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Newsweek USA - January 20, 2023
Newsweek USA - January 20, 2023
DOMESTIC
TERRORISTS
pose an
“existential
threat” to
THE NATION’S
ELECTRICAL GRID.
The attacks
have already
started
Tomorrow's
capital projects
can't be built
with yesterday's The US government is investing
technology. trillions of dollars in capital programs.
FEATURES
20
The Mother
of All Blackouts
Domestic terrorists pose
an ‘existential threat’ to the
nation’s electrical grid. The
attacks have already started.
by TOM O’CONNOR
and NAVEED JAMALI
30
China’s Bid for
the South Pacific
Beijing is expanding its
reach, saying its interests
are purely commercial and
diplomatic. The real long-
term goal is strategic.
by DIDI KIRSTEN TATLOW
COVER Illustration by
Alex Fine for Newsweek
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In Focus
THE NEWS IN PICTURES
6 NE WSWEEK .COM
BRASÍLIA, BRAZIL
Bolsonaro’s Bullies
Supporters of Brazilian former President Jair Bolsonaro
attack a vehicle of the Military Police during clashes outside
Planalto Presidential Palace on January 8. Thousands of
protesters stormed Brazil’s Congress, presidential offices
and the Supreme Court, shattering windows and setting
fires, trying to oust the newly inaugurated President Luiz
Inácio Lula da Silva. Bolsanaro never officially conceded Silva’s
november victory. His supporters believe the election was
a fraud and demanded military intervention to remove Silva
from office. Police have detained more than 1,200 rioters.
▸ SERGIO LIMA
aFP/G E T T y
NE WSWEEK .COM
JANUARY 20, 2023
COU NTE RCLOCK WI SE FROM TOP LEF T: GE T T Y; THE WA SHIN GTON PO ST/GE T T Y; AFP/GE T T Y
ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK WASHINGTON, D.C. VATICAN CITY
NE WSWEEK .COM 9
Periscope N E W S , O P I N I O N + A N A LY S I S
AT LAST?
Tesla’s long-delayed
Cybertruck is expected
to finally hit the
market in 2023.
10 NE WSWEEK .COM
“I want a family, not an institution.” ▸ P.18
AU TO M O B I L E S
Ten Predictions
About New Cars and
Trucks for 2023
Industry analysts think supply chain problems will get better, consumer
demand will ease and the electric future will arrive—eventually
It was a busy year for the auto Industry. 1 _ There will be more cars on dealer lots
2022 began with Ford F-150 Lightning “We will see ongoing supply chain issues keeping
buyers asking when they would get their elec- production back in 2023, though inventory should
tric trucks, as demand far outpaced supply. At be in a better space than in 2022,” Stephanie Brin-
the same time, the compact Ford Maverick sold ley, assistant director of research and analysis at
out instantly and remains hard to find. GMC S&P Global Mobility tells Newsweek. “S&P Global
revealed the Sierra Denali EV, a counterpart to Mobility forecasts U.S. sales will reach 14.7 mil-
the Chevrolet Silverado EV. New electric vehicles lion units next year. This puts the market below 17
(EVs) without a bed made the news, among them million units for the fourth year in a row, which
Lucid’s impressive Air sedan. Dodge introduced leaves pent-up demand.
the first American electric muscle car, the Charger “However, economic conditions are also expected
TE SL A ; TOP RIGHT: K A RWA I TAN G/G E T T Y
SRT Daytona. A host of Mercedes-EQ EVs hit the to dampen some of the pent-up demand as well....
street. And while supply chain issues continued, We may see fewer people looking for a new car in
EV infrastructure improved with several partner- 2023. Overall, 2023 is going to be a stronger sales
ships with charging companies. Home chargers year than 2022, but it’s still a comparatively weak
became hot items. U.S. light-vehicle market.”
At year’s end, the Newsweek Autos team 2 _ A recession may put a
rounded up some of its favorite indus- damper on demand
by
try analysts from across the country “The last couple of years have seen supply
to weigh in on what 2023 might bring. JA K E issues constantly in the headlines, with
LINGEMAN
Here are 10 predictions for the new year. semiconductor chips at the center of the
NE WSWEEK .COM 11
Periscope AU TO M O B I LE S
CLOCK WI SE FROM TOP LE F T: FORD MOTOR CO; CHE VROLE T; K IA ; SE BA STIEN MAUROY; GENER AL MOTOR S (2)
“EV pickup trucks will still be a theme pickup trucks each increase slightly.
in 2023, as we should have Chevrolet We’ll see a small increase in van sales
Silverado EV, GMC Sierra EV and Tesla as well, specifically driven by delivery
Cybertruck on sale by the end of the vans,” Brinley says. sale in the U.S.: the subcompact
year, and Ford works to increase the entry-level Bolt (in EV and EUV
capacity of the F-150 Lightning,” S&P 6 _ General Motors will guises), the mid-luxury Cadillac Lyriq
Global Mobility’s Brinley predicts. grab the spotlight and the six-figure GMC Hummer EV.
