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FIN2004 - 2704 Week 10 Slides
FIN2004 - 2704 Week 10 Slides
FIN2004 - 2704 Week 10 Slides
Week 10
Capital Budgeting – Part 2
Learning objectives
• Understand how to determine the relevant net cash flows
for capital budgeting decisions.
• Use the relevant discount rate: Understand the role of
WACC.
• Be able to calculate projected cash flows from pro forma
financial statements.
• Understand how depreciation expenses are treated in
capital budgeting.
• Understand how capital spending is treated in capital
budgeting.
• Be able to evaluate alternative projects with “unequal lives”.
2
NPV Analysis: Best Decision Criteria
• Last lecture, we concluded that NPV was the best capital
budgeting decision criteria to apply. Recall that NPV involves
the evaluation of various capital investment proposals by:
1. Estimating all the project’s cash inflows and outflows
2. Estimating the required rate of return
3. Computing the PV of all the cash inflows and outflows
3
Using NPV for Capital Budgeting
Thus, recall that NPV represents the addition to value/wealth
from undertaking a particular project/acquisition/investment.
It corresponds with the objective of maximizing value.
CF" CF# CF$
NPV = −CF! + "
+ #
+ ⋯+ $
1+r 1+r 1+r
The appropriate risk adjusted discount rate, r, when valuing
a firm’s total net cash flows and/or its project net cash flows,
is the firm’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC).
As such, the critical ingredients to capital budgeting are:
1. How to estimate the relevant project cash flows
2. How to compute the WACC. 4
Relevant Cash Flows
Relevant Cash Flows
• A relevant cash flow for a project is a change in the firm’s overall
future cash flow that comes about as a direct consequence of the
decision to take that project. In other words, it is ____________ cash
flows that are relevant.
• Incremental cash flows is defined as the difference between a firm’s
future cash flows with a project and those without the project.
• The stand-alone principle allows us to analyze each project in
isolation from the firm simply by focusing on incremental cash flows.
• Viewing projects as “mini-firms” with their own assets, revenues and
costs allows us to evaluate the investments independently from the
other activities of the firm.
• By viewing projects as “mini-firms”, we imply that the firm as a whole
constitutes a portfolio of mini-firms (i.e. mini-projects). As a result, the
value of the firm equals the combined value of its components. 6
Cash Flows in a Typical Project
CFFA is also known as Free Cash Flow and as Net Cash Flow from Operations
8
Identifying Relevant Cash Flows
• _____ costs – costs that have already been incurred and cannot be
removed. They cannot be altered by present decisions and thus are
not relevant.
– Alternatively, D, E and V are the market values of the firm’s Debt, Equity
and Total Value (where 𝑉 = 𝐷 + 𝐸), respectively.
13
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
• WACC takes into account the firm’s after-tax equity and debt
financing costs.
• Payments to equity holders are not tax-deductible and so, after-
tax, remain at rE.
14
WACC: Example
The Anyhow Company’s current capital structure comprises
1 million common shares with market price of $30 per share
and 16,000 bonds with market price of $793.70 per bond.
Going forward, however, Anyhow aims to achieve a target
capital structure of 40% debt and 60% common equity.
Its common stock has a beta of 1.6, while its bonds have a
$1,000 par value and semiannual coupons with a 3%
coupon rate with 9 years to maturity.
The risk-free rate in the market is 3% and the market return
is 11%. The marginal corporate tax rate is 30%.
15
WACC: Example
1 𝑟$ = 3% + 1.6 11% − 3% = 15.8%
19
Project A: Pro Forma Income Statement
Sales (50,000 units at $4.00/unit) $200,000
Variable Costs ($2.50/unit) $125,000
Gross Profit $75,000
Fixed Costs $12,000
Depreciation ($120,000 ÷ 3) $40,000
EBIT $23,000
Taxes (34%) $7,820
Net Income $15,180
20
Project A: Projected Operating Cash Flow
21
Project A: Projected Capital Requirements
• Now consider the project’s net capital spending per year
– Recall that NCS = Change in net Vixed assets + depreciation
• Therefore:
– In Year 1: NCS = (80,000 – 120,000) + 40,000 = 0
– In Year 2: NCS = (40,000 – 80,000) + 40,000 = 0
– In Year 3: NCS = (0 – 40,000) + 40,000 = 0
• We can find the NPV and the IRR of the cash flows:
vCompute NPV: Answer: $20,671
vCompute IRR: Answer: 14.65%
25
Project A: Additional Information
1. If you had spent $50,000 last year renovating the factory building,
should you factor this into the analysis for Project A?
• No, the renovation cost is a sunk cost and should not be
considered. We only include incremental cash flows.
2. If the facility could be leased out for $15,000 per year, should you
factor this into the analysis for Project A?
• Yes, by accepting the project, the firm forgoes the annual rental.
This is an opportunity cost to be included in the analysis.
