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Anization (A J) 1976
Anization (A J) 1976
Anization (A J) 1976
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FIGURE 1
P(Z)
w(z)
< E
W
(Z,f)--<,
H
LU /
0~
MIRRLEES / III
a b
WORK
= d -
w)f(z,E)dz
dE
d
d f
J{p(z(n,E)) - W(z(n,E),E)}O(n)dn,
Ze = W'Ew SW WE (18)
SW*- W' + SZ - W
de (w-p) = wE + (w -P') ZE
(w - + + Sz -
p')w'E (SWp' W")WE (19)
SWW, + Sz - W"
w(z)
(n0+E)-INDIFFERENCE
Lu CURVE \
NEW W(z)
_ Z
i
Zl Z2
WORK
If W(Z2) W(Z1)-
(Z2 - z1)H', profitscan be increased by
=
THE BELL JOURNAL which is positive, by (24) and the continuityof w and p.
114 / OF ECONOMICS This proves that whenever (24) holds, profitscan be increased.
Therefore,in equilibrium,
p(z) H'z
14es
LuI
0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~-0
z
Z1 Z2
WORK
FIGURE 4
EW w(z)
MIRRLEES / 115
Z? WORK
w(z) =P(Z)
as was to be proved.
The proof of this proposition-apart from the lemma which is
merelydisposing of a special case-does not consider the incentive
effectsof the pay schedule, but only the effectson the supply of
laborers. Indeed, it is littlemore than the usual argumentforequality
between wages and marginalproducts, with special care taken to
check thatno incentiveeffectsoccur when a wage is reduced. But the
productionfunctionto which the argumentapplies is a very special
one, which, by assuming perfectsubstitutibility among the different
work-activitiesin the firm,excludes just those featuresof industrial
productionthat one associates with the existence of job hierarchies.
Probablytheproofof thepropositioncould be extendedto cover such
cases as are suggestedin (4) and (4a) above. The argumentshould fail
only when a large change in work-levelby a small numberof workers
has a large effecton marginalproductivities.But that is, surely, an
interestingand large class of cases.
For the general case, a less precise, but almost equally compel-
ling, argumentcan be offered.Suppose that, for a range of work-
levels, wage-rates are above marginalproducts. The firmdoes not
reduce these wage-rates if that would lose all the corresponding
workers, because it needs such workers. But, to be a little more
realistic, a small reductionin wage rates will not suddenly lose all
such workersto the firm.A temporaryreductionwould simplyreduce
recruitingfor a time. Then the change in other marginalproducts is
small and can properlybe neglected: the wage reductionincreases
profits,so long as it does not, and is not expected to, go on too long.
There is, then, a general weakness in wage levels if they ever get
above marginalproducts, so that we can expect them to crumble.
When this argumentis coupled withthe implicationof Proposition 1,
thatincentiveconsiderationswill not in themselvespush wages above
marginalproducts, it is hard to resist the conclusion that, under
competitiveconditions, with unidentifiablelabor skills, wages and
marginalproducts are equal in equilibrium.
This conclusion has been based on an industrywith identical
firms.We should also discuss the equilibriumof a group of firmswith
differentproduction functionstaking their workers from the same
labor market.If all were recruitingthe same mixtureof abilities,they
would, in general,have different impliedmarginalproductivities,and
it would followfrom(23) thatdifferent firmswere payingaccordingto
differentschedules. If workers are well informedabout payment
schedules, this is impossible: differentwage schedules would sort
worker-typesamong firms. A disequilibriumprocess of this kind
could provide different firmswith labor forces of differentcomposi-
tion until p( ) is the same for all, and the wage-paymentschedule
uniform.Thus, equilibriumfor an industryis characterized by the
orthodoxuniformity of marginalproductivitiesand wages. The result,
THE BELL JOURNAL it should be reiterated,has been obtained withoutthe usual assump-
116 / OF ECONOMICS tion that employersknow the abilities of those they are hiring.
