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Vietnam Country Report Final 20210610 Eng
Vietnam Country Report Final 20210610 Eng
C O U N T R Y R E P O R T
Political Environment - Economic Environment - Socio-cultural Environment - Technological Environment
S i n c e r e l y i n t r o d u c e
Preface
Vietnam Country Report is an annual report published by VietnamCredit, a leading
report is formed under the PEST analysis method, focusing on four major fields of the
an insightful view into Vietnam’s economy over time, particularly for 2020, and the
ability to forecast economic trends in 2021 and into the future.
process.
Information in Vietnam Country Report 2021 is extracted from reputable data sources
Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Labor - Invalids and Social Affairs, Ministry of Science
& Technology, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Asian Development Bank (ADB),
The report includes: 125 graphs, tables and infographics together with analysis,
It is our great pleasure to present to you this Vietnam Country Report 2021.
Outline
05. Appendix
Potential industries for investment and top companies
List of figures and tables
01. Political Environment
Image 1.1: Components of Vietnam’s political system
Image 1.2: Structure of Vietnam’s political system
Chart 1.1: Vietnam’s rule of law index 2020
Image 1.3: Global regulatory quality 2020
Table 1.1: Rankings of corruption control in 2019
Table 1.2: Rankings of political instability and threat of violence or terrorism
Image 1.4: Global Soft Power Index of Vietnam and several countries in 2021
Image 1.5: 7 pillars of soft power
Image 1.6: Vietnam Hierarchy of legislation
Table 1.3: Vietnam Hierarchy of legislation
Table 1.4: Key amendments of the laws coming into effect in 2021
Table 1.5: Forms of business in Vietnam
Table 1.6: Procedures, legal bases and costs for establishing an enterprise in
Vietnam
Table 1.7: Fee schedule applied to individuals and businesses in Vietnam
Table 1.8: Corporate income tax incentives for foreign investors
Table 1.9: Procedures for suspension, dissolution, bankruptcy, merger and
acquisition in Vietnam
I. Political environm
Political characteristics in Vietnam - Vietnam government organizational st
ment
tructure - Vietnam’s legal system
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Mr. NGUYEN PHU TRONG Mr. NGUYEN XUAN PHUC Mr. PHAM MINH CHINH Mr. VUONG DINH HUE
General Secretary President Prime Minister National Assembly Chairman
Socio-political organizations (Vietnam Fatherland Front, Ho Chi Minh Communist Youth Union,
Vietnam Women's Union, Vietnam General Confederation of Labor, Vietnam Farmer’s Union,
Vietnam Veterans Association)
Vietnam is a single-party country led by the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV). The CPV gives strategic direction and
decides all major policy issues for the entire country. In recent years the CPV have prioritized economic development
and kept the leadership. Party and Government leaders of Vietnam are elected every five years at the National Party
Congress, then the National Assembly legitimizes the leadership positions of the Government from the leaders that the
CPV have chosen. The Politburo of the Communist Party was recently elected in January 2021. The Politburo makes
The 13th National Party Congress took place from January 25, 2021 to February 1, 2021. There were 1,587 delegates representing more than
5.1 million Communist Party members across Vietnam, who participated in the Congress.
The Communist Party Congress discussed the socio-economic development strategy for the past 10 years (2011-2020) and formulated the
The Party Congress elected 18 members of the Politburo and 200 members of the Central Committee, of which 180 are official members and
20 are alternate members. The set of leaders will hold the important roles in the apparatus of the Party and the Government of Vietnam. The
majority of them are ministers, chairmen or secretaries of provinces across the country.
The CPV affirms to continue the path of innovation and development of the private economy, setting a national development goal with a vision
to 2045. Specifically, to surpass the low-middle income level by 2025, to become a developing country with middle income by 2030 and a
high-income developed country by 2045. The target that Vietnam will "basically become an industrial country" by 2020, set by the CPV in
After having a resolution for the next 5 years, the CPV will lead and hold a parliamentary election to elect 500 deputies. The National Assembly
election date for the next 5-year term (2021-2026) is on May 23, 2021 and the elected National Assembly will hold its first session in July 2021.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
PARTY
CENTRAL
Politburo Member
NGUYEN PHU TRONG
General Secretary
Politburo Member
NGUYEN XUAN PHUC
President
Politburo Member
PHAM MINH CHINH
Head of the Central Organizing
Committee
COMMITTEE
Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member
VUONG DINH HUE TRAN TUAN ANH NGUYEN HOA BINH LUONG CUONG DINH TIEN DUNG
Secretary of the City Minister of Industry and Trade Chief Justice of the Supreme Chairman of the General Political Minister of Finance
Party Committee People's Court DepartmentVietnamese People's Team
Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member
PHAN VAN GIANG TO LAM TRUONG THI MAI TRAN THANH MAN PHAM BINH MINH
Deputy Minister of Defence Minister of Public Security Head of the Central Committee for Chairman of the Central Committee Deputy Prime Minister
Mass Mobilization of the Front Vietnamese Fatherland
Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member Politburo Member
NGUYEN VAN NEN NGUYEN XUAN THANG VO VAN THUONG PHAN ĐINH TRAC TRAN CAM TU
Secretary of the City Party Committee Director of the National Academy of Head of the Central Mission Head of the Central Committee Chairman of the Central
Ho Chi Minh Politics Ho Chi Minh Department for Internal Affairs Inspection Committee
Political characteristics of Vietnam
COMPONENTS OF VIETNAM’S POLITICAL SYSTEM
bli
Com nist Pa
c of
Components of Vietnam’s
mu
political system
Protests are rare despite public disagreement on
several issues.
ns
oc
io- tio
pol niza
itical orga
Law on Demonstration in Vietnam has not
been passed yet. In several localities, social
order issues often arose from injustices in the
implementation of land law.
“The Communist Party of Vietnam - vanguard of the working people and the
whole nation - represents the interests of the working class and the nation,
adopts Marxism-Leninism and Hồ Chí Minh Thoughts as the firm ideological
foundations, serving as guidance for its activities, promoting the nation's
traditions, and absorbing other nations' essential ideas.”
ORDER OF ADMINISTRATIVE
UNITS CENTRAL
PROVINCE MUNICIPALITY
DEPARTMENT
PROVINCIAL PROVINCIAL PROVINCIAL PROVINCIAL
PEOPLE’S COMMITTEE PEOPLE’S COUNCIL PEOPLE’S COURTS PROCURACY
AGENCY
COMMUNE COMMUNE
PEOPLE’S COMMITTEE PEOPLE’S COUNCIL
Vietnam's rule of law index in 2020
Remained equal to the 0.49/1 figure of 2019, ranking 85th in the world and 11th in the region, slipping 2 places compared to 2019.
The rule of law index issued by the World Justice Project (WJP) aims to evaluate the rule of law
through eight factors: Government Power; Absence of Corruption; Open Government;
Fundamental Rights; Order and Security; Regulatory Enforcement; Civil Justice and Criminal
Justice.
GOVERNMENT POWERS
1
8 2
0.46
4 FUNDERMENTAL RIGHTS
7 0.46 0.46 3
7 CIVIL JUSTICE
6 4
8 CRIMINAL JUSTICE
0.77
7/8
5
85/128 44/128
reached 0.5/1, indicating that openness of
the Government about the right to informa-
tion access and the participation in state
management of the public remain below
average; in particular the absence of
globally, dropping 2 levels. corruption score was only 0.42/1.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
According to data from the World The Regulatory Quality Index measures the
Bank's Worldwide Governance public's perception of government's ability to
Indicators in 2019, the quality of formulate policies that encourage private sector
Vietnam's legal regulations development.
reached 41.83/100 points, ranked
127/214
countries and territories, up 6
With such scores and ratings, the quality of
current regulations in Vietnam is considered to
still be below average. However, the situation
levels compared to 2018. The has been improved, indicated through the
score increased by 5.33/100 points increase of Vietnam’s score and ranking in the
and the ranking went up 6 places. Worldwide Governance Indicators rankings.
WorldwideGoverna ceIndicators
WorldwideGoverna ceIndicators
Worldwide Governance Indicators
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
The corruption control index measures the public's perception of the extent to which the
law is sanctioned against corrupt acts and various types of corruption, including the takeovers of
government by various interest groups. The scale for this index ranges from -2.5 (weak) to 2.5
(strong).
Data from World Bank shows that Vietnam only got -0.51 points for this index and ranked 130th
out of 209 countries worldwide, indicating that Vietnam remains a country with poor control of
corruption.
Vietnam’s politics is stable
And there is almost no violence
From strong (1.5) to weak (-3), this indicator reflects the public's perception of the possibility that the
government is unstable or toppled by unconstitutional or violent means, including political motives and
terrorism.
With a score of 0.13 and ranking 98th out of more than 200 countries, the political situation in Vietnam is currently
quite stable and there is almost no violence.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
The 2021 Global Soft Power Index issued by Brand Finance ranked Vietnam at 9th in Asia and 47th out
of 105 countries worldwide, up more than 3 places compared to the previous year. Vietnam's overall score
is 33.8/100.
Image 1.4: Global Soft Power Index of Vietnam and several countries in 2021
Source: Brand Finance Global Soft Power Index Report 2021
Score: 37.7 -3.9 Score: 37.2 +0.7 Score: 37.0 +0.4 Score: 36.9 -0.4 Score: 37.7 -3.9
ARGENTINA
41 KUWAIT
42 HUNGARY
43 45
MEXICO
4437
INDONESIA
45
41
40 NEW
Score: 36.1 +2.1 Score: 35.8 - Score: 34.7 +2.8 Score: 34.4 -1.3 Score: 34.3 +0.9
SLOVENIA
46 VIETNAM
47 MOROCCO
48 -
CROATIA
4943
JoRDAN
50
NEW
NEW 50
Score: 34.2 - Score: 33.8 +2.5 Score: 33.8 - Score: 33.7 +1.4 Score: 33.7 -
Brand Finance has conducted a survey of 75,000 people, including experts and citizens from
more than 100 countries, to evaluate the "soft power" of 105 countries around the world. The soft
power index of a country is synthesized from 4 criteria: the familiarity of national brand; overall
national reputation; seven soft power pillars (business & trade; governance; international relations;
culture and heritage; media and communication; education and science; people and values), and
Covid-19 response.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
SOFT POWER
Organisations - Conflict Resolution -
Diplomatic Relations - International
Technologies
Political elite
Marketing
Fashion
The Vietnamese legal system is gradually being promulgated but has not been
fully applied in practice. The application of the law is believed to be
inconsistent and loose. Moreover, the system of legal documents has not been
adjusted in time to catch up with the 4.0 revolution.
