Namlea Weather Station Ambon

The average and maximum monthly rainfall and humidity data for 10 years at Namlea is shown in
Tables below:
201
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 50 27 41 28 25 27 18 34 31 26 40 41
Average of RR (mm/day) 9,07 6,17 9,43 5,55 3,70 4,33 3,93 4,19 3,96 2,52 3,44 8,57
Max of RH_avg (%) 93 93 94 95 98 95 95 91 92 92 90 94
88,8 87,5 88,3 88,2 88,0 87,5 88,3 87,0 86,3 86,2 86,5 89,1
Average of RH_avg (%) 5 0 0 1 0 2 8 8 2 2 2 8

201
1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 61 50 19 33 32 36 22 4 19 27 40 47
10,6
Average of RR (mm/day) 6,38 7,72 2,70 6,66 7,97 4,50 2,59 0,58 1,79 1,67 4,63 3
Max of RH_avg (%) 92 92 94 92 97 95 96 88 91 85 88 92
87,6 88,4 89,1 88,7 89,0 87,3 85,9 78,9 81,7 80,1 81,7 85,9
Average of RH_avg (%) 9 4 0 9 0 7 3 7 9 3 9 0

201
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 38 29 45 30 16,7 17,3 34 16,3 20 13 5 20
Average of RR (mm/day) 7,79 5,23 9,00 3,96 2,33 2,38 3,67 0,74 0,89 0,47 0,34 4,04
Max of RH_avg (%) 91 88 94 88 93 94 96 96 85 83 85 90
87,6 84,8 87,2 80,8 84,3 85,1 85,2 82,2 80,3 78,6 81,4 83,3
Average of RH_avg (%) 4 8 7 5 4 2 5 0 9 7 1 0

201
3
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 34,5 30 21 15,3 25,5 7,4 23 16 34 4 25 29
Average of RR (mm/day) 6,01 6,96 2,55 1,81 2,43 1,00 3,43 2,90 1,30 0,23 2,83 3,52
Max of RH_avg (%) 91 92 90 90 92 94 94 93 88 83 89 93
85,9 86,1 86,9 85,9 85,6 84,9 86,7 83,2 80,4 77,9 81,3 86,7
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 1 7 3 3 7 8 9 7 0 1 4

201
4
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 43 45 41 45 15,7 11,1 0 21 1,3 0,8 0 22,4
Average of RR (mm/day) 5,06 7,33 4,13 6,31 1,45 2,07 0,00 2,16 0,06 0,03 0,00 2,53
Max of RH_avg (%) 95 96 96 93 89 97 88 91 83 84 86 94
88,4 87,1 87,3 87,6 86,2 88,5 83,5 81,0 78,1 78,4 82,1 87,4
Average of RH_avg (%) 2 9 2 2 2 5 2 3 7 2 1 8

201
5
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 29,2 43,2               1 13 39,1
Average of RR (mm/day) 7,84 7,36               0,05 0,57 3,32
Max of RH_avg (%) 92 96               84 86 90
88,1 90,2 78,3 82,0 84,4
Average of RH_avg (%) 3 1               2 0 8

201
6
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 19,4 26,5 21 40 9,8 15,6 19,3 3,8 9,2 22,7 8,5 37
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,20 7,05 3,68 5,63 0,74 1,70 1,43 0,24 1,27 2,45 0,55 3,45
Max of RH_avg (%) 91 92 92 93 90 90 91 86 90 91 91 95
87,0 88,6 89,3 88,9 86,2 84,4 84,3 81,8 84,8 87,5 87,3 90,6
Average of RH_avg (%) 4 0 9 2 2 8 7 0 7 4 7 5

201
7
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 31 14,4 41 28,2 13,5 26,4 18 9 29 25,5 38,5 30
Average of RR (mm/day) 3,71 3,33 5,57 4,57 1,56 5,48 4,43 1,14 1,71 1,80 4,05 6,31
Max of RH_avg (%) 94 95 97 95 88 94 94 91 90 89 96 92
90,7 91,5 91,6 92,0 87,0 94,0 90,5 84,7 83,1 84,5 86,0 86,7
Average of RH_avg (%) 8 8 5 0 0 0 0 5 4 7 0 5

201
8
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 29 10,6 20,6 20,2 6,6 8,6 6 10,7 0,1 0 16 12,2
Average of RR (mm/day) 7,84 1,29 4,55 2,13 1,08 1,69 1,68 1,86 0,01 0,00 2,38 1,71
Max of RH_avg (%) 87 89   92 89 91 91 81   87 93 94
86,0 87,5 87,8 86,3 85,4 87,1 80,3 83,7 88,6 87,9
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 0   0 5 0 8 3   5 7 4

