Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Depoliticize Project 773545 NDX
Depoliticize Project 773545 NDX
Framework
Published 28 July 2022 - ID G00773545 - 30 min read
By Analyst(s): Anthony Henderson, Tina Nunno
Initiatives: Strategic Portfolio Management; Spend Optimization and Supplier Value
Enhancement
Overview
Key Findings
■ When decision makers lack or misapply the empirical criteria needed to objectively
make trade-offs between competing initiatives, the scenario often devolves into
politicking and power plays.
■ Digital business and innovation introduce new digital technologies with greater risk
and more uncertain return, further increasing tensions in the decision-making
process.
Recommendations
Strategic portfolio leaders responsible for project prioritization and strategic portfolio
management must:
■ Neutralize politics by first identifying decision making that is more politically driven
than empirically based.
■ Institutionalize the decision framework through a set of principles that will sustain
quality decision making through business and executive transitions.
By 2024, half of enterprise program management offices (EPMOs) will have the ability to
rapidly sense and orchestrate changing conditions and become the central nervous
system for the enterprise.¹
Introduction
Business executives often find it challenging to select and prioritize initiatives that will
help the enterprise be successful. The 2022 Gartner CEO and Senior Business Executives
Survey indicates that over 85% of respondents will continue or accelerate their digital
investment pace in 2022 and beyond. 2 This will require making sound investment
decisions in the midst of a tumultuous business environment, while optimizing
constrained resources. This means that executives cannot rely on instinct, habit or
nonempirical data, which are all more likely to lead to suboptimal investment decisions.
They must discern between those initiatives that have a potential, forecastable yield
(value) and those that do not. They must also decide how to balance the initiative
portfolio across priorities and stakeholders, testing the decision-making skills of even the
enterprises with a high portfolio management maturity.
Numerous challenges can render these efforts more political than empirical. Strategic
portfolio leaders charged with instituting a disciplined approach to prioritization will often
have to make tough decisions with a high potential for political difficulty. A number of
these challenges are highlighted in Note 1.
Each of these goals are paramount for improving decision making. Strategic portfolio
leaders must take a structured prioritization approach to optimize their decision making
and drive portfolio management efficiencies. They must ensure that decision makers can
make sound, well-informed choices when they meet.
Strategic portfolio leaders should use the decision framework outlined in Figure 1 to help
depoliticize the prioritization process.
All investment decisions require a foundation in business value and outcomes. The model
in Figure 1 shows investment principles based on both. This structure will help strategic
portfolio leaders communicate investment trade-offs and patterns to their business
partners, facilitating better decision making.⁴
While no framework will serve every purpose, a decision framework will still neutralize
politics if the parties involved are confident that they have explored all reasonable
empirical approaches before making a judgment call.
The decision framework should utilize common financial criteria that executives are
familiar with, and therefore comfortable applying: revenue, cost and risk. This is more
nuanced than the traditional “single line of the balance sheet” approach, as it can utilize a
broader set of elements related to business outcomes to help the executive team evaluate
IT investment decisions. Since the model covers more IT investment decisions, there are
fewer gaps for the stakeholders to fill with political maneuvering.
■ Competitive differentiators
The first step in creating a politically neutral decision framework is for the stakeholders to
agree on the various categories, the financial criteria that apply to them, and which
investments belong in each category.
The four suggested framework categories and their applications are described in detail as
follows.
Political Challenges
In risk-averse cultures, executives are often biased against investments that challenge the
status quo or current way of doing business (typically, innovation and game-changing
initiatives). They may refuse to believe that any technology investment can contribute to
revenue growth and may have an overly simplistic view that all technology is simply a
bottom-line expense.
As a result, strategic portfolio leaders should help the executives understand how to apply
standard growth-oriented investment principles and metrics to initiatives in this category,
and help them compare potential IT-related growth opportunities more objectively.
■ At the other extreme, a stakeholder may make the politically ambiguous assertion,
“This is strategic, and we can make a lot of money if we invest in this technology.”
Strategic portfolio leaders can neutralize this with a rigorous benefits forecast that
translates “strategic” into “revenue-generating” and helps forecast how much money
will be made and when (through business case analysis, modeling software, or the
like).
Political Challenges
Decision-Making Criteria
When evaluating potential investments in this category, the primary focus should be on
efficiency metrics such as cost savings, productivity and cost avoidance in the financial
analysis of benefits over time.
