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Business Statistics For Contemporary Decision Making 8th Edition Black Solutions Manual 1
Business Statistics For Contemporary Decision Making 8th Edition Black Solutions Manual 1
Business Statistics For Contemporary Decision Making 8th Edition Black Solutions Manual 1
Chapter 8
Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
same as the z formula and that it is the table that is different. When the population
is normally distributed and is known, the z formula can be used even for small
samples.
A formula is given in chapter 8 for estimating the population variance; and
it is here that the student is introduced to the chi-square distribution. An
assumption underlying the use of this technique is that the population is normally
distributed. The use of the chi-square statistic to estimate the population variance
is extremely sensitive to violations of this assumption. For this reason, extreme
caution should be exercised in using this technique. Because of this, some
statisticians omit this technique from consideration presentation and usage.
Lastly, this chapter contains a section on the estimation of sample size.
One of the more common questions asked of statisticians is: "How large of a
sample size should I take?" In this section, it should be emphasized that sample
size estimation gives the researcher a "ball park" figure as to how many to sample.
The “error of estimation “ is a measure of the sampling error. It is also equal to
the + error of the interval shown earlier in the chapter.
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 4
CHAPTER OUTLINE
The t Distribution
Robustness
KEY WORDS
8.1 a) x = 25 = 3.5 n = 60
95% Confidence z.025 = 1.96
3. 5
xz = 25 + 1.96 = 25 + 0.89 = 24.11 < µ < 25.89
n 60
b) x = 119.6 = 23.89 n = 75
98% Confidence z.01 = 2.33
23.89
xz = 119.6 + 2.33 = 119.6 ± 6.43 = 113.17 < µ < 126.03
n 75
c) x = 3.419 = 0.974 n = 32
90% C.I. z.05 = 1.645
0.974
xz = 3.419 + 1.645 = 3.419 ± .283 = 3.136 < µ < 3.702
n 32
N −n 12.1 500 − 47
xz = 56.7 + 1.28 =
n N −1 47 500 − 1
8.2 n = 36 x = 211 = 23
95% C.I. z.025 = 1.96
23
xz = 211 ± 1.96 = 211 ± 7.51 = 203.49 < µ < 218.51
n 36
8.3 n = 81 x = 47 = 5.89
90% C.I. z.05=1.645
5.89
xz = 47 ± 1.645 = 47 ± 1.08 = 45.92 < µ < 48.08
n 81
8.4 n = 70 2 = 49 x = 90.4
49
xz = 90.4 ± 1.88 = 90.4 ± 1.57 = 88.83 < µ < 91.97
n 70
8.5 n = 39 N = 200 x = 66 = 11
96% C.I. z.02 = 2.05
N −n 11 200 − 39
xz = 66 ± 2.05 =
n N −1 39 200 − 1
x = 66 Point Estimate
0.8735
xz = 18.72 ± 2.575 = 8.72 ± .21 = 18.51 < µ < 18.93
n 120
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 7
3.23
xz = 5.625 ± 1.645 = 5.625 ± 1.085 = 4.540 < µ < 6.710
n 24
1.17
xz = 3.306 ± 2.33 = 3.306 ± .454 = 2.852 < µ < 3.760
n 36
(.113)
xz = 2.139 ± 1.645 = 2.139 ± .031 = 2.108 < µ < 2.170
n 36
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 8
5.124
xz = 24.533 + 1.96 =
n 45
t.025,12 = 2.179
s 5.694
xt = 45.62 ± 2.179 = 45.62 ± 3.44 = 42.18 < µ < 49.06
n 13
s 9.104
xt = 319.17 ± (1.796) = 319.17 ± 4.72 = 314.45 < µ < 323.89
n 12
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 9
t.01,40 = 2.423
s 20.6
xt = 128.4 ± 2.423 = 128.4 ± 7.80 = 120.6 < µ < 136.2
n 41
t.05,14 = 1.761
s 0.81
xt = 2.364 ± 1.761 = 2.364 ± .409 = 1.955 < µ < 2.773
n 15
/2 = .005
t.005,24 = 2.797
s (.817 )
