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Future Foresight
Future Foresight
Future Foresight
FORESIGHT FIELD
AN OVERVIEW GUIDE
Hello Future Traveler! I’m a Global Futurist and Strategist, based in San
Francisco. A core aspect of Foresight is the concept of Agency. Futures
Thinking is about regaining power over our actions and retrieving our
ability to act upon the future. Instead of feeling scared and fatalistic, we
need to “look the future in the eyes” and face full-spectrum scenarios, in
order to decide what role we want to play in such futures! There’s plenty
of room to take part in Foresight: we can envision the future, share it,
create it. Foresight is truly multidisciplinary, and all talents are welcome -
entrepreneurs, scientists, activists, business leaders, educators,
journalists, artists, storytellers, designers, architects, therapists,
strategists, students… Victor’s Future is one of my favorite places to
elevate the Futures/Foresight field with concrete applications. Victor has
his very unique way of bringing a variety of inspiring futures thinkers from
all over the world to debate the future, envision it together, and ultimately
build it!
Akash Das
FUTURES RESEARCHER
Hello everyone! Hope you’re doing great... I am happy that you're about
to take a leap into the world of futures thinking and research. It will be
one of the most important decisions of your life, and because of the way
the world is shifting, we need more minds, focused on the beauty of
futures’ multiplicity. We need more minds capable of understanding that
futures are many, myriad and multi-faceted and that “predicting trends”
is an oxymoron. It’s just the beginning, and while I - a humble futures
researcher and multidisciplinary, holistic designer, systems thinker and
dot-connector - starting not too far while ago, I feel I have learnt so
much in a short time but I feel I know even lesser than I begin with 😃
But it’s all good. Futures is not a cavern but a space. And I am so happy
empathetic visionaries like Victor are building the platform to bring us
together. You’ll enjoy it. With diversity, we can accelerate transformative
change - let’s craft better futures together.
I
TABLE OF
CONTENTS
01 / A Cool Introduction
II
THE
DIAGRAM
III
A COOL
INTRODUCTION
Hello there! Thank you for taking the time to read this guide that I created with much love! If
you don't know, I have had a passion for this field ever since my first exposure in 2015.
You might know that there are historians that study the past, but did you know that there are
people who study the future? I'm not talking about people who are making predictions, I'm
talking about people who are using different methodologies that explore different possible
alternative futures that we MIGHT head into.
We're definitely not Fortune Tellers, nor Oracles, as some of you might think. We wish we
have that super power, though! It would definitely make our work so much easier!
So, I hope you get a solid understanding of this field, and how you can start. I know there is so
much information, and there is no point to explain everything on here, because there are
many other great resources that explain them better than me.
I will give you a launching pad, and you can go wherever you want after reading this. I will
also avoid using any big words, and keep it an easy read, so don't worry about that!
Again, thank you for taking the time to learn more about this Futures/Foresight Field! Take
care, and happy reading!
1
SOME
DEFINITIONS
Futures Literacy- A skillset and mission to expand futures thinking to more people.
Strategic Foresight- A type of strategy to help anticipate and create actionable steps
for a future.
Futurology- The discipline of the field, but not only the study of futures and foresight
practice, but also knowledge of it's history (I'm hoping this term can make a
comeback).
Futures Thinking- Having an open mindset of more than one possible future.
Forecasting- A planning tool that uses stats and data of the past to project a probable
future.
Black Swans- A rare, never would have thought, event that was impossible to imagine
Scenarios- Usually the outcomes and futures from using any foresight tool.
2
WHY THIS TITLE?
During my exposure to this field for the past 7 Simple as that. I know many people in the
years, I noticed that there are two parts: the field who are fond of these two particular
mindset, and the action. words, and we are getting to the point
where we don't use one without the other,
You can't do one without the other, and
so it's incredible seeing that!
because of that missing element, it feels like
the field doesn't have a solid agreement of
how we should introduce ourselves to the Future(s)
public.
