Thomas Bayes

Thomas Bayes was born in 1702 and died on

April 7, 1761. He was an English Presbyterian
minister who put forward a theory known as Bayes'
Theorem. This theory was later refined by Laplace.

In probability theory and statistics, Bayes'

theorem is a theorem with two different
interpretations. In Bayesian interpretation, this
theorem states how far the degree of subjective belief must change rationally
when there is a new clue. In a frequentist interpretation this theorem describes the
inverse representation of the probabilities of two events. This theorem is the basis
of Bayesian statistics and has applications in science, engineering, economics
(especially microeconomics), game theory, medicine and law. The application of
Bayes' theorem to update beliefs is called Bayesian inference.

Bayes' theorem was finally developed with various sciences including

solving expert system problems by determining the probability value of the expert
hypothesis and the evidence value obtained from the facts obtained from the
object being diagnosed. This Bayes theorem requires expensive computational
costs because of the need to calculate the probability value for each value of the
Cartesian multiplication. Applying Bayes' theorem to find applications is called
Bayesian inference (Bayes, 1763)

Here is the formula from Bayes' theorem: