unknowingly follow it must have prizes.
special procedure can replace imparting basic common sense. Thus logic
holds that if experts armed with self-help procedures all have the same
outcomes irrespective of the procedures involved, then using the same
procedures for yourself and by yourself will have the same outcome.
The advantage pop psychologists have over academic psychologists,
who have to test their hypotheses, and psychotherapists, who use
standardized procedures that are subject to test, is that their procedures
do not require serious and systematic test because they are in fact ‘true’.
Inadequately tested procedures are not acceptable in professional arenas
of inquiry or application, from the clinical researcher to the family
doctor. However, in popular psychology testability is informal, with
casual endorsement, cherry picked and misquoted studies, and the
confidence and promise of the popularizer taken at face value by an
audience that has no training or inclination to be skeptical, giving
credence again to the time worn adage that a fool and his or her money
are soon parted. Still, there seems much to recommend popular
psychology if you simply extend folk psychology a little, and make
practical matters of motivation seem practical, until you realize they
aren’t.
Reality Reframing
Finally, clarity, mindsets, positive thinking and more only add grease to
the proverbial motivational wheel, and can mean that you are either
getting real or getting religion, a distinction that is often hard to make,
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Evolutionary Psychology
Behavior Mods
Before Galileo, the solar system was thought to be a massively modular
mechanism. Each of the planets and suns looped the loops in their
courses to fit the observations of an unaided human eye. If the
predictions didn’t work, instead of changing the variables, you changed
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Modular Eclecticism
Just as an orbiting sun was self-evident if one but looking to the sky. The
virtue of the incest taboo was that it took the general course of least
explanatory resistance, namely that different personality traits are
explanatory worlds into themselves through the postulation of
evolutionary mental modules that integrate nativistic or instinctive
sensitivities with overt behavioral patterns. By just accepting an inferred
evolutionary trait, then the behavior is parsimoniously ‘explained’,
regardless of the fact that it has no explanatory depth, or refers to actual
and discoverable neurological processes. Modularity also means that
evolutionary psychology has little generality, as you cannot test broadly
its major premises. Mental modules do not interoperate with others and
their components don’t do so either because the components are specific
to that process. Thus every epicycle around every moon has its own
unique dynamics that are incompatible with other rotating moons. This
modularity metaphor can extend to even how we think.
Social Psychology
The Body Eclectic
“Social psychology is the scientific study of how thoughts, feelings, and
behaviors are influenced by the real or imagined presence of other people or by
social norms. Social psychologists typically explain human behavior as a result
of the relationship between mental states and social situations, studying the
social conditions under which thoughts, feelings, and behaviors occur, and how
these variables influence social interactions.”-Wikipedia.
In physics, the natural order of things follow logical rules or laws that
map to the clockwork of the universe, and as with all clocks, you cannot
only tell time but also predict where everything will be in a timely way.
This is good when you are predicting the movement of planets, stars,
and engine pistons, but when you look closer, really closer, all the neat
laws go haywire, along with all their predictions. This occurred when
physicists looked closer to the sub-atomic granularity of nature, and
discovered that this quantum world behaved by rules completely at odds
with the reliable physical models that guide our everyday lives, and with
testable outcomes and reliable applications that still escape human
comprehension or explanation.
Similarly, the social sciences which observe and deduce the lawfulness
of macro or aggregate elements of human behavior, from economics,
business management, marketing, and politics can infer economic social
or political rules from an inductive assessment of basic correlations or
trends. There is no need to infer more elementary processes than a
weatherman needs to explain the chemistry of water. However, when a
social science expands its purview from the social to the individual, then
prediction becomes less reliable when behaviors goes off on tangents
from the illogical to the bizarre.
For many of the disciplines in the social sciences, the sources of
individual behavior is the primary focus, and like tracing the path of a
comet in the sky, its trajectory and speed can be predicted relative to its
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neighboring planets and star. But in fact, its behavior is influenced not
by one or two celestial bodies, but scores of them. The same is the case
for human behavior, which is the result of the consideration of often
hundreds of humans in a social milieu. However, whether a person’s
behavior is influenced by one person or thousands of people, individual
motivation in psychology follows the same contours. Yet whereas the
line of influence from one person to another can be well defined, when
you toss in the influence of other people who have different demands of
you and at different times and circumstances, just like postulating the
movement of a planet circled by many worlds, prediction is unreliable,
and generalities must suffice.
This is more complicated than when you are regarding an individual
human body, and not just how but why it moves. Then, one must
consider the near limitless ability of language to categorize the many
cognitive and affective variables that influence behavior. Given the fact
that as social animals, humans must consciously and non-consciously
consider the behavior not of one human but of many humans and their
social, religious, and political views, different cognitive strategies, both
learned and innate, are necessary to cope. The study of the regularities
and lawfulness of these coping strategies is the province of social
psychology.
Leadership, conformance, decision making, social bonding, group think,
and many other topics are separate areas of discussion, research, and
scholarship. All are united by a single non-empirical governing
principle, that cognition is one sided, and is not affective in itself, but
leads to, induces, or precedes affective states that can often be kept apart
from the rational calculations that drive behavior. In fact, language and
cognition are disembodied, and are generally detached from affective
states, which are metaphorically assumed to conflict with reason rather
than aid it. This reason verse emotion metaphor is dominant in literature
and the arts, and finds ample representation in the literature of social
psychology.
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Behavioral Economics
Epicycles upon Epicycles
Behavior revolves around incentives, in perfect circles one may add,
making its predictions a sure thing in the large, until you look a bit
closer, and discover that they aren’t. In classical economics, the decisions
regarding the production, consumption, and transfer of wealth are made
logically, and follow the bounds of logic, if not necessarily of ethics. Thus
we wage war, make love, buy cars and stocks because of their
instrumentalities towards our personal welfare, and all are denominated
in similar coin.
Except of course when behavior does not behave so logically. The
effective reason behind all of this, as we will later demonstrate, is that
behavior is uniformly and consistently affective, and represents the
conscious and non-conscious feeling or affective states that guide and
distort behavior. Like gravity bending light into an inexorable arc, the
influence of affect is no less profound on the science of economics as
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“So, I want to take you to a Wikipedia page that I first saw when someone
tweeted that they had found “the best page on the internet”. The “List of
cognitive biases” was up to 165 entries on the day I took this snapshot, and it
contains most of your behavioral science favorites … the availability heuristic,
confirmation bias, the decoy effect – a favorite of marketers, the endowment effect
and so on ….
But this page, to me, points to what I see as a fundamental problem with
behavioral economics.
“In 1500, the dominant model of the universe involved the sun, planets and stars
orbiting around the earth. Since that wasn’t what was actually happening, there
was a huge list of deviations from this model. We have the Venus effect, where
Venus appears in the evening and morning and never crosses the night sky. We
have the Jupiter bias, where it moves across the night sky, but then suddenly
starts going the other way. Putting all the biases in the orbits of the planets and
sun together, we end up with a picture of the orbits that looks something like
this picture – epicycles on epicycles. But instead of this model of biases,
deviations and epicycles, what about an alternative model?
Copernicus, of course, it’s not quite as simple as this picture – the orbits of the
planets around the sun are elliptical, not circular. But, essentially, by adopting
this new model of how the solar system worked, a large collection of “biases” was
able to become a coherent theory. Behavioral economics has some similarities to
the state of astronomy in 1500 – it is still at the collection of deviation stage.
There aren’t 165 human biases. There are 165 deviations from the wrong
model.70
It was not choosing the right model or paradigm, but rather the right
explanation that can minimize the inferred facts you can assume from
that model. By admitting a score of deviations to the rule but maintaining
the rule is an attitude that Galileo fought, and is paradoxically
supportive of the core economic principle of autonomous reasoning, or
reasoning that is based on rational principles alone. The fact that the
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6 That Ptolemy fabricated his data or at least was careless in making sure his
data were correct is a fault line in all of the sciences whose fissures spread also
into the present day. Indeed, several studies on being honest have been
determined to be dishonest, an irony that should not go unremarked.
According to a 2012 paper by two distinguished social psychologists, when
people signed an honesty declaration at the beginning of a form, rather than
the end, they were less likely to lie. As it turned out, this conclusion was equally
a lie, as not only was the experiment repeated with null results, but the data
for the original experiment were fabricated, with responsibility referred to
other parties, namely an insurance company, that conveniently had no record
of the experiment!
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it, “A nudge, as we will use the term, is any aspect of the choice architecture that
alters people's behavior in a predictable way without forbidding any options or
significantly changing their economic incentives. To count as a mere nudge, the
intervention must be easy and cheap to avoid. Nudges are not mandates. Putting
fruit at eye level counts as a nudge. Banning junk food does not.”74
A better way of defining this is as friendly reminder from a tickler file of
yours’s or another’s devise to let you know is a subtle way of what you
need to do or should be tempted to do. It is based on the idea that
behavior is often on a precipice, and we need a psychological ‘nudge’
now and then to get us on the straight and narrow, for our own good of
course, as we are often nudged to agree. Nudge bias sounds reasonable,
and better yet, requires no postulation of unique mental processes to
demonstrate its efficacy, but rather the familiar ones of securing attention
and remembering important things to do. So do people need a lot of
reminding? Apparently not, as we pretty well know what we need to do,
regardless of fruit, forbidden or not, being on eye level. The problem is
that nudge bias suffers from publication bias, or the tendency of journal
editors to select for publication findings that have novel and flashy
appeal rather than research that just proves the novel ideas have little or
no validity whatsoever. Indeed, when publication bias is corrected for,
then nudges are demonstrated be less than ten percent effective as
advertised, or not effective at all.75 76
Overall the problem with behavioral economics is, like social
psychology, its profound eclecticism, or its guidance not by a systematic
theory derived from first principles, or a neuro-biological explanation of
incentive, but by multiple tiny theories that address singular problems
and infer singular supporting processes. In addition, the relative efficacy
of each of these biases is not known, and can often be distorted by biases
from authors and journal editors as well as a public at large who give
credibility and authority to processes they do not understand. As such,
the applicability of behavioral economics is as marginal as the guiding
aphorisms, heuristics, and helpful hints that we learn from experience,
which thankfully we do not need do not need a journal editor to judge.
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Philosophy
Story Telling
“It must, however, be confessed, that this species of skepticism, when more
moderate, may be understood in a very reasonable sense, and is a necessary
preparative to the study of philosophy, by preserving a proper impartiality in
our judgments, and weaning our mind from all those prejudices, which we may
have imbibed from education or rash opinion. To begin with clear and self-
evident principles, to advance by timorous and sure steps, to review frequently
our conclusions, and examine accurately all their consequences; though by these
means we shall make both a slow and a short progress in our systems; are the
only methods, by which we can ever hope to reach truth, and attain a proper
stability and certainty in our determinations.” ― David Hume, An Enquiry
Concerning Human Understanding
Embodiment
The relevance of the interaction between body and mind is a given, but
its importance is not, as the faculty of reason is generally conceived in
folk and academic philosophy as independent of the body, with people
moving in proverbial straight lines impelled by reason until they bump
into a metaphorical motive, emotion, drive, need, or other force that
changes the direction of their behavior. Hume was of a different mind,
and conceived of philosophy as the inductive science of human nature,
and he concluded that humans are creatures more of sensitive and
practical sentiment than of reason. He characterizes moral goodness in
terms of “feelings” of approval or disapproval that people have when
they consider human behavior in the light of agreeable or disagreeable
consequences, either to themselves or to others. Hume was not the first
philosopher to grapple with the interaction of affect and reason, as had
philosophers from Aristotle to Spinoza. So philosophy it may be said has
always been aware of the mutual influences of affect and reason, but the
lawfulness of affect, contrary to reason, could not be easily deduced, as it
was dependent upon not logical but analogical events instantiated in the
workings of the human brain that were beyond one’s vision. Like the
errant motions of the planets as they zigzagged in their courses to an
unaided eye, there is no rhyme or reason to affect, and when it is
lawfulness was deduced, it was replete with metaphorical epicycles, and
we have a flowering of philosophies that only agree in their
disagreement.
