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Asian Affairs: An American Review
JAMES C. HSIUNG
237
In less than two months following its reversion to China, the HKSAR has had
occasion to act on its own, as in the decision to contribute U.S.$1 billion to the
IMF-orchestrated U.S.$16 billion package to bail out the Thai baht. (Beijing's
decision to follow suit came one week later.) On the other hand, the SAR seemed
to be bowing to Beijing's wishes when its semi-official Hong Kong Productivity
Organization withdrew from the Asian Productivity Organization (APO), the rea-
son being that Hong Kong's being in an international organization of which Tai-
wan was also a member would violate the "one China" principle.3 In 1963, while
under British rule, Hong Kong joined the Tokyo-based APO, which was found-
ed that year. Under the name "Republic of China," Taiwan was also among the
founding members. Hong Kong's withdrawal from the APO shortly after (but not
before) the territory's reversion to China seemed to convey a distinct political
message.
True to expectations and to the letter and spirit of the Basic Law, Hong Kong
continues to be a party to certain international treaties, such as the two 1966
human rights covenants, and it still participates in international organizations
(IOs) as before. An official tally shows Hong Kong taking part as a "full mem-
ber" in seven IOs, including the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the World
Trade Organization (WTO), and as an "associate member" in six others, includ-
ing the International Maritime Organization. In addition, Hong Kong sits as a part
of the People's Republic of China's (PRC) delegation in nineteen other interna-
tional organizations, ranging from Asia-Pacific Postal Union to World Intellectu-
al Property Organization.4
Hong Kong's joint membership (with the PRC) in IOs, as such, is only one
indication that the SAR's international capacity to act is not in itself incompati-
ble with that of the Chinese sovereign. The Basic Law in fact guarantees t
patible capacity of the HKSAR in its participation in international affair
152). Consistent with the same provision in the Basic Law, Hong Kong
ly took part in the 23-25 September 1997 annual meeting of the World
the IMF as part of the Chinese delegation. By contrast, Taiwan, which
member of either organization, was excluded from the meeting.
Another example is the role played by China through its embassy in
during the 15 August 1997 Manila Bay boat accident. Literally on the s
PRC embassy issued temporary travel documents to the eleven survivi
Kong tourists whose passports were lost during the accident.5 In the c
stances, the embassy seemed to be offering a service to those unfortuna
Kong citizens on behalf of the HKSAR which, according to Article 154
Basic Law, has the power to issue passports to its residents abroad.
That none of the above attributes will disappear after the changeover is appar-
ent. Furthermore, to this list is to be added a post-reversion advantage: the sure-
ty with which Hong Kong can now draw upon the support of China proper as its
hinterland, something that had existed on a de facto and ad hoc basis before, but
became institutionalized following the handover. The advantage of a hinterland
offers Hong Kong easy and guaranteed access to an abundant and inexpensive
supply of land, labor, and natural resources. The value of that advantage becomes
more apparent when comparing Hong Kong's situation with that of Singapore.
The Singaporeans have no comparable hinterland backup and have, therefore, to
live with much higher costs for land, labor, and natural resources. The Singa-
poreans have invested lavishly in the Chinese mainland (e.g., in the Suzhou area)
partly to offset that deficiency.
The Hong Kongers seem to be fully aware of all of that; the polls showed an
increase in their confidence in the future of Hong Kong, from 70 percent in May
1997 to 85 percent in September 1997, two months after reversion. Nearly 70 per-
cent of the respondents indicated confidence in the viability of the "one country,
two systems" model as currently practiced.12
In connection with Taiwan's doomsday theory of the future of Hong Kong, I
suggested earlier that the chickens may come home to roost for Taiwan if the "one
country, two systems" model proves successful in Hong Kong. If Taiwan then
opts to jump on the "Greater China" bandwagon-joining Taiwan with the main-
land, Hong Kong, and Macau (which is to return to Chinese sovereignty in
1999)-it might be the first step toward ultimate Chinese reunification. If Taiwan
then should continue to reject the "one country, two systems" model, it would
most likely find its international support diminishing. This scenario brings into
relief the complications of Sino-U.S. relations and United States policy toward
the divided China across the Taiwan Strait. It also turns the focus on post-rever-
sion Hong Kong as a factor in China's relations with foreign powers.
