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BMKG Jayapura Jayapura
BMKG Jayapura Jayapura
BMKG Jayapura Jayapura
The average and maximum monthly rainfall and humidity data for 10 years at Jayapura is shown in
Tables below:
201
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
3
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 40 8,2 15,6 11,1 11 13,6 5,8 6,4 6,9 6,5 7 7
Average of RR (mm/day) 4,70 2,05 2,82 0,77 1,68 2,97 0,55 1,12 1,77 1,34 1,64 1,57
Max of RH_avg (%) 95 95 97 98 98 95 97 97 94 95 94 95
88,1 87,3 89,2 87,3 86,3 88,1 87,7 83,7 85,5 84,2 86,3 86,6
Average of RH_avg (%) 1 5 4 2 6 4 5 7 9 5 0 3
201
4
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 43 23 13 22 37 24,4 18,8 23 13,5 34 24 20,6
Average of RR (mm/day) 4,87 2,78 1,63 4,29 2,30 3,73 1,58 2,84 2,03 3,34 2,82 3,90
Max of RH_avg (%) 94 94 94 97 92 94 94 92 96 92 96 93
88,0 84,7 86,1 88,9 86,0 85,9 85,2 82,0 85,0 82,6 85,7 87,4
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 9 6 4 4 1 9 0 8 7 1 8
201
5
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 21 7 0
Average of RR (mm/day) 7,93 4,03 0,00
Max of RH_avg (%) 88
86,5
Average of RH_avg (%) 0
201
6
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 10,5 25 19 7,7 17,5 9,8 20,6 6,9 19
10,5 11,7
Average of RR (mm/day) 0 7 7,20 2,69 4,22 2,35 5,89 2,50 7,98
Max of RH_avg (%) 97 94 94 92 98 94 98 92
90,5 92,5 88,3 84,6 87,3 88,2 87,3 87,9
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 0 3 4 6 4 8 1
201
7
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 18,2 5,2 16 7,2 20 15 14 8,3 9,2 40 31 21,6
Average of RR (mm/day) 5,42 2,14 6,30 4,29 5,15 5,78 4,31 4,52 4,66 7,34 3,81 6,20
Max of RH_avg (%) 96 93 94 97 93 97 96 94 95 90 96 94
87,0 89,1 90,4 89,8 86,6 87,7 89,5 87,2 86,6 84,7 88,8 88,3
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 1 2 0 0 5 8 9 3 3 2 3
201
8
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 6,5 21,6 17,2 22,4 11,1 22 9,8 22 8,3 14 11,6 26,4
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,88 5,76 5,04 8,01 4,08 6,78 3,83 4,25 2,12 4,36 5,11 4,40
Max of RH_avg (%) 93 95 95 96 94 93 92 94 96 93 94 90
89,5 89,7 88,6 89,6 85,2 86,7 87,2 88,2 88,4 87,1 89,2 87,4
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 7 3 7 5 0 9 7 4 7 5 3
201
9
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 13 25 34 26 10,7 24 7,4 3,5 14,2 6,7 20,6 20,4
Average of RR (mm/day) 6,00 8,29 5,61 4,01 3,17 3,55 1,98 0,97 3,12 1,97 8,62 4,96
Max of RH_avg (%) 97 98 96 96 96 94 95 90 95 92 94 94
89,3 89,5 88,1 89,5 89,5 88,3 86,8 84,8 84,9 86,1 87,0 88,3
Average of RH_avg (%) 1 3 4 3 7 5 2 0 1 1 6 5
202
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 23 9 15,9 19 10,5 6,5 15 19 1,8 1,9 18,2 14,2
Average of RR (mm/day) 4,17 2,41 3,71 4,24 2,12 2,27 3,14 2,45 0,25 0,33 5,22 3,01
Max of RH_avg (%) 94 93 95 91 94 89 85 96 93 91 94 94
88,2 87,7 86,6 84,6 86,5 86,5 81,1 85,9 82,5 84,3 86,1 86,9
Average of RH_avg (%) 1 4 8 7 7 0 7 3 7 8 4 4
202
1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 6 25 20,4 22,4 8,3 6,9 12 5,6 11 11,1 5,6 34
Average of RR (mm/day) 0,89 7,04 3,47 3,38 1,92 0,72 2,72 0,72 2,17 1,48 1,14 7,92
Max of RH_avg (%) 93 90 95 96 95 96 93 95 95 94 94 94
86,8 86,4 87,6 89,0 86,4 88,2 87,9 85,5 84,0 84,5 87,6 91,0
Average of RH_avg (%) 6 0 7 0 5 1 3 4 5 7 2 0
202
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 20,4 24 27 10,7 11,2 13
Average of RR (mm/day) 4,93 5,63 8,97 3,79 3,09 6,78
Max of RH_avg (%) 96 95 95 96 95 89
89,5 88,6 87,5 91,0 87,9 86,2
Average of RH_avg (%) 6 7 6 0 2 5
Indonesia is affected by monsoon season with wet season usually occurs in October to March and
dry season in April to September. The average total monthly rainfall for 10 years is shown below:
Rainfall Humidity
70 89
60 88
50
87
R (mm/month)
Humidity (%)
40
86
30
85
20
10 84
0 83
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
The rainfall pattern shows that dry season peak occurred in September and rainy season peak
occurred in December. The total rainy day for each month and year is shown below:
Extreme Rainfall
The total rainfall for one year and maximum rainfall for each year is shown below:
2500 80
70
2000
Total Rainfall (mm/years)
60
It shows the wettest year in 9 years occurred in 2019 and the driest season occurred In 2015.
Extreme rainfall is calculated using the block maxima approach. The distribution frequency fit test is
performed using 3 types of distribution: Largest Extreme Value (LEV), Lognormal, and Log Pearson III.
The distribution fit criteria are pvalue > 5% for 95% CI and the smallest Anderson Darling Test for
normality test. The results of distribution frequency test are shown below:
Based on fit criteria, the rainfall distribution is the Largest Extreme Value. Using the fitted parameter,
the Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function is plotted below:
The extreme rainfall for design obtained from ECDF below:
RT % R24
% ECDF
(years) Excdn (mm/day)
2 50 50 56
2,5 60 40 61
5 80 20 75
10 90 10 87
20 95 5 99
25 96 4 103
50 98 2 114
100 99 1 126
200 99,5 0,5 137