“For new EVs, we expect to see AutoPacific’s Kim says, “GM has 2023 is the year that GM will finally
entries on sale from traditional and been in the news a lot as it read- start rolling out its mainstream
new brands, including BMW, Chevro- ies its plethora of Ultium-based Ultium-based EV models in the U.S.”
let, Fisker, Polestar, Volvo, Chevrolet, EVs. For all that press, GM cur- He adds, “The Chevrolet Equinox
Lexus and VinFast. Startups in the rently only has thre e EVs for EV promises to make a splash as an
commercial van space targeting sales attractive and affordable electric
in 2023 include Arrival and Canoo.” family crossover starting at around
$30,000 and the Chevrolet Blazer EV
4 _ Subscriptions are the promises more room and fantastic
way of the future “It is quite possible styling for a bit more money.
“Those heated seats you love? That “The Chevrolet Silverado EV and
trick navigation system with real- that the increase in the GMC Sierra EV will also launch
time updates that you depend on? supply may coincide in 2023, responding to Ford’s suc-
Even that horsepower boost to your
new EV or the safety of a hands-free
with a drop in cess with the all-electric F-150 Light-
ning. These are mainstream volume
driving system? All are potential consumer demand EV offerings that will put GM to the
subscription targets for automakers,” for new vehicles.” test as the much-ballyhooed Ultium
want to go electric.
“That will change in 2023 as three-
row electric SUVs will hit the market.
Hyundai will release its IONIQ 7,
Kia will launch the EV9 and VinFast
will bring its VF9, with even more
three-row electric models coming in
2024. These vehicles are important
as they will feed the powertrain and
people-carrying demands of many
members of the largest population
cohort in the U.S.”
9 _ More Google
in your dashboard
“Sure we all know about Apple CarPlay
and Android Auto. But 2023 will see a
sharp increase in the number of new
vehicles that have Google Built-In.
2023 will see brands like Honda, Ford,
Chevy & GMC and Volvo all offer
EV tech makes its way to the most charging infrastructure will also this in-dash suite of services, which
relevant and high volume auto- take some time to have impact, as bundles Google Maps, Google Assis-
motive segments.” it will take time to build out the tant and Google Play right into the
charging stations.” infotainment system of the vehicle,”
7 _ New laws boosting EVs Autolist’s Undercoffler says.
will take a while to work 8 _ Millennial parents “Log into it with your normal Goo-
2023 “will continue to see the foun- will get more three-row gle account, and your entire history
dations for a successful transition to EVs to choose from is connected via the car itself, rather
an EV-dominated market being built, “AutoPacific’s research has consistently than your smartphone.”
but it won’t be a pivotal year itself,” shown that millennials are more
S&P’s Brinley predicts. “Though the excited about EVs than older gener- 10 _ Prices aren’t
Inflation Reduction Act has several ations. Millennials are also now in going down
elements that will support EV sales their peak family-raising years,” Auto- Finally, S&P ’s Brinley predicts,
growth, including the potential for tax Pacific’s Kim says “Throughout the year, we could see
credits to consumers, the conditions “Three-row SUV sales are largely incentives tick up slightly, but there
mean that the more significant impact powered by millennial parents as is likely little reprieve for overall
will be later in the decade, as auto- a result. However, there has been a vehicle prices.”
makers invest to address the regional distinct lack of three-row all-electric
sourcing requirements.” SUVs (other than the six-figure Tesla ▸ Jake Lingeman is managing
“The infrastructure bill that allo- Model X) in the market to feed the editor at newsweek Autos. Twitter
cates funding for increasing the EV demands of millennial families who @JakeLingeman
NE WSWEEK .COM 13
Periscope
P O LI T I C S
Aiming for
Moral Authority
Senator Elizabeth Warren weighs in on
the importance of a values-driven military and her
efforts to reduce defense spending
spending authorized for the mili- the side of a solution rather than con- extends well beyond her climate
tary is too high when other issues tinuing to contribute to the problem.” provisions. The 2023 defense bill
like childcare and climate change One of Warren’s key achievements allocates $25 million toward imple-
remain, in her view, underfunded. in this year’s NDAA was a provision menting the DOD’s Civilian Harm
For Warren, that vote is integral establishing that the Department of Mitigation and Response Plan, which
In 2017, Warren sent a letter to that he would not seek a position Warren’s goal is to ensure that
the DOD Inspector General asking on the board of a defense contrac- taxpayers are getting the most for
the body to investigate Ohio-based tor or become a lobbyist after his their dollar by improving the eth-
aerospace company TransDigm for government service. That same year ical standards of practice in the
using “tactics to avoid sharing cost she also secured commitments from Department of Defense.
