Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 6

ISSN 1068-798X, Russian Engineering Research, 2018, Vol. 38, No. 4, pp. 295–300. © Allerton Press, Inc., 2018.

Original Russian Text © E.V. Tarasova, T.Yu. Nikolenko, G.L. Gorbunov, L.V. Semina, 2017, published in STIN, 2017, No. 10, pp. 9–13.

Implementation of Investment Projects at Industrial Enterprises


E. V. Tarasova*, T. Yu. Nikolenko**, G. L. Gorbunov***, and L. V. Semina****
Moscow Aviation Institute, Moscow, Russia
*e-mail: elenavtar@mail.ru
**e-mail: engecin@mail.ru
***e-mail: grigoriy.gorbunov@rsce.ru
****e-mail: info@diomen.mai.ru

Abstract—The sequence of implementation of investment projects adopted at industrial enterprises is dis-


cussed, in the light of their financial and production resources. Hierarchy analysis and integral linear pro-
gramming are essential components of the proposed algorithm. Practical calculations for an industrial enter-
prise show that this approach is practically expedient.

Keywords: investment project, implementation sequence, optimization model, hierarchy analysis, integral
linear programming
DOI: 10.3103/S1068798X18040214

Because industrial enterprises are such multifunc- ment program may be assessed, since the efficiency
tional organizations, different kinds of investment incorporates all of the project’s characteristics [2].
projects are required. The projects have different char- By hierarchy analysis, we may rank investment
acteristics and different outcomes. The most attractive projects in terms of their significance for the enter-
are projects that yield the maximum benefit in mini- prise, but without formulating an implementation
mum time, with the least initial capital expenditures, sequence. Therefore, the constraints specific to the
and that represent significant innovations. Less signifi- enterprise must be taken into account in analysis of the
cant projects will also be adopted if they meet the corre- project.
sponding economic, production, and social criteria [1].
To calculate the maximum total effect of invest-
Successful functioning of an industrial enterprise
ments with a finite quantity of capital, we may write a
depends on the correct sequencing of investment proj-
mathematical model permitting optimization by means
ect. To that end, the first stage is selection of the proj- of the Solution Search function in Excel software.
ects that are economically beneficial, within the
framework of the enterprise’s strategic goals. The target function in this problem is expressed by
If the selection must be made among projects that the formula
have different goals and cost characteristics, the best n
approach is hierarchy analysis.
Hierarchy analysis permits the assessment of proj-
max f ( X ) = ∑ IP × x ,
i =1
i i

ects on the basis of the qualitative and quantitative where IPi is the integral efficiency of project i ; n is the
characteristics. This approach provides a mathemati-
cally formalized selection procedure, with successive number of potential investments considered; xi = 1 if
structuring of the complex problem on hierarchical project i must be financed and xi = 0 otherwise.
principles. In addition, hierarchy analysis permits The financial resources set the constraints here, as
comprehensive appraisal of investment projects, tak- follows
ing account of all the factors that directly or indirectly
affect the decision. ⎧ n
Thus, by successive pair comparison of each invest- ∑
⎪ pi × xi ≤ B;
ment project with respect to different criteria (estab- ⎪ i =1

( )
n
lished by the management of the enterprise in terms of
its goals), integral criteria are calculated for each cap- ⎨ p.cu t

CF = В −
i
∑pi +
i =1
∑CFit × xi ≥ 0, when t = 1;
ital-investment option. On the basis of the integral ⎪ n
efficiency criteria, the expediency of including a spe-
cific investment project in the enterprise’s develop- ⎩ i =1

⎪CFp.cu t = CFp.cu(t −1) + CFit × xi ≥ 0, when t > 1,

295
296 TARASOVA et al.

