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Decision-making in.sagepub.com/journals-permissions-india
DOI: 10.1177/23197145211035481
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Suresh G.1
Abstract
Investors’ financial literacy entails making sound investment decisions and the behavioural biases or irrational behaviour in decision-
making that are collectively formed by heuristic bias, framing effect, cognitive illusions and herd mentality factors. The present study
examines the combined impact of financial literacy and behavioural biases on investment decisions. A questionnaire was developed
using Likert scaling technique to elicit study variables and collected data was analysed using SEM technique. The results showed that
heuristic bias had a significant positive association with the creation of behavioural bias in decision-making. However, the framing
effect, cognitive illusions and herd mentality have negative associations in the formation of behavioural biases. Further, investors often
practice and follow heuristic biases rather than other irrational techniques for making investment decisions. Therefore, the financial
literacy of individual investors has a significant impact on affecting stock market investment decisions.
Keywords
Financial literacy, behavioural bias, investment decisions, framing effect, cognitive illusions, heuristics, herd mentality
Corresponding author:
Suresh G., Department of Commerce, CHRIST (Deemed to be University), Bangalore, Karnataka 560029, India.
E-mail: suresh.g@christuniversity.in
2 FIIB Business Review
However, investors are not rational always and are not able decisions (Zamri et al., 2017). Behavioural biases are
to equip infinite computing capacity to believe in all potential categorized into heuristics, framing effect, cognitive
circumstances to make sound investment decisions. illusions and herd mentality, and have effect on investment
Traditional theory assumes that irrational investors are performance of individual investors’ portfolio. They are
eliminated from the market by arbitrage and it can also be either inherent in investor psychology or in view of
challenged in many aspects (Hirshleifer & Teoh, 2003). emotional decisions existing in general understanding of
Decision-making is a psychological and cognitive investment market. As per heuristic phenomenon, anchoring
process that results in the selection of investments. bias, representativeness and overconfidence have been
The approach to behavioural finance divulges the reality involved in transforming individual investors as to stock
that individual investors are not often highlighted and market investments. Framing effect includes regret aversion,
does not take into account fundamental and technical mental accounting and endowment effect (Lin, 2011).
investigations in investment decisions. It focuses on how Cognitive illusions are explained by conservatism,
individual investors gather and recognize information to confirmation and hindsight bias (Lad & Tailor, 2017). Herd
make evidence-based decisions and discover the influence mentality which is associated with information processing,
of emotional aspects on investment decisions (Waweru social group and bandwagon effect has influence on stock
et al., 2008). Believers of the behavioural theory argue that market decisions (Bekiros et al., 2017). Further, financial
investors fundamentally behave in a ridiculous way on literacy dimensions in terms of financial competency,
investment decision-making. The phenomenon certifies financial proficiency and financial opportunity streamline
that investors often buy stocks when prices go up and sell their decisions in stock market. The study will support the
them when prices go down. Recently, academicians and finding of the various kinds of behavioural biases and its
experts have tried to find how the emotions and biases influence on investment decision-making.
drive overall behaviour of an individual investor. They
highlighted the main role of heuristics, cognitive illusions,
framing effect and herd mentality as a guide to make such
Financial Literacy
irrational investment decisions (Economou et al., 2010). Investors’ financial literacy is all about their awareness and
Put together, financial literacy of individual investors has understanding of investment ideas and information, thus
had a strong impact on investment decisions. ensuring the capability to make informed, safe and effective
The aim of the study is to examine how financial literacy decisions on investments. In a broad sense, it is designated,
correlates with behavioural biases in investment decisions. as understanding the economy and how economic situations
Financial literacy guides individual investors to avoid and events influence decisions (Worthington, 2006). In a
irrational decisions to some extent. In earlier days, investors narrow sense, it is defined as basic money management
did not have enough education to search for the fundamentals instrument used for savings, budgeting, investment and
of the broad dimensions of the company, industry and insurance (Gallery et al., 2010). Financial literacy is the
economy. Ideally, they would adopt technical dimensions capability to recognize, evaluate, manage and communicate
and irrational behaviour in investment decision-making. on stock market investments (Vitt & Anderson, 2001).
However, investors now have sufficient education with Financial literacy can be discussed in three ways such as
extensive financial literacy and often use these phenomena financial competency, financial proficiency and financial
in investment decisions. Therefore, the impact of financial opportunity. Financial competency is concerned with
literacy and behavioural biases is the true motivation to equipping relevant knowledge on different financial
initiate such seminal research in an empirical manner. This products (Shobha & Shalini, 2015). Financial proficiency
study contributes to quantify the investment decision- deals with the capability to apply knowledge and correspond;
making tendency of individual investors in India, to what creating financial literacy for effective decisions (Hilgert
extent they place financial literacy in decision-making and et al., 2003). Financial opportunity highlights that a
how they influenced with behavioural biases can estimate. financially knowledgeable investor should have the
It also helps determine if individual investors take a rational opportunity to invest funds and enjoy gain on investments.
or irrational approach to investment decisions due to
financial illiteracy.
