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Journal of Behavioral Finance

ISSN: (Print) (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/hbhf20

Investor’s Intrinsic Motives and the Valence of


Word-of-Mouth in Sequential Decision-Making:
Modeling of Triple Serial Mediation

Fawad Ahmad

To cite this article: Fawad Ahmad (2023): Investor’s Intrinsic Motives and the Valence of
Word-of-Mouth in Sequential Decision-Making: Modeling of Triple Serial Mediation, Journal of
Behavioral Finance, DOI: 10.1080/15427560.2022.2138392

To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560.2022.2138392

Published online: 04 Jan 2023.

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JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE
https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560.2022.2138392

Investor’s Intrinsic Motives and the Valence of Word-of-Mouth in Sequential


Decision-Making: Modeling of Triple Serial Mediation
Fawad Ahmad
Institute of Business Administration (IBA)

ABSTRACT KEYWORDS
Word-of-Mouth (WoM) is a socially embedded process, and investors engage in social con- Word-of-mouth; self-
siderations to achieve self-motives. Investors attempt to share negative WoM (NWoM) to motives; social-motives;
emotionally connect (self-affirm) to strengthen existing social ties following prior losses. In behavioral finance; social
finance; risk-attitude;
contrast, investors attempt to share positive WoM (PWoM) to self-enhance to attract others sequential risk-taking
into developing new social ties. Thereby, this study aims to predict the impact of prior
losses or gains on investors’ later decisions by engaging in the valence of WoM to achieve JEL CLASSIFICATION
different underlying self-motives and social-motives. This study used experimental data and G41; G11
employed PROCESS tool model 6 to check the validity of the proposed triple serial medi-
ation model. Findings support the viability of the triple mediation model that investors seek
to achieve different underlying self-motives and social-motives manifested in PWoM or
NWoM, following prior gains or losses. Investors seek to self-affirm by strengthening compo-
nents of social-motives through engaging in NWoM, following prior losses. While investors
seek to self-enhance to develop components of social-motives through sharing PWoM, fol-
lowing prior gains. Findings provide significant implications for researchers, managers, finan-
cial advisors, and analysts. Researchers, managers, and analysts can incorporate investors’
intrinsic factors in traditional economic models to better predict investors’ economic behav-
ior. Financial advisors need to understand self-motives and social-motives that change cli-
ents’ risk attitude and frame investment advice to achieve particular clients’ self-motives
and social-motives.

Introduction investment outcomes and to develop or strengthen


social activity motivates investors to engage in either
An escalation of commitment refers to an individual’s
positive WoM (PWoM) or negative WoM (NWoM).2
tendency to engage in comparatively greater risk-tak-
Specifically, Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021)
ing following prior losses than gains (Staw 1976).
find that investors engage in NWoM (or PWoM) to
Prospect theory posits that prior gains and losses
self-affirm (or self-enhance), following losses (or
influence differently investors’ risk attitude to engage
gains) in prior decisions. Investors also seek to
in later high or low risk-taking decisions, indicating
strengthen (or develop) social-motives manifested in
different underlying mechanisms guiding later deci- NWoM (or PWoM). This suggests that investors seek
sions. Investors engage in social interaction through to achieve either self-motives or social-motives mani-
word-of-mouth (WoM)1 to share investment achieve- fested in PWoM or NWoM, following gains or losses
ments, seek positive evaluation, achieve high perceived in the prior decisions.
status, and sustain self-integrity and self-image However, WoM is communal activity (Kozinets
(Sedikides and Gregg 2008; Sherman and Cohen et al. 2010), and one of the important motivations for
2006). Self-determination theory suggests that individ- WoM is social acceptance (Chen 2017). Individuals
uals are motivated by self-desire to seek intrinsic engage in social interaction, which involves social con-
motives (i.e., self-motives and/or social-motives) to siderations to achieve self-motives (Alexandrov, Lilly,
achieve higher levels of self-motivation, self-determin- and Babakus 2013; Chen 2017). According to social
ation, and self-confirmation (Deci and Ryan 2000). exchange theory, individuals evaluate the self-benefits
Moreover, the underlying desire to recognize or deny of sharing opinions, and when benefits are higher

CONTACT Fawad Ahmad afawad2385@gmail.com Department of Finance, School of Business Studies (SBS), Institute of Business Administration
(IBA), Karachi, Pakistan.
ß 2023 The Institute of Behavioral Finance
2 F. AHMAD

