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Corporate - Issuers - Chapter2 2
Corporate - Issuers - Chapter2 2
CORPORATE ISSUERS
Chapter 2: Business Models, Capital Investments & Working Capital
BlueWolf
Business Intelligence www.bluewolf.eu
Formation www.bluewell.fr
CFA Institute BOK - E. Bala 2023 1
1. INTRODUCTION
Bala Series
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1. INTRODUCTION
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Cost-based pricing refers to setting prices based on the costs of producing the good or service (plus a profit).
Price discrimination refers to setting different prices for different customers or identifiable groups of customers.
Eg: tiered pricing (based on volume of purchases), dynamic pricing (depending on the time of day or day of the week see
airlines), and auction pricing (e.g., eBay).
A value proposition refers to how customers will value the characteristics of the product or service, given the
competing products and their prices. How the firm executes its value proposition is referred to as its value chain.
-A value chain comprises the assets of the firm and how the organization of the firm will add value and exploit the
competitive advantage.
- A value chain should not be confused with a supply chain, which includes every step in producing and delivering
its products, even those that other firms perform.
ting
products and their prices.
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Macro risk refers to the risk (to operating profit) arising from economic, political, changes in exchange rates and legal risk
factors, as well as other risks that affect all businesses within a country or region or globally over time.
- Cyclical companies, vs
- Non-cyclical (defensive) such as utilities and health care providers
Business risk refers to the variability of operating income (EBIT) that arises from both firm-specific risk factors and industry risk
factors.
Industry risk factors include:
- Revenue and earnings cyclicality.
- Industry structure: Low concentration (many smaller firms) is associated with high competitive intensity.
- Competitive intensity: Higher competitive intensity in the industry typically reduces profitability.
- Competitive dynamics within the value chain: Profits are affected by actions of buyers, suppliers, and actual and
potential competitors.
- Long-term growth and demand expectations: An industry with increasing demand and high long-term growth
prospects is more attractive to investors, but may also attract more competition.
- Other industry risks are regulatory risks and other relevant external risks.
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2. CAPITAL INVESTMENTS
Capital budgeting is the allocation of funds to long-lived capital projects
the capital allocation process.
A capital project is a long-term investment in tangible assets.
The principles and tools of the capital budgeting are applied in many different aspects of a business
decision making and in security valuation and portfolio management.
A capital budgeting process and prowess are important in valuing a company.
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CLASSIFYING PROJECTS
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Capital projects may be sequenced, which means a project contains an option to invest in another project.
Projects often have real options associated with them; so the company can choose to expand or abandon the
project, for example, after reviewing the performance of the initial capital project (hereafter)
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CAPITAL RATIONING
Capital rationing is when the amount of expenditure for capital projects in a given period is limited.
If the company has so many profitable projects that the initial expenditures in total would exceed the budget for
capital projects for the period, the management must determine which of the projects to select.
The objective is to maximize wealth, subject to the constraint on the capital budget.
Capital rationing may result in the rejection of profitable projects.
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(2-1)
(2-2)
where
CFt = After-tax cash flow at time t
r = Required rate of return for the investment
Outlay = Investment cash flow at time zero
If NPV > 0:
Invest: Capital project adds value
If NPV < 0:
Do not invest: Capital project destroys value
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EXAMPLE: NPV
Consider the Hoofdstad Project, which requires an investment of $1 billion initially, with subsequent cash flows of
$200 million, $300 million, $400 million, and $500 million. We can characterize the project with the following end-
of-year cash flows:
Cash Flow
Period (millions)
0 $1,000
1 200
2 300
3 400
4 500
What is the net present value of the Hoofdstad Project if the required rate of return of this project is 5%?
EXAMPLE: NPV
Time Line
0 1 2 3 4
| | | | |
| | | | |
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=0 (2-3)
(2-4)
Example:
A firm is considering a project with an initial investment
of $3,000,000. The firm's required return is 10% and
the expected cash flows are as follows:
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EXAMPLE: IRR
Consider the Hoofdstad Project that we used to demonstrate the NPV calculation:
Cash Flow
Period (millions)
0 $1,000
1 200
2 300
3 400
4 500
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The problem is evident when there are different patterns of cash flows or different scales of cash flows.
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In other words, there is no unique IRR if the cash flows are nonconventional.
Example:
Consider the fluctuating capital project with the following end
of year cash flows, in millions - what is the IRR of this project?
(Gives and idea of value creating) (The size of the project matters, ie IRR 50% over how
much?)
Note: For independent projects NPV and IRR will and should produce the same conclusions!
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ou
The ROIC measure is often compared with the associated cost of capital, the required return used in the NPV
calculation and the associated cost of funds.
- If the ROIC measure is higher than the cost of capital, the company is generating a higher return for investors compared with
the required return, thereby increasing the value for shareholders.