Behavioural Biases
Investment decisions in daily life rely on the mix of various
Background of the Study factors such as tendency, motive, passion and social
Individual investors are partially rational and partially interaction. Investors make investments according to
irrational in making investment decisions. They have available funds, periodical and financial objectives
mental biases and cognitive restrictions, which prevent (Muhammad & Abdullah, 2009). Investors perform
them from making rational decisions. Various behavioural behavioural biases because of lack of technical proficiency
biases often forbid individual investors from taking rational and belief in their skills for effective decision-making.
Suresh G. 3
Behavioural biases, such as herd mentality, heuristics, effect, cognitive illusions and herd mentality components.
cognitive illusions and the framing effect influence rational Detailed discussions have been held from this point of
decision-making. Individual investors have less opportunity view.
to evaluate stock due to lack of knowledge and interest,
high cost and limited time. Therefore, they exercise simple
heuristics or rule of thumb to make decisions (Lo, Behavioural Biases
2005). Framing effect describes the state of an individual Heuristic Bias
investor’s mind in decision-making. Cognitive illusions
Heuristic bias is basically called as rule of thumb; it
are systematic patterns of deviation from a specific norm
simplifies the decision-making process of investors,
or rationality in evaluations. Cognitive illusions induce the
investors to follow certain norms in selection of investments especially in uncertain and difficult circumstances by
(Agarwal et al., 2016). Herd mentality is the tendency of reducing the intricacy of assessing possibilities and
investors to abandon self-belief and information but follow forecasting benefits to make easy judgments (Kahneman &
others’ action in decision-making. Herd mentality has Tversky, 1974). Heuristic bias possibly impedes positive
tremendous effects like high volatility, bubbles and market gain in investment which could simultaneously imitate
imperfections (Braha, 2012). The combination of heuristic in reduced portfolio gains. The heuristics bias affect
bias, framing effect, cognitive illusions and herd mentality the private investors’ portfolio construction and even
cause irrationality and it is referred to as behavioural biases professional investors influenced by the heuristic bias
in investment decisions. Behavioural biases could establish (Gavrilakis & Floros, 2021). Further the heuristics bias
a way to deviate from intrinsic worth and cause inefficiency strongly influencing the investment decision making of
in market (Babajide & Adetiloye, 2012). investors with the mediating factor of risk tolerance
(Salman et al., 2020). Hence based on the risk tolerance
level of investors, heuristic bias plays significant role.
Investment Decisions Heuristic bias can be explained in three ways such as
Investors make decisions based on experience and anchoring bias, representativeness and overconfidence.
knowledge on the stock market. Behavioural finance Anchoring bias is an emotional state of affairs that exists
focuses on how individual investors act and interpret when investors give unwanted importance to statistically
information to make investment decisions. Behavioural random and emotionally determined anchors which direct
finance is getting a main element of decision-making, since them to make decisions that are not basically rational
it affects behaviour of investor significantly (Kannan & (Tseng & Yang, 2011; Zahera & Bansal, 2018). Anchoring
Vijayakumar, 2015). Investment decisions of investors bias can also be described as the investor’s tendency to
project their intention to select better stocks. Intention anchor their considerations to a rationally irrelevant
is reflected in estimation of gain that is determined by point in investment decision-making (Pompian, 2006).
using financial literacy level and biases in investments. Anchoring bias is concerned with riskless trading behaviour
Behavioural finance assists investors to make exclusive among the investors (Ofir & Wiener, 2012).
decisions and avoid mistakes in investments. Investment Representativeness is a dedicated tendency to relate a
decisions are often surrounded by complexity and new event with an intention of knowing the event and
uncertainty; it can assist financial literacy and cognitive through which only investors make investment (Anderson
estimations to select suitable stocks (Kafayat, 2014). This et al., 2005). Decisions are made by comparing the present
standpoint makes investors’ prioritize their intuition over event with previous events and making investments
rationality assumed by modern finance approach. accordingly. It can create some bias in terms of investors
Behavioural finance is a peculiar science that combines placing more importance on recent incidents and undervalue
financial sense and cognitive psychology in investment the long-term gain in investments (Kubilay & Bayrakdaroglu,
decisions. In this way, financial literacy on investment 2016; Zahera & Bansal, 2018). Overconfidence is essentially
and behavioural strategy could be the antecedents in the over estimation on one’s own ability because investors
determining investment decisions of an investor (Sukanya believe that they can make better decisions than others can
& Thimmarayappa, 2015). but in reality it is not achievable (Larrick et al., 2007).