information with the government Secretary of the Air Force Frank Ken- “[National security] means fighting
for parts.” A 2019 Pentagon review dall and Under Secretary of Defense the battle over ethics in the Depart-
found that TransDigm had realized for Research and Engineering Heidi ment of Defense and shutting down
profits from DOD contracts at mar- Shyu that they would not work in the the revolving door between defense
gins ranging from 17 to 4,451 percent. defense industry for at least four years contractors and the DOD that makes
This exceeded the profit percentages following their time in the Pentagon. all the decisions about how profitable
of 15 percent or below that the DOD the military purchases will be,” War-
considers “reasonable.” ren tells Newsweek.
A subsequent 2021 report again “That’s how I think the pieces come
found that TransDigm earned excess together in the Senate Armed Services
profit of at least $20.8 million on “Security is a whole Committee over making certain that
DOD contracts. TransDigm is not lot more than just we have an effective fighting capacity,”
GREG NA SH/BLOOMBERG/GE T T Y
the only contractor to stand as the she explains. “My two priorities on
focus of such DOD reports. In 2013, counting off how Armed Services are to hold our gov-
the department found that “Boeing many missiles the ernment accountable for its promises
charged the Army about $13 million
(131.5 percent) more than the fair and
Army has. It’s about and to live our values every day.”
reasonable prices” for parts. working with others ▸ Alex J. Rouhandeh is the Congres-
In an attempt to address this issue, to try to lift all of us.” sional correspondent for newsweek.
Warren introduced the Stop Price
Gouging the Military Act, which
enhances the Pentagon’s authority
to “oversee whether contract prices
are fair and reasonable” by provid-
ing the department with the infor-
mation necessary to prevent actions
like those carried out by TransDigm.
The legislation’s intent was reflected
in the 2023 NDAA.
Warren has also worked in com-
mittee hearings to secure commit-
ments from top Pentagon officials
that they would not carry out pri-
vate sector lobbying work immedi-
ately following their time serving
within the Pentagon.
Secretary Austin said in response
to a 2021 question from Warren
16 NE WSWEEK .COM
N E WS M A K E R S
Talking Points
“WE HAVE TO “YOU’D BE
SURPRISED HOW A.I.
SAVE OUR STRUGGLES WITH
FORESTS, OR BASIC COMMON SENSE.”
WE’RE DONE.” —Computer scientist yejin Choi
FrOM LE F T: TIM CL ay TOn /CO rBI S /G E T T y; Pau L HEn nE SSy/an aDOLu aGEn Cy/GE T T y; M aC arTHur FOunDaTIOn S
with all I have got.” and maybe
—TEnnIS PLayEr MarTIna
NAVRATILOVA ON CANCER see a little
bit of “My sins here
themselves are embellishing
in me.” my resume.”
—NICOLE MANN, NASA’S FIRST
— U.S. Representative-elect George Santos
NATIVE AM ERICAN ASTRONAUT
MARTINA NAVRATILOVA
NICOLE MANN
firmer wrinkles
skin fade
97% 88%
PATENTED
NE WSWEEK .COM 21
ost people ignore the grow scarce because trucks would be unable to re-
electrical grid, until it stops fuel. Virtually every aspect of life would come to a
working. When that happens, the disruption can be halt. Casualties could run into the millions.
total, but most often is a matter of inconvenience— The possibility of widespread and prolonged
the lights go out, the internet goes down, there is outages may seem to many people like the stuff of
no place to recharge a cell phone. science fiction, but security experts now believe RISING THREATS
Clockwise from below:
But what if power did not return for days, weeks that the chance of such a disaster is higher than
A 2019 rally in Portland,
or months? And what if such a lengthy blackout it’s ever been—and rising. Oregon, with groups
engulfed not just a neighborhood or a county but In the first eight months of 2022, the U.S. electri- from the right and left;
a wide swath of the nation? The consequences, ex- cal grid was physically attacked 107 times, according the PG&E substation in
perts say, would be devastating. Many people would to the U.S. General Accounting Office—the most in Petaluma, California;
and the Senate
have no water to drink, no gas for their cars, no more than a decade. On December 3, shootings at
Judiciary Committee
heat for their homes. They wouldn’t be able to cash two substations in Moore County, North Carolina, meets to discuss
a paycheck, use a credit card or call an ambulance. plunged more than 40,000 people into darkness. domestic terrorism
Food, vital medicines and other essentials would Reports have since emerged of other recent acts of threats in 2022.
sabotage, including a series of attacks against four operators have not prepared adequately for the pos-
sites in Pierce County, Washington, leaving around sibility of a concerted attack by domestic terrorists.