xt = 16.088 ± 2.797 = 16.088 ± .457 = 15.631 < µ < 16.545
n 25
s 279
xt = 1,192 + 2.403 = 1,192 + 93.88 = 1,098.12 < < 1,285.88
n 51
x = 2.36116 s = 0.19721
0.1972
2.36116 + 2.093 = 2.36116 + 0.0923 = 2.26886 < < 2.45346
20
Error = 0.0923
t.05,27 = 1.703
s 2.016
xt = 5.335 ± 1.703 = 5.335 + .649 = 4.686 < µ < 5.984
n 28
s 18.22
xt = 49.8 ± 2.262 = 49.8 + 13.03 = 36.77 < µ < 62.83
n 10
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 11
t.01,13 = 2.650
t.005,40 = 2.704
s 105.30
confidence interval: xt = 11.098 + 2.704 =
n 14
8.24 The point estimate is x which is 25.4134 hours. The sample size is 26 skiffs.
The confidence level is 98%. The confidence interval is:
s s
x t x t = 22.8124 < < 28.0145
n n
The error of the confidence interval is 26.011.
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 12
pˆ qˆ (.51)(.49)
pˆ z = .51 ± 1.645 = .51 ± .124 = .386 < p < .634
n 44
pˆ qˆ (.82)(.18)
pˆ z = .82 ± 1.96 = .82 ± .043 = .777 < p < .863
n 300
pˆ qˆ (.48)(.52)
pˆ z = .48 ± 1.645 = .48 ± .024 = .456 < p < .504
n 1150
pˆ qˆ (.32)(.68)
pˆ z = .32 ± 1.555 = .32 ± .074 = .246 < p < .394
n 95
x 57
p̂ = = = .49
n 116
pˆ qˆ (.49)(.51)
pˆ z = .49 ± 2.575 = .49 ± .12 = .37 < p < .61
n 116
x 479
p̂ = = = .60
n 800
pˆ qˆ (.60)(.40)
pˆ z = .60 ± 2.17 = .60 ± .038 = .562 < p < .638
n 800
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 13
x 106
p̂ = = = .44
n 240
pˆ qˆ (.44)(.56)
pˆ z = .44 ± 1.44 = .44 ± .046 = .394 < p < .486
n 240
x 21
p̂ = = = .35
n 60
pˆ qˆ (.35)(.65)
pˆ z = .35 ± 1.645 = .35 ± .10 = .25 < p < .45
n 60
x 40
p̂ = = = .47
n 85
pˆ qˆ (.47)(.53)
pˆ z = .47 ± 1.645 = .47 ± .09 = .38 < p < .56
n 85
pˆ qˆ (.47)(.53)
pˆ z = .47 ± 1.96 = .47 ± .11 = .36 < p < .58
n 85
pˆ qˆ (.47)(.53)
pˆ z = .47 ± 2.575 = .47 ± .14 = .33 < p < .61
n 85
All other things being constant, as the confidence increased, the width of the
interval increased.