than efforts, they engage in social interaction to social interaction to strengthen or develop social inter-
achieve them (Emerson 1976). We extend Ahmad, action ties, relational trust, and shared vision. This is
Oriani, and De Angelis (2021) and consider WoM as consistent with the concept of “social finance” coined
a socially embedded process to examine the underly- by Hirshleifer (2020) which highlights the role of
ing mechanisms that explain differences in investors’ social processes as the main predictor of economic
later risk-taking decisions following prior losses or and financial decisions of households and firms
gains. Specifically, we predict that investors attempt to (Kuchler and Stroebel 2021). Second, in the gain (or
share NWoM to emotionally connect (self-affirm) to loss) domain, investors desire to strengthen (or
strengthen existing social ties following prior losses. develop) components of social-motives through self-
On the other hand, investors attempt to share PWoM affirmation (or self-enhancement) manifested in
to self-enhance to attract others into developing new NWoM (or PWoM) to engage in low (or high) risk-
social ties. taking. Finally, the findings explain investors’ time
This study posits that following losses or gains, and efforts on social networking sites to post invest-
investors strive to achieve a higher degree of self-satis- ment-related opinions or experiences. Investors desire
faction (i.e., self-enhancement and self-affirmation). to achieve underlying social motives to strengthen or
To satisfy these needs through WoM, investors need expand components of social capital through self-
to engage in social considerations, which entails devel- affirmation and self-enhancement manifested in
oping or strengthening social interaction ties, rela- NWoM or PWoM. In doing so, investors seek to gain
tional trust, and shared vision. Therefore, we propose emotional support, opinion confirmation, and social
a triple serial mediation effect of self-motives, social- desirability.
motives, and valence of WoM on the relationship This study provides useful implications for
between prior and later risk-taking decisions com- researchers, managers, financial advisors, and analysts.
pared to the double mediation effect of self-motive or First, the rational economic behavior model considers
social-motives and value of WoM, provided by economic benefits the main driver of economic behav-
Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021). ior. However, investors’ intrinsic motives impact
This study employed experiment data from Ahmad, economic behavior in the context of sequential deci-
Oriani, and De Angelis (2021) to validate the triple sion-making. Therefore, researchers, advisors, and
serial mediation effect. Results suggested that investors analysts should integrate intrinsic factors in economic
evaluate the benefits of self-affirmation to develop models to accurately predict investor behavior.
social interaction ties, relational trust, and shared Second, financial advisors may better understand the
vision and self-enhancement to strengthen relational underlying self-motives and social-motives behind cli-
trust and shared vision (Hypotheses 1a (i, ii, iii) & 1b ent (re)investment decisions. It may help financial
(ii, iii)). Investors engage in NWoM to seek self- advisors to offer clients investment choices according
affirmation via strengthening social interaction ties, to their risk-attitude and desire to achieve particular
relational trust and shared vision following prior intrinsic motives. Similarly, financial advisors can also
losses (Hypothesis 2a (i, ii, iii). While investors engage prevent client losses by modifying their risk-attitude
in PWoM to achieve self-enhancement through devel- by framing investment advice to strengthen or develop
oping relational trust and shared vision, following self-motives and social-motives.
prior gains (Hypothesis 2b (ii, iii)). Finally, results The remainder of the paper is divided into four
confirmed that WoM is a socially embedded process. sections. Section “Theory and hypothesis devel-
Investors’ decision to engage in later high (or low) opment” deals with the underlying theory and related
risk-taking is motivated by self-affirmation (or self- literature to develop hypotheses. Section “Data and
enhancement) through strengthening (or developing) method” elaborates on the paper’s methodology, fol-
social interaction ties, relational trust, and shared lowed by the presentation of the results. The final sec-
vision manifested in NWoM (or PWoM), following tion discusses the main findings, implications, and
prior losses (or gains) (Hypotheses 3a (i, ii, iii) & 3b limitations.
(i, ii, iii)).
Findings contribute to the literature on the impact
Theory and hypothesis development
of social interaction on investors’ desire to seek intrin-
sic motives. First, the WoM is a socially embedded Three hypotheses were developed to establish the tri-
process, investors evaluate the self-motives (i.e., self- ple mediation effect of self-motives, social-motives,
affirmation and self-enhancement) before engaging in and valence of WoM on the relationship between
JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE 3

Figure 1. Theoretical process model.

prior low (or high) risk-taking and later high (or low) Individuals (investors) seek to satisfy two main
risk-taking.3 The first set of hypotheses drew on the self-motives, i.e., self-enhancement and self-affirm-
direct effect of self-motives on social-motives. The ation by engaging in social interaction. Self-enhance-
second set of hypotheses proposed an indirect effect ment refers to individual efforts to seek constant
of self-motives on the valence of WoM via social- positive evaluation to feel good and desirable. To do
motives. The third set of hypotheses established the so, self-enhancers share positive (vs. negative) experi-
indirect effect of self-motives, social-motives, and ences (De Angelis et al. 2012) to signal competence
valence of WoM on the association between prior (Wojnicki and Godes 2017) and impress others. They
risk-taking and later risk-taking. The proposed model seek high perceived status by taking credit for gains
is presented in Figure 1. and refrain from responsibility for losses. However,
Theoretical reasoning is adopted from intentional individuals use self-affirmation as a self-defense mech-
and behavioral models to develop the triple serial anism to sustain self-imagine and self-integrity
mediation effect of self-motives, social-motives, and (Campbell and Sedikides 1999). Self-affirmers usually
valence of WoM on the association between prior and share negative experiences and present them as a con-
later decisions (Alexandrov, Lilly, and Babakus 2013). sequence of bad luck to counter the negative
Theories of planned behavior and reasoned action are reinforcement. In doing so, they justify their compe-
tence, knowledge, and experience to sustain their self-
the most widely used intentional models in literature
image and present negative opinions as an intention
and are regarded as a good predictor of an individu-
to help others (Alexandrov, Lilly, and Babakus 2013).
al’s intention to engage in a behavior (Azjen 1991).
Individuals (investors) seek to form or strengthen
These theories provide theoretical constructs concern-
three main social-motives through engaging in social
ing the underlying motivational factors as determi-
exchange: social interaction ties, relational trust, and
nants of an individual’s intention to engage in a
shared vision. Social interaction ties represent the
specific behavior. Intentional models assume that indi-
extent and frequency of knowledge shared, emotional
viduals are rational and analyze information to predict connectedness, reciprocity, time spent, and strength of
the implications of their actions before engaging in a the relationship between members in a social network
specific behavior (Ajzen and Fishbein 1975; 1980). (Chiu, Hsu, and Wang 2006). Strong social interaction
Whereas consumer behavior models analyze the pro- ties facilitate the rapid and cost-efficient transfer of a
cess of individual actions and the satisfaction of wide range of knowledge and help expand the social
underlying motives as a consequence of those actions. network. Relational trust is defined as the convenience
These theories provide logical reasoning for the rela- of accessing others’ opinions and the availability of
tionship between self-motives and social-motives and emotional support in social interaction ties. The opin-
the subsequent triple mediation effect. This illustrates ion from social networks is considered more trust-
that self-motives (motivational factors) and social- worthy than that from other unknown sources. A
motives (implications of actions) are intertwined, and shared vision refers to forming shared values, a sense
individuals engage in social interaction through WoM of affiliation, and a collective identity among social
that involves the realization of social-motives to interaction ties. Individuals with high levels of sense
achieve self-motives, following prior losses or gains. of affiliation with social networks establish high self-
4 F. AHMAD