- The inverse is true if the if the ROIC is lower.
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and it
is independent of other expectations about the company.
Solution:
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REAL OPTIONS
Real options are options that allow companies to make decisions in the future that alter the value of capital
investment decisions made today, and are an important piece of the value in many capital investments.
Timing Options: Project sequencing options allow the company to defer the decision to invest in a future investment until
the outcome of some or all of a current investment is known.
Sizing Options: If after investing the company can abandon the investment if the financial results are disappointing, it has an
abandonment option or, conversely, if the company can make additional investments when future financial results are strong,
the company has a growth option or an expansion option.
- When estimating the cash flows from an expansion, the analyst must also be wary of cannibalization.
Flexibility Options: Once an investment is made, operational flexibilities besides abandonment or expansion may be
available. For example, suppose demand exceeds capacity, management may be able to exercise a price-setting option.
By increasing prices, the company could benefit from the excess demand, which it cannot do by increasing production.
what is forecast. - There are also production-flexibility options, which offer the operational flexibility to alter production when
demand varies from
Fundamental Options: in other cases, the whole investment is essentially an option, the payoffs from the investment are
contingent on an underlying asset, just like most financial options.
For example, the value of an oil well or refinery investment is contingent on the price of oil. If oil prices were low, you likely
would not choose to drill a well. If oil prices were high, you would go ahead and drill.
- Many R&D (research and development) projects also look like options.
REAL OPTIONS
Management can take the following common sense approaches to real option analysis:
1 Use DCF (discounted cash flow) analysis without considering options.
If the NPV is positive without considering real options and the project has real options that would simply add more value, it is
unnecessary to evaluate the options. Management should simply undertake the investment.
2 Consider the Project NPV = NPV (based on DCF alone) Cost of options + Value of options.
Calculate the NPV based on expected cash flows. Then simply add the value associated with real options less their
incremental cost.
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REAL OPTIONS
Production-Flexibility Option
Auvergne AquaFarms has estimated the NPV of the expected cash flows from a new processing plant to be
What is the value of the new processing plant including this real option to use alternative energy sources?
Solution:
The NPV, including the real option, should be
Project NPV = NPV (based on DCF alone) Cost of options + Value of options.
Project NPV = 0.40 million
Without the flexibility offered by the real option, the plant is unprofitable. The real option to adapt to cheaper energy sources
adds enough to the value of this investment to give it a positive NPV. The company should undertake the investment, which
would add to its value.
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CORPORATE ISSUERS
Working Capital & Liquidity
BlueWolf
Business Intelligence www.bluewolf.eu
Formation www.bluewell.fr
CFA Institute BOK - E. Bala 2022 39
1. INTRODUCTION
Companies have multiple short-term and long-term financing choices.
Short-term funds without explicit interest rates, such as accounts payable, are part of working capital management,
which is the management of short-term assets and liabilities.
-The goal of effective working capital management is to ensure that a company has adequate, ready access to the funds necessary
for day-to-day operations, while at the same time making sure that the assets are invested in the most productive way
Other debt and equity obligations used to finance the business longer term are considered part of the capital
structure.
- The goal of capital structure management is to balance the risks and costs of the long-term finances. In this reading, we
examine a variety of debt and equity claims that companies rely on for their sources of capital.
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INTERNAL FINANCING
Operating Cash Flows:
can be used to invest in assets and are equal to net income plus depreciation charges minus dividend payments.
Accounts Payable (A/P):
they arise from trade credit and will differ among industries and might involve a delay of payment and a discount from the
purchase price if payment is received within a specified number of days; otherwise, the full amount is due.
- For example, the terms 2/10, net 30 indicate that a 2% discount is available if the account is paid within 10 days;
otherwise, the full amount is due by the 30th day.
Accounts Receivable (A/R):
The sooner a company can collect what it is owed, the lesser its need to finance its operations in some other way.
Marketable Securities:
can be quickly sold and converted to cash within a year, such as ST debt that matures within a year, LT debt and common
stocks
- Companies often invest in marketable securities to earn a rate of return that is greater than what they would earn by
holding cash.
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FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
Uncommitted lines of credit - are the least reliable form of bank borrowing, a bank reserves the right to refuse to honor
any request for use of such line. They do not require any compensation other than interest but cannot be shown as a financial
reserve in a footnote to the financial statements.
Committed (regular) lines of credit - are more reliable because of the formal commitment and can be footnoted
in the annual report. They are in effect for 364 days, less than a full year.
- are unsecured and are pre-payable without any penalties.
- The most common interest rates are negotiated at the prime rate or at a money market rate plus a spread. The
spread varies depending on the creditworthiness.