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 14
pˆ qˆ (.255)(.745)
pˆ z = .255 + 2.575 = .255 + .035 = .220 < p < .290
n 1003
pˆ qˆ (.255)(.745)
pˆ z = .255 + 2.575 = .255 + .011 = .244 < p < .266
n 10,000
pˆ qˆ (.47)(.53)
pˆ z = .47 + 1.96 = .47 + .0413 = .4287 < p < .5113
n 560
pˆ qˆ (.28)(.72)
pˆ z = .28 + 1.645 = .28 + .0312 = .2488 < p < .3112
n 560
x 997
p̂ = = = .80
n 1250
pˆ qˆ (.80)(.20)
pˆ z = .80 ± 2.33 = .80 ± .026 = .774 < p < .826
n 1250
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 15
x 927
p̂ = = = .266
n 3481
pˆ qˆ (.266)(.734)
pˆ z = .266 + 2.575 = .266 ± .019 =
n 3481
x 48
p̂ = = = .54
n 89
pˆ qˆ (.54)(.46)
pˆ z = .54 ± 1.44 = .54 ± .076 = .464 < p < .616
n 89
pˆ qˆ (.63)(.37)
pˆ z = .63 + 1.96 = .63 + .0365 = .5935 < p < .6665
n 672
x 121
p̂ = = = .44
n 275
pˆ qˆ (.44)(.56)
pˆ z = .44 ± 2.33 = .44 ± .07 = .37 < p < .51
n 275
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 16
(7 − 1)(1.5376) (7 − 1)(1.5376)
< 2 <
14.4494 1.23734
z 2 2 (1.96) 2 (36) 2
n= = = 199.15
E2 52
Sample 200
z 2 2 (2.575) 2 (4.13) 2
n= = = 113.1
E2 12
Sample 114
z 2 2 (1.645) 2 (105) 2
n = = = 298.3
E2 10 2
Sample 299
z 2 2 (1.555) 2 (14.5) 2
n = = = 56.5
E2 32
Sample 57
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 19
z 2 p q (2.05) 2 (.40)(.60)
n = = = 2521.5
E2 (.02) 2
Sample 2522
z 2 p q (1.96) 2 (.50)(.50)
n = = = 600.25
E2 (.04) 2
Sample 601
z 2 p q (1.645) 2 (.55)(.45)
n = = = 267.9
E2 (.05) 2
Sample 268
z 2 p q (2.575) 2 (.50)(.50)
n = = = 16,576.6
E2 (.01) 2
Sample 16,577
z 2 2 (2.575) 2 (1000) 2
n = = = 165.77
E2 200 2
Sample 166
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 20
z 2 2 (1.645) 2 (12.50) 2
n = = = 105.7
E2 22
Sample 106
z 2 2 (1.645) 2 (475) 2
n = = = 61.05
E2 100 2
Sample 62
z 2 p q (1.645) 2 (.20)(.80)
n = = = 1082.41
E2 (.02) 2
Sample 1083
z 2 p q (1.96) 2 (.50)(.50)
n = = = 384.16
E2 (.05) 2
Sample 385
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 21
z 2 p q (1.96) 2 (.50)(.50)
n = = = 96.04
E2 (.10) 2
Sample 97
7.75
xz = 45.6 1.28 = 45.6 + 1.68
n 35
7.75
xz = 45.6 1.88 = 45.6 + 2.46
n 35
7.75
xz = 45.6 2.33 = 45.6 + 3.05
n 35
s (.4373)
xt = 12.03 1.833 = 12.03 + .25
n 10
s (.4373)
xt = 12.03 2.262 = 12.03 + .31
n 10
s (.4373)
xt = 12.03 3.25 = 12.03 + .45
n 10
329
pˆ = = .46
715
pˆ qˆ (.46)(.54)
pˆ z = .46 1.96 = .46 + .0365
n 715
pˆ qˆ (.71)(.29)
pˆ z = .71 1.645 = .71 + .0443
n 284
pˆ qˆ (.48)(.52)
pˆ z = .48 1.96 = .48 + .0277
n 1250
270
pˆ = = .591
457
pˆ qˆ (.591)(.409)
pˆ z = .591 2.33 = .591 + .0536
n 457
z 2 2 (1.96) 2 (44) 2
n = = = 826.4
E2 32
Sample 827
b) E=2 Range = 88 - 20 = 68
z 2 2 (1.645) 2 (17) 2
= = 195.5
E2 22
Sample 196
z 2 p q (2.33) 2 (.50)(.50)
= = 848.3
E2 (.04) 2
Sample 849
z 2 p q (1.96) 2 (.70)(.30)
= = 896.4
E2 (.03) 2
Sample 897
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 25
s 2.223