201
9
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 32,6 8 7       15,3 0,8 0 15 0 6,5
Average of RR (mm/day) 5,91 2,73 4,22       1,17 0,16 0,00 0,95 0,00 1,06
Max of RH_avg (%) 93 88         88 78   86 82 78
91,0 86,0 82,4 78,0 81,2 81,0 78,0
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 0         1 0   3 0 0

202
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 22,7 34,5 38,5 23,8 15,7 13,5 0,8 26 27 10,5 10,2 24,4
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,83 5,55 3,79 3,94 3,55 4,72 0,17 2,02 3,73 1,10 0,99 3,49
Max of RH_avg (%) 93 96 95 93   88 90 94 94 89 92 96
86,8 88,5 89,3 88,5 87,5 85,5 85,2 89,5 83,6 84,8 89,8
Average of RH_avg (%) 8 5 5 0   0 0 0 0 4 6 2
 202
1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 17,5 31 23 9,4 5,7 8 47 30 39,4 13,5 13 10,8
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,57 5,58 2,50 1,01 1,06 0,84 4,03 2,93 5,67 0,97 2,26 2,66
Max of RH_avg (%) 95 92 94 92       88        
89,6 90,0 87,8 88,5 88,0
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 0 6 0       0        

202
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 23,4 25,5 6,5 5,8 37 18            
Average of RR (mm/day) 1,88 5,69 1,34 1,22 3,21 2,03            
Max of RH_avg (%) 94   88 83   84            
90,0 88,0 83,0 83,0
Average of RH_avg (%) 0   0 0   0            

Seasonal Rainfall Pattern

Indonesia is affected by monsoon season with wet season usually occurs in October to March and
dry season in April to September. The average total monthly rainfall for 10 years is shown below:

Rainfall Humidity
160 90
140 88
120
86
R (mm/month)

100
Humidity (%)

84
80
82
60
80
40
20 78

0 76
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month

The rainfall pattern shows that dry season peak occurred in October and rainy season peak occurred
in February. The total rainy day for each month and year is shown below:

Total Rainy Day

All
Years JA FE MA AP MA JU JU AU SE OC NO DE Year
N B R R Y N L G P T V C
2010 24 13 19 16 10 14 17 14 9 11 13 21 181
 2011 13 15 15 18 17 11 11 9 11 6 6 20 152
2012 19 14 22 12 13 10 16 3 4 2 4 14 133
2013 19 16 10 10 11 7 17 12 5 4 11 17 139
2014 16 15 15 12 8 10 1 6 1 1 0 11 96
2015 12 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 11 40
2016 9 13 15 14 5 6 6 2 10 14 4 10 108
2017 11 16 17 13 4 15 9 7 8 5 8 11 124
2018 14 10 6 4 10 6 11 4 0 0 10 12 87
2019 4 2 5 0 0 0 5 1 0 4 0 7 28
2020 8 14 10 9 3 3 1 8 5 6 9 11 87
2021 12 12 11 3 6 5 11 8 20 6 5 5 104
Averag
e 13 13 12 9 7 7 9 6 6 5 6 13 107

Extreme Rainfall

The total rainfall for one year and maximum rainfall for each year is shown below:

Total Rainfall Max R24

2500 90
80
2000
Total Rainfall (mm/years)

70

Max R24 (mm/day)

60
1500
50
40
1000
30

500 20
10
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Month

It shows the wettest year in 12 years occurred in 2010 and the driest season occurred In 2019.
Extreme rainfall is calculated using the block maxima approach. The distribution frequency fit test is
performed using 3 types of distribution: Largest Extreme Value (LEV), Lognormal, and Log Pearson III.
The distribution fit criteria are pvalue > 5% for 95% CI and the smallest Anderson Darling Test for
normality test. The results of distribution frequency test are shown below:
Based on fit criteria, the rainfall distribution is the Lognormal. Using the fitted parameter, the
Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function is plotted below:
The extreme rainfall for design obtained from ECDF below:

RT % R24
% ECDF
(years) Excdn (mm/day)
2 50 50 53
2,5 60 40 57
5 80 20 66
10 90 10 73
20 95 5 80
25 96 4 82
50 98 2 89
100 99 1 95
200 99,5 0,5 101