Embodiment means the deconstruction of reason as being not just
computation or thought, but how affect changes and is changed by
thought. But deconstruction requires depth, or an ability to see a mental
universe of epicycles up close. But does this cast philosophy out into the
cold as irrelevant because of a paucity of questions answered? Quite the
contrary, as philosophy is relevant because it enables an abundance of
questions to be asked. The reason why philosophers and philosophies are
important, regardless of their practical implications, is that they point to
unresolved mysteries whose explanations, given a lack of depth, are
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Humanistic Psychology
Becoming soon!
“Humanistic psychology is a holistic approach in psychology that focuses on the
whole person. Humanists believe that a person is ‘in the process of becoming’,
which places the conscious human experience as the nucleus of psychological
establishment. Humanistic psychology was developed to address the deficiencies
of psychoanalysis, psychodynamic theory, and behaviorism. The foundation for
this movement is understanding behavior by means of human experience.” 78
Ever since Galileo and his telescope rudely kicked mankind from the
literal center of the universe, humanity still remained in the eyes of many
in the virtual center of the universe, and remained the apple of God’s
eye, notwithstanding a forbidden apple or two that mankind still had to
pay for in suffering, and later to be hoped, redemption. Since then,
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science has not been kind to this perspective, and the successive impacts
of a mechanical universe and an evolving genome progressively
sequestered God into the realm of faith and mystery. Nature is at worst
cruel and at best indifferent, and to redeem human nature without an
appeal to a deus ex machina, or God intervening from the heavens,
perhaps a saving grace for mankind is that humans possessed after all a
core element in their psyche that when cultivated would redeem the race,
the existence of God notwithstanding.
This is the core element of ‘humanistic’ psychology, which is based on
the premise that individual human needs conform with the needs of the
race, not a racial subset of master race, or racism, but all of us, the genus
homo sapiens. To remedy the problem of humans continually fighting
over limited material resources with value distributed illiberally, the
essence of reward was redefined as a virtual event, that like an un-
accessed bank balance was ‘consumed’ by what it could buy, or its
meaning. Meaning, whether it is denominated in the virtual control of
individual, things, or just a place in the heavens with loved ones and a
loving God, is the apex of motivation. and ‘becoming’ represents the
multiple ways that meaning can be attained. In this way, virtual goods
may be infinitely coined, and are a measure of boundless worth, so
everyone can have their cake and virtually eat it too. The problem is, how
does this actually work and be made workable? A deep question
doubtless, made all the more difficult when humanists proudly assert
that an answer could be found despite being out of their depth.
Emergence
The neurophysiology of motivation would seem to be an odd place to
start to deduce the importance of meaning in the world. We are after all
more than the sum of our parts, and consciousness, feelings, and the arc
of behavioral tendencies that emerge from feelings are undeniable.
Emergence from more rudimentary principles imparts a different reality,
but the question is whether it imparts a different direction for our
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Behaviorism
A rose by any other data language ain’t quite the same.
If the world only moved in straight lines, the physics of the world, or at
least for the movement of physical things, would be quite simple, and
the resulting mechanical laws would be easy to derive and uniformly
accurate in their predictions. That this is not the case is due to the unseen
force of gravity, the influence of which needed to be systematically
described, even if not explained. The incorporation of gravity into the
calculus of the behavior of objects was the triumph of Isaac Newton’s
mathematical calculus, which has proven to be a bane to students, and a
boon to engineers and physicists.
When Newton’s landmark work the Principia was published, physicists
soon transitioned to the new mathematical data language that with great
precision described and predicted the courses of moving objects. The
ability to move to this new syntax precisely mapped to and predicted the
newly revealed courses of the worlds newly revealed by the telescope.
Still, the scholastics of Galileo’s time did not go lightly into the shade of
intellectual irrelevance, but it didn’t matter, as science being science, it
simply moved on with new procedures, new tools, new findings, and
new researchers, and stayed true to its principles if not its name, which
was then called natural philosophy and was now called physics.
Schools of thought are differentiated by their unique data languages,
experimental apparatus and procedures as well as the intellectual
camaraderie of other true believers. But for a specific subject matter, if
the epistemological principles or core principles of science, within group
design, first principles, testability, generality, parsimony, and depth can
be transferred without loss to different data languages, apparatus, and
procedures, then the new science would be in principle the same as that
school of thought, unless it bumps up against human nature. Indeed, it
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of Behavior, or JEAB, very little. D and P’s work and principles were
ignored, not out of malice or prejudice, but due to sheer practicality.
Changing the detail but not the rules of the game in effect changed the
name of the game, and rather than adjusting their procedures to
incorporate D and P’s reductionist perspective, the interest in that
perspective was simply reduced, in this case, to almost nothing.
This presents an important question. Is behaviorism defined by its
empiric principles or by its procedures and data language? In the former
case, it is subsumed under science, and in the latter it is cordoned off by
data language and procedures that are scarcely adequate to describe
behavior in all its facets.
So what was left for behaviorism? As its sheen of novelty waned, and its
procedures relegated to fringe issues in psychology such as autism and
problem behavior, its prospects seemed limited until its banner was
taken up by an unlikely source, linguistics.
an educated few who are already settled in with their careers and ‘vitae’.
The greater irony is that a ‘replacement’ discipline, or ‘contextual
behavioral science’, abandons all of the principles that make behaviorism
scientific. From its overly complex syntax, uncertain semantics, and lack
of parsimony, generality, and depth, this new behaviorism only shares
with its predecessor a passing resemblance in its data language and
pragmatism, and little else. Derived from Relational Frame Theory or
RFT, a theory of language that uses the data language of operant
conditioning to map transformation processes in language and
conceptualization, it was foundational to the creation of ‘acceptance and
commitment therapy’, or ACT, one of a panoply of psychotherapeutic
cures. The data language of operant conditioning changed from one that
conceived of empirically defined units to merely their linguistic analog,
or contingencies interacting not in reality, but virtually.79 In other words,
contingencies acted and were transformed linguistically, and with only
a presumptive correspondence to behavior change. Regardless of the
efficacy of the therapy, which from findings using between group
designs is on par with other psychotherapeutic interventions, thus
meriting its own prize, RFT and ACT fulfilled a ‘pragmatic truth
criterion’, or if it works, it must be true, but retained little else of the
behaviorist agenda. Transitioning from the methodological behaviorist’s
model of simple syntax, rigorous semantics, within group design but no
depth to a new paradigm with complex syntax, uncertain semantics,
between group designs, and still, no depth, RFT and ACT have defined
themselves not just out of science, but even out of the most conservative
definition of behaviorism. Whereas a radical or biological behaviorism
isn’t a behaviorism, but yet is, a contextual behaviorism claims to be a
behaviorism, but isn’t. In other words, contextual behavioral science
adopted the metaphors of behaviorism, but not its principles.
Theology
Knowing the unknowable
“The easy confidence with which I know another man's religion is folly teaches
me to suspect that my own is also.” Mark Twain
Getting to the bottom of motivation does not get to the bottom of the
motivation of other intelligences beyond us. This is a non-empirical
assumption that can only be truly answered in death, a paradox of
existence since answers in science predicate that the one posing the
question of existence be alive. That is the theological position that
although we may physically give out, a higher intelligence has not given
up on us. These questions are unanswerable through any looking glass
even a Galileo can conceive. The truly unanswerable fact of existence is
that we have consciousness, an ‘emergent’ property that is still wholly
dependent upon its parts, like water being nowhere without two parts
hydrogen and one part oxygen.
We grant that consciousness may have reality, but does it have agency?
In other words, did my hormones or the devil make me do it? The more
behavior is attributed to traceable and physical causes, the less a role
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and upset when someone upsets an applecart. One may upset the apple
cart when pushed into it, or when one did not know it was an applecart,
or had some prejudice against apples. When you don’t know the
motivation, you may assume the latter, and the miscreant, however
innocent in actuality, will get his or her just desserts, in this life, or the
next.
If we were entirely logical creatures, then everything is normalized, with
nothing exceptional and nothing to take exception too. By eliminating
affect, good or evil have no effects, and are as unexceptional and
predictable as shooting stars. A more fitting perspective is that if is not
punished for one’s mistakes, then one must learn from them. And error
correction is important for errors in judgement from the large to the
small and if we haven’t learned in this life perhaps we would in its re-
virtualization, or after life.
Our material essence is always in transition, for the stuff we are made of
when as a child changes from one moment to the next and most certainly
so myriad times before we are adults. Nonetheless, the pattern of
existence remains the same, and is replicated from moment to moment,
even if these moments span the lifetimes of universes. This ‘pattern’
definition of life means that it is the abstract and not material properties
that give life agency, consciousness, and meaning, then a
superintelligence can resurrect us at will, and for some commentators,
may already have.80 81
Whether through super-intelligence that is man
made or super-intelligence that makes man, we seem sure that God is in
on the action, and that you can’t get away from your deeds in this life
without some corrective retribution. The problem comes when you can
get away from error correction, which can be quite hellish indeed.
Cognitive Science
Cogito, ergo sum
“Cognitive science is the interdisciplinary, scientific study of the mind and its
processes with input from linguistics, psychology, neuroscience, philosophy,
computer science/artificial intelligence, and anthropology. It examines the
nature, the tasks, and the functions of cognition (in a broad sense). Cognitive
scientists study intelligence and behavior, with a focus on how nervous systems
represent, process, and transform information. The typical analysis of cognitive
science spans many levels of organization, from learning and decision to logic
and planning, from neural circuitry to modular brain organization. One of the
fundamental concepts of cognitive science is that "thinking can best be
understood in terms of representational structures in the mind and
computational procedures that operate on those structures." -Wikipedia
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“It seems natural to assume that the mind could be studied in terms of its
cognitive functions, ignoring any ways in which those functions arise from the
body and brain. The mind, from this “fundamentalist” perspective, was seen
metaphorically as a kind of abstract computer program that could be run on any
appropriate hardware. A consequence of the metaphor was that the hardware, or
rather ‘wetware’, was seen as determining nothing at all about the nature of the
program. That is, the peculiarities of the body and brain contributed nothing to
the nature of human concepts and reason. This was philosophy without flesh.
There was no body in this conception of mind.” George Lakoff and Mark
Johnson82
purpose in the moment. As we shall argue in part three of this book, this
allure of uncertain boons to existence is instantiated in simple neural
processes that point to a solution to the teleological question by
eliminating the need for teleological ends as well. But to begin to
understand this, we must understand why brains, to be effective, need
bodies.
Affective Neuroscience
Theories of Cannonballs
Looking at things up close reveals their parts, but not necessarily how
they work together and in relationship to other objects in their
conceptual space, whether that space be in the human brain or in a
cosmos pondered by that brain. When Galileo revealed the physical
nature of the solar system and charted its movements, he dispelled the
physical basis of the Ptolemaic system but did not address its operational
basis, or how it worked. Although the planets and sun were obviously
not affixed to a rotating crystal sphere, they still rotated, and since objects
once set in motion should shoot straight, adding in an inherent
curvature forced Galileo to recognize metaphorically and literally the
gravity of the situation, and for Isaac Newton to finally solve it, but not
explain it. Newtonian mechanics recognized the importance of mass and
velocity, but it also recognized the ever-present constant of gravity in its
predictions. Newton did not explain what gravity was, remarking with
his comment ‘hypothesis non fingo’, or I make no hypothesis. It was left
to Einstein to reveal that gravity represented the curvature of space that
was imparted by the mass of any object, and was a constant and
pervading influence on all the celestial objects in the universe.
When we consider the neurologic processes that guide behavior, the
analogy is similar. Looking closely at the brain ‘in action’, cognitive
neuroscience identifies the neural processes behind memory, perception,
sensation, and cognition and how they respond separately and in concert
to information from simple perceptions to complex thoughts. The
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Cognitive Linguistics
Mind your language!