y - fw(z)c(n)dn,
or
(p'(Z) - S) ) = -puwsn. (33)
or
uwp. ' + unw,u, = uwX - 4; (34)
P - 1) dm (42)
n() ( W
where
T
,u(O) = 0 is used in deriving (42). A(oo) = 0 implies that
( p -
1)_
ldm = 0. (44)
pW 1 (l + a). (50)
w 7
i.e.,
,vh
= - U"(z)-ffvf gdydE. (56)
Before taking the other derivatives,it is advantageous to change a
variable of integrationand write
L = Off{v(y - +(X),02) + Xu(k(x),z)
+ (U2 + uf/f)}f(y,z)g(0(x - y))dydx. (57)
THE BELL JOURNAL
122 / OF ECONOMICS 1 Mirrlees(1972b,1974).See also Spence and Zeckhauser(1971).
L= -o (58)
ao
(Since I shall not be computing solutions, I do not evaluate this
derivativeexplicitly:it is clearly rathera complicated expression.)
aL
a4(x)
= Of{-vI + XuI + W(u12+ uj1f/f)}f(y,z)g(O(x - y))dy =0.
Since u and its derivativesare independentof y, thismay be rewritten
in the form
I fvlfgdy/ffgdy
= A+ , {u12 + ffzgdy/ffgdy}
=f
xE(fJx) d {ffzg(6(x - y))dy/ffgdy}
= 6{fzg'dy/ffgdy- ffzgdyffg'dy/(ffgdy)2}
= 5
{E( fz x)-E( x) E g )} (62)
E (fz xl 2: 0 9 (63)
{a4 -
ax, (65)
a? (u12/u)lb,'(x) = E(f/x)
-
d
which, with all our assumptions, implies as desired that f5' 2 0.
Assumption(iii) is fairlyunexceptionable; and somethinglike (ii) is
bound to be required. But (i) is not the kind of thing we should
assume: it should be deduced. From (56)-bearing in mindthat U" s
0 (and ignoringthe exceptional possibilitythat U" = 0)-we see that
, > 0 ifand only if the principalwould like z to be furtherincreased,
if he could controlit directly,the paymentschedule being fixed. This
is plausible, certainly:one expects the payments to be so arranged
that the agent does not do all the principalwould like. But I have
been unable to findgeneral assumptionsthat exclude the possibility
L< O.
Certain special cases are of interest. Since it is necessary to
simplifydrasticallyin order to get muchfurther,I shall fromnow on
assume that
U12= 0. (66)
Case I: Onlyoutputis uncertain.
In this case, E is equal to zero with probabilityone, and (59)
becomes, since x and y are identical,
vi(y - +(Y)) = A + gf,(Y' ) (67)
- =- E. (70)
g
Since E varies from -00 to +00, the right-hand side of (69) is some-
times negative. This is a trifleupsetting,since the left-handside is
always positive (assuming u and v are increasing functionsof in-
come). It mightbe thoughtthat this trouble arises because, with a
normal error, observed output can be negative; but the same thing
happens if x = zeEl". What we have to do is allow forthe possibility(
= 0 explicitly. Maximization of the Lagrangean with respect to (
yields an inequalityif ( = 0:
-v1 + Xu1 - Au1g'/g ? 0. (71)
If X - Ag' /g < 0, (71) holds with strict inequality, and consequently
( = 0.
We can see this explicitlyif we consider an example where both
principaland agent have constant absolute risk aversion:
u, = e-ac? , v1 = e-(Z-). (72)
(x) = a az
+/
+ I
a +/3 log
(X + AO(x-z))
(x ? x0 = z + (eat- A)/(,u)) (73)
= 0 (x xo)
FIGURE 5
AN OPTIMAL PAYMENT SCHEDULE
0~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
xoxO~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
WORK
One wants to know how the schedules vary as the chosen 0, and
the agent's elasticityof substitutionbetween income and effort,vary.