Strategic portfolio leaders should partner with infrastructure and operations (I&O)
leadership peers to conduct an analysis that will provide the insight needed to categorize
cost and productivity investments into two groups:
■ Investments that impact the cost structure for the rest of the business
■ Investments that reduce operational costs in real terms (either immediately or over
time, through cost avoidance)
■ Investments that increase productivity but do not contribute directly to the margin
(see Figure 2)
Decision-Making Criteria
In the commodities and operations category, the most useful criteria include:
Compliance includes the core regulatory data, processes and structures required for the
enterprise to be allowed to function. Highly regulated industries will spend significantly on
risk-oriented technologies. Enterprises with weak decision making in this category are
likely to have an unacceptable degree of business risk, as they may experience continuity
challenges or incur fines from government regulators.
Political Challenges
Strategic portfolio leaders often struggle with executive teams who inadvertently misapply
cost and growth metrics to infrastructure, which are well-intended but not relevant.
Executives are uncomfortable with these categories, as they tend to be less
knowledgeable about these more technical investments. As a result, they may take an all-
or-nothing approach. They may approve all potential investments in this category and risk
overspending. Or they may approve little to nothing, believing that so long as nothing bad
appears to be happening, they are saving money. In reality, they are likely accumulating
significant potential risks.
The investment principle for project proposals for infrastructure and compliance should
be to calculate and manage risk. The only reason any enterprise invests in them is
because if they do not, negative events may occur. This can include everything from fines
for noncompliance with regulations to poor system performance or security breaches
going undetected.⁸
In the infrastructure and compliance category, leaders across business and IT, including
strategic portfolio leaders, should consider forecasting in each of these categories as
appropriate:
■ Operational risk — Potential losses from operational failures of the company due to
technological infrastructure failure and the systems and processes that rely on the
infrastructure.
■ Legal risk — Potential costs and exposure related to litigation from security and
privacy breaches, or a failure to deliver contracted products and services.
■ Reputational and market risk — Potential brand impact of incidents and failures, as
well as potential loss of consumer, investor, partner and employee confidence.
Classification into these categories can help translate risk into business terms that are
more palatable for executives.
Elements of the risks above are conceptually quantifiable; one can forecast the likelihood
of the risk manifesting, the potential financial impact of an incident, and the costs
associated with preventing or mitigating it. However, quantifying any of these risk
variables with any degree of certainty remains difficult.
The decision-making value here is in the qualitative conversation about risks, rather than
in the quantitative certainty of the forecasts. A common political tactic for stakeholders is
to dismiss calculated-risk discussions outright, due to their inexact nature. Strategic
portfolio leaders should strive to engage in discussions around acceptable and
unacceptable levels of risk, given the enterprise’s strategies, objectives and environment.
These discussions can reveal interdependencies and risk areas that demand greater
attention, due to previously unforeseen relationships with other risks. Failing to have
calculated-risk discussions can leave the company vulnerable to a domino effect of risk
events. Executive teams that engage in these challenging discussions will make higher-
quality decisions than teams that take an “all or nothing” approach or apply the wrong
criteria to the decision.
Political Challenge
These investments are some of the most politically sensitive in any enterprise. This is
largely due to the lack of a shared definition of “innovation.” Decision makers and many
executive teams react to innovation proposals in ways ranging from extreme risk aversion
to recklessness. Some enterprises view innovations as anything they haven’t done before,
no matter how mainstream the technology. Other enterprises view innovation as new
technologies that they are able to patent, or new digital platforms to disrupt their industry
and others. Risk-averse cultures will shut down anything resembling innovation, while
entrepreneurial cultures may allow risk to the point of recklessness.
Strategic portfolio leaders can defuse innovation politics by fostering a shared enterprise
definition of innovation investment, and applying sound decision criteria at each stage of
the innovation’s development. 10 A core investment principle for innovation is to
“experiment and write off” individual innovation experiments, while managing the entire
innovation portfolio for success. This is similar to a venture capitalist approach to
innovation investment.
The owner of the innovation portfolio (like a venture capital portfolio) does not care which
innovations succeed, although the initiative owners do. The innovation portfolio owner
might write off individual initiatives and investments but, overall, wants the portfolio to
succeed through the ones that do make it.
We recommend that strategic portfolio leaders apply the principle of “buy future options”
when evaluating innovation project proposals. This language is relatable to finance
specialists and reflects what innovation investment and experimentation are about:
buying the company the option to act in a certain way or invest in one of the other three
portfolio categories in the future, as it now understands a new idea, opportunity or
technology. This option would not be available to the company if it had not invested in the
experimentation. This also captures the fact that options do not always work out.
Decision-Making Criteria
1. Holistic Planning
The decision framework can serve as an anchor to neutralize politics at virtually every
stage of project prioritization and investment planning. You can use it to:
■ Categorize existing work — Take the current list of initiatives in progress and work
with peers and executives to agree on which work efforts fit into each of the four
categories.