Further, in a study, Ahmad and Shah (2020) found that
overconfidence can impair the quality of investment
Literature Review
decisions of investors. There are two major implications of
The literature on financial literacy, behavioural biases, and overconfidence with regard to investor perspective. The
their effect on investment decision have been discussed in first is failure to generalize the information and the next is
several previous studies in many ways. The construct to do extra trading because of such failure (Shefrin &
financial literacy consists of competency, proficiency and Statman, 2000). Overconfidence induces to trade more
opportunity as to stock selection. Behavioural biases are quantity and take high risks; it leads to market inefficiency
composed and explained by heuristic biases, framing due to more volatility and mispricing (Shah et al., 2012).
4 FIIB Business Review
Based on the above propositions, it is hypothesized in the by the investors who commit mistakes in the process of
following way. judgement. Investors regret certain processes in investment
decisions because of failure of bringing expected return
H1: Anchoring bias, representativeness and overconfi- and this is termed as regret aversion (Talha et al., 2015).
dence collectively form the heuristic bias in invest- However, avoiding regret is an emotional state. Regret is
ment decision-making. expressed when an investor observes that their decision is
H2: Heuristic bias has significant positive influence wrong, even if it was initially believed correct. Regret
with behavioural biases. is linked with the logic of accountability for choice,
and therefore differs from the aggravation of assigning
Framing Effect
responsibility to external components for poor results
Framing effect is often called as prospect theory. (Michenaud & Solnik, 2008). Further the regret averse
It describes how investors manage uncertainty and risk in investors are more sensitive hence they use to invest in
investments. According to framing effect, investment stocks which have lesser risk than investing in the stocks
decisions can be segregated into two phases that is framing which have less return (Awais & Estes, 2019). It helps to
phase and evaluation phase (Dhar & Zhu, 2006). determine the following hypotheses.
Furthermore, it is believed to be irregular and contradictory
in decision-making. Framing effect emphasizes that H3: Mental accounting, endowment effect and regret
investors formulate decisions based on possible value of aversion collectively form framing effect in
loss and return rather than final results and consequently investment decision-making.
make decisions on perceived gains than perceived loss H4: Framing effect has significant positive influence
(Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Further a study found that with behavioural biases.
the framing effect has a very strong effect on investors’
decision-making (Tabesh et al., 2019). In keeping with Cognitive Illusions
Thaler (1990), mental accounting is composed of three Cognitive illusions are associated with investors’ acceptance,
components. The first component deals with how outcomes understanding and assessment in making investment
are received and experienced; the second discusses the decisions (Lei & Seasholes, 2005). Cognitive illusions can
fund inflow and outflow from an account; and the third affect the investors’ decision-making process and it
evaluates the regularity of account. Investors normally facilitates to avoid making mistakes in financial decisions.
assess the inflow and outflow, and the reaction will be Therefore, knowing and recognizing cognitive illusions
uncertain to organize investments with regular returns. helps to improve the allocation of investments. There is a
However, components of mental accounting decrease the self-belief in the capability to make the right decisions
financial standard of substitutability (Carlin, 2009). Excess based on available information, but in fact the right
return will stimulate investors because of the assessment decisions are not able to be made (Kim & Nofsinger, 2008).
between part information, to continue until enhanced A recent study stating that the investors’ investment
returns are realized. Further a recent study states that the decisions not fully rational and it to be prone towards bias
understanding of mental accounting significantly improve like cognitive illusions (Singh et al., 2016). Conservatism
the decision-making quality and in turn increase the is a mental process where individual investors depend on
profitability (Mahapatra & Mishra, 2020). Furthermore, in their earlier viewpoint to forecast information to acquire
general investors use to assess the trade-off between the new ideas. Here, investors depend mainly on experience
cost and return of investment and the mental accounting is than on learning new techniques in making investments.
influencing in the process of assessing the trade-off. Preferences based on past experiences were not consistent
Hence, ultimately the mental accounting is influencing enough; investors with rigorous conservatism bias will be
the investment decision-making of investors (Zhang & determined by their preferences. Conservatism shows that
Sussman, 2018). investors failed to integrate new information by continuing
Endowment effect reveals that investors desire more in to clutch their past prediction (Alwathainani, 2012) and a
selling than purchasing. It has strong implications and recent study also state that the conservatism bias has
claims that investors treat different costs differently negative impact on the investment decision-making if
(Shefrin & Statman, 1985). The cost of selling stock from investors’ financial literacy is lesser (Ahmed at al., 2020).
a portfolio of an investor is considered as a loss and Further a study found that overconfidence, conservatism
opportunity cost is considered as a prior gain. The former and availability bias have an impact on the investment
should carry more weight as investors refuse to accept decisions of investors (Bakar & Yi, 2016).