Laws to enforce sentences in Vietnam are still ineffective. Many judgments are
difficult to enact, leading to lawsuits or a situation where dispute resolution in
court is not the best solution. Many investors, businesses and credit insurance
companies have taken judicial measures to resolve disputes in Vietnam, but
Image 1.6: Vietnam Hierarchy of legislation
Source: compiled by VietnamCredit
CONSTI-
TUTION
The Constitution is the document with
the highest legal effect. Despite being at
Law
the top, it is considered to have the least
influence in Vietnam.
decrees and resolutions
Circulars
Most ministries are responsible for proposing legal ideas and drafting laws. Some hold opinions
claiming that they have intention to create benefits for their ministry.
Several members of the National Assembly and various intellectuals have questioned the capacity
and objectivity of National Assembly members in the law-making process.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
CONSTITUTIO
DECISIO
RESOLUTION by the C
RESOLUTION
DECISION by
DECISION by
RESOLUTION
DECISION by
On June 8, 2020, the law was amended, adding several resolutions and ministerial-level Circulars
and Resolutions, effective since January 1, 2021
laws co
NAME LAW
Table 1.4: Key amendments of the laws coming into effect in 2021 (2)
laws c
NAME LAW
Branches A branch of an enterprise is its dependent unit which has some or all
Article 44 Law on functions of the enterprise, including an authorized representative. The
Enterprises 2020 business lines of a branch shall match those of the enterprise.
Business loca- A business location of an enterprise is the place at which specific business
tions operations are carried out.
Article 44 Law on
Enterprises 2020
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Table 1.6: Procedures, legal bases and costs for establishing an enterprise in Vietnam
According to Law on Investment 2020, the State tends to limit market access for FDI enterprises in some sectors. Specifically, in
Article 9 of the Law, the Government shall promulgate a list of business lines restricted to foreign investors, including:
Market entry:
Investment policy application times for project implementation.
at Vietn
xes th am
Ta ’
0
s
1
nt pa
y
er
e
o
p ris
es h a ve t
1. Business-license Tax
2. Profit Tax
7. Excise Tax
Exported goods and services not entitled to VAT incentives (0%): Technology
and intellectual property transfer abroad; Reinsurance services to foreign coun-
tries; Credit granting services; Capital transfer; Derivative financial services; Post
and telecommunications services; 18 exported products specified in Clause 23,
Article 5 of the Law on Value-Added Tax.
Taxes Conditions Tax rate
Abated tax General services 5%
Goods 1%
Interests 5%
Royalties 10%
Corporate income tax 20%
Capital assignment profits tax 20%
(CAPT)
Value-added tax (VAT) General services 10%
Essential goods and services 5%
Exported goods and services 0%
Personal income tax Below VND 5 million 5%
From VND 5 to 10 million 10%
From VND 10 to below 18 million 15%
From VND 18 to below 32 million 20%
From VND 32 to below 52 million 25%
From VND 52 to below 80 million 30%
From VND 80 million 35%
)
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
INVESTMENT INCENTIVES
ACCORDING TO LAW ON INVESTMENT 2020
14
Hi-tech activities; hi-tech ancillary prod- 3,000 1,000
ucts; research, manufacturing and
development of science and technology
business lines
products; new materials, new energy; IT
eligible for
investment products, software products, digital con-
incentives tents; agriculture products, forestry
products, afforestation and forest protec-
tion; collection, treatment, recycling or
re-use of waste; education
2
areas eligible for
Disadvantaged areas and extremely
disadvantaged areas; Industrial parks,
export-processing zones, hi-tech zones
6,000
billion
3,000 billion + 3,000
employees
7
forms of investment
Assistance in development of infrastruc-
ture; training; credit; relocation; technol-
ogy transfer; information provision; R&D
30,000
billion
10,000 billion
assistance
The Government shall specify the list of Other The Government shall
Details
taxes, the types of taxes as well as the elaborate details
rates of tax exemption and reduction
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Condition
- Incomes of enterprises from the operation of new investment projects in areas with exceptionally difficult
socio-economic conditions, economic zones and hi-tech parks
- Incomes of enterprises from the operation of new investment projects in the fields of scientific research and
technological development; high technology applications; production of composite, light, rare and precious
construction materials; production of renewable and clean energy and energy from waste disposal;
biotechnology development; environmental protection
- Incomes of enterprises from the operation of socialization activities in the fields of education - training,
vocational training, health care, culture, sports and environment
- Income of high-tech enterprises, agricultural enterprises applying high technology in accordance with the
Law on High Technologies
- Incomes of enterprises from the operation of new investment projects in areas with difficult socio-economic
conditions
- Incomes of enterprises from the operation of new investment projects in the field of high-class steel
production; production of energy-saving products,; manufacture of machines and equipment for agricultural,
forestry, fishery and salt production; production of irrigation equipment; production and refining of feeds for
cattle, poultry and aquatic animals, and developing traditional industries. From January 1, 2016, the incomes
of enterprises specified in this Clause are subject to the tax rate of 17%
- Incomes of enterprises from the operation of new investment projects in industrial parks, except industrial
parks in areas with favorable socio-economic conditions
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Every dispute between a foreign investor and a regulatory agency over business
investment activities within Vietnam’s territory shall be settled by Vietnam’s arbitral
tribunal or Vietnam’s court, unless otherwise agreed under a contract or
prescribed by an international agreement to which the Socialist Republic of
Vietnam is a signatory.
We recommend that foreign investors use clear and specific language when
drafting contracts: dispute settlement by Vietnam’s arbitration body is the
preferred option due to a swift process and high security levels.
Table 1.9: Procedures for suspension, dissolution, bankruptcy, merger and acquisition in Vietnam
Source: compiled by VietnamCredit
PROCEDURES IN VIETNAM
Type Time Cost (VND) Note
Article 9 of the Law on Investment 2020 specifies that the investor's legal assets cannot be
nationalized or confiscated by administrative method. However, the State also faces several small
lawsuits over disputes with foreign investors.
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
II. Eco
onomic Environment
COVID-19 situation worldwide
Global economic growth
COVID-19 pandemic in Vietnam
Vietnam’s economic growth: Economic structure
Consumer Price Index and Inflation
Index of Industrial Production
Business registration activities
Retail sales of goods and services
Trade and Investment
Public Finance
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
Statistics from the World Health Organization (WHO) showed that, as of March
2021, there had been more than 118 million confirmed cases of Covid-19, including
over 2.6 million deaths world-wide. The daily number of infections increased sharply
in Q4/2020 and have witnessed a downward trend since the beginning of 2021.
Chart 2.1: Increase of Covid-19 confirmed cases and deaths in 2020 in the world
Source: WHO
118,268,575
1M
Confirmed cases
500K
2,624,677
20K
15K
Deaths
10K
5K
According to World Bank (WB), the number of new daily confirmed cases in advanced
economies (United States, EU, Japan) dropped significantly in December 2020,
indicating the effectiveness of vaccination development and deployment in several
countries in this group. In developing countries and emerging markets (EMDEs), new
Covid-19 cases have been increasing due to several limitations in procurement and
distribution of vaccines: the situation is expected to improve in early 2021.
of the Covid-19
400.000
Covid-19 cases
300.000
Chart 2.3: New weekly Covid-19 cases in 2020
200.000
Source: WB
100.000
Advanced economies
EMDEs 0
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11 T12
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
According to the WB, the pandemic has brought about one of the most severe
global economic recessions for the past 150 years, with the impact only exceeded
by the two World Wars and the Great Depression.
The global economy was estimated to shrink by 4.3% in 2020, with an approximate
loss of nearly USD 6,000 billion compared to the World Bank's forecasted
growth rate of 2.5% in early 2020. The Covid-19 pandemic has caused EMDEs'
average economic growth to drop 2.6% while having a more severe impact on
advanced countries, whose GDP plunged by a record 5.4% in 2020.
Chart 2.4: Global economic growth, 2010-22
Source: WB
7.4
6.6
4.9 5.0
4.5 4.5
5.0 5
4.2 4.3 4.2
4.4
3.9
3.6
4.0
3.5
3.8
3.6
3.3
3.3
2.9
3.0
2.5
2.9
2.9
2.3
2.7
2.2
2.6
2.5
2.0
2.3
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
-2.6
-5
-4.3
-5.4
The global economy is expected to grow by 4%, possibly up to nearly 5% if the pandemic can be
effectively contained (WB). According to the IMF, growth may expand up to 5.5% in the
circumstance that vaccines will be widely deployed in most countries in the world. However, if the
pandemic continues to evolve unpredictably and the vaccine rollout process is not conducted
effectively, the global economy will have a much more subdued increase of 1.6% in 2021 and 2.5%
in 2022.
According to World Bank estimates, EMDEs’ economies could grow by 5% on average in 2021,
while advanced economies will witness a slower recovery with an expected growth of 3.3%.
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
Chart 2.5: Growth of world merchandise trade volume over years, 2016-21
Source: WTO Secretariat
7.2
5
4.7
2.9
2.3
1.4
-0.1 0
-5
-9.2
-10
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
The World Trade Organization (WTO) estimated that the volume of world
merchandise trade in 2021 decreased by 9.2% compared to 2019,
3.7 percentage points higher than their previous forecast in April 2020.
135
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
Q1/2011
Q3/2011
Q1/2012
Q3/2012
Q1/2013
Q3/2013
Q1/2014
Q3/2014
Q1/2015
Q3/2015
Q1/2016
Q3/2016
Q1/2017
Q3/2017
Q1/2018
Q3/2018
Q1/2019
Q3/2019
Q1/2020
Q3/2020
Q1/2021
Q3/2021
WTO also calculated several risks and factors influencing trading activities in the medium-to-long
term.
In a positive scenario where Covid-19 is well contained, social distancing is loosened and economic
growth is not significantly influenced by the pandemic, merchandise trade will expand gradually
from Q1/2021.
By contrast, global trade will continue to plummet until Q3/2021 in a negative scenario where debt
burdens continue to increase, economic growth is slow, the unemployment rate continues to surge
and the vaccine rollout is delayed in several countries.
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
Note: EMDEs =
0.0
exchange rates as -0.4
weights. -1.4
-1.8 -2.0
-4.2 -4.0
-4.5
-5.5
-6.0
-6.4 -6.3
-8.0
-10.0
-10.6
-12.0
World Advanced Economies EMDEs EMDEs excl. China
1 2 3 4
25% 18% 6% 4%
United states china japan germany
5
3% 12% 13% 19%
united group 6-10 group 11-20 175 other
kingdom Countries
According to IMF statistics, the 20 largest economies of the world contributed nearly 80% to global
GDP.
The United States is the largest contributor to global GDP in 2020, accounting for 25% of the total,
equivalent to more than USD 20,800 trillion. China ranked second in economic size, contributing
18% to total GDP. Several other large economies in the world include Japan, Germany, and the
UK, which respectively accounted for 6%, 4% and 3% of global GDP.
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
Vietnam
has been one of the most successful countries in the world at containing coronavirus
At the end of January 2021, Vietnam entered the third wave of Covid-19 out-
break with new variants in several cities and provinces across the country. The
number of new cases per day had a record of up to 98 cases/day. However, the
situation has been well controlled and the number of new infections per day has
been decreasing gradually since the end of February 2021. It is expected that
this outbreak will be over at the end of March 2021.
Chart 2.9: Vietnam’s daily infections of Covid-19 in 2020
Source: WHO
75
50
25
0
01-2020 07-2020 01-2021
Cases Deaths
2,529 35 2,843
Covid-19 cases in 2020 Covid-19 deaths in 2020 Covid-19 cases until April 2021
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
Vietnam
is one of 4 countries in Asia with economic growth of over 1.5% in 2020
Chart 2.10: Real GDP growth rate of Vietnam compared to the region and the world, 1980-2025
Source: IMF
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
The IMF’s World Economic Outlook Report published in October 2020 forecast
that Vietnam's real GDP will grow by 1.6% in 2020, 4.9 percentage
points higher than the ASEAN average and 6 percentage points higher compared
with the world average.
The IMF’s
Accordingly, Vietnam was the only country in the ASEAN-5 to have positive growth in 2020. IMF
statistics showed that the economies of Indonesia decreased by 1.5%, Malaysia and Singapore by
6%, Thailand by 7.1% and the Philippines by 8.3%. Vietnam is one of the countries with the greatest
economic growth rate in the world in 2020.
Due to the prompt and effective actions in preventing Covid-19 outbreaks in Vietnam, the IMF has
recently raised their forecast of Vietnam's economic growth to 2.4%, an increase of 0.8 percentage
points compared to the previous rate. According to Nikkei Asia, Vietnam's economy is expected to
remain in the leading position in Southeast Asia in 2021, with an estimated growth of 6.5 - 6.7%.
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
Chart 2.11: Gross domestic product per capita, current prices, 2010-25
Source: IMF, VNC estimates
5211,9
5,000
4814,708
4430,02
4,000
4081,693
3758,887
3497,512
3416,232
3181,885
3,000
3058,4
2928,884
2902,787
2692,732 2755,371
2613,867
2539,343 2555,538
2173,318
2396,319 2338,157
2359,2082
2367,242 2240,818
2236,949
1928,274
2,000
2173,318
1903,152 1928,274
1628,519
Vietnam 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
340.61
2020 ranked 4th in Southeast Asia with an estimated value of
Billion USD
Surpassing Singapore 1
Indonesia
and ranked
2
Thailand
4 3
Phillipines
4
Vietnam
in Southeast Asia 5 Singapore
y
3,498
1,000
800
600 USD/person
in 2020, ranking 6th in
400
Southeast Asia after
200
Singapore, Brunei, Malaysia,
0 Thailand and Indonesia.
Billion
Indonesia
Thailand
Philippines
Vietnam
Singapore
Malaysia
Myanmar
Cambodia
Laos
Brunei
Timor-Leste
USD
GDP per capita of ASEAN Chart 2.13: GDP per capita of ASEAN countries
at current prices in 2020
70,000
Nguồn: Quỹ Tiền tệ Quốc tế
60,000
50,000
20,000
.
10,000
0
5,211.9
USD
USD
Singapore
Brunei
Malaysia
Thailand
Indonesia
Vietnam
Philippines
Laos
Cambodia
Timor-Leste
Myanmar
2021 Country Report 2021- Economic Environment
Major eco
GDP Index of Industrial Retail sales of Investment
Production goods and services
7.08 7.02 7%
6.68 6.81
6.24 6.21
5.98 6%
5.42
5.25
5%
4%
2.91 3%
2%
1%
0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
According to the General Statistics Office (GSO), in 2020 Vietnam had the
lowest economic growth rate in the 10 years since 2011 of 2.91%. However, in
the context of the Covid-19 pandemic, that was positive growth.
Agriculture, for- industry and The service sector
estry and fishery construction
2.68% 3.98% 2.34%
Vietnam’s economic growth in 2021 is expected to reach 6.5%, equivalent to the IMF’s forecast.
However, this is a very challenging goal as the Covid-19 pandemic is still unpredictable and the
recovery of global trade remains uncertain. Moreover, Vietnam's economic growth in 2020 has
mainly come from an increase in public investment and exports of goods in the FDI sector (to be
discussed later in this report).
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Agriculture, forestry
and fishery 32.72% 33.40% 34.28% 34.49% 33.72%
Industrial production
and construction
Service
In recent years, the structure of Vietnam’s economy has been gradually changing, among and
within each economic sector: shifting from the agriculture, forestry and fishery sector to industry,
construction and services sectors.
Regarding the industry sector, there have been positive structural changes. Processing and
manufacturing industries will continue to be the driving force for development of the whole industry.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
6%
5.91%
5.56%
5%
4.90%
4.39%
4%
4.19%
4.07%
3.96%
3.85%
3.71%
3.51%
3%
3.23%
2%
1%
0%
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11 T12
3.0%
inflation
2.5%
Chart 2.17: Average core inflation
(previous year = 100) 2.0%
1.87
Source: GSO 2.31
2.01 1.5%
1,41 1.48
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
3.0%
3.10%
3.05%
2.96%
2.88%
2.81%
2.74%
2.66%
2.5%
2.59%
2.52%
2,43%
2.31%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0%
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11 T12
In January 2020, the consumer price index (CPI) showed a relatively high increase of 6.43%:
despite this the price was effectively controlled and contracted steadily in the following months. In
December 2020, the price index went up by 0.19% over the same period last year, the lowest level
in the past 5 years. As a result, the average CPI of 2020 only increased by 3.23% compared to the
average of 2019, completing the goal of less than 4% set by the National Assembly.
In 2020, Vietnam’s core inflation witnessed a gradual decrease over the previous year. The
average core inflation of 2020 was up by 2.31% compared to that of 2019.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
CPI
+4.32%
In the prices of the educational services group
0.78%
CPI 0.58%
HOUSing &
CONTRUCTION 3.23% education
MATERIALS
others
1.79% 2.89% 4.08%
Chart 2.19: Index of Industrial Production compared to the previous years, 2016-20
Source: GSO
110.2
110%
108.9 109%
108%
107.4
107%
106%
105%
104%
103.4
103%
of the whole industry increased from 7.4% in 2016 to 8.9% in 2019. Due to the
severe impact of Covid-19 on industry, the IIP of 2020 increased by 3.4%, of
which the processing and manufacturing industry rose by 5.82%, contributing
1.25 percentage points to overall growth.
g industry
Chart 2.20: Index of Industrial Production in 2020 compared with average month in 2015
Source: GSO
1.9239 1.9280
1.9079
1.8993 1.8000
1.7486 1.8401 1.7367
1.7000
1.7019 1.7098 1.8192
1.7749
1.6363
1.6000
1.7008 1.6097
1.5949
1.5733
1.5686
1.5373 1.5236
1.5000
1.4727 1.4670
1.5421 1.5542 1.4565 1.4568
1.4356 1.4329 1.4359
1.4009
1.3863
1.4000
1.3763 1.3761
1.4625 1.3629
1.3435 1.3403
1.3064
1.2930
1.2970
1.2890 1.2875 1.2945 1.3000
1.2463
1.2331 1.2291
1.2000
1.1795
1.1648
1.1000
1.0000
0.9237
0.7000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Electricity, gas Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities
The power generation and distribution sector went up by 3.92%, contributing 0.19 percentage
points; water supply, waste and wastewater management and treatment increased by 5.51%, con-
tributing 0.04 percentage points. The mining industry dropped 5.62%, causing a contraction of 0.36
percentage points in the overall growth rate.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Business registration
Enterprise registration
13,725
13,402
13,200 13,092
12,272 12,205
10,728 10,689
10,304
9,163
8,276
7,885
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
101.7 80%
In 2020, there were According to the GSO, more than
2,235.6 3,341.9
29.2%
47.0%
5,577.6
39.3%
Trillion vnd
Total additional registered capital in the economy of this year 2020
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
3,996.9 17.9
Trillion VND 6.8%
5,059.8 59.5% Trillion VND
510.4 534.6
Trillion VND 13.0% 4.0% Trillion VND
12.2%
2.6%
Retail sales of goods
11.0%
11.6%
10.0%
5.059,8
4.930,8
4.393,5
3.956,6
(Trillion dong)
Source: GSO
As trade and services have been influences by the pandemic, the growth of total
retail sales of consumer goods and services decreased from 12.2% in 2019 to
2.6% in 2020 (reaching 5,059.8 trillion VND). Retail sales of goods in 2020 in
particular went up by 6.8% over the previous year, mainly coming from the
increase of food and foodstuff sales (up 10.7%) and household appliances, tools
and equipment sales (up 7.5%). Meanwhile, 2020’s revenue from travelling and
accommodation & catering services reduced by 13% and 59.5% respectively.
As of December 2020
Vietnam has signed 15 FTAs, 13 of which have already gone into effect.
Currently, there are 2 FTAs under negotiation.
Vietnam’s FTAs
Type FTA Status
Vietnam - EU Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) is a new-generation FTA between Vietnam and 28
EU member countries. EVFTA, together with the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for
Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), are the two FTA’s with the widest range and highest level of
Import-Export turnover
300
Trade balance Export Import
282.7
264.2 262.7
243.7
253.1
250
236.9
215.1
213.0
200
176.6
174.8
165.6
162.0
147.8
150.2
150
132.0 132.0
113.8
114.5
106.7
96.6 100
84.4
72.2
70.0
57.1
50
20.0
6.8 11.1
0.8 0.0 2.4 1.8 2.1
0
-3.6
-12.9 -12.6 -9.8
-50
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
In 2020, in the context of coronavirus impacts, global trade was disrupted and the global supply chain was
broken. However, Vietnam has benefited from the trend to shift production chains from China to Vietnam.
Therefore, import-export activities still witnessed positive developments despite the contraction in many
countries all over the world.
Specifically, according to the General Department of Vietnam Customs (GDVC), export turnover in 2020
reached USD 282.7 billion, up 7% (equivalent to 18.4 billion USD), and import turnover reached 262.7 billion
USD, up 3.6% (equivalent to 9.3 billion USD). The balance of trade recorded a surplus for the 5th
consecutive year, amounting to nearly 20 billion USD in 2020: the highest value of the past 10 years.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
China
Remained the largest trading partner of Vietnam in 2020
No.26
The total value of import-export turnover
The Asia region accounted for the highest proportion of Vietnam’s total import
and export value. China continued to be Vietnam’s largest trading partner:
import-export value accounted for 24% of the total, reaching more than USD
133 billion. Japan and South Korea were also two major Asian trading partners
with Vietnam.
The region that saw the highest trading growth with Vietnam was the Americas,
with a rate of 16.2% and a total import-export value of USD 112.02 billion. The
United States is Vietnam’s second-largest trading partner, with an import-export
value of nearly 90.8 billion USD, accounting for 17%. Meanwhile, the value of
Vietnamese imports and exports with the European market reached USD 63.85
billion, decreasing by 3.1% in 2020.
Chart 2.24: Total import - export turnover of goods in 2020 (billion USD)
China USA
24% Total import - export turnover 17% Total import - export turnover
Korea EU
12% Total import - export turnover 10% Total import - export turnover
ASEAN Japan
10% Total import - export turnover 7% Total import - export turnover
Others countries
20% Total import - export turnover
The United States was Vietnam's largest export partner with a total turnover of
nearly USD 77.1 billion (accounting for 27% of the total) and also the market with
the highest export surplus, up to nearly USD 63.4 billion, followed by China with
nearly USD 48.8 billion (accounting for 17%). Several countries and territories that
accounted for a high proportion of Vietnam's export structure were Europe (14%),
ASEAN (8%), Japan (7%), and South Korea (7%).
In 2020, Vietnam’s merchandise exports to China and the United States increased
by 17.9% and 25.7% respectively, compared to the previous year. Meanwhile, the
export turnover of Vietnam to the ASEAN market plunged by 7.7%. Exports to
Europe decreased by -3.4%, indicating that Vietnam has not fully exploited the
potential of the Vietnam-EU Agreement.
The FDI sector
accounted for the majority of key export commodities’ turnover
Some major Vietnamese export commodity groups in 2020 are: phones and components /
electronics, computers and components / machinery, equipment and tools / textiles / seafood -
together accounting for around 57% of export turnover. Specifically, due to high demand, the
export of computers, electronics and components increased by 24.1% in 2020, while the
machinery, equipment, and tools sector surged by 48.6% in value compared to 2019.
Chart 2.26: Major export commodity groups in 2020 Chart 2.28: Structure of goods export in 2019 and 2020
Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs Source: General Department of Vietnam Customs
51,18
44,58
%
7.9
35,92
32,83
29,81
27,19
2019
18,30
50.5%
8,40
8,53
3%
1%
Textiles 7.2 Heavy industrial goods
and minerals
60.0% 40.0%
2020
Light industrial goods
54.17%
87.3% 12.7%
and handlcrafts
%
35.63
However, the majority of the four key commodity groups’ turnover belonged to the FDI sector. In
particular, exports of FDI enterprise accounted for 97.8% in the phones and components sector and
96.8% in the computers, electronics and components sector. The total export value of this group in
2020 amounted to USD 202.89 billion, up 10.7% over 2019.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
China
Was the market where Vietnam has the largest trade deficit in 2020.
60
50
51,60
40
37,25
36,60
30
20
16,64
10
14,70
13,30
11,87
China continued to be the largest of Vietnam’s import markets in 2020 with a turnover of USD
84.19 billion, gaining 11.5% over the previous year and contributing 32% of import turnover. China
was also the market with which Vietnam had the largest trade deficit, amounting to USD 35.32
billion.
In the context of Covid-19, imports to Vietnam had a slightly increasing trend, reflecting the
gradual recovery of domestic production. However, the high trade deficit in certain markets may
pose several potential risks for the trading activities of Vietnam.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Source: GSO
Import – Export of services
6.30 18.3
64.8% 14.5%
Chart 2.31: Structure of services trade in 2020 The service export turnover is estimated at 6.3
Source: GSO
billion USD, plummeting 68.4% compared to
16,000
transportation services accounted for 11.6% of
6,000
14,000 total exports at 727 million USD, down 83.4%.
12,000
TOTAL
Due to Covid-19, projects that went into operation in 2020 could not fully be exploited in
accordance with investment levels, making the Incremental Capital Output Ratio (ICOR)
increase, despite steadily decreasing over the previous 4 years. The ICOR surged from
6.07 in 2019 to 14.28 in 2020. In the 5 years since 2016, the average ICOR was 7.04.
12
Source: GSO 10
6
6.42
6.11
5.97
6.07
State 4
Non-State 2
0
FDI
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Total realized investment capital
of the State sector increased significantly in 2020
Source: GSO
117.1 117.3
114.5
115%
112.8
112.3
111.2
110.4
109.5 109.9
110.2 110%
108.9
107.9
107.3
106.9
105.7
105%
103.8
103.1
102.6
100%
In 2016-20, the structure of the total
98.7
realized social investment capital has
95% shifted towards decreasing the
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
proportion of the public sector in total
Total State Non-state FDI investment. However, in 2020, the
State investment capital increased
Chart 3.34: Structure of realized social investment capital, 2016-20
Source: GSO noticeably by 14.5%, reaching 729
trillion VND (equivalent to USD 32
social investment capital
billion), accounting for 33.7% of the
21.6 23.7 23.4 23.0 21.4 total. This was due to the acceleration
of public investment to stabilize and
maintain economic development in the
38.9 40.6 43.3 46.0 44.9
context of the pandemic. In 2020, the
FDI sector investment reached 463.3
37.5 35.7
trillion VND (equivalent to USD 20
33.3 31.0 33.7
billion), accounting for 21.4% of total
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 realized capital, down 1.3%.
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Vietnam
Has been a potential destination for FDI
In 2020, the total newly registered capital in the manufacturing and processing
industry reached USD 7.2 billion, accounting for nearly 50% of total
newly-registered capital. Singapore was the largest investor among 79 countries
and territories licensed to invest in Vietnam in 2020, with total capital of USD 6.2
billion, accounting for 42% of total newly registered capital; followed by China
with USD 1.6 billion, accounting for 10.8%.
Production, electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply 152 5,080.81 28,921.82
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 5,181 431.18 8,484.48
At the beginning of January 2021, state budget revenue increased by nearly 184
trillion VND, reaching 98% of the annual plan. Total revenue was estimated at
1,507 trillion VND. State budget expenditure had completed the plan of 1,781.4
trillion VND. The state budget deficit in 2020 was estimated at 248.5 trillion VND,
equivalent to less than 4% of GDP. In the 2016-2020 period, the average state
budget deficit was about 3.6% of GDP, meeting the target of not exceeding 3.9%
of GDP.
Chart 2.36: State budget revenue and expenditure in 2020
Source: Ministry of Finance
1,800
1,781
1,748
1,600
1,616
1,551
1,507
1,400
1,463
1,425
1,293
1,200
1,289
1,193
1,101
1,000
997
800
600
400
249.0
196.0 192.0 192.0 197.0 200
174.0
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Revenue Expenditure Budget deficit Unit: Trillion VND
Investment and
development expenditures
(29.4%)
Interest payment
(6.5%)
Domestic
(84.3%) Aids provision expenditure
expenditure
(0.1%)
revenue Crude oil
(2.5%) Current expenditures
(63.4%)
Import - Export
(12.8%) Salary reform expenditure
(0.5%)
Grants
(0.4%) Others
(0.1%)
2021 Country Report 2021- Political environment
Public debt
has been effectively managed for the past 5 years, contributing to support of the
Chart 2.39: Public debt, Government debt and National external debt to GDP ratios, 2015-19
Source: IMF
Public debt
70%
60%
63.7
61
61.4
58.3
55.8
55.0
50%
52.7
51.7
49.2
49.6
49.9
49.0
48.0
47.9
47.1
46.0
44.8
40%
42
30%
20%
10%
0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Public debt/GDP (%) Government debt/GDP (%) National External debt/GDP (%)
According to statistics from the Ministry of Finance, by the end of 2020 public debt
was estimated at 55.8% of GDP, and government debt was 49.6% of GDP, a
sharp decrease compared to the corresponding ratios in 2016 (63.7% and
52.7%). The national external debt-to-GDP ratio has decreased gradually, from
BI
LL
S
L LS
Chart 2.40: Central Government Debt, 2015-19 BI
Source: IMF
120,000
77,482.68
74,765.16
68,922.13
100,000
64,574.70
54,674.26
80,000
60,000
40,000
47,733.63
46,978.26
46,323.14
42,915.79
39,644.97
20,000
11,810.09
11,096.03
10,102.52
16,868.19
16,222.44
10,930.12
10,260.31
9,504.30
8,811.82
9,333.85
3,539.73
1,544.68
3,009.55
2,556.14
2,285.81
2,111.24
1,973.38
4,082.51
4,055.21
2,286.06
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Mill USD
The debt-to-GDP ratios have been maintained within the limits approved by the National Assembly,
creating room for fiscal policies.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
POPULATION
97.58 Million P
MALE FEMALE
49.8% 50.2% 3
SEX ratio at birth
1
Boy
0
Girl
54.6
Mill persons
53.4
Mill persons
2.48
Unemployme
employed Of labour forc
Labor force at age 15+ Population at 15+ working age
Population 97.58 Million
36.8% 63.2%
(% of population)
birth (% of population)
73.7ages
Proportion of urban residents 36.8%
(% of population)
8% 2.51%
Underemployment
Recruitment
Floor area per person 23.5m2/person*
96,482
95,546
94,601
93,640
92,677
91,714
90,753
89,802
88,871
87,968
Vietnam's popula-
tion 2010 - 2020
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
15 3
The population of Vietnam Ranking Ranking
currently accounts for
1.25%
of the global population most populous country in the world most populous country in
Southeast Asia
Chart 3.2: Population, population growth and GDP per capita in Southeast Asia in 2020
Source: GSO, danso.org
Timor-Leste
2.0
Laos
1.5
Cambodia Philippines
Malaysia
Brunei Darussalam
India
1.0
Vietnam
Singapore
Myanmar
0.5
Thailand
0.0
Despite being the 3rd largest population in the region (behind the Philippines and Indonesia),
Vietnam's population growth rate in 2020 was lower than the regional average, reaching only
0.91%, while rates in the Philippines, Brunei, Malaysia, Cambodia, Laos and Timor-Leste were
higher than the regional average (1.1%).