“The word embodied refers to the dual valence of the notion of body: embodiment
is a combination of a physical structure (the biological body) and an experiential
structure, which corresponds to the living, moving, suffering, and enjoying
body. From here it is possible to arrive at the dual acceptation of embodied
cognition, which refers, on the one hand, to the grounding of cognitive processes
in the brain’s neuroanatomical substratum, and on the other, to the derivation
of cognitive processes from our organism’s sensorimotor experiences.”86
In the first part of this book, we emphasized the importance of the ever-
increasing resolving powers of observation that are key to the advance
of science, or explanatory ‘depth’. Thus the symptomology of disease as
reported as subjective feelings is informed by a more fined grained or
‘reductionist’ observation and its accompanying metaphors of agents of
disease such as bacteria and viruses. In this way, the biological sciences
are ‘empirically responsible’ as they do not stop with surface
observations but integrate their primary observations with lower-level
observations and their descriptive metaphors that fit the needs of the
audience, complex for microbiologists and simple for common people.
The biological and physical sciences are, as we have illustrated,
empirically responsible because they embrace observational depth.
Depth however is generally ignored for the great majority of schools of
thought in the social sciences, and because of this abandonment of
scientific first principles, these are easy to criticize and even dismiss even
prior to a consideration of their ideological commitments. In other words,
the conclusions of any manner of thinking from behavioristic to
theological are moot if all we see is on the surface with the abandonment
of any desire to look closer.
The importance of explanatory depth is why cognitive science, and all
the social sciences, need not an alteration, but a second generation which
is empirically responsible, or in other words, adopts the epistemology of
science. However, this position is not original, and finds its genesis in the
field of cognitive linguistics. Linguistics is the study of language, and
how we construct language and use it to communicate and understand
our worlds. However, language is not just effective, but affective, and
recruits our unique physiology or somatosensory systems to use
conceptual metaphor as a verbal scaffolding to construct viable
explanations. From the literary metaphors of Shakespeare to Einstein’s
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Part 3
Foundations of
Motivation
151
Chapter 6
Incentive Motivation, with Effect
Brains tend to optimize on the basis of what they already have, to add only what
is necessary. Over the course of evolution, newer parts of the brain have built
on, take input from, and used older parts of the brain. Is it really plausible that
the brain would build a whole new system to duplicate what it could use
already? It is only from a conservative philosophical position that one would
want to believe in the old faculty psychology—in the idea that the human mind
has nothing about it that animals share, that reason has nothing about it that
smells of the body.” 90 George Lakoff and Mark Johnson
equal- of all stimuli occurring immediately before the discrepancy and all those
responses occurring immediately before and after the same time of the elicited
response. Selection by reinforcement does not require the actual occurrence of
overt behavior, but merely the activity of the neural systems that produce it.
The principle of reinforcement makes no fundamental distinction between the
selection process in the classical and operant procedure. For that reason, it has
been called a unified principle of reinforcement…From the perspective of a
unified reinforcement principle, classical and operant conditioning are not
two different ‘kinds’ of learning, but two procedures that differ with respect to
the environmental and behavioral events that are reliably present when selection
occurs.”93 94
As Guerra and Silva noted, “Behavioral discrepancy appears to offer a
parsimonious principle that serves both classical and operant conditioning.
Among the wide range of responses and stimuli occurring in a time continuum,
the US (unconditioned stimulus) is not preceded either by stimuli or responses,
but it is always preceded by both. As a result, the US-produced discrepancy
selects its better correlated precedent events (i.e., environmental events in the
case of classical conditioning and behavioral events in the case of operant
conditioning). When stimuli reliably precede the US, classical conditioning is
in effect. When responses reliably precede the US, operant conditioning occurs.
In this latter case, the discriminative stimulus is also selected because of its
regular presence when discrepancy occurs.” 95
Donahoe and Palmer’s discrepancy theory of reinforcement added a
cognitive or relational attribute to behavior. Reinforcement was simply
the locus between an environmental present and its future transition. In
other words, what is learned or selected in reinforcement is an
“environment-behavior relationship, not a response alone.” This relationship
is a conceptual or emergent property of a constellation of molecular
relationships between past networks of stimuli and their potential future
states.
Described analogically, this is akin to looking at two successive frames
of a racehorse in motion. In one frame is the horse and all the stimuli,
from the background fence and structures to its rider to the lay of the
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ground, and in the next are the aggregate of changes to all of these
stimuli that the horse perceives. ‘Reinforcement’ is the moment-to-
moment change or transition from one aggregate of stimulus events or
environmental frame to another. If we change our focus from the horse
to the jockey, the new environmental frame also changes his perception
of branching possibilities of the future, namely the greater likelihood of
winning or losing the race and the branching outcomes from there.
Transitioning from one cognitive reality to another will garner attentive
arousal if it involves an unexpected or discrepant change from one
moment to another, and this ‘error correction’ from one reality to a new
one is mediated by the neuromodulator dopamine, a neurochemical
which increases the firing of arrays of neurons in the brain. Dopamine
modulates the ability of one neuron to activate another, or synaptic
efficiency. Per Donahoe and Palmer, dopamine can modulate the activity
produced by glutamate, which is the major excitatory transmitter at synapses in
the cerebral cortex, including those in the frontal lobes to which VTA neurons
project. The long-lasting effect of dopamine on glutaminergic activity provides
a mechanism for alternating the effectiveness, or synaptic efficacy, with which
one neuron activates another… We propose the following mechanism for
reinforcement at the neural level. If a presynaptic neuron activates a
postsynaptic neuron and dopamine is released into the synapse immediately
thereafter, then the synaptic efficacy between the pre- and postsynaptic neuron
will increase. Once this has occurred, glutamate from the presynaptic neuron
will more readily activate the post synaptic neuron whether or not dopamine is
present in the synapse.”96
The neuromodulator dopamine is produced in various neuronal
groupings in the brain such as the ventral tegmental area substantia
nigra, ventral tegmental area, and hypothalamus of the brain and is
projected to various areas of the brain governing cognition (pre-frontal
cortex), motor activities (basal ganglia), and sensations of arousal
(nucleus-accumbens). Dopamine is multi-functional and is responsible
for expediting locomotion, memory, attention, and for our purposes,
motivation. Dopamine is continually or ‘tonically’ produced in the brain,
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Skinnerian Creatures
Popperian Creatures
163
you can simply add a few epicycles such as intrinsic drives, needs, and
motives that can interoperate and more often, conflict with extrinsic
Skinnerian motivators. This results in the postulation of two
motivational processes of extrinsic and intrinsic motivation, both of
which are derived from inferred non-empirical motivational processes
ungrounded to a neural explanation of behavior. In contrast to this, bio-
behavioral explanations of reward dismiss any process level distinctions
between extrinsic and intrinsic rewards, or more to the point, hold that
all incentive or ‘approach’ motivation is virtually or cognitively realized,
and that all behavior is guided by ‘intrinsic’ events (i.e. act-outcome
discrepancies) that occur presently or as ‘extrinsic’ act-outcome
discrepancies or probabilities that represent projected future outcomes.
In other words, act-outcome discrepancies can occur in the moment and
subsequently or concurrently as extensible or projected virtual events,
with the former metaphorically described as ‘intrinsic’ and the latter as
‘extrinsic’. So a player in a football game may perceive the in the moment
discrepancy of successful play and the virtualized increased future
likelihood of winning the game. Moreover, bio-behavioral explanations
of incentive deny that syntactic level distinctions between types of
intrinsically motivated states (e.g. autonomy, mastery, and purpose)
reflect separate semantic or process level distinctions, just as walking,
jumping and running do not represent separate processes but different
ways processes may be displayed. In other words, all incentive
motivation emerges from simple and unitary neurophysiologic
processes reflecting base sensitivities to positive or negative discrepant
or novel outcomes rather than an abundance of complex inferred
motives or need or ‘drive’ states. As we shall see in the next chapter, the
abandonment of the Skinnerian model for its Popperian alternative
eliminates these inconsistencies, and provides a much simpler, testable,
and empirical explanation for behavior and for its prediction and control,
and it does this by adding an element to behavior characteristic of
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7
Put in other words, for any overt or covert behavior we perform at any time
we perceive a changing series of discriminative stimuli that have branching
probabilities, a Bayesian network of possibilities, each with a weighting of
likelihood and implication. These stimuli may be intrinsic to the task, as in
playing a game, or extrinsic to the task, as in the uncertain and positive
implications of winning a game as symbolized by trophies or monetary rewards.
However, the metaphor of intrinsic/extrinsic rewards is an inaccurate
representation of motivation, as discrepancies are neither inside nor outside
an individual, but represent virtualized immediate and future outcomes to
moment-to-moment behavior that may be mediated by covert (sense of
accomplishment) or overt (monetary reward) events. These may be segregated
in time, but perceived as a united or holistic experience, but they are not
representative of different kinds of processes.
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Chapter 7
Incentive Motivation, With Affect
Dopamine does not cause pleasure, but interacts with opioid systems
that do.
Towards the end of the 20th century, the common view was that
dopamine release mediates attention but also pleasure. Beginning with
the work of the affective neuroscientist Kent Berridge,99 dopamine does
168
not cause pleasure at all, and indeed, if dopamine neurons are destroyed
or ‘knocked out’ in laboratory mice, the animals still eat food unabatedly
as before, but do not display the motivation to approach food, which is
mediated by dopamine activity.
Whereas dopamine induces a feeling of attentive arousal, it does not
cause pleasure. That responsibility falls to opioid systems, which are
embodied by clusters of neurons or ‘nuclei’ that are adjacent to
dopamine neurons as ‘hot spots’ in the midbrain. No larger than the nub
of an eraser on a pencil, these hot spots are responsible for affective states
of arousal and pleasure, and interact in unique ways that are reflected
subjectively as unique affective states or feelings.
Although dopamine systems do not interfere with opioid systems, they
can mutually signal or activate each other. The pleasures of life, from
food100 to rest,101,102 are mediated by the activation of these opioid nuclei
in the brain, whereas a feeling of alertness or arousal (but not pleasure)
is mediated by dopaminergic nuclei that are activated by the experience
or anticipation of novel or unexpected events that have positive
outcomes, and scale with the importance or salience of those events.103
As noted, opioid and dopaminergic neurons are located in adjacent
locations in the midbrain, and opioids have an excitatory effect on
dopamine systems and vice versa.104 105,106,107,108,109 110
Thus, not only do
opioids increase dopamine levels; but opioid activity is enhanced due to
dopamine activation, as also attested by self-reports of greater food
palatability or pleasure under conditions of positive uncertainty 111, or
feelings of arousal and pleasure when pursuing novel goals (e.g.
creativity, sporting activity) while in a pleasurable relaxed state, or so
called ‘flow’ or peak experiences.
is that it adjusts the strength of synaptic connections between neurons. The most
straightforward version of this hypothesis is that dopamine controls synaptic
plasticity according to a modified Hebbian rule that can be roughly stated as
“neurons that fire together wire together, as long as they get a burst of
dopamine”. In other words, if cell A activates cell B, and cell B causes a
behavioral action which results in a reward, then dopamine would be released
and the A→B connection would be reinforced.”
8
The correlation between choice and tension is a non-remarkable fact,
however its explanation is not so apparent, and depends upon the model of
motivation that one uses. The prevailing model, which coheres to discrepancy
theories of motivation, was originally proposed by the psychologists John
Dollard and Neal Miller in the 1950’s. Their Dollard-Miller theory of anxiety
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Still, if rational choices were the only means humans make decisions,
then humanity would be as cool in its decision making as Vulcans from
Star Trek. However, daily choices are also moderated by affective events
that are continuous aspects of our lives, and these can make not only for
fast decisions, but indeterminate ones, or dilemmas.
