MSTS000 DUE DATE: 28/08/2023

ASSIGNMENT TOTAL MARK: 60

Question 1 (20)

MULTIPLE CHOICE

1. The probability of at least one head in two flips of a coin is

a. 0.33
b. 0.50
c. 0.75
d. 1.00

2. Revised probabilities of events based on additional information are

a. joint probabilities
b. posterior probabilities
c. marginal probabilities
d. complementary probabilities

3. Posterior probabilities are computed using

a. the classical method
b. Chebyshev’s theorem
c. the empirical rule
d. Bayes’ theorem

4. The complement of P(A | B) is

a. P(AC | B)
b. P(A | BC)
c. P(B | A)
d. P(A  B)

5. An element of the sample space is

a. an event
b. an estimator
c. a sample point
d. an outlier

6. The probability of an intersection of two events is computed using the

a. addition law
b. subtraction law
c. multiplication law
d. division law

7. If A and B are mutually exclusive, then

a. P(A) + P(B) = 0
b. P(A) + P(B) = 1
c. P(A  B) = 0

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 MSTS000 DUE DATE: 28/08/2023
ASSIGNMENT TOTAL MARK: 60

d. P(A  B) = 1

8. Posterior probabilities are

a. simple probabilities
b. marginal probabilities
c. joint probabilities
d. conditional probabilities

9. The range of probability is

a. any value larger than zero
b. any value between minus infinity to plus infinity
c. zero to one
d. any value between -1 to 1

10. Since the sun must rise tomorrow, then the probability of the sun rising tomorrow is
a. much larger than one
b. zero
c. infinity
d. None of the other answers is correct.

11. Any process that generates well-defined outcomes is

a. an event
b. an experiment
c. a sample point
d. None of the other answers is correct.

12. In statistical experiments, each time the experiment is repeated

a. the same outcome must occur
b. the same outcome cannot occur again
c. a different outcome may occur
d. None of the other answers is correct.

13. Each individual outcome of an experiment is called

a. the sample space
b. a sample point
c. an experiment
d. an individual

14. A sample point refers to a(n)

a. numerical measure of the likelihood of the occurrence of an event
b. set of all possible experimental outcomes

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 MSTS000 DUE DATE: 28/08/2023
ASSIGNMENT TOTAL MARK: 60

c. individual outcome of an experiment

d. All of these answers are correct.

15. The set of all possible sample points (experimental outcomes) is called
a. a sample
b. an event
c. the sample space
d. a population

16. The sample space refers to

a. any particular experimental outcome
b. the sample size minus one
c. the set of all possible experimental outcomes
d. both any particular experimental outcome and the set of all possible experimental
outcomes are correct

17. An experiment consists of three steps. There are four possible results on the first step, three possible
results on the second step, and two possible results on the third step. The total number of experimental
outcomes is
a. 9
b. 14
c. 24
d. 36

18. An experiment consists of tossing 4 coins successively. The number of sample points in this experiment is
a. 16
b. 8
c. 4
d. 2

19. A lottery is conducted using three urns. Each urn contains chips numbered from 0 to 9. One chip is
selected at random from each urn. The total number of sample points in the sample space is
a. 30
b. 100
c. 729
d. 1,000

20. Three applications for admission to a local university are checked to determine whether each applicant is
male or female. The number of sample points in this experiment is
a. 2
b. 4
c. 6

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ASSIGNMENT TOTAL MARK: 60

d. 8

Question 2 (40)
1. The sales records of a real estate agency show the following sales over the past 200 days: (12)

Number of Number
Houses Sold of Days
0 60
1 80
2 40
3 16
4 4

a. How many sample points are there?

b. Assign probabilities to the sample points and show their values.
c. What is the probability that the agency will not sell any houses in a given day?
d. What is the probability of selling at least 2 houses?
e. What is the probability of selling 1 or 2 houses?
f. What is the probability of selling less than 3 houses?

2. You are given the following information on Events A, B, C, and D. (16)

P(A)  .4 P(A  D)  .6 P(A  C)  .04

P(B)  .2 P(AB)  .3 P(A  D)  .03
P(C)  .1

a. Compute P(D).
b. Compute P(A  B).
c. Compute P(AC).
d. Compute the probability of the complement of C.
e. Are A and B mutually exclusive? Explain your answer.
f. Are A and B independent? Explain your answer.
g. Are A and C mutually exclusive? Explain your answer.
h. Are A and C independent? Explain your answer.

3. A government agency has 6,000 employees. The employees were asked whether they preferred a four-day
work week (10 hours per day), a five-day work week (8 hours per day), or flexible hours. You are given
information on the employees' responses broken down by gender. (12)

Male Female Total

Four days 300 600 900
Five days 1,200 1,500 2,700
Flexible 300 2,100 2,400

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MSTS000 DUE DATE: 28/08/2023
ASSIGNMENT TOTAL MARK: 60

Total 1,800 4,200 6,000

a. What is the probability that a randomly selected employee is a man and is in favor of a four-
day work week?
b. What is the probability that a randomly selected employee is female?
c. A randomly selected employee turns out to be female. Compute the probability that she is in
favor of flexible hours.
d. What percentage of employees is in favor of a five-day work week?
e. Given that a person is in favor of flexible time, what is the probability that the person is
female?
f. What percentage of employees is male and in favor of a five-day work week?