hineleaming modelsn an operational framework a European Geosciences cc | rere || wares | Ree 2 Union 5 hug 2022 Flood forecasting with machine learning models in an operational framework Sea Nevo, Etat Morin At Ger! Rosenthal Asher Megs, Chen Barshal, Oana Weiter, af loshin, Frederik Kratzer, Gal Eldan, Gideon Oro, Gregory Segelman, ‘Gey Nearing, Gay Shale, ia Noga, ra Shan, ora Yule, Moria Roy2, Nl Nola Pele Let, Of Rien, Oren Glo, Ror Mar, Shahar Tat Tal hehe, Vin Anise, Yotam Gig, YaalLeun, Zaeh Moshe, 24a Bera Anata Hassidim, an Yess Matas Abstract ‘coople's operational Sood forecasting system was developed to provide accurate realtime ood warnings to agencies and he public witha focus on eerneflods ine toured vers tbecame oprationslin 2078 ana has sine expanded geographical. Thi frecasting system eons four suoayters data waldaton stage forecasting, ‘etworks an the tne models lod inundation s omputed wih the Unesnoking and the manifold model where the former computes undatin exten ane the er anda. When evaluated on historia aaa, all models achieve suierthgh-per‘ermance meth or operational use. The LSTM showed higher ks than the par ‘model whl the tveshelding and mariold models achieved semlar performance mets for odelng nunaation exter During the 202! monsoon seasr, te feed warning system was operational le and Bangladesh, coverg foos-prone relen around rivers wth total aee deseo 479000 home te more han 350.000 000 people More tan 109000000 flood ales were sent affected popultors to relevant authoiles. ard to eme’gency organzatons. Current ana fture werk onthe 'stem includes extending coverage to ational Nooe-prone locations and improving modeling capable and accuracy Download inks » aed (276 8 » spore 760 KB share [=somo How to cite Dates 1 Introduction 2 End-to-end real time operational flaod warning system 3 Machine learning model evaluation 4 Discussion 5 Conclusions Code availability Data availability Supplement Author contributions Competing interestsood forecasting wth machine learring models in an operational framework Sela Nevo etal ‘Acknowledgements Review statement References