goals, whereas individuals with low levels of shared Weisbenner 2007; Zhang et al. 2018), coworkers (Hvide
vision try to establish self-identity by setting goals like €
and Ostberg 2015; Kaustia and Kn€ upfer 2012), and
social networks (Choi, Seo, and Yoon 2017). peers (Bursztyn et al. 2014) because of the high level of
perceived trust on social community (Bougheas,
Nieboer, and Sefton 2013; Patacchini and Rainone
Direct effect of self-motives on social-motives
2017). The forming, developing, and strengthening
Individuals (investors) evaluate the self-benefits of social-motives (i.e., social interaction ties, relational
engaging in social interaction, which entails social trust, and shared vision) should be considered as the
consideration to form or strengthen components of actualization of social interaction. The actualization of
social-motives (i.e., social interaction ties, relational social-motives has no meaning without self, meaning
trust, and shared vision). For example, if an investor that evaluation of self-motives’ benefits precedes the
gains in prior investment and intends to share positive intention to engage in social interaction (Alexandrov,
experience to seek high self-enhancement, which is Lilly, and Babakus 2013). Therefore, social considera-
self-motive, he needs to evaluate expected improve- tions which entail social capital development are meant
ment in the self-status and engage in social interaction to satisfy self-motives. Investors first examine the impli-
with others (intention). This also implies that self- cations of self-benefits through social capital benefits
motives and social-motives are interrelated because and later engage in WoM.
investors need to engage in social interaction to Individuals (investors) engage in social interaction
achieve high self-enhancement. Hence, the causal that is driven by a desire to strengthen the existing
sequence for an intentional model will be from high social relationship (with friends, which entails social-
self-enhancement (i.e., self-motives) to social inter- motives) to seek emotional connection (Chen 2017) to
action (i.e., consideration of social-motives). maintain self-image and ego. The propensity to seek
Individuals achieve self-motives through WoM, but emotional connection (or self-affirmation) increases
before that, they evaluate the consequences of their with the enhanced desire for self-defense against losses
actions and develop the intention to engage in the behav- and associated negative reinforcement (Alicke and
ior. Without intentions, there is no behavior. Sedikides 2009). Hence, we argue that investors
Accordingly, investors seek to achieve benefits of self- engage in social considerations (or social-motives) and
enhancement and self-affirmation through WoM. use self-affirmation as self-defense.
However, these benefits are dependent on confirming,
H1a: The need to strengthen (i) social interaction ties,
developing, and maintaining self-satisfaction, self- (ii) relational trust, and (iii) shared trust is positively
esteem, personal worth, and effectiveness among com- affected by the need for self-affirmation.
munity affiliates, which is gained only by engaging in
social interaction to develop, enhance or sustain social In contrast, individuals (investors) engage in social
capital (Alexandrov, Lilly, and Babakus 2013). interaction which entails social consideration to attract
Specifically, the literature suggests that the self is formed others into forming a social relationship (which fulfills
through interaction with others (Spencer, Fein, and social-motives) to achieve the desire to self-enhance.
Lomore 2001). Social acceptance is an important motiv- The propensity to self-enhancement increases with the
ation for individuals to engage in WoM (Chen 2017), enhanced desire for social acceptance and to impress
and depends on forming, developing, and strengthening strangers to expand social circle (Chen 2017). Hence,
social relationships (Beck and Clark 2010). we argue that investors engage in social considerations
Research on social norms suggests that social capital (or social-motives) to achieve the desire to self-
development is meaningless without self-benefits enhancement.
(Ostrom 2000). Similarly, self-motivation is shaped by H1b: The need to develop (i) social interaction ties,
social considerations. For example, social interaction (ii) relational trust, and (iii) shared trust is positively
induces investors to change their utility function with affected by the need for self-enhancement.
reference to the affiliate outcome level (Wuthisatian,
Guerrero, and Sundali 2017). Similarly, investors prefer
Indirect effects of self-motives on the valence of
to invest in the common choices (i.e., shared vision) in
WoM via social-motives
a social group to self-enhance through WoM (Brown
et al. 2004; Brown et al. 2008). In addition, investors The emotions shared through WoM differ based on
prefer investment choices that are common among sib- whether individuals are interacting with friends or
lings (Tokuoka 2017), neighbors (Ivkovic and strangers but the main driver behind WoM remains
JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE 5