change when they hold a stock. A study stating that a Investment decisions rely on availability and information
significant impact of endowment effect on the investors gathering of stocks and its features along with anticipation
risk behaviour and therefore endowment effect have effect of what others will perform so as to make correct valuation
on investment decision-making process of investors of stocks in the future. Confirmation bias leads to a tendency
(Holden & Tilahun, 2021). Regret aversion is experienced for investors to focus on information that corresponds to
Suresh G. 5
their opinions, avoiding them from reacting to any other irrational and they make decisions accordingly. Social
information. Confirmation bias can lead to the formation of groups have sizable control in the stock market volatility
bubbles in the financial markets (Pouget et al., 2017). (Mittal, 2010). It has been checked with the following
Hindsight refers to an investor’s tendency to find past hypotheses.
events more predictable than previous results (Biais &
Weber, 2009). It makes a person convinced that the H7: Information processing, bandwagon effect and
circumstances of an event after it has occurred were social groups collectively form herd mentality in
expected and based on historical data. There is a faith in investment decision-making.
predictability, as it is considered as a capability to make H8: Herd mentality has significant positive influence
investment decisions (De Miguel Guzman et al., 2018). with behavioural biases.
The reason why forecasting is easy, is concerned with the H9: Behavioural biases have significant positive influence
reality that investors are biased by their knowledge of what on investment decisions of individual investor.
occurred. In this way, the following hypotheses are proposed.
H5:
Conservatism, confirmation and hindsight bias Financial Literacy
collectively form cognitive illusions in investment Financial literacy is the capability to recognize how money
decision-making. acts around the globe, how investors can earn money and
H6:
Cognitive illusions have significant positive skill to administer and get more returns from investment
influence with behavioural biases. (Giesler & Veresiu, 2014). Financial literacy can be
Herd Mentality measured by means of financial attitude, knowledge and
behaviour on different investment outlets and financial
Herd mentality refers to the state of affairs where rational
dimensions. Financial literacy enables the investor to
investors commence to perform irrationally to replicate the
navigate with informed investment decisions and reduces
evaluations of other investors in investment decisions
the possibility of being misled (Agarwal et al., 2015).
(Malik & Elahi, 2014). Herd mentality is the investor’s
An investor with enough financial literacy has familiarity
tendency to go after the crowd, because the decisions made
on arithmetic, budgeting, money management and capability
by most investors are considered as right forever. A herding
to predict expenses and incomes. Furthermore, financial
investor will make decisions as per the actions of a crowd
competency on savings, expenditure, borrowings and
in buying and selling of stocks. Herd mentality has been
investment is of supreme importance for every investor
found in both upward and downward phases in market.
Moreover, high volatility and volume are the outcome of making investments in stock market. Competencies lead to
herding effect. Decision-making process relies on first- select suitable stock for both speculative and long-term
hand information collected from reference groups rather investments (Ganapathi, 2014). Adding on in a study
than own estimation (Mahapartra & Mehta, 2015). Ahmed et al. (2020) found that the financial literacy has
Investors pay effort on information processing from the positive impact on the investors investment decision.
crowd so as to make investment decisions. Often investors Financial proficiency is related to the quantum of
ignore their own information regardless of its accuracy in investors’ financial knowledge. Financially strong investors
decision-making and blindly follow the herd, even if the can plan in advance, discover and utilize information.
crowd may be wrong. Their information processing always Moreover, it helps the investors to be get familiar with
follows the herd and then gets delight based on whole herd when to get advice and how to proceed on such advice.
mistake rather than personal mistake. It helps them to make superior gains (Hastings et al., 2013).
Trading and investment psychology of an investor is Financial opportunity is the chance to make investments.
affected by the bandwagon effect. Bandwagon effect is a Financial inclusion, compulsory dematerialization of
situation in which investors feel safer and assured if they stocks and maintaining bank account permits an individual
come to know that their decision is consistent with the to take part in the capital market arena. Such financial
decision of others (Coval & Tyler, 2005). The bandwagon opportunity motivates individual investors to take part in
effect, however, can often be the fundamental rationale. stock market investments. Therefore, application of financial
Investors fear being excluded from the stock when they knowledge and performance in financial market is mostly
observe it increase; rather than looking at the basics of the relied on financial opportunity (Pareek & Dixit, 2016).
stock, they begin buying stocks since they think everybody The following hypotheses has been proposed in this way.
else is undertaking the same (Pertiwi et al., 2019). Investors
have personal attachment with certain groups. They H10: Financial competency, financial proficiency and
often make decisions based on the movement of social financial opportunity collectively form financial
groups. Social environment has determined the investor’s literacy in investment decision-making.
behaviour in investment decisions. If an investor is polluted H11: Financial literacy has significant positive influence
with infectious thoughts once, their behaviour becomes on investment decisions of individual investors.