In terms of GDP per capita, Vietnam was among the countries with a low average GDP per capita
in the region, only higher than Timor-Leste, the Philippines, Myanmar, Laos and Cambodia, and
16.7 times lower than Singapore, the country with the highest GDP per capita in the region.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Population structure
Chart 3.3: Population structure by gender and age, forecast to 2021
90-94
80-84
70-74
60-64
50-54
40-44
Ages
30-34
10-14
Thousand people
0-4
-5,000 -2,500 0 2,500 5,000
% Population
Chart 3.4: Population structure by age group (%) Source: United Nation, populationpyramid.net
15-59
40%
20%
0-14
60+
65+
0%
80+
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
According to forecasts from the Population Committee of the United Nations, in
2021 Vietnamese people aged 15-64 will account for about 68.6% of the total population. Vietnam
is in a golden period of a population with a large workforce, but the trend over time is for an
increase to the median age and a reduction in younger people, bringing significant pressure to
bear on the socio-economic situation. As the number of 16-30 year olds tends to decrease, this will
gradually lead to an increasingly dependent population in the future.
Chart 3.5: Median age of Vietnamese people Source: Population Committee of United Nations, populationpyramid.com
40
30
20
10
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
The distribution of Vietnamese population by gender is relatively even, with 48.59 million
men (accounting for 49.8%) and 48.99 million women (50.2%). The sex ratio of the population in
2020 was 99.2 males / 100 females. The average life expectancy of both sexes was 75.8, of which,
the life expectancy was 71.7 for men and 79.9 for women.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Urbanization ratE
Source: GSO
Proportion of urban population
36.8
35.1 35.9
34.6 34.4
33.8
The urban population in 2020 was 35.93 million people, accounting for
36.8% of the total population, increasing by 2.81 million people compared
to 2019.
Despite an increase in the size and growth rate of the urban population, the proportion of
Vietnam's urban population is still very low compared to developed countries in the world and
other countries in the region. In Southeast Asia, the proportion of urban population in
Vietnam is only higher than Laos (36.3%), Timor-Leste (31.3%), Myanmar (31.1%) and
Cambodia (24.2%).
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Migration
Chart 3.7: Total number of Vietnamese people working in foreign countries / the number of destination countries
Source: Department of
Overseas Labour, Total number of Vietnamese people
Laodong.vn
40
28
27
28
22 152,530
29 140,000
134,751
126,296
38 119,530
33 25
106,840
88,155
80,320
78,000
Total
The number of
countries/ territories
In the first 11 months of 2020 the total number of citizens working abroad was
only 54,307, equal to 40.9% over the same period in 2019. In the whole of
2020 it was estimated that there would be 78,000 Vietnamese workers in
foreign countries.
south ko
I
ROMAN
Taiwa
ALGER
JAPAN
In 2020, there were 27,325 Vietnamese employees working in Japan; 23,403 employees in
Taiwan; 1,077 workers in South Korea; 481 workers in Romania; 150 employees in Algeria;
464 male workers in China; 341 male workers in Singapore; 227 male workers in Uzbekistan
and other markets. (This is rounded data. Due to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic, the
deviation is negligible).
According to the Vietnam Association of Manpower Supply, in 2021 there will be about
90,000 workers working abroad. Each following year there will be about 120 -150 thousand
expatriate workers abroad.
However, there are still limitations, including the low qualifications and awareness of some
workers, leading to a lack of information about the job and the labor market in foreign
countries, with many workers accepting huge loans to work abroad. Additionally, there are
problems like illegal migration flow, risk of fraud, labor exploitation and mistreatment of
citizens working abroad. In particular, the situation of Vietnamese people working abroad
illegally is reflected in the tragedy of 39 people killed in haulage containers in the UK in 2019.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Migration
From 2005 to date, the net migration rate of Vietnam has always been
negative, indicating more people emigrate abroad than immigrate.
Chart 3.9: Vietnam Net Migration Rate 2015 - 2021 (per 1000 population)
Source: macrotrends.net
-0.25
-0,50
-0,75
-0,842
-0,868 -0,860 -0,851 -0,861 -0,879 -0,898
-1,00
Migration
Chart 3.10: Number of marriage cases between Vietnamese citizens and foreigners in
some countries in 2018
01 02
TAIWAN USA
4,498 4,193
In case of marriage In case of marriage
575
551
539
498
430
334
298
More specifically, in 2018 there were 4,498 cases of According to a report by the
marriage between Vietnamese citizens and Taiwanese, Ministry of Justice since the Law
4,193 marriages to Americans, 2,666 marriages to on Adoption took effect, to date
Koreans, and 515 marriages with Canadians. Other 3,291 Vietnamese children have
countries / territories equal 3,543 marriage cases. been adopted by foreigners.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Income
3,521
3000
2,714
2,540
2,389
2,215
2,109
2000
1000
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Education
Chart 3.13: Number of students in the school year 2020-2021 (thousand people)
Source: The Ministry of Education and Training
University 1.560,3
Secondary 5,920.5
Primary 8,890.0
Preschool 5,076.1
Out-of-school proportion
Boys Girls
18.5
1999
23.5
17.3
2009
15.3
9.2
7.5 2019
25 20 15 10 5 0
In 2019, 8.3% of children were of general school age but not attending school, decreasing
nearly 2/3 compared to 1999 (20.9%).
The proportion of school-age girls who have never attended / dropped out of school has changed,
from a higher level in 1999 than that of boys to a lower level in 2019, by a small percentage. The
out-of-school proportion for boys and girls in 2019 were 9.2% and 7.5% respectively.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Human Developm
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
The Human Development Index (HDI) of Vietnam in 2019 was 0.704. With this
result, Vietnam entered the list of countries with a high HDI, ranking 117/189
countries and territories, one level higher than in 2018. From 1990 to 2019,
the HDI of Vietnam has increased by nearly 46%, among the countries with
the highest HDI growth rates.
ment Index (HDI)
IHDI Value
0.588 (World:0.587)
MPI Value
0.019 GII
(Developing Countries: 0.108) 0.296 (World :0.436)
Vietnam's Gender Development Index (GDI) in 2019 was 0.997, ranked 65/162 countries, three places
higher than in 2018, and placing the country in the top five groups globally. The proportion of women
participating in elected bodies (such as the National Assembly, People's Councils at all levels) in Vietnam
accounted for 26%, a relatively high level compared to the rest of the world.
Vietnam was also in the third group from bottom up in terms of the vulnerable employment rate (54.1%).
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Labor force
University/ Postgraduate
75%
25%
14.2
0%
Labor structure
by industry sectors
Chart 3.18: Labor structure from 15 years old and above divided by economic sectors in 2015 - 2020
Source: GSO, consosukien.vn
Labor structure
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
Unemployment rate
Unemployment rate
6%
4%
2%
0%
Vietnam World
Vietnam’s unemployment rate in 2020 was 2.26% (of the total number of
employees), much lower than the global average of 5.42%. Unemployment
increased in most countries, especially in major economies such as Canada,
the US and China. Vietnam's workforce continued to increase, following the
recovery of Q3/2020. Due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic the
Chart 3.20: Unemployment rate by sex (%)
Source: GSO
1.75
Men
1.97
1.89
2.02
2.01
Women
2.67
0 1 2
unemployment rate increased by 0.27 percentage points compared to 2019. However, Vietnam is
among countries with the lowest unemployment rates.
In terms of gender, the unemployment rate of men was 1.89%, while that of women was higher at
2.67%. Compared to 2019 the male unemployment rate decreased (1.97% in 2019), while that of
females increased (2.01% in 2019).
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Unemployment rate
Gender
Education level General
Male Female
The group with the lowest unemployment rate were employees with postgraduate degrees
(1.06%) due to the high demand for professional qualifications.
In most qualification groups, the unemployment rate of women was always higher than that of
men, especially for the group of employees with elementary level education (4.57% in women).
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
8.2
68.54
68.16 8
68 67.96 7.3
68.03 7.3
7.2
7.3
67.57
6.1
6
66.56
66.35
66 4.9
5.2
65.81
65.46
4.1
4
64.50
64
2
% GDP
% annual growth
62 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Vietnam's CCI in Q4/2020 was also higher than the world average (98) and the
Asia-Pacific average (110).
behavior
Figure 3.2: Consumer confidence index of countries around the world Q4/2020 Source: The Conference Board, Nielsen
Sweden (82)
Norway (85)
Russia (66)
Canada (92) The UK (89)
Germany (96)
France (71) Kazakhstan (79)
Spain (63) Italy (56)
Morocco (67)
UAE (105)
Australia (104)
129 129
128
126
125
124
123
122
121
120
117
Q1/2018 Q2/2018 Q3/2018 Q4/2018 Q1/2019 Q2/2019 Q3/2019 Q4/2019 Q1/2020 Q2/2020 Q3/2020
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Consumption
And consumption behavior
Source: Nielsen
40%
Job security
45%
49%
Health
44%
21%
The economy
31%
22%
Work/ Life balance
23%
6%
Increasing utility bills
8%
Consumer concerns in the economy skyrocketed (31%, up 10% from Q1/2020), and this was
also the highest record since Q2/2014. The Life/work balance fell one spot in the list of concerns
(23%, compared to 22% in Q1/2020). Meanwhile, due to greater time spent at home, consumers
were more concerned with increasing utility bills (8%, up 2% from Q1/2019).
These trends were largely predictable because Vietnam was one of the first countries to
successfully control the first wave of the pandemic and enter the Recovery phase. Therefore,
Health was no longer the number 1 concern of Vietnamese people in Q2/2020. However, the
long-term impact of the pandemic on the economy and consumer uncertainty led to job
instability and a hesitation in spending.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
Religion
Source: National ASEAN 2020 Committee - The Sub-Committee on Communications And Culture
Buddhism 11
Catholicism 6.5
Caodaism 2.5
Protestantism 1.5
Islam 0.8
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
In Vietnam, there are 6 major religions: Buddhism, Catholicism, Protestantism, Islam,
Caodaism and Hoa Hao Buddhism.
Buddhism has the largest number of followers - more than 11 million, with over 17,000
worshipping facilities, nearly 47,000 dignitaries, 4 Buddhist Institutes, 9 Buddhist Colleges
and 31 Intermediate Schools.
Catholicism has about 6.5 million followers, 42 bishops and about 4,000 priests.
In addition, Caodaism has 2.5 million followers, Protestantism has 1.5 million, Hoa Hao
Buddhism has 1.3 million, Islam and other religions have 800,000 followers.
