Teluk Bayur Weather Station

The average and maximum monthly rainfall and humidity data for 10 years at Teluk Bayur is shown
in Tables below:

2010
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 50 32 40 34 13 36 40 38 51 45 43 32
Average of RR (mm/day) 7.11 8.08 4.87 3.15 1.39 3.85 4.79 6.81 8.13 12.26 14.63 4.21
Max of RH_avg (%) 89 86 80 86 92 87 83 84 94 87 90 86
Average of RH_avg (%) 75.18 77.35 73.78 76.38 74.29 72.42 72.67 70.93 73.25 72.56 77.92 73.72

2011
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 50 9.5 34.2 36 26 38 33 29 47 32 45 22
Average of RR (mm/day) 4.26 0.61 6.78 8.59 5.16 5.92 1.47 4.97 6.54 6.04 9.59 5.68
Max of RH_avg (%)       86 82 85 91 87 87 86 91 89
Average of RH_avg (%)       73.86 73.05 71.04 70.17 74.17 77.17 75.44 77.50 73.92

2012
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 17.4 37 43 43 26 34 23 45 38 44 41 29
Average of RR (mm/day) 1.69 4.04 8.00 3.59 3.78 2.28 5.00 3.72 4.33 6.17 7.53 8.41
Max of RH_avg (%) 87 84 85 84 81 79 87 88 81 90 87 88
Average of RH_avg (%) 74.41 74.58 70.42 70.93 70.09 69.79 74.96 72.56 74.26 74.25 74.11 76.78

2013
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 37 50 24 44 44 25 61 45 38 13.5 51 50
Average of RR (mm/day) 5.91 7.84 2.33 6.68 4.28 5.07 6.96 4.31 3.93 2.97 9.62 9.47
Max of RH_avg (%) 90 90 85 98 88 80 81 80 88 84 87 87
Average of RH_avg (%) 77.21 79.61 75.66 79.63 74.83 68.19 67.89 69.92 71.70 70.25 74.92 73.65

2014
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 50 9.8 34.2 36 25 41 40 25.5 28 38 43 10
Average of RR (mm/day) 4.26 0.63 5.47 5.60 3.51 5.30 4.61 5.25 2.70 5.83 5.38 3.04
Max of RH_avg (%) 84 80 82 83 85 84 88 89 91 89 93 88
Average of RH_avg (%) 73.48 65.46 72.42 71.83 77.46 72.61 70.70 76.46 75.83 80.08 81.52 78.78

2015
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 47 20 50 14 22.5 29.6 28 9 13.1 36 45 43
Average of RR (mm/day) 7.23 1.71 10.57 5.71 3.24 7.07 2.62 1.90 1.66 6.18 13.12 6.60
Max of RH_avg (%) 92 92 82 87 94 90 83 86 88 86 93 91
Average of RH_avg (%) 80.95 77.00 78.33 82.60 79.89 83.00 76.17 81.33 80.78 81.90 83.75 82.00

2016
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 16 18.5 34 22.5 34 41 51 22 50 27 47 36
Average of RR (mm/day) 3.49 5.86 8.78 5.59 5.41 11.41 12.82 6.49 17.27 10.33 11.84 11.99
Max of RH_avg (%) 87 91 90 86 88 88 87 82 83 85 90 90
Average of RH_avg (%) 81.60 79.88 83.33 81.50 82.67 77.63 82.10 77.58 79.00 80.33 82.80 81.87

2017
 Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 34.5 19 13.5 27.5 20.6 7.9 23 28 31 16.3 37 36
Average of RR (mm/day) 8.56 5.25 2.21 5.97 4.56 1.92 5.67 3.12 5.04 4.44 8.00 9.55
Max of RH_avg (%) 85 94 87 88 91 84 91 89 96 86 90 89
Average of RH_avg (%) 79.23 80.55 80.58 82.19 81.50 78.00 81.00 79.83 83.69 76.55 80.82 81.35

2018
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 38 24.5 40 36 32 1.3 28 28 24 24.5 34.5 43
Average of RR (mm/day) 6.33 5.56 7.16 7.37 7.63 0.30 4.83 4.82 5.34 8.36 10.95 5.78
Max of RH_avg (%) 85 88 97 89 90 85 90 83 88 90 90 83
Average of RH_avg (%) 74.31 79.45 82.47 82.67 83.94 74.64 77.28 74.70 80.67 84.07 81.45 75.54