6 FIIB Business Review
Research Objectives and Problem hence one hundred and forty cases is enough, but for better
result researcher intended to collect data from 250
The study sought to establish the impact of behavioural individual investors. Initially researcher collected data
biases and financial literacy on investment decisions of from 267 respondent, later while screening the data it is
individual investors. The study assists to recognize the found that 17 responses are had some missing or
various types of behavioural biases and their potential inappropriate responses. Hence that 17 responses were
impact on investment decisions. Similarly, how financial ignored for further analysis.
literacy transforms their investment decisions is also To concurrently assess and examine how the process of
examined. Investment decision-making differs from one investors’ decision is associated with financial literacy and
investor to another due to the development of own tenets or behavioural biases, the structural equation modelling
the imitation of others. It develops irrational behaviour in (SEM) has been used after measuring the data quality using
investment decisions. Then how can financial literacy confirmatory factor analysis.
trade-off be measured in such a phenomenon?
experience in investments. Occupation discloses that 52% after which the convergent validity is measured. Reliability
are engaged in business or profession, 31% employed in is documented as the internal consistency of every factor
private or government sectors and 17% are agriculturists, that is employed to assess a latent construct.
retired, homemakers, and so on. Table 2 depicts that for all the factors, correlation
amongst the factors are in the range of 0.781 to 0.919, and
in Table 3 Cronbach’s alpha value has been ascertained and
Impact of Financial Literacy and
its values were found in the range of 0.83 to 0.92, which is
Behavioural Biases in Decision-making
greater than the lowest threshold value of 0.70. These
Investment decision-making is the process that blends results proving that multi-collinearity is not the main issue
logical and psychological calculations of investors. However, among the variables.
investment decisions are rational according to traditional
Measurement Model
finance theories. Contrary to that, modern finance theories
advocate that investment decision-making are not governed SEM determines the impact of exogenous construct on
by rational deliberations. Investment decisions taken by the investment decisions, as it institutes a path for the
investors are also frequently spontaneous. Contrarily, instantaneous examination of the entire model that seeks
decision-making is subject to four major behavioural biases various hypothetical relationships. At this point, a two-step
in the form of heuristic bias, framing effect, cognitive analysis is performed where a measurement model with
illusions and herd mentality. However, financial literacy and latent construct is first analysed, and then a structural
behavioural biases aspect have strong influence on changing equation model with all constructions and their hypothetical
investment decisions. The association between financial relationships is analysed. Based on the proposed hypotheses,
literacy and behavioural biases in relation with stock five latent constructions are formed, such as heuristic bias,
investments employs structural equation modelling with framing effect, cognitive illusions, herd mentality and
observed variables and latent variables. financial literacy from 15 observed variables. A measurement
SEM is an extraordinary statistical technique for model has been developed to assess the reliability and
inspecting and measuring the causal relationship between validity of the latent variables. Accordingly, its results are
different variables. However, latent variables are not depicted in Figure 1.
directly observable, but mainly derived from other variables. Table 3 depicts that the latent construct captures factor
However, other variables can be directly observed and loadings that are in the range of 0.789 to 0.929, indicating
measured. Structural equation modelling is used for a solid support for the validity of the construct. In this
confirmatory modelling rather than exploratory researches, order, the AVE values extracted for heuristic bias, framing
and is therefore applied to theoretical tests rather than effect, cognitive illusions, herd mentality and financial
development. Structural equation modelling usually literacy are greater than the standard level of 0.50. The
includes two parts, which are the measurement model that composite reliability coefficient values are greater than
explains the association between the latent variables and 0.60 for all latent variables, therefore, high internal reliability
their factor indications and the SEM that transmits the of the model is assured.
causal associations between the latent variables (Fornell & Table 4 depicts that all prerequisites for authorizing a
Larcker, 1981). To forecast the impact of financial literacy first-order measurement model are practically met. The
and behavioural biases of investment decisions in the stock results of the measurement model represent that the chi-
market, the study has developed a conceptual model, which square value is 361.994, with p = .000, CFI = 0.903 and
aims to represent the process of investment evaluation and RMSEA = 0.067. Consequently, the goodness of fit test
support investment behaviour.
Equity share investing behaviour tries to detect the most Table 2. Results of Correlation Co-efficient Matrix
essential and significant factors in decision-making through
heuristic bias, framing effect, cognitive illusions and herd Heuristic Framing Cognitive Herd Financial
mentality. Behavioural biases are involved with careful Factors Bias Effect Illusions Mentality Literacy
intellectual action of equity investors in order to imply or Heuristic 1 0.889* 0.897* 0.836* 0.792*
not a behavioural bias. In the stock market, investors have bias
to experience different forms of behavioural biases Framing 0.889* 1 0.919* 0.875* 0.781*
effect
in investment decisions. Stock investment decisions of
Cognitive 0.897* 0.919* 1 0.883* 0.808*
individual investors is shaped by the continuation of illusions
behavioural biases and financial literacy. The real Herd 0.836* 0.875* 0.883* 1 0.846*
investment decisions are the resultant activity; hence, it has mentality
been planned to test with the proposed hypotheses. Financial 0.792* 0.781* 0.808* 0.846* 1
Confirmatory factor analysis performed to create literacy
measurement model, which determines perfect fit of the Source: Survey data.
model with data. Reliability of data is primarily estimated, Note: * Significant at 0.01 level.