Table 1
Characteristic Value
project 1 project 2 … project n
Variable cells x1 x2 xi xn
0 0 0 0
Integral parameter IPi IP1 IP2 IPi IPn
3
Necessary initial investment pi (10 rub) p1 p2 pi pn
Total possible initial financing, 103 rub

Table 2
Period t, yr 0 1 2 … T
Cash flow CF1 of project 1, 103 rub
Cash flow CF2 of project 2, 103 rub

Cash flow CFn of project n, 103 rub
n
Total cash flow ∑ CFit for the whole set of investment projects, 103 rub
i =1
Cash flow CFp.cu of investment project (cumulative total), taking account
of initial capital investments, 103 rub

where pi is the necessary initial capital investment for the positive cash flow formed in each period as a result
project i ; B is the total possible initial financing; t is of the successful investments.
the number of the period; CFp.cut is the cash flow for The financing of projects not included in the initial
the whole set of investment projects, expressed as the investment program depends on additional resources
cumulative total in period t ; CFit is the cash flow for produced by the implementation of the first genera-
project i in period t ; CFp.cu(t−1) is the cumulative cash tion of projects [3]. Once sufficient resources have
flow for the whole set of investment projects in period accumulated, the enterprise has the opportunity to
t − 1. undertake another project expected to improve the
cumulative cash flow. Finally, the sequence of invest-
The model corresponds to an integral linear-pro- ment projects will be such that the enterprise is able to
gramming problem with Boolean variables. self-finance future projects.
Table 1 presents the format for the initial data in the
calculation of the target function and the first con- The overall economic effect of this investment
straint on the optimization problem. program at the enterprise may be calculated from the
formula
The investment portfolio is liquid if the cumulative
cash flow for the whole set of investment projects is n

∑ (1 + d ) .
NPVi
positive in all periods after the onset of investment. E = t
That constraint is reflected in Eq. (1). i =1

Table 2 presents the format for the calculations of Here d is the discount rate; t is the onset of project i.
the constraints.
Thus, the main steps in specifying the sequence of
Thus, we write cash flows for the investment proj- investment projects at the enterprise are as follows.
ects that include the cash flow from the investment
portfolio, expressed as the cumulative total due to the (1) Ranking of the investment projects in order of
initial capital investments and the positive income preference on the basis of integral efficiency charac-
from the successful investments. teristics.
Solution of the optimization problem yields an (2) Optimization to determine the priorities of the
investment program consisting of a set of investment projects such as to obtain the maximum total effect,
projects and their completion dates, taking account of within the resource constraints.
the financial resources available at the enterprise. In (3) Calculation of the total economic effect for the
addition, the enterprise obtains information regarding enterprise.

RUSSIAN ENGINEERING RESEARCH Vol. 38 No. 4 2018


IMPLEMENTATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS AT INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES 297

I. Upper level of hierarchical framework Ir


Projects of Socially (a) I
1.0 0.8
industrial importance important projects 1. Industrial significance
Development of units to utilize Construction of 0.5 0.2 2. Social significance
the thermal energy of buildings a sports complex
0
Reequipment of 1 2
the sulfuric-acid store II
Development of dispatch Ir (b) (c)
system for substation grids Ir
0.4 0.35 0.35
1. NPV 0.6 0.56 1. Time to bring
Construction of an administrative 0.3 project on line
0.19 2. IRR 0.4 0.32 2. Proportion of
and residential building 0.2 0.11 3. PPd 0.12 insiders, %
Modernization of the automatic 0.1 0.2 3. Proportion of
0 4. Re 0
boiler safety systems outsiders, %
1 2 3 4 1 2 3
III
II. Intermediate level of hierarchical framework
Consumer and (d) 1. Development of units to
Economic characteristics utilize thermal energy
market characteristics IP 0.223 0.224 2. Reequipment of sulfuric-acid
0.2 0.170 store
0.130 0.128 3. Development of dispatch system
III. Lower level of hierarchical framework 0.1 0.076 4. Construction of administrative
and residential building
5. Modernization of
Time to deliver project results NPV, net present value of 0 automatic safety systems
to final customers investment 1 2 3 4 5 6 6. Construction of
(time to bring project on line) IRR, internal rate of return sports complex