2021 Country Report 2021- Socio - Cultural environment
There were 14,332 cases of environmental violations nationwide, of which 12,820 cases
were handled with total fines of over VND 176.8 billion. Vietnamese laws are also getting
stricter, along with efforts to join international conventions to protect the environment in
parallel with economic development.
mental pollution
Vietnam's population in 2021 ranks 15th in the world and 3rd in Southeast Asia: of which, 35% live in
urban areas. Vietnam’s population density is among the highest in the Asia Pacific region, and is
higher and younger than the world average.
Vietnam is a religious-diverse country with 6 main religions, but the majority practice ancestor
veneration. The government does not officially favor a particular religion, but different religious
worship activities are flourishing in various forms.
The Vietnamese people’s ability to survive and overcome adversity is highly evaluated, the human
development index is above average and literacy rates are high. 70% of Vietnamese people access
the internet and consumer behavior is changing dramatically in the digital technology explosion. The
government has decided to primarily emphasize these aspects.
Vietnam's future depends on the younger generation who are asserting themselves in all areas,
including politics.
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
IV. Techno
ological Environment
State management of S&T activities
Legal Documents on S&T
Policies in support of S&T activities
Figures on the development of S&T activities
Expenditure on R&D
S&T State budget expenditure
Human resources for R&D
Results of S&T activities
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
Source: Decree
No. 95/2017/NĐ-CP
Prime Minister
r of Vietnam
People’s committee
Ministry of Ministries, Ministry - Level Of provincial cities and
Science and techonology Agencies and Centrally administered
Government agencies Cities
Diagram 4.1: State administrative system of S&T in Vietnam by level Source: Compiled by VietnamCredit
Law on Science 2000 2013 2000 •General provisions on governing scope, regulated entities,
and Technology tasks and principles of S&T activities, State policies on
S&T activities, prohibited acts
•S&T organizations
•Individuals involved in S&T activities, development of HRs in S&T
•Determination, organization of implementation of S&T tasks
•Application of findings from R&D, and dissemination of knowledge
of S&T
•Investment in S&T development
•Construction of infrastructure and development of S&T market
•International integration on S&T
•State administration on S&T
Law On 2005 2009 •General provisions on scope, subjects, subject matters of IPRs,
Intellectual application of law, limitations, State’s IP policies, rights and
Property responsibilities of organizations and individuals for IPRs
protection, responsibilities for state management of IP, IP
fees and charges
•Copyright and related rights
•Industrial property rights
Law on 2006 2017 2019 •General provisions on scope, State policies on technology transfer
Technology (TT), transferable technologies, forms & methods of TT,
Transfer rights to make TT, capital contribution by technology to
investment projects, technologies encouraged/restricted/
banned for/from transfer, prohibited acts in TT
•Appraisal of technology applied to investment project
•Technology transfer agreement
•Measures to promote TT and S&T market development
•State management of TT
Law on High 2008 •Prioritized technological domains: Information technology,
Technologies Biotechnology, New material technology, Automation technology.
•Hi-tech application, research and development
•Hi-tech development in econo-technical sectors
•Hi-tech human resources
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
687 13 236
R&D High-Tech Universities
Organizations Industrial Parks
08 03 67 Thousand
Concentrated information
Technology HIGH-TECH PARKS Researchers
parks
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
Expenditure on R&D
R&D spending
U.S China Japan Germany
$476.5B $370.6B $170.5B $109.8B
g by country
South France
Korea
$109.8B $60.8B
Singapore
$10.1B
Cuba Bulgaria
$1.1B $1.0B
Expenditure on R&D
estimates
80
Vietnam's expenditures on
28.4 70
3.13 R&D contributed by
39.97 60
0.82
50
enterprises witnessed a sharp
State budget 40 increase over the years
58.09
Universities
0.95
64.12
1.40
30 2011-2017, from 28.4% to
Enterprises 20 64.12%. Meanwhile, R&D
FDI 10
spending from the state
Others 64.47 55.87 33.03 26.93 0
2011 2013 2015 2017 budget decreased rapidly,
Chart 4.2: Expenditure on R&D by economic sectors from 64.47% in 2011 to
Source: MOST
26.93% in 2017. In general,
Expenditure the state sector plays the most
important role in R&D
spending, accounting for
0%
13.
nearly 50% of total
expenditure.
investment concentration in
38.
State
Non- State
S&T and industry sectors,
FDI accounting for more than 70%
of total R&D spending.
S&T State budget expenditure
Chart 4.3: State budget expenditure for S&T estimates over the years, 2010-21
Source: MOF
12,000
2,930
3,180
2,750 10,000
2,512
3,106
1,818
1,846
8,000
6,000
1,690
1,610
1,454
1,376
4,000
1,171
2,000
9,440
5,338
8,731
4,983
9,895
7,732
7,546
2,973
4,464
7,622
4,382
9,620
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Bill VND
S&T activities in Vietnam received the highest investment from the state budget. State budget
expenditure estimates for S&T tended to increase gradually over the 2010-2019 period, from 4,144
billion VND in 2010 to 12,825 billion VND in 2019, always maintained at 2% of annual state budget
expenditure. More than 70% was spending taken from the central budget, and below 30% was from
local budgets. State budget expenditure for S&T did not meet the requirements or complete the
expenditure plan for several years during this time.
In 2020, the state budget expenditure was estimated to have decreased slightly compared to 2019,
reaching 12,800 billion VND, and is expected to shrink to 10,838 billion VND in 2021 in the context of
the Covid-19 pandemic. As a result of this, public non-business units will face several challenges to
financial autonomy, needing to streamline organizational structure and require more economical and
efficient budget management and administration.
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
Chart 4.4. R&D human resources by functions Chart 4.5: Distribution of R&D human resources
by economic sectors
Source: MOST Source: MOST
2.20%
180,000
25,547
8,245
160,000 12.28%
16,934
11,066
7,036
11,522 140,000
13,283
5,525 136,070
Human
14,244 131,045
11,590 120,000
Resources
9,781
112,430
105,230
100,000
80,000
60,000
Researchers 85.53%
Technical staff 40,000
Support Staff
Other Functions
20,000
State
Non-State
0
The number of human resources for R&D has increased since 2011, reaching
172.68 thousand people in 2017. Researchers have always accounted for the
largest percentage, at 70-80% of the total.
Human resources working in the state sector accounted for the largest proportion
and in the FDI sector was the smallest. Specifically, in 2017, up to 85.53% of the
R&D workforce was in the state sector, while in the non-state sector and FDI, the
proportion was very low, at 12.28% and 2.2% respectively.
Chart 4.6: R&D human resources by area of activity
Source: MOST
26,192
20,584
88,481
34,197
3,229
non-business units
Higher education
organizations
organizations
Administrative
institutions,
Businesses
colleges
agencies,
R&D
S&T
Higher education institutions & colleges and R&D organizations are the two areas that attracted the most
R&D human resources, accounting for more than 70% of the total. Meanwhile, R&D human resources
working for S&T service organizations were very low, accounting for under 2%.
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
Chart 4.7: International Science Rankings of Vietnam and several countries in 2020
Source: SCImago
International Sci
12,839,607
6,589,695
3,715,590
1
3,222,549
2,893,614
Ranking
4 5
3
1,196,961
2
Number of research 1
papers
USA China UK Germany Japan South
Regarding the number of research papers, in 2020, Vietnam had 63,969 articles in total,
ranked 58/240, an increase of 1 level compared to 2019, behind 4 countries in
Southeast Asia; Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Indonesia.
Regionally, the number of research papers in Vietnam was comparatively low, less than
a quarter of the adjacent country - Indonesia (ranked 47/240 with 158,733 articles).
Malaysia was the leading ASEAN country in the number of research articles, ranked
33/240 with 325,476 articles. The USA had the highest number of research papers in
the world, reaching more than 12.8 million articles.
ience Rankings
58
47
44
33 34
31
13
In terms of citations from research papers, Vietnam had 671,649 citations and the number of self-citations
was 107,970, accounting for about 16% of the total, an increase of 1% compared to 2019. Vietnam's citation
rate is considered acceptable, although this assessment criterion does not completely reflect a country's
scientific research capabilities.
Regarding the citations per research paper, Vietnam rated at 10.5, ranking 182 in the world, down 12 places
compared to 2019. Thus, the lack of citation of Vietnamese scientific papers still exists and worsened in
2020, indicating the influence of Vietnam's researchers remained minor compared to other countries in the
world.
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
For the first time, in 2020, Vietnam had 3 universities in the list of the most prestigious
universities in Asia ranked by Times Higher Education: Vietnam National University,
Hanoi ranked in group 201-250, Hanoi University of Science and Technology in group
251-300 and the Vietnam National University (Ho Chi Minh City) in group 401+.
Globally however, only Vietnam National University, Hanoi ranked in the group
801-1000; Hanoi University of Science and Technology dropped from group 801-1000
and moved to group 1000+ with Vietnam National University (Ho Chi Minh City).
Of these, Vietnam National University, Hanoi had the leading scores in teaching,
research, and international outlook indicators among the 3 Vietnamese higher
education institutions in the rankings. Hanoi University of Science and Technology
was the leader in citations index, and Vietnam National University (Ho Chi Minh City)
ranked first in the industry income score.
Results of S&T activities:
Vietnam’s universities are leading in research
“University Performance Metrics” (UPM) is a Vietnamese ranking system implemented by a research team at Vietnam
National University, Hanoi under the sponsorship of the Ministry of Education and Training. The UPM system evaluates
and ranks universities according to 8 categories (strategic governance, education, research, innovation, innovation
ecosystem, IT infrastructure, internationalization and community services), including a total of 54 indicators. UPM will
star 1-5 for groups of institutions with relatively equal performance.
In 2020, among the 30 participating universities in Vietnam, there are 4 universities meeting the 5-star standard according to UPM: Vietnam National
University, Hanoi; VNU University of Science, VNU University of Engineering and Technology, and Hanoi University of Science and Technology.
