Professional Documents
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Sym14 01B
Sym14 01B
Sym14 01B
Viewpoint
CEOs are
seeking growth …but there
again as global is no “one-
business size-fits-all”
confidence approach.
returns…
Economic
…so CEOs must
turbulence
manage in a way
can wreck
that turns change
plans
into opportunity.
quickly...
Viewpoint: After the recent multiyear downturn in the global economy, CEOs around the
world are struggling with the fact that they cannot meet shareholder expectations merely
by doing what has helped them survive so well in the past—cutting costs.
There is a widespread perception among CEOs that there will be modest growth of the global economy in
2004 and 2005, and that to meet the expectations of their stakeholders they must now concentrate on
growing both revenue and earnings. With this as the goal, the implications for the organization as well as
the turbulence in the external environment magnify the sense of risk that CEOs are feeling. In past
environments, where the pace of change was slower (for example, automobile product lifecycles could last
about a decade in the mid-20th century), the risk of change could be mitigated by having enough time to try
multiple changes. In today’s more accelerated environment, where product lifecycles last days or weeks
(automobiles can run 12 months or so), the ability to move the organization to new business models or
strategies becomes a decisive competitive factor. To move to new business models/strategies requires that
the IT organization transform to meet the needs of the organization. It also implies change to the business
itself to ensure it reduces the risk of the change. In this presentation, we will show how CEOs regard the
future, both in terms of hopes and aspirations, as well as fears.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 1
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
• What are the major business issues CEOs and senior executives face?
• What actions do they intend to take to address these issues?
• What do these actions imply for IT agendas ?
Sources:
Sources:Worldwide
Worldwidesurveys
surveysconducted
conductedNovember
November2003
2003to
toMarch
March2004
2004
••GartnerG2/Forbes
GartnerG2/Forbes 456
456CEO
CEOsurveys
surveysand
andinterviews
interviews
••IBM
IBM 2,300
2,300CEOs
CEOsand
andexecutives
executives
••Deloitte
Deloitte CEO
CEOand
andexec
execsurvey—“fast”
survey—“fast”500
500tech
techcompanies
companies
••Economist
EconomistIntelligence
IntelligenceUnit
Unit 527
527 exec survey and interviews of 112CEOs
exec survey and interviews of 112 CEOs
••PWC Global
PWC Global 1,394
1,394executive
executiveand
andCEO
CEOsurvey
surveyand
andinterviews
interviews
••WEF
WEFCorporate
CorporateCitizenship
Citizenship Approximately
Approximately4040CEOs
CEOsandandCFOs
CFOs
Dynamic: In order to understand the mindset of CEOs toward the external and internal
environments, we asked a few basic questions on major issues, actions to be taken and
the implications for IT agendas.
While it is clear that the actions at the highest levels of the organization have an impact on IT, it is also
clear that the actions of IT may not always be manifested at the same high level of the organization.
The sources we reviewed are the GartnerG2/Forbes.com survey, the IBM survey, the Deloitte survey, the
Economist Intelligence Unit survey, the IBM PwC Global survey and the WEF Corporate Citizenship
survey. In all, they provided us with a treasure trove of information on CEO perspectives within the past
12 months. The responses paint a picture that is at times full of consensus, while at other times provides
conflicting information. Such is the fate of interviewing people who, while very professional and very
intelligent, have different ways of achieving their goals—and even different goals within the same industry.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 2
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
OECD
OECDcomposite
composite
leading
leadingindicators
indicators
index
indexfor
foreconomic
economic
growth,
growth,August
August2004
2004
!
Large-scale
business
Source: OECD
change
ahead
Worldwide economic indicators point up, but growth is unsteady.
Financial services, healthcare, media, government grow fastest.
Disruptive regulation, oil prices, terrorism and health scares could
contribute to sudden changes of direction.
Capital investment hunts globally for the slightest market edge.
CEOs must generate growth to meet shareholder expectations.
Dynamic: Based on the CEO mindsets, it looks like modest growth ahead.