constant which is social consideration (Chen 2017). discussed above, WoM is a socially embedded activity,
Individuals are more likely to engage in self-enhanc- and individuals (investors) seek to gain self-motives
ing interaction with strangers to form social relation- by engaging in WoM but before that, they assess the
ships (De Angelis et al. 2012; Wojnicki and Godes social benefits of engaging in WoM to achieve self-
2017) and emotionally connecting interaction (self- motives (Alexandrov, Lilly, and Babakus 2013).
affirmation) with friends to strengthen social relation- Therefore, we suggest that investors seek self-affirm-
ships (Chen 2017). This leads to the valence of WoM ation to avoid the consequences of losses through
and the difference between memories (Dubois, assessing social benefits to strengthen or sustain social
Bonezzi, and De Angelis 2016) and experiences shared motives by engaging in NWoM. Hence,
with friends or strangers (Chen 2017). Distinct goals H2a: The need to strengthen (i) social interaction ties,
drive this difference to protect friends and impress (ii) relational trust, and (iii) shared trust positively
strangers. Individuals tend to share PWoM to impress mediates the impact of self-affirmation on the need to
strangers and NWoM with an intention to protect engage in NWoM.
and help friends (Dubois, Bonezzi, and De On the other hand, PWoM can be associated with suc-
Angelis 2016). cess because individuals attempt to impress others by
The attribution theory indicates that losses and spreading PWoM to enhance their positive self-image by
gains lead to different behavior. Individuals blame expanding their social circle. Hence, we predict that indi-
others for failures and attribute successes to their self- viduals (investors) self-enhance by engaging in PWoM
knowledge, ability, and experience (Bradley 1978). The through forming social capital. Therefore,
NWoM can be associated with losses because individ-
H2b: The need to develop (i) social interaction ties,
uals engage in NWoM to defend and sustain self- (ii) relational trust, and (iii) shared trust positively
identity among social group members. In doing so, mediates the impact of self-enhancement on the need
they tend to spread NWoM to justify failures by to engage in PWoM.
blaming luck and destiny (Aydemir and Aren 2017).
Literature in WoM demonstrates that self-affirmers
tend to engage in NWoM to reduce cognitive disson- Indirect effects of prior risk-taking on later risk-
ance (Steele and Liu 1983). Self-affirmation is used as taking via self-motives, social motives, and
a coping mechanism to defend self-image to reduce valence of WoM
the effect of negative assessment by others (Spencer, Investors engage in comparatively higher risk-taking
Fein, and Lomore 2001). On the other hand, PWoM following prior losses than following gains when mak-
serves as means to achieve the motive of self-enhance- ing later decisions, termed escalation of commitment
ment (De Angelis et al. 2012; Sundaram, Mitra, and (Staw 1976). This indicates that investors exhibit opti-
Webster 1998). Hence, we presume a difference in the mistic (or pessimistic) expectations associated with
underlying mechanism for NWoM and PWoM. The later expected outcomes and engage in low (or high)
NWoM is associated with avoiding and coping with risk aversion behavior following prior losses (gains).
negative events, whereas PWoM is associated with Prospect theory predicts that investors engage in later
capitalizing on positive events. high risk-taking to (partly) overcome losses. The opti-
Prospect theory states differences in investors’ later mistic expectations associated with expected gains out-
risk-taking behavior after following prior losses and weigh the fear of subsequent losses because gains can
gains, suggesting different underlying mechanisms to (partly) recover prior losses. Investors revise invest-
cope or capitalize on the prior negative or positive ment portfolios by including high-risk securities in
outcomes. Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021) anticipation of gains (i.e., an overdue event; gambler
confirmed differences in underlying mechanisms guid- fallacy). Self-justification theory suggests that investors
ing later risk-taking following prior losses or gains. do not need to justify their investment selection crite-
They find that investors tend to engage in NWoM (or ria and choices (Staw 1976). They tend to self-affirm
PWoM) to self-affirm (or self-enhance), following and shift the blame of losses on market conditions,
losses (or gains) in prior decisions. In addition, invest- luck, and destiny to reduce negative assessments by
ors seek to strengthen (or develop) components of the social circle. To do so, they spread NWoM to
social-motives manifested in NWoM (or PWoM). defend their self-image and strengthen social motives.
These findings indicate that investors seek to achieve Hence, we argue that following prior losses investors
self-motives or/and social-motives manifested in seek self-affirmation to overcome negative assessment
NWoM or PWoM, following prior losses or gains. As of losses by others through social consideration to
6 F. AHMAD

strengthen social motives via spreading NWoM and Participants were provided a detailed description of
engaging in relatively high risk-taking. Therefore, each experiment along with the bearish or bullish
H3a: The need for self-affirmation, strengthen (i) social market settings, which consist of clear, explicit, and
interaction ties, (ii) relational trust, and (iii) shared limited macroeconomic information (i.e., GDP,
trust and NWoM positively mediates the impact of unemployment, interest rate, and stock market per-
prior low risk-taking on later high risk-taking. formance). In addition, clear instructions were given
However, investors exhibit high-risk aversion that experiments are only for participants having prior
behavior by reinvesting in perceived low-risk invest- stock market investment experience and social net-
ment choices to capitalize on gains and continue posi- working site accounts. Two screening questions on
tive returns (i.e., hot hand fallacy). Investors tend to prior stock market investment experience and social
self-enhance by associating gains with self-ability, networking site accounts were added to ensure that
knowledge, and experience to impress others and participants had prior investment experience, implying
increase social desirability through sharing PWoM. In greater ecological validity and generalizability of find-
this way, investors capitalize on gains to form new ings (Weber, Weber, and Nosic 2013). According to
social interaction ties, develop relational trust, and gratification theory, individuals use media to gratify
seek shared trust through PWoM. Therefore, we sug- specific needs and wants in a timely and efficient
gest that following prior gains investors tend to manner (Ko, Cho, and Roberts 2005). Social network-
achieve self-enhancement through expanding social ing sites are widely used as media for opinion and
desirability by sharing positive experiences via PWoM experience sharing because of their wide reach, instant
and engaging in later low risk-taking. feedback, and opportunity to expand social circles.
H3b: The need for self-enhancement, forming (i) social
Therefore, Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021)
interaction ties, (ii) relational trust, and (iii) shared considered WoM senders sharing investment opinions
trust and PWoM positively mediates the impact of and experience in the form of the valence of WoM on
prior high risk-taking on later low risk-taking. social networking sites. Pilot studies were conducted
to validate that market setting induced optimistic and
pessimistic expectations in the participants. In this
Data and method study, we employed experiment 2 data of Ahmad,
We used data from Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis Oriani, and De Angelis (2021).
(2021) to validate the triple serial mediation effect of
self-motives, social-motives, and valence of WoM on Materials and measures
the relationship between prior and later risk-taking
decisions. They conducted two experiments to validate An autobiographical emotional memory task was
the double mediation effect of intrinsic motives and employed by Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021)
valance of WoM on the association between prior low to induce pessimistic expectations (negative emotions)
(or high) risk-taking and later high (or low) risk-tak- or optimistic expectations (positive emotions) in the
ing. Data was collected using Amazon Mechanical participants.4 In this method, participants are required
Turk, a crowdsourcing platform used by studies to to write desired emotional experiences in a short
collect quality data for research (e.g., Antonetti and essay. An autobiographical task is a popular method
Maklan 2018; Shanahan, Tran, and Taylor 2019). of inducing desired emotion because it is easy to
Participants willingly participated in the experiment implement in laboratory and real-world settings, does
and received compensation after completion of the not require expert writing skills and takes less than
experiment. Experiments consisted of two treatments 10 minutes to complete a task. It is important to note
that are bearish and bullish market settings to induce that the autobiographical emotional memory task was
pessimistic and optimistic expectations, respectively employed to induce anticipated positive (PWoM) or
(Sokolowska and Makowiec 2017). A bearish (or bull- negative (NWoM) emotions, not incidental emotions
ish) market setting suggests a downward (or upward) of the valence of positive or negative emotions (e.g.,
trend of prices on the stock market (Preis, Schneider, joy, happiness, anger, and fear).
and Stanley 2011). The participants were randomly In the first part of the experiment, participants
distributed among bearish and bullish market settings. were instructed to share prior loss (or gain) invest-
Experiments were uploaded at different times and par- ment experiences in bearish (or bullish) market set-
ticipants were only allowed to participate in one tings to induce negative (or positive) emotions. In
experiment to avoid multiple submissions. addition, participants were also required to provide
JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE 7