Share of users employed by PPs, payback periods


corporation (proportion of Re, risk estimate
insiders, %) characterizing the most Fig. 2. System of priorities in formulating the investment
likely result of th program at a manufacturing enterprise: (a) higher-level
Share of users not employed by investment and the integral estimate in the hierarchical framework; (b, c) inte-
corporation (proportion of readiness of the enterprise gral estimates of economic criteria (IP = 0.25) and con-
outsiders, %) for the project sumer and market criteria (IP = 0.75); (d) final integral
assessment of projects: (I, II, III) first, second, and third
Fig. 1. Classification of investment projects on the basis of levels in the hierarchical framework; Ir, rank indices;
a hierarchical framework. IP, value of integral parameter.

(4) Further correction of the initial investment pro- the hierarchical framework for the characteristics
gram in the course of its implementation, in response employed in assessing the investment projects and the
to dynamic changes. list of projects under consideration at the enterprise.
By means of hierarchy analysis and optimization, On the basis of the balanced system of characteris-
the most promising investment projects correspond- tics, integral analysis of the investment projects per-
ing to the enterprise’s existing potential may be identi- mits their ranking in terms of the enterprise’s strategic
fied, in conditions of indeterminacy. The integral goals.
efficiency characteristic permits the selection of The integral assessment of each level in the hierar-
projects most consistent with the enterprise’s strate- chical framework is shown in Fig. 2.
gic goals. Thus, in formulation the implementation For the investment projects, the optimization
sequence for the investment projects, the enterprise’s problem is written on the basis of the calculated val-
development goals and resource constraints are taken ues of the integral characteristics. The constraints
into account [4]. here are the initial financial resources of the enter-
For the example of a large manufacturing enter- prise (35 million rub) and the requirement of a posi-
prise, we now consider the determination of the tive cumulative cash flow in all periods after the onset
implementation sequence for investment projects. of the investment program.
Manufacturing enterprises supplying state orders Table 3 presents the initial data for the optimization
must operate within tight investment windows, but it is problem.
possible to manage the capital investments in projects Solution of the optimization problem indicates that
of no interest to the state. These projects are important the enterprise may finance four of the six investment
to the enterprise’s productive and social role. Since the projects initially.
enterprise will have many such projects, considerable (1) Development of units to utilize the thermal
resources are required for their implementation [5]. energy of buildings.
The management of the enterprise may expediently (2) Reequipment of the sulfuric-acid store.
determine the implementation sequence with a view to (3) Development of a dispatch system for the sub-
effective use of the available capital. In Fig. 1, we show station grids.

RUSSIAN ENGINEERING RESEARCH Vol. 38 No. 4 2018


Table 3. Initial working table
298

Characteristics
Variable cells X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6
Search parameters
0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Optimization of target function:

Target
Integral parameter PIi 0.2231 0.1302 0.17 0.224 0.1283 0.076 0 To: Maximum Minimum Value

Change of variable cell:

Resource
consumption, function f(x)
Necessary investment pi, 103 rub 4000 15000 3798 122300 13130 2710 With constraints:
Total possible investment B, 35000 binary
3
10 rub
Period (months of year) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cash flow of project: develop- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ment of units to utilize thermal
energy, 103 rub
Cash flow of project: reequip- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ment of sulfuric-acid store,
103 rub
TARASOVA et al.