As we have noted, dopaminergic activity adds value or utility to
moment-to-moment behavior. This utility in the moment, or decision
utility, may be coherent or incoherent with long term rational goals or
expected utility. For example, the arousing prospect of accessing email,
eating a dessert, or watching TV provide ‘temptations’ that are
affectively but not logically valuable, and their rational alternative of
keeping to one’s work, diet, or household chores can result in continuous
choice-choice dilemmas, or cognitive perseveration, which results in
continuing tension or stress, an affective state that is wholly distinctive
from our response to actual threats to our wellbeing, or fear.121 This
definition of stress is represented by the ‘perseverative cognition
hypothesis’,122 that holds that cognitive perseveration is the main
constituent of stress.9
99
Per Wikipedia, the 'perseverative cognition hypothesis' holds that stressful
events cannot affect people's health, unless they think repetitively or
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Pleasure
During the middle of the last century, airplanes flying over a non-
descript countryside or the expanses of an ocean, knowing which way to
head and to turn needed some obvious calculation. The simplest and
most foolproof way was to simply follow a radio homing beacon, and as
the signal of the beacon increased, you knew you were on the right track,
and if it faded, you knew that you were off course. For human beings
who also have to navigate using difficult and uncertain rules, the
principle is the same, and an affective beacon makes finding your way
Habits
From a logical point of view, decisions are the result of conscious or non-
conscious calculations, but this is at root an irrational premise, as the
calculus of decision making, if followed rationally, would be as complex
as an actual mathematical calculus, as we would have to consider every
alternative that was equally useful. Even in our evolved state, we have
neither the wits nor intelligence to follow this computational scheme. To
minimize the need for constant figuring, nature has figured out a way
that at once simplifies decision making and yet to many of us, confounds
it. Because we can’t keep track of all meaningful correlations, we non-
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neglected and disputed, was that thought and behavior were embodied,
and always were mirrored in subjective indices of sensation and affect
that could be objectively ascertained. This two-sided coin of experience
was acknowledged by Wundt, but only the subjective side of the coin
could reveal itself to precise observation, and that is what he pursued.
“According to Wundt, physics studies the objects of the external world: while
this investigation is necessarily mediated by experience, physics is still not the
study of experience itself. Psychology, in contrast, is the study of conscious
experiences as experience. It must be approached through internal observation,
through introspection. While all individuals have such experiences, not all are
necessarily qualified as expert witnesses to the nature of their experience. Thus
Wundt embraced the method of introspection--a method whereby one attends
carefully to one’s own sensations and reports them as objectively as possible.
Such objectivity here means that one describes the sensations felt, rather than
the stimulus giving rise to them; and that one reports thoughts (or images)
without reference to their meaning ore context of presentation.” 125
“Wundt came to think of experience as composed of simple basic elements-raw
sensory content devoid of any meaning, and all conscious thoughts were
accordingly assumed to be combinations of these sensations which can be
analyzed in terms of quality, mode, duration, intensity and the like….Wundt’s
psychology emerges as a kind of mental chemistry, focused primarily on the
discovery of the pure elements of experience, through whose combination
complexes of mental activity come to be formed”126
“The main substantive axiom of postulates that human emotions result from the
fusion of a characteristic 'mixture' of six basic forms of feeling: Pleasure,
displeasure, excitement, tranquility, tension, and relaxation. A second axiom
holds that the basic feeling types are organized into three bipolar dimensions,
and the third axiom claims that the basic feelings experienced toward complex
objects are a fusion of the corresponding basic feelings directed at the
components of the complex objects.”127
Wundt’s theory was not a theory of emotion because it was merely a
taxonomy for reliably reported phenomenological states or ‘feelings’,
and as such made no testable predictions, and it could not be a theory of
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emotion because Wundt, like his predecessor Brahe, had not the
observational tools to see the essence of creation. So, like Tycho Brahe’s
star chart, Wundt provided instead a precise measurement of the ‘qualia’
of experience without determining the material constituents of
experience, and was as ignorant of the neuroscience of experience as
Tycho’s was of the physics of a star.
Like Brahe, Wundt certainly knew that behavior, like the stars and
planets, did move. So, as Wundt observed, “Feeling passes over into
impulse, impulse into voluntary action, and voluntary action has reference to
objects which are given to us as ideas.” However, though possessing
objective data of how feelings are like, like Tycho Brahe, Wundt could
not provide an adequate explanation as how feelings translate into
impulse and then to voluntary action and future motivation.
Wundt was interested in the continuous elements of affect and their
individual variances, and did not consider intermittent affective states
that were functions of equally intermittent and infrequent
circumstances, such as hunger, fear, anger, lust, etc. Wundt’s subjects
revealed three subjective measures of affect that are analogous to the
three primary colors of red, green, and blue, all the spectra of emotion
can be seen to emerge. Wundt found from his subjective measures of
pleasure/pain, arousal/depression, and tension/relaxation.128 The third
measure of affect, or tension/relaxation, also represented a different
qualitative aspect of pleasure and pain, as tension is painful and
relaxation is pleasurable. The permutations of these two qualitative
aspects of pleasure and pain and the additional aspect of arousal and
depression could be mapped to a circular gradient, and provide a new
perspective on emotion that as we shall see not only simplified the
concept but provides operational distinctions that can be subject to test.
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Emotion
I've looked at clouds from both sides now
From up and down and still somehow
It's cloud illusions I recall
I really don't know clouds at all
-song by Joni Mitchell
How do you define a sunny day? It depends. It’s all in the gradient,
perhaps like a wheel. A weather wheel, like the one below, is a taxonomy
of the types of weather one can experience, with one type of weather
morphing into another type as one progresses along its circumference.
The wheel does not tell you what the weather is composed of, nor does
it tell you what causes it. However, we know of course that snow is not
made of different stuff than rain, and that clouds aren’t illusions if I
recall. We also know the atmospheric conditions that cause weather, and
what in turn causes atmospheric turbulence or calm. A weather wheel is
not a dynamic model because you do not account for the variables that
cause weather nor for the variables that are weather. All you know from
the wheel is a metaphoric description as how weather looks like and
feels.
The daily weather and how it looks and feels is an emergent feature of the
lawfulness of nature, in this case the atmospheric changes due to solar
radiation and its effect on wind patterns, evaporation, cloud formation,
precipitation, and more. In other words, weather is simply a reflection of
how dynamic physical processes look and feel.
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An Affective Circumplex
When we look at the many different gradients of how people ‘feel’, and
given a cognitive or situational concept, the emotions they experience, a
similar affective wheel can also be derived. This affective ‘circumplex’
can map any affective state as a permutation of the various degrees of
sensory states ranging from depressing and painful events to arousing
and pleasurable events. This Barrett-Russell model of affect129 maps
affect to the combinatorial result of two gradients of affect,
pleasant/unpleasantness and high/low activation or arousal. As
proposed by the authors, this model can easily correspond to gradations
of attentive arousal that are mapped to the activity of dopamine systems.
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A Behavioral Circumplex
The Russell-Barrett model graphically restated Wundt’s proposal by
mapping gradients of arousal (activation/de-activation) and hedonic
(pain/pleasure) states. But as descriptive models, both had no depth,10
and did not refer to the neuro-physiological correlates of these affective
states, nor did they detail the abstract patterns of information that
elicited them.130 Informed by a neuro-physiologically grounded theory
of incentive motivation, we will attempt to do just that, and provide not
just a descriptive but a predictive account of emotions that meets the
criteria of explanation, a rigorous syntax and semantics to its ability to
provide testable predictions.
The cognitive representations of our day-to-day activities primarily
involve decision making between multiple exclusive alternatives under
varying degrees of uncertainty. These ‘core appraisals’ represent moment
to moment changes in the abstract (uncertainty) and functional
properties (utility) of environmental contingencies that are consciously
or non-consciously perceived. Parallel somatic (tension and autonomic
arousal), pleasurable (opioid release due to relaxation) and activating or
‘energizing’ (enhanced activity of dopamine neurons) events strongly
correlate with specific permutations of these core appraisals, and are
‘painful’ or ‘pleasurable’ in nature. These changes alter the importance
or salience of a momentary response option and as an additive function
create emergent emotional states.
10 It must be remarked that Russell and Barrett did suggest candidates for the
neuro-physiologic components of emotion, such as the activation of midbrain
dopamine systems, however its components were not mapped systematically
in their graphical model nor was their model altered to reflect them.
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As defined:
Contrast reflects the comparative value of two alternative means-end
expectancies or response contingencies.
Discrepancy reflects moment to moment unexpected variances in the
immediate predicted outcome of a behavior.
Predicted Utility reflects the value of a moment-to-moment response as
determined by long term hedonic (e.g. food, sex, etc.) or rational value
(e.g. monetary reward).
Incentive salience reflects the relative importance of moment to moment
responding under a response contingency due to the utility of a response
and to affective responses elicited by concurrently perceived
discrepancy.
(6)
Anxiety elation
(5)
(2) (1)
(4)
boredom relaxation
(3)
To get one’s head around a problem, as well as one’s arms, problems and
their solutions are best compartmentalized. The real problem comes
when their explanations are compartmentalized, and this is when we
encounter the problem of eclecticism, where a specific issue, event, or
object is explained, but its supporting or supervening physical systems
are not, and are relegated to sheer conjecture or inference that varies with
whoever is addressing the problem, or are just ignored altogether. This
is, as we shall note, not an issue for the physical and biological sciences,
but is a debilitating one for the social sciences.
Eclecticism, or the fragmentation of knowledge, is the opposite of
consilience, or the unity of knowledge. Coined by the naturalist E.O.
Wilson, consilience is the convergence of knowledge from separate
procedural approaches that each confirm a process independently, but
also when integrated can explain that process systematically. The former
makes adequate predictions, whereas the latter makes adequate
explanations, and can broadly extend its predictive power, and often in
unexpected ways.
For example, consider a physical machine like an automobile. It is
composed of major interactive mechanical systems such as an engine,
transmission, electrical system, and suspension. Each of these systems in
turn can be decomposed into subsystems such as pistons, alternators,
interactive touch screens, and tires. A mechanic can recalibrate a
dashboard display, but also know that this subsystem is dependent
upon a ready source of power provided by a running engine, alternator,
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Chapter 8
Motivation, Tried and True
The Usual Prospects
Although a biologically informed explanation of incentive motivation, at
least for animals, is uniform and consistent, its value as explanation is
dependent upon its fruitfulness, or the practical procedures that not only
validate it, but that can also be incorporated into our ordinary lives. In
other words, to win an argument you must apply or test that argument.
That is, a hypothesis can only be validated if its predictions are testable,
and better still if that test is of practical value. This is the case for all the
best theories in the biological and physical sciences, which not only
suggest testable procedures, but also procedures that are important to
master the biological and physical world as well as continually validate
the theory itself. Sometimes the procedures are entirely new, but more
often good theories help adjust the procedures we already have, thus
making them more consistent, efficient, and useful. For example,
following rule of thumb or heuristic rules in the aiming of a cannon can
get the cannonball generally where you want it to go, but applying
Newtonian principles through ballistics gets the cannonball precisely
where you want it to go. And as we shall see, we generally know how to
generally motivate ourselves to get to where we want to go, and it is not
so much the precision but the passion that counts.
As we noted, the psychological principles that govern our lives are
derived from the robust correlations of everyday life, and as folk
psychology not only inform our lives but inform the theories
psychologists construct to explain our lives. Nonetheless, to explain
motivation through folk psychology or through motivational theories
that are equally uninformed by the neuroscience of motivation is
ultimately as valuable as chicken soup, equally valuable to the aching
body and aching soul, yet missing the explanation that can truly reveal
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the source of our emotional aches and their prevention and cure. Still,
common sense has a logic of its own, and self-guidance or self-control
can be distilled to simple and straightforward principles that guide a life
according to reason, which is as we shall see, are not reason enough.
Effective Self-control
Contingency Mapping (Perceiving contingencies)
Perceiving acts and outcomes or more formally, schedules of
reinforcement or reward can be very clear, as in knowing how many
miles to drive to get to the store or when the next eclipse will be. They
can also be very unclear, as knowing what store to go to for the best
product or bargain, or where is the best place to catch a fish. The facts of
existence are not debatable, as we know the sun shines, the moon rises,
and the earth turns. Just walking outside is a reliable source about the
world, and we don’t need to rely upon others to determine if it is a
cloudy day. However, for other personal relationships, we are not so
sure, and the contingencies of existence are dependent upon reliable
sources that we in fact choose. These sources may be deemed reliable
because they have been vouched for by others or from our own personal
experience, or because of a good advertising campaign that vouches for
them. We may listen to them or act upon their advice, or be ‘inspired’ by
them because they describe a discriminative outcome of our behavior
that is rewarding, from a place in a winner’s circle to a place in heaven.
Of course, reality always intervenes, or in the case of religious
contingencies, non-reality or death, and we either change our course or
double down on bad advice as a matter of course. But oftentimes, to fix
our predictions for our own behavior, we have to fix the consequences,
and here we have contracts that are formal or informal.
behave and bad consequences if you don’t. Like new years resolutions,
but with an enforceable penalty box if your behavior strays, contingency
contracts are necessary not just for personal motivation, but survival.