14,000 people without power on Christmas Day. It is an open secret among security mavens that
These attacks, authorities believe, are coming homegrown terrorists could easily pull off an op-
from domestic extremists, who in recent months eration that results in widespread outages and a
have shown a newfound willingness to strike significant loss of life. All it would take, they say,
at transformers and power lines. According to is a series of modestly coordinated, relatively low-
CLOCK WI SE FROM LE F T: K A REN DU CE Y/G E T T Y; JUSTIN SULLIVA N/GE T T Y; DRE W ANGERER /GE T T Y
chatter on right-wing websites and social media tech strikes against a few key nodes of the network.
platforms, they may also be planning coordinated “If you have a physical attack that damages equip-
attacks. A number of posts seen by Newsweek in- ment, it can take weeks, months or years to replace
clude specific instructions on how to inflict max- that equipment,” says Michael Mabee, a former U.S.
imum damage to substations. Army command sergeant major and an expert in
The U.S. electrical grid is highly vulnerable to do- power infrastructure vulnerabilities. “If enough
mestic terrorism in a way that is reminiscent of air- of these transformers were destroyed in a physi-
lines before the 9/11 attacks in 2001. The hundreds cal attack, we would have a long-term, wide-scale
of thousands of miles of high-voltage power lines blackout, and the deaths would be in the tens of
and tens of thousands of transmission substations thousands, hundreds of thousands or millions.”
that make up the power network are, practically The Moore County attack, in particular, has ex-
speaking, impossible to police. And regulators and perts worried. It caused a serious disruption to ser-
vice, the assailants have not been caught, and it seems
to be part of a broad escalation. The possibility of
“If a major attack is required more such attacks in a coordinated fashion, designed
to cause irreparable damage to the grid, poses an “ex-
to get the attention of policymakers istential threat to the United States,” says Mabee.
and regulators, America may not get Threat From Radical Groups
A SECOND CHANCE. That’s the reality.” No group has claimed responsibility for the De-
cember 3 attack in Moore County. Authorities are
investigating a conservative group called the Moore
NE WSWEEK .COM 23
TECHNOLOGY
County Citizens for Freedom, whose director, for- carrying out attacks on U.S. infrastructure, as well
mer U.S. Army psychological operations officer Em- as recent examples of violent attacks already carried
ily Grace Rainey, is under investigation for leading out at sites across the country. Most are associated
a group to participate in the riots at the Capitol with “accelerationist,” far-right and neo-Nazi ide-
on January 6, 2021. Rainey was a vocal supporter ologies that see the power grid as a weak point to
of protests involving right-wing militias against a bring down the nation.
drag show being held at a local theater at the time In March, for instance, a shooting at a Red River
of the North Carolina substation attacks, and the Valley Rural Electric Association site in southern
Moore County Sheriff ’s office visited her home af- Oklahoma left thousands of people without power
ter she claimed to “know why” the power was cut. and resulted in a major oil leak. The transformer, a
No charges have been filed against her, her group model that typically costs between $800,000 and $1
or anyone else in connection with the attacks. On million, had to be replaced. In July, shots were fired
social media, Rainey attributed them to an act of at a transmission site in Wasco, California, resulting
“God,” who was “chastising Moore County” over the in a spill of hundreds of gallons of hazardous chem-
LGBTQ-friendly event. icals. Separately, a transformer serving the Keystone
While many of the saboteurs behind past attacks pipeline near Huron, South Dakota, was vandalized
are unknown—domestic groups generally don’t that same month, reducing the oil artery’s rate of
claim responsibility—Newsweek has obtained doc- operations. The California State Threat Assessment
uments that show how homegrown radicals share Center identified these “noteworthy incidents”
material and manifestos. A corporate intelligence along with other attacks in the context of the do-
security memo and an intelligence assessment mestic extremist threat, though the perpetrators
issued in October by the California State Threat and their motives remain unknown.
Assessment Center detailed dozens of examples of Although the recent attacks have been mostly
domestic radicals sharing plots and methods for small in scale, experts fear that security is so poor
“The electric grid is a prime target for a wide variety of BAD ACTORS,
both foreign and domestic, ranging from the far right to the far left.”
