Demand for security personnel

Stable Series Data

Week No. of Forecasts 350
personnel
1 225 300
2 255 225
250
3 245 255
4 276 245 200
5 292 276 150
6 292 A) NAÏVE METHOD FOR STABLE SERIES DATA: T
100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6

No. of personnel Forecasts

D FOR STABLE SERIES DATA: This method is basically "copy paste" - the last data point becomes the forecast for the next period;

6
Demand for security personnel
No. of Data with Trend
Week Forecasts
personnel
1 225 350

2 255 300
3 245 285
250
4 276 235
5 292 307 200
6 308 150

100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6

No. of personnel Forecasts

6
Demand for security personnel

No. of Simple moving Average

Week Forecasts
personnel 350

1 225 300
2 255 250
3 245
4 276 200
241.6667
5 292 258.6667 150
6 271
100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6

No. of personnel Forecasts

6
Demand for security personnel

No. of Weighted moving Average

Week Forecasts
personnel 350

1 225 300
2 255
250
3 245
4 276 244 200
5 292 262.5 150
6 277.8
100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6

No. of personnel Forecasts

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Demand for security personnel
Week
No. of
Forecasts
Exponential Smoot
personnel
350
1 225 220
2 255 223.5 300
3 245 245.55 250
4 276 245.165
200
5 292 266.7495
6 284.4249 150

100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6

No. of personnel Forecasts

6
Demand for security personnel

No. of No. of personnel

Week Forecasts
personnel 350

1 225 227.6 300

f(x) = 15.5 x + 212.1
2 255 243.1
250 R² = 0.875163922482879
3 245 258.6
4 276 274.1 200
5 292 289.6 150
6 305.1
100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6

No. of personnel Linear (No. of personnel)

 6

rsonnel)