investment opinions that they had shared on social Four data checks were used to ensure the validity of
networking sites for provided investment experience. the sample. Data checks were: having prior stock
The second part of the experiment consisted of ques- investment experience or not, having social network-
tions related to the measures derived from existing lit- ing account or not, response to market setting-related
erature. According to Weber, Weber, and Nosic screening questions, and completion time of the
(2013), prior risk-taking was measured as a percentage experiment. We restricted participants to spend a
of total wealth invested in the shared experience. The minimum of five minutes on an autobiographical task,
percentage of wealth invested in prior loss (or gain) and responses with a completion time equal to or less
investment experience in bearish (or bullish) market than six minutes were dropped. Furthermore, to
settings measures low (or high) risk-taking. Two self- ensure that respondents have seriously done an auto-
motives that are self-enhancement and self-affirmation biographical task, responses were manually checked,
were measured using six and five items measured by and responses were retained that provided brief
Yun, Takeuchi, and Liu (2007) and Napper, Harris, description (on average 50 words) of respective nega-
and Epton (2009), respectively. Three dimensions of tive (bearish market) or positive (bullish market)
social-motives which are social interaction ties, rela- investment experiences.5
tional trust, and shared vision were measured using The final sample for bearish and bullish market set-
four, five, and three items of Chiu, Hsu, and Wang tings were 228 and 251 respondents, respectively. The
(2006), respectively. PWoM and NWoM were meas- age distribution for both market settings ranged from
ured using Alexandrov, Lilly, and Babakus (2013) 20 years to 60 years. The final sample for bearish mar-
scale consisting of three items for each construct. All ket settings consisted of 59.2% male and 40.8% female
measures were adapted to the context of portfolio respondents with a mean age of 35.71 years (SD ¼
decision-making. 10.56). The age distribution was right-skewed, with
61.4% of respondents younger than the mean age. A
total of 85.55% reported bachelor’s or higher degree
Procedure
as their highest achieved education level.
At the beginning of the experiment, participants were The final sample for bullish market setting con-
informed that the experiment was divided into two sisted of 57.4% male and 42.6% female with a mean
parts: an autobiographical emotional memory task fol- age of 33.98 years (SD ¼ 10.08). The age distribution
lowed by survey questions. Participants were provided was right-skewed with 58.2% of respondents on the
economic descriptions of bearish or bullish market left side of the mean age. A total of 81.3% reported
settings in the first part and a few screening questions. having a bachelor’s or higher degree as their highest
Participants were instructed to share prior loss (or education level. The data collected was fairly normally
gain) investment experience in the context of bearish distributed because all indicators’ skewness and kur-
(or bullish) market settings. At the end of an autobio- tosis values were lower than three times the standard
graphical task, participants were required to share the error values (Sposito, Hand, and Skarpness 1983).
percentage of wealth they had invested in the invest-
ment choice mentioned.
Results
In the second part, participants were instructed to
respond to survey questions while considering the The PROCESS tool model 66 analysis was used to val-
above-mentioned investment experience. Survey ques- idate serial mediation hypotheses 2a, 2b, 3a, and 3b.
tions included self-enhancement, self-affirmation, Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021) checked and
social interaction ties, relational trust, shared vision, confirmed the dimensionality, reliability, convergent,
and NWoM/PWoM. The only difference between the and discriminant validity of the observed variables
bearish and bullish market settings survey was using exploratory factor analysis and confirmatory fac-
the likelihood of sharing NWoM and PWoM, and the tor analysis.7 Table 1 reports the empirical results of
bearish (or bullish) market setting survey measured this study.
likelihood of sharing NWoM (or PWoM). The imputed variables were used to check the dir-
ect effect of self-motives on social-motives. The results
supported the direct effect of self-affirmation on social
Participants
interaction ties (b ¼ 0.427, 95% CI [0.310, 0.544]),
The initially collected responses for the bearish and relational trust (b ¼ 0.433, 95% CI [0.313, 0.553]), and
bullish market settings were 260 and 278, respectively. shared vision (b ¼ 0.449, 95% CI [0.352, 0.546]) in the
8 F. AHMAD

Table 1. Test of research hypotheses.