Table 4.4: List of UPM participating research universities 2020 Source: University Performance Metrics
List of UPM
1 Vietnam National University, Hanoi
2 Kasetsart University
3 VNU University of Science
4 VNU University of Engineering and Technology
5 Hanoi University of Science and Technology
6 Telkom University
7 Hanoi University of Pharmacy
8 Hanoi National University of Education
9 Thuyloi University
10 Burapha University
11 Hanoi University of Mining and Geology
12 Phenikaa University
13 Vinh University
14 Universitas Negeri Malang
15 University of Transport Communications
16 Hue University
17 University of Science, Hue University
18 Hue University of Education
19 Hue University of Medicine and Pharmacy
20 National University of Civil and Engineering
21 Visayas State University
22 University Of Economics, Hue University
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
Chart 4.11: Number of public eServices integrated to the National eService Portal
Source: Jacques
Morisset, WB; Annual
Number of public e-Services
3,000
economic assessment 2,800
NEU
2,000
1,908
1,500
1000 1,00
725
500
169
0 0
Number of visits
140,000
116,000 120,000
100,000
80,000
61,900 60,000
46,300
40,000
32,000
20,000
11,000
0 0
2020 is the year Vietnam kicked off its national digital transformation, with three main pillars:
digital government, digital economy and digital society. With efforts to build a digital govern-
ment and apply information technology in the operations of state administrative agencies, there
have been several positive signals. The number of public eServices integrated on the National
eService Portal has increased sharply, from 8 services by the end of 2019 to 2,800 services as
of February 2021. Visitors surged, reaching 11 million after 1 month of implementation, 61.9
million by August 2020 and nearly doubling in February 2021, estimated at 116 million visits.
E-government with the application of S&T contributes to cost savings in implementing public
services, estimated at VND 8,100 billion/year and has received positive feedback from
Vietnamese society.
Results of S&T activities:
The digital boom has become a reality
Chart 4.8: The explosion in e-commerce Chart 4.9: Percentage of firms which started or increased the use of
digital platforms by sector
37%
60
35% 35%
12
40
11.8
30% 30%
20
10
10.08
25% 25% 0
24%
Agriculture Commerce Manufacturing Others
Jun Sep-Oct
23%
8
8.06
20% Chart 4.10: Percentage of firms which started or increased the use of
digital platforms by size
18%
6
6.2
4
4.07
10%
60
2.97
2 40
5%
20
0 0%
In 2020, Vietnam's digital economy had positive developments. Vietnam's e-commerce market reached USD 11.8
billion, an increase of 18% compared to 2019. Although that was low growth compared with an average of 25%-30%
in recent years, it was a positive result in the context of Covid-19’s complicated development.
Despite a heavy impact on the purchasing power of consumers, the pandemic brought both opportunities and chal-
lenges for businesses by increasing digital transformation. From June to October 2020, more than 65% of all busi-
nesses have started or accelerated the use of digital platforms in the sectors of agriculture, commerce, manufacturing
and other services.
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
The project, approved in 2017 by the Prime Minister, is one of the activities
intended to strengthen the capacity to access Vietnam’s Industrial Revolution 4.0.
The project’s object is to build a database of many different fields based on AI
and BigData to serve the community and society.
The project was one of the most successful activities in 2020, with a contribution
in building pandemic zones using Vmap, providing quick information on the risk of
infection and serving epidemic prevention.
Currently, the platforms of a few projects have been completed and updated,
including: Digital Education (igiaoduc.vn), Open Encyclopedia (bktt.vn), Digital
Map of Vietnam (vmap. vn), Digital Humanitarian (inhandao.vn), Covid Safety
Map (antoancovid.vn). Some other projects being completed include: Digital
Nutrition, Digital Culture, Digital Pharmacology, Voice Technology.
Successfully researched and Successfully researched, produced Researched, produced and
produced the SARS-CoV-2 and tested the Vibot-1a robot successfully tested the NaRoVid1
detection kit robot
The SARS-CoV-2 detection kit The medical support robot The NaRoVid1 robot is
researched and produced by Vibot-1 was ordered by the implemented by the Institute of
the Military Medical Academy in Ministry of Science and Technology Application under
collaboration with Viet A Technology for the Military the Ministry of Science and
Technologies Joint Stock Medical Technical Academy to Technology, and is capable of
Company has been licensed for produce. VIBOT-1a is capable cleaning the floor and
use by the Ministry of Health, of giving medicines, collecting disinfecting isolated areas for
approved by the WHO and garbage, giving meals to Covid-19 infected patient
licensed by UK Department of patients, reducing workload for treatment, instead of using
Health and Social Care to be nurses and doctors, limiting medical staff. In particular, the
distributed in Europe. Besides the direct contact with infected robot can disinfect itself before
being donated to a number of or suspected Covid-19 cases leaving the isolated area.
countries such as Laos, and avoiding cross-
Indonesia and Hungary, the contamination.
test kit has also been ordered
for distribution in the UK and
US markets, with a committed
number of at least 1 million
tests/month.
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
Source: WIPO
GII rankings of Vi
Gil Innovation Inputs Innovation outputs
2020 42 62 38
2019 42 63 37
2018 45 65 41
42/131
Ranking : In Southeast Asia
1 1
Singapore
Source: WIPO
80 83
70
58.5 79
70 73
60
53.0
60
50
50 38.4
34.5 40
32.7
40 31.7
39 38
26.0 37 30
30 34
20
20
10 10
0 0
Score
Ranking Score
The GII is an important tool to help the Government of Vietnam continue to focus on innovation
management and administration. According to WIPO, Vietnam currently retains several limitations
in innovation related to environmental indicators and exports of ICT services.
2021 Country Report 2021- Technological environment
Chart 4.14: Number of Vietnamese entities’ Chart 4.15: Top 10 provinces/cities with highest industrial
industrial property applications by subject property applications, 2011-20
matter, 2011-20
Source: Intellectual Property
Office of Vietnam Vietnamese entities Top 10 provinces/cities
160,000
4% 140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
93%
Ho Chi Minh City
Hanoi
Binh Duong
Long An
Đong Nai
Da Nang
Hai Phong
Can Tho
Bac Ninh
Hung Yen
Trademarks (325,345) Industrial designs (16,083)
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Intellectual Property
Office of Vietnam
In the 10-year period from 2011, the Intellectual Property Office of Vietnam received 350,237
applications registered for industrial property rights, of which the majority were national trade-
marks, accounting for nearly 93%. Patent applications accounted for 1.6%, reaching 5,725
applications. In the context of the Covid-19 pandemic, the number of Vietnamese industrial
property registration applications in Q2/2020 that were granted also increased compared to
2019, indicating growing concern about intellectual property issues and demonstrating Viet-
nam's upstream development trend facing the pandemic’s impact.
V. Appendix
05 potential industri
Banking Industry
In 2020, the banking industry showed positive development, exceeding the set plan
despite the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.
Several other banks with significant growth rate include Kienlongbank (up 84.1%),
MSB (up 96.7%) and PG Bank (up 137.1%).
Chart 5.1: Top 10 banks with highest profit before tax in 2020
50%
23,050
48.9%
20,000 42.1%
40%
17,070
30%
15,000 27.7%
26.1%
23.1%
14,116
20%
15,800
13,000
12,838
15.9%
13,019
11,461
10,000
10,732
10%
10,324
9,596
9,214
6.5%
10,688
7,516
0%
10,036
-0.7%
5,000
5,818
5,802
5,018
-7.9%
-10%
-14.1%
4,082
0 -20%
Vietcombank VietinBank TechcomBank VPBank Agribank MB ACB BIDV HDBank VIB
2019 2020 Growth compared 2019 (%)
Positive profits in the banking sector in 2020 came from: the reduction of revenue from the lending
segment; the increase of income from non-credit activities such as bancassurance; digital banking;
foreign currency trading; online payment services; flexible operating costs, especially the reduction of
provisioning after Circular 01/NHNN. Most importantly, according to FiinGroup, the decline in lending
interest rates did not parallel the deposit interest rate, leading to the great improvement of the net profit
margin of the listed banks in Q2/2020.
The after-tax profit of the banking sector is forecasted by VietnamCredit to reach 16% in 2021,
demonstrating the great potential of this industry. However, the profitability of banks can be affected if
Circular 01/NHNN is amended, meaning that banks must make provisions for a maximum of 3 years
instead of not having to make the provision, as previously.
2021 Country Report 2021- Appendix
VND 37,234,045,560,000 23,992 108 Tran Hung Dao - Cua Nam Ward http://www.vietinbank.vn/
Hanoi
VND 25,299,679,660,000 27,037 No. 89 Lang Ha, Lang Ha Ward, Dong https://www.vpbank.com.vn/
Da District, Hanoi
VND 30,377,613 36,400 No. 2 Lang Ha - Thanh Cong Ward - http://www.agribank.com.vn
- District 3 - HCMC
VND 8,565,892,060,000 4,998 57 Ly Thuong Kiet - Hoan Kiem Dis- https://tpb.vn/
trict - Hanoi
VND 12,036,161,100,000 7546 77 Tran Hung Dao - Tran Hung Dao http://www.shb.com.vn
In 2020, the industrial real estate segment witnessed a dynamic growth in many
provinces across the country such as Dong Nai, Binh Duong, Long An, Hai Duong,
Bac Giang etc., due to production shifting from China. Vietnam received a lot of
attention from international manufacturers due to its convenient location, low
manufacturing costs and expanded international integration (especially after EVFTA),
along with the efforts and positive results in the prevention of Covid-19.
According to CBRE, the asking price of industrial zones in the South increased from
20%-30%, and about 20% in the North compared to 2019. HCMC had the highest
average rental of industrial zone land in Vietnam, reaching 160 USD/m2/term, with
an occupancy rate of over 80%. In Hanoi, more than 60% of industrial zones are
100% occupied.
It is forecasted that in 2021 the demand for industrial real estate from both existing
and new investors will continue to increase, due to the on-going trend of factories
moving to Vietnam since the US-China trade war and the deployment of many logis-
tics projects serving the industrial real estate segment.