One last thing to mention is that I like to
In my view, everyone should be involved when use futures with the "s" in parenthesis.
3
PART I: FUTURES
STUDIES
As I mentioned before, there are two parts of this field, and one of them is the study of the
future. In order to be well equipped in this field, I recommend having a basic understanding
of the foundations.
Futures Studies is currently the popular term to identify the field, and it's good, but I think
it's just one side of the coin. Within this area of the field, there are two distinct sub-topics
that one must familiarize themselves with before continuing further into this field. This is
where Futures Literacy and Futures Research come into play.
4
FUTURES
LITERACY
You probably have never heard of this field before, and that's ok!
This is a term that is recently being used the most to promote the awareness AND usage of
futures thinking. Futures Literacy is the skill set that people will learn to gain a practical way
of using the future to take action today. To many organizations in this field, it's a mission to
teach the mindset and the tools to as many people as possible.
So, don't be afraid of this field! Becoming Futures Literate takes a while, because there are
many ways to learn how to think, perceive, imagine, and act upon our or your future(s). Even
how you think about the future now is just as valid, and we would love to hear what you have
to say.
However, there are some things you should know before you start your Futures Literacy
journey (if that's something you want to do).
5
Some things to unlearn
and re-learn
This is actually an Italian art movement that This is a movement where it is a development
started in 1909. The painters who were and inclusion of science and technology
associated with the art are the original within the African Culture.
Futurists.
This is shown in many ways through
videogames, films, stories, and fashion to
It's a bit hard to come across this because it
push for a hopeful future for black people.
doesn't get talked about at all. Even I wasn't
aware of this until much later.
https://biblio.cofutures.org/ is a great place
They depicted modern technology in their to learn more and of other Modern Futurism
paintings, but they also had a unique movements!
relationship with violence.
6
Different ways to learn.
Rarely anyone decides that they want to go
into the Futures/Foresight Field as a high
school student.
University Education
Examples:
Yes, there are actual degrees that are related to Futures and
Foresight in the world! There's a lot of Graduate programs, University of Houston
and a few undergraduate programs. San Diego City College
OCAD University
I highly recommend doing a thorough research, and
understand how a degree in Futures/Foresight will help in
your career!
Mentorship/Workshops
Examples:
There are different organizations and individuals that you
The Futures School
can get your Futures/Foresight training from.
Basics of Foresight
They each teach differently, and usually have a mentorship Service Design College
style. So if you need help, you can always reach out to your
instructors!
Self-Taught
Examples:
You can also take some paid courses that you can take on Futures Thinking
your own time and pace.
Coursera
Metafuture
There's also a bunch of free resources, articles, journals,
LinkedIn Courses
podcasts, and videos that you learn from for free.
7
FUTURES
RESEARCH
This is another term that I think is used differently than how I would use it. When I
think of "research," I can't help but attach it to the academic side of things.
If you forgot, Futures Thinking is the mindset and openness of more than just
one future. With Futures Research, it is about already having that "Futures
thinking" mindset, but applying it to different disciplines, and towards specific
topics of expertise.
In this second branch of Futures Studies, we have to bring in the work that many
experts of this field have done or are doing. Not only are some doing the work of
providing different scenarios for topics of their interest, but there are others in
this field that do "research" to further enhance this field by creating new concepts
and frameworks to play with.
8
Concepts
9
Interest/Focus
and so on...
10
CONCLUSION OF
PART I
Futures Literacy and Futures Research are just a small part of the Futures/Foresight Field.
Becoming Futures Literate is a mission of many organizations, and they are great at teaching
you the necessary skills to face our many futures. Just remember that no one tool is better
than the other, and you should always continue expanding your knowledge to broaden your
creativity.
Remember, I don’t mind people using the word "Futurist" as a title, I just prefer people who
are involved in the field to add “Professional” or something else in front of it to distinguish
themselves from the mainstream Futurists or Futurism's Futurists.