With many economic indicators showing mild economic growth ahead, CEOs are interested in allocating
their scarce resources to the sectors of the business where growth is the greatest. It means, first, that you
must have a vertical industry orientation to capture the opportunity. Second, if not, then you must navigate
the difficult organizational changes required to relate to those growth sectors from an industry perspective.
And third, you must make the right bets based on looking forward at the changes impinging on the industry.
So what are the changes that could reveal both opportunity and threat? Most important of all is to look at
changes in regulation. CEOs say they fear the difficulty of predicting implications of regulations being
passed by agencies that are local, state, national, regional, international or global in scope. This issue
segments by industry as well as geography—there are also segmentations that divide by industry. The
impact of regulations provide great uncertainty regarding the costs of the business, and they also show the
need for activism by CEOs to better influence the environment around them.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 3
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
Reduce
Detect change
disruption time
earlier
Dynamic: CEOs say that not only must they focus on growth looking ahead, they also want
to control costs as they have in the past.
This is important to IT because it is considered a lagging economic indicator. In order to respond more
quickly to the needs of the business and avoid the pain of being last on the priority list in an economic
downturn, the IT organization must be able to detect impending changes in the external environment. In
addition, once detected, the IT organization must be integrated into the overall strategic plan to assure the
best response to external change.
One of the persistent myths of business is the conventional wisdom: “You can have either cost, schedule or
quality, but you can’t have all three.” For decades it was thought that issues like quality, for example, are
driven by more costly inspections. Now, through the examples of companies like Toyota, we find that
quality, cost and schedule are not mutually exclusive—when driven by time they all improve together!
In the same fashion, we hear constantly that in order to gain flexibility, you must sacrifice cost or quality.
It is our view that the best companies find ways to build their businesses so that not only is IT more
responsive to the needs of the business, it is also less costly to do so. Making the business case for this
capability is the major task of IT organizations over the next five years.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 4
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
Dynamic: All the surveys we reviewed agreed on one thing—the agenda is growth.
Growth in revenue, growth in earnings and, in some cases, growth in market share. What does this mean?
For many CEOs, this means delivering on new products. For others, it means moving into areas where the
customer can better discern value—services, industry-centric offerings or consumer markets. For other
CEOs, it means moving to new markets, new segments, new geographies, and new mergers and
acquisitions. For many company executives who were happily making money during the broad global
economic expansion of the 1980s and 1990s, it comes as a shock that they must manage change of this
magnitude. The rest of this decade will be spent with increasing awareness of the need to better manage
organizational change in the light of forces that are driving the accelerating rate of change. The move to
growth is one of those major drivers, and the ability to better manage change is an indicator that the world
is starting to make change a factor in attaining and maintaining a competitive advantage.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 5
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
Change
Changeto
tobusiness
businessPOLICIES
POLICIES
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 6
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
Dynamic: How does IT contribute to business results in a time when both growth and cost
containment are desired by the CEO?
The key to success for CIOs in the near future is to work to integrate the capabilities of IT with strategies at
the highest levels. There is hardly a corporate strategy that does not in some way involve IT:
• Mergers and acquisitions drive the need for systems integration at levels that depend on the business
model needed.
• Moves to new business models, such as services or vertical industry models, require systems for scale
and efficiency.
• Strategies for increased market share require flexible processes to ensure that pricing and new terms and
conditions are rapidly incorporated and delivered to the sales force or point of sale.
With such critical dependency on IT to achieve new strategies at low cost, it is important to make the case
that IT needs to be involved and integrated with strategy formulation so the company can build a
competitive advantage.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 8
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
Dynamic: The field of regulation is distinct when it comes to strategic change because it
has the character of a legal mandate.
While mandates can be difficult, they are not impossible to negotiate, as we are seeing with Sarbanes-
Oxley. The challenge is that as case law gets established, the ability to negotiate can be diminished
(although companies have stooped to using illegal means such as bribery or extortion as a negotiating tool).