75 3-5
Million VND/m2
+ 70%
Industrial zones under Price of industrial real Average occupancy rate of
construction estate with infrastructure industrial zones
Chart 5.2: Industrial zones, average rental rates and occupancy rates in HCMC and Hanoi
Source: Colliers International
250 100%
80% 200
200 95%
60% 150
150 90%
40% 100
100 85%
20% 50
50 80%
0 0 75%
0%
Long Bien
Dong Anh
Tu Liem
Thach That
Me Linh
Soc Son
Chuong My
Phu Xuyen
District 9
District 12
Cu Chi
Binh Tan
Binh Chanh
Nha Be
District 7
Tan Phu
District 2
Thu Duc
2021 Country Report 2021- Appendix
VND 3,878,323,170,000 315 Unit 1&2, 11th Floor, Saigon Centre, 67 Le Loi Boulevard, http://www.khangdien.com.vn/
VND 2,597,025,750,000 624 Floor 11, Capital Tower, No. 6, Nguyen Khac Vien Street, http://www.namlongvn.com/
VND 2,219,909,230,000 114 Viettel Complex Building, 8th - 9th Floors, Tower B, 285 http://www.phatdat.com.vn/
HCMC
VND 33,495,139,180,000 6,129 No. 458, Minh Khai Street, Vinh Tuy Ward, Hai Ba Trung https://www.vinhomes.vn/
District, Hanoi
VND 9,695,407,970,000 1,975 313B-315, Nam Ky Khoi Nghia Street, Ward 7, District 3, https://www.novaland.com.vn/
HCMC
VND 1,186,812,890,000 1,583 No. 8 Lang Ha, Thanh Cong Ward, Ba Dinh District, http://www.hado.com.vn
Hanoi
VND 1,000,000,000,000 200 Lot TT2-1, Road D4, Dong Nam Industrial Park, Hoa Phu https://saigonvrg.com.vn/
VND 4,417,106,730,000 6,130 VINACONEX Building, 34 Lang Ha, Lang Ha Ward, Dong http://www.vinaconex.com.vn
Da District, Hanoi
VND 10,350,000,000,000 5,238 No. 8, Hung Vuong Street, Hoa Phu Ward, Thu Dau Mot http://www.becamex.com.vn/
VND 4,483,500,000,000 8,400 Level 16 & 17, Viglacera Tower, No. 1, Thang Long http://www.viglacera.com.vn
Steel Industry
Chart 5.3: The production of finished steel in 2020
Source: VSA, Vietnambiz.vn
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
Construction Steel
Pipe
In the first half of 2020, due to the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, many members of
the Vietnam Steel Association (VSA) experienced a decline in revenue. However, the
market started showing positive changes during the second half of 2020. For 2020 as
a whole, Vietnam's crude steel production and sales increased by 14% and 12%, and
exports grew by 3.55 times compared to the same period last year. The production
and sale of steel products was up by 2.7% and 1.4% respectively compared to 2019.
Chart 5.4: The sale of finished steel in 2020
Source: VSA, Vietnambiz.vn
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
With the ability to recover positively, the steel industry is expected to continue to experience double-digit
growth in 2021. Domestic steel demand is forecasted to trend upwards due to the increase of public invest-
ment, infrastructure construction and the recovery of the real estate industry (Vietcombank Securities
Company), especially the Vietnamese industrial real estate segment. Disbursement progress accelerated
since mid-2020 is also expected to have a positive impact on the domestic steel industry this year.
2021 Country Report 2021- Appendix
USD 700,000,000 3,500 Nhon Trach III Industrial Park, Hiep Phuoc Ward, Nhon -
VND 33,132,826,590,000 23,744 Pho Noi A Industrial Park, Giai Pham Commune, Yen My https://www.hoaphat.com.vn
VND 1,000,000,000,000 570 Phu My 1 Industrial Park, Phu My Ward, Phu My Town, -
VND 4,446,252,130,000 7,209 No. 9, Thong Nhat Boulevard, Song Than 2 Industrial https://hoasengroup.vn
USD 574,000,000 850 My Xuan A2 Industrial Park, My Xuan Ward, Phu My http://csvc.com.vn/
VND 3,971,760,000,000 590 Lot 1, Phu My II Industrial Park, Phu My Ward, Phu My http://poscovietnam.vn
VND 975,098,260,000 1,500 No. 5, Street 5, Song Than 1 Industrial Park, Di An Ward, http://www.tondonga.com.vn/
VND 1,819,998,680,000 1,417 Lot A1, Street D2, Dong An 2 Industrial Park, Hoa Phu http://www.namkimgroup.vn/
VND 2,796,763,360,000 1,960 No. 1, Street 27, Song Than 2 Industrial Park, Di An http://www.pomina-steel.com/
VND 1,840,000,000,000 4000 Group 13, Cam Gia Ward, Thai Nguyen City, Thai http://www.tisco.com.vn
Nguyen Province
2021 Country Report 2021- Appendix
E-commerce Industry
Chart 5.5: Growth of B2C e-Commerce, 2014-20
Source: e-Commerce White Book 2020, compiled by VietnamCredit
12 35% 35%
11.8
30%
10
30%
10.08
25% 25%
8 23%
24%
8.06
20%
6 18%
6.20
15%
5.00
4
4.07 10%
2.97
Revenue (Billion USD) 2 5%
Growth (%)
0 0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
With a growth rate of 18% and a market value of 11.8 billion USD, e-commerce is
one of the industries with positive growth in 2020, despite Covid-19. In the 6
consecutive years before 2020 e-commerce growth always hovered around
23%-37%. In 2019 the value of individual online shopping increased sharply, from
160 USD in 2015 to 225 USD. According to the National master plan on e-commerce
development for the period 2021-2025, e-commerce revenue will increase by
25%/year and reach 35 billion USD. Each Vietnamese consumer’s online shopping
footprint is estimated to reach 600 USD/year.
600 600$
550$
500$
450$
400$
350$
300$
250$
225
202
186 200$
170
160
150$
Although currently more than 80% of consumers prefer to make cash payments when receiving goods,
digital payments have seen positive changes and have strong growth potential. In 2020, according to
Nielsen Vietnam, the proportion of online shoppers using e-wallet payments accounted for more than 50%
of the total, up 28%. Shopee Vietnam also estimated that the number of orders paid via the Airpay e-wallet
increased 4 times, particularly with consumers over 50 years old.
It is forecast that in 2021 e-commerce will continue to develop significantly, despite the impact of the
pandemic, due to the potential demand of shoppers. This is also an opportunity for enterprises in the
e-commerce industry to restructure their operations and implement new business strategies.
2021 Country Report 2021- Appendix
VND 5,266,604,000,000 300 Floor 28, Lotte Central Building Hanoi, 54 Lieu Giai https://shopee.vn
VND 2,761,518,810,000 50,000 No. 128, Tran Quang Khai Street, Tan Dinh Ward, District http://www.thegioididong.com/
1, HCMC
VND 800,000,000,000 5,600 No. 63-65-67, Tran Hung Dao Street, Cau Ong Lanh http://www.nguyenkim.com/
VND 789,817,920,000 6,584 261-263 Khanh Hoi, Ward 02, District 4, HCMC https://fptshop.com.vn/
VND 208,311,680,000 1,545 29/1 Street 4, Quarter 3, An Khanh Ward, Thu Duc City, https://tiki.vn/
HCMC
VND 423,200,000,000 Room 1808, Floor 18, Me Linh Point Tower, No.2 Ngo http://chotot.vn/
VND 190,000,000,000 3,800 No. 29F, Hai Ba Trung Street, Trang Tien Ward, Hoan https://mediamart.vn/
VND 124,587,500,000 75 Room 1003, 10th Floor, Beautiful SaiGon 2 Building, No. https://www.yes24.vn/
HCMC
VND 114,169,430,000 900 Floor 3, Building B, Business Incubator, Lot D.01, Tan http://www.sendo.vn/
District 7, HCMC
VND 6,000,000,000 1,000 Floor 19-20, Saigon Center - Tower 2, 67 Le Loi, Ben http://www.lazada.vn/
Logistics Industry
The logistics industry is expected to continue showing potential for growth in 2021,
resulting from the gradual control of the pandemic and increased global demand for
commodities. In addition, the signing of new agreements such as RCEP and the
implementation of CPTPP and EVFTA agreements will contribute to facilitating good
exchange between Vietnam and other ‘strict’ markets. Along with the growth of
e-commerce and the explosion of digital technology, the e-Logistics segment has
been increasingly completed and developed to serve the growing demand of the
market during and post pandemic.
According to a report by Saigon Securities Inc (SSI), the seaports and logistics
industry will grow by 10% in 2021. Cai Mep - Thi Vai and Lach Huyen deep-water
ports will continue to increase the capability to accommodate large ships. These two
ports are expected to have a 20% increase in handling volume.
Vietnam’s seaport and logistics
160%
Chart 5.7: Vietnam’s seaport and
140% logistics industry in 2020
120%
Source: Bloomberg, SSI Research
100%
80%
60%
40%
VNIndex
20%
Industrials
0% Sea Ports & Logistics
T12-19 T1-20 T2-20 T3-20 T4-20 T5-20 T6-20 T7-20 T8-20 T9-20 T10-20 T11-20 T12-20
Transportation by road
125
120
Chart 5.8: Transportation by road
115
(million tons)
110
95
90
85
80
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9
2019 2020
Transportation by sea
7.5
6.0
5.5
5.0
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T10 T11 T12 T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9
2019 2020
2021 Country Report 2021- Appendix
Table 5.5: T
compa
Establis- Stock
Company name ID Registration
hed years Symbol
VND 21,771,732,360,000 9,748 58 Truong Son, Ward 2, Tan Binh District, HCMC http://vietnamairport.vn
USD 3,300,000 4,700 Industrial Park, Binh Hoa Ward, Thuan An City, Binh http://www.dksh.com.vn/
Duong Province
VND 2,969,249,570,000 1,493 2bis-4-6 Le Thanh Ton, Ben Nghe Ward, District 1, http://www.gemadept.com.vn/
HCMC
VND 12,005,880,000,000 1,201 No. 1 Dao Duy Anh, Phuong Mai Ward, Dong Da District, http://vinalines.com.vn
Hanoi
VND 794,058,690,000 1,700 Number. 52-54-56, Truong Son Street, Ward 2, Tan Binh -
District, HCMC
VND 2,814,401,620,000 818 Level 2, PVFCCo Building, No. 43, Mac Dinh Chi Street, http://www.pvtrans.com/
USD 300,000 122 No. 182, 8th Floor, Flemington Building, Le Dai Hanh -
USD 900,000 300 Lot CN05, YP6 Road, Yen Phong Industrial Park, Yen -
VND 830,479,260,000 8,000 No. 1, Giang Van Minh Street, Kim Ma Ward, Ba Dinh http://www.viettelpost.com.vn
District, Hanoi
VND 631,104,100,000 1092 Floor 9-10, 172 Hai Ba Trung, Da Kao Ward, District 1, http://www.transimexsaigon.com
HCMC
2021 Country Report 2021
2021 Country Report 2021
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2021 Country Report 2021
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Nam
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tails.aspx?ID=1901&Category=Ph%C3%A2n%20t%C3%ADch%20%C4%91%E1%BB%8Bnh%20k%E1%BB%B3&Group
=Ph%C3%A2n%20t%C3%ADch
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2021 Country Report 2021
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2021 Country Report 2021
Written by:
Jimmy Le
Cyndi Khanh Ha
Huy Hoang Nguyen
Designed by:
Daniel Nguyen
Edited by:
Flip W.Jelly
2020-2021