■ Rate the existing projects — Review the relative health of the portfolio, tagging
projects collaboratively as red, yellow or green based on whether they are still fit for
purpose. 11
■ Categorize any new requests — Either as part of the prioritization process or as each
new request comes in, decide which category the initiative belongs in. Then apply
the criteria associated with that category to the proposed investment.
■ Compare the new requests with the existing portfolio — Note whether or not the
new requests fix problems in the existing installed base and make it more strategic,
or add only new complexity, costs or risks.
■ Compare the new requests with available resources — Estimate the amount of IT
(labor and funding) available for new investments. Then create target amounts or
limits of investment for each portfolio category to further guide decision making.
This technique can prevent or neutralize political pressures on IT staff based on
unrealistic expectations.
2. Executive Communications
Strategic portfolio leaders should involve the CFO heavily when defining the financial
element of the decision framework. This can help create a consensus with finance on the
decision criteria behind each investment category. The criteria can then be used for
everything from individual executive discussions to business case proposals. They are
essential success factors in applying framework management successfully in the long
term.
Close collaboration with finance will also diffuse politics by ensuring that the financial
analysis is viewed as consistent with the enterprise’s overall investment model, rather than
as a separate model created by IT. Consistency in the financial model will ensure greater
ease and accuracy in making decisions, forecasting benefits, tracking success and
reporting on benefits realization.
3. Portfolio Management
There is no optimal investment percentage for each portfolio category, either by industry,
region or enterprise maturity. The percentage of investment in each category will vary,
depending on how an enterprise competes, and the current health of its portfolio. For
example, an enterprise that has underinvested for several years in one category, such as
commodities, may find itself in a crisis situation and may need to divert a large
percentage of investments to the commodity category until the situation is corrected. Over
time, a portfolio approach can help prevent crises from occurring by ensuring the presence
of a more holistic and optimized treatment of investments that is aligned with the
enterprise strategy.
Additionally, industries that are becoming heavily digital, such as media, publishing and
retail, may find that they will need to invest more in the innovation and competitive
differentiator categories than other industries. The key to finding balance for the
enterprise is determining whether the investment pattern suits the enterprise’s needs.
Effective principles are decision criteria that detail specific desirable investment behaviors
and indicate why those behaviors matter to the enterprise. They indicate strategic choices
that the enterprise leadership has made to help create a targeted, optimized portfolio.
Strategic portfolio leaders can use the list in Table 2 as examples of investment principles
and criteria they can customize to fit their specific enterprise and decision-making needs.
As mentioned earlier, investments will often move from one category to another over time.
An investment that begins as an innovation will move to the competitive differentiator
category, should it be successful. Competitive differentiators can become commoditized
when others in the industry adopt them, leveling the playing field. Eventually, many
commodities will transition into infrastructure and then transition out as other
technologies ascend.
Organizations should monitor investments as they move from one category to the next to
ensure the style of decision making changes as well. So, as investments move from
competitive differentiators to commodities, for example, enterprises should ensure their
decision criteria and principles for those investments shift as well.
Evidence
¹ Predicts 2022: Shift Toward Strategic Portfolio Management to Enable Organizational
Agility
2
2022 CEO Survey — The Year Perspectives Changed
3
The 2021 Gartner State of the EPMO Survey was conducted between September and
October 2021 among 159 EPMO leaders from North America, EMEA and APAC across
industries and enterprises with $500 million or more annual revenue. The primary
objective of this research is to help aspiring, transitioning and current EPMO leaders
understand the typical reporting structures, goals and activities for existing EPMO groups
as well as the broader ecosystem in which they operate.
⁴ See Case Study: Responsive Portfolio Management Decisions for Business Leaders
(ElevenShift*).
5
2020 Gartner CEO and Senior Business Executive Survey: Gartner conducted the 2020
CEO and Senior Business Executive Survey from September through December 2020 to
examine CEO and senior business executive views on current business issues, as well as
some areas of technology agenda impact. Gartner qualified and surveyed 444 business
leaders via an online survey (n = 362); an additional 70 surveys were done by telephone
interview, and 12 were self-administered paper surveys. All respondents were screened for
active employment in organizations with greater than $50M in annual revenue.
Disclaimer: Results of this survey do not represent global findings or the market as a
whole, but reflect the sentiments of the respondents and companies surveyed.
⁸ See Optimize Portfolios Amid Change Using Gartner’s Risk, Value and Cost Optimization
Model.
10
See Successful Innovation Begins With the Business Strategy: Use Business Objectives
and Goals to Start Your Innovation Journey.