NE WSWEEK .COM 25
TECHNOLOGY
NE WSWEEK .COM
27
American Reliability Council (NERC), which is large-
ly overseen by members of the utility industry itself.
“The regulations for physical security and in cy-
bersecurity are not written by any federal regula-
tors,” says Wellinghoff. “They are instead written by
the utilities themselves, and those regulators only
can adopt or reject them.”
Once approved by FERC, the utilities are also in
charge of enforcing the rules. “It’s a very difficult
task to ensure that 3,000 utilities around the coun-
try are actually complying with regulations that the
utility industry themselves wrote,” says Wellinghoff.
The effort to shore up the resiliency of the U.S. pow-
er grid, he says, was “less than aggressive.”
A NERC spokesperson tells Newsweek, “keeping
the lights on for the citizens of North America is a
daunting task and is just too important to be done
by anyone other than an expert charged in the
field—anything less would be unacceptable.”
Regarding the recent rise in security threats,
the spokesperson points out that “physical security
events have a wide range—from errant bullets from
hunters, arson to copper thefts, which are the most
common physical threat.” A FERC spokesperson says,
COU NTE RCLOCK WI SE FROM TOP LEF T: ROLF SCHU LTEN /G E T T Y; BR AN DON BELL /GE T T Y; ZACH GIB SON/GE T T Y
“the security and reliability of the nation’s electric
grid remain our top priorities.”
Current regulations do not require utility com-
panies to keep spare parts on hand, which could limited scope of existing regulations, mostly in re- THREAT BOARD
Top to bottom:
reduce the likelihood of long-term blackouts. How- sponse to increasingly frequent natural disasters,
California’s grid control
ever, says the NERC spokesperson, “our standards says Avi Schnurr, CEO and president of the Electric room; technicians
do require entities to be able to operate without Infrastructure Security (EIS) Council. install a transmission
overloading the system.” Some law enforcement experts doubt that any plan tower in Houston,
Many critics feel that lawmakers have not done to physically guard sites could realistically be enforced Texas; and members
of the Federal Energy
enough to make the grid resilient to attacks. Two at- across the nation. The grid is too large and spread out
Regulatory Commission
tacks in particular—the one in Metcalf in 2013 and to be able to police effectively. “What do they want us appear before a Senate
the recent attack in Moore County—demonstrate to do, patrol power lines?” says a senior law enforce- Energy Subcommittee
that the reforms made after the Great Northeast ment official who worked on counterterrorism at the hearing on security
Blackout of 2003 were inadequate, they say. FBI-led Joint Terrorism Task Forces, who requested threats in March.
Securing the grid should be “a bi-partisan and anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the field.
common-sense national security issue,” says Waller. Utilities have made efforts to improve coordina-
“Unfortunately, efforts to do so have failed under both tion during outages. Using a strategy of “mutual as-
Republican and Democratic presidential administra- sistance,” utilities tap into a nationwide network of
tions. No matter who is responsible for recent out- technicians to restore power, usually in response to
ages, Americans must demand better grid security.” severe weather events that regularly batter large parts
of the U.S., including Florida, Texas and Puerto Rico.
Lack of Political Will Utility companies are also availing themselves
Just how to implement this security is a matter of new tools that would help them cope with wide-
of debate. Some power companies have already spread outages. In the event of so-called blackstarts,
been shoring up physical security beyond the in which a major portion of the grid fails and has
SEA POWER
Officers and sailors
of the People’s
Liberation Army Navy
at port in Zhoushan,
China, in 2020.
32 NE WSWEEK .COM
and airfields of potential strategic importance for are always ready to accommodate Chinese forces
whichever military can count on them. including the PLA navy or commercial satellite
China’s diplomatic offensive to win hearts, monitoring and weather stations that could have
minds and pocketbooks in the South Pacific is just a dual uses. Such facilities would help China project
part of a wider strategy, highlighted by Newsweek’s military power in a way that is currently only pos-
reporting, to deepen its influence around the world. sible for the United States, which has a far larger
That includes building out a network of what Chi- network of foreign bases than any other country.
na’s rivals believe could be future bases for rapidly Suggestions that China seeks overseas bases are a
expanding armed forces as China becomes a great- “false accusation,” foreign ministry spokesman Zhao
er challenge to the United States. Demonstrating Lijian told a briefing in June.