Hypothesis Bearish treatment Bullish treatment
b, 95% [LLCI, ULCI] b, 95% [LLCI, ULCI]
H1a(i) SA!SIT 0.427 [0.310, 0.544]
H1a(ii) SA!T 0.433 [0.313, 0.553]
H1a(iii) SA!SV 0.449 [0.352, 0.546]
H1b(i) SE!SIT 0.077 [-0.042, 0.195]
H1b(ii) SE!T 0.251 [0.138, 0.364]
H1b(iii) SE!SV 0.476 [0.390, 0.562]
H2a(i) SA!SIT!NWoM 0.093 [0.059, 0.139]
H2a(ii) SA!T!NWoM 0.128 [0.089, 0.175]
H2a(iii) SA!SV!NWoM 0.107 [0.065, 0.158]
H2b(i) SE!SIT!PWoM 0.018 [0.009, 0.050]
H2b(ii) SE!T!PWoM 0.040 [0.017, 0.076]
H2b(iii) SE!SV!PWoM 0.101 [0.043, 0.169]
H3a(i) LRT! SA!SIT !NWoM!HRT 14.384 [8.432, 22.864]
H3a(ii) LRT!SA!T !NWoM!HRT 14.773 [8.875, 24.406]
H3a(iii) LRT!SA!SV !NWoM!HRT 14.126 [8.545, 22.657]
H3b(i) HRT!SE!SIT !PWoM!LRT 4.557 [2.609, 6.716]
H3b(ii) HRT!SE!T !PWoM!LRT 5.124 [2.933, 7.793]
H3b(iii) HRT!SE!SV !PWoM!LRT 4.583 [2.714, 6.766]
In the table, LRT stands for low risk-taking, HRT for high risk-taking in later decision-making, NWoM for negative word-of-
mouth, PWoM for positive word-of-mouth, SA for self-affirmation, SE for self-enhancement, SIT for social interaction ties, T
for relational trust, and SV for shared vision.
b is the direct effect coefficient, and ab is the indirect effect coefficient.
LLCI is the lower level of confidence interval, and ULCI is the upper level of confidence interval.
95% confidence interval to test the significance of all indirect effects.
Significant effects are given in bold font.
All hypotheses were tested by controlling for age and gender.

bearish market settings, confirming hypothesis 1a (i, ii & iii) and 2b (ii & iii). The significance of the indir-
ii, iii). The results in table 1 shows significant positive ect effect is confirmed using bootstrapping at a confi-
effect of self-enhancement on relational trust dence interval of 95%. This indicated that investors
(b ¼ 0.251, 95% CI [0.138, 0.364]), and shared vision engage in NWoM to achieve self-affirmation through
(b ¼ 0.476, 95% CI [0.390, 0.562]) in the bullish mar- strengthening social interaction ties, relational trust,
ket settings, confirming hypothesis 1 b (ii, iii). and shared vision in the loss domain, while investors
However, results provide an insignificant effect of self- engage in PWoM to gain self-enhancement via devel-
enhancement on social interaction ties. The direct oping relational trust and shared vision in the gain
effects were confirmed by bootstrapping at a confi- domain. In addition, results provide a significant
dence interval of 95%. The results indicate that indi- negative effect of self-enhancement (insignificant effect
viduals evaluate the self-benefits of strengthening or of self-affirmation) on social interaction ties, relational
developing social capital to engage in a socially trust, and shared vision in the bearish (bullish) market
embedded activity. It is important to note that results settings (see Table 2).
show a significant negative direct effect of self- The results confirmed hypotheses 3a (i, ii & iii) by
enhancement (insignificant effect of self-affirmation) showing a significant positive triple serial mediation
on social interaction ties, relational trust, and shared effect of self-affirmation, social interaction ties and
vision in the bearish (bullish) market settings (see NWoM (ab ¼ 14.384, 95% CI ¼ [8.432, 22.864]), self-
table 2). affirmation, relational trust and NWoM (ab ¼ 14.773,
The results in Table 1 supported a significant posi- 95% CI ¼ [8.875, 24.406]), and self-affirmation,
tive indirect effect of social interaction ties (ab ¼ shared vision and NWoM (ab ¼ 14.126, 95% CI ¼
0.093, 95% CI ¼ [0.059, 0.139]), relational trust (ab ¼ [8.545, 22.657]) on the relationship between prior low
0.128, 95% CI ¼ [0.089, 0.175]), and shared vision (ab risk-taking and later high risk-taking in the bearish
¼ 0.107, 95% CI ¼ [0.065, 0.158]) on the relationship treatment. The results showed significant positive tri-
between self-affirmation and NWoM in the bearish ple mediation effect of self-enhancement, social inter-
treatment. The results showed a significant positive action ties and PWoM (ab ¼ 4.577, 95% CI ¼ [2.609,
indirect effect of self-enhancement on PWoM via rela- 6.716]), self-enhancement, relational trust and PWoM
tional trust (b ¼ 0.040, 95% CI ¼ [0.017, 0.076]), and (ab ¼ 5.124, 95% CI ¼ [2.933, 7.793]), self-enhance-
self-enhancement on PWoM via shared vision ment, shared vision and PWoM (ab ¼ 4.583, 95% CI
(b ¼ 0.101, 95% CI ¼ [0.043, 0.169]) in the bullish ¼ [2.714, 6.766]) on the relationship between prior
treatment. Hence, this confirmed the hypotheses 2a (i, high risk-taking and later low risk-taking in the
JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE 9

Table 2. Direct & indirect effects.


