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A Study On Risk Propensity and Sentiments of Investors Towards Various Investment Post Covid-19 in Lucknow City Plag
A Study On Risk Propensity and Sentiments of Investors Towards Various Investment Post Covid-19 in Lucknow City Plag
A Study On Risk Propensity and Sentiments of Investors Towards Various Investment Post Covid-19 in Lucknow City Plag
On
Session 2021-2022
School of Management
Sector I, Dr. Akhilesh Das Nagar, Faizabad Road, Lucknow (U.P.) India
PLAGIARISM CERTIFICATE
DECLARATION
I do hereby declare that all the work presented in the research report entitled
Investment Post Covid-19 in Lucknow City” is carried out and being submitted
carried out under the guidance of MR. RITESH KRISHNA SRIVASTAVA (faculty
guide). It hasn’t been submitted at any other place for any other academic
purpose.
PREETI SRIVASTAVA
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Most importantly, acclaims and gratitude to the God, the Almighty, for His
effectively.
and giving priceless direction all through this exploration. His dynamism, vision,
genuineness and inspiration have profoundly propelled me. He has shown me the
benefit and respect to work and study under his direction. I am incredibly thankful
for what he has offered me. I might likewise want to express gratitude toward his
stretching out my sincere gratitude to him better half, family for their
acknowledgment and tolerance during the conversation I had with her on inquire
gratitude to my sister and sibling for their help and important petitions. My
Special much gratitude goes to my companions and cohorts for the unmistakable
Finally, my thanks go to all the people who have supported me to complete the
PREETI SRIVASTAVA
TABLE OF CONTENT
Cetificate
r
Plagiarism Ce tificate
r
De laration
c
Acknowle gem nt
d e
1. Introduction 1
2. Literature Review 29
4. Research Methodology 43
5. Problems /Limitations 49
7. Findings 80
8. Suggestions/Recommendation 84
9. Conclusions 86
10. Bibliography 88
11. Annexure 95
INTRODUCTION
1
INTRODUCTION
The rapid spread o f the unprecedented COVID‐19 pandemic has put the wo rld in y y
jeo pardy and changed the glo bal o utlo o k unexpectedly. Initially, the SARS‐Co V‐2
y y y y y y
virus, which caused the COVID‐19 o utbreak triggered in Wuhan city, Hubei pro vince y y
o f China in December 2019, and with time it spread all o ver the glo be. This pandemic
y y y
is no t o nly a glo bal health emergency but also a significant glo bal eco no mic
y y y y y y y
do wnturn to o . As many co untries ado pt strict quarantine po licies to fight the unseen
y y y y y y y
pandemic, their eco no mic activities are suddenly shut do wn. Transpo rts being limited
y y y y
and even restricted amo ng co untries have slo wed do wn glo bal eco no mic activities. y y y y y y y
Mo st impo rtantly, co nsumers and firms have prevented their usual co nsumptio n
y y y y y
patterns due to the creatio n o f panic amo ng them and created market abno rmality.
y y y y y
Uncertainty and risk created due to this pandemic, causing significant eco no mic y y y
impact all o ver the glo be affecting bo th advanced and emerging eco no mies such as
y y y y y
the United States, Spain, Italy, Brazil, and India. In this co ntext, the financial market y
has respo nded with dramatic mo vement and adversely affected. Eco no mic turmo il
y y y y y
asso ciated with COVID‐19 has affected the financial market severely which includes
y
bo th sto ck and bo nd markets. Due to this pandemic, there is a large fall in the price o f
y y y y y
o il and a large increase in the price o f go ld. Firzli (2020), refers to this pandemic as
y y y y
“the greater financial crisis.” In many co untries, businesses are highly indebted, weak y
co mpanies are further destabilized, and co rpo rate debt stands at a very high level. The
y y y
glo bal financial market risk has increased substantially in respo nse to the pandemic
y y y
(Zhang et al., 2020). Investo rs are suffering sufficient lo sses due to fear and y y y
uncertainty. Fo r example, due to the impact o f this pandemic, the glo bal sto ck market
y y y y y
has struck o ut abo ut US$6 trillio n in 1 week fro m 24 to 28 February (Ozili & Arun,
y y y y y
2020). The market value o f standard & po o r (S&P) 500 indexes declined to 30% y y y y
2
since the COVID‐19 o utbreak. Acco rding to Azimili (2020) increased uncertainty
y y y
affects the required rate o f return and thus the current market value o f sto cks.
y y y
Altho ugh there is limited current literature related to the impact o f COVID‐19 o n the
y y y y
financial market, the existing empirical studies have pro vided an exciting result. Baret y
et al. (2020), in their research o n financial markets and banks, have fo und that there is y y
a fall in the share o f o il, equity, and bo nds thro ugho ut the wo rld as a result o f the
y y y y y y y
COVID‐19 pandemic. So cial distancing measures adversely affected the pro ductivity
y y
o f the co mpanies and bro ught abo ut a decrease in revenue, higher o perating co st, and
y y y y y y
also cash flo w challenges to the co mpanies. In Euro pe, the Financial Times Sto ck
y y y y y y
Exchange 100 index witnessed a sharp 1‐day fall since 1987 (BBC News, 2020). Igwe
(2020) is o f the view that the sho ck fro m this pandemic can increase the vo latility that
y y y y
can negatively affect the eco no mic and financial system o f every co untry. Mo st o f y y y y y y
the develo ped and develo ping co untries' financial markets are adversely affected by
y y y
this unexpected pandemic. The leading eco no my o f the wo rld, the US sto ck market y y y y y
hit the circuit breaker mechanism fo ur times in 10 days in March 2020 (Zhang et al., y
2020). The sto ck market o f Euro pe and Asia has also jumped. United Kingdo m's
y y y y y
leading index FTSE has fallen mo re than 10% o n March 12, 2020 (Zhang et al., y y
2020). Vishno i and Mo o kerjee (2020) o bserved that the sto ck market in Japan had
y y y y y
dro pped mo re than 20% in December 2019. The sto ck market o f Spain, Ho ng Ko ng,
y y y y y y
and China also declined to 25.1, 14.75, and 12.1% in their price fro m March 8, 2020
y y y
to March 18, 2020 (Shehzad et al., 2020). In his study, also fo und a harmful impact o f
y y y y
the COVID‐19 o n sto ck returns o f the S&P 500 and an inco nsequential impact o n the
y y y y y
Nasdaq co mpo site index. Geo rgieva (2020) po inted o ut that the COVID‐19 pandemic
y y y y y
3
bro ught the entire glo be near to financial crises mo re hazardo us than Glo bal Crises
y y y y y y
2007–2008.
Gradually the wo rst effect o f the pandemic spread to the emerging eco no my to o . If
y y y y y y y
we co nsider the financial market o f the emerging eco no my a glo o my picture caught
y y y y y y
the COVID‐19 pandemic makes this picture mo re critical. The to p leading emerging y y
eco no mies such as Brazil, Russia, and Mexico gradually mo ved to ward hard mo bility
y y y y y y
2020 (Herfero , ). In So uth Ko rea, the Co ro navirus disease caused KOSPI to dro p
y y y y y y y
belo w 1,600 in their histo ry after 10 years (So , 2020). In China, higher uncertainty
y y y
due to COVID‐19 results in greater vo latility o f sto ck return (Leduc & Liu, 2020).
y y y y
The go vernment o f India anno unced Janata Curfew o n March 22, 2020 and lo ckdo wn
y y y y y y
po licy to maintain so cial distancing practice to slo w do wn the o utbreaks fro m March
y y y y y y y y
24, 2020. As the go vernment anno unced such a lo ckdo wn po licy, vario us eco no mic
y y y y y y y y
activities have been sto pped suddenly. The financial market o f India is witnessed y y
sharp vo latility as a result o f the disruptio n o f the glo bal market (Raja Ram, 2020).
y y y y y
As a result o f the fall o ut in the glo bal financial market, the Indian sto ck market also
y y y y y
witnesses sharp vo latility. It has also bo rne the brunt o f the COVID‐19 pandemic.
y y y y
There are two majo r sto ck indices in India—Bo mbay Sto ck Exchange (BSE), Sensex,
y y y y y
and Natio nal Sto ck Exchange (NSE), Nifty. If we lo o k at the Bo mbay Sto ck
y y y y y y
Exchange there is a dro p in the Sensex index to 13.2% o n March 23, 2020. It was the y y y
highest single they fall after the news o f the Harshad Mehta Scam, April 28, 1991 y
(Mandal, 2020). Similarly, Nifty has also declined to almo st 29% during this perio d. y y y y
4
So me eco no mists have co nsidered the impact o f COVID‐19 o n the Indian sto ck
y y y y y y y
market as a “black swan event,” that is, the o ccurrence o f a highly unanticipated event y y
with an extremely bad impact. Due to the lo ckdo wn po licy ado pted by the y y y y y
go vernment, the facto ries have reduced the size o f their labo r fo rce as well as
y y y y y
pro ductio n level which disrupted the supply chain. Again, because o f the uncertainty
y y y
prevailing amo ng mankind, peo ple also reduce their co nsumptio n habits leading to y y y y y y
demand‐side sho ck. Studies have also fo und that the entire previo us pandemic had y y y y
affected o nly the demand chain. But this COVID‐19 pandemic has affected bo th the
y y
Despite the severa l litera tures o n the impa ct o f COVID‐19 o n the sto ck ma rket o f the m m y m y y y m y
entire eco no my, there is limited study o n it especia lly in the ca se o f a n emerging
y y y m m y m
eco no my. To shed light o n this a spect, this pa per a ttempts to investiga te the impa ct
y y y y m m m y m m
o f COVID‐19 o n the two impo rta nt sto ck ma rket o f India . Glo sten–Ja ga nna tha n–
y y y y m y m y m y m m m m
Runkle (GJR) genera lized a uto regressive co nditio na l hetero sceda sticity (GJR m m y y y m y m
sto ck index prices due to the o utbrea k o f the pa ndemic a nd lo ckdo wn po licy a do pted
y y y m y m m y y y m y
by the India n Go vernment. Ma jo r findings o f the study revea l the vo la tile na ture o f
m y m y y m y m m y
BSE Sensex a nd NSE Nifty, the two pro minent sto ck ma rket o f India . m y y y m y m
Altho ugh a la rge number o f studies ha ve been ca rried o ut o n the gro wth a nd
y m m y m m y y y m
fina ncia l perfo rma nce o f mutua l funds in India (Bo sto n Ana lytics, 2010), (PWC,
m m y m y m m y y m
2013), no t much light ha s been shed o n the ca uses fo r the lo w penetra tio n o f mutua l
y m y m y y m y y m
funds o utside the to p fifteen cities. There is resea rch lo o king a t the ca uses fo r the
y y m y y m m y
va ria tio n o f mutua l funds industry a cro ss develo ped co untries. Ho wever, such wo rk
m m y y m m y y y y y
typica lly do es no t differentia te between the va rio us regio ns o f the na tio ns included
m y y m m y y y m y
5
(Kho ra na et a l., 2005). While such studies ma y help po licyma kers in determining the
y m m m m y m
idea l inter-regio na l ma cro eco no mic co nditio ns to develo p a hea lthy mutua l fund
m y m m y y y y y y y m m m
industry, they ra rely expla in the differences in mutua l fund penetra tio n within a m m m m y m
co untry. It is well kno wn tha t mutua l funds o ffer their investo rs benefits difficult to
y y m m y y y
o bta in thro ugh o ther investment vehicles. Benefits such a s diversifica tio n, a ccess to
y m y y m m y m y
a dva nta ges. Given these benefits, o ne wo uld ima gine tha t India n ho useho lds,
m m m y y m m m y y
cha ra cterized with gro ss do mestic sa vings o f clo se to 28% o f the to ta l GDP (Wo rld
m m y y m y y y y y m y
Ba nk, 2012), o ne o f the highest in the wo rld, wo uld flo ck to invest their sa vings in
m y y y y y y m
mutua l funds. Ho wever, a recent repo rt (PWC, 2013) po ints o ut tha t the distributio n
m y m y y y m y
to p fifteen (T-15) cities o f India . The T-15 cities co ntribute to 87% o f the entire
y y m y y y
AUM in the co untry. Even within the T-15 cities, the to p five cities (Mumba i, Delhi, y y m
Chenna i, Ko lka ta a nd Ba nga lo re) co ntribute 85% o f the entire AUM a t the T15 level
m y m m m m m y y y m
i.e. 74% o f the entire AUM in the co untry (PWC, 2013). It is impo rta nt to inquire y y y m y
into the ca uses o f this skewed investo r pa rticipa tio n ra te. There a re severa l fa cto rs
y m y y m m y m m m m y
which co uld po ssibly expla in this va ria tio n. Cro ss-co untry studies ha ve po inted o ut
y y m m m y y y m y y
tha t la ws, regula tio ns a nd go verna nce, supply side fa cto rs, dema nd side fa cto rs a nd
m m m y m y m m y m m y m
techno lo gica l issues co uld a ll a ffect the size o f mutua l industry in a given co untry
y y m y m m y m m y
sta te to a no ther. The fa cto rs tha t we fo cus in o ur study a re therefo re ma inly supply
m y m y m y m y y m y m
a nd dema nd side fa cto rs. Our study divides the supply side i.e. delivery mecha nisms
m m m y m
into three a lterna tive cha nnels: independent fina ncia l a dviso rs (IFAs), ba nks a nd in-
y m m m m m m y m m
ho use distributo rs. We fo cus o n these delivery cha nnels used by India n mutua l fund
y y y y m m m
6
ho uses. To begin with, we do cument rela tio nships between demo gra phic a nd
y y y m y y m m
eco no mic va ria bles o n o ne ha nd a nd mutua l fund penetra tio n o n the o ther to discern
y y m m y y m m m m y y y y
the underlying fa cto rs which co uld help expla in the success o f a mutua l fund in a m y y m y m m m
given pa rt o f the co untry. We do this using da ta co llected fro m a ll the mutua l funds
m y y y m m y y m m
India n mutua l fund ho uses to identify the regula to ry a nd distributio na l cha llenges
m m y y m y m y m m
tha t a cco rding to them ho ld them ba ck fro m increa sing their business in a rea s which
m m y y y m y m m m
presently ha ve a lo w number o f mutua l funds. We a lso inquire into huma n reso urce
m m y y m m y y m y
pro blems tha t co uld be ho lding ba ck their penetra tio n even if the fund ho uses did
y m y y m m y y
wa nt to increa se their presence in the less develo ped districts o f India . Our study
m y m y y m
brings o ut severa l interesting results which wo uld be o f co nsidera ble use to the fund
y m y y y m y
ho uses, regula to rs, fina ncia l pra ctitio ners a nd scho la rs in genera l. We co nfirm tha t
y m y m m m y m y m m y m
bulk o f the mutua l fund sa les o utside the T-15 cities a re ca used by IFAs. We a lso
y m m y m m m y
find tha t demo gra phic a nd so cia l indica to rs such a s a dult litera cy a nd ba nk
m y m m y m m y m m m m m
penetra tio n a re o nly wea kly co rrela ted with mutua l fund penetra tio n in a given a rea .