8 FIIB Business Review
Table 4. CFA Results of Model Fit in Figure 2. From the hypothetical relationship to the
construct, 11 hypotheses have been maintained with path
Chi-square df p CMIN/df CFI RMSEA significant at p = .05 level. Consequently, the study attempted
361.994 126 0.000 2.873 0.903 0.067 to prove that there is a positive and direct association
Source: Survey data. between all the other hypotheses.
Figure 2 exhibits that in the model, amongst the different
hypothetical paths, all paths are significant at p < .05. The
values advocates a practically high fit model. Subsequent research scrutinized the models demonstrated in the graph;
to establishing the reliability and validity of each item, the it makes flow charts for models of equity share investment
model is tested. decisions. Usually, in the structural equation modelling,
the model fit assessed by the chi-square measurement is
Structural Equation Modelling not at all times easy, because it is extremely responsive to
The research hypotheses are tested due to the consistency the sample size. Owing to these constraints, different types
of proposed measurement model with data. The hypothetical of fit indices have been computed and they denote
relationship between the different constructs is presented independent sample size. Therefore, goodness of the fit
and the exhaustive link between the different hypotheses Table 6 represents that heuristic bias brings coefficient
are showed in Tables 5 and 6. value of 0.795 for anchoring, 0.572 for overconfidence and
Table 5 depicts the goodness of fit test of the SEM; it 0.773 for representativeness. The construct heuristic bias
proved the good fit with the data through the use of various has positive and significant association with its three ante-
indices. Accordingly the computed value of such indices, cedents. Put together, all antecedents have contributed to
like CFI (0.903), NFI (0.912), TLI (0.919), PNFI (0.921), the existence of heuristic biases in stock investment deci-
PCFI (0.922), RFI 0.913) and IFI (0.904) are higher than sions among individual investors, hence hypothesis (H1) is
threshold value of 0.9. Further, the values of RMSEA = accepted. Heuristic bias has a coefficient value of 0.434 for
0.067 is safely below the threshold value of 0.08, it has behavioural biases and it supported that it has direct and
perfect fit with the data. SEM has made a significant positive association, hence hypothesis (H2) could be
progress with regard to its goodness of fit indices, since accepted. Therefore, the results are parallel with the
consistency is found on all the suggested values. The outcome of Jain et al. (2015) and Charles and Kasilingam
outcome validates the reliability of the statistical test data. (2018). However, heuristic biases are mainly formed with
anchoring, overconfidence and representativeness, and it
creates a certain thumb rule in investment decision-
Table 5. Goodness of Fit Test
making. Framing effect has a coefficient value of
S. No Goodness-of-fit Statistics 0.684 for mental accounting, 0.649 for endowment effect
1. Comparative fit index (CFI) - (>0.90) 0.903 and 0.815 for regret aversion. The construct framing effect
2. Normed-fit index (NFI) - (>0.90) 0.912 has positive and significant association with its antecedents
3. Tucker–Lewis index (TLI) - (>0.90) 0.919 and it enthusiastically contributes to form the framing
4. Parsimonious normed fit index (PNFI) - 0.921 effect in stock investment decisions, which then leads to
(>0.90) accept hypothesis (H3). Framing effect has a coefficient
5. Parsimony comparative fit index (PCFI) - 0.922 value of –0.450 for behavioural biases; however, hypothe-
(>0.90) sis (H4) could also be accepted. The results of framing
6. Relative fit index (RFI) - (>0.90) 0.913 effect is similar to the findings of Ritter (2003), however,
7. Incremental fit index (IFI) - (>0.90) 0.904
mental accounting, endowment and regret aversion
8. Mean square error of approximation 0.067
(RMSEA) - (<0.08)
together form their own mental calculations in decisions-
making.
Source: Survey data.
Un. Coef.