Beijing’s growing assertiveness, in late December
Chinese warships including the aircraft carrier Global Military Plans
Liaoning edged “close to Guam for the first time,” But China’s own military doCtrine makes Clear
according to the Communist Party’s Global Times how central the ability to project power globally is
newspaper, citing “strategic threats” from the U.S. to its future. China’s leaders say it will have a “world-
While Beijing dismisses suggestions it wants class” military by 2049. Its national defense concept
overseas bases for its armed forces, the U.S. and spells out that the world’s second biggest economy
its allies fear those are the real prize
as China intensifies diplomacy with
IRELAND
FRANCE
among elites in host nations, while obfuscating A rising China feels constrained by those chains. In
the scale and scope of PRC political and military recent years, it has sought not only to break them—its SPAIN
PORTUGAL
interests,” the report says. claim over Taiwan is part of that effort—but to secure
Vanuatu’s government, which was hit for weeks its place anywhere in the world that it sees fit.
starting in November by a cyberattack, did not re- “The Chinese look at the whole map and are MOROCCO
spond to multiple requests for comment. China’s thinking globally,” says Grant Newsham, a senior
embassy in Vanuatu and the Foreign Ministry in fellow with the Center for Security Policy in Wash-
Beijing did not respond to requests for comment. ington, D.C., and a former U.S. diplomat and re-
The Solomon Islands has said there will never be serve head of intelligence for Marine Forces Pacific.
a Chinese military base there—though China has “They are building ports and airfields in Latin
confirmed the signing of a security agreement. America on both sides, in Africa on both sides, and
on the west side of the Indian Ocean. They’ve been
Strategic South Pacific looking around the Azores and Greenland and a
By some measures, Vanuatu is on the world’s bunch of other places,” Newsham tells Newsweek
margins. It has about 65 inhabited islands, outcrops in an interview.
of volcanic rock and coral strung out hundreds of “The idea is to have a network of ports and air-
miles from neighbors such as Fiji, the Solomon fields to which they have access, and some actual
Islands and New Caledonia that are scarcely less bases as well. In other words, they’ll have the same
34 NE WSWEEK .COM
FINLAND
NORWAY
SWEDEN
RUSSIA
NETHERLANDS
GERMANY
KAZAKHSTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
ITALY
GREECE
LEBANON IRAQ
BAHRAIN IRAN
TAJIKISTAN
CHINA
PAKISTAN
EGYPT BANGLADESH
SAUDI ARABIA MYANMAR
(BURMA)
OMAN
INDIA LAOS
NIGER YEMEN
THAILAND
NIGERIA DJIBOUTI
CAMBODIA
ANGOLA
AUSTRALIA
SOUTH
AFRICA
y/feasibility for base Medium or high desirability and medium or high feasibility (but not high in both) Large-scale Chinese investment Major sea lanes
infrastructure as the Americans and a military with and Japan, have bases in Djibouti too.
global reach as well,” Newsham says. “In the world of overseas basing, minor military
FROM TOP : GE T T Y/N E WSWEE K ; N ARIND ER N AN U/AFP/G E T T Y
36 NE WSWEEK .COM
between Japanese islands to access the broader ocean International Court of Justice in The Hague, ruled that
beyond, in a development seen by Japanese authori- aspects of British administration of the territory were
ties as provocative. “unlawful.” In November the British government said it
“The document reflects our actual recognition of would discuss its future with Mauritius, which claims
the security issues surrounding Japan,” a Japanese the islands and which in 2019 struck wide-rang-
diplomat says, speaking with customary anonymity. ing financial and trade agreements with China.
India is also watching closely. It too has contested “The fear among those who keep an eye on the fu-
borders with China, in the Himalayas, where dead- ture threat posed by Chinese expansionism is a mili-
ly clashes take place. India has long-standing ties tary base coming up in one of these islands, once the
throughout the Indo-Pacific including in the South UK relinquishes its hold and the Archipelago comes
Pacific where people of Indian origin have lived for under the control of the Mauritius government,”
generations. commentator Abhinandan Mishra wrote in India’s
With a similarly sized population of about 1.4 bil- Sunday Guardian. “The reason for this fear is the eco-
lion, “India is the only country that can give China a nomic dependence that Mauritius has on China.”
run for its money on the ground in the South Pacific,”
says Cleo Paskal, a non-resident senior fellow at the Competing Interests
Foundation for Defense of Democracies in Washing- For sure, China is not alone in seeking inFluenCe
ton, D.C., where she focuses on the Indo-Pacific region. in the vast South Pacific. Other nations have an older
In August, the Yuan Wang 5, a Chinese navy satel- interest and presence, including the U.S., Australia
lite monitoring ship bristling with radar and high-
tech monitoring equipment, docked in China-owned
Hambantota port in Sri Lanka off the southern tip
of India. The move sparked speculation that Ham-
bantota, which was leased for 99 years to a Chinese
Japan has territorial disputes with China
state-owned company after Sri Lanka failed to repay in the East China Sea that have led to
its debt to China, may become a military or at least
dual-use base of the PRC on India’s doorstep. A second
standoffs between PLA forces and Chinese
visit to the Indo-Pacific by another PLA navy spy ship, coast guard vessels and Japan’s military.
the Yuan Wang 6, in November, at the same time as
Indian military maneuvers, renewed questions about
China’s intentions. However, the Yuan Wang 6 did not
dock at Hambantota.