m y m y m y m m m y m m m
Area s with the highest mutua l fund presence tend to be tho se where the pro po rtio n o f
m m y y y y y y
ho useho lds with mo re tha n Rs. 300,000 inco me a nd IFA presence ha ppen to
y y y m y m m y
co incide. We a lso find tha t IFAs do no t usua lly fo cus o n tho se a rea s which ha ve the
y m y m y y m y y y m m m
highest pro pensity to invest in mutua l funds (a s reflected by the districts with the
y y m m
highest pro po rtio n o f the fa milies ea rning mo re tha n Rs. 300,000 per a nnum). This
y y y y m m y m m
suggests tha t the present AUM levels ca n be increa sed by severa l percenta ge po ints
m m m m m y
7
The Sto ck ma rket a ssumes a critica l functio n in the develo pment o f a ssembling a nd
y m m m m y y y m m
a dministra tio n businesses o f the na tio n. The pro fo und a nd fluid va lue ma rkets ha ve
m m y y m y y y m m m m
a tra nscendent a nd tena cio us effect o n fina ncia l executio n. It cha nnelizes the reserve
m m m m y y m m y m
funds o f peo ple in genera l into va lue specula tio ns to help the flo urishing eco no my.
y y m y m m y y y y y
fina ncia l specia list a nd o rga niza tio ns. The securities excha nge is the na rra tive o f the
m m m m y m m y m m m y
huma n co nduct tha t is lia ble fo r o verco mpensa tio n in the two wa ys (kla rma n 1998).
m y m m y y y m y y m m m
The presenta tio n o f the mo neta ry cha nge mea sure in mid 90s usurped in critica l m y y y m m m m
fina ncia l a dva ncement o f India a nd the securities excha nge sta yed a s a significa nt
m m m m y m m m m m m m
cha nnel fo r the dra wn o ut a sset o bjective fo r the co rpo ra te. Liquidity a nd ca pita l
m y m y m y y y y m m m m
specia lists. No twithsta nding the securities excha nge develo pment, excepting
m y m m y
specula to rs rema in to pro fit o ut o f the bla st. The sma ll two percent o f the India n
m y m y y y y m m y y m
po pula ce in va lue ma rket co o pera tio n reflects dissa tisfa ctio n o f the reta il fina ncia l
y m m m y y m y m m y y m m m
specia lists with the ma rket. The custo ma ry specula tio ns o f a cco unt, fo r exa mple,
m m y m m y y m y y m
Efficient Ma rket Hypo theses (EMH) a nd Ra ndo m Wa lk Theo ry (RWT) expect tha t m y m m y m y m
specula to rs settle o n sa ne cho ices to a ugment their pro fits. No twithsta nding, these
m y y m y y m y y m
hypo theses co uldn't fa ce the investiga tio n a nd tested fo r the a bsence o f functio na l
y y m m y m y m y y m
po int o f view o n the securities excha nge. The peculia rities, fo r exa mple, co st o ver
y y y m m y m y y
respo nses a nd o vera bunda nce insta bility were no t cla rified by the o ccupa nts o f EMH
y m y m m m y m y m y
rea so na ble mo neta ry cho ices dependent o n a ccessible ma rket da ta is ba sica lly a
m y m y m y y m m m m m m m
no nexistent idea l. So cia l mo ney co nso lida tes intellectua l bra in resea rch a nd
y m y m y y y m m m m m
o rdina ry mo neta ry hypo theses to unwind the po tentia l rea so ns why individua ls settle
y m y m y y y m m y m
8
o n no nsensica l mo neta ry cho ices. It lea ves fro m the inha bita nts o f tra ditio na l
y y m y m y m y m m y m y m
hypo thesis tha t enthusia stic co mpo nents do n't impa ct individua ls while settling o n
y m m y y y m m y
mo neta ry decisio ns. So cia l a cco unt tries to cla rify the unrea so na ble a nd o ne-sided
y m y y m m y y m m y m m y
co nduct thro ugh the utiliza tio n o f intellectua l bra in resea rch. It is seen tha t a n
y y m y y m m m m m
individua l o r the reta il specula to r's decisio n is co ntro lled by fa cto rs extra o rdina ry to
m y m m y y y y m y m y m y
the specific dyna mic setting. So cia l a cco unt, no twithsta nding its restrictio ns, gives m y m m y y m y
impo rta nt bits o f kno wledge to mo neta ry wa rning specia list o rga niza tio ns a nd
y m y y y y m m m y m m y m
stra tegy pro ducers to co mprehend the reta il specula to rs to wa rds the va lue venture.
m y y y m m y y m m
The rise o f the Libera liza tio n, Priva tiza tio n, Glo ba liza tio n (LPG) time a nd ensuing
y m m y m m y y m m y m
mo neta ry cha nges in India sta rted in 90s, with a n o bjective o f ha nding the eco no my
y m m m m m y y m y y
o ver to mo re ma rket a rra nged, welco med giga ntic venture fro m Do mestic a nd
y y y m m m y m y y m
Fo reign specula to rs. The effect o f the cha nges expa nded the po ssibilities o f securities
y m y y m m y y
excha nge a s Po tentia l Avenue fo r a bunda nce a mplifica tio n. No netheless, truly, the
m m y m y m m m m y y
reta il fina ncia l specia lists rema in to lo se their a bunda nce in a ny co mmo n eco no mic
m m m m m y y m m m y y y y
situa tio ns. Despite the fa ct tha t the a dministra tive instrument sta rted by the SEBI
m y m m m m m
(Security tra de lea ding bo dy o f India ) to check the deceitful pra ctices a nd m m y y m y m m
co mpelling clea ring by mo ving settlement, the co o pera tio n o f reta il specula to rs ha s
y m y y y m y y m m y m
no t been empo wering since the disintegra tio n o f the venture wa s the significa nt
y y m y y m m
rea so n. The custo ma ry mo neta ry specula tio ns depended o n the structure tha t
m y y m y m m y y m
crea tio n the mo neta ry cho ice, which a re the significa nt o ccupa nts o f the effective
m y y m y m m y m y
ma rket hypo thesis. It likewise a ccepts tha t the ma rket is stra ightfo rwa rd a nd do esn't
m y m m m m y m m y
experience the ill effects o f a ny da ta imba la nce. The cho ppiness lo o ked by the y m m m m m y y y
ca pita l ma rket ca n't be cla rified by the effective ma rket specula tio ns since it a ccepts
m m m m m m m y m
9
specula to rs a ct sa nely. The disintegra ting reta il specula to r ba se is ba sic since the
m y m m m m m y m m
trip o f ca pita l. Further, the fa ke unpredicta bility ca n be reduced a nd co ntro lled with
y m m m m m m y y
exa mines demo nstra ted tha t the reta il fina ncia l specia lists a ct unrea so na bly in
m y m m m m m m m m y m
crea tio n the mo neta ry cho ices beca use o f menta l fa cto rs, fo r exa mple, feelings a nd
m y y m y m y m m y y m m
psycho lo gica l predispo sitio ns. Co nduct mo ney withdra ws fro m the custo ma ry
y y m y y y y m y y m
o bjectivity hypo thesis a nd co nsiders the menta l va ria bles which inco rpo ra te the
y y m y m m m y y m
cha ra cter a ttributes a nd the demea no r predispo sitio n. The use o f the cha ra cter
m m m m m y y y y m m
scientist. Numero us investiga tio ns ha ve been led utilizing the cha ra cter qua lity a s the y m y m m m m m
va ria ble to survey the level o f cha ra cter cha ra cteristic influencing the individua l
m m y y m m m m m
co nduct. La rge five cha ra cter qua lity co mpo nents a nd specula to r menta lity
y m m m m y y m m y m
inclina tio n exa mina tio n o f the fina ncia l specia lists a ddress the misrepresenta tio ns in
m y m m y y m m m m m y
dyna mic. The investiga tio n is led in Luckno w lo ca le, Utta r Pra desh, India where the
m m y y y m m m m
specula to rs a re no t mo neta rily educa ted eno ugh to ha ve the o ptio n to settle o n their
m y m y y m m y y m y y y y
cho ices a ll a lo ne a nd co mprehend the ma rket develo pments. Hencefo rth, the current
y m m y m y m y y
exa mina tio n "Specula to rs Beha vio r To wa rds Equity Investment" On Beha vio ra l
m m y m y m y y m m y m
cha ra cter qua lities a nd the menta lity predispo sitio n o f the reta il specula to rs in
m m m m m y y y m m y
Luckno w District, Utta r Pra desh, India . The experiences wo uld help the fina ncia l
y m m m y m m
specia lists to o utline rea so na ble metho do lo gy to relieve the da nger to sta y dyna mic
m y y m y m y y y y m y m m
in the va lue ma rket a nd o ffer directio n to the mo neta ry specia list o rga niza tio ns a nd
m m m y y y y m m y m m y m
the a rra ngement pro ducers to expa nd the reta il specula to r ba se.
m m y y m m m y m
10
During the pa st yea rs, the Equity Ma rkets ha ve been cha ra cterized by increa sing m m m m m m m
vo la tility a nd fluctua tio ns. The integra ted fina ncia l ma rkets a re increa singly expo sed
y m m m y m m m m m m y
to ma cro eco no mic sho cks which a ffect ma rkets o n a glo ba l sca le. Fro m a n
y m y y y y m m y m y m m y m
investo r’s po int o f view, the vulnera bility o f ma rkets ha s led to increa sed uncerta inty
y y y m y m m y m m
a nd unpredicta bility, a s ma rket co nditio ns ca nno t a lwa ys be judged with the help o f
m m m m y y m y m m y
sta nda rd fina ncia l mea sures a nd to o ls. Ma rket pa rticipa nts ha ve fo r a lo ng time
m m m m m m y y m m m m y m y
relied o n the no tio n o f efficient ma rkets a nd ra tio na l investo r beha vio ur while
y y y y m m m y m y m y
ma king fina ncia l decisio ns. Ho wever, the idea o f fully ra tio na l investo rs who
m m m y y m y m y m y y
a lwa ys ma ximize their utility a nd demo nstra te perfect self-co ntro l, is beco ming
m m m m y m y y y
ina dequa te. During recent yea rs, exa mples o f ma rket inefficiency in the fo rm o f
m m m m y m y y
The Glo ba l Fina ncia l Crisis 2008 – 2009 bega n with the bursting o f the United
y m m m m y
Sta tes ho using bubble a nd high defa ult ra tes o n “subprime” a nd Adjusta ble Ra te
m y m m m y m m m
Mo rtga ges (ARM), beginning in a ppro xima tely 2005-2006. The Glo ba l Fina ncia l
y m m y m y m m m
Crisis o f 2008-2009, beca me pro minently visible in September 2008, with fa ilures o f
y m y m y
la rge fina ncia l institutio ns in the United Sta tes a nd it ra pidly evo lved into a glo ba l
m m m y m m m y y m y m
credit crisis, fo llo wing the subprime mo rtga ge crisis. On September 14, 2008, it wa s y y y m m
a nno unced tha t Lehma n Bro thers wo uld file fo r ba nkruptcy a fter the Federa l
m y m m y y y m m m
a nno unced. The beginning o f the week wa s ma rked by extreme insta bility in glo ba l
m y y m m m y m
sto ck ma rkets. Sto ck ma rkets cra shed dra ma tica lly a cro ss significa nt cro ss-sectio n
y m y m m m m m m y m y y
o f sto ck ma rkets, clo se o n the heels o f the a nno uncement o f Lehma n Bro thers
y y m y y y m y y m y
Ba nkruptcy. Index Va lue o f Do w Jo nes o f US, FTSE 100 o f UK, S&P TSX o f
m m y y y y y y
11
MIBTEL o f Fra nce plunged by 5%, a nd BSE India by 3%. Cra shes were driven by
y m m m m
pa nic a s much a s by underlying eco no mic fa cto rs. Sto ck ma rket cra shes a re in fa ct
m m m y y m y y m m m m
so cia l pheno mena where externa l eco no mic events co mbine with cro wd beha vio ur
y m y m m y y y y m y
12
Wha t is Beha vio ura l Fina nce?m m y m m
Mo st peo ple kno w tha t emo tio ns a ffect investment decisio ns. Peo ple in the wo rld o f
y y y m y y m y y y y
Beha vio ura l Fina nce extends this a na lysis to the ro le o f bia ses in decisio n ma king,
m y m m m m y y y m y m
such a s the use o f simple rules o f thumb fo r ma king co mplex investment decisio ns.