So yes, Futures Studies is a good name, but I don't think it encompasses the whole field itself,
only half of it. Now, let's move into the action part of this field: Foresight Practice
11
PART II: FORESIGHT
PRACTICE
Now that you know a little background of the field and who we are, now you will dive into
the second half to understand how we do the things we do.
This isn't a field where people can make a single prediction. There are many people who do
that, but they are not necessarily a part of this field. I don't think predictions aren't bad, it's
just that the people in this field understand that it's better to imagine all the possible,
plausible, and probable futures.
This way, it's much easier to help others navigate towards their preferable future.
In this part, you will learn about some fundamental methodologies that many use in this
field, and where exactly people apply this into or work at.
12
POPULAR
METHODOLOGIES
One of the fundamental goal for a lot of the organizations within this field is to
democratize the future. They want to give people a new way to face uncertainty,
and to give them a sense of control of their present.
Here are some methods, tools, and frameworks that you might come across
during your journey into the field. Of course it's not all of them, and I won't explain
each of them in detail since I want to keep this guide simple.
If you would like to learn more about each of these Foresight tools, I recommend
searching them up on Google to learn how to use them.
13
Some Common Tools
Source: Jerome C. Glenn. Source: knowledgeworks.org
Source: Australian Government's Department of Agriculture and Water Source: Dow Jones adapted From UK Government – Futures toolkit
Resources' Strategic Foresight Guide
14
Let's go through one exercise together
Here are some more methods that the field likes to use.
15
FIELD OF
APPLICATIONS
Yes, there are many methods and tools that teaches you how to use foresight, but
where do people in the field work in?
Here are five areas that I see people applying Foresight. Some people are
following the traditional job route, but there are some who want to change things
up a little.
16
Government
Strategic foresight was first derived as a strategy in the
military. It's also useful for govt offices to understand
outcomes when creating new policies.
Corporate
Businesses and companies utilize foresight for growth, and try
to understand possible end results when it comes to new
products and services.
Academia
Consultancy
Media/Entertainment
A newer space with not much going on. There are some people
creating card games, or making videos and other kinds of
content to expand futures literacy to more people.
17
CONCLUSION OF
PART II
Foresight is a powerful tool to learn and apply. When done correctly (and incorrectly!), you
are opening new opportunities, scenarios, and futures that many haven't considered
before.
As you can see, Foresight Practice is the second half of this field. People can learn the
methodologies and frameworks without learning the other half.
So, I hope you got a better understanding of what kind of methodologies we use, and have
an idea of where it is used and applied in. This field is still expanding to many different
industries, so you have no idea what new strategies, methods, and frameworks will be
created in the future.
Now that you know who we are, and what we do, I will show you the main organizations,
communities, leaders, and events for you to learn about!
18
PART III: THE FIELD
So, now that you have an understanding of our background, and the way we do our work,
we can explore a few areas within the field that are pretty cool to check out.
There's some communities and organizations that I recommend joining if you want to
connect with people in this field. Some world-wide events that you should attend, and
some leaders in the field that you should follow!
Also, some people consider this field as new, young, unique, or dying. Because of this, there
is a lot of disagreement on certain things such as title, definitions, and approaches. I try not
to be like that. Instead, I like to be inclusive, because the future is uncharted territory, and
we need all hands on deck to explore all potential futures together.
19
Identification
Everyone uses a mixture of different
titles in this field. I tried my best to
identify a few titles that encompasses
some common words that we use the
most.
Remember, if you think, dream, imagine, draw, talk, or plan for a future, you're a
Futurist at heart.
20
Organizations
Institutions/Companies
21
Communities
Futures Space
Grey Swan Guild
Envisioning
Global Swarm
DFI Speculative Futures Chapters
Global Foresight Network
Philippine Futures Thinking Society
La Futura
March 1st is World Future Day to celebrate and go after our preferable future.
December 2nd is World Futures Day to celebrate and encourage others to embrace a
futures thinking mindset.
However, you can use World Future(s) Day for March 1st if you're inclined for a more
plural feel!