Retired Sri Lankan admiral Jayanath Colombage
dismisses the suspicions that Hambantota could
become a Chinese military base, but he nonetheless
characterizes the Yuan Wang 5’s visit as “a message”
from China to Sri Lanka and India. “We tell the Chi-
nese they may not antagonize the Indians. The visit of
the space surveillance ship was symbolic, they could
gather that information from the sea but India in-
creasingly is dominating Sri Lankan security so they
wanted to push back,” Colombage says.
Indian military analysts are also watching what
GRE G BAKE R /AFP/G E T T Y
NE WSWEEK .COM 39
A Chinese Visit
Back in Vanuatu in chinese amBassador Li
Minggang’s whirlwind of meetings in mid-Decem-
ber, Li promised the new minister of youth and
sports development Tomker Netvunei that China
would support Vanuatu’s youth: 60 percent of its
population. He offered state-sponsored exchanges
with young Chinese. The next day, Li promised “new
vigor” in the two countries’ “strategic alignment.”
Vanuatu has denied reaching a security agree-
ment with China, but according to the Foreign
Ministry in Beijing, agreements were signed during
a visit by Foreign Minister Wang Yi in June, includ-
ing in technology, the economy, oceans and health
care, while the two countries “reached a broad
consensus to increase mutual political trust and
deepen strategic cooperation.”
Wang’s visit was one of 10 with Pacific nations—
eight in person and two online—in another sign of
how seriously Beijing is taking the region.
Areas for cooperation in the agreement with Van-
uatu include a seabed survey and construction of
a communication systems for internal security, ac-
cording to Nalapat, the Indian geopolitics professor,
who conducts granular research on security issues.
Full details of what has been agreed by Vanuatu
and China have not been disclosed, but China is
NE WSWEEK .COM 41
Culture HIGH, LOW + EVERYTHING IN BETWEEN
UNCHARTED
Falu
FALUN, SWEDEN
NE WSWEEK .COM 43
Culture
05
Mountbatten Pink
ENGLAND
The murky mauve is a naval camouflage
color at its most effective during
03 07
dawn and dusk and first used by Lord
Phlox Louis Mountbatten in the British Falu
NORTH AMERICA Royal Navy during World War II. The FALUN, SWEDEN
This radiant magenta color color’s usefulness is controversial, (See previous
comes from the name of a however, as ships may attract more spread)
flower most commonly found attention with reddish shade. But if
in eastern North America. the surname Mountbatten sounds
Meaning “flame” in Greek, familiar, he was a distant relative of
the name says everything Prince Harry and Meghan Markle’s 5
01
0 1: EN RIQUE AGU IRR E AVE S /GE T T Y; 0 2: LEON ARDO A LVAR E Z HERN ANDE Z /GE T T Y; 03-04: GE T T Y; 05: THE PRINT COLLEC TOR /GE T T Y; 07: WILLIAM TURNER /GE T T Y
about the vibrant clusters son, Archie Mountbatten-Windsor.
Quercitron 6
of flowers with sweet
NORTH AMERICA 1 fragrance when in bloom.
It’s not tech jargon, but
a yellow dye extracted
from the bark of Eastern
Black Oak, a forest tree 3
indigenous to North
America. In the 18th
century, the dusty, citrus
yellow color came to
light by grinding the
stem numerous times
and sifting through 2
the fibrous matter.
04
Indigo Blue
HUACA PRIETA, PERU
The blue on your denim jeans has a
history that goes back as far as 6,200
02 years. The earliest evidence was found
Carmine Red on fabric at a burial site. Historically,
OAXACA, MEXICO the stunning color was widely produced
and used from South Asia and the
A little goosebump: Parasites
Middle East to Central America. Ancient
may actually produce the bright
people turned dried indigo plant leaves
red color in your lipstick. The
mixed with lye into a dye and trading
pigment is created from clusters
commodity known as blue gold.
of female cochineal removed from
cactus pads and dried, after which
large amounts of carminic acid
are extracted from their dead
bodies. Carmine red has at least
2000 years of history in textile
dying, and is now widely used in
cosmetics and food coloring.