Social, professional, personal, and even religious obligations channel our
behavioral tendencies by making sure that the results of behavior are
tended to. Contingency contracts are the fabric of all human institutions,
from the familial and political to the religious and the economic, but even
when we make choices that are enforced by agreed upon consequences,
the quality of our behavior: its rate, intensity, and constancy of direction
is still not assured. Here we have to look for another reason that is not
besides ourselves, but in ourselves.
use our brains productively 10% of the time. Our realization that our
motivation falls way short of what we are capable of attaining is the true
problem with motivation, as we put the logical pedal down on our desire
but end up puttering forwarsd intermittently, disinterested and easily
distracted. In other words, the secret to motivation is not reinforcing
behavior but cultivating the passion for not just accomplishment, but to
scale the uncertain heights of accomplishment. This entails revising what
we think the essence of motivation is. We tend to think of motivation as
an impelling force metaphorically derived that must always be fixed,
altered, remedied, fortified, of allowed to take its course, but an
argument may be made that that it’s not the outcome or how straight and
narrow its course, but how it winds, or how it twists and turns. To this
effect, we must scale the heights of motivation by scaling affect, and this
is done by changing events in the moment and how to project them into
the future.
Affective Self-control
Affective Timing (Increasing short term incentive salience)
One of the most exciting facts of existence is that we love to view the
exciting fantasies of existence. And surprisingly, our fantasies are not
just to see our heroes succeed, but to revel in the fact they are succeeding
at the last moment, in this case just in time to save the damsel in distress,
or defuse the bomb with but a second to spare. And we often extend this
same excitement to the more prosaic facts of existence, as catching the
bus just in time can command the same rapt attention as a movie hero
disarming a bomb in the nick of time.
Although we cannot adjust the components of the contingencies of
existence, we can adjust their timing, and make sure that getting from A
to B can get us going by being touch and go, are in other words, by being
positively uncertain. This is difficult to manage in our daily lives as our
acts and outcomes are fairly predictable if we are in our control in the
moment, until they are nearly out of our control, often because we decide
so. It is then that our success becomes less predictable, a novel turn of
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events that increases focus and thus arousal. So to be focused and alert,
we simply procrastinate, and make life more exciting. Procrastination is
increasing moment to moment response discrepancy and positive
arousal through response delay, when attaining a goal remains likely but
increasingly uncertain. Procrastination is misunderstood as being an
impediment to motivation when it is in fact a key to being motivated, as
logical ends are subordinated to affective ends, and sometimes nearly
falling off a precipice to one’s death is preferable to the more lingering
death of boredom. Overall, procrastination increases the short-term
affective importance or salience of behavior, which diminishes once
behavior become predictable again, until the next day when we have to
rush to catch the bus with but a minute to spare.
Finally, besides procrastination, short term salience can also be increased
by engaging in behaviors that have variability in present or moment to
moment outcomes. Unless we have a job of copying phone book
numbers or any similar routine predictable tasks for a living, enough
variety occurs to spice up our lives and make life bearable. In addition,
highly variable schedules or reinforcement or reward can cause high and
rapid moment to moment discrepancy, and ‘gamifying’ a task means to
make moment to moment performance uncertain in its immediate
outcome, and is exemplified in games and in gambling when we have
active control over outcomes, or behavior with passive control, such as
watching TV or reading novels. However, discrepancy or novelty laden
behaviors, although reinforcing, can have negative future entailments,
and as ‘wasting time’ can be a source of temporary arousal but future
malaise.
11
This observation was humorously underscored by the comedian Dick Van
Dyke, who in an episode of his sitcom was eating a cake while talking to his
wife. Finally recognizing that he was not attending to his dessert. He asked her.
“This is good, what is it?” Upon learning what he was eating, he exclaimed,
“Why didn’t you tell me what I was eating? I love this cake!”
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12
Procedure: Consistent and periodic alternation between a resting protocol
(e.g. mindfulness) and the pursuit of meaningful behavior will increase
motivation and positive affect (arousal and pleasure), and by making
meaningful ideation more emotionally salient, will crowd out thoughts leading
to anxiety and depression. This can also be denoted semantically by the
conjunction of an indifference to but not avoidance of negative ideation
(through the inhibition of discursive thought or ‘mind wandering’) in
mindfulness with an awareness or ‘commitment’ to meaningful behavior and
the values it represents, thus corresponding to ‘acceptance and commitment’
in psychotherapeutic procedure.
Explanation: Resting elicits opioid activity, or feels pleasurable, and meaningful
behavior, as defined as behavior that has branching novel and positive
outcomes (writing that great novel or just making the bed) elicits dopamine
activity which causes arousal. The awareness of subsequent meaningful
behavior while engaging in relaxation protocols such as mindfulness elicits a
‘priming’ response, namely dopamine release that increases opioid activity,
and vice versa, making meaningful behavior seem self-reinforcing or ‘autotelic’.
with cognition less likely to transition to perseverative thought (worry, regret,
distraction). Although mindfulness reduces discursive thought or mind
wandering that can lead to negative ideation; it does not inhibit concurrent
non-conscious awareness or anticipation of behavior or events subsequent to
meditation that can in turn shape or ‘prime’ affective responses during a
meditative session. A priming response, like the salivary response that
precedes food or the sexual arousal that precedes intimacy, is a preparatory
response that often occurs non-consciously, and changes the affective value or
‘feeling’ in the moment. Similarly, relaxing due to ‘being in the moment’ is
pleasurable, but if we were told to expect ‘bad’ news or ‘good’ news in the near
future, just the awareness of future events is enough to depress or elevate our
feelings, but not altering in the slightest our ‘mindful’ or relaxed state. It follows
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Chapter 9
The Meanings of Life
Turning on a Dime
We can learn to read, but not to write books, learn to read music, but not
to compose music, learn to obey, but not to lead people. Whether it be
cleaning house, cooking well, learning a trade or skill, and all of the
prosaic and commonplace acts of life, we do just enough, and more often
not enough. In other words, we do not obsess unless we find ourselves
in a life of excess, or addictions like gambling, food, drink, or drugs that
compel us because they are stimulating and little more. Life is too often
bereft of passion, but as we will note, this is easily remedied with a bit of
wisdom, and shows that even the most sluggish of us can turn their
behavior on a dime.
Consider the simple act of working for a dime. The work could be long
or short, variable or fixed, and the discrepancy from moment to moment
would be high if the work involved pulling a slot machine lever, and low
if it involved copying phone book numbers. Needless to say, there is not
much you would do for a dime, and nothing to look forward to if you
earn it, unless a simple dime can be a lever that moves worlds. If the
dime increases your likelihood of earning two dimes on a later time,
perhaps gifted to you by someone, perhaps the result of your next
performance, and from there the likelihood of a cascade of dimes
increases slightly, perhaps off in the future, but perceptible nonetheless.
Your awareness of the perceptible changes that can cascade into the
future because of your behavior, some in the near term, some far away
will increase the incentive salience or affective tone of each behavior you
make, one thin dime at a time. Your behavior is ‘reinforced’ through an
awareness of the conceptual changes in your future income, and this
network of salient positive change and compounding affective tone or
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Salience Networks
“Hold the line! Stay with me! If you find yourself alone, riding in the green
fields with the sun on your face, do not be troubled. For you are in Elysium
[Heaven], and you’re already dead! Brothers, what we do in life… echoes in
eternity.” –Roman General Maximus motivating the cavalry in the movie
‘Gladiator’
Salient events, whether they are marked by extrinsic markers (a trophy)
or intrinsic markers (making progress in a task) have extensible effects, or
have novel positive connotations that are ever branching and are
continuously renewed upon reflection. These events also have
dependencies, or other classes of events that need to be accomplished or
secured for them to happen. These dependencies have salience or
importance that is cumulative that is signaled by cumulative positive
affect, and even a few echoes of behavior can have long lasting meaning,
and feeling. We are aware of these changes as we accumulate the slim
markers of progress, like an athlete making a base hit in a game or a
musician affixing a note on a score recalculates the future that increase
the likelihood, ever so slightly, of making the majors or having a major
hit on Broadway. So how can we take such an abstract concept and
demonstrate how salient networks can generate obsession, grandiosity,
and a bit of madness? Perhaps we can recount a good day in the life of
the most grandiose madman of all.
in Paris. He consults his staff in his command tent, issues orders to his
scattered commands and their commanding general, reviews the troops,
checks the weather (cold and foggy with a chance of rain), mounts his
horse, and from vantage on a hill top and from the dispatches of his
scouts, recognizes an enemy on the move. In this case it was the
combined armies of the Austrian and Russian empires, who lured into a
place of battle of his own choosing, were summarily destroyed near the
little town of Austerlitz in modern day Austria.
Self-Actualizing at Austerlitz
A grand day for many but not for most involved, and certainly the best
day for one in particular, Napoleon Bonaparte, now master of Europe.
One may say that the culmination of his victory was a moment of self-
actualization, of Napoleon being all he could be. However, to be driven
to obsession to succeed, to use every waking hour, including those stolen
for sleep, to scheme and plan requires unswerving focus and attention.
Napoleon was not so much guided by a will to power, narcissistic
personality, need for self-actualization, or even insecurity about his
height as much as the intoxicating and addicting allure of the prospect
of an unfolding and highly impactful skein of incentive. The affective
aspects of incentive, in other words, can go off the scales, and be
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Shaping Shakespeare
We often regard the geniuses of the past as miracles of heredity, and
products of their genes and less of their times. They are also rarities, and
entire epochs are often bylines for their existence, as what would the
Renaissance be without Michelangelo, Raphael, of DaVinci? Still, if we
regard the highpoints of human culture and accomplishment, they are
often confined to limited acreages and scant generations, as Periclean
Greece, Da Vinci’s Italy, and Shakespeare’s England did not encompass
nations as much as city states, each with populations indifferently
educated, superstitious, and poor. By any modern metric, all were failed
states, except for one lack of failure that was a redeeming attribute that
makes and redeems genius, incentive. Cultures can be vibrant, even in
their agonies, and the incentive to produce often has a capstone in the
incentive to create, and vault a society’s accomplishments and values for
all to see and hear.
As a mind experiment, this idea can be put to the test, though history
and not experiment validates it best. Consider this future, perhaps all too
real if genius replace dinosaurs as an object of replication. Due to the
miracle of cloning, a teacher has in her class the likes of Shakespeare,
Michelangelo, and Mozart. How does one shape the behavior of such a
charge to return them to the form of genius? A standard education has a
way, of sorts. Just let them sample their craft, and from the intrinsic
pleasure of writing, sculpting, and composing, ambition will be
sustained and talent will rise to the top, add a little extrinsic motivation,
judiciously applied by a teacher and an attentive parent, and voila, you
206
will unlock genius and set it on its way. Except nothing will happen, and
the three will more likely be plumbers helpers than paint a fresco for the
ceiling of a cathedral, compose a motet for it, or set a drama in it. In other
words, trifling motivation results in trifling accomplishment, no better
perhaps than no accomplishment at all.
If you want a bird of paradise to sing, you must recreate its own unique
paradise, as its motivation is not so much psychological as ecological.
And what was the psychological ecology of our trio of geniuses? It’s easy
to reimagine, for it is the stuff of history. Take Shakespeare and give him
an education in Latin, a dull and indifferent curricula, but a chance to act
in school plays, and later set up his own playhouse in town where
audiences clamored to be entertained, and where he could get a cut of
the proceeds, and write his own plays that were shaped to appeal to
audiences both crass and refined, poor and aristocratic. Similarly,
Michelangelo was apprenticed to an accomplished sculptor, and
received the patronage from the Medici family governing Florence, as
well as various nobility and the Pope. Mozart in turn was educated and
encouraged by his musician father, and from childhood was quick to
have his music demanded by aristocrats, clergy, kings, and common folk
alike. For any of these artists to command similar opportunities and
patronage, their talent would have to be incubated by similar salience
networks that strongly favored talent from genesis to maturity.
