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Atmósfera 27(1), 77-89 (2014)

On the wind power potential in the northwest of the Yucatan


Peninsula in Mexico

BERNARDO FIGUEROA-ESPINOZA and PAULO SALLES


Instituto de Ingeniería, Laboratorio de Ingeniería y Procesos Costeros, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México,
Puerto de Abrigo s/n, 97351 Sisal, Yucatán, México
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JORGE ZAVALA-HIDALGO
Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Circuito de la Investigación
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Received March 26, 2013; accepted November 26, 2013

RESUMEN
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un modelo de mesoescala concuerdan con las mediciones por arriba de z = 50 m (z es la distancia vertical
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ABSTRACT
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teorological variables at hand, and saved in order to ZLQGVFRPHIURPWKHQRUWKHDVWDQGVRXWKHDVWDQG
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devoted to the PDF parameter estimation and the cal- VSHHG7KH¿JXUHDOVRVKRZVWKDWWKHPRUHHQHUJHWLF
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prediction model that comprises several solvers and LVGLIIHUHQWIURPWKDWRIWKHPDVWSDUWLFXODUO\IRUWKH
applications, based on a numerical Eulerian solver VRXWKHDVWZKHUHWKHPDVWSUHVHQWVDODUJHIUHTXHQ-
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WRF TOTAL TOTAL (A−4)


NORTH NORTH

8% 8%

6% 6%

4% 4%

2% 2%
20 − 22 20 − 22
WEST EAST 18 − 20 WEST EAST 18 − 20
16 − 18 16 − 18
14 − 16 14 − 16
12 − 14 12 − 14
10 − 12 10 − 12
8 − 10 8 − 10
6−8 6−8
4−6 4−6
2−4 2−4
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84 B. Figueroa-Espinoza et al.

WRF SPRING SPRING (A−4)


NORTH NORTH

15% 15%

10% 10%

5% 5%
20 − 22 20 − 22
WEST EAST 18 − 20 WEST EAST 18 − 20
16 − 18 16 − 18
14 − 16 14 − 16
12 − 14 12 − 14
10 − 12 10 − 12
8 − 10 8 − 10
6−8 6−8
4−6 4−6
2−4 2−4
SOUTH 0−2 SOUTH 0−2

WRF SUMMER SUMMER (A−4)


NORTH NORTH

15% 15%

10% 10%

5% 5%
20 − 22 20 − 22
WEST EAST 18 − 20 WEST EAST 18 − 20
16 − 18 16 − 18
14 − 16 14 − 16
12 − 14 12 − 14
10 − 12 10 − 12
8 − 10 8 − 10
6−8 6−8
4−6 4−6
2−4 2−4
SOUTH 0−2 SOUTH 0−2

WRF FALL FALL (A−4)


NORTH NORTH

15% 15%

10% 10%

5% 5%
20 − 22 20 − 22
WEST EAST 18 − 20 WEST EAST 18 − 20
16 − 18 16 − 18
14 − 16 14 − 16
12 − 14 12 − 14
10 − 12 10 − 12
8 − 10 8 − 10
6−8 6−8
4−6 4−6
2−4 2−4
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Wind power potential in Yucatan, Mexico 85

WRF WINTER WINTER (A−4)


NORTH NORTH

15% 15%

10% 10%

5% 5%
20 − 22 20 − 22
WEST EAST 18 − 20 WEST EAST 18 − 20
16 − 18 16 − 18
14 − 16 14 − 16
12 − 14 12 − 14
10 − 12 10 − 12
8 − 10 8 − 10
6−8 6−8
4−6 4−6
2−4 2−4
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The corresponding unimodal parameters k and h 7KHVHVWXGLHVUHTXLUHLQJHQHUDOWKHNQRZOHGJHRI
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\HDURXUELPRGDOHVWLPDWLRQVRIWKHSRZHUGHQVLW\ QRUWKZHVW RI WKH<XFDWDQ SHQLQVXOD LQ WKH *XOI RI
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EDVHG RQ FRPPRQ VXUIDFH OD\HU SDUDPHWHUV DQG VLPSOHSURJUDPVVXFKDVFRPSXWHUZRUNVKHHWV7KH
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86 B. Figueroa-Espinoza et al.

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0.1 0.1

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PDF z = 12.5m PDF z = 25m


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sea
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fit unimodal
0.04

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LQWKHOLWHUDWXUHIRU6LVDODVZHOODVZLWKQXPHULFDO Acknowledgements
mesoscale simulations carried out at the CCA in 7KHDXWKRUVUHVSHFWIXOO\DFNQRZOHGJHWKHVXSSRUWRI
0H[LFR&LW\ZLWKWKH:5)PRGHO)RUKHLJKWVDERYH &RQDF\W&)(DQGWKH*RYHUQPHQWRIWKH6WDWHRI
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SUHOLPLQDU\ UHVRXUFH DVVHVVPHQW ORRNV SURPLVLQJ WKH,QVWLWXWRGH,QJHQLHUtDDQGWKH&HQWURGH&LHQFLDV
Further research is being done to validate a reliable GHOD$WPyVIHUD 81$0 WKH7$2FWDYLR*RPH]
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