44 NE WSWEEK .COM
09
Tyrian Purple
TYRE, LEBANON
This reddish purple dates back to
as early as 1200 B.C. in Phoenicia,
today’s Lebanon. The extremely
06 laborious process to make the
pigment from thousands of murex
7 Feldgrau
and sea snails makes the pigment
GERMANY
expensive, and thus a symbol for
The name means “field gray” in
wealth and power. In fact, only
German, and it was the official
the Roman emperor could wear
color for military uniforms of the
clothing made entirely using the
German army during World War
color, and some elites and nobles
II. Today, armies in Chile, Finland,
could wear a stripe or border of it.
Austria and other countries wear
uniforms of this dark, gray-green.
9 11
0 6: GE T T Y; 08 : BRIT TA NY OL SON/G E T T Y; 09: FE THI BEL A ID/AFP/GE T T Y; 10: MAT TEO COLOMBO/GE T T Y; 11: L ANE OATE Y/GE T T Y
11
10
Celadon
ZHEJIANG, CHINA
10
Celadon pottery, also
Gamboge known as “greenware,”
PHNOM PENH, CAMBODIA originated in the Song
Coming from gum resin of trees dynasty. In order to
native to Cambodia, this sunny obtain the most prized
yellow has a foul past: in the mid- shade closest to jade
19th century, it was the major green, artisans must
ingredient of a pill some British finely balance the amount
quack-physicians touted as cure- of iron oxide and the
all, like snake oil. Nearly a dozen temperature of the kiln.
people died after overdosing
on the laxative pills. Today the
08 mustard yellow is most associated
with the robes of Buddhist monks.
Alabaster
CAIRO, EGYPT
You can find this color in the Alabaster
Mosque, where the creamy white reflects
golden sunshine. Or you’ll see it in
sculptures of medieval saints, in which
the soft white perfectly transcends
the figures’ solemnity and tenderness.
The shade of white comes from calcite
rock originally from Egypt, porous
and soft enough to be carved into
decorative arts and dyed into colors.
NE WSWEEK .COM 45
Culture
S H OW B US I N E S S
James Cromwell
Is Happy
to Be Offensive
The veteran actor and activist talks about being
People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals’ 2022 Person
of the Year and why Hollywood brass don’t like him
At 6 feet 7 inches tall, the 82-year-old goes on to list some of his achieve- won campaigns on behalf of animals
Cromwell is an imposing figure phys- ments which include getting Sea- who are kept hidden away in cages,
ically, but his tireless campaigning World to change its policy on orca exploited, and killed.”
also makes him a formidable political whales, as well as releasing cats that Cromwell’s efforts aren’t just
figure. He’s been a part of a number were allegedly being mistreated at reserved for animal rights activ-
of campaigns for a number of causes. the University of Wisconsin (he was ism though. The octogenarian cites
PA RT I N G S H OT
Octavia Spencer
Playing PoPPy Scoville-Parnell, a true-crime PodcaSter out to Do you think using Poppy
solve crimes on Truth Be Told (Apple TV+, January 20), was always in the narrating the podcast allows
cards for Octavia Spencer. “I’ve had this affinity for true-crime and investiga- you to tell a deeper story?
tive journalism. So it was just a natural progression.” Now in its third season, I do. Poppy blurs those journalistic
Spencer says, “it actually is our best season because it’s tied to something mean- lines. The journalist is never a part
ingful and real.” Spencer is joined by Gabrielle Union, who she says “is such a of the story, but somehow Poppy,
brilliant comedic actress and she’s coming into her own as a dramatic actress.” in her quest for the truth and
Together they must solve the case of a missing girl. For Spencer, what makes the doing the right thing, is always at
genre so appealing is that “there’s something about being an active member of the center of the investigations.
the investigation as a viewing audience member, you are actively a part of the
investigation.” Spencer has expanded her credits to include producing recently. I have to admit, when I watch Poppy,
“The question always comes up, what is the role you’re destined to play, and at I think of Jessica Fletcher in Murder,
this age and stage of my life, I would say that it’s definitely that of a producer. She Wrote or Peter Falk in Columbo.
A person who generates work and creates opportunities not just for myself.” I have to let you in on a little secret.
I watched every episode of [them],
and Poppy is kind of the marriage
between those characters. She
always wears her expensive jackets
because she left The New York
“For me, Times and she hasn’t gotten rid
of her suits. And my non-rumpled
it’s about trench coat is my ode to Peter Falk.
creating the
opportunity Where is Poppy in season three?
She’s had some life shake-ups. A child
for other goes missing; it’s about examining
people.” what happens when kids go missing.
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