Bearish treatment ab, 95% [LLCI, ULCI] Bullish treatment ab, 95% [LLCI, ULCI]
SE!SIT 20.404 [20.590, 20.217]
SE!T 20.330 [20.524, 20.136]
SE!SV 20.247 [20.413, 20.080]
SA!SIT 0.436 [0324, 0.548]
SA!T 0.129 [0.007, 0.251]
SA!SV 0.113 [0.003, 0.222]
SE!SIT!NWoM 20.137 [20.218, 20.069]
SE!T!NWoM 20.133 [20.216, 20.055]
SE!SV!NwoM 20.100 [20.183, 20.036]
SA!SIT!PWoM 0.077 [0.212, 0.058]
SA!T!PWoM 0.019 [0.101, 0.140]
SA!SV!PwoM 0.005 [0.108, 0.098]
n the table, NWoM for negative word-of-mouth, PWoM for positive word-of-mouth, SA for self-affirmation, SE for self-enhance-
ment, SIT for social interaction ties, T for relational trust, and SV for shared vision.
b is the direct effect coefficient, and ab is the indirect effect coefficient.
LLCI is the lower level of confidence interval, and ULCI is the upper level of confidence interval.
95% confidence interval to test the significance of all indirect effects.
Significant effects are given in bold font.
All effects were tested by controlling for age and gender.

bullish treatment. This confirmed that an investor’s performance with self-abilities to increase social desir-
decision to engage in later high risk-taking is activated ability through sharing PWoM, following prior gains.
by self-affirmation through strengthening their social Four important conclusions were drawn from the
resources manifested in NWoM in the loss domain. results. First, the investor’s desire to seek self-motives
In contrast, an investor’s decision to engage in later and social-motives are inherently intertwined, which
low risk-taking is motivated by self-enhancement implies that investors first evaluate the self-benefits of
achieved through developing social capital reflected in engaging in social interaction to either strengthen
PWoM in the gain domain. existing components of social-motives or to extend
(develop) components of social-motives. Investors
engage in WoM to achieve motives of self-affirmation
Discussion and conclusion and self-enhancement, but these benefits depend on
Overall, results support the viability of the proposed improving or developing components of social capital
model that investors seek to achieve self-motives and among social community affiliates. Therefore, the
social-motives manifested in PWoM or NWoM, fol- actualization of self-motives without evaluating the
social benefits of self-affirmation or self-enhancement
lowing gains or losses in the prior decisions. Of the
has no meaning, which confirms that the realization
six sub-hypotheses, four hypotheses were fully sup-
of self-motives precedes intention to engage in social
ported while two sub-hypotheses were partially sup-
capital development. Our findings are aligned with
ported. One important finding is that WoM is a
prior findings in the literature that social acceptance
socially embedded process, investors first evaluate
is the important motivation to engage in WoM (Beck
social benefits (strengthening existing components of
and Clark 2010). The self is formed through inter-
social capital or developing new components of social
action with others (Spencer, Fein, and Lomore 2001),
capital) to achieve self-motives via engaging in PWoM and the realization of social-motives has no meaning
or NWoM, following prior gains or losses. This is without self-benefits (Alexandrov, Lilly, and Babakus
consistent with the concept of "social finance" popu- 2013; Ostrom 2000) has been established.
larized by Hirshleifer (2020), which highlights the Second, later high and low risk-taking is activated
importance of social processes in shaping the eco- by a different underlying mechanism which consists
nomic and financial decisions of households and firms of the investor’s desire to develop (or strengthen)
(Kuchler and Stroebel 2021). We extend the findings components of social-motives via self-affirmation (or
of Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021) and provide self-enhancement) manifested in NWoN (or PWoM).
that investors desire to seek underlying social-motives This outlines the motivation of investors to engage in
through self-motives manifested in PWoM or NWoM. NWoM or PWoM in the loss or gain domain. In the
Investors seek to self-affirm to overcome negative loss domain, investors seek to self-affirm to strengthen
assessments by strengthening social-motives through existing components of social-motives manifest in
engaging in NWoM, following prior losses. While NWoM and shift the blame of their losses on luck
investors seek to self-enhance to associate positive and market conditions (Aydemir and Aren 2017). The
10 F. AHMAD

negative information is perceived as more credible exhibit low risk-averse behavior and engage in high
and trustworthy, strengthening shared vision among risk-taking to (partly) offset the prior losses because
social network ties (Pan and Chiou 2011). Investors subsequent losses hurt less than gains. The investment
seek to strengthen existing social relationships through is high risk choices suggest that investors strive to sus-
strong interaction ties, relational trust, and shared tain their social-motives through self-affirmation and
vision via sharing negative opinions manifested in invest additional funds to generate higher returns
NWoM to validate their investment strategy. It helps and show that their investment strategy is correct and
investors to sustain their self-image, self-satisfaction, prior losses were due to uncontrollable factors. In the
and self-esteem and seek cognitive clarity to overcome gain domain, investors reinvest in perceived low risk
cognitive dissonance (Steele and Liu 1983). To do so, market-driven stocks to continue positive returns. In
investors employ self-affirmation as a self-defense this way, investors self-enhance by expanding social-
mechanism to strengthen interaction ties, relational motives and suggesting others follow their invest-
trust, and shared vision via sharing NWoM to show ment strategies.
that bad performance is not due to their self-abilities The findings of this study provide significant impli-
but due to uncontrollable external factors. Consistent cations for researchers, managers, financial advisors,
with the self-justification hypothesis, investors associ- and analysts. First, rational investment models con-
ate losses with other uncontrollable factors, feel no sider economic benefits as the main motivation to
need to justify their investment strategies and engage participate in the stock market. Similarly, classic eco-
in high risk-taking to offset prior losses (Staw 1976). nomic behavior models do not account for intrinsic
In the gain domain, investors seek social desirability motives (i.e., self-motives and social-motives) as pre-
in the form of developing interaction ties, relational dictors of individual behavior. However, our findings
trust, and shared vision by associating gains with self- confirm that investors’ desire to seek self-motives and
abilities (Alexandrov, Lilly, and Babakus 2013). They social-motives strongly influence changing risk-taking
self-enhance by sharing PWoM to enhance positive behavior. Consistent with the concept of "social
self-image and social standing (Kirk, McSherry, and finance" introduced by Hirshleifer (2020), social inter-
Swain 2015). In doing so, investors express psycho- action (valence of WoM) influences investors’
logical ownership of gains, provide emotional support, decision-making in the context of sequential decision-
and develop shared values by exchanging PWoM. making. Therefore, individual investors, researchers,
Third, the triple serial mediation effect explains managers, financial advisors, and analysts cannot
individuals’ significant time and efforts to draft and overlook the importance of intrinsic factors in predict-
share investment-related experiences and opinions on ing and modifying individual risk-taking behavior.
online social networking sites. Findings indicate that Researchers should integrate the role of social inter-
the underlying motive behind sharing NWoM is to action and intrinsic motives into economic behavior
seek investment opinion confirmation and emotional models. Similarly, asset pricing models should account
support to strengthen further interaction ties, rela- for economic benefits as well as self-benefits and
tional trust, and shared vision in the social circle. On social-benefits. In addition, investment performance
the other hand, the underlying motive behind PWoM assessment models should also incorporate psycho-
is to increase investor social desirability through posi- logical and social-benefits to assess investor
tive self-affirmation on social networking sites. In this performance.
way, investors expand their social circle by developing Second, findings suggest that individuals are psy-
new interaction ties, and relational trust, and attract- chologically and socially different from one another.
ing others with a similar shared vision to follow their Clients seek to invest in specific stocks to gain par-
investment strategy. Existing literature supports the ticular self-motives and social-motives. Therefore,
“helping others perspective” of WoM (Hong, Kubik, financial advisors should include questions related to
and Stein 2004), but the underlying objective is to clients’ preferences to seek self-motives and social-
seek social-motives through self-motives and not to motives in the initial client-related information survey.
help or support others in sequential decision-making. Similarly, advisors need to understand self and social
Consistent with Chen (2017), the potential desire to factors that change clients’ risk attitude. In this way,
help others may be fundamentally self-serving. financial advisors may understand the client’s invest-
Finally, results provide different underlying mecha- ment underlying motives to frame investment advice
nisms to explain investor risk-attitude changes follow- to achieve particular self-motives and social-motives
ing prior losses or gains. In the loss domain, investors by modifying their portfolios. Financial advisors can
JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE 11