The United States has both high stakes and high hopes in Hong Kong's return
to Chinese sovereignty. The high stakes include its U.S.$12 billion investment,
the over twelve hundred U.S. firms, and the thirty thousand U.S. citizens in the
territory. Its official concerns stemming from these high stakes are attested by the
United States Hong Kong Policy Act, passed by Congress in 1992. U.S. hopes in
regard to Hong Kong, although not explicitly stated, can be deduced from exist-
ing policy goals and couched in three points: (a) that it is in the interest of the
United States to see the "one country, two systems" model prove workable in
post-reversion Hong Kong; (b) that consistent with U.S. policy that the solution
to the Taiwan-mainland division should come through peaceful means from Chi-
nese on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, Washington sees in the "one country, two
systems" model a reasonable, peaceful solution, which could be duplicated in set-
tling the Taiwan question, should it truly prove workable in Hong Kong; and (c)
that should Taiwan reject the model in the circumstances (i.e., after it has been
proven workable in Hong Kong), the rejection would cast doubt on Taiwan's true
intentions, and in that light it will be in Washington's interest that its policy of
supporting Taiwan's current status not be interpreted as encouragement for the
island's separatism.
Those three points are a restatement---obviously phrased to suit the context of
our discussion-of U.S. policy toward the Chinese unification issue. The Hong
Kong angle is the potential attractiveness of its "one country, two systems" model,
as a solution to the transition from British rule. If proven, its success would rec-
ommend the model as a sensible solution to end Taiwan's isolation from the Chi-
nese mainland, which has long plagued Sino-U.S. relations. The Taiwan-main-
land division, if left unresolved, would stoke the worst fears of United States
decision makers about the tenuous stability in the critical post-Cold War hot-spot
in the Asia Pacific that is also the most crucial to U.S. commercial interests. The
Hong Kong model seems to provide a way out of the Taiwan-mainland tangle.
If it is a catalyst in making the Greater China scenario come true, the HKSAR
will have proven that despite its lack of sovereignty, it can exert influence on the
outcome of events of tremendous proportions. For that reason, the HKSAR
deserves to be kept under long-term study as an additional example of a growing
array of nonsovereign actors in international relations-ranging from the so-
called noncentral regimes (e.g., Quebec) to certain international organizations
(such as the International Civil Aviation Organization and the International Mari-
time Organization) that have regulatory jurisdiction over certain activities of sov-
ereign states.13 Because of their increasing activities and effects on the conduct
of international relations, these and other nonsovereign actors (for example,
multinational corporations, many of them out of the jurisdictional reach of sov-
ereign states in which they operate) require an overhaul of our traditional West-
NOTES
1. Cf. Roda Mushkat, chap. 1 in One Country, Two International Personalities: The Case ofHong
Kong (Hong Kong: Hong Kong University Press, 1997).
2. Xianggangjingji ribao (Hong Kong Economic Daily), 23 September 1997, special supplement
on the World Bank-IMF Meeting, p. 1.
3. South China Morning Post (hereinafter SCMP), 3 August 1997, p. 6.
4. The list was provided by the Trade and Industry Bureau, Government Secretariat, HKSAR, at
the request of Professor Yue Ren of Lingnan College, Tuen Mun, Hong Kong.
5. SCMP, 17 August 1997, p. 1.
6. Bank of China, Hong Kong Branch, Selected Translations in Economic Data, no. 1473, 18
October 1996. Cited in Li Jiaquan, "Hongkong as a Conduit for the Mainland and Taiwan," Haixia
pinglun, no. 81, September 1997, p. 39.
7. Cited in Li, Ibid.
8. Cf. Ai Li's report in Commonweal magazine (Taipei), June 1996.
9. Li Jiaquan, Haixia pinglun, p. 40.
10. Ibid.
11. The first five items are on the list of Frank Ching's article in Foreign Affairs, May 1997, and I
added the last two, the second one taken from a report for 1997 of the Laussant Institute of Manage-
ment, Switzerland.
12. Ming Bao, 1 October 1997, p. 1.
13. See Brian Hocking, "Regional Governments and International Affairs: Foreign Policy or
Deviant Behavior?" International Journal 41 (1986): 477-506 for a discussion of "non-central
regimes." On the role of certain international organizations with the capacity to regulate activities of
sovereign states in certain functional domains, consult James C. Hsiung, chap. 5 in Anarchy and
Order: The Interplay of Law and Politics in International Relations (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner,
1997), which calls the phenomenon "jurisdiction with sovereignty."