2019
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 10.6 44 38 28 27 50 15 16.7 19.4 6 11 18.1
Average of RR (mm/day) 2.38 3.61 5.59 6.46 2.54 5.40 1.31 2.01 1.68 1.10 1.00 3.44
Max of RH_avg (%) 86 87 88 86 90 91 86 91 88 90 90 92
Average of RH_avg (%) 79.00 78.53 77.19 77.88 76.88 80.44 79.25 78.83 79.25 85.86 85.04 86.64

2020
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 6.5 15.2 37 23 51 10.2 28 34 11 23.8 33.2 37
Average of RR (mm/day) 0.88 1.68 6.38 5.98 5.03 1.85 4.30 3.76 3.52 2.93 10.14 4.07
Max of RH_avg (%) 88 91 87 91 93 96 96 93 92 89 98 87
Average of RH_avg (%) 83.26 78.52 78.05 82.91 78.72 81.55 85.32 80.39 82.80 75.32 85.06 79.90

2021
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 23.4 13.2 10.7 26.4 9.4 24 14 18 23 37.2 26.5 34
Average of RR (mm/day) 3.29 1.31 2.04 4.68 2.60 2.63 1.90 3.16 3.27 5.90 5.72 6.65
Max of RH_avg (%) 86 92 92 90 96 98 90 94 97 98 98 89
Average of RH_avg (%) 77.14 76.71 86.20 82.48 87.13 82.05 79.33 84.67 85.81 82.09 81.55 82.94

2022
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 20.4 5.3 16 22.5 17 34.5            
Average of RR (mm/day) 3.50 1.02 3.65 4.23 3.06 8.89            
Max of RH_avg (%) 97 93 99 90 96 98            
Average of RH_avg (%) 85.18 80.33 81.16 81.48 84.15 89.11            

Seasonal Rainfall Pattern

Indonesia is affected by monsoon season with wet season usually occurs in October to March and
dry season in April to September. The average total monthly rainfall for 10 years is shown below:
 Rainfall Humidity
300 82
81
250 80
R (mm/month)
200 79

Humidity (%)
78
150 77
76
100 75
74
50
73
0 72
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month

The rainfall pattern shows that dry season peak occurred in February and rainy season peak occurred
in November. The total rainy day for each month and year is shown below:

Total Rainy Day

Years JA FE MA AP MA JU JU AU SE OC NO DE All Year
N B R R Y N L G P T V C
2010 15 12 16 13 10 10 12 12 15 17 24 12 168
2011 11 5 18 16 8 16 3 10 14 16 21 17 155
2012 9 12 10 7 9 5 14 9 11 9 13 17 125
2013 12 17 8 15 10 13 12 9 13 15 21 17 162
2014 11 5 18 15 17 14 11 16 10 14 19 14 164
2015 16 3 9 12 11 14 6 10 7 8 21 12 129
2016 8 8 15 17 14 7 13 12 20 17 23 21 175
2017 16 9 10 16 12 9 10 14 14 12 17 19 158
2018 10 7 17 14 18 7 13 15 19 18 18 11 167
2019 15 7 16 19 9 12 10 12 5 10 9 20 144
2020 10 7 14 18 14 11 14 14 9 13 18 14 156
2021 13 7 17 13 12 11 12 20 13 17 17 18 170
Averag
e 12 8 14 15 12 11 11 13 13 14 18 16 156

Extreme Rainfall

The total rainfall for one year and maximum rainfall for each year is shown below:
 Total Rainfall Max R24

3500 140

3000 120
Total Rainfall (mm/years)

2500 100

Max R24 (mm/day)

2000 80

1500 60

1000 40

500 20

0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Month

It shows the wettest year in 12 years occurred in 2010 and the driest season occurred In 2019.
Extreme rainfall is calculated using the block maxima approach. The distribution frequency fit test is
performed using 3 types of distribution: Largest Extreme Value (LEV), Lognormal, and Log Pearson III.
The distribution fit criteria are pvalue > 5% for 95% CI and the smallest Anderson Darling Test for
normality test. The results of distribution frequency test are shown below:
Based on fit criteria, the rainfall distribution is the Lognormal. Using the fitted parameter, the
Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function is plotted below:
The extreme rainfall for design obtained from ECDF below:

RT % R24
% ECDF
(years) Excdn (mm/day)
2 50 50 81
2.5 60 40 85
5 80 20 96
10 90 10 106
20 95 5 114
25 96 4 117
50 98 2 125
100 99 1 132
200 99.5 0.5 139