also prevent clients from taking higher risk-seeking in you can mention any social media message that you
the loss domain and risk-averse behavior in the gain shared with family, friends or with others related to
domain by framing investment advice as lowering or your NEGATIVE investment experience).”
strengthening self-motives and social-motives. Task question to share positive investment experience:
As identified by Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis “Please write a short description of your POSITIVE
(2021), the main limitation of this study is the use of outcome investment experience in the stock market
under BULLISH market settings. (Short description can
an online platform to collect data. One might argue
incorporate how you selected stocks, why prices went
that there is a lack of control over participants.
up, how you felt with your gain, with whom you shared
Therefore, future research can replicate the findings of
your POSITIVE investment experience, and you can
this study using laboratory-based experiments or real- mention any social media message that you shared with
time individual investors data from financial institu- family, friends or with others related to your POSITIVE
tions or brokers. investment experience).”
5. For instance, consider following two responses for
bearish and bullish market settings that were retained
Notes in the sample.
1. Social interaction in the form of WoM engages both Example 1 (loss experience): “Our experience was in
sender and receiver. The WoM sender shares 2008 or 2009 when lot of people lost money. My
investment experiences and opinions and seeks positive husband and I had our retirement money in stocks
evaluation to achieve a greater level of self- with a company that we trusted. Our finance man did
determination. Whereas the WoM receiver pursues not contact us or give us any information as to what to
investment-related information. Hereafter, investors
do when stocks went way low. We were losing over half
sharing WoM are termed as WoM-sender, and
of our retirement money and were quite worried. We
investors seeking information are referred to as WoM-
receiver. According to the uses and gratification theory, went to our finance man’s office and told him we
individuals seek a specific media that can fulfill their wanted our money that was left. We lost over one half
needs efficiently and effectively (Ko, Cho, and Roberts our retirement savings. We were absolutely devastated.”
2005). Web-based online social networking sites are Example 2 (Gain experience): “It was my first
most widely used to share unbiased experiences and investment experience. Stock market was booming, and
opinions in the form of electronic WoM. Such I decided to invest in it. Initially I invested 300,000 and
platforms provide WoM-sender the opportunity to bought shares on the recommendation of my friend.
write (publish) opinions and allow WoM-sender to read With market the value of my stocks also raised. I
other consumers’ experiences, as well as allow them to
shared my positive experience with my family and
contribute by themselves (Hennig-Thurau et al. 2004).
Therefore, this study assumes WoM-sender sharing friends.”
WoM and WoM-receiver following other investors’ Following are examples of two responses that were
opinions and experiences on social networking sites as dropped from the analysis.
the settings of the study. Example 1 (loss experience): “Lost $3000, extremely
2. The valence of WoM consists of negative WoM desperate, shared with friends and family.”
(NWoM) and positive WoM (PWoM). The NWoM Example 2 (gain experience): “My stocks were selected
(PWoM) represents sharing of negative (or positive) on my behalf by a third party.”
opinions related to investment experience on social 6. PROCESS tool model 6 allows for the indirect effect of
networking sites. multiple mediators in serial.
3. This study extends the model of Ahmad, Oriani, and 7. For detailed results and discussion refer to experiment
De Angelis (2021) therefore only three hypotheses are 2 results of Ahmad, Oriani, and De Angelis (2021).
developed in this study. For theoretical justification of
other direct and indirect effects, refer to the theory
development and hypothesis section of Ahmad, Oriani, Disclosure statement
and De Angelis (2021).
4. Following are two specific autobiographical task There is no declaration of interest.
questions that were asked to the participants to provide
negative or positive investment experience.
Task question to share negative investment experience:
ORCID
“Please write a short description of your NEGATIVE Fawad Ahmad http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0631-3935
outcome investment experience in the stock market
under BEARISH market settings. (Short description can
incorporate how you selected stocks, why prices went Data availability statement
down, how you felt with your loss, with whom you Data will not be provided with the manuscript on publica-
shared your NEGATIVE investment experience, and tion but can be shared on request.
12 F. AHMAD

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