Unfortunatelythat is complicated in all the examples I have looked
at, because of the awkward formof condition(56). From (73), it can
be seen that the payment schedule takes a fairlysharp "logistic"
formas in Figure 6 if St eaz and eaz are both large. (These are
FIGURE 6
A PAYMENT SCHEDULE APPROXIMATING AN INSTRUCTION
z
LL
xO~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
WORK
* Suppose now that the principal has n men to supervise, all 4. Two-level
identical, who as before choose z to maximize U(z); and suppose organ izations
outputsadd (i.e., constantreturns).The principal(followingCase II
n
of the previous model) receives nz - , p(z + Ei/0), there being
independentobservationof the n agents. He would like to choose +
and 0 so as to maximize
V = Ev(nz -
Y4,nO2). (76)
A small change in +(x) changes V by an amount proportionalto
n
-nE2 . . . Env1(nz - 4(x) - +(X1) ), (77)
In this case the optimal paymentschedule has the same formas that
discussed at the end of the previous section. There is no reason to
thinkit would get flatteror steeper as the number of subordinates
increases. But if absolute risk aversion is decreasing, it is a different
matter,because the relative aggregate riskiness of the principal's
receipts diminishesas n increases. In that case, for large n, we can
regardthe principalas effectively risk-neutral.He chooses ( and 0 to
maximize
v(nz - nEO(z + E/0),n02), (80)
and the first-order
conditionforthe paymentschedule is of the form MIRRLEES / 127
ff=-__2_P(P
0
02
- 1) + O(- + 1)
~~(Z 4) 2
+ 2po-
44 Z-4)
j (82)
(2
X- Z + E1 1.
.nl ~1 1
X2= n,z - E lI(Xi') +-E2 = Z2 +-E2.
i=l 02 02
n2 n21
i=l i=l
6. The scale of * It has been suggested that the scale of firmsis limited by the
firms capabilities of managers,by the intrinsicdifficulty of controllinglarge
organizations, and by the communicationloss resultingfrom long
chains of authority. The model of the previous section made no
explicit allowance for the managerial skills that may be required of
men in charge of large departments.In fact the model was motivated
by a desire to see what kinds of complexitymightarise in a large
organization.It gives a fairlyroutinerole to everyonein the firm:men
eitherwork or observe the results of what others have done; and of
course they choose what to do. In this way informationabout the
value of work-which may be interpretedas the value of different
kinds of work-gets conveyed throughthe organization,fromapex to
workers. There is no apparent reason why the top man's job should
be any harder than that of anyone else; no reason why, in the op-
timum policy, middle managers should get more than workers. If
there are reasons why higher-leveljobs in a hierarchyrequire more
abilitythan lower-level ones, they have largely escaped the model.
Perhaps the best candidate is the ability to take decisions: for the
choice of paymentschedule-which stands, of course, for advice and
instruction,redeployment,and even encouragementand discipline-
surely has greater effectsat higherlevels than at lower ones. This
consideration may also support the second reason for diminishing
returnsmentionedabove. An adequate model for skill in decision-
takingremains to be built.
Communicationlosses are the basis of Williamson's analysis of
the size of firms(1970). The evidence quoted by him was experimen-
tal; but it seems plausible thatinformation is lost in long chains. Yet,
the model in the previous section gives an example of how informa-
tion may be conveyed where at each link in the chain, observationis
imperfect,everyone is choosing what to do on the basis of self-
interest,and as a result creates an incentive system which conveys
information to the next man down. The transmissionof information is
imperfect,because, for example, no one has an incentive simplyto
obey an instructionor to pass it on. Yet it turnsout thatthe contribu-
tion of the organizational structureto diminishingreturns is very
weak, becoming forlarge organizationsessentiallynegligible.Uncer-
taintyin communicationdoes not necessarily implyincreased losses
in proportionto the size of the organization.
130 / OF ECONOMICS Apart fromthe interestthat the models may have as pictures-
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