m y y y m y y
In o ther wo rds, Beha vio ura l Fina nce uses psycho lo gy to understa nd ho w peo ple
y y m y m m y y y m y y
ma ke investing decisio ns. Huma n Na ture usua lly serves us well in co ping with da y-
m y m m m y m
Beha vio ura l Fina nce ca n a lso be defined a s the study o f investo rs’ a ttitudes to wa rds
m y m m m m y m y y m y m
investing a nd its effect o n fina ncia l ma rkets. In a n a rticle in, New Yo rk Times da ted
m y m m m m m y m
06/07/98, the writer sa ys tha t Beha vio ura l Eco no mists ho ld the view tha t investo rs m m m y m y y y m y
o verva lue priva te info rma tio n a nd underva lue public info rma tio n. It a ttributes the
y m m y m y m m y m y m
gro wing impo rta nce o f ‘fina ncia l emo tio ns’ o f the a vera ge citizen to ‘trickle do wn’
y y m y m m y y y m m y y
to fina nce. So phistica ted a nd impo rta nt fina ncia l decisio n-ma king is no t restricted
y m y m m y m m m y m y
retirement pla ns, mo rtga ges, ho me equity lo a ns etc. It is thro ugh these munda ne, m y m y y m y m
da ily cho ices tha t a vera ge individua l investo rs directly a ffect ma rket co nditio ns,
m y m m m m y m m y y
Mo reo ver, a s the fina ncia l ma rkets a re beco ming mo re ‘peo pled’, the beha vio ura l
y y m m m m m y y y m y m
pa tterns o bserved in individua l investo rs; do ma nifest itself o n a wider sca le in the
m y m y y m y m m
o vera ll sto ck ma rket. The individua l investo rs’ a ttitudes a nd o pinio n to wa rds
y m y m m y m m y y y m
investing ha ve a significa nt impa ct o n the sto ck ma rket tha t ca nno t be expla ined by
m m m m y y m m m y m
13
tra ditio na l mo dels. It ca n lea d to pricing a no ma lies a nd unexpla ina ble mo vements in
m y m y m m y m y m m m m y
sto ck prices. Sto cks, tha t were ma rket o utca sts, go o n to beco me ma rket da rling in
y y m m y m y y y y m m
histo ric price pa tterns, pa st fina ncia l perfo rma nce a nd a cco unting ra tio s to infer
y m m m m y m m m y m y y
future sto ck price mo vements. No ne o f them ta kes into a cco unt the size, na ture a nd
y y y y m y m y m m
impa ct o f huma n beha vio ur in the investment pro cess. Kiesler, Co llins a nd Miller
m y m m y y y m
fa vo ura ble o r unfa vo ura ble ma nner with respect to a given o bject.
m y m y m y m m y m y
Attitudes ca n be cha ra cterized in three wa ys. First, investo rs tend to persist unless m m m m y y
co ntinuum fro m very fa vo ura ble to very unfa vo ura ble. Third, a ttitudes a re directed
y y m y m y m y m m m
Co mpo nents o f Attitudes: Attitudes ca n be bro ken into three ba sic co mpo nents:
y y y m y y m y y
emo tio na l, info rma tio na l a nd beha vio ura l. The Emo tio na l Co mpo nent invo lves
y y m y m y m m m y m y y m y y y
the perso n’s feelings o r a ffect, po sitive, neutra l o r nega tive, to wa rds a n o bject.
y y m y m y m y m m y
The Info rma tio na l Co mpo nent co nsists o f the beliefs a nd info rma tio n the y m y m y y y y m y m y
info rma tio n is empirica lly rea l o r co rrect. A superviso r ma y believe tha t two weeks
y m y m m y y y m m y
o f tra ining is necessa ry befo re a wo rker ca n effectively co nduct a pa rticula r pro cess.
y m m y m y m y m m m y
In rea lity, the a vera ge wo rker ma y be a ble to perfo rm successfully a fter o nly fo ur
m m m y m m y y m y y
14
da ys o f tra ining. Yet the info rma tio n the superviso r is using (tha t two weeks is
m y m y m y y m y
The Beha vio ura l Co mpo nent co vers a perso n’s tendencies to beha ve in a pa rticula r
m y m y y y m y y m m m m
wa y to wa rds a n o bject. It is impo rta nt to remember tha t o f the three co mpo nents o f
m y m m y y m y m y y y y
a ttitudes, o nly the beha vio ura l co mpo nent ca n be directly o bserved. One ca nno t see
m y m y m y y m y m y
a no ther perso n’s feelings (the emo tio na l co mpo nent) o r beliefs (the info rma tio na l
m y y y y m y y y y m y m
Perceptio n y
exa ct reco rding o f it. Perceptio n gives a picture tha t ma y be quite different fro m
m y y y m m m y
rea lity. An investo r’s perceptio n ca n be tho ught o f a s a ‘filter’. The filter tells yo u
m y y m y y m m y
15
Investo r Sentiment y
Investo r Sentiment Mea sures a re widely used in pra ctice. Po liticia ns ba se their
y m m m y m m
Mea sures a re widely discussed in the media (Abeter 2006), Sto ck Excha nges
m m m y m
pro vide sentiment mea sures o n their ho mepa ges (web pa ge o f Deutsche Bo rse
y m y y m m y y
Gro up). Furthermo re, Sentiment Mea sures a re used in pra ctice by severa l Fund
y y m m m m
Ma na gers, who cla im tha t sentiment pla ys a n impo rta nt ro le in their investment
m m y m m m m y m y
Investo r Sentiment is therefo re useful fo r two rea so ns. First, studying ho w a gro up o f
y y y y m y y m y y
investo rs fo rm expecta tio n o r tra de, co ntribute to the gro wing litera ture o f investo r
y y m y y m y y y m y y
beha vio r. Seco nd, severa l empirica l studies sho w tha t Investo r Sentiment Mea sures
m y y m m y m y m
a re useful to predict the future develo pment o f sto ck returns. Investo r Sentiment is
m y y y y y
usua lly defined a s the o pinio n o f a gro up o f investo rs a bo ut the future develo pment
m m y y y m y y y m y y
o f a n a sset o ver a specific time windo w. Fo r exa mple, a Sentiment Mea sure might
y m m y m y y m m m
ca pture whether individua l investo rs a re bullish o r bea rish fo r the sto ck ma rket o ver
m m y m y m y y m y
Shleifer (2000) mentio ns two ma jo r fo unda tio ns o f Beha vio ra l Fina nce: Limited y y m y y m y y m y m m
pheno mena : the representa tiveness heuristic, i.e the tendency o f peo ple to view
y m m y y y
the pro cess, a nd co nserva tism, which lea ds peo ple to a slo wer upda ting o f mo dels in
y m y m m y y m y m y y
the fa ce o f new evidence tha n is necessa ry. These two drivers result in o verrea ctio n
m y m m y y m y
Investment
16
An investment is a co mmitment o f funds ma de with the expecta tio n o f po sitive ra te m y y m m y y y m
o f returns. If the investment is pro perly underta ken, the return will be
y y m
co mmenLuckno we with the risk the investo r a ssumes (Ro na ld J. Jo rda n, 1975).
y y y m y m y m
rea l a sset tha t pro duces a return pro po rtio n to the risk a ssumed o ver so me future
m m m y m y y y y m y y
Co ncepts o f Investment
y y
The a llo ca tio n o f mo neta ry reso urces to a ssets tha t a re expected to yield so me ga in
m y m y y y m y y m m m y y m
o r po sitive return o ver a given perio d o f time is kno wn a s Fina ncia l Investment.
y y y m y y y m m m
Acco rding to the Eco no mists, Eco no mic Investment mea ns the net a dditio ns to the
y y y y y y m m y y
eco no my’s ca pita l sto ck, which co nsists o f go o ds a nd services tha t a re used in the
y y m m y y y y y m m m
Business Investment
Genera l Investment m
inco me such a s interest, dividend, rent etc., o r ca pita l gro wth. Such peo ple, ca lled
y m y m m y y m
TYPES OF INVESTMENT
17
Direct Investment Alterna tives a re further divided into Fixed Principa l m m y m
certa in o rga niza tio ns such a s LIC, UTI. Etc. The Investo r ha s no direct respo nsibility
m y m m y m y m y y
o r ho ld o n the sa vings.
y y y m
Types o f Investo rs y y
The Investo rs a re divided into three ca tego ries, na mely, Co nserva tive Investo rs,
y m y m y m y m y
Specula tive Investo rs a nd Enterprising Investo rs. Co nserva tive Investo rs buy the
m y m y y m y
securities with a view to investing their sa vings in pro fita ble inco me ea rning m y m y m y m
securities. Specula tive Investo rs a re po pula rly kno wn a s Specula to rs. They buy m y m y m y m m y
securities with the ho pe to sell them in future a t a pro fit. The Enterprising Investo rs y y m m y y
a ssume risk very bo ldly a s well a s willingly. Their stra tegy is to get inco me a s well
m y m m m y y m
represented by No n-Ma rketa ble Fina ncia l Assets. These ca n be cla ssified into the y m m m m m m y
ba nk a cco unts, na mely, current a cco unt, sa vings a cco unt a nd fixed depo sit a cco unt.
m m y m m y m m y m y m y
Co mpa ny Depo sits mea n tha t ma ny co mpa nies, la rge a nd sma ll, so licit fixed
y m y m m m y m m m m y
depo sits fro m the public. Fixed Depo sits mo bilised by ma nufa cturing co mpa nies a re
y y y y m m y m m
regula ted by the Co mpa ny La w Bo a rd a nd fixed depo sits mo bilised by fina nce
m y m m y m m y y m
18
co mpa nies a re regula ted by the Reserve Ba nk o f India . Simila r to fixed depo sits o f
y m m m m y m m y y y
co mmercia l ba nks, Po st Office Time Depo sits ha ve been intro duced. The interest
y m m y y m y
ra tes o n POTDs a re, in genera l, slightly higher tha n tho se o n ba nk depo sits.
m y m m m y y m y
Pro vident Fund Depo sits is a ma jo r vehicle o f sa vings fo r sa la ried emplo yees
y y m m y y m y m m y
scheme. Ea ch emplo yee ha s a sepa ra te pro vident fund a cco unt in which bo th the
m y m m m m y m y y
Equity Sha res represent o wnership ca pita l. An equity sha reho lder ha s a n o wnership
m y m m m y m m y
sta ke in the co mpa ny. They bea r the risk a nd enjo y the rewa rds o f o wnership. Of a ll
m y m m m y m y y m
the fo rms o f securities, equity sha res a ppea r to be the mo st ro ma ntic. While fixed
y y m m m y y y m
sha res seem to ca pture their interest the mo st. The po tentia l rewa rds a nd pena lties
m y m y y m m m m
a sso cia ted with equity sha res ma ke them a n interesting, even exciting, pro po sitio n.
m y m m m m y y y
Blue Chip Sha res refer the sha res o f la rge, well-esta blished a nd fina ncia lly stro ng m m y m m m m m y
co mpa nies with a n impressive reco rd o f ea rnings a nd dividends. Gro wth Sha res
y m m y y m m y m
refers to the sha res o f co mpa nies tha t ha ve a fa irly entrenched po sitio n in a gro wing
y m y y m m m m m y y m y
ma rket a nd which enjo y a n a bo ve a vera ge ra te o f gro wth a s well a s pro fita bility.
m m y m m y m m m y y m m y m
Inco me Sha res refer to the sha res o f co mpa nies tha t ha ve fa irly sta ble o pera tio ns,
y m y m y y m m m m m y m y
rela tively limited gro wth o ppo rtunities a nd high dividend pa yo ut ra tio s. Cyclica l
m y y y m m y m y m
Sha res mea ns sha res o f co mpa nies tha t ha ve a pro no unced cyclica lity in their
m m m y y m m m m y y m
o pera tio ns. Specula tive Sha res refer to the sha res tha t tend to fluctua te widely
y m y m m y m m y m
pro mises to pa y a stipula ted strea m o f ca sh flo w. Bo nds ma y be cla ssified into the
y y m m m m y m y y m m y
19
Go vernment Securities: Debt Securities issued by the Centra l Go vernment, Sta te
y m y m
perio d is 5 yea rs. It ha s two o ptio ns, na mely, Cumula tive Optio n a nd No n-
y m m y y y m m y m y
Cumula tive Optio n. PSU Bo nds: Public Secto r Underta kings (PSUs) issue
m y y y m
debentures tha t a re referred to a s PSU bo nds. There a re two bro a d va rieties o f PSU
m m y m y m y y m m y
bo nds, na mely, Ta xa ble Bo nds which ca nno t o ffer mo re tha n a certa in interest ra te
y m m m y m y y y m m m m
which is fixed by the Ministry o f Fina nce. Ta x Free Bo nds ha ve investo r-friendly y m m y m y
fo r ra ising lo ngterm debt. The o bliga tio n o f a co mpa ny to wa rds its debenture
y m y y m y y m y m y m
ho lders is simila r to tha t o f a bo rro wer who pro mises to pa y interest a nd principa l a t
y m y m y m y y y y y m m m m
specified times. Preference sha res: Preference Sha res represent a hybrid security tha t m m m m
do mina ted by the Go vernment, Fina ncia l Institutio ns, Ba nks a nd Co rpo ra tes.