No constraint on nonnegative values


Cash flow of project: develop- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Select
ment of dispatch system, 103 rub Find solutions with
method of
Cash flow of project: construc- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 solution:
tion of administrative and resi-
dential building, 103 rub Method of solution
Cash flow of project: modern- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

RUSSIAN ENGINEERING RESEARCH


ization of automatic safety sys-
tems, 103 rub For smooth nonlinear problems, use
Cash flow of project: construc- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Vol. 38
tion of sports complex, 103 rub
Cash flow of investment pro- 35000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
gram, taking account of capital Apply

No. 4
outlays, 103 rub
Cumulative cash flow of invest- 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000
ment program, taking account

2018
of capital outlays, 103 rub
Table 4

Period (month of year)


Cash flow
of project,
103 rub
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Development of –4000 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12 1606.12
units to utilize
thermal energy

RUSSIAN ENGINEERING RESEARCH


Reequipment of –15000 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810 2810

Vol. 38
sulfuric-acid store

No. 4
Development of –1266 –2532 1456 1456 1456 1456 1456 1456 1456 1456 1456 1456 1456

2018
dispatch system

Construction of –2710 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76 1051.76
sports complex

Construction of –36150 –30000 –20000 –16150 –15000 –5000 27600 26820


administrative and
residential building
IMPLEMENTATION OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS AT INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES

Modernization of –13130 1991.71 1991.71 1991.71 1991.71 1991.71 1991.71


automatic safety
systems
299
300 TARASOVA et al.

(4) Construction of a sports complex. Table 4 illustrates the implementation of the


In the fifth year of this investment program, the investment project.
resources generated will permit investment in a fifth Additional financing for investment may appear in
project: construction of an administrative and resi- the future. In that case, the sequence of the implemen-
dential building. In the sixth year, the final project tation of investment projects is corrected.
may be financed: modernization of the automatic The overall economic effect E of the chosen
safety systems. sequence for the enterprise is as follows

NPV1 NPV2 NPV3 NPV4 NPV5 NPV6


E = + + + + +
(1 + 0.14 ) (1 + 0.14 ) (1 + 0.14 ) (1 + 0.14 ) (1 + 0.14 ) (1 + 0.14 )6
0 0 0 0 5

= 5091.11 + 905.42 + 3479.53 + 3243.29 + 235.06 (1.14 5 ) + 61.35 (1.146 ) = 12 869.381 03  rub. 

Thus, the proposed approach to deciding the projects, Nauchno-Tekhn. Ved. S.-Peterb. Gos. Politekh.
sequence of implementation of investment projects Univ., Ekon. Nauki, 2016, no. 6 (256), pp. 228–235.
may be successfully applied in industrial practice. In 3. Troshin, A.N., Semina, L.V., and Nikolenko, T.Yu.,
addition, by means of hierarchy analysis and the opti- The specific organization of innovative activity by the
mization model, all the investment conditions and the example of an aviation enterprise, Vestn. Mosk. Aviats.
strategic goals of the enterprise may be taken into Inst., 2016, no. 2 (23), pp. 200–207.
account. 4. Bolyberdin, V.A., Belentsev, A.M., and Benderskii, G.P.,
Prikladnye metody otsenki i vybory reshenii v strategich-
eskikh zadachakh innovatsionnogo menedzhmenta
REFERENCES (Applied Methods of Evaluation and Selection of Solu-
tions in Strategic Tasks of Innovation Management),
1. Korshunova, E.D. and Il’icheva, E.S., Management of Moscow: Dashkov i Ko, 2014.
the innovation potential of an industrial enterprise: the 5. Vorontsovskii, A.V., Investitsii i finansirovanie. Metody
conceptual framework, the stages of management, and otsenki i obosnovaniya (Investments and Financing:
the evaluation method, Nauch. Zh. Kuban. Gos. Agrar. Evaluation Methods and Substantiation), St. Peters-
Uni., 2012, no. 81 (7), pp. 852–861. burg: S.-Peterb. Gos. Univ., 2014.
2. Tarasova, E.V. and Nikolenko, T.Yu., Balanced score-
cards and tools for efficiency assessment of innovation Translated by Bernard Gilbert

RUSSIAN ENGINEERING RESEARCH Vol. 38 No. 4 2018

You might also like