22
Pioneers of the Field
23
CONCLUSION OF
PART III
I know at times the field may feel like we are exclusive, but do know that we are doing
everything we can to make the whole world be included in our conversations.
The future doesn’t belong to only those who are shaping it, it also belongs to all those who
will be living in it as well. So, this is my invitation for you to come to the decision making
tables, and explore all of the unimaginable futures with us.
You can join a community, you can follow everyone on the list, or learn more about what
each organization is doing. Please do come by to any of the events if possible, because it
would be awesome to receive your support!
Just remember that you can be a futurist if you want to be, but to be a Professional
Futurist, you might have to do some practical training or learn from the leaders of this field.
Nevertheless, your opinions about A future will be just as valid as any other person here.
24
WHERE DO I GO FROM
HERE?
If you didn't know, I kept this guide short and simple. I didn't want to go into too much detail since
I know you have other stuff to do. However, if you would like some good websites to check out,
here are a few:
https://jfsdigital.org/ https://en.unesco.org/futuresliteracy
https://rossdawson.com/ /summit2020
https://www.foresightguide.com/ https://www.nesta.org.uk/feature/top
https://www.teachthefuture.org/resources -ten-toolkits-futures/
You can also just just learn more about this subject/field by using any search engine. There are
many resources out there that are in audio, video, and written format. Here are a few for you to
get started:
Written Audio
Video
25
AN INSPIRING
ENDING. . . I HOPE!
I guess that is IT! Thank you for taking the time to read this overview guide. I was hoping it
would be quick and easy, but there's just so much information ! I really do hope that you at
least got some sense of the different parts of this Futures/Foresight Field.
If you're one of my friends, I hope you now understand what I do! If you're a stranger, I hope
it was easy to learn something new, and enough to intrigue you to dive deeper into this field.
Please do reach out to me for any more guidance or if you would like to have a nice virtual
coffee chat.
Victor Sarat
Victor Sarat
FORESIGHT/FUTURES ADVOCATE
I
OTHER NAMES?
There's many reasons why I don't use other names for this field. As I've said, one
can't be said without the other.
Future Thinkers- Nobody in the field likes to use the singular term, because they all understand
that there are more than one future. However, we still use it in certain methods.
Futures Industry- If we only say "futures" many people in the general public can confuse it with
Futures Studies- It feels too academic, and I would like to keep it open for the general public to
feel involved. Plus, I think it's only one side of the coin.
Futures Literacy- It's more related as a skill set and a mission for many organizations to further
Foresight Field- This is a practice or action oriented term, and only one part of what this field is
all about.
Futurism- This is an art movement. Has some influence in the field, but it's not the entire thing.
Futurists Community- The original painters of the Futurism are the original Futurists. Also, not
everyone in the field likes to use "Futurist" as a title, and I also think that anyone can identify as
Futurology- Many feel it's too outdated, or that it's associated with predictions. It's definitely
not the field, but I would like for it to make a comeback someday.
Futures Thinking Discipline- This is a mindset, but we do more than just having an open mind of
Forecasters- These are groups of people that utilize a certain type of strategy, but they don't
II
THANK YOU
I had the idea of creating this guide on my 10th year being in this field, but here I am
releasing it on my 25th birthday! I would like to thank a lot of people for the
encouragement to create a guide like this.
I hope I can do more with this in the coming years, and see how much has changed. In a
way, this is like a time capsule of my own knowledge! Who knows what's going to happen,
maybe write a whole book that will be printed? that would be cool!
Anything is possible. So thank you friends, and colleagues for everything- Sylvia, Akash, Kay,
Shay, Jeremy, Estelle, Amanda, Seamus, Ana, Hanna, Jocelyn, Koen, Hauson, Emmanuelle,
Fernando, Giselle, Brooke, Tom Tom, Fei, Alejandro and everyone else who have been
supporting me on my journey!
III
CONTACT ME
www.victorsfuture.com
victorsfuture@gmail.com
@VictorsFuture (social media)