Hypotheses Beta SE Std. Coef. t-value P-value Decision
H1 Anchoring à Heuristic bias 1.000 0.082 0.795 4.498 0.227 Accept
Overconfidence à Heuristic bias 0.732 0.086 0.572 3.642 0.164 Accept
Representativeness à Heuristic bias 1.022 0.089 0.773 5.203 0.197 Accept
H2 Heuristic bias àBehavioural biases 0.511 0.328 0.434 5.328 0.223 Accept
H3 Mental accounting àFraming effect 1.000 0.096 0.684 4.213 0.381 Accept
Endowment effect à Framing effect 0.890 0.102 0.649 3.248 0.248 Accept
Regret aversion à Framing effect 1.138 0.111 0.815 4.236 0.276 Accept
H4 Framing effect àBehavioural biases –0.608 0.411 –0.450 2.985 0.426 Accept
H5 Conservatism àCognitive illusions 1.000 0.225 0.506 4.452 0.452 Accept
Confirmation àCognitive illusions 0.777 0.231 0.311 2.299 0.423 Accept
Hind sight àCognitive illusions 1.750 0.392 0.669 4.878 0.324 Accept
H6 Cognitive illusions àBehavioural biases –0.684 0.497 –0.274 3.625 0.456 Accept
H7 Information processing à Herd mentality 1.000 0.171 0.582 3.544 0.462 Accept
Bandwagon effect à Herd mentality 1.043 0.184 0.601 3.365 0.423 Accept
Social groups à Herd mentality 1.085 0.193 0.581 5.163 0.274 Accept
H8 Herd mentality à Behavioural biases –0.456 0.339 –0.256 3.025 0.473 Accept
H9 Behavioural biases à Investment decisions 0.036 0.058 0.039 4.106 0.247 Accept
H10 Financial competency à Financial literacy 0.044 0.058 0.048 3.524 0.312 Accept
Financial proficiency à Financial literacy –0.107 0.062 –0.108 3.651 0.128 Accept
Financial opportunity à Financial literacy 0.005 0.061 0.005 3.574 0.145 Accept
H11 Financial literacy à Investment decisions 0.051 0.064 0.051 4.245 0.324 Accept
Source: Survey data.
Note: Un. Coef = Un-standardized coefficient; Std. Coef = Standardized coefficient; SE = Standard Error.
Suresh G. 11
Cognitive illusions has a coefficient of 0.506 for behavioural bias in investment decisions. It also divulges
conservatism, 0.311 for confirmation and 0.669 for hindsight that an investor assumes either heuristics or frames while
bias. It has been confirmed that cognitive illusions have a constructing their stock portfolio. Heuristic bias has 18.6%
substantial relationship with their antecedents and accept variation in relation to cognitive illusions. Heuristic
hypothesis (H5). Cognitive illusions have a coefficient bias and cognitive illusions have a considerable influence
value of –0.274 for behavioural biases; however, hypothesis while selecting a particular stock for investment purpose.
(H6), which deals with cognitive illusions and behavioural Herd mentality of investors can be controlled to the extent
biases is accepted. The findings are similar to Qawi of 28.7% by heuristics bias. Heuristics often controls the
(2010) and Bakar and Yi (2016), however, conservatism, investors to make investments based on the thumb rule
confirmation and hind sight bias assists the investors to rather than following herd. Framing effect has 2% variation
follow certain norms in investment decisions. Herd in connection with cognitive illusions, it shows that an
mentality has significant connection with its antecedents investor either follow frames or illusions in decision-
with coefficient value of 0.582 for information processing, making. Framing effect controls the herd mentality in stock
0.601 for bandwagon effect and 0.581 for social groups; selection to the extent of 33.5%. Similar to that cognitive
which leads for acceptance of hypothesis (H7). Herd illusions detain the investor to follow herding behaviour by
mentality has coefficient value of –0.256 for behavioural 60.4% in selection of investments.
biases; therefore, hypothesis (H8) could be accepted. The
results of herd mentality are consistent with Hwang and
Salmon (2004), herd behaviour induces to follow actions Discussions and Conclusions
of other in investment decisions. Altogether, behavioural
biases have coefficient value of 0.039 for stock investment The rationale of the study is to examine the influence of
decisions, it directs to accept hypothesis (H9), which financial literacy and behavioural biases with respect to
deals with behavioural biases on investment decisions. irrational behaviour in decision-making. Investors have a
This result is alien with the results of Ahmed et al. (2020) great level of behavioural biases in investment decisions.
Financial literacy has a coefficient value of 0.48 for Financial literacy helps to assimilate such irrational
financial competency, –0.108 for financial proficiency and behaviour and make effective decisions to attain the desired
0.005 for financial opportunity. Financial literacy constructs profit. Given this point, the study expands the behavioural
have a direct effect on enough financial knowledge in approach in decision-making on investments among
making investment decisions (Rai et al., 2019). However, individual investors. The study proposed eleven hypotheses,
hypothesis (H10) is accepted. Financial literacy has a of which five hypotheses dealt with the antecedents of
coefficient value of 0.051 for investment decisions and has heuristics bias, framing effect, cognitive illusions, herd
a positive impact on investment decisions, which leads to mentality and financial literacy; four hypotheses measured
accepting hypothesis (H11). The findings are similar to the its impact with behavioural biases and two hypotheses
findings of Xia et al. (2014) and Ahmed et al. (2020) that addressed the influence of financial literacy and behavioural
financial literacy can increase decision-making quality. biases in investment decisions.