y m y m m y m m y y m
Individua l Investo rs sca rcely pa rticipa te in the Mo ney Ma rket Instruments which a re
m y m m m y m m
given belo w: y
Trea sury Bills a re the mo st impo rta nt Mo ney Ma rket Instrument. They do no t ca rry
m m y y m y m y y m
a n explicit interest ra te. The implicit yield o f a Trea sury Bill is a functio n o f the size
m m y m m m y y
o f the disco unt a nd the perio d o f ma turity. Co mmercia l Pa per represents sho rt-term,
y y m y y m y m m y
unsecured, Pro misso ry No te issued by firms tha t a re genera lly co nsidered to bey y y m m m y y
20
fina ncia lly stro ng. Co mmercia l Pa per usua lly ha s a ma turity perio d o f 90 to 180
m m y y m m m m m m y y y
functio n o f the size o f disco unt a nd the perio d o f ma turity. Certifica tes o f Depo sit
y y y y m y y m m y y
(CDs) represent sho rt term depo sits which a re tra nsfera ble fro m o ne pa rty to y y m m m y y m y
a no ther. Ba nks a nd Fina ncia l Institutio ns a re the ma jo r issuers o f CDs. The principa l
m y m m m m y m m y y m
investo rs in CDs a re ba nks, fina ncia l institutio ns, co rpo ra te a nd mutua l funds. CDs
y m m m m y y y m m m
a re a po pula r fo rm o f sho rt-term investment fo r co mpa nies. The term Repo is used
m m y m y y y y y m y
a s a n a bbrevia tio n fo r Repurcha se Agreement o r Rea dy Fo rwa rd. A Repo invo lves a
m m m m y y m y m y m y y m
Mutua l Funds m
va rio us schemes flo a ted by mutua l funds which, in turn, invest in equity sha res a nd
m y y m m m m
fixed inco me securities. There a re three bro a d types o f Mutua l Fund schemes
y m y m y m
Life Insura nce: In a bro a d sense, Life Insura nce ma y be viewed a s a n investment.
m m y m m m m m
Insura nce Premiums represent the sa crifice, the a ssured sum a nd the benefit. The
m m m m
impo rta nt types o f Insura nce Po licies in India a re Endo wment Assura nce po licy,
y m y m y m m y m y
Rea l Esta te:Fo r the bulk o f the investo rs, the mo st impo rta nt a sset in their po rtfo lio
m m y y y y y m m y y y
a re likely to be interested in the fo llo wing types o f rea l esta te - Agricultura l La nd,
m y y y y m m m m
21
Precio us Objects: Precio us Objects a re items tha t a re genera lly sma ll in size but
y y m m m m m
Fina ncia l Deriva tives: A Fina ncia l Deriva tive is a n instrument who se va lue is
m m m m m m m y m
derived fro m the va lue o f a n underlying a sset. It ma y be viewed a s a side bet o n the
y m y m m m m m y
a sset. The mo st impo rta nt fina ncia l deriva tives fro m the po int o f investo rs a re:
m y y m m m m y y y y m
a grees to sell the a sset, is sa id to ha ve a sho rt po sitio n. An Optio n gives its o wner
m y m m y m m y y y y y
predetermined price. Optio ns represent a specia l kind o f fina ncia l co ntra ct under y m m y m m y m
which the o ptio n ho lder enjo ys the right (fo r which he pa ys a price), but ha s no
y y y y y m m m y
estima te o f its intrinsic va lue. Ma rket Efficiency is defined in rela tio n to info rma tio n
m y m m m y y y m y
b) Semi-Stro ng Fo rm Efficiency y y
Efficient Ma rket Hypo thesis (EMH) sta tes tha t current sto ck price reflects a ll m y m m y m
a va ila ble info rma tio n a nd tha t the ma rket price a t a ny o ne time is the best estima te
m m m y m y m m m m m y m
22
o f the true va lue o f the sto ck. On the o ther ha nd, the investo rs, who do no t believe
y m y y y m y y y y
tha t ma rkets a re efficient, seek to o utperfo rm the ma rket by identifying sto cks tha t
m m m y y y m y m
will ea rn a higher expected return tha n tha t o f the ma rket a nd they a re willing to
m m m m y m m m y
a ) Attitude
m
An a ttitude is a hypo thetica l co nstruct tha t represents a n individua l's degree o f like
m m y m y m m m y
b) Beha vio ur m y
Beha vio ur ca n be defined a s the wa y in which a n individua l beha ves o r a cts. It is the
m y m m m m m m y m
A pa rt o f fina nce, which seeks to understa nd a nd predict systema tic fina ncia l
m y m y m m m m m
ma rket implica tio ns o f psycho lo gica l decisio n pro cesses. Beha vio ura l Fina nce
m m y y y y m y y m y m m
clo sely co mbines individua l beha vio ur a nd ma rket pheno mena a nd uses kno wledge
y y m m y m m y m m y
ta ken fro m bo th the psycho lo gica l field a nd fina ncia l theo ry (Fro mlet, 2001).
m y y y y m m m m y y
e)Best Ga me in To wn: The Sto ck Ma rket is co nsidered a s the o nly best pla ce
m y y m y m y m
e) Fina ncia l Cha ra cteristics: Fina ncia l Cha ra cteristics co mprise o f the va rio us
m m m m m m m m y y m y
fina ncia l ra tio s perta ining to a co mpa ny. The cha ra cteristics a re rela ting to the
m m m y m y m y m m m m m y
inco me, expenditure, o r revenue o f a perso n, gro up o f peo ple, o r o rga nisa tio n,
y y y m y y y y y y m m y
23
f) Herd Beha vio ur refers to simila rity in thinking a mo ng individua l investo rs. It m y y m m y m y
well info rmed a nd experienced investo rs invest in a pa rticula r sto ck, the o ther
y m y m m m y y
investo rs, witho ut a na lyzing the ma rket a nd o ther fa cto rs, wo uld a lso fo llo w the
y y m m m m y m y y m y y y
sa me.
m
g) Investment: Investment is putting mo ney into so mething with the expecta tio n o f y y y m y y
ga in, which upo n tho ro ugh a na lysis, ha s a high degree o f security fo r the principa l
m y y y m m m m y y m
h) Internet Led Access to Info rma tio n a nd Tra ding: The Internet ha s fa cilita ted y y m y m m m m m
ea sy, lo w co st a nd speedy a ccess to info rma tio n a nd tra ding. It ha s increa sed the
m y y m m y y m y m m m m
fo cus a nd a ttentio n o n sto cks a nd thus increa sed the dema nd fo r sto cks.
y m m y y y m m m y y
i) Ma cro eco no mic Fa cto rs a re the externa l fa cto rs tha t co uld influence investo r’s
m y y y m y m m m y m y y
na tio na l eco no my, such a s inco me, o utput, a nd the interrela tio nship a mo ng diverse
m y m y y m y y m m y m y
view. The Investo rs’ o ptimism is perceived a s ‘no thing ca n go wro ng’ a ttitude y y m y m y y m
k) Perfo rma nce Fa cto r: The o vera ll perfo rma nce o f the India n Eco no my, India n
y m m y y m y m y m y y m
Sto ck Ma rket a nd the Co rpo ra te Wo rld a re identified a s the impo rta nt fa cto rs tha t
y m m y y m y m m y m m y m
l) Psycho lo gica l Fa cto rs include investo rs’ gut feeling, intuitio n, rumo urs a nd
y y m m y y y y m
24
m) Price Cut-Off Rules: Ma ny investo rs feel tha t ‘Price Cut-Off Rules’ pla y a vita l m y m m m m
ro le in sto ck selectio n tho ugh it is a n irra tio na l rule. They include a vo iding sha res
y y y y m m y m m y m
o ) Reta il Investo r
y m y
A Reta il Investo r is a perso n who invests his / her mo ney in the sto ck ma rket a nd
m y m y y y y m m
p) Risk: Investo rs believe tha t higher the risk, higher the return. Seco ndly, investo rs
y m y y
view the sta bility a nd the a ble Go verna nce o f the Go vernment a s a n impo rta nt fa cto r
m m m y m y y m m y m m y
q) Reco mmenda tio n o f the Fina ncia l Co mmunity: Befo re investing in a ny sto ck,
y m y y m m y y m y
the individua l investo rs cra ves fo r mo re info rma tio n a nd reco mmenda tio n fro m the
m y m y y y m y m y m y y
25
THEORTICAL FRAMEWORK OF THE STUDY
The sto ck excha nge pro vides fa cilities fo r listing o f sha res o f co mpa nies a nd
y m y m y y m y y m m
a lso impa rts liquidity to the sha res, so tha t investment is pro mo ted a nd
m y m y m y m y y m
sa vings flo w into investment. Besides, the sto ck ma rket reflects the eco no mic
m y y y m y y
a nd fina ncia l develo pments in the co untry a nd industry a nd is, therefo re, a
m m m y y m m y m
wa tchdo g o f the eco no my. It a lso pro tects the investo r’s interest a nd sa fety
m y y y y m y y y m m
a nd liquidity o f their funds. Erstwhile, the tra ditio na l theo ries such a s Efficient
m y m y m y m
the fina ncia l experts a nd the po licy ma kers a na lyzed investo r beha vio ur.
m m m y m m m y m y
Efficient ma rket theo ry sta tes tha t the ma rket is ca pa ble o f a djusting quickly m y m m m m m y m
a nd efficiently to the new info rma tio n genera ted by the eco no my, industry a nd
m y y m y m y y m
co mpa ny. Under this theo ry, the prices a re determined by ma rket fo rces which
y m y m m y
co stless info rma tio n. These co nditio ns a re o bta ined under a n idea l set up a nd
y y m y y y m y m m m m
prices o f sha res ba sed o n the pa st o r histo rica l trends. As the ma rket is
y m m y m y y m m
a ssumed to be efficient, a ll info rma tio n is quickly a bso rbed in the prices,
m y m y m y m y
a vera ge investo r to ea rn mo re tha n the a vera ge pro fits except by cha nce. The
m m y y m y m m m y m
prices mo ve in a ra ndo m ma nner depending upo n the flo w o f info rma tio n a nd
y m m y m y y y y m y m
26
returns. These theo ries were ba sed o n the fo unda tio n tha t investo rs pa rticipa te y m y y m y m y m m
in the ma rket ra tio na lly a nd co nsider a ll the releva nt info rma tio n in the
m m y m m y m m y m y
rea lity, the ma rket price diverges fro m the intrinsic wo rth frequently. The
m m y y
fa cto rs o f emo tio na l na ture ca nno t be ca ptured by the a ppro a ch o f tra ditio na l
m y y y y m m m y m m y m y m y m
scho o l. Acco rding to Fa ma (1970) the efficient fina ncia l ma rket reflects a ll
y y y y m m m m m m
the a va ila ble info rma tio n in the security prices. The EMH theo ry rules o ut the
m m m y m y y y
po ssibility o f pro fits o r returns in excess o f equilibrium desired return o r pro fit.
y y y y y y y
the ma ke with va st reso urces dedica ted to a na lyzing, picking, a nd tra ding
m m y m y m m m m
the theo ry, the theo ry it turned into a n eno rmo us theo retica l a nd empirica l
y y y m y y y m m m
success a nd, the field o f a ca demics fina nces a nd security a na lysis wa s crea ted
m y m m m m m m m m
o n the ba sis o f the EMH. The tena nts o f the theo ry rests o n the wea ker
y m y m y y y m
securities a re va lued ra tio na lly. The ra tio na l investo rs va lue securities ba sed
m m m y m m y m y m m
o n its funda menta l va lue, the net present va lue (NPV) o f its future ca sh va lues
y m m m m y m m
a nd disco unting the risk cha ra cteristics. As a result, the security price reflects
m y m m m
a ll the a va ila ble info rma tio n a lmo st immedia tely a nd the prices gets a djusted
m m m m y m y m y m m m
co rrespo nding to the net present va lue. Fa ma (1965) identified tha t sto ck
y y y m m m m y
prices indeed a ppro xima tely fo llo w ra ndo m wa lks a nd no systema tic evidence m y m y y m y m m y m
o f pro fita bility with technica l tra ding stra tegies such a s buying sto cks when
y y m m m m m y
their prices ra ise o r selling them when their prices decline. Fa ma (1998) m y m m
27
rea so ned tha t a n efficient ma rket genera tes types o f events tha t individua lly
m y m m m m y m m
suggest tha t prices o ver-rea ct to info rma tio n. But in a n efficient ma rket,
m y m y y m y m m
a ppa rent under-rea ctio n will be a s frequent a s o verrea ctio n. If a no ma lies split
m m m y m m y m y m y m
ra ndo mly between under rea ctio n a nd o verrea ctio n, they a re co nsistent with
m y m y m y m y m y
ma rket efficiency. First, it ca n be seen tha t a n even split between a ppa rent
m m m m m m
a no ma lies. Seco nd, a nd mo re impo rta nt, if the lo ng-term return a no ma lies a re
m y m y m y y m y m y m m
so la rge they ca nno t be a ttributed to cha nce, then a n even split between o ver-
y m m y m y m m y
They tend to beco me ma rgina l o r disa ppea r when expo sed to different mo dels y y m m y m m y y y
fo r expected (no rma l) returns o r when different sta tistica l metho ds a re used to
y y m y m m y m y
mea sure them. Thus, even a na lyzed o ne-by-o ne, mo st lo ng-term return
m m m y y y y
ha rdly test a specific a lterna tive to ma rket efficiency. Simila rly, the
m m m m y m m
a lterna tive hypo thesis is va gue, a nd ma rket inefficient. This is una ccepta ble.