• Don’t forget that all cash flows must be after-tax!
26
Project A: Projected Total Cash Flows
Factoring in after-tax Opportunity Cost
Year
0 1 2 3
27
Project A: Final Capital Budgeting Decision
• We can find the NPV and the IRR of the cash flows:
vCompute NPV: Answer: –$5,238
vCompute IRR: Answer: 5.2%
28
Other Considerations:
Depreciation Expense and
Net Salvage Value
Depreciation Expense ≠ Cash Flow
• In finance, costs and benefits associated with a capital
budgeting project are measured in terms of cash flows
rather than accounting earnings.
• In Accounting, upfront cash outflows to purchase and set
up equipment are not recognized as expenses in year 0.
Instead, the cash outlay appears as a ______________
expense over the course of the equipment’s useful life.
• However, depreciation expenses do not correspond to
actual cash outflows.
• This accounting treatment and tax effect of capital
expenditures is one of several key reasons that accounting
earnings do not accurately capture actual cash flows.
30
Depreciation: Be Sure to Reflect Taxes
• Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense.
• Consequently, it is only relevant because it affects taxes,
i.e. it results in ______ taxes payable (Greater depreciation
expense à Lower EBIT à Less taxes payable)
• Taxes are a relevant cash flow. As such, depreciation
expense indirectly affects cash flows through the
depreciation tax shield it creates
31
Depreciation Expense for Capital Budgeting
The depreciation expense used for capital budgeting should
be calculated based on the depreciation schedule required
for ______ purposes, i.e. not for accounting purposes
– Firms may choose different depreciation methodologies for
tax and accounting reporting purposes.
– Straight-line full depreciation is commonly used.
– Although we will not consider it in this module, accelerated
depreciation is an alternative: for example, depreciation
schedule for different assets are provided under MACRS
(Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System) that is
commonly used in the U.S.
32
Computing Depreciation Expense
Using straight-line full depreciation methodology:
33
Net Salvage Value
• Salvage Value refers to the _________ value the firm expects to receive
for an asset should it choose to sell it.
• If the salvage value (S) is different from the book value (B) of the asset at
the time of sale, then there is an effect on taxes.
35
Example: Depreciation Expense
and Net Salvage Value
𝐀𝐧𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐄𝐱𝐩𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐞
$100,000 + $20,000 $120,000
= = = $𝟐𝟎, 𝟎𝟎𝟎
6 6
39
Alternative Methods for Computing OCF
OCF = EBIT 1 − t # + Depreciation
= $23,000 1 − 34% + $40,000 = $𝟓𝟓, 𝟏𝟖𝟎
• Let’s assume that if we buy any new equipment, we will sell the
current equipment at the same time.
44
Example: Replacement Project
Current Machine New Machine
v Initial cost = $240,000 v Initial cost = $125,000
v 8-year useful life v 5-year useful life
v Purchased 3 years ago v Salvage in 5 years = $15,000
v Salvage today = $65,000 v Cost savings = $16,000/year
v Salvage in 5 years = $10,000
if don’t replace • Required return = 10%
current machine
• Tax rate = 40%
Opportunity cost
45
Replacement Project: Pro Forma Income Statements
Year 1 - 5
Cost Savings $16,000
$125,000
= $25,000
Depreciation 5
New Machine $25,000 $240,000
= $30,000
Old Machine $30,000 8
Incremental –$5,000
• Relevant
EBIT $21,000 • Can be negative!
Taxes (40%) $8,400
Net Income $12,600
Investment −26,000
48
Replacement Project: Capital Budgeting Decision
• Now that we have the cash flows, we can compute the
NPV and IRR
Ø NPV = $4,673
Ø IRR = 16.49%
49
Other Considerations:
Unequal Lives Projects
Mutually Exclusive Unequal Life Projects
• Suppose our firm is planning to expand and we have to select 1
out of 2 machines. However, they differ in terms of useful life.
• How do we decide which machine to select?
• NPV1 = $1,432
• NPV2 = $1,664
52
Example 1: Unequal Life Projects
Step 2:
Calculate Equivalent Annual Annuities (EAA)
(also called Replacement Chains)
53
Example 1: Unequal Life Projects
How to compute EAA?
Machine 1: Machine 2:
INPUTS INPUTS
N I/YR PV PMT FV N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -617 OUTPUT -428
Decision Rule:
56
Example 2: Unequal Life Projects
Machine A Machine B
• Initial Cost = $5,000,000 • Initial Cost = $6,000,000
• Pre-tax operating cost • Pre-tax operating cost
= $500,000 = $450,000
• 5-year useful life • 8-year useful life
• Salvage value of $400,000 • Salvage value of $700,000
after 5 years after 8 years
This is a cost. So you should select the one with the less
negative EAA (still the higher EAA), or interpreted as the
lower Equal Annual Cost (EAC)