The reality is that the field of regulatory agencies is very dense and the number of regulations continues to
increase as well as the number of regulatory agencies. In addition to the federal government agencies (e.g.,
Occupational Safety and Health Administration; Securities and Exchange Commission; Food and Drug
Administration; Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms), there are state and local agencies that regulate local codes
and ordinances that impact operating costs and flexibility. Looking outside the United States, the United
Nations and other treaty organizations have rules in place that impact trade, while other countries and the
European Union also have their own agencies in many, if not all, of the same areas as the United States.
This overall complexity increases the load on already overburdened corporate staffs, and the cost of
compliance is a difficult issue for many companies. So while CEOs expect much change ahead due to
regulation, they also are concerned with the sheer complexity of it.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 9
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
All
Energy EU age
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© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 10
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
Dynamic: From the CEO perspective, risk is associated directly with the ability of the
organization to achieve the goals and objectives laid out for shareholders.
During a time of stability in an industry, this can be straightforward. With enough market and a stable
competitive landscape, you can find a strategy for future economic returns. It is during times of change,
however, that business risk accelerates. Whether the change is due to a new business venture or to the move
to a new business model, the way an organization navigates change is decisive to its long-term success.
The key to future CEO success lies in the ability to identify: “How much change do we need?” This
requires the ability to sort out the opportunities and threats ahead with enough understanding that a
commitment to make needed strategic, integrative change can become a commitment at all levels, starting
with the highest. This is then followed with a strategy-aligned, integrative change process that takes into
account the many complexities that come with people, as well as the complexities that stem from
infrastructure. While risk looks at probabilities, and some of the probabilities are beyond the ability of a
CEO or organization to control, the response to the right opportunities is the place where the remaining risk
can be contained. To succeed, CEOs must master the ability to change the strategy or critical processes of
their own organization for a competitive advantage.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 13
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 14
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 15
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
Predictions
IT as a strategic imperative will return as CEOs seek
growth.
– Since IT is considered a constraint to growth, it becomes critically
important to do whatever is needed to relieve that constraint.
Investment in IT will increase to improve its time to market.
Strategic IT will be integrated with business strategy
and change in the most successful businesses.
– Conversely those that keep the two separate will experience
increasingly serious business surprises and shortfalls. Expect to see
the constraints of poor infrastructure alignment attacked via new
organizational structures and mindsets.
Proactive exploitation of regulatory change will become
a common collaborative tactic between CEOs and CIOs.
– Repeated regulatory disruption is not going to fade. Leaders will
learn to use it to overcome inertia and further their strategic goals.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 17
Tutorial: The CEO Dilemma—Balancing Growth and Cost Containment
• But surveys show more “flock behavior” than you might expect!
• Our composite picture should give you a useful sketch to build on.
•• Invest
Investfirst
firstininportfolio
portfoliomanagement.
management.
Governance
Governance andprocesses
and processesfirst,
first,tools
toolssecond.
second.
•• Make
Make regulatory change the assumption,not
regulatory change the assumption, notthetheexception.
exception.
It’s
It’s not going away. Manage it actively and turn it intoadvantage.
not going away. Manage it actively and turn it into advantage.
•• Favor management information
Favor management information radar projects radar projects
in
inportfolio
portfolioprioritization.
prioritization.Prescient
Prescientmanagers
managerscontrol
controlrisks.
risks.
•• Put strategic staff development back
Put strategic staff development back on the agenda.on the agenda.
Discuss
Discussskills
skillsdevelopment
developmentwith withHR,HR,before
beforethe
thegrowth
growthcrunch.
crunch.
•• Book
Bookan anITITleadership
leadershipteamteammeeting
meetingwithwiththe
theCEO.
CEO.
Subject:
Subject:The Thethree
threemost
mostimportant
importantgrowth
growthissues
issuesfor forthe
the
next three years and how IT will help address
next three years and how IT will help address them. them.
© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All rights reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is
forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information
Jorge Lopez and Mark Raskino
contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended
results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
01B, SYM14, 10/04 AE Page 18
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