- Regular lines, unlike uncommitted lines, require compensation, usually in the form of a commitment fee to the lender
(typically a fractional percent -e.g., 0.50% - on the full amount of the unused amount of the line, depending on bank
company negotiations.
Revolving credit agreements - also referred to as are the most reliable form of unsecured short-term bank
borrowing. Revolvers differ in that they are in effect for multiple years (e.g., three to five years) and can have optional medium-
term loan features.
-often used for much larger amounts than a regular line, these larger amounts are spread out among more than one bank.
-borrowers draw down and pay back amounts periodically.
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
Secured -based loans
are loans in which the lender requires the company to provide collateral in the form of an asset, such as a fixed asset that the
company owns or high-quality receivables and inventory
- Companies that lack sufficient credit quality to qualify for unsecured loans might arrange for secured loans.
For example, a company can cash flow through the assignment of accounts receivable, which is the use of these
receivables as collateral for a loan. The company remains responsible for the collection of the accounts
- A company can also sell its accounts receivable to a lender (called a factor), typically at a substantial discount. In a
factoring arrangement, the company shifts the credit granting and collection process to the lender or factor.
- The cost of this credit (i.e., the amount of the discount) depends on the credit quality of the accounts and the costs of
collection.
- Similarly, inventory can be used in different ways as collateral for a loan.
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CAPITAL MARKETS
Commercial Paper
- is a short-term, unsecured instrument typically issued by large and well-rated companies that can be sold directly to
investors or through dealers, with maturities ranging from a few days up to 270 days to avoid registration costs with regulatory
agencies
- although a significant amount of asset-backed commercial paper exists, most commercial paper is unsecured, with no
specific collateral but the Issuers are often required to have a backup line of credit.
overall a low-risk investment for investors.
Both bank and non-bank lenders often charge additional commissions and fees beyond the quoted interest rate.
changes in work in
capital generates cash
flows
CAPITAL MARKETS
Long-Term Debt
- because of their longer (than 1 year) maturities, bonds are riskier - interest (price) and credit risk - than money market
instruments.
- bond covenants are contracts specifying the rights of the lender and restrictions on the borrower (company) such as the use
and disposition of assets, its ability to pay dividends, and ability to issue additional debt that might dilute the value of a bond.
- public debt is negotiable on open markets (i.e. whereas private debt does not trade on a market and is
more difficult for the holder to sell.
- while some private debt instruments are not negotiable, such as government savings bonds and certificates of deposit, private
debt issued by businesses can usually be sold by one party to another.
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CAPITAL MARKETS
Preferred Equity
are hybrid securities that have characteristics of both bonds and common equity: dividends on preferred shares are often fixed
- but can be variable (e.g. preferred shares pay dividends based on a profitability).
- the company must pay any skipped (cumulative) preferred dividend payments before it can make any dividend payments on
common equity.
- in case of business failure, bondholders have seniority over preferred shareholders on assets or cash flows, and preferred
shareholders have similar seniority over common shareholders.
Hybrid Securities
Convertible debt and convertible preferred are hybrid securities issued by companies and are convertible into a fixed number of
the common shares.
- Other: MBS & ABS securities but in their case the assets pledged against the debt instruments issued are isolated from the
company in a SPV or SPE form an economic point of view it is equivalent to assets to a third party.
Leasing Obligations
In a leasing arrangement, the purchase of an asset and its financing are bundled instead of being separate transactions.
(check the Financial Statement Analysis)
Bottom line:
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Pulls on liquidity are decisions that result in paying cash too soon, such as paying trade credit early or a bank reducing a
line of credit.
SOURCES OF LIQUIDITY
Primary sources of liquidity
Ready cash balances (cash and cash equivalents)
Short-term funds (short-term financing, such as trade credit and bank loans)
Selling assets
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MEASURING LIQUIDITY
Operating Cycle
needs.
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Compare the liquidity and liquidity needs for Company A and Company B for Fiscal Year 2
Company A Company B
FY2 FY1 FY2 FY1
Cash and cash equivalents
Inventory
Receivables
Accounts payable
Revenues
Cost of goods sold
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1. Company B has slightly more liquidity than Company A (same quick ratio, but slightly higher current ratio, which means that
Company B has a slightly greater proportion of inventory in its current assets compared with Company A).
2. Company A has a longer operating cycle (by 22 days) and cash conversion cycle ( by 7 days).
Company B has a quicker turnover of inventory and receivables than Company A (that is, more efficient use).
Company B pays its trade creditors quicker than does Company A.
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MANAGING CASH
Managers use cash forecasting systems to estimate the flow (amount and timing) of receipts and disbursements.
Managers monitor cash uses and levels.
They keep track of cash balances and flows at different locations.
Considerations:
Liquidity
Maturity
Credit risk
Yield
Requirement of collateral
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