The salience networks that cultivated our three geniuses were generous
and widely shared in their perquisites, as dozens of other playwrights
competed for the audience’s ear during Shakespeare’s time, and the
Renaissance patronized many other artists besides Michelangelo, and
needless to say, even Mozart had to compete against a coterie of
musicians who each composed for the ear of aristocratic patrons and a
discerning and demanding audience.
Highly motivated individuals virtualize not individual but multiple
sources of positive discrepancy that are scalable in present and future
importance. Discrepancy may be signaled by variances in the novelty of
creation, or by variances signaled by an extrinsic reward. The timeliness,
207
Broken Networks
Human nature and the expression of human nature is dependent upon
incentive. This point is unquestioned; however the issue is how sensitive
individual initiative is to incentive, or even whether incentives are
necessary for accomplishment and satisfaction or happiness. From the
Marxist, socialist and even many prevailing psychological perspectives,
incentives are found in the behavior itself such as inner drives or needs
or through non-individualized ends such as the collective good, and
outside or extrinsic rewards are of marginal value, and may even harm
208
Chapter 10
Social Science Disciplined
Shadows in a Cave
In the Greek philosopher Plato’s allegory of the cave, the ever-renewing
conflict between the acceptance of appearances and the sometimes-
brutal truth of reality is made plain in an immortal illusion that is an
allusion to the scientific endeavor.
‘We are invited to imagine a group of people sitting in an underground cave,
facing the walls. They are chained up and they cannot move their heads. Behind
them, a fire is forever burning, and its flames cast shadows onto the cave walls.
Between the fire and the cave walls, there is a road, and people walk along this
road, carrying various objects: models of animals made of stone and wood,
human statuettes, and other things. The people who walk along the road, and
the objects they carry, cast shadows on the cave wall. he people who are chained
in the cave and facing the wall can only see the shadows of the people (and the
objects they carry): never the actual people and objects walking past behind
them. To the people chained up in the cave, these shadows appear to be reality,
because they don’t know any better. Reality, to these people chained in the cave,
is only ever a copy of a copy: the shadows of the original forms which themselves
remain beyond our view. But someone comes and unchains the people in the
cave. Now they’re free. Let’s say that one of them is set free and encouraged to
look towards the fire behind him and his fellow cave-dwellers. He can now see
that the things he took for reality until now were merely shadows on the wall.
But this knowledge isn’t, at first, a good thing. The revelation is almost
overwhelming. The light of the fire hurts his eyes, and when he is dragged up
the slope that leads out of the cave, and he sees the sun outside, and is
overwhelmed by its light.
In time, however, he comes to accept that the sun is the true source of light in
the world, the cause of the seasons and the annual cycle of things. And he would
come to feel sorry for those who remain behind in the cave and are content to
believe that the shadows on the cave wall are reality. Indeed, the people who
211
remain behind in the cave believe he wasted his time in going outside and simply
ruined his eyes for nothing. But the man who has been outside knows there is no
going back to his old beliefs: his perception of the world has changed forever…’135
Scientific inquiry to Plato was simply walking outside and seeing the
light. In other words, science starts and ends with an adequate
perspective of reality, which in myth was simply walking under the sun.
With reality, you can use its elements to factor predictions which can
affirm or dis-confirm that what you are seeing is true. A proper purview
of reality, whether it be in the stuff of the universe or the stuff which
makes for life, allows us to sees its many permutations, which in practical
guise allow us to construct spaceships and vaccines, and from there
make testable predictions about the world.
Folk science deals with appearances, or the shadows common folk see
projected on the cave walls, and the working hypotheses they make from
them that may prove generally accurate, but all too often, specifically
wrong. In contrast, science deals with reality, and in its history the
successive approximations to reality that with advancing
instrumentalities allow scientists to see, measure, and control our
worlds.
If you cannot see reality, you can infer your own, a game that can be
played by commoners, elites, and academics alike. Still, without a basis
in reality all sciences are still at root ‘folk’ sciences, and rely on the
correlations of shadows. This was certainly the case in medieval times,
when all inquiry followed folk ideals, as the biological and physical
sciences were derived from nature’s shadows. Presently, the discovery
of the realities behind nature’s veil has convinced even common folk to
abandon the inferred realities of the past, as we know the realities that
drive the common facts of life, from the flight of rockets to the source of
the common cold. However, for incentive motivation, there is no reality,
and folk ideologies and psychologies remain prevalent, with the
influence of academic psychology minimal to non-existent. So has
psychology and its offshoots in the social sciences collapsed? Certainly
its illusion of influence has. Appearances can take many guises, but
212
reality stands alone, as imposing and real as life and death. Yet humans
continue to use the general correlations of existence as the specifics
remain muddled in apprehension and uncertain in prospect. Consider as
an analogy of a cook without any metrics of heat, measure, or proportion.
An omelet requiring some eggs for a few minutes at a medium heat will
get you an omelet of sorts, but not a perfect one. Similarly, the
redistribution of the assets of a person or class of people is justified by
different measures of motivation and its predicted course, to have one
failing to strive with his wealth gone, or remain inspired as a pauper to
create for the common good to conform to the totalitarian ideal.
We know the general facts of motivation, it is the specifics that are
lacking, but not for a want of vision, and like Galileo’s lament to his
friend Kepler four hundred years ago bemoaning the reluctance of his
peers to look through his telescope, to know the specifics of reality grants
you the ability to move worlds and glimpse the hand of God.
If one would only look.
213
Postscript
When worlds collide: when
behaviorism and humanism become
one
Sometimes to get an idea right you just have to extend it a little, like a
rubber band. Small improvements can make for grand revolutions, and
by changing the shape of how something can turn, can turn minds as
well. That was Copernicus’ problem and for his reputation, a happy fate,
though he did not live to see how his idea of a heliocentric or sun
centered solar system needed to be a bit elastic in concept, both
figuratively and literally. As the reader may recall from an earlier
chapter, the Copernican model of the solar system had the planets circle
the sun in perfect circles, an imperfect fit one may add because the
resulting mechanics just didn’t work. So Copernicus gave the planets
Ptolemaic epicycles that had them do loop the loops in their courses to
make his celestial clockwork achieve predictive accuracy, like a runner
doubling back every now and then to arrive at a perfect four-minute
mile, give or take a second.
Using more accurate data of the observed courses of the planets, the
astronomer Johannes Kepler saw a better fit, and extended the
Copernican perfect circles to perfect ellipses. The data fit the model
perfectly, and were confirmed not only practically but in reality by
Galileo and his telescope.
Now consider another bright idea that needed a bit of extension to make
sense, and to fit the data better. A common-sense notion that seemed
confirmed in experiment and experience was that achieving a goal ‘fixed’
behavior to that goal, or reinforced it. This concept of reinforcement was
developed by Edward Thorndike in the 1920’s on experiments with cats,
and with B.F. Skinner with trials using pigeons and rats.
214
Reinforcement was discrete, molecular, and one did not have to look
beyond the fact of reinforcement and its correlation with the change in
rate, intensity, and shape of behavior. Though in this case feelings or
affective states were left out of the equation because the neural responses
that embodied them could not at the time be mapped to informative
contingencies. The Skinnerian model has proven to be incorrect, as
modern bio-behavioral models of reinforcement add a cognitive or
relational element to reinforcement, as reinforcement is now viewed as a
change in an environment-behavior relationship rather than a response
alone. Reinforcement occurs virtually and continually, just as an
individual marks his progress on a road trip from continual and varying
feedback while he drives, and not by extrinsic road markers alone. These
environment-behavior relationships are also extensible, and represent an
awareness of branching novel alternatives that change from moment to
moment. Additionally, branching possibilities shape behavior, as one
may change present behavior in anticipation of the likelihood of all
present and future positive regard, like Shakespeare writing his plays
with the favor of kings and queens, peasants and the well off, and
intelligentsia and commoners all served in their just portion. Finally,
positive affect scales with the awareness of novel and positive extensible
effects, and can account for intrinsic motivation and need states.
For example, the schema for behavior for a ‘methodological’ behaviorist
is simple, and behavior chains are reinforced by discrete events or
reinforcers. Thus a salesperson’s behavior is reinforced by a sales
commission. In contrast, using a discrepancy or bio-behavioral theory of
reward, this ‘radical’ behaviorist perspective details the continually
changing cognitive aspects of the salesperson’s behavior that map to
changing present and future expectancies. Thus, as a salesperson
progresses to a successful sale, the present and future discriminative
aspects of his or her behavior change too. This represents all of the
positive novel events following the sale, from the receipt of a cash bonus
and the congratulations of a sales manager to an awareness of bills to be
215
paid for food and rent to further novel positive effects as a promotion, a
better relationship with a loved one, and an enduring reputation and
secure retirement. Moreover, the importance or salience of these
cumulative positive effects induces proportional positive affect as
reflected by the greater activity of mid-brain dopamine systems that
signal attention and arousal. Thus a salesperson will with greater
enthusiasm and focus attend to his or her work when the positive
extensible effects are high.
Bio-behavioral models of reinforcement are cognitive models, and adopt
molar or ‘holistic’ schemas that emerge from a host of molecular ‘act-
outcome’ event probabilities, with positive affect (how one feels)
emerging and dependent upon extensible effects (the changing present
and future one perceives). This at first glance may not seem too different
from ‘humanistic’ perspectives on motivation, which also look to molar
or holistic models as explanations for motivation, though they are not
informed by neurophysiology, and lack explanatory depth.
The psychologist Abraham Maslow’s ‘Hierarchy of Needs’ is most
characteristic of this viewpoint, as behavioral tendencies or ‘needs’ are
detachable rather than extensible conceptual objects. Conceptualized as a
pyramid, with essential behavior at the bottom and less essential
behavior at the top, Maslow’s needs were like stages in a rocket, with
lower-level needs detaching from attention to a newer purview
dominated by a higher need until that is met and is detached in turn.
Thus “At once other (and “higher”) needs emerge and these, rather than
physiological hungers, dominate the attention of the individual. And when these
in turn are satisfied, again new (and still “higher”) needs emerge and so on. This
is what we mean by saying that the basic human needs are organized into a
hierarchy of relative prepotency.”136
Whereas in Maslow’s hierarchy ‘needs’ or expectancies fade in
awareness as they are met, a bio-behavioral perspective argues that we
are always aware of them, and whether you are mastering a day at the
office or a day mastering the world, you are equally aware of your need
for a roof over your head and your next meal as well as a prospective
216
Virtuous Worlds
In 1948 the psychologist B.F. Skinner published his Utopian novel
‘Walden Two’, his version of a perfect world. His ideal community was
one in which incentives were apportioned well to provide a just and
equitable society. His society was a perfect anthill, with content and
mindless workers possessing every virtue except for passion. Here was
a contented society without cathedrals, symphonies, literature, and
drama, a society that was alive but not lively. It was, in other words,
boring. Given the fact that survival is tough enough for all of us in the
first place, this Skinnerian society was just enough to get by, and it
worked. It is also the de facto model of modern society, and with
incentive freely and rationally apportioned it is the epitome of a well-
designed capitalist or free enterprise model that makes for survival, but
also, and for most people, an enduring dullness.
But passion can be found, of sorts. Like goldfish peering from a bowl at
an outside world they can never know, we look through portals such as
TV, sporting events, video games, and social media, and identify with
our heroes rather than strive to become like them. But this does not have
to be. Humans want their purposeful addictions, with mutual empathy
and sympathy engineered into everything we do. But we must
understand ourselves first, and that entails understanding the biological
source of our motivations. Before we could control our world and ensure
our lives, our physical and biological world had to be explained.
Similarly, when incentive is explained, we can ensure our happy and
fulfilled future, a prospect that as with all good things, pops out of the
simple equations of existence.
218
Annotated Bibliography
i
Wilson, E. O. (1998) Consilience: The unity of knowledge. New York: Knopf.
ii
Weiner, N. (1961) Cybernetics: or the Control and Communication in the
Animal and the Machine. MIT Press
iii
Giegerenzer, G. (2008) “Why Heuristics Work.” Perspectives in
Psychological Science, 3(1), 20-29
iv
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Problem_of_induction
v
Kuhn, Thomas (1970) The Structure of Scientific Revolutions’ 2nd Ed.