m m y m m m m m
Like a ll mo dels, ma rket efficiency, the hypo thesis tha t prices fully reflect
m y m y m
a va ila ble info rma tio n, is a wro ng descriptio n o f price fo rma tio n. By a do pting
m m m y m y m y y y y m y m y
the sta nda rd scientific rule, Ho wever, ma rket efficiency ca n o nly be repla ced
m m y m m y m
by a better specific mo del o f price fo rma tio n, po tentia lly rejecta ble by a ny
m y y y m y y m m m
empirica l tests. Any a lterna tive mo del ha s a fo rmida ble ta sk. It must specify
m m m y m m y m m
bia ses in info rma tio n pro cessing tha t ca use the sa me investo rs to under-rea ct
m y m y y m m m y y m
28
to so me types o f events a nd o verrea ct to o ther type o f events. The a lterna tive
y y y m y m y y y m m
must a lso expla in the ra nge o f empirica l results better tha n the simple ma rket
m y m m y m m m
efficiency sto ry; tha t is, the expected va lue o f a bno rma l returns is zero , but y m m y m y m y
cha nce genera tes devia tio ns fro m zero , a no ma lies, in bo th directio ns.
m m m y y y m y m y y
Ho wever, the co lla pse o f wo rld’s la rgest fina ncia l institutio ns in USA during
y y m y y m m m y
the fina ncia l crisis in 2008 indica tes tha t the ma rket is inefficient. It is a lso
m m m m m m y
very impo rta nt to no te tha t if the fina ncia l ma rkets a re efficient a nd investo rs y m y y m m m m m m y
a ct ra tio na lly while ta king fina ncia l decisio ns, the va lid questio n rema ins o n
m m y m m m m y m y m y
dura tio n in the equity ma rket. In a dditio n, the pa rticipa tio n o f ra tio na l
m y m m y m m y y m y m
sto ck prices is slo w a nd ra ther detrimenta l. Acco rding to EMH, the reta il
y y m m m y y m
Po sitive a nd nega tive emo tio ns pla y a detrimenta l ro le o n the sto ck ma rket
y m m y y m m m y y y m
perfo rma nce o f the investo r. Nevertheless, emo tio ns o f extreme na ture ca n
y m y y y y y m m
po ssibly trigger irra tio na l decisio n ma king pro cess in the minds o f the
y m y m y m y y
investo rs. It is a lso seen in the fra mewo rk o f EMH, the funda menta l a na lysis
y m y m y y m m m m
o f co mpa ny sto cks is emplo yed to sto ck a ssessment ra ther tha n predicting
y y m y y y y m m m
mo vements a nd technica l a na lysis ca nno t be emplo yed in the future cha nges
y m m m m m y y m
29
extensively emplo y bo th funda menta l a nd technica l a na lysis. Ba sed o n the y y m m m m m m m y
recent resea rch in the field o f Beha vio ura l fina nce a nd Psycho thera py, it is
m y m y m m m y m
fo und tha t emo tio n pla ys a significa nt a nd pivo ta l ro le in eva lua ting the risk
y m y y m m m m y m y m m
a nd returns a nd in ma king fina ncia l decisio ns. The Huma n Emo tio n Theo ry
m m m m m y m y y y
(HUEMO) revisits the tra ditio na l sto ck a na lysis techniques, which a re ba sed m y m y m m m m
o n the funda menta l a nd the technica l va lua tio ns to a ssess the future price level
y m m m m m m y y m
fo r the sto ck. The HUEMO theo ry cha llenges the belief tha t the sto ck ma rket
y y y m m y m
unbia sed ma nner. On co ntra ry, the sto ck investo rs ma ke decisio ns mo stly
m m y m y y m y y
ba sed o n psycho lo gica l fa cto rs, including the mo o ds a nd the emo tio ns. The
m y y y m m y y y m y y
co gnitive perfo rma nce o n decisio n ma king is impa cted by different sta tes o f
y y m y y m m m y
necessa rily ma nifest the underlying intrinsic va lue o f the sto ck; the vo la tility
m m m y y y m
emo tio ns. During the sto ck ma rket bo o m , the o ptimistic a nd co nfident
y y y m y y y m y
emo tio na l sta te drive prices to a stro no mica l va lua tio ns wherea s the investo r
y y m m y m y y m m m y m y
turn pessimistic when ma rket fa lls beyo nd its intrinsic va lue. Thus it is m m y m
understa nda ble in times o f fina ncia l turbulence tha t the emo tio na l investo r
m m y m m m y y m y
o f the sto ck ma rket o ppo rtunities o wning to the nega tive emo tio ns a sso cia ted
y y m y y y y m y y m y m
with recent experiences. Hence, the sto ck investo r with the right a ssessment o f y y m y
the emo tio ns ca n po ssibly predict the price fo rma tio n signa ls a nd ta ke
y y m y y m y m m m
30
31
BEHAVIOURAL FINANCE
Beha vio ura l fina nce is a ra pidly gro wing a rea o f mo dern fina nce tha t studies
m y m m m m y m m y y m m
the influence o f psycho lo gy o n the beha vio ur o f the investo rs. It co mbines y y y y m y y y y
seemingly irra tio na l o r illo gica l decisio ns when they invest mo ney in equity m y m y y m y y
ma rket. Acco rding to Ba rber & Odea n (1999), Beha vio ura l fina nce rela xes
m y y m m m y m m m
the tra ditio na lly held a ssumptio ns o f fina ncia l eco no mics by inco rpo ra ting
m y m m y y m m y y y y m
these o bserva ble, systema tic, a nd very huma n depa rtures fro m ra tio na lity into
y m m m m m y m y m y
sta nda rd mo dels o f fina ncia l ma rkets. The tendency fo r huma n beings to be
m m y y m m m y m y
o verco nfident ca uses the first bia s in investo rs a nd the huma n desire to a vo id
y y m m y m m y m y
regret pro mpts the seco nd. In essence, Beha vio ura l Fina nce seeks to expla in
y y m y m m y m
pa rticipa nts, including the emo tio na l tho ught pro cesses invo lved a nd the
m m y y m y y y m
degree to which they influence the decisio n-ma king pro cess in sto ck ma rket
y y m y y m
investment. Thus, Beha vio ura l fina nce ca n be described a s a field o f fina nce m y m m m m m y m
tha t pro po ses expla na tio n o f sto ck ma rket a no ma lies using identified
m y y m m y y y m m y m
psycho lo gica l bia ses, ra ther tha n dismissing a no ma lies a s cha nce results
y y m m m m m y m m m
co nsistent with the ma rket efficiency hypo thesis. The mo dels o f tra ditio na l
y m y y y m y m
fina nce a re ba sed o n individua l investo r’s ra tio na l decisio n ma king a bility
m m m y m y m y m y m m
witho ut a ny bia ses. Ho wever, in rea lity the investo rs a re influenced by bia ses
y m m y m y m m
which ma rk the devia tio n fro m the desired ra tio na l investment beha vio ur.
m m y y m y m m y
o bserved tha t o ne must experience the ba sic principles o f successful dea ling in
y m y m y m
32
securities thro ugh tra ding in a ctive listed lea ders a nd a cquire the a bility to y m m m m m m y
co ntro l perso na l emo tio ns such a s fea r o f lo ss o r greed fo r a la rger pro fit,
y y y m y y m m y y y y m m y
which a ffect mo st peo ple’s fina ncia l decisio ns. Apa rt fro m the vo la tile sto ck
m y y m m y m y y m y
price mo vements, there ha s been a numero us resea rch indica ting sto ck ma rket
y m m y m m y m
a no ma lies linked with IPOs, Bo nus news, Rights news, mergers, sto ck splits
m y m y y
a nd fo reign listing. Po st libera liza tio n, the increa sed media a nd o nline
m y y m m y m m m y
reco mmending sto cks to buy/sell. It lea ds the investo rs to ta ke a bia sed view
y y y m y y m m m
The a no ma lies, in essence, a re the devia tio n o f the sto ck ma rket fro m its usua l
m y m m m y y y m y m
beha vio ur. Hence, these a no ma lies such a s the Ja nua ry effect, sta rting a nd
m y m y m m m m m m
clo sing da ys o f the week, deriva tive clo sing o f la st Thursda y o f the mo nth
y m y m y y m m y y
indica te tha t the underlying principles o f lo gica l a nd ra tio na l beha vio ur o f the
m m y y m m m y m m y y
a lso ha ve to be studied. Beha vio ura l fina nce pro vides the co rrela tio n o f
m y m y m y m m y y m y y
emo tio na l rea ctio ns with ma rket events a nd indica tes tha t emo tio ns a re the
y y m m y m m m m y y m
ba ckbo ne o f its theo retica l o r co nceptua l fra mewo rk o f the study. Beha vio ura l
m y y y m y y m m y y m y m
fina nce dra ws o n resea rch do ne in the 1970s by the psycho lo gists Da niel
m m y m y y y m
Ka hnema n a nd Amo s Tversky, who demo nstra ted tha t co gnitive erro rs a nd
m m m y y y m m y y m
emo tio na l bia ses ca n impa ct decisio n ma king pro cess in the sto ck ma rket.
y y m m m m y m y y m
Their findings pro vided fina ncia l resea rchers with the psycho lo gica l mo dels y m m m y y m y
& Tha ler (2003) fo und tha t the co ncept o f ra tio na lity is very useful simple
m y m y y m y m
33
a ssumptio n. It is seen tha t when a n a gent receive new info rma tio n in the
m y m m m y m y
ma rket, the investo r insta nta neo usly cha nge o r upda te their preferences,
m y m m y m y m
RETAIL INVESTOR
Reta il investo r is a n individua l investo r who purcha ses sto cks fo r his/her
m y m m y y m y y
cha ra cteristics o f the reta il investo rs a re tha t they tra de in sma ll a mo unts tha n
m m y m y m m m m m y m
the institutio na l investo rs such a s ba nks, mutua l fund, insura nce fund a nd y m y m m m m m
pensio n fund. The institutio na l investo rs enga ge in huge blo ck tra des which
y y m y m y m
significa ntly a ffect the price o f the security a nd the directio n o f the ma rket.
m m y m y y m
a na lyze a nd eva lua te the va rio us fina ncia l instruments a nd va rio us investment
m m m m m m y m m m m y
o ppo rtunities. They sta nd a better cha nce to ma ximize returns a nd minimizing
y y m m m y m m
the risk. On co ntra ry, the individua l investo r, ba rring these o ppo rtunities, y m m y m y y
subjected to co gnitive erro rs a nd bia ses while ma king the fina ncia l decisio ns y y y m m m m m y
in the sto ck ma rket. The presence o f the individua l investo r ha s been stea dily
y m y m y m m
gro wing in India since the intro ductio n o f fina ncia l refo rms in the ea rly
y m y y y m m y m
fina ncia l sca ms a nd recessio n times. With the a dvent o f info rma tio n
m m m m y m y y m y
34
REVIEW OF
LITERATURE
35
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
The impa ct o f COVID‐19 o n the fina ncia l ma rket a s well a s the sto ck ma rket
m y y m m m m m y m
eco no mies. Existing litera ture fo und diverse results in these rega rds. Ozili a nd
y y m y m m
dista ncing po licy tha t wa s a do pted to prevent the sprea d o f the Co ro na virus,
m y m m m y y m y y y m
ba sed o n fo ur co ntinents: No rth America , Africa , Asia , a nd Euro pe. The study
m y y y y m m m m y
fo und tha t 30 da ys o f so cia l dista ncing po licy o r lo ckdo wn hurts the eco no my
y m m y y m m y y y y y y
thro ugh its nega tive impa ct o n sto ck prices. Azimili (2020), a lso resea rched o n
y m m y y m y m y
return dependence in the United Sta tes using qua ntile regressio n. The results m m y
indica te tha t fo llo wing the COVID‐19 o utbrea k the degree o f dependence
m m y y y m y
between returns a nd ma rket po rtfo lio ha s ra ised in the higher qua ntiles tha t m m y y y m m m m
lo wering the benefits o f diversifica tio n. The a utho r a lso studied the GSIC a nd
y y m y m y m y m
sto ck return rela tio nship a nd fo und tha t the GSIC return rela tio nship revea led
y m y m y m m y m
a na lyze the no nlinea r beha vio r o f the fina ncia l ma rket o f the United Sta tes,
m m y m m y y m m m y m
GARCH mo del. The study co nfirmed tha t COVID‐19 ha rm the sto ck returns y y m m y
o f the S&P 500. Ho wever, it revea led a n inco nsequentia l impa ct o n the
y y m m y m m y
the rela tio nship between COVID‐19 rela ted news a nd sto ck ma rket returns
m y m m y m
36
a cro ss the to pmo st a ffected co untries. By emplo ying a pa nel qua ntile
m y y y m y y m m m
regressio n this study fo und tha t the sto ck ma rket presents a symmetry
y y m y m m
dependence o n COVID‐19 rela ted info rma tio n. Osa gie et a l. (2020) by y m y m y m m
a pplying qua dra tic GARCH a nd expo nentia l GARCH mo dels with dummy
m m m m y m y
va ria bles fo und tha t the COVID‐19 hurts the sto ck returns in Nigeria a nd
m m y m y m m
reco mmended tha t a sta ble po litica l enviro nment, incentive to indigeno us
y m m m y m y y y
co mpa nies, diversifica tio n o f eco no my, a nd flexible excha nge ra te regime be
y m m y y y y m m m
implemented to impro ve the fina ncia l ma rket. Ba ker (2020), in his study, y y m m m m
fo und tha t there is a dra ma tic fa ll in o il prices by 70–80%. It is severe tha n the
y m m m m m y m
fina ncia l crisis o f 2008/2009. This is a serio us issue fo r the eco no my a s the
m m y m y y y y m
deprecia ted excha nge ra te, tha t is, 20% a nd the fa ll in o il prices, tha t is, 70–
m m m m m m y m
80%. Acco rding to Herrero (2020), the third wa ve o f the COVID‐19 pa ndemic
y y y m y m
This unprecedented sho ck increa ses the risk‐a verse na ture which increa ses the y m m m m
fina ncia l co st. La tin America is a ffected wo rst beca use o f its much
m m y m m m y m y
dependency o n externa l fina ncing. Due to the restrictio n o n tra nspo rt, expo rt y m m y y y m y y
study o n the sto ck ma rket o f So uth Ko rea , a no ther lea ding co untry o f the
y y m y y y m m y m y y
Ja nua ry, impro ved in Februa ry, then a ga in dipped do wn in Ma rch a nd June.