xt = 10.765 2.921 = 10.765 + 1.575
n 17
z 2 p q (1.645) 2 (.40)(.60)
n = = = 721.61
E2 (.03) 2
Sample 722
8.56 n = 45 x = 213 = 48
48
xz = 213 2.33 = 213 ± 16.67
n 45
3.891
xz = 37.256 1.645 = 37.256 ± 1.025
n 39
z 2 2 (2.33) 2 (6) 2
n = = = 195.44
E2 12
Sample 196
714
pˆ = = .569
1255
pˆ qˆ (.569)(.431)
pˆ z = .569 1.96 = .569 ± .027
n 1,255
t.01,40 = 2.423
s 21
xt = 128 2.423 = 128 + 7.947
n 41
s N −n 3.06 300 − 60
xz = 6.717 2.33 =
n N −1 60 300 − 1
6.717 ± 0.825
z 2 2 (1.96) 2 (142.50) 2
n = = = 195.02
E2 20 2
Sample 196
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 28
x 189
pˆ = = = .77
n 245
pˆ qˆ (.77)(.23)
pˆ z = .77 1.645 = .77 ± .044
n 245
x 30
pˆ = = = .33
n 90
pˆ qˆ (.33)(.67)
pˆ z = .33 1.96 = .33 ± .097
n 90
t.025,11 = 2.201
s 228
xt = 43.7 2.201 = 43.7 + 9.59
n 12
s 0.37
xt = 4.82 2.056 = 4.82 + .1464
n 27
Since 4.50 is not in the interval, we are 95% confident that µ does not
equal 4.50.
8.67 n = 77 x = 2.48 = 12
12
xz = 2.48 1.96 = 2.48 ± 2.68
n 77
The interval is inconclusive. It says that we are 95% confident that the average
arrival time is somewhere between .20 of a minute (12 seconds) early and 5.16
minutes late. Since zero is in the interval, there is a possibility that, on average,
the flights are on time.
pˆ qˆ (.33)(.67)
pˆ z = .33 2.575 = .33 ± .05
n 560
z 2 p q (2.33) 2 (.50)(.50)
= = 542.89
E2 (.05) 2
Sample 543
s 0.86
xt = 2.10 2.479 = 2.10 ± 0.41
n 27
0.205
xz = 1.294 2.575 = 1.294 ± .085
n 39
𝑝̂ 𝑞̂ (. 23)(.77)
𝑝̂ ± 𝑧 √ = .23 ± 1.28√ = .23 ± .017
𝑛 1000
8.74 The sample mean fill for the 58 cans is 11.9788 oz. with a standard deviation of
.0536 oz. The 99% confidence interval for the population fill is 11.9607 oz. to
11.9969 oz. which does not include 12 oz. We are 99% confident that the
population mean is not 12 oz., indicating that the machine may be under filling
the cans.
8.75 The point estimate for the average length of burn of the new bulb is 2198.217
hours. Eighty-four bulbs were included in this study. A 90% confidence interval
can be constructed from the information given. The error of the confidence
interval is + 27.76691. Combining this with the point estimate yields the 90%
confidence interval of 2198.217 + 27.76691 = 2170.450 < µ < 2225.984.
8.76 The point estimate for the average age of a first time buyer is 27.63 years. The
sample of 21 buyers produces a standard deviation of 6.54 years. We are 98%
confident that the actual population mean age of a first-time home buyer is
between 24.0222 years and 31.2378 years.
8.77 A poll of 781 American workers was taken. Of these, 506 drive their cars to
work. Thus, the point estimate for the population proportion is 506/781 =
.647887. A 95% confidence interval to estimate the population proportion shows
that we are 95% confident that the actual value lies between .61324 and .681413.
The error of this interval is + .0340865.