Chicago: University of Chicago Press
vi
“Kuhn denied that the choice of one paradigm in favor of another can be
attributed to a selection process favoring paradigms that get closer to the ‘truth’.
But he goes beyond Popper and insists that they are not even likely to be selected
according to any kind of progressive principle whatsoever. To defend himself
against the charge of relativism (or what I would call obscurantism), Kuhn did
suggest in the second edition of ‘The Structure of Scientific Revolutions’ a series
of criteria by which one could distinguish ‘an earlier from a more recent theory
time after time (pp. 205-206). These include accuracy of prediction, more
esoteric (less everyday) subject matter, and number of problems solved. But these
criteria apply to theories within paradigms, not to the paradigms themselves.
When paradigms replace each other, different puzzles are solved. Hence one can
never say where a paradigm, as distinguished from a theory, fits in he overall
history of science. Once can never say whether science has really ‘progressed’ or
not.” Harris, Marvin (1979) Cultural Materialism: The Struggle for a Science
of Culture. Random House, New York (pp.20-21)
vii
Not just any kind of fraud either, according to a new book titled "The Crime
of Claudius Ptolemy." The book's author is Robert R. Newton of the Applied
Physics Laboratory at Johns Hopkins University, who says flatly: "Ptolemy is
not the greatest astronomer of antiquity, but he is something still more unusual:
He is the most successful fraud in the history of science."
“If Newton is right, few of Ptolemy's observations were his own and few that
were his own he either made up or made incorrectly. To hear Newton tell it,
219
Nonetheless, removing Galileo’s work from the Index took much longer.
In 1820, Canon Settele, professor of astronomy in Rome, wrote a book in
which he took Copernican ideas as foundational. Church authorities
refused to let him publish his work unless he argued that the Copernican
model was just a theory and not fact. Settele appealed to Pope Pius VII,
who then looked to the Congregation of the Holy Office to decide. When
that institution agreed that the Copernican system was foundational, on
September 11, 1822, the Holy Inquisition declared that the “printing and
publication of works treating of the motion of the earth and the stability
of the sun, in accordance with the general opinion of modern
astronomers, is permitted at Rome.”
https://blog.gale.com/catholic-church-reverses-ban-on-galileos-
writings/#:~:text=Two%20hundred%20years%20ago%20this,its%20Inde
x%20of%20Prohibited%20Books.
10
Tycho Brahe and Johannes Kepler, data wed to theory.
https://chandra.harvard.edu/edu/formal/icecore/The_Astronomers_Tyc
ho_Brahe_and_Johannes_Kepler.pdf
11
“In two weeks during the 1596 season a Londoner could have seen eleven
performances of ten different plays at one playhouse, and on no day would he
have had to see a repeat performance of the day before…Playwriting had quickly
become a growth industry and a profession. Of the twelve hundred plays offered
in London theaters in the half century after 1590, some nine hundred were the
work of about fifty professional playwrights.”
Boorstin, D. (1992) The Creators. New York: Random House
12
https://dutchreview.com/culture/history/bkr-netherlands-artists/
13
file:///C:/Users/Art/Downloads/journal.pone.0263410.pdf
14
https://idthefuture.com/622/
https://johndfenton.com/Documents/Tipler03-PeerReview.pdf
15
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-
6736(15)60696-1/fulltext
16
Rawat S, Meena S. Publish or perish: Where are we heading? (2014)
Journal of Research Medical Science.19(2):87-92.
17
https://cdn.elifesciences.org/articles/27725/elife-27725-v1.pdf
221
18
https://fantasticanachronism.com/2020/09/11/whats-wrong-with-
social-science-and-how-to-fix-it/
19
The study explored publishing patterns throughout the 2010s in more
than 1,500 academic departments at 280 American research universities
across twelve social sciences disciplines. Book publications decreased
34% and 54% over the study period, while journal article publications
increased by as much as 64%
“Long-form scholarly publishing provides the place and space to explore a topic
in detail, analyzing subjects with greater contextualization than shorter-
form journal articles typically allow.”
There are several potential ramifications of the decrease in book
publications for social sciences as a whole and individual social science
disciplines. The U.S. market for scholarly monographs has been
shrinking for several years. Book publishers used to see successful print
runs and sales of 2,000 copies of new books. Now, annual sales of 200
copies of a new book is considered successful by some publishers [32].
Some book publishers have responded to this decline in revenues by
increasing book prices as much as three-or four-fold [32]. The declines in
book publications may provide some relief for acquisition librarians
stretching their already depleted fund
Journal articles are the de facto “currency” of research in many physical,
mathematical, biological, biomedical, and engineering fields
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/half-academic-studies-
are-never-read-more-three-people-180950222/
https://phys.org/news/2022-02-volume-social-sciences-journal-
articles.html
https://www.vox.com/2015/11/30/9820192/universities-uncited-
research
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/half-academic-
studies-are-never-read-more-three-people-180950222/
Costs of publish or perish comes at the expense of teaching, and is
expensive in itself.
222
https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardvedder/2018/07/12/33000-
academic-journal-articles-that-almost-no-one-reads/?sh=236fd87b5756
Savage, William E. et al, (2022) More journal articles and fewer books:
Publication practices in the social sciences in the 2010's, PLOS ONE.
In the 1930s and 1940s, 20 per cent of articles in the prestigious The
American Political Science Review focused on policy recommendations.
At the last count, the share was down to a meagre 0.3 per cent.
If a paper is cited, this does not imply it has actually been read.
According to one estimate, only 20 per cent of papers cited have actually
been read. We estimate that an average paper in a peer-reviewed journal
is read completely by no more than 10 people. No wonder. Most journals
are difficult to access and prohibitively expensive for anyone outside of
academia. Also constraints as how to work scientifically within a
discipline.
Different levels of analysis are not interlocking, but walled off.
20
Video how to calculate the path of a cannonball
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=krzC92hZ8pA
21
Harris, Marvin (1979) Cultural Materialism: The Struggle for a Science of
Culture. Random House, New York
22
Also statistics mis-used or incorrectly interpreted or applied, with 18%
of journal articles by one study being inaccurate.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.3758/s13428-011-0089-5
Bakker, M., Wicherts, J.M. (2011) The (mis)reporting of statistical results
in psychology journals. Behav Res 43, 666–678
23
Sakaluk, J. K., Williams, A. J., Kilshaw, R. E., & Rhyner, K. T. (2019).
Evaluating the evidential value of empirically supported psychological
treatments (ESTs): A meta-scientific review. Journal of Abnormal
Psychology, 128(6), 500–509
24
https://cdn.elifesciences.org/articles/27725/elife-27725-v1.pdf
readability in science
25
Cullinan, V., & Vitale, A. (2009). The contribution of Relational Frame
Theory to the development of interventions for impairments of language
223
38
Holmes, D. S. (1984) Meditation and somatic arousal reduction. A
review of the experimental evidence. American Psychologist, 39(1), 1-10
39
Marr, A. J. (2006) Relaxation and Muscular Tension: A Bio-
behavioristic Explanation, International Journal of Stress Management,
13(2), 131-153
40
Benson, H., & Friedman, R. (1985). A rebuttal to the conclusions of
David S. Holmes's article: "Meditation and somatic arousal
reduction." American Psychologist, 40(6), 725–728.
41
Shapiro, D. H. (1985). Clinical use of meditation as a self-regulation
strategy: Comments on Holmes's conclusions and implications. American
Psychologist, 40(6), 719–722
42
Suler, J. R. (1985). Meditation and somatic arousal: A comment on
Holmes's review. American Psychologist, 40(6), 717.
43
West, M. A. (1985). Meditation and somatic arousal
reduction. American Psychologist, 40(6), 717–719
44
Tang YY, Leve LD. (2016) A translational neuroscience perspective on
mindfulness meditation as a prevention strategy. Translational
Behavioral Medicine. Mar;6(1):63-72.
45
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/why-the-most-
important-idea-in-behavioral-decision-making-is-a-fallacy/
46
https://www.verywellmind.com/ego-depletion-
4175496#:~:text=You%20eat%20a%20healthy%20breakfast,during%20yo
ur%20mid%2Dafternoon%20break.&text=Because%20you%20have%20
expended%20so,ego%20depletion%20by%20dinner%20time.
47
Baumeister, Roy F. (2002). "Ego Depletion and Self-Control Failure: An
Energy Model of the Self's Executive Function". Self and Identity. 1 (2):
129–136.
48
The related idea and fad of ‘dopamine fasting’
49
Conforming to this view, Michael Inzlicht, a professor of psychology
at the University of Toronto and the principal investigator at the Toronto
Laboratory for Social Neuroscience, believes willpower is not a finite
resource but instead acts like an emotion. Just as we don’t “run out” of
joy or anger, willpower ebbs and flows based on what’s happening to us
225
and how we feel. “Viewing willpower through this lens has profound
implications. For one, if mental energy is more like an emotion than fuel in a
tank, we can manage and use it as such and learn to ride out bad feelings.
Similarly, when we need to perform a difficult task, it’s more productive and
healthful to believe a lack of motivation is temporary than to tell ourselves we’re
spent and need a break (and ice cream).”
50
https://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/cover_story/2016/03
/ego_depletion_an_influential_theory_in_psychology_may_have_just_
been_debunked.html
51
The well-known and accepted ‘over-justification’ effect presumes that
extrinsic rewards can diminish intrinsic motivation, a notion that is
absurd theoretically and has been demonstrated as false empirically.
Since there are no separate intrinsic and extrinsic motivational processes,
positive expectancies from different internal (variability of work
schedule) and extrinsic (positive expectancies from money or praise)
generally complement each other, as is well demonstrated from personal
experience where to be well rewarded for doing the things you love is
generally regarded as the epitome of motivation and not a motivational
conflict. Still, as per our discussion of perverse incentives, a monetary
reward may be mis-construed by the receiving individual to incent an
aspect of behavior that was not the intention of the individual who gave
it. The resulting perversity of behavior does not mean the diminution of
the normal rewarding attributes of a behavior, but rather a contrary
behavior that is merely at odds with the ‘intrinsically’ reinforced
performance.
Cameron, Judy and Pierce. W. David (1996) The Debate about Rewards
and Intrinsic Motivation: Protests and Accusations Do Not Alter the
Results Author(s): Judy Cameron and W. David Pierce Source: Review
of Educational Research, Vol. 66, No. 1, pp. 39-51
52
Recently, the literature of intrinsic motivation has added the
neurobiology of dopaminergic systems to the equation. Characteristic of
this research is the Domenico & Ryan article linked below. The article is
226
‘default mode networks’ renders the entire argument into merely syntax
(words) with an uncertain or muddled semantics (meaning), or in other
words, psychobabble, with little prospect for clear refutation and test.
“Intrinsic motivation depends on ambient supports for basic psychological
needs, especially those for competence (feeling effective) and autonomy (feeling
volitional).”
“Intrinsically motivated curiosity, exploration and mastery behaviors,
however, pertain to specific types of novel stimuli, namely, those that present
optimal challenges or optimal inconsistencies with one’s extant knowledge and
that accordingly energize tendencies to approach.”
“intrinsically motivated states entail dynamic switching between the salience,
central executive and default mode networks.”
A final observation is that Domenico and Ryan simply ignore the fact a
radical behaviorism does admit affect, and that affect is also elicited and
controlled by how reinforcement contingencies are structured, such as
variable ratio or ‘gambling’ schedules where every move has surprising
results. Indeed, extrinsic incentives such as money also result in the
activation of dopamine systems and are therefore affective, as Knutson
observed in the article linked below. Present models of reinforcement
also use dopaminergic systems as key to incentive, but make no
distinction between ‘intrinsic’ and ‘extrinsic’ processes save for the fact
that extrinsic motivators map to future or extrinsic or perceptual events
that are in public view, as compared to the present and private nature of
intrinsic incentives. In this sense, since all behavior is guided by our
conscious and nonconscious perceptions in the moment and cognitive
projections of the future, all motivation is sourced to extrinsic events and
realized by intrinsic processes. Therefore, the concept of a distinctive
intrinsic reward is meaningless, as it is inextricably bound to extrinsic
events. Also, nativistic tendencies, such as a ‘seeking’ response are not
denied in contemporary learning theory. Thus, the dismissive statement
by the authors must be discarded as untrue, as the affective results of
discrepancy or novelty is an intrinsic quality of response contingencies,
and is not separate from them. “...observations of spontaneous exploratory
228
and play behaviors defied some behaviorist views that intentional behaviors are
invariably controlled by reinforcement contingencies within the environment.”
