Date Am i 3 Atudy & solue opplitetion prablumi based on Bayes’ law and condlitibnal pruboabiltty - Prosuem : In 202Ll , trye ail be 3 randidaty for UY Wiha a inept Hint the adt Oe co-ed. in cullege oo ) thee a coe orb An Baht uae t t, da puob that Ox Sige ta principal THEORY : Bayes’ druorxom. can be exprcmed as — — PIED PUAIE:) — f=1,2,3,---m P(E[A) = Soe te) aide: Conditionat puotnbillty °- P PLEA) ten) «em Low a ttal probably * PLA) = E plang) CSOLUTION | tat & oe eat op Cr i be Grcneipal cook! a Oe cay be thto AIM 5 Sy find the unbroum probabuitia Pe) 2, PG) =g OE) \ ~ 'A’ mepeune that thee in co-tducation én colltpe Q a 6 : PIA)-0.4 , P1B)=0.3 and. TEM) mapa oe gratis ims one a, secede PROBLEM * putanity gf fine emo O) Fe repaired peas par ere writ be coed. on collye 3 —~ «ome ae % a Pl i. v. PC ALB) #& P(BIA) PIA) = PIAIE,) + PLE,).PIRIE) + PLEs)- PLAIE) sae. ripe " A f wm. P1A08') ~ PrRUB) a. p(xn(AvB)) . + Ens 4 Se 2 ais + Om + 0.266 ‘ea CatcutaTion : Gi) Reguiner pire. trot tere 4 eoredu. and Or ute prrpel = PlEs). PALES) a (EIA) = WAY r = - Pinas) a [ Peer eet 8] tisB : AY03H), nye 0+ (Hd = (WFDd By Sjareanadvew bongo newer 21 el (vid yum wy wo WE Ye who we Oa “tend rm 37? NOILY INI WD (3Iv)d (9d wg we--- 88! wn nm 1O 9= ((9n¥) Owls 3 hy a 2 <0 reemerged) ranean 39 reman prvrlbry : Linexy, goo =a pacduced by 365 PLE) = BO = 0.1095 P(ALB) = Tatas ae dole ee om ees re 47 + 0.1095 X OB Tau + fii CONCLUSION ¢ (a) Plant § da amas prntatir to prnducr ro. (0) Tatas awurage solu fou tee canary year To.62/21 o oe eae eet te WO Probatdaty Oe et ee i cafes — P(Aa|B) =; 8 Pleo) «fin “yore AIM 5 Se find cdf ond zorstnt ke gue Ha Kordtiniueus random vorindl with i pa} Fete) = fiom SSymae Ret Fim) aa continues function of % on th night PROBLEM has, Xap cortinubs Hardon Vonioble Hs Plos nse): jterdx + Sf favax—fymam CALCULATIONS : Detvemint camaut k find cdf > aie My My dependent obsyuiation Xx whet 4 ta peasy Diakt gnadly opel MG ‘ahi 2 tives a npn” fant 15°? THE ORY ‘4 fercion with vou f) , eafnad ow a eurliinuses! ardent icdibe” x4 he , Placxse) = Sfman Sek ik 0 cortinutes rardom variate ond tw Youur 9 ih ee or tM fit) , then the function grata” Oy ~ Fon: elxen) = Fywdt for -m ba npy mse meytgn 5 Hae meg[lt Spplmy)) CALCULATIONS * 19rt mea ? avenuol ckistribuctao curel fund , Aim ae Lardegeres EXPERIMENT * 8 ae 3 ou fond 254 tine & Be thon mt eee agama ech ote eth 1e Fraaguacin (fi) | 2 6 HS i 5 36 1 OF pete 1 SO. Pe & Ba M5 coi apc Be i DO Bg wlen is ontaud tur pgs Gouden F052) way Egg Ou suum frome ood sbupdly find a Mammstiin prababilities CUAL ek enpectd fn shuld be sams @) Aature 4] cis Untvtuen rion, ate dt, cmmetng Same eta wall be PR une seu ne ry bay iy Vy | eeeeeeeep ees liiibdbbbddeca=mea er) = SCIEN sag = nop [14304 Mean = f+ Variamee =fie= 2 is r 4 - de oe fee + Bee and ps & 3 = (0) Tabee 16-2 aT Ria oe ww wt Efi 256 nf fp 6 M8 9 256 He 2H ToS Sf; = 1043, Mean» = Sing = 1948 - 07421615 256 sarang = 0. 5iseTIa43E 1-0.5032779488 = 0.490722 6563 = 10376109453 Hs 1.1, (0.440722)* = 0.0033627 = & (1.081108) (0.0033621) = 0.279188 2 0 Too 6164 378108). POS). 6.273061142. ) PM) = 0.228086 TY PUab) =pISH = £5 CAITHION) 5) = o.1176403716 put) = plétt osTbi0¥) - FUG) =o. OSU RRQU ET edd doeee. t 2 z BH1.- (10318109). PO) = 0° 004525163 oi plk=8) = PIT 2 0.86015 2654E ~ | ‘ “taza atu = 2 2 aides ~ 3 3 @ .atouden BS wer = : “ mre ene | Bye todes2, = 10 3 50 Suageredine 58. os14aes ~ 58 6 36 Guage 20.11593512~ 30 5 io Brosustou 1g aaagoa ~ 9 8 \ 0.00u525 1695 | I IDEUUSSE~ I | = eghite? oe ae re BO | ani i ii pad ail ve ats B ER get A Bee ey El - ee ues | | 3 is }* Caccorations : home cmon than 5 we trot tunned 9 a = Loge te She ‘tat > 42 2.502585098 Prat ‘pbectully hat a" ad be E ont ‘ aun en Mk q wuld = be Le Xx be ry. ing the Mutort cueegpe ently “Cina mend “ot Boalt bi OH n=6000 p sis é "i nA = = ea - pay — a. hk pa oh a - on - is iis © A a} = 2. Duinage mo 4 baciua present” por TV amd = 2.302585043 =A zgooo_ y, 2 Sooo = t