The findings corroborated that financial literacy dimensions Findings divulged that anchoring bias, representativeness
and behavioural biases have a direct influence on the and overconfidence direct to attain investment decisions
investment decisions of individual investments. With the based on earlier incorrect experiences. Heuristic bias can
intention to test the extent of association among independent be highly helpful to make speculative decisions that may
factors in stock market decision-making, the test of give possible gains or loss in stock investing. It can be
estimates of independent factors has been performed and is verified that investors mainly rely on such heuristic
presented in Table 7. information rather than potential investigation and on price
Table 7 depicts that 84.5% differences have been found movements of a particular stock. Heuristic bias provides a
between heuristic bias and framing effect. It confirms that few ideas to invest in the stock market and had a positive
both heuristic bias and framing effect develop a distinct impact in developing behavioural biases in investment
decisions. Framing effect is also a prominent aspect in the investment environment, but behavioural biases
creating behavioural bias among individual investors and it provide simple and effortless ideas for decision-making.
is mostly influenced by mental accounting, endowment The independent relationship between variables found that
effect and regret aversion. This is the outcome of the heuristic bias has significant positive impact with the
investors’ own techniques and intuitions to buy or sell a framing effect and cognitive illusions in decision-making,
stock. Framing effect makes impulsive behaviour than but it has negative impact with the herd mentality.
rational analysis while planning to purchase a stock. The The framing effect has a positive impact with cognitive
premise support that framing effect has significant illusions but has a negative impact with the herd mentality.
influence on behavioural bias. Cognitive illusions have a negative impact on investors’
Cognitive illusions extensively create behavioural bias herd mentality in decision-making. It can be concluded
in investment decisions. Cognitive illusions are formed by that individual investors follow irrational behaviour in
conservatism, confirmation and hindsight bias in selecting a investment decisions with the active presence of financial
stock for investment. The antecedents of cognitive illusions literacy in the stock market.
guide the investors to make a certain pattern of deviation
from rationality in evaluation of investments. Such
precursors have a close connection with creating cognitive
illusions. Cognitive illusions have a strong impact on Research Implications
behavioural bias. Herd mentality is formed with information The findings also provide the following implications for
processing, bandwagon effect and social groups in academics and experts. Individual investors find it difficult
investment decision-making. However, information to value a security while deciding to buy it. The movements
processing provides sufficient information to follow herd of stock market prices are unpredictable for everyone;
and create bandwagon effect in their decisions. Social investors develop their own ideas or imitate others to make
groups make a better environment to compare their own better decisions in the stock market. Investors often develop
ideas with others and make decisions accordingly. Herd their own ideas based on a thumb rule, personal calculations
mentality of individual investors creates a strong impact in and follow past experiences to make better decisions.
building behavioural biases. Financial literacy is formed Effective decision-making helps individual investors
with financial competency, financial proficiency and maximize their return on their investment. The success of
financial opportunity in stock market investments. Financial investing in the stock market is based on their ability to
competency develops knowledge of investors in various
learn the dynamic market environment and develop
financial investments. Financial proficiency enhances
appropriate investment strategies. Proper investor education
investor skills in stock market investments. Financial
through training can increase their ability to learn the stock
opportunity deals with the chance to make investments in
market. Due to the lack of training, investors create an
stock market.
irrational approach to make investment decisions. However,
Therefore, financial literacy increases an investor’s
irrational decisions guarantee short-term gains, but it is not
knowledge in stock selection, time of purchase or sale, risk
good to make profitable decisions from a long-term
and return estimation without any hesitation. The presence
of financial competency, proficiency and opportunity perspective. Academics, policymakers and experts should
develop financial literacy of investors to make profitable strive to provide training and development measures to
investment decision-making. Behavioural biases are a mix help investors make rational decisions.
of heuristic bias, framing effect, cognitive illusions and
herd mentality. It corroborates that investors often follow
heuristics than frames or illusions or herd behaviour in Limitation and Future Scope of
investment decisions. However, the intellectual potency of Study
individual investors is mainly influenced by heuristic bias.
That is why; investors often follow the thumb rule as a Like other studies, this study also has its own limitations.
significant decision technique than any other technique. First, this study is conducted in South Indian states, hence
On a few occasions, investors make their own frames based it may not be generalize to other parts of country. Second,
on their investment knowledge in the market. Sometimes, this study collected data using google form hence the
investors believe in following existing plans than respondents may be wrong on recalling their behavioural
developing new ideas to pick shares. Successive failure or bias while responding. Third, limitation is to examine each
bad experience will induce them to follow herding rather individual bias—say anchoring bias—was estimated using
than developing their own analysis. It is confirmed that only one variable, while it can examine using number of
behavioural biases have a strong impact on investment variables like other study. This study used financial literacy
decision-making. factor as predicting variable rather than mediating variable,
Both financial literacy and behavioural biases involve a similar kind of study can be made using the financial
governing investment decisions of individual investors. literacy as a mediating factor in between the behavioural
Financial literacy guides investors to learn more about bias and investment decision.
Suresh G. 13
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