Domenico S. I. & Ryan Richard M. (2017) The Emerging Neuroscience of
Intrinsic Motivation: A New Frontier in Self-Determination Research.
Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 11, 145
Knutson, B., & Greer, S. M. (2008). Anticipatory affect: neural correlates
and consequences for choice. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society
of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 363(1511), 3771–3786.
53
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/06/opinion/sunday/behavioral-
economics.html
54
https://myscp.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/jcpy.1047
55
Gal, David and Rucker, Derek (2017) The Loss of Loss Aversion: Will
It Loom Larger Than Its Gain? Journal of Consumer Psychology
56
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10810730701615198
57
Iyengar, S. (2011) The Art of Choosing. New York: Twelve
58
Schwartz, B. (2004) The Paradox of Choice, Why More is Less. Harper
Perennial, New York
59
Iyengar, Sheena S.; Lepper, Mark R. (2000) When choice is
demotivating: can one desire too much of a good thing? Journal of
Personality and Social Psychology, 79(6), 995-1006.
60
Iyengar, S. & Lepper, M. (2000). When choice is demotivating: Can one
desire too much of a good thing? Journal of Personality and Social
Psychology, 76, 995-100
61
Huberman, G., Iyengar, S.., & Jiang, W. (2007) Defined Contribution
Pension plans: determinants of participation and contribution
rates. Journal of Financial Services Research, 31 (1), 1-32
62
Scheibehenne, Benjamin, Rainer Greifeneder, and Peter M. Todd
(2010), “Can There Ever Be Too Many Options? A Meta-Analytic Review
of Choice Overload,” Journal of Consumer Research, 37 (3), 409–25.
63
Chernev, A, Bockenholt, U., Goodman, J. (2010) Commentary on
Scheibehenne, Greifeneder,& Todd. Choice Overload: Is There Anything
to it? Journal of Consumer Research (37), 426-428
229
64
Kral et al. (2022) Absence of structural brain changes from
mindfulness-based stress reduction: Two combined randomized
controlled trials, Science Advances, 8, 20, 1-10
65
https://www.verywellmind.com/what-is-pop-psychology-5195653
66
https://www.newtraderu.com/2023/05/02/the-cure-to-laziness-this-
could-change-your-life/
67
Leiber, Justin (2006) Instinctive Incest Avoidance: A Paradigm Case for
Evolutionary Psychology Evaporates, The Theory of Social Behavior, (36)4
December 2006 Pages 369-388
68
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memetics
69
Inzlicht, M., Werner, K, Briskin, Roberts, B. (2021) Integrating
models of self-regulation Annual Review of Psychology 72:1, 319-345
70
This book proposes that the idiosyncrasies of behavior can be derived
from first principles, namely an understanding from human
neuroscience as to how incentive motivation works. Without this we are
forced to rely on separate correlations between external observations and
external events, with behavior acting in eccentric patterns like the planets
in the night sky. In his critique of behavioral economics (or the study of
how economic choices are determined by human psychology), the
economist Jason Collins used just this analogy to describe how a lack of
a deep and foundational understanding of how the world works can
make the solar system seem positively deviant.
https://evonomics.com/please-not-another-bias-the-problem-with-
behavioral-economics/
71
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/why-the-most-important-
idea-in-behavioral-decision-making-is-a-fallacy/
72
Put citation here
73
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/stephaniemlee/dan-ariely-
honesty-study-retraction
74
Thaler, Richard, and Cass Sunstein (2008). Nudge: Improving Decisions
About Health, Wealth, and Happiness. Penguin Books.
75
No evidence for nudging after adjusting for publication bias
Maximilian Maier, July 19, 2022 119 (31) 1-2
230
76
https://eml.berkeley.edu/~sdellavi/wp/NudgeToScale2020-05-09.pdf
77
https://aeon.co/essays/bring-back-science-and-philosophy-as-natural-
philosophy
78
https://positivepsychology.com/humanistic-psychology/
79
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1901/jeab.2004.82-225
80
Tipler, Frank (1994) The Physics of Immortality, Anchor, N.Y.
81
Bostrom, Nick (2014) Superintelligence, Paths, Dangers, Strategies,
Oxford: UK
82
Lakoff, G. and Johnson, M. (1999) Philosophy in the Flesh. The Embodied
Mind and its Challenge to Western Thought, Basic Books, NY
83
Montag, C., & Davis, K. (2018). Affective Neuroscience Theory and
Personality: An Update. Personality Neuroscience, 1, 1-10
84
First, the skeletal muscles contract and the hypothalamus, a small neural
center in the brain, reacts. The hypothalamus, among other organs, influences
the autonomic nervous system, which involves involuntarily activities of bodily
organs. It also mediates activity in the pituitary gland, which releases hormones
into the bloodstream. Under stress, as the muscles tense, breathing becomes
faster and deeper. The heartbeat quickens. Some blood vessels constrict, raising
the blood pressure and almost closing the vessels right under the skin. The throat
muscles and those in the nostril force these passages wide open. The stomach and
intestines temporarily halt digestion. Perspiration increases, and secretion of
mucous and saliva decreases. The pupils of the eye dilate involuntarily. At the
same time the adrenal glands release two hormones, epinephrine and
norepinephrine, which effect circulation, elevating heartbeat and blood pressure.
These hormones signal the spleen to release more red blood corpuscles. They
enable the blood to clot more quickly, and encourage the bone marrow to produce
more white corpuscles. They also increase the amount of fat and sugar in the
blood. While these events are occurring, the pituitary gland secretes two more
hormones, abbreviated TSH and ACTH, TSH and ACTH increase the rate at
which the body produces energy and which reinforce the signals sent to the
adrenal glands through the autonomic nervous system. ACTH also causes the
adrenals to release about 30 other stress related hormones43. -Source:
International Stress Management Association (www.isma-usa.org)
231
85
Although Panksepp did not derive a theory of incentive motivation
from his own work and extensive neuroscientific knowledge, he did
acknowledge its possibility and promise. “In his book Affective
Neuroscience, Panksepp described how efficient learning may be conceptually
achieved through the generation of subjectively experienced neuro-emotional
states that provide simple internalized codes of biological value that correspond
to major life priorities.” (Wikipedia)
Panksepp was also among the first to conclude that basic motivational
principles or incentives emerge from simple bio-behavioral processes of
ancient origin.
“It may be hard for us to accept that human strivings are ultimately driven by
the welling up of ancient neurochemicals in primitive parts of the brain. This
view does not easily fit into our concept of ourselves as moral and spiritual
beings. Although the details of human hopes are surely beyond the imagination
of other creatures, the evidence now clearly indicates that certain intrinsic
aspirations of all mammalian minds, those of mice as well as men, are driven by
the same ancient neuro-chemistries. These chemistries lead our companion
creatures to set out energetically to investigate and explore their worlds, to seek
available resources and make sense of the contingencies of their environments.
These same systems give us the impulse to become actively engaged with the
world and to extract meaning from our various circumstances.”
Panksepp, Jaak (1999) Affective Neuroscience. New York: Oxford, p.41
86
Adenzato, M., Garbarini, F. (2012). Embodied Cognition. In: Seel,
N.M. (eds) Encyclopedia of the Sciences of Learning. Springer, Boston
87
https://archive.philosophersmag.com/embodied-mind-embodied-
meaning-embodied-thought/
88
Joseph, P.G. & Levkowitz, H.. (2016). Second generation cognitive
science promises true Heideggerian artificial intelligence. Mind and
Matter 14. 167-201
89
Lakoff, G. and Johnson, M. (1999) Philosophy in the Flesh, the embodied
minds and its challenge to western thought. New York: Basic Books
90
Our philosophical stance in this book coheres with the linguists George
Lakoff and Mark Johnson’s concept of embodied realism, that incorporate
232
Amanzioa and colleagues (link below), but also does not make sense
empirically, as precursor or concurrent expectancies of novel outcomes
may be related to the goal (expectation that the meal will be delicious) or
unrelated to the goal (watching an exciting movie while eating a meal)
and still have the same effect. This leads to the conclusion that not
normative but abstract act-outcome expectancies or discrepancies that
induce dopamine activity can modulate ongoing opioid activity due to
food, drink, sex, rest or other stimuli.
Amanzioa, M , Polloa, A , Maggib, G, & Benedettia, F. (2001) Response
variability to analgesics: a role for non-specific activation of
endogenous opioids, Pain, 90, 201-215
Rauwolf, P., Millard, S. K., Wong, N., Witt, A., Davies, T. J., Cahill, A.
M., Madden, G. J., Parkinson, J. A., & Rogers, R. D. (2021). “Just not
knowing” can make life sweeter (and saltier): Reward uncertainty alters
the sensory experience and consumption of palatable food and
drinks. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 150(10), 2015–2035.
112
Schultz, W. (2010) Dopamine signals for reward value and risk: basic
and recent data. Behavioral and Brain Functions 6, 24
113
https://www.cell.com/cell-reports/pdfExtended/S2211-1247(19)30385-7
114
McClure, S., Daw, N. and Montague,R (2003) A computational substrate
for incentive salience, Trends in Neurosciences, 26, 8, 423-428,
115
This conception of drive as merely an artifact of an organism’s
sensitization to a stimulus event (food, drink) is also independently
confirmed in Donahoe and Palmer’s contemporaneous definition of
reward which is based the neurologically grounded principles of neural
networks. “In our formulation, deprivation may affect behavior in several
ways. For one, by depriving an organism of contact with a stimulus, that
stimulus typically becomes a more vigorous elicitor of behavior. As such, the
stimulus is able to function as a more effective reinforcer because its presentation
evokes a larger behavioral discrepancy. Further, discriminative and occasion
setting functions of deprivation, and motivating operations in general, may be
readily implemented in neural networks. A discriminative function is enabled
to the extent that the motivating operation differentially activates a range of
236
units within a network, a motivating function is enabled to the extent that the
motivating operation non-differentially activates a range of units within the
network. In either case, the activation levels of units within the network are
changed, thereby changing which connections are eligible for modification by the
reinforcer. Through both means, the motivating operation may have a pervasive
effect on behavior and on neural networks intended to simulate behavior.”
Donahoe, J.W., Palmer, D.C., and Burgos, J. (1997) The Unit of Selection.
What do reinforcers reinforce? Journal of the Experimental Analysis of
Behavior, 67, 259-273
116
Lundberg, U. (1999) Stress Responses in Low-Status Jobs and Their
Relationship to Health Risks: Musculoskeletal Disorders. Annals of the
New York Academy of Sciences, 896, 162-172.
117
Hagg, G. (1991) Static Workloads and occupational myalgia- a new
explanation model. In P. A. Anderson, D. J. Hobart, and J. V. Danhoff
(Eds.). Electromyographical Kinesiology (pp. 141-144). Elsevier Science
Publishers, P. V.
118
Wursted, M., Eken, T., & Westgaard, R. (1996) Activity of single motor
units in attention demanding tasks: firing pattern in the human trapezius
muscle. European Journal of Applied Physiology, 72, 323-329
119
Wursted, M., Bjorklund, R., & Westgaard, R. (1991) Shoulder muscle
tension induced by two VDU-based tasks of different complexity.
Ergonomics, 23, 1033-1046
120
Lundberg, U., Forsman, M., Zachau, G., Eklo F., M., Palmerud, G.,
Melin, B., & Kadefors, R. (2002). Effects of experimentally induced
mental and physical stress on trapezius motor unit recruitment. Work &
Stress, 16, 166-170
121
Although tension or anxiety is a learned or conditioned response, it
can also be an element of an unconditioned response to actual danger, or
the ‘flight or fight’ response. The flight/fight fleeing system (FFFS) is
activated by situations that entail imminent threat. In the popular
literature of stress, the FFFS is commonly invoked for autonomic arousal
occurring across all threatening and non-threatening situations.
However, for distant threats (e.g. a spider approaching from a great
237
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