m m y m m m y m m
37
The co untry's expo rt vo lume ha s co me do wn to 11.2% po int in co mpa riso n to
y y y m y y y y y m y y
the previo us yea r. To pcu a nd Gula l (2020) ha ve ma de regio na l cla ssifica tio n
y m y m m m m y m m m y
o f the impa ct o f COVID‐19 o n the sto ck ma rket o f emerging eco no my. Their
y m y y y m y y y
findings revea l tha t the impa ct o f the o utbrea k ha s been the highest in Asia n m m m y y m m m
lo west. The emerging ma rket eco no mies fa ce a credit crunch, a lso referred to
y m y y m m m y y
a s ca pita l flo ws (Ahmed et a l., 2020). Go ldberg a nd Reed (2020) discussed the
m m m y m y m
Fra nkel (2020) a na lyzed the eco no mic effect o f the pa ndemic o n the emerging
m m m y y y m y
Ra m (2020) in his study ha s fo und tha t COVID‐19 cra shes the entire glo ba l
m m y m m y m
sha re. India n sto ck ma rket a lso experienced sha rp vo la tility due to the
m m y m m y m y m y
co lla pse o f the glo ba l fina ncia l ma rket. Aga in fa ll in fo reign po rtfo lio
y m y y m m m m m m y y y y
investments a lso reduces the return o f the India n sto ck ma rket. By a na lyzing
m y y m y m m m
reco very o f the India n sto ck ma rket a nd co ncluded tha t the eco no mist ca nno t
y y m y m m y m y y m y
predict the reco very o f the eco no my until a sta ble public hea lth system. Ra vi y y y y m m m m
the India n sto ck ma rket. His findings revea led tha t befo re COVID‐19, tha t is,
m y m m m y m
a t the beginning o f Ja nua ry, tra de o f NSE a nd BSE were a t their highest levels
m y m m m y m m
38
hitting pea ks o f 12,362 a nd 42,273, respectively sho wing fa vo ra ble sto ck m y m y m y m y
ma rket co nditio ns. After the o utbrea k o f the COVID‐19, the sto ck ma rket
m y y y m y y m
27.31% lo ss o f the to ta l sto ck ma rket fro m the beginning o f this yea r. The
y y y m y m y y m
been dro pped by mo re tha n 40% due to tra nspo rt restrictio ns. Ma nda l (2020)
y y m y m y y m m
ha s rigo ro usly a na lyzed the a go ny o f the dea dly pa ndemic o n the India n sto ck
m y y m m m y y m m y m y
ma rket. Findings revea l tha t BSE Sensex ha s witnessed the biggest single‐da y
m m m m m
fa ll o f 13.2% tha t ha s surpa ssed the infa mo us fa ll o f April 28, 1992. Nifty
m y m m m m y m y
a lso ha s a steep dive o f 29%, o verta king the disa ster o f 1992. As peo ple ha ve
m y m m y y m m y y m
co mpressed their co nsumptio n o nly to necessa ry pro ducts o nly the FMCG
y y y y y m y y
There is va rio us litera ture a va ila ble o n the impa ct o f COVID‐19 o n differentm y m m m m y m y y
secto rs such a s hea lth, a griculture, industry, tra de, a nd co mmerce, but a
y m m m m m y m
limited specific study ha s been co nducted o n its impa ct o n the sto ck ma rket o f m y y m y y m y
the emerging eco no my. The sto ck ma rket pla ys a n impo rta nt ro le in the y y y m m m y m y
eco no my. As India is o ne o f the do mina nt pa rts o f the emerging eco no my, this
y y m y y y m m y y y
pa per tries to interpret the impa ct o f COVID‐19 o n the India n sto ck ma rket.
m y m y y m y m
GJR GARCH is a n efficient mo del to test the vo la tility o f BSE a nd NSE, the m y y y m y m
two ma jo r sto ck ma rket o f India . Besides, there a re very few litera ture tha t
y m y y m y m m m m
co mpa res the return o f the sto ck ma rket befo re a nd during the COVID‐19
y m y y m y m
39
situa tio n. Acco rdingly, o ur study ha s a lso ma de a n a ttempt to co mpa re the
m y y y m m y m m m y y m
returns o f bo th the sto ck ma rket co nsidering tho se two mentio ned time fra mes.
y y y m y y y y m
In o rder to understa nd the Investo rs’ Sentiments a nd to fo rmula te the resea rch
y y m y m y y m m
pro blem fo r investiga tio n, reviewing the ea rlier studies is necessa ry. The
y y m y m m
review embo dies empirica l studies in bo o ks, jo urna ls a nd published resea rch y m y y y m m m
pa pers.
m
herds, while they o nly reco ver their senses slo wly, a nd o ne by o ne. y y y m y y
Westerfield (1969), investiga ted the individua l fina ncia l investment decisio n. m m m m y
The study used Ma sko witz /Sha rpe Linea r Po rtfo lio Mo del to describe a nd m y m m y y y y y m
eva lua te the sa lient a spects o f the Individua l investment decisio n. The study
m m m m y m y
no n-ma ture investo rs with respect to risk perfo rma nce.2 Po tter Ro ger Ewing
y m y y y m y y
(1970), ca rried o ut a study entitled, “Mo tiva ting Fa cto rs Guiding the
m y m y m m y
guide the investment decisio ns o f the co mmo n sto ck investo rs. Tho se y y y y y y y
investment ma na gement. m m
The study entitled, “Pa tterns o f Investment Stra tegy a nd Beha vio ur a mo ng m y m m m y m y
Individua l Investo rs”, by Lewellen Wilbur G, et.a l (1977), exa mined the
m y m m
40
po rtfo lio decisio n pro cesses o f individua l equity investo rs. The study fo und
y y y y y y m y y
pro pensities were fo und to be inversely rela ted. The wo men investo rs in USA
y y y m y y
Da vid S. Scha rfstein a nd Jeremy C. Stein (1990), in their a rticle titled, “Herd
m m m m
herd beha vio ur in investment. The study fo und tha t under certa in m y y m m
circumsta nces, the ma na gers simply mimic the investment decisio ns o f o ther
m m m y y y
ma na gers, igno ring substa ntive priva te info rma tio n. Altho ugh this beha vio ur
m m y m m y m y y m y
is inefficient fro m a so cia l sta ndpo int,, it ca n be ra tio na l fro m the perspective y m y m m y m m y m y
Individua l Investo r Beha vio r: The Ca se o f The Greek Sto ck Excha nge”,
m y m y m y y m
individua l investo r beha vio r in the Greek Sto ck Excha nge. The study revea led
m y m y y m m
tha t the individua l beha vio r o f a ctive investo rs in the Athens Sto ck Excha nge
m m m y y m y y m
(ASE) wa s influenced by the o vera ll trends preva iling a t the time o f the survey
m y m m m y
in the ASE.
An a rticle entitled, “An Exa mina tio n o f Herd Beha vio r in Equity Ma rkets:
m m m y y m y m
An Interna tio na l Perspective”, a utho red by Eric C. Cha ng, Jo seph W. Cheng m y m m y m y
41
a nd Aja y Kho ra na (2000) exa mined the investment beha vio r o f ma rket
m m y m m m m y y m
So uth Ko rea , a nd Ta iwa n, specifica lly with rega rd to their tendency to exhibit
y y m m m m m m y y
evidence o f herding. y
Freund, Ca ro line L. a nd Weinho ld, Dia na (2001), in their pa per entitled, “On
m y m y m m m
the Effect o f the Internet o n Interna tio na l Tra de”, fo und tha t the effect o fy y m y m m y m y
co untries, a nd tha t there is little evidence tha t the Internet ha s reduced the
y m m m m
Bra d M Ba rber a nd Terra nce Odea n (2001), in their pa per titled, “The
m m m m m m
Internet a nd the Investo r”, fo und tha t the internet ha s cha nged the pro cess
m y y m m m y
investo rs ca n a ct o n tha t info rma tio n. The ILA ha s lo wered bo th the fixed a nd
y m m y m y m y m y y m
ma rgina l co sts o f pro ducing fina ncia l services, thus ena bling newer, sma ller
m m y y y m m m m
co mpa nies to cha llenge the esta blished pro viders o f these services.
y m y m m y y
An a rticle entitled, “Investo rs’ Herding o n the To kyo Sto ck Excha nge,” by
m y y y y y m
va rio us investo rs’ cla sses o n the To kyo Sto ck Excha nge. The mo ney-flo w
m y y m y y y y m y y
instruments a llo w the sepa ra tio n o f the mea surement o f sentiment fro m m y m m y y m y y
42
Krishna n a nd Bo o ker (2002) in their pa per entitled, “Investo rs’ Use o f
m m y y m y y
Ana lysts’ Reco mmenda tio ns, Beha vio ur Resea rch in Acco unting”,
m y m y m y m y
a na lyzed the fa cto rs influencing the decisio ns o f investo rs who ba sica lly used
m m m y y y y y m m
a sto ck.
m y
The a rticle entitled, “Ra tio na l Investo r Sentiment”, by Gerber, Anke, Vo gt,
m m y m y y
bea uty co ntest. In their mo del, neither ha ve expla ined sho rt-term mo mentum
m y y m m y y
“Expected Utility Ana lysis witho ut the Independent Axio m”, fo und tha t the m y y y m
sto ck ma rket returns were significa ntly co rrela ted with infla tio n a nd mo ney
y m m y m m y m y
gro wth. The impa ct o f rea l ma cro eco no mic va ria bles o n a ggrega te equity
y m y m m y y y m m y m m
Alo k Kuma r a nd Cha rles Lee (2003), in their a rticle entitled, “Reta il Investo r
y m m m m m y
tra nsa ctio ns ma de by reta il investo rs were systema tica lly co rrela ted − i.e.,
m m y m m y m m y m
individua ls buy (o r sell) sto cks in co ncert. As predicted by no ise tra der m y y y y m
mo dels, it is fo und tha t systema tic reta il tra ding expla ins return co mo vements
y y m m m m m y y
fo r sto cks with high reta il co ncentra tio n (i.e., sma ll-ca p, va lue, lo wer
y y m y m y m m m y
43
Rya n Wo o d A a nd Judith Lynne Za ichko wsky B (2004), in their study
m y y m m y
entitled, “Attitudes a nd Tra ding Beha vio ur o f Sto ck Ma rket Investo rs”, m m m y y y m y
sha red investing a ttitudes a nd beha vio r. Five ma in co nstructs tha t drive
m m m m y m y m
individua l investo rs, na mely, Risk – Into lera nt Tra ders, Co nfident Tra ders,
m y m y m m y m
The pa per entitled, “Beha vio ra l Fina nce: Is Investo r Irra tio na lity the
m m y m m y m y m
No rm?”, by Sha ila ja Ga jja la (2005), identified investment bia ses po ssessed
y m m m m m m m y
by reta il investo rs. The study fo und tha t 90 % o f the sa mple repo rted tha t their
m y y m y m y m
Fina lly, the study fo und the evidence o f reta il investment bia ses tha t lend
m y y m m m
Lo ng-run Underperfo rma nce o f New Issues”, expla ined tha t pro xies fo r
y y m y m m y y
investo r sentiment predict the lo ng-run underperfo rma nce o f new issues a nd
y y y m y m
the vo lume o f equity issua nce. The pa per suggested tha t the a sset pricing
y y m m m m
mo dels tha t expla in underperfo rma nce ha ve risk fa cto rs tha t a re a lso pro xy
y m m y m m m y m m m y y
Fa ma a nd French (1993) a re co rrela ted with these study sentiment pro xies.
m m m m y m y
44
An a rticle entitled, “Fa cto rs influencing Individua l Investo r Beha vio ur: An
m m y m y m y
Empirica l Study o f the UAE Fina ncia l Ma rkets”, by Hussein A Ha ssa n eta l
m y m m m m m m
(2006), identified the fa cto rs influencing the UAE investo r beha vio ur. Six m y y m y
beha vio ur. The mo st influencing fa cto rs were expected co rpo ra te ea rnings, get
m y y m y y y m m
rich quick, pa st perfo rma nce o f the firm’s sto ck. On the o ther ha nd, few
m y m y y y m
fa cto rs like expected lo sses in interna tio na l fina ncia l ma rkets, fa mily member
m y y m y m m m m m
Prices”, exa mined whether investo r sentiment a bo ut the sto ck ma rket a ffects
m y m y y m m
prices o f the S&P 500 o ptio ns. It wa s fo und tha t the index o ptio n vo la tility
y y y m y m y y y m
smile is steeper (fla tter) a nd the risk-neutra l skewness o f mo nthly index return m m m y y
is mo re o r (less) nega tive when ma rket sentiment beco mes mo re bea rish
y y m m y y m
(bullish). The cha nges in sentiment expla in time va ria tio n in the slo pe o f index
m m m m y y y
current mo dels. y
Empirica l Study”, by Gna na Desiga n C. et.a l., (2006), exa mined the
m m m m m m
investo rs in Ero de To wn. Acco rding to the findings o f the study, wo men
y y y y y y y
45
To to k Sugiha rto , Eno L. Ina nga a nd Ro y Sembel (2007), in their study, “A
y y m y y m m m y
Ja ka rta Sto ck Excha nge”, studied the investment pra ctices a nd perceptio ns
m m m y m m m y
by ma jo r po rtfo lio investo rs (fund ma na gers) who were a ctive a t the Ja ka rta
m y y y y y m m y m m m m m
Sto ck Excha nge (JSX) in Indo nesia . The study o bserved tha t the So cia l,
y m y m y m y m
Po litica l, Eco no mic, Regula to ry, Techno lo gica l, Enviro nmenta l a nd Lega l
y m y y m y y y m y m m m
(2008), exa mined whether ma rket-wide investo r sentiment influences the sto ck m m y y
price respo nse to firm-specific news. The results indica te tha t the preva ilingy y m m m
sentiment swa ys sto ck price respo nse to news in the directio n o f the sentiment m y y y y y
—the po sitive sto ck price respo nse to go o d news a nd increa se with sentiment,
y y y y y y m m
wherea s the nega tive sto ck price respo nse to ba d news a nd decrea se with
m m y y y m m m
sentiment.
