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OIL WELL CASE

MASTAT S19_Group 4

Pump No. 1 Pump No. 2


1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 total no. of observations n 365 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 pump is operation p 346 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 pump is down q 19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 In 365 days, the probability that the pump is 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 operating is 0.9479 and the probability that the 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
pump is down is 0.0521.
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 probability that pump is operating 0.94794521 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 probability that pump is down 0.05205479 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 maintennance cost (in $) 62.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 no. of hours 10.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 no. of crew 3.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 total maintennance 1,860.00 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 no. of days the pump is down 19.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 total maintennance cost 35,340.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1


1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Pump No. 3
total no. of observations n 365 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 total no. of observations
pump is operation p 351 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 pump is operation
pump is down q 14 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 pump is down
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
In 365 days, the probability that the pump is 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 In 365 days, the probability that the pump is
operating is 0.9616 and the probability that the 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 operating is 0.9315 and the probability that th
pump is down is 0.0384. pump is down is 0.0685.
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1
probability that pump is operating 0.96164384 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 probability that pump is operating
probability that pump is down 0.03835616 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 probability that pump is down
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
maintennance cost (in $) 62.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 maintennance cost (in $)
no. of hours 10.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 no. of hours
no. of crew 3.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 no. of crew
total maintennance 1,860.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 total maintennance

no. of days the pump is down 14.00 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 no. of days the pump is down

total maintennance cost 26,040.00 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 total maintennance cost


1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0
1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1
0 1 1 0 1
n 365
p 340
q 25

bability that the pump is


and the probability that the
685.

mp is operating 0.9315068493
0.0684931507

62.00
10.00
3.00
1,860.00

25.00

46,500.00

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