11
See Tool: Framework to Score, Evaluate and Prioritize Projects Easily.
■ IT and non-IT staff spending (average cost saved per staff hour). This may be
through labor arbitrage, such as creating a shared service center in an area with
lower labor rates, or outsourcing functions when lower-cost outsourced staff are
available.
These investments may also benefit the enterprise by improving productivity. Some
common productivity metrics include:
■ Inventory turnover
■ IT and non-IT staff productivity (In this case, the productivity yield equals the
average staff cost per hour multiplied by the number of hours of productivity gained.
An enterprise may gain this by implementing technologies, such as robotics,
algorithmic analysis and artificial intelligence, as staff augmentation.)
Territorialism: This happens when decision makers focus on turf rather than ■ Budgetary territorialism: “It is my money or budget, so I will decide what
decision quality. While territorial observations may be factually accurate, they to do with it.”
neither add value to nor inform the quality of the prioritization and IT
■ Line-of-business territorialism: “It is my business unit or product and my
investment decision in discussions.
objectives, so I will decide.”
Status: Statements about status, such as tenure and hierarchy, imply ■ Tenure status: “I have been here for 20 years and know what I am talking
knowledge. But when technical knowledge is relevant to the investment about.”
decision at hand, these statements are often a political tactic.
■ Expert status: “I have three degrees, and therefore, I know what is best.”
■ Invocation status: “This is important to the CEO (and I may or may not
have spoken with the CEO about it).”
Exaggeration: These extremely negative or positive statements are designed ■ Negative exaggeration: “If we don’t do this, we will risk going out of
to elicit strong emotions, rather than explore fact. They are often political business or missing our financial targets.”
tactics because they do not use objective data to support their extreme
■ Positive exaggeration: “If we do this, we will make a tremendous amount
assertions.
of money or dominate the competition.”
Ambiguity: This approach applies elevated terminology, but minimal to no ■ Qualitative ambiguity: “This investment is important, strategic, critical or
quantitative data. When enterprises base decisions on such ambiguous essential, so we should do it.”
statements or on “trust,” rather than empirically testing the vague assertions,
■ Quantitative ambiguity: “If we do this, we’ll make or save a lot of money.”
this is a strong indicator of politics.
Competitive Differentiators Invest to Grow ■ Insource development when skills are available,
to protect competitive capabilities.
Commodities and Operations Productivity and Cost Management ■ Outsource the implementation of these
investments and redirect in-house IT resources
to competitive differentiators.
Infrastructure and Compliance Assess and Manage Risk ■ Move infrastructure to the cloud when risks can
be better managed by vendors.
Innovation and Game Change Experiment and Write Off ■ Limit the innovation budget to a specific
percentage of revenue to manage financial risk.
Decision drivers: Internal and external pressures can complicate decision ■ Operating model drivers, such as balancing local versus enterprise needs
making and increase tension. Resolving these healthy tensions in an optimal
■ Financial drivers, such as reducing costs versus growing the business
fashion is neither easy nor obvious.
■ Risk drivers, such as reducing enterprise risk versus being innovative
Decision approach: Every enterprise has a preferred cultural approach to ■ Inclusion approach: Consensus-driven versus autocratic
decision making. If the enterprise’s preferred approach to decision making
■ Process approach: High process orientation versus ad hoc
does not fit the nature of the decision, then tensions and politics increase.
■ Risk approach: Embracing enterprise risk or risk-averse
Decision criteria derailers: Many executives struggle with knowing what the ■ The “one size fits all” approach to criteria, which applies one set of criteria
appropriate data and criteria are to analyze IT investment decisions. While to all decisions, regardless of fit
there is no one ideal set of criteria, applying the wrong criteria and data to a
■ Relationship-based criteria, where who is asking is more important than
decision or, in some cases, using no data at all can lead to decision errors.
the quality of the request
Decision authority derailers: Many different stakeholders are impacted by IT. ■ Hierarchical authority, where the enterprise favors the traditional
Often, decision-making authority regarding IT investments is dispersed organization chart over expertise
throughout the enterprise, with many different executives or leaders
■ Legalistic authority, where legal or audit departments dominate over all
authorized to make IT-related purchase decisions, regardless of their relevant
other considerations
knowledge of technology and how to extract value from it.
As a result, decisions may be made by those who hold power and authority, ■ Bureaucratic authority, where process considerations dominate over all
rather than those who have potential expertise in the subject matter, which other considerations
may lead to decision errors. ■ Ad hoc authority, where decisions belong to those who make the decisions
rather than those who have explicit authority to do so