Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Nick Ford
Nick Ford
Conclusions
Active Safety Systems Passive Safety Systems Source: Frost & Sullivan
* Announced in 2008
$38.3
Billion
$26.1 CAGR 6.6%
Billion 45.3%
Year 2012
Active Safety Passive Safety
51.9% $15.8
16,000 Billion
$11.6
Billion $10.9
12,000
Billion 43.2%
Million US$
Copyright Frost & Sullivan 2008 Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan 7
Global Active Safety Systems Market Revenues to Exceed 20
Global Active Safety Systems Market – Revenue Forecast
$21 Billion
CAGR 8.9% 10.5%
1.0%
$12.5 Billion Year 2012 5.8%
7.0%
1.1% 5.7% 2.1% ABS/ESP TPMS LDW BSD NVS IPA ACC
8.6% 1.2% 11.6%
$9 Billion 2.8%
1.3% 9,000
9.6%
17.3%
A – Technologies Driven By
Legislation vehicles, but optional in mid and lower segments available as option
EPS -> CEPS + PEPS + REPS 70.0%
Stolen Vehicle Tracking 75.0%
RVD 75.0%
2020
MP3/ WMA 91.0%
Standard ESP 100.0%
e-call 100.0%
Success of DAS
Key Conclusions – Active Safety Systems
features will be
significantly influenced
by quality of HMI
Integration of DAS
Non-chassis suppliers with navigation and
making in-roads into post-crash safety
DAS market including systems reaching
low-speed maneuvering introduction phase
CMOS
European Active Safety Technology Roadmap
Push Button Warning Light and Audible Push Button Visual Display
CMOS
Radar 24 GHz > 79 GHz
Automatic Audible and Visual
& CW
Lane Departure Warning (LDW) CMOS
Infrared Sensors (2004)
Driver Assist Systems
CMOS
Push Button Visual Display
Drowsiness Detection
Aisin, Toyota
Bosch, BMW Aisin, Toyota
Case Study - TomTom GO was launched in a market dominated by complex, expensive, built-in car
navigation systems. TomTom GO managed to position itself not just as another technical product, but as
an easy, smart and accessible consumer solution, moving to take a 56% market share
HUD
LDW
Indispensable for safe driving
Copyright Frost & Sullivan 2008 Note: All figures are rounded. Source: Frost & Sullivan 17
Seat is the Heart of Occupant Safety in all Crash Scenarios
OCS Estimated to Cost around 26.5% of Seat
Whiplash Protection
Side Airbags
Systems 5.0% (2005)
Active: 3.5% (2010)
5.3% (2005) – 3.8% (2010)
Reactive:
2.7% (2005) – 2.1% (2010)
Passive:
1.3% (2005) – 0.7% (2010)
Pre-Tensioners
2.4% (2005)
Seatbelt 1.6% (2010)
Reminders
2.1% (2005)
1.4% (2010)
Occupant Detection
and Classification
Anti-submarine Systems
Technologies 26.5% (2005)
4.2% (2005) 18.8% (2010)
3.1% (2010)
Conclusions
• The quality of the methodology is emphasised by 6 OEMs and 4 Tier 1 suppliers sponsoring the
study.
Normal
Normaldriving
Legend Emergency Pre-Crash In-Crash Situation Post-Crash
driving Emergency Pre-Crash In-Crash Situation Post-Crash
Situation Situation Situation Situation
Situation Situation Situation Situation
Copyright Frost & Sullivan 2008 22
Only Features that Play a Role During the Actual E of the
Crash Are Perceived to be Contributing to Safety
Respondents perceive technologies (ABS, Seatbelts, Airbags) traditionally associated with accident scenarios to play an important part in
vehicle safety. Technologies not primarily associated with accident scenarios are perceived to be not as important to vehicle safety.
Voice of Customer Study on Safety – Europe
Plays an Important Role Contributes somewhat to Safety Contributes little to Safety Don't Know
Q.2 How important are the following technologies to overall vehicle safety?
Source : Information from Consumer research study done with 1,635 respondents
Across Europe, ‘traditional’ occupant protection and braking technologies are preferred over newer active technologies.
Will not purchase vehicle if absent Will purchase vehicle if standard Will likely purchase as option
Nice to have Don't want
Q.10 How important are the following to you when you consider a package of safety features for your vehicle?
Copyright Frost & Sullivan 2008 24
Consumers in Europe Significantly Concerned About Front-end
Collisions Contrast to US Consumers Concerned about Rear-end
Impact
32.1%
33.3%
30.1%
1.0%
10.7% 47.6%
14.4%
26.2% 3.9%
1.0%
Front Impact
Forward Impact Lateral Impact
Lateral Impact
Rear-End Impact
Rear-end Impact
Rollover after Impact
Rollover after impact
Rollover without Impact
Other
Audio Visual Haptic Audio & Visual Audio & Haptic Visual & Haptic
Will Purchase
Vehicle if Standard Protect : Collision
Enhance Braking
Likely Purchase
as an Option Aid Driver Vision
SOS : Collision
Correct Speed Keep Distance
Warn of Risks
Nice to Have
* These are based on the mean scores of the importance ratings for each attribute.
the highest in France (36 percent) and lowest in Italy (22 percent)
• The A&B segment in Italy registered the lowest level Have you heard of Euro NCAP (New Car Assessment
Program)?
of awareness in Europe, with 16 percent and the
highest awareness was within the D&E segment (43
percent) in France.
Yes No
Source : Information from Consumer research study done with 1,635 respondents
Respondents who were aware of Euro NCAP were more likely to be influenced by a good Euro NCAP rating.
45.8% of respondents who were aware of Euro NCAP were likely to purchase a vehicle with a good NCAP rating, while 35.8% of respondents
who were not aware of NCAP were not likely to be influenced by a good NCAP rating. Awareness of Euro NCAP is a major and significant
factor on the influence of a good Euro NCAP rating in the purchase decision (Chi-Square= 279.0, at p=0.0000)
11.7% 11.3%
9.7% will likely purchase will consider purchase
28.0%
Aware of NCAP
Unaware of NCAP
72.0%
Source : Information from Consumer research study done with 1,635 respondents
Conclusions
Questions?