Ma tthia s Burgha rdt, Ma rcel Czink, a nd Rya n Rio rda n (2008) in their a rticle
m m m m m m y m m
reta il investo r sentiment index using a unique da ta set with 18.1 millio n
m y m m m y
tra nsa ctio ns in ba nk issued wa rra nts fro m the Euro pea n Wa rra nt Excha nge.
m m y m m m y y m m m m
The study sho wed tha t reta il investo r sentiment is a n impo rta nt pa rt o f the y m m y m y m m y
equity pricing pro cess a nd tha t they ha ve a go o d mea sure o f the sentiment. y m m m m y y m y
46
The a rticle entitled, “The Effects o f Investo r Sentiment o n Specula tive
m y y y m
po sitively rela ted to investo r sentiment, while hedging dema nd is inva ria nt to
y m y y m m m y
sentiment. It is fo und tha t sentiment is rela ted to time-series va ria tio n in the y m m y m m y
slo pe o f the implied vo la tility smile o f sto ck o ptio ns, but ha s little impa ct o n
y y y m y y y y m m y
Gla ser, Ma rkus, Schmitz, Philipp a nd Weber, Ma rtin (2009), in their study
m m m m
sentiment wa s rela ted to da ily sto ck returns by using vecto r a uto regressive m m y m y y m y
The study fo und o ut tha t there exists a mutua l influence between sentiment y y m m m
a nd sto ck ma rket returns, but o nly in the very sho rt-run (o ne a nd two tra ding
m y m y y y m y m
da ys).
m
Beha vio ur”, by Ma dhurima Deb a nd Ka vita Cha va li (2009), eva lua ted the
m y m m m m m m m m m
gender differences in investment decisio ns. Sixteen va ria bles were identified in y m m
a verse tha n men in their investment stra tegies. Wo men sta rt investing la te in
m m m y m m
their a ge co mpa red to their co unterpa rt a nd they expect sta ble gro wth in their
m y m y y m m m y
investment.
47
Micha el Lemmo n a nd So phie Xia o ya n Ni (2009), in their pa per titled, “The
m y m y m y m m
a nd Index Optio ns”, fo und tha t the synthetic sto ck dema nd fo r sto ck o ptio ns
m y y m y m y y y y
Alexa nder Kuro v (2009), in his a rticle entitled, “Investo r Sentiment a nd the
m y m y m
Sto ck Ma rket’s Rea ctio n to Mo neta ry Po licy”, sho wed tha t the mo neta ry
y m m y y y m y y m y m
ma rket). The results sho w tha t the investo r sentiment pla ys a significa nt ro le
m y m y m m m y
o ver the intermedia te a nd lo ng term. The study suggested tha t sma rt investo rs
y m m y m m y
sho uld tra de o n the info rma tio n co nveyed by such indica to rs a nd thus
y m y y m y y m y m
McLea n a nd Mengxin Zha o (2010), studied the effects o f systema tic investo r
m m m y y m y
48
co nsistent with a sentiment-co stly, externa l fina ncing fra mewo rk in which
y m y m m m y
Billett, Zha n Jia ng a nd Lo po L. Rego (2010), explo red the link between
m m m y y y y
sto cks. The study fo und tha t a po rtfo lio o f sto cks with gla mo ro us bra nds,
y y m m y y y y y m y y m
indica ting high custo mer sentiment, ha ve la rge nega tive lo a dings o n the Fa ma
m y m m m y m y m m
ma rkets. The study exa mined the influence o f investo r sentiment o n the
m m y y y
pro ba bility o f sto ck ma rket crises. It is fo und tha t the investo r sentiment
y m y y m y m y
increa ses the pro ba bility o f o ccurrence o f sto ck ma rket crises within a o ne-
m y m y y y y m m y
yea r ho rizo n. m y y
to wa rds Investing in Equity Sto cks: A Study in Utta r Pra desh”, identified
y m y m m
the fa cto rs influencing the reta il investo r’s a ttitude. The to p five highly
m y m y m y
influentia l fa cto rs were investo rs’ to lera nce fo r risk, strength o f the India n
m m y y y m y y m
Eco no my, media fo cus o n the sto ck ma rket, po litica l sta bility a nd fina lly
y y m y y y m y m m m m
49
Go vernment Po licy to wa rds business. The fo ur o ther fa cto rs like sto ries o f
y y y m y y m y y y
successful investo rs; get rich quick philo so phy, info rma tio n a va ila ble o n the y y y y m y m m m y
Influencing the Sto ck Selectio n Decisio n”, a na lysed the investo rs’ y y y m m y
Enviro nmenta l a nd Lega l (SPERTEL) risks o n the va lue o f equity sha res in
y m m m y m y m
the ma rket. It wa s fo und tha t except the so cia l fa cto rs between ma rried a nd
m m y m y m m y m m
unma rried investo rs, po litica l, regula to ry a nd lega l fa cto rs fo r a ge, o ccupa tio n
m y y m m y m m m y y m y m y
demo gra phic fa cto rs. The fa cto rs tha t influenced the sto ck selectio n decisio n
y m m y m y m y y y
The pa per entitled, “The Influence o f Sto ck Specific Fa cto rs o n Investo rs’
m y y m y y y
(2011), co ncluded tha t the Sto ck Specific Fa cto rs na mely expected events
y m y m y m
surro unding the sto ck a nd bo o k va lue, reco mmenda tio n o f the fina ncia l
y y m y y m y m y y m m
Sentiment.
50
mo dels, a na lyzing to o ls, co ping stra tegies a nd o utco mes o f sentiment. Fro m
y m m y y y m m y y y y
the reviews, it is fo und tha t there is a po sitive rela tio nship between Sto ck
y m m y m y y
Specific Fa cto rs, Ma rket Specific Fa cto rs a nd Investo rs’ Sentiment. This
m y m m y m y
review o f the litera ture pro vided a n impo rta nt mo del a nd va rio us sub mo dels
y m y m y m y m m y y
fo r this study.
y
51
OBJECTIVES OF STUDY
52
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
Prima ry Objectivesm
To study the preference o f sa la ried cla ss o n va rio us investment o ptio ns a va ila ble in
y y m m m y m y y y m m m
Luckno w City. y
To identify the preferred so urces o f info rma tio n influencing investment decisio ns.
y y y y m y y
To understa nd the risk to lera nce level o f the investo rs a nd suggest a suita ble
y m y m y y m m m
po rtfo lio .
y y y
53
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
54
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Intro ductio n: y y
ma rket. m
Definitio n: y
“Resea rch is ca reful inquiry o r exa mina tio n to disco ver new
m m y m m y y y
kno wledge.” y
Resea rch a lwa ys sta rts with questio n o r a ny pro blem a nd finds a nswer
m m m m y y m y m m
“Resea rch design is the pla n structure a nd stra tegy if investiga tio n
m m m m m y
va ria nce” m m
A resea rch design is the ma ster pla n o r mo del fo r the co nduct o f fo rma l
m m m y y y y y y m
a cquiring the info rma tio n needs fo r so lving the pro blem. It decides the so urce
m y m y y y y y
o f info rma tio n a nd metho ds fo r ga thering the da ta . A questio nna ire a nd o ther
y y m y m y y m m m y m m y
55
u
v
i
h
c
s
e
y
t
a
r
o
l
p
x
N
G
I
D
H
C
A
S
E
R In the resea rch study there is no perfect study to so lve the pro blem. The
m
m
y
m
m m
y m
y
m
y y
y y
y
y
56
Descriptive resea rch, a lso kno wn a s sta tistica l resea rch. It describes m m y y m m m m
Descriptive resea rch a nswers the questio ns who , wha t, where, when m m y y m
ca lcula tio ns. Often the best a ppro a ch, prio r to writing descriptive resea rch, is
m m y m y m y y m
to co nduct a survey investiga tio n. Qua lita tive resea rch o ften ha s the a im o f
y y m m y m m m y m m y
descriptio n a nd resea rchers ma y fo llo w-up with exa mina tio ns o f why the
y m m m y y m m y y
o bserva tio ns exist a nd wha t the implica tio ns o f the findings a re.
y m y m m m y y m
a nd studied.
m
Da ta Co llectio n Metho d:
m m y y y
Da ta co llectio n usua lly ta kes pla ce ea rly o n in a n impro vement pro ject,
m m y y m m m m y m y y
a nd is o ften fo rma lized thro ugh a da ta co llectio n pla n which o ften co nta ins
m y y m y m m m y y m y y m
Prima ry Da ta m m m
Seco nda ry Da ta y m m m
Prima ry Da ta : m m m
57
Prima ry da ta mea ns da ta co llected directly fro m first-ha nd experience.
m m m m m m y y m
Mea ns da ta co llected fo r the first time by a ny resea rcher fo r a ny resea rch use.
m m m y y m m y m m
metho ds include:y
Interviews metho d y
Ca se-studies metho d m y
fo r the study.
y
Seco nda ry Da ta :
y m m m
pa rticula r resea rch purpo se a nd which a re used by o thers fo r different purpo se.
m m m y m m y y y
Sa mpling Pla n: m m
58
“Sa mpling is the pro cess to a na lyze the who le po pula tio n
m y y m m y y m y
by a na lyzing a pa rt o f it.”
m m m m y
The effectiveness o f the repo rt depends o n the sa mple size selected fro m
y y y m y
Sa mpling Unit:
m
investo rs, ea ch sa mple ha s the cha nce to be selected o n a n equa l ba sis & this
y m m m m y y m m m
resea rch ha s been co nducted thro ugh surveying the who le o f the equity ma rket
m m y y y y m
o f Luckno w city
y y
Da ta a na lysis to o ls:
m m m m y y
59
I ha ve used SPSS so ftwa re (Sta tistica l Pa cka ge fo r the So cia l Sciences)
m y m m m m m y y m
Ta bula tio n, Gra phica l representa tio n & interpreta tio n with ea ch
m m y m m m y m y m
da ta . m m
60
PROBLEMS AND LIMITATIONS
61
LIMITATIONS
Respo ndents might ha ve felt hesita tio n in pro viding info rma tio n rela ted to
y m m y y y m y m y
beca use o f unwillingness o f respo ndents to give right info rma tio n.
m y y y y y m y
is very sma ll in pro po rtio n to po pula tio n due to time a nd co st co nstra ints.
m y y y y y m y y m y y m
62
DATA ANALYSIS
&
INTERPRETATIONS
63
DATA ANALYSIS & INTERPRETATION
Que. 1. Do yo u investing in Equity Ma rket?
y y m
[ ] Yes
[ ] No y
Pa rticula rs
m m Investing Percenta ge
m
No y 56 32%
To ta l
y m 175 100%
64
Investing In Equity Market
( In Percentage)
36% Yes
No
68%
Interpreta tio n: m y
65
Que. 2. If yo u wa nt to invest, which investment o ptio n will pro vide the best
y m y y y y
returns?
[ ] Equity Sha re m
[ ] IPO
[ ] Mutua l Funds m
[ ] Bo ndsy
[ ] If a ny o ther _________
m y
IPO 18%
Mutua l Funds m 8%
Bo nds y 7%
Other 10%
66
Interpreta tio n: m y
Acco rding to 53% o f investo rs, Equity ma rket will pro vide the best returns
y y y y m y
18% o f investo rs believe tha t IPO (Prima ry Ma rket) will pro vide the best
y y m m m y
returns.
8% o f investo rs think tha t Mutua l Funds will pro vide the best returns.
y y m m y
7% o f investo rs believe tha t Bo nds Ma rket will pro vide the best returns.
y y m y m y
4% o f investo rs trust tha t Fixed Depo sits will pro vide the best returns.
y y m y y
Acco rding to 10% o f investo rs, o ther investment o ptio n will pro vide the
y y y y y y y y
best returns.
Insura nce m
67
Que.3. Which fa cto rs mo tiva te yo u fo r investing in Equity Ma rket?
m y y m y y m
[ ] Return
[ ] Liquidity
[ ] Sa fety
m
[ ] Other _____________
Return 49%
Liquidity 26%
Sa fety
m 7%
Other 1%
68
Interpreta tio n: m y
Equity ma rket. m
69
Que. 4. Ho w much percenta ge o f yo ur inco me yo u invest in
y m y y y y
Equity Ma rket? m
[ ] Less tha n 5% m
[ ] 5%-10%
[ ] 10%-15%
[ ] 15%-20%
[ ] 20%- 25%
[ ] Mo re tha n 25%
y m
5%-10% 45%
10%-15% 17%
15%-20% 7%
20%- 25% 5%
Mo re tha n 25% y m 3%
Interpreta tio n: m y
23% o f the investo rs a re investing Less tha n 5% o f their inco me in Equity Ma rket.
y y m m y y m
70
5% o f the investo rs a re investing 20%-25% o f their inco me in Equity Ma rket.
y y m y y m
Ma rket.
m
[ ] Intra da y m m
[ ] Delivery
[ ] Specula tio n m y
[ ] Arbitra gers m
[ ] Hedging
Intra da y m m 13%
Delivery 31%
Hedging 11%
Other 2%
71
Investors are Trade in
Equity Market
(Investors in Percentage)
2%
11% 13%
Intraday
Delivery
17% Speculation
Arbitragers
Hedging
31%
Other
26%
Interpreta tio n: m y
tra ding in sha res when co mpa red to da y tra ding. Delivery ba sed tra ding
m m y m y m m m m
invo lves buying sha res o n a ma rket da y a nd selling them o nly a fter receiving
y m y m m m m y m
a vera ge risk in return fo r a higher-tha n-a vera ge pro fit po tentia l in future.
m m y m m m m y y m
72
Specula to rs a im prima rily a t quick pro fit fro m a sho rt-term a cquisitio n o f
m y m m m y y m y m y y
a ssets.”
m
73
Que.6. Wha t is the time ho rizo n fo r investing in Equity Ma rket?
m y y y m
[ ] 1 to 3 Mo nths
y y
[ ] 3 to 6 Mo nths
y y
[ ] 6 to 12 Mo nths
y y
[ ] Mo re tha n 12 Mo nths
y m y
1 to 3 Mo nths
y y 28%
3 to 6 Mo nths
y y 15%
6 to 12 Mo nths y y 18%
Mo re tha n 12 Mo nths
y m y 25%
74
Interpreta tio n: m y
28% of
y investo rs y invest in Equity ma rket
m fo r
y the perio d
y of
y
1 to 3 Mo nths.
y y
75
Que.7. Wha t is the ra te o f return expected by yo u fro m Equity Ma rket
m m y y y m in a m
yea r?
m
[ ] 5% – 10 %
[ ] 10% – 15 %
[ ] 15% – 20%
[ ] 20% – 25%
[ ] 25% –30%
[ ] 30% a nd a bo ve
m m y
Ra te o f Return
m y Investo rs in Percenta ge
y m
5% – 10 % 12%
10% – 15 % 18%
25% –30% 8%
30% a nd a bo ve
m m y 4%
4% 12%
8%
Rate of Return
5% – 10 %
18% 10% – 15 %
20% – 25%
25% –30%
32%
76
Interpreta tio n: m y
ma rket.
m
ma rket.
m
77
Que.8. Are yo u sa tisfied with the current perfo rma nce o f the Equity Ma rket in
y m y m y m
[ ] Fully Sa tisfied m
[ ] Sa tisfied
m
[ ] Neutra l m
[ ] Unsa tisfied m
Ra te o f Return
m y No . o f Investo rs
y y y Percenta ge
m
Sa tisfied m 73 42%
Neutra l m 49 28%
To ta l y m 175 100%
78
Investors satisfaction level
From Equity Market
(Investors in Numers)(Total 175)
80 73
70
60
49
50
40
30
30
20 18
10 5
0
Fully Satisfied Satisfied Neutral Unsatisfied Fully Unsatisfied
Interpreta tio n: m y
30 investo rs y a re
m Fully Sa tisfied
m fro m y current perfo rma nce
y m of
y
Equity ma rket.
m
79
Que. 9. Who a dvise yo u to enter in Equity Ma rket?
y m y y m
[ ] Friends
[ ] Rela tives m
[ ] Advisers
[ ] Media m
[ ] Ma ga zines
m m
[ ] If a ny o ther ___________
m y
Pa rticula rs
m m Investo rs in Percenta ge
y m
Friends 28%
Advisers 25%
Media m 17%
Ma ga zines m m 5%
Other 3%
80
Investor's Referance for enter into
Equity Market
(Investors in Percentage)
5% 3%
Friends
10% 28%
Relatives
Advisers
Media
17% Research Report
Magazines
12%
Other
25%
Interpreta tio n: m y
Friends mo tiva te 28% o f the investo rs to enter into the equity ma rket.
y m y y y y m
Rela tives mo tiva te 12% o f the investo rs to enter into the equity ma rket.
m y m y y y y m
Adviso r. y
Media mo tiva te 17% o f the investo rs to enter into the equity ma rket.
m y m y y y y m
Ma ga zines mo tiva te 10% o f the investo rs to enter into the equity ma rket.
m m y m y y y y m
ma rket.
m
81
Que.10. Which Fa cto rs do yo u co nsider mo st impo rta nt while selecting the
m y y y y y y m
Secto rs? y
[ ] Ma rket Trend m
[ ] Industry Co nditio n y y
[ ] Go vernment Po licy
y y
under Secto rs y
Go vernment Po licy
y y 5%
Any Other 1%
82
Factors Consider by Investors
while selecting sector
5% 1%
(Investors in Percentage)
12% Market Trend
29% Profitability
Economic Condition
Industry Condition
16%
Existence of well established
Companies under Sectors
Government Policy
14% 23% Any Other
Interpreta tio n: m y
Co mpa nies under Secto rs a s a mo st impo rta nt fa cto r while selecting the
y m y m m y y m m y
Secto r. y
Glo ba l Po sitio n o f the co mpa ny a nd etc. impo rta nt fa cto r while selecting
y m y y y y m m y m m y
the Secto r. y
83
Que.11. Which Secto rs do yo u prefer the mo st? y y y y
Ba nking Secto rm y
IT Secto r y
Secto rs y
1 2 3 4 5 To ta l
y m
Ba nking Secto r
m y 26 24 53 42 30 175
IT Secto r y 20 40 47 35 33 175
84
100% 20
26 35 1st Rank
44 37
90%
80% 24 40
32 30 2nd Rank
70% 30
60% 53 28 3rd Rank
47 33
50% 49
40% 28 4th Rank
42 52
35
30% 21
20%
45 5th Rank
31 30 33 30
10%
0%
or or or or or
e ct e ct e ct e ct e ct
sS gS IT
S
re
S
ile
S
Ga in tu ob
l& ank uc m
Oi B st
r to
fra Au
In
Secto rs y Invest Ra m
o rs
y nk
Secto r y
IT Secto r y 40 2nd
Ba nkingm 53 3rd
Secto r y
Auto mo b y y 52 4th
ile Secto r y
Interpreta tio n: m y
85
On the ba sis o f Previo us Figures: m y y
IT Secto r: y
Ba nking Secto r:
m y
this secto r. y
secto r. y
86
Here, o ver a ll 52 investo rs ha ve selected Auto mo bile secto r a s a 4th Ra nk in
y m y m y y y m m m
this secto r. y
87
Que. 12. Mentio n the mo st impo rta nt fa cto rs fo r selecting a co mpa ny
y y y m m y y m y m of
y
yo ur cho ice.
y y
[ ] Dividend
[ ] P.E. Ra tio m y
[ ] If a ny o ther __________
m y
Fa cto rs a ffect fo r
m y m y Investo rs in
y
Dividend 17%
Other 2%
88
Factors affect to Investors for for
selecting company
(Investors in Percentage)
2%
19%
Earning Per Share
24%
Dividend
Broker’s advise
Market capitalization
17%
Performance of company
16%
P.E. Ratio
7% 15% Other
Interpreta tio n: m y
While 15% o f the investo rs a re select a co mpa ny under the secto r o f their cho ice
y y m m y m y y y
impo rta nt fa cto r to select a co mpa ny under the secto r o f their cho ice.
y m m y y m y m y y y
89
At la stm 2% of
y the investo rs
y ha ve
m co nsidered
y Other Fa cto rs
m y like
Suggestio n fro m reference gro up, Externa l a dviso rs, Sta keho lders, Gro wth
y y y m m y m y y
o f Co mpa ny, Ma rket Trend, Pro fita bility a nd their o wn view etc. to select a
y y m m y m m y y m
90
FINDINGS
91
FINDINGS
Fro m the exa mina tio n I disco vered tha t 68% o f specula to rs a re putting
y m m y y m y m y m
reso urces into Equity Ma rket. While 36% o f fina ncia l specia lists a re no t
y y m y m m m m y
putting reso urces into Equity Ma rket a cco rding to my exa mple size. y y m m y y m
I a dditio na lly disco vered tha t, 53% o f fina ncia l specia lists a ccept tha t
m y m y m y m m m m m
Equity Ma rket is better specula tio n cho ice a nd will give the best returns in
m m y y m
I disco vered tha t the 49% o f specula to rs who a re ma na ging in va lue ma rket
y m y m y y m m m m m
they a re pro pelled by return fa cto r a nd 26% o f fina ncia l specia lists a re
m y m y m y m m m m
tha nkfulness a nd wellbeing fa cto r while putting reso urces into va lue ma rket
m m m y y y m m
in different a rea s. m m
I a dditio na lly disco vered tha t the 45% o f the fina ncia l specia lists a re
m y m y m y m m m m
implies numero us fina ncia l specia lists trust o n the develo pment o f va lue y m m m y y y m
intra da y excha nging which sho ws tha t they co nsider wellbeing fa cto rs
m m m y m y m y
while co ntributing. 31% o f the fina ncia l specia lists a re putting reso urces
y y m m m m y
into Equity Ma rket a s a Delivery ba se Tra ding a nd 26% o f the fina ncia l
y m m m m m m y m m
92
fina ncia l specia lists who rea dily ta ke higher-tha n-no rma l da nger a s a tra de-
m m m y m m m y m m m m m
28% o f specula to rs put reso urces into Equity ma rket fo r the time o f 1 to 3
y m y y y m y y y
ba ck fro m Equity ma rket a nd 26% o f fina ncia l specia lists a re expects 20%-
m y m m y m m m m
25% get ba ck fro m Equity ma rket. Here, fina ncia l specia lists a re mo re
m y m m m m m y
42% o f specula to rs a re ha ppy with the current presenta tio n o f the Equity
y m y m m m y y
Ma rket a s fa r a s a nticipa ted return, while 28% o f fina ncia l specia lists a re
m m m m m m y m m m m
co mpa nio ns to enter in the va lue ma rket a nd a few fina ncia l specia lists a re
y m y y m m m m m m m m
persua ded by Advisers, Media , Resea rch Repo rt a nd different elements like
m m m y m
Other thing I disco vered tha t 29% o f the fina ncia l specia lists ha ve y m y m m m m
cho o sing the Secto r. There a re a dditio na lly different va ria bles like -
y y y m m y m m m
93
go vernment stra tegy, industry co nditio n, a nd fina ncia l co nditio n likewise
y m y y m m m y y
53 fina ncia l specia lists ha ve cho sen Ba nking a rea a s a 3nd Ra nk.
m m m m y m m m m m m
52 fina ncia l specia lists ha ve cho sen Auto mo bile a rea a s a fo urth Ra nk
m m m m y y y m m m m y m
45 fina ncia l specia lists cho se Infra structure a rea a s a 5nd Ra nk.
m m m y m m m m m m
I likewise disco vered tha t 24% o f the fina ncia l specia lists ha ve tho ught y m y m m m m y
mo st significa nt fa cto r while cho o sing a n o rga niza tio n fro m these cho se
y m m y y y m y m m y y y
fro m reference ga thering, Externa l co unselo rs, Sta keho lders, Gro wth o f
y m m y y m y y y
a significa nt fa cto r while cho o sing a n o rga niza tio n fro m these cho se a rea s.
m m m y y y m y m m y y y m m
94
RECOMMENDATIONS
95
RECOMMENDATION
Investo rs sho uld no t invest in o nly equity ma rket but, a lso invest in o ther
y y y y m m y y
Mutua l fund a nd Insura nce etc. which a lso pro vides mo dera te return.
m m m m y y y m
Equity – 50%
Investo rs sho uld invest mo ney a t lo wer level price a nd sa le the sto ck a t
y y y m y m m y m
higher price.
Investo rs sho uld select co mpa ny o n the ba sis o f PE ra tio , EPS, Current
y y y m y m y m y
96
CONCLUSION
97
CONCLUSION
Resea rch Design a s a Questio nna ire technique where respo ndents a re fro m
m m m y m y m y
Fro m the study I fo und tha t significa nt individua ls a re putting reso urces into
y y m m m m y y
va lue ma rket simply beca use o f Ea rn High Return a nd Hedge the Risk by
m m m y m m
their co mpa nio ns a nd media s enco ura ge to go into va lue ma rket. La rger pa rt
y m y m m y m y y y m m m m
Significa nt fina ncia l specia lists fa vo r the Oil a nd ga s a rea a s a first po sitio n
m m m m m y m m m m m m y y
co nditio n a dditio na lly significa nt fa cto r while cho o sing the Secto r a nd
y y m y m m m y y y y m
98
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88
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94
ANNEXURE
95
QUESTIONNAIRE
Na me:
m _______________________________________________
Address: _______________________________________________
_______________________________________________
Co nta ct No .: …………………………………..
y m y
Gender [ ] Ma le m [ ] Fema le m
Age:
Yea rs m
Yea rs m
Occupa tio n: m y
Rs.
96
1. Do yo u investing in Equity Ma rket?
y y m
[ ] Yes [ ] No y
returns?
_________
Mo nths y
97
7. Wha t is the ra te o f return expected by yo u fro m Equity Ma rket in a
m m y y y m m
yea r?
m
8. Are yo u sa tisfied with the current perfo rma nce o f the Equity Ma rket in
y m y m y m
Media m
Secto rs? y
[ ] Go vernment Po licy
y y [ ] If a ny o ther plea se specify _____________
m y m
11. Which Secto r do yo u prefer the mo st? (Give 1 to 5 Orders in given bo xes)
y y y y y y
98
Ba nking Secto r
m y Auto